Floor & Decor Holdings 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 1/6
Floor & Decor Holdings (는) 각각 연간 11% 및 6.2% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 10.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 8.7% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
11.0%
이익 성장률
10.08%
EPS 성장률
| Specialty Retail 이익 성장 | 9.9% |
| 매출 성장률 | 6.2% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 8.71% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 12 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
분석 기사 • May 04
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:FND ), given that the company...분석 기사 • Aug 03
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FND) Second-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:FND ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 19
Floor & Decor's Cyclical Malaise Vs. Structural Moat
Summary Given four consecutive years of Floor & Decor's same-store sales decline, even the more “settled” bull thesis is under the scanner these days. While HD’s share somewhat stabilized post-2022, LOW and other independent stores continue to donate share to FND. To be fair, FND critics are more focused on per-store metrics than overall market share since they believe FND is gaining share primarily via opening new stores. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 07
FND: Reset Expectations And Store Expansion Will Support Fair Value Through 2026
Analysts lowered the updated price target on Floor & Decor Holdings by about $23 to roughly $55, reflecting more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, margins, valuation multiples, and a series of resets across recent research reports. Analyst Commentary Research coverage on Floor & Decor has turned more cautious, with a broad wave of price target cuts across large and mid sized firms.분석 기사 • May 04
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:FND ), given that the company...
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 21
FND: Lower Future P/E Expectations Will Restrain Upside Despite Ongoing Store Expansion
Analysts have trimmed the implied fair value for Floor & Decor Holdings by about $9 to roughly $47, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets and a more cautious stance on the stock's appropriate future P/E multiple, despite modest adjustments to revenue growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Floor & Decor has leaned cautious, with several firms cutting price targets and, in some cases, downgrading the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 05
FND: 2026 Housing Turnover Recovery Will Support Market Share And Margin Inflection
The analyst price target for Floor & Decor Holdings has been reduced by $1 overall, as several firms trimmed their targets on softer Q4 comps, weather-related disruption in Q1, and a cautious backdrop, even as some highlight early signs of an inflection and potential market share gains. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of lower price targets in a relatively tight range, with most firms keeping neutral or equivalent ratings after the Q4 comps miss and Q1 weather disruption.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 22
FND: Margin Leverage And Store Expansion Will Unlock Earnings Upside
Floor & Decor Holdings' fair value estimate has been revised slightly lower to $56 from $58 as analysts trim price targets in the $64 to $78 range, citing softer Q4 comps, weather disruptions in Q1, and a more measured view on revenue growth. At the same time, they highlight improving margins and potential longer term earnings leverage.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 08
FND: 2026 Housing Turnover Recovery Will Support Store Expansion And Margin Inflection
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets for Floor & Decor by a few dollars to a range in the mid $60s to high $70s, reflecting recent Q4 comps softness and weather related headwinds, while still acknowledging signs of improving trends in certain regions and updated post earnings models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Floor & Decor skew cautious on near term trading, but there are a few constructive signals you might want to keep in mind as you think about the story.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 22
FND: 2026 Housing Turnover Recovery Will Drive Comps And Margin Inflection
The fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings has been reduced by $2 to $90, as analysts temper their price targets in response to softer Q4 comps, weather related Q1 disruptions, and more cautious views on near term execution, even as longer term market share and earnings potential remain part of the debate. Analyst Commentary Street research around Floor & Decor Holdings has tilted more cautious on near term execution, but the broader takeaway is that most firms remain on the sidelines rather than shifting to outright bearish calls.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 07
FND: Rich P/E And Execution Risks Will Restrain Housing Recovery Upside
The analyst price target for Floor & Decor Holdings has shifted to about US$58 per share, with the change reflecting analysts’ updated views on slightly higher long term growth assumptions, a higher discount rate, modestly lower margin expectations and a richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Floor & Decor Holdings has been mixed, with some firms lifting ratings or targets and others trimming their expectations.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 24
FND: Easing Housing Headwinds And Margin Resilience Will Support Fair Value Through 2026
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings by about US$0.55 per share. This reflects slightly lower growth and valuation assumptions, partly offset by firmer margin expectations and a lower projected future P/E multiple.분석 기사 • Jan 14
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FND) After Shares Rise 25%
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:FND ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10
FND: 2026 Housing Turnover Recovery Is Expected To Restore Comps And Margins
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings to $92.00 from $100.00. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in light of recent price target revisions and mixed sector views across the Street.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
FND: Easing Housing Headwinds Will Drive Comparable Sales And Margin Recovery By 2026
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Floor & Decor Holdings slightly lower by about $0.45 to approximately $78 per share. This reflects modestly higher discount rate assumptions, even as they highlight the potential for comp and margin improvement, market share gains, and a more supportive housing backdrop into 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
FND: Housing Turnover Recovery In 2026 Is Expected To Unlock Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings slightly lower to $100.00 from $105.00, reflecting more conservative assumptions for revenue growth and discount rates. They still anticipate gradual comp and margin improvement alongside potential market share gains in a stabilizing housing backdrop.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 27
FND: Improving Housing Environment Will Drive Comparable Sales Recovery By 2026
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings to $78.27 from $78.91, citing ongoing competitive pressures and mixed views on near-term demand. They note potential for improved margins and market share gains in 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 12
FND: Broader Housing Turnaround Will Restore Sales Momentum Amid Mortgage Rate Pressures
The analyst price target for Floor & Decor Holdings has been revised downward from approximately $81.55 to $78.91. Analysts point to weaker demand trends, pressure on same-store sales, and a slightly increased discount rate as supporting factors for the lower valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 29
Lower Interest Rates Will Drive Recovery When Flooring Demand Stabilizes
The analyst price target for Floor & Decor Holdings has been revised downward from $82.23 to $81.55. Analysts cite continued weak flooring demand, slower performance from new stores compared to prior cohorts, and concerns over valuation despite potential benefits from lower interest rates.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 14
Robust Warehouse Expansion And Urbanization Will Fuel Renovation Demand
Narrative Update on Floor & Decor Holdings Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings from $83.86 to $82.23 per share. They cite continued weak demand trends and concerns over the performance of new store openings.분석 기사 • Sep 12
The Returns At Floor & Decor Holdings (NYSE:FND) Aren't Growing
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to...분석 기사 • Aug 03
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FND) Second-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:FND ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time...분석 기사 • Jul 20
Floor & Decor Holdings (NYSE:FND) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...분석 기사 • Jun 12
What You Can Learn From Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:FND) P/E
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...분석 기사 • May 25
At US$73.31, Is Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FND) Worth Looking At Closely?
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:FND ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Floor & Decor Holdings Aim To Strengthen Its Dominance In The Downturn
Summary Floor & Decor Holdings' Q4 earnings show macro headwinds, but they continue to gain market share and maintain strong gross margins despite external challenges. FND is the top specialty retailer in flooring with an extensive product assortment, large store sizes, and an unmatched supply chain. Management is confident about 2025, guiding 3% comp sales growth and net sales between $4.74 billion and $4.9 billion. Investing during a downturn is risky, but FND's expansion and strong competitive advantages position it well for long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
Floor & Decor Holdings: FY 2025 Is A Very Uncertain Year
Summary I maintain a hold rating on Floor & Decor Holdings stock due to ongoing near-term risks and uncertain FY25 performance. Despite some recovery signs in 4Q24, weak CSSG, potential store cannibalization, and rising costs make me cautious. FND's aggressive expansion plans and new distribution centers could pressure margins, while tariffs add further cost risks. At 42x forward earnings, FND's valuation lacks a sufficient margin of safety given the current challenges and uncertainties. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 23
Floor & Decor: Macro Headwinds Persist
Summary The US housing market remains weak, with poor existing home sales and high mortgage rates, negatively impacting Floor & Decor Holdings' growth prospects. Consumer spending has shifted towards services, further hurting demand for large-ticket items like flooring, as seen with FND and its peers. Despite potential short-term gains from hurricane rebuilding and competitor closures, FND's high valuation (~50x forward earnings) poses significant downside risk. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 21
Floor & Decor: There Are Better Ways To Play Home Improvement
Summary I initially rated Floor & Decor a BUY in August 2022, but now downgraded to SELL due to underperformance and Berkshire Hathaway's exit. FND failed to meet its ambitious 2022-2024 growth targets, with significant misses in sales growth, store expansion, and profitability metrics. Despite heavy investments, FND's revenue growth has lagged while operating expenses surged, offering neither growth nor profitability in the current market. FND's store operating model is inefficient compared to Lowe's and Home Depot, raising concerns about its ability to achieve profitability even in a better environment. LOW, HD, and TREX offer better ways to play in home improvement. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 23
Floor & Decor's Expansion Plans Weighing On Profits
Summary I anticipate Q3 earnings to show pressured profitability, primarily due to rising expenses from aggressive store openings. Double-digit decline in operating and net income is concerning, reflecting challenges in cost control due to their expansion plans. I'm particularly concerned with the company's declining comparable store sales, which signal weakening demand for their products. Recent sizable selling activity by an activist investor may indicate low confidence in the company’s near-term growth prospects. I project that profitability will improve only if expenses stabilize and better sales performance are achieved. Until I see positive results from their expansion plans, I maintain a Hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • Aug 22
Expanding Warehouse Stores And Prudent Capital Strategy Poised To Propel Growth Amid Market Challenges
Focusing on new warehouse openings in larger, familiar markets aims to enhance revenue and net margins through better sales efficiency.Seeking Alpha • Aug 04
Floor & Decor Holdings: Timing Of Demand Recovery Is Still Uncertain (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Shifted recommendation from sell to hold due to potential demand recovery with Fed rate cuts. Floor & Decor's 2Q24 results showed the continued impact of a poor macro environment on SSSG and overall demand. Management's strategic decisions and margin improvements are positive, but valuation and uncertain demand recovery warrant a hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 24
Floor & Decor Holdings: Potential Worse Macro Conditions May Impair Near-Term Growth
Summary I reiterate my sell rating for FND due to the stock's high valuation and potential for a worsening macro environment. FND has not shown signs of improvement, with comp store sales continuing to decline and net sales growth in the negative region. I believe that mortgage rates could climb further, impairing housing affordability and demand for FND products. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,618 | 272 | 168 | 622 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,121 | 235 | 135 | 510 | 21 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,828 | 206 | 132 | 470 | 22 |
| 3/26/2026 | 4,676 | 199 | 105 | 420 | N/A |
| 12/25/2025 | 4,684 | 209 | 64 | 382 | N/A |
| 9/25/2025 | 4,662 | 217 | 23 | 359 | N/A |
| 6/26/2025 | 4,600 | 211 | 35 | 417 | N/A |
| 3/27/2025 | 4,519 | 205 | 125 | 527 | N/A |
| 12/26/2024 | 4,456 | 206 | 156 | 603 | N/A |
| 9/26/2024 | 4,396 | 195 | 123 | 606 | N/A |
| 6/27/2024 | 4,386 | 210 | 174 | 668 | N/A |
| 3/28/2024 | 4,389 | 224 | 181 | 701 | N/A |
| 12/28/2023 | 4,414 | 246 | 256 | 804 | N/A |
| 9/28/2023 | 4,414 | 278 | 257 | 804 | N/A |
| 6/29/2023 | 4,404 | 288 | 60 | 581 | N/A |
| 3/30/2023 | 4,358 | 299 | -129 | 366 | N/A |
| 12/29/2022 | 4,264 | 298 | -344 | 112 | N/A |
| 9/29/2022 | 4,131 | 279 | -509 | -56 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,909 | 277 | -437 | 53 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,680 | 278 | -266 | 197 | N/A |
| 12/30/2021 | 3,434 | 283 | -106 | 301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,243 | 290 | 121 | 501 | N/A |
| 7/1/2021 | 3,051 | 285 | 288 | 566 | N/A |
| 4/1/2021 | 2,653 | 234 | 263 | 482 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,426 | 195 | 194 | 406 | N/A |
| 9/24/2020 | 2,229 | 173 | 100 | 265 | N/A |
| 6/25/2020 | 2,065 | 145 | -5 | 179 | N/A |
| 3/26/2020 | 2,123 | 157 | 0 | 202 | N/A |
| 12/26/2019 | 2,045 | 151 | N/A | 205 | N/A |
| 9/26/2019 | 1,955 | 133 | N/A | 252 | N/A |
| 6/27/2019 | 1,870 | 119 | N/A | 224 | N/A |
| 3/28/2019 | 1,784 | 115 | N/A | 172 | N/A |
| 12/27/2018 | 1,710 | 116 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 9/27/2018 | 1,663 | 146 | N/A | 170 | N/A |
| 6/28/2018 | 1,571 | 143 | N/A | 127 | N/A |
| 3/29/2018 | 1,480 | 124 | N/A | 94 | N/A |
| 12/28/2017 | 1,385 | 103 | N/A | 109 | N/A |
| 9/28/2017 | 1,274 | 72 | N/A | 101 | N/A |
| 6/29/2017 | 1,201 | 62 | N/A | 113 | N/A |
| 3/30/2017 | 1,123 | 47 | N/A | 126 | N/A |
| 12/29/2016 | 1,051 | 43 | N/A | 89 | N/A |
| 9/29/2016 | 995 | 36 | N/A | 56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 784 | 27 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 9/24/2015 | 723 | 21 | N/A | 35 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: FND 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(11%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: FND 의 연간 수익(11%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: FND 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: FND 의 수익(연간 6.2%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: FND 의 수익(연간 6.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: FND의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 8.7%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/21 19:24 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/26 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/25 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.는 34명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 22명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Peter Benedict | Baird |
| Seth Sigman | Barclays |
| Karen Short | Barclays |