Alibaba Group Holding Limited

NYSE:BABA 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$317.8b

Alibaba Group Holding 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

Alibaba Group Holding (는) 각각 연간 13.7% 및 9.6% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 13.8% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 10% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

13.7%

이익 성장률

13.77%

EPS 성장률

Multiline Retail 이익 성장16.3%
매출 성장률9.6%
향후 자기자본이익률10.03%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트06 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 25

Alibaba's AI Engine Is Powering A Still Undervalued Comeback

Summary Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) remains undervalued, offering a compelling long-term investment opportunity despite recent stock setbacks and macroeconomic headwinds. BABA's growth is increasingly driven by its cloud and AI businesses, with management targeting over $100 billion in combined external cloud and AI revenue within five years. The core e-commerce business continues to grow modestly, while the quick commerce segment and 88VIP membership show robust double-digit expansion. A discounted cash flow analysis suggests intrinsic value between $147 and $250 per share, supporting a bullish stance at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 23

BABA: Agentic AI And Chip Access Will Drive Future Cloud Monetization

The analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding has been trimmed by about $1 in response to recent Street research, which reflects slightly lower assumed profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate, while revenue growth expectations and future P/E inputs have been adjusted only marginally. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alibaba shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 09

BABA: AI Agents And Chips Will Drive Future Cloud Monetization

Alibaba Group Holding's fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher to about $189.70 per share, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E, while also incorporating a recent wave of mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba Group Holding points to a split view, with several firms revising price targets and ratings while reassessing execution, growth priorities, and balance sheet trends.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 25

BABA: AI Cloud And Chip Investments Will Drive Future Earnings Power

The updated analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding edges lower to reflect slightly softer margin assumptions and a reduced fair value estimate of about $190. Analysts are balancing optimism around higher modeled revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E with recent target cuts and downgrades across several research desks.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 11

BABA: AI Cloud And Chip Investments Will Support Long Term Upside

The analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding has inched higher to $199.61 from $198.28, with analysts pointing to Alibaba's focus on AI driven cloud monetization, its inclusion on a major APAC conviction list, and ongoing debates around margins and capital intensity as key factors shaping their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some firms adding the stock to high conviction lists while others move to more cautious ratings.
새 내러티브 • Mar 01

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA): The Value Rebound – Scaling AI Clouds Amidst a Global Trade Reset

Alibaba (BABA) is currently one of the most debated "deep value" plays in the global tech sector as it enters March 2026. As of the February 27 close, the stock is trading at $144.11 , a significant recovery from its 2024–2025 lows but still well below its historical peaks.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 25

BABA: AI Cloud Monetization And Chips Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Alibaba Group Holding slightly higher to about $198 per share. This reflects updated assumptions for AI focused cloud investment, modest tweaks to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a mix of recent rating downgrades and upgrades that highlight both rising capital intensity and ongoing monetization efforts.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09

BABA: AI And Cloud Expansion Will Drive Future Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Alibaba Group Holding slightly higher to about $198 per share, reflecting updated assumptions that include modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin expectations, discount rate and future P/E, informed by mixed but generally constructive recent analyst commentary on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts reassessing both growth drivers and execution risks across the cloud and core retail businesses.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25

BABA: Cloud And AI Execution Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Alibaba's fair value estimate edges higher to about $196.46, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled cloud and AI demand, along with updated price targets that reflect both rising capital expenditure in cloud and more moderate growth in retail revenue. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on cloud and AI execution, while more cautious voices focus on spending levels and retail trends.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11

BABA: Cloud AI And Consumer Apps Will Build Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alibaba Group Holding to $195 from about $198, as slightly higher discount rates, marginally softer long term growth and profit assumptions, and a modestly lower future P/E expectation are weighed against mixed but generally constructive Street price target revisions that reflect both rising cloud investment needs and more measured retail momentum. Analyst Commentary Street research on Alibaba has become more mixed, with both bullish and bearish analysts adjusting their price targets and assumptions in response to recent results, cloud trends, and spending plans.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 21

BABA: Cloud AI Monetization Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts made a marginal upward revision to their fair value estimate for Alibaba Group Holding to approximately $198 per share, reflecting slightly stronger long term cloud and artificial intelligence monetization prospects that more than offset modestly reduced revenue and profit forecasts tied to quick commerce and customer management headwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research on Alibaba remains broadly constructive, with a series of upward price target revisions anchored in improving cloud and artificial intelligence monetization, partly offset by concerns around near term profitability in quick commerce and customer management revenue.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 07

BABA: Cloud And AI Expansion Will Drive Higher Quality Earnings Ahead

Analysts have nudged our Alibaba fair value estimate slightly higher to approximately $198 per share, reflecting expectations for faster revenue growth driven by strengthening cloud and AI demand. These expectations more than offset modestly lower margin assumptions and a marginally higher discount rate.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 23

BABA: Accelerating Cloud And AI Expansion Will Support Meaningful Medium-Term Upside

Alibaba Group Holding's analyst price target has been raised modestly to approximately $196.83, reflecting growing confidence from analysts as well as broad optimism over accelerating cloud revenue and continued advancements in artificial intelligence offerings. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity on Alibaba Group Holding reveals a blend of optimism around core business strength and innovation, alongside measured caution regarding valuation levels and competitive challenges.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 08

BABA: AI Cloud Momentum Will Drive Sustained Upside Over Coming Quarters

Alibaba Group Holding’s fair value estimate has been raised slightly to $196.82 per share from $195.74. Analysts cite continued momentum in AI-driven cloud revenue growth and expanding valuations across its core businesses.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 25

Cloud, AI And Quick Commerce Expansion Will Drive Next Phase Forward

Alibaba Group Holding's fair value estimate has been raised slightly to $195.74 from $193.43. Analysts cite accelerating cloud and AI-driven growth, along with an improved profit outlook, as key reasons for higher price targets across the Street.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 11

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Alibaba Group Holding's analyst price target has been raised from approximately $180 to $193, as analysts point to robust progress in AI and cloud segments, improved company guidance, and increasing investor optimism as reasons for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Alibaba Group Holding reflects building optimism around the company’s growth trajectory, particularly in its cloud and artificial intelligence businesses.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 02

Alibaba's 5-year outlook points to a fair value of $254-$318 in the market

“Deeply Undervalued Tech Giant” → Reflects Alibaba’s strong fundamentals, scale, and profitability, contrasted with its current price well below intrinsic estimates ($318 fair value, $254 risk-adjusted).
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 27

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Analysts have raised Alibaba’s price target from $165.48 to $179.82, citing accelerating AI cloud demand, robust cloud and e-commerce segment growth, and strengthening new initiatives as key drivers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising cloud revenue and capex forecasts in response to strong traffic and activity observed at Alibaba's Apsara Conference, alongside management’s expectations for a tenfold increase in data center capacity to serve accelerating AI cloud demand.
분석 기사 • Sep 24

Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Shares Climb 33% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Despite an already strong run, Alibaba Group Holding Limited ( NYSE:BABA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 12

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Analysts have raised Alibaba’s price target to $165.48, citing accelerating cloud and AI-driven revenue growth, improved execution and synergies in quick commerce, margin expansion, and diversification into new verticals, all underpinning stronger long-term fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite accelerating cloud revenue growth, particularly with robust AI-related and external revenue contributions, solidifying Alibaba’s position as China’s leading GenAI and cloud infrastructure provider.
분석 기사 • Jun 02

Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

The board of Alibaba Group Holding Limited ( NYSE:BABA ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of CN¥1.98...
User avatar
새 내러티브 • Jun 02

Alibaba's Fair Value may Suggests Growth Despite Trade and Regulatory Risks but...

Base FCF: $15B (normalized annual free cash flow)
분석 기사 • May 09

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Earnings Despite 27% Price Jump

Alibaba Group Holding Limited ( NYSE:BABA ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump...
새 내러티브 • May 01

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Key Takeaways Investment in AI, cloud, and quick commerce aims to drive long-term revenue and margin growth despite near-term profit pressure from elevated spending. Enhanced integration and partnerships are expanding Alibaba's enterprise footprint, boosting user engagement, and strengthening its competitive position in digital services.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 29

Alibaba Could Be In Trouble (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Alibaba's 2025 AI-driven share price surge is overshadowed by the mushrooming U.S. vs. China trade war, risking a Chinese recession and impacting financial results. Bearish technical indicators, like declining Accumulation/Distribution Line and Ease of Movement readings, suggest large investors are selling and buying interest is waning. The outside risk of a U.S. delisting further complicates BABA's outlook, making a Sell/Avoid rating prudent until clearer economic signals emerge. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Alibaba: The Tariff War Can Deliver Surprising Benefits

Summary Alibaba stock has seen major swings in YTD but it is still up by almost 30%. Alibaba could see tailwinds due to a better regulatory and fiscal environment as Chinese government tries to counter challenges due to tariffs. Rapid international expansion could increase the revenue share from outside China to over 40% by 2030, which should reduce geopolitical risks and increase the growth runway. Alibaba continues to develop AI tools at a rapid pace and Alibaba Cloud could corner a big chunk of the AI business within China. The Wall Street ratings for Alibaba continue to be very strong and the stock is trading at only 10.7 times the earnings estimate for fiscal year ending Mar 2026. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Delisting Deja Vu: Tariffs Are Putting Alibaba's Valuation At Risk Again

Summary The escalating U.S.-China tariff standoff, which has pushed reciprocal levies to an unprecedented 145%, poses immediate and material risks to Alibaba's growth and earnings outlook. Beyond the fundamentals, non-quantifiable risks are re-emerging, including the specter of being delisted from the NYSE - a threat thought to be resolved, but now back in focus. The combination threatens both fundamental deterioration and risk premium expansion, which could further compress Alibaba's valuation prospects from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

Alibaba: I Was Wrong About Tariffs And AI (Rating Upgrade)

Summary I am upgrading Alibaba stock from sell to buy due to its strong appreciation and reevaluation of trade war and AI market challenges. Despite initial concerns, Alibaba's AI and cloud investments, along with China's protective stance, present significant growth opportunities in the domestic market. Alibaba's latest earnings exceeded expectations, with notable growth in cloud and digital commerce, driven by AI-related products. Financially, Alibaba boasts the highest EBITDA and net income margins among peers, with a PEG ratio suggesting a 35% upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 05

Alibaba's Bullish Momentum Could Accelerate

Summary Alibaba stock has shown a strong bullish momentum in YTD as many other big tech companies in US falter. The new AI tools launched by Alibaba might be impressive, but the real impact will be when they are adequately monetized on Alibaba’s platform. The Cloud segment has reported 33% YoY growth in EBITA with annualized EBITDA of over $1.5 billion, but there is still room for more margin expansion in this segment. The international segment showed 32% YoY growth and its revenue share is 14%, which increases the geographic diversification of the company. Alibaba is expected to deliver 12%-14% EPS growth in the next two fiscal years, which is quite good when we look at the modest forward PE multiple of 11.6 for fiscal year ending Mar 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

Alibaba's Time Is Finally Here

Summary Alibaba's Q3 FY 2025 earnings exceeded expectations, with net income of 48.945 billion yuan and operating income margins reaching 16.91%, indicating strong financial performance. The Cloud Intelligence Group and AI segment saw significant growth, driven by continually increasing AI adoption in China, positioning Alibaba to benefit from this trend. Alibaba's international segment (AIDC) continues to be a key driver of revenue growth. It is likely to turn profitable in two quarters, from an adjusted EBITDA margin of -13%. Valuation analysis suggests Alibaba is undervalued, with a potential upside of 18% to 20%, supported by historical and comparative metrics, and technical analysis indicates a breakout. I recommend a strong buy for Alibaba with a price target of $153, expecting the stock to reach this within 6-9 months, driven by AI and cloud investments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 20

Alibaba Stock: The Rally Has Just Begun

Summary Alibaba's Q3 earnings show an 8% YoY sales growth and a significant 83% YoY EBIT margin increase, driving a 17% stock price rise. Strong performance in AIDC (+32% YoY) and Cloud Intelligence (+13% YoY) segments, with AI-related products showing triple-digit growth for six consecutive quarters. Despite a 31% YoY drop in FCF due to high CapEx, Alibaba repurchased ~$1.3 billion in shares, indicating confidence in future growth. Alibaba's recently published Q3 earnings further support my previous upgrade to "Buy": BABA is turning itself around now the way I see it. Risks include geopolitical tensions and potential overvaluation, but I maintain a "Buy" rating with a price target of $183.4/share, expecting a 37.4% upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 13

Alibaba Stock Is Breaking Out (Technical Analysis)

Summary Alibaba Group Holding Limited stock is staging another attempt to overtake the $120 level. I see good reasons – both technical and fundamental – for it to succeed this time and thus open up more room for further upward movements. Consensus anticipates strong sequential growth in the upcoming earnings report (scheduled on Feb. 20), which can be an immediate catalyst. BABA stock's low valuation, with a FWD P/E ratio of ~13.7 and a PEG ratio close to 1x, further skews the risk/reward profile. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 06

Alibaba Said Its AI Outperformed DeepSeek: This Is Why The Stock Is A Buy

Summary DeepSeek's AI model claims led to significant stock drops for Microsoft and Nvidia, while Alibaba's shares rose due to its AI advancements and Qwen 2.5 model. Alibaba's long-term AI investments, including generative AI tools for e-commerce, position it for growth in cloud services and global expansion. Alibaba's financials show promising growth, with expected EPS increase and attractive valuation metrics, suggesting significant upside potential for the stock. Risks include U.S.-China tariff wars and regulatory challenges in China, but AI integration could drive long-term revenue growth, making BABA a compelling buy-and-hold opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Alibaba: The AI Race With DeepSeek Is Heating Up

Summary Alibaba Group Holding Limited's new AI model Qwen 2.5-VL claims to outperform ChatGPT, Llama, and DeepSeek, potentially boosting Alibaba Cloud's growth prospects and market share. Alibaba officially entered the AI arms race with the release of Qwen 2.5-VL and is set to deploy its AI model in its Cloud operations. The Chinese e-Commerce giant's Cloud business, which generated $4.2B in revenue in the September quarter, could see accelerated growth with the launch of Qwen 2.5-VL. BABA stock's low valuation, strong free cash flow, and potential benefits from Beijing's stimulus package make it an attractive investment. Risks include the sluggish Chinese economy and slow growth in Alibaba's domestic e-Commerce business, but strong AI developments could offset these concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 20

Alibaba: Think Twice Before Buying The Dip

Summary Alibaba remains a 'Strong Sell' due to expected fundamental headwinds through 2025, competitive pressures, and geopolitical uncertainties limiting international expansion. Alibaba's market share in Chinese e-commerce is under pressure from competitors like Pinduoduo and Douyin, and the weakening yuan poses additional risks. Valuation analysis shows Alibaba is fairly valued with no upside potential, and Wall Street's optimistic targets may be unrealistic. Despite investments in AI and cloud computing, Alibaba faces fierce competition, making it challenging to maintain its competitive edge. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 13

Alibaba Should Keep Its Turnaround In 2025

Summary I reiterate my "Buy" rating on Alibaba stock, expecting a turnaround wave in 2025 driven by strategic investments and AI advancements. Despite recent drawdowns, Alibaba's solid financials, strategic monetization, and international growth present a compelling risk-to-reward for long-term investors. Key growth areas include e-commerce, cloud computing, and international trading, with significant potential in AI-powered tools and services. Assuming that BABA's fair shareholder yield drops to just 8%, all else being equal, the stock should rise to ~$133.9/share, which is a 60% upside potential from today's levels. Alibaba's strong balance sheet and aggressive share buyback program offer a shareholder yield of nearly 13%, enhancing its attractiveness. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 05

Alibaba: Shedding Sun Art To Illuminate E-Commerce

Summary Alibaba sold its 73.66% stake in Sun Art to DCP Capital for US$1.6bn, reflecting a shift away from its New Retail strategy. The sale is positive as Sun Art faces a competitive offline retail market and Alibaba is focusing on its Freshippo brand. Alibaba's disposal strategy includes potential sales of non-core assets like Youku and Alibaba Pictures to concentrate on e-commerce and global expansion. Despite the asset sale, the broader consumption downgrade in China favors retail cost leaders, maintaining a cautious view on Alibaba's stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 26

Alibaba Group Mirrors A Slowing China: Not The Growth Engine It Once Was

Summary Alibaba, a $200 billion Chinese ecommerce and tech conglomerate, sees growth challenges due to China's slowing economy and market saturation. China's sluggish consumer spending and structural economic issues have affected Alibaba, though government stimulus and AI investments offer potential. Alibaba's focus has shifted from aggressive growth to operational efficiency, emphasizing core business and international expansion. With over $55 billion in cash and manageable debt, Alibaba is financially resilient, supporting growth initiatives and shareholder returns. Alibaba's fair valuation and moderate growth prospects suggest no strong buy or sell opportunity, leading to a "hold" recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 20

Alibaba: A Giant In Transition

Summary Alibaba's core business turns stable with record monthly active users and 46M loyal VIP members. Political risk is at the lowest point since COVID; reduced market share ironically helps by easing monopoly concerns, while platform opening initiatives like WeChat Pay integration show alignment with government priorities. Cloud and AI are showing strong momentum since COVID—triple-digit growth in AI products, with open-source strategy building ecosystem advantage and the Qwen 2.5 model outperforming Meta's Llama 3. Trading at a significant discount to peers even with a 50% China discount, while loss-making segments are expected to turn profitable within 1–2 years and international commerce is growing 29% YoY. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 11

Alibaba: Don't Be Fooled By The Naysayers

Summary Alibaba’s recent earnings result failed to excite Wall Street, but it showed strong positive trends, which can deliver bullish sentiment in the next few quarters. The cloud business has reported good margin improvement while also showing 7% YoY revenue growth. There is still a massive margin gap between Amazon’s AWS and Alibaba’s cloud business, which should allow further margin improvement. Alibaba purchased 2.1% of outstanding shares in a single quarter while also giving a healthy 2.25% dividend yield. The ultra-hawkish foreign policy of the next Trump presidency could be a tailwind for Alibaba similar to the first term as geopolitical uncertainty is reduced. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 01

Alibaba: A Bold Move Amid Mounting Challenges

Summary Alibaba's restructuring consolidates domestic and international e-commerce under Jiang Fan, aiming to reverse market share losses in China's mature e-commerce market. Jiang Fan's success with AIDC doesn't guarantee a turnaround for Taobao Tmall Group due to different market dynamics and competitive pressures. Concerns exist about Jiang managing both TTG and AIDC, risking underperformance in both units amid fierce competition from PDD, TikTok, and Amazon. We remain cautious on BABA, recommending higher-growth stocks like PDD, given China's lack of consumption-oriented catalysts and policies. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 25

Alibaba: Ongoing Restructuring Is A Positive, But Not Enough

Summary Alibaba's restructuring continues with the formation of the Alibaba E-commerce Business Group, which will be led by Fan Jiang, which looks entirely in line with the company's focus. Despite restructuring efforts since last year, though, Alibaba's financials remain weak, with Q2 FY25 showing minimal revenue growth and declining adjusted EBITA. Market multiples are improving, however, with BABA's TTM P/E ratio dropping significantly, making the stock potentially more attractive if the trend continues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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새 내러티브 • Nov 24

AI-Driven Cloud Expansion Enhances Revenue And Boosts Long-Term Profitability

Strategic investments in AI, cloud, and user acquisition partnerships are expected to drive strong revenue growth and improve long-term margins.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 18

Alibaba: The Market's Concerns Are Justified, And Here's Why

Summary Once a dominant tech giant, Alibaba Group struggles with a stagnating business and lacks clear growth engines, all while political risk remains ever-present and management has no ideas beyond share repurchases. Alibaba’s revenue and operating income have grown just 5% year-over-year, with key platforms like Taobao and Tmall continuing to underperform severely. Alibaba Cloud is growing at just 7%, well below the industry average and AWS’s 18%. I believe geopolitical tensions are deterring private customers from choosing a Chinese player. The International Digital Commerce Group, while growing at 29%, remains unprofitable and contributes less than 10% of revenue, facing stiff competition from platforms like Temu and Amazon’s Haul. Despite spending over $4 billion on share repurchases last quarter and more accommodating monetary policy in China, BABA stock price remains roughly at 2014 levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 11

Alibaba Could Be A Surprise Winner As New Tailwinds Emerge

Summary Alibaba’s upcoming earnings will reveal the ability of the company to diversify its revenue base and move away from the core China e-commerce segment. Cloud and International commerce will be the key segment to look out for in the next earnings season as we see silver linings in the operations. Alibaba’s International segment already contributes 12% of the consolidated revenue, and this should increase to 25% by the end of 2027. Regulatory challenges have decreased considerably, and new fiscal support should provide a good tailwind to Alibaba in the near term. Alibaba stock is still one of the cheapest options, with a forward PE ratio of less than 10 and a strong moat. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 22

Alibaba: Time To Bail Out

Summary I sold my Alibaba Group Holdings stock after a 50% rise, driven by Beijing's stimulus measures, which I believe won't have long-term benefits for consumers. The stimulus program focuses on the financial sector and property market, risking speculation rather than boosting consumer spending, which Alibaba relies on. Alibaba's stock surged past key moving averages but has since shown bearish signals; I closed my position due to the overbought condition and high valuation. Despite my long-term bullish view, I see limited immediate benefits for Alibaba from the stimulus and will consider reentering at a lower price range. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 11

Alibaba: The Early Stage Of Returning Bullish Sentiment?

Summary Alibaba - like many other Chinese stocks - saw its stock price jump, but the reason cannot really be found in the quarterly results. The reason is rather a sentiment shift, and Alibaba is a perfect example of a stock that was driven down by sentiment extremes and might now reverse. Alibaba is still deeply undervalued, and in my opinion, one of the best long-term investments. However, in the next few months, a correction is not unlikely. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 03

Alibaba Stock: Time To Temper Your Enthusiasm

Summary I remain skeptical about long-term investment in Alibaba due to concerns over macroeconomic issues and end-market competition, despite recent stock gains. The recent rally in Alibaba seems to be driven by government economic stimuli rather than company-specific financial improvements. Alibaba's financial performance shows mixed results with declining core retail sales and net income. Growth in the cloud looks insufficient, while the international commerce segment is certainly expanding well. Given the overbought Chinese market and persistent macroeconomic challenges, I believe Alibaba's growth potential is now fully exhausted, anticipating a significant correction. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 27

Alibaba's Savior Is Not Chinese Stimulus, But An Impending Global AI Partnership

Summary China's recent stimulus package has been a saving grace for depressed valuations in big Chinese tech firms. Yet uncertainties remain on the gains' durability, and at this time they've been relinquished. However, we believe Alibaba's recent upsurge, driven primarily by economic stimulus pervasively applicable to its Chinese peers, continues to underappreciate impending company-specific catalysts. The market's elevated interest in China's recent macroeconomic developments has essentially overshadowed Alibaba's recent slew of global partnerships forged — including the one with AI darling Nvidia. The latest developments, which follow the recent completion of Alibaba's antitrust probe, could potentially be paving the way to a larger AI partnership on the global scale that remains overlooked. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 20

Alibaba: Winning The AI Arms Race In China

Summary Alibaba's stock has gained momentum in recent weeks and currently trading at a 52-week-high. The company is launching several artificial intelligence applications through its updated Qwen2.5 large language model as a new growth driver. We like the stock for its compelling value within the tech-sector and improving earnings outlook. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 12

Alibaba: Ready To Take Off

Summary Alibaba's stock is significantly undervalued, with a 247% potential upside, driven by strong fundamentals and commitment to innovation, particularly in AI. The company is enhancing its ecosystem through partnerships, including with Mastercard and Tencent's WeChat, and investing heavily in AI capabilities. Alibaba's robust financial position, with nearly $30 billion in net debt, provides ample resources for growth and innovation. Despite geopolitical and competition risks, Wall Street analysts are optimistic, with recent positive trends in China's PMI supporting a healthy economic environment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 05

Alibaba: Riding The Wave Of A Strengthening Macroeconomic Environment

Summary Alibaba has outperformed the broader U.S. market since June 5, delivering a 6.7% total return. Despite a 12.9% decline over the last twelve months, Alibaba is up 6.4% YTD, outperforming the iShares MSCI China ETF. Valuation ratios indicate substantial undervaluation, with current multiples significantly below historical averages. My DCF simulation, using an aggressive WACC and conservative revenue growth assumptions, underscores substantial undervaluation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:BABA - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (CNY Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
3/31/20291,417,280150,632N/A284,0873
3/31/20281,275,654130,78499,772228,06733
3/31/20271,148,102104,25758,872186,71647
3/31/20261,032,30093,41154,110160,26448
12/31/20251,016,74492,8108,35194,323N/A
9/30/20251,012,055125,4332,642129,206N/A
6/30/20251,000,763148,31725,897150,545N/A
3/31/2025996,347129,47077,537163,509N/A
12/31/2024981,767120,35865,040159,329N/A
9/30/2024961,96185,846102,693153,130N/A
6/30/2024950,24869,678137,994170,923N/A
3/31/2024941,16879,741149,664182,593N/A
12/31/2023927,49499,987156,302190,654N/A
9/30/2023914,902132,369166,879213,308N/A
6/30/2023897,28884,102176,837211,189N/A
3/31/2023868,68772,509165,400199,752N/A
12/31/2022864,53932,752107,987161,311N/A
9/30/2022859,36313,629100,983154,307N/A
6/30/2022852,87739,55789,701143,025N/A
3/31/2022853,06261,95989,435142,759N/A
12/31/2021836,40572,721131,166173,982N/A
9/30/2021814,909124,456154,008196,824N/A
6/30/2021769,278147,858172,474215,290N/A
3/31/2021717,289150,308188,970231,786N/A
12/31/2020644,208158,949177,029209,767N/A
9/30/2020584,580131,831170,326203,064N/A
6/30/2020548,538175,602163,356196,094N/A
3/31/2020509,711149,263147,869180,607N/A
12/31/2019488,895171,931147,353196,996N/A
9/30/2019444,717152,674N/A165,389N/A
6/30/2019410,848100,167N/A149,470N/A
3/31/2019376,84487,600N/A150,975N/A
12/31/2018345,27869,331N/A146,805N/A
9/30/2018311,02860,352N/A136,949N/A
6/30/2018281,00257,987N/A136,049N/A
3/31/2018250,26663,985N/A125,805N/A
12/31/2017226,91367,071N/A122,168N/A
9/30/2017197,13360,853N/A104,542N/A
6/30/2017176,30350,808N/A91,241N/A
3/31/2017158,27343,675N/A82,854N/A
12/31/2016143,87838,393N/A74,662N/A
9/30/2016125,17333,036N/A63,476N/A
6/30/2016113,05248,167N/A61,394N/A
3/31/2016101,14371,460N/A56,836N/A
12/31/201594,38468,988N/A57,521N/A
9/30/201586,02062,426N/A50,699N/A
6/30/201580,67842,648N/A41,440N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: BABA 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(13.7%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: BABA 의 연간 수익(13.7%)이 US 시장(16.4%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: BABA 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: BABA 의 수익(연간 9.6%)이 US 시장(연간 11.4%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: BABA 의 수익(연간 9.6%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: BABA의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 10%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/07 04:07
종가2026/05/07 00:00
수익2025/12/31
연간 수익2025/03/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

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분석가 소스

Alibaba Group Holding Limited는 93명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 47명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Tianli WenAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Zixiao YangArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company