Markel Group Inc.

NYSE:MKL 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$22.7b

Markel Group 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

Markel Group (는) 각각 연간 3.9% 및 3.8% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 10.2% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 9.1% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

3.9%

이익 성장률

10.21%

EPS 성장률

Insurance 이익 성장2.0%
매출 성장률3.8%
향후 자기자본이익률9.13%
애널리스트 커버리지

Low

마지막 업데이트30 Apr 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 28

MKL: Future Outlook Will Weigh Neutral Rating Governance Changes And Ongoing Buybacks

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Markel Group to $2,069, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, and long term profit assumptions following recent research, including a resumed Neutral rating at Brean Capital and a $100 price target revision at Truist. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the updated US$2,069 price target and recent US$100 upward revision as better aligned with their view of Markel Group's fair value, given current assumptions on profitability and risk.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 13

MKL: Future Outlook Will Weigh Buybacks Neutral Stance And Steady Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their Markel Group price target by about $16 to reflect slightly updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, following recent research that includes a resumed Neutral rating and a separate $100 price target adjustment. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Markel Group highlights a mix of optimism and caution, with one set of analysts resuming coverage at Neutral and another adjusting the price target by about $100 based on updated assumptions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 29

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Buybacks And Stable Earnings Expectations

Analysts have nudged their fair value target for Markel Group up by about $14 to $2,085, citing updated expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower future P/E multiple, and recent Street research that includes a resumed Neutral rating and a $100 price target adjustment. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the resumed Neutral coverage as a sign that Markel Group remains investable, with fundamentals viewed as sufficiently stable to support updated fair value work.
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 11

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Buybacks And Stable Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have increased their price target on Markel Group by $100, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which they say support a fair value estimate of $2,071.75. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models around Markel Group are framing the new $2,071.75 fair value estimate in terms of how realistic the revised revenue, margin, and P/E assumptions look over time.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 22

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Buybacks And Refined Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price target on Markel Group by $100 to $2,071.75, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that collectively support a slightly higher valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts argue that the refreshed fair value work supports the higher price target, with updated assumptions across revenue, margins and P/E bringing their framework closer to current market conditions.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 08

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Buybacks And Steady Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Markel Group higher from US$2,041.40 to US$2,064.25, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of US$2,064.25 as consistent with refreshed assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Completed Buybacks And Stable Earnings Assumptions

Analysts now see fair value for Markel Group at about $2,041 per share, roughly $10 lower than before. This reflects slightly different views on revenue growth, profit margins and the forward P/E that feed into their updated price target work.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Steady Buybacks And Stable Earnings Assumptions

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Markel Group at about $2,051, with only very small tweaks to the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. This reflects largely unchanged views on the stock’s risk and earnings power.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 02

Markel Group: Unboxing Markel Ventures Confirms Investment Skill

Summary Markel Group (MKL) earns a 'Strong Buy' rating, driven by attractive valuation, improved disclosures, and robust capital allocation discipline. MKL’s new segment reporting enhances transparency, allowing investors to track insurance ROE and segment-level returns on capital, mirroring some of Berkshire Hathaway’s best practices. Insurance segment ROE averaged 12%, while Industrial, Consumer & Other, and Financial segments posted strong tangible capital returns of 25%, 22%, and 58%, respectively. Shares trade at a +25% margin of safety to intrinsic value estimates, with ongoing restructuring and disciplined share repurchases supporting long-term compounding potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 24

MKL: Future Outlook Will Reflect Buybacks And 2025–2026 Earnings Estimates

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Markel Group, with updated models incorporating 2025 and 2026 estimates supporting a move from approximately $2,051 to about $2,107 per share. Analyst Commentary Analysts characterize the latest target increase as a valuation catch up to improved earnings visibility rather than a shift to a more constructive stance on the stock.
내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 10

MKL: Medium-Term Outlook Will Reflect Buybacks And 2025–2026 Earnings Visibility

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Markel Group, raising it by approximately $270 to around $2,100 per share. Updated 2025 and 2026 estimates support a slightly higher valuation outlook.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 26

MKL: Medium-Term Performance Will Reflect Buybacks and Revised 2025 Outlook Updates

Narrative Update on Markel Group Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Markel Group by $40, citing stronger revenue growth forecasts and recent model updates for 2025 and 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to updated forecasts that show robust revenue growth through 2025 and 2026, emphasizing the company’s expanding market reach.
내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 05

MKL: Future Revenue Expectations And Buybacks Will Shape Medium-Term Performance

Analysts have increased their price target for Markel Group from $1,836 to $2,107, citing stronger expected revenue growth as well as updated forecasts for 2025 and 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst discussions have centered on Markel Group's updated financial outlook and the implications for its valuation.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 22

Analysts Lift Markel Group Price Target Amid Confident Outlook and Ongoing Share Buybacks

Analysts have raised their price target for Markel Group from $1,985.40 to $2,009.40, citing updated models with new revenue growth and profit margin estimates for the coming years. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have increased price targets in response to stronger revenue growth and improved profit margin projections in updated financial models.
내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 08

Decentralized Operations And Digital Transformation Will Improve Specialty Insurance Outcomes

Narrative Update on Markel Group Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Markel Group from $1,931.20 to $1,985.40. This change reflects updates to forward assumptions and continued model revisions that account for revised future estimates.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04

Decentralized Operations And Digital Transformation Will Improve Specialty Insurance Outcomes

As both consensus revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts for Markel Group remain steady, analysts have left their price target unchanged at $1931. What's in the News Repurchased 49,140 shares (0.39%) for $90.45 million in Q2 2025, completing repurchase of 194,494 shares (1.52%) for $351.23 million under the current buyback program.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 20

Markel Group: Positive Change In Insurance Leadership

Summary I view the appointment of Simon Wilson as CEO of Markel Insurance as highly positive. Share buybacks will keep increasing due to the option to redeem the preferred shares at $1,000 per share on June 1st. The value of the insurance business and Markel Ventures separately exceeds its current market cap, but a spin-off would not be positive over the long term. The long-term debt is rolled over at higher rates, increasing Markel's investment income. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

Markel: Why You Should Consider Buying This Stock In 2025

Summary I rate Markel as a 'buy' due to its strong business model combining insurance, investments, and ventures, similar to Berkshire Hathaway. Markel stands out as a well-diversified insurance company with a robust business model. The company benefits from exceptional management, driving consistent performance and growth. Its long-term strategic focus positions it for sustained success in the insurance industry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 30

Markel: Still A Hold

Summary Despite strong recent performance, I maintain a "Hold" rating on Markel due to potential challenges in both its insurance and investment segments. Markel's Q3/24 results were exceptional, with a 36.6% YoY revenue increase and a significant jump in operating income and EPS. The investment business showed substantial gains, but fluctuating investment results make metrics like P/E ratio less reliable for valuation. Despite low valuation multiples, I remain cautious about financial businesses like Markel facing potential headwinds in the coming years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 14

Markel Stock: High-Quality At A Discount

Summary Markel stock trades at a significant discount to peers, despite strong investment income and improved underwriting, making it an attractive entry point for investors. The company’s investment portfolio, worth ~$30 billion, and Markel Ventures, valued at $6 billion, provide a substantial margin of safety. Markel has compounded book value at 11% annually and is expected to continue growing at low double-digit rates, despite earnings volatility. Investors with a long-term horizon should consider Markel for its low-risk growth potential and attractive risk-return tradeoff. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25

Markel: Remains A Long Term Buy

Summary Markel has a strong 30+ year track record but faced recent growth challenges due to natural catastrophes, economic inflation, and poor acquisitions. Despite setbacks, Markel's integrity and strategic actions have led to improving fundamentals, with book value growing annually and a promising future outlook. Growth re-acceleration is expected through insurance premium growth, profitability improvements, Ventures acquisitions, and sustained high-interest income from the insurance float. Risks include longer tail insurance losses and executive turnover, but strong leadership and strategic measures mitigate these concerns, making Markel a long-term attractive stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 22

Markel Group's Q2: Nearly A Century Of Growth Facing Modern Headwinds

Summary Markel Group Inc., a diversified holding company, operates in insurance, investments, and Markel Ventures. Recent financial performance has been lackluster, with lower-than-expected earnings and revenue. Despite solid long-term growth, Markel faces challenges such as underperformance in EBITDA and cash flow, leading to a “Hold” rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 02

Markel Group: Higher-For-Longer Interest Rates Are Increasing Profitability

Summary Markel Group stock is up 15.6% in 2024, on track to meet the projected 24% increase for the full year. The Q1 results show positive performance in insurance, investments, and Markel Ventures. Markel accelerated its share buyback program, nearly doubling its purchases to $161 million and reducing the share count by 2.3% year-over-year. As interest rates remain high, Markel's float becomes more valuable, benefiting from increased yields. Despite the recent price increase, I still consider Markel's shares to be undervalued. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 05

Markel: Buybacks Are A Good Sign

Summary Markel Group Inc.'s insurance engine struggled in 2023, but the Markel Ventures engine and the investment engine are performing well. Markel has been actively buying back shares, indicating management's confidence in the company's three engines. The valuation framework attempts to align with CEO Tom Gayner's approach in broad strokes. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 16

Markel: Listening To Warren Buffett And Being Cautious

Summary Markel reported full year results for fiscal 2023 and while investing and ventures performed solid, the insurance business disappointed. Berkshire Hathaway sold its position in Markel in Q4/23 and this might underline Buffett being cautious about the stock market. The stock appears still undervalued but considering potential risks on the horizon, I would be cautious as well. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 05

Markel: I Still See Value In The Long Term

Summary Markel's success is attributed to its powerful insurance engine, which generates "free capital" for investments. The insurance segment is crucial for sustaining this capital, as customers' premiums fund future investments. Markel's niche-oriented insurance offerings and focus on customer experience contribute to its low price elasticity and customer churn. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 22

Markel Group: Soaring Investment Income And Value

Summary Markel Group operates a unique business model, retaining all earnings and investing in higher-yielding assets like stocks to compound shareholders' capital. The insurance operations of Markel are of good quality, with rapid growth in premiums and underwriting profits. Insurance earnings can then be redeployed to other asset classes. Markel has the potential to generate above-average book value growth by matching strong fixed-income returns with profitable investments in equity markets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 06

Markel: A Hiccup In The Insurance Engine, I'm Still Holding

Summary Markel's Q3 earnings report showed worse than expected insurance results, causing the stock to drop over 12%. The Insurance segment, historically the best performing segment, experienced a slowdown in growth due to divergent pricing trends and discontinuation of a program. Despite the challenges, Markel's expertise, discipline, and ability to access multiple insurance platforms position it for long-term profitability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 24

Markel Group: Outstanding Business For 2024 And Beyond

Summary Markel's fixed-income portfolio is profiting from higher interest rates, with recurring interest and dividend income growing 70% during Q3. Despite already holding over 70 times his base salary in Markel shares, CEO Tom Gayner has continued to acquire shares in the open market. The stock is trading in its low valuation range from both a book value and net income perspective. I expect Markel to outperform the market with a 24% stock price increase in 2024 and an 18% CAGR over five years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:MKL - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/202817,3682,094N/A1,6202
12/31/202716,0451,882N/A1,7755
12/31/202615,5271,669N/A1,4435
3/31/202616,0131,7462,1882,401N/A
12/31/202516,5892,1402,5542,761N/A
9/30/202516,2101,8122,3752,593N/A
6/30/202516,4542,0042,0482,265N/A
3/31/202515,5531,7622,1162,340N/A
12/31/202416,6212,5992,3392,594N/A
9/30/202417,4223,0122,6382,923N/A
6/30/202416,1862,1062,6792,987N/A
3/31/202416,6272,4572,8403,133N/A
12/31/202315,8041,9662,5282,787N/A
9/30/202315,3721,8822,5932,793N/A
6/30/202315,0631,8822,5732,797N/A
3/31/202312,7122692,3392,579N/A
12/31/202211,675-3222,4552,709N/A
9/30/202211,223-1302,2582,532N/A
6/30/202210,844362,1822,382N/A
3/31/202212,5521,7662,2052,371N/A
12/31/202112,8462,4342,1292,274N/A
9/30/202112,4442,3981,9892,098N/A
6/30/202112,6682,6191,9562,062N/A
3/31/202112,3002,7401,8881,990N/A
12/31/20209,7357691,6361,738N/A
9/30/20208,9614511,7231,824N/A
6/30/20208,0822151,3891,514N/A
3/31/20207,389-1931,1931,321N/A
12/31/20199,5261,792N/A1,274N/A
9/30/20197,988539N/A842N/A
6/30/20198,190743N/A834N/A
3/31/20197,738521N/A854N/A
12/31/20186,841-133N/A893N/A
9/30/20187,4611,041N/A1,023N/A
6/30/20186,731382N/A928N/A
3/31/20186,225248N/A904N/A
12/31/20176,062362N/A859N/A
9/30/20175,82865N/A809N/A
6/30/20175,753406N/A702N/A
3/31/20175,648338N/A651N/A
12/31/20165,612440N/A535N/A
9/30/20165,604511N/A425N/A
6/30/20165,515536N/A483N/A
3/31/20165,444554N/A524N/A
12/31/20155,370587N/A651N/A
9/30/20155,285501N/A731N/A
6/30/20155,242472N/A718N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: MKL 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(3.9%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: MKL 의 연간 수익(3.9%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: MKL 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: MKL 의 수익(연간 3.8%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: MKL 의 수익(연간 3.8%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: MKL의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 9.1%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/11 13:59
종가2026/05/11 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

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분석가 소스

Markel Group Inc.는 15명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 5명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Jay CohenBofA Global Research
Robert FarnamBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)