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ModivCare Inc.OTCPK:MODV.Q 주식 보고서

시가총액 US$216.0k
주가
US$0.015
US$2.75
99.5% 저평가 내재 할인율
1Y-99.9%
7D-50.0%
1D
포트폴리오 가치
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ModivCare Inc.

OTCPK:MODV.Q 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$216.0k

This company listing is no longer active

This company may still be operating, however this listing is no longer active. Find out why through their latest events.

ModivCare (MODV.Q) 주식 개요

는 기술 기반 의료 서비스 회사로, 미국의 공공 및 민간 보험사와 그 가입자를 위한 통합 지원 케어 솔루션 제품군을 제공합니다. 자세히 보기

MODV.Q 펀더멘털 분석
스노우플레이크 점수
가치 평가2/6
미래 성장0/6
과거 실적0/6
재무 건전성1/6
배당0/6

MODV.Q Community Fair Values

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ModivCare Inc. 경쟁사

가격 이력 및 성과

ModivCare 주가의 최고가, 최저가 및 변동 요약
과거 주가
현재 주가US$0.015
52주 최고가US$12.76
52주 최저가US$0.0001
베타-0.13
1개월 변동50.00%
3개월 변동-92.11%
1년 변동-99.87%
3년 변동-99.98%
5년 변동-99.99%
IPO 이후 변동-99.89%

최근 뉴스 및 업데이트

Recent updates

분석 기사 Jun 11

ModivCare Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MODV) CEO Might Not Expect Shareholders To Be So Generous This Year

Key Insights ModivCare to hold its Annual General Meeting on 17th of June Salary of US$792.9k is part of CEO L...
User avatar
새로운 내러티브 Apr 07

Tech-enabled Platforms And Fee-For-Service Will Transform Operations

Leveraging technology platforms and strategic divestitures aim to enhance revenue, optimize capital structure, and boost earnings.
Seeking Alpha Dec 02

ModivCare: A Complicated Tale

Summary ModivCare's stock has plummeted due to issues with Matrix Medical and delays in contract receivable collections, despite stable core business segments. Management's revised FY24 Adj. EBITDA guidance and recent covenant relief negotiations highlight financial instability, yet analysts remain cautiously optimistic. An updated analysis around ModivCare follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Aug 31

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By ModivCare Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MODV) Revenues Despite 26% Price Jump

ModivCare Inc. ( NASDAQ:MODV ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...
분석 기사 Jul 11

Is ModivCare (NASDAQ:MODV) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
분석 기사 Apr 04

ModivCare Inc. (NASDAQ:MODV) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

To the annoyance of some shareholders, ModivCare Inc. ( NASDAQ:MODV ) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last...
분석 기사 Feb 29

ModivCare Inc. (NASDAQ:MODV) Just Reported Earnings, And Analysts Cut Their Target Price

Shareholders in ModivCare Inc. ( NASDAQ:MODV ) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 37% to US$28.61 in the week since...
분석 기사 Feb 22

ModivCare (NASDAQ:MODV) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
분석 기사 Jan 25

Sentiment Still Eluding ModivCare Inc. (NASDAQ:MODV)

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x ModivCare Inc. ( NASDAQ:MODV ) is a stock worth...
분석 기사 Nov 08

Is ModivCare (NASDAQ:MODV) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
분석 기사 Aug 03

Here's Why ModivCare (NASDAQ:MODV) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
분석 기사 Apr 17

Is ModivCare (NASDAQ:MODV) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
분석 기사 Feb 24

Is There An Opportunity With ModivCare Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MODV) 49% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, ModivCare fair value estimate is US$206 ModivCare's US$104...
분석 기사 Oct 12

Does ModivCare (NASDAQ:MODV) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Seeking Alpha Sep 02

ModivCare: ROIC And Continuing Value Are Narrowing - Rating It A Hold

Summary Here we took a hard-data approach to examine the investment and continuing value for ModivCare, Inc. We note the company displays a loose affinity to the kind of equity premia we are chasing exposure to. Return on investment and bottom-line earnings have tightened in recent periods for MODV – an unhealthy combo. We see that shares are overpriced even at 0.75x book value and demonstrate there's a lack of compelling value on offer. We rate MODV a hold on a $103 valuation. Investment summary An understanding of a company's value proposition is paramount in making the most informed investment decisions. It is our philosophy to separate measures of corporate value into two segments - investment and earnings - to gauge exactly what we're buying, what's on offer, and if it's worth the cost. Here we examined ModivCare Inc. (MODV) in this same light and found there to be a lack of compelling value on offer. AS FCF yields and return on investment have dwindled in recent periods, and forward-looking estimates narrowing as well, valuations are no longer supportive of the long-term buy thesis. We rate MODV a hold on a $103 valuation. Exhibit 1. MODV 6-month price action MODV has participated in the June relief rally but blown off the peal with a double-top that saw shares rejected at the c.$120-$122 mark. Data: Refinitiv Eikon Whilst revenues climb, FCF yield has dwindled Quarterly operating revenues have continued to bulk up since FY19 on a sequential basis, as seen in Exhibit 2. For instance, Q2 FY22 service revenue came in at $628 million ["mm'] for the year, a year-on-year growth schedule of 32%. The non-emergency medical transportation ("NEMT") segment gained 23% YoY and contributed $449mm to the top line. Growth was underscored by a more favourable revenue mix. This comprised a ~14% YoY gain in average monthly members, a ~500bps increase in revenue per trip and an 18% increase in trip volume. Meanwhile, personal care turnover was $163mm for the quarter and saw growth from $110 the year prior. Upside was driven by an additional ~$42.5mm in incremental revenue from the CareFinders acquisition. However, despite the upsides at the top-line, this hasn't carried through to the P&L on a GAAP or non-GAAP basis. We note that FCF margin has been thinning since FY20, after a large change in net working capital [discussed below] alongside operating margin. Hence, the spread between top/bottom line is widening for MODV, and this weakens the fundamental momentum looking ahead. Note, investors currently realize a 3.4% FCF yield, in-line with FY19 levels but at a FY22 market capitalization. Exhibit 2. Thinning FCF margins and yield since FY20 on a sequential basis Data: HB Insights, MODV SEC Filings Keep in mind that the narrowing FCF margin/conversion would be preferred if the return on investment comfortably beat the WACC hurdle, and, if there is adequate capital available. Firstly, short-term obligations are poorly covered from liquid assets and cash at just 0.7x cover. Moreover, cash & equivalents has also narrowed from $290mm-$88mm in the last quarter. There may, therefore, be some drain and pull on liquidity with these measures. As seen in Exhibit 3, MODV's trailing 12-month ("TTM") FCF yield [a measure of corporate and shareholder value] has closely tracked its return on investment ("ROIC") on a sequential basis since FY18. As such, both have been declining since FY20, and therefore profitability is a concern for the company with this data in mind. Exhibit 3. Data: HB Insights Explaining the jump in FY18-FY19, is 367% QoQ change in net working capital ("NWC") in Q3-Q4 FY20. This saw net working capital [including cash] jump from $141mm to $674mm in one reporting period. Note, that a positive change in NWC generally equates to less FCF, and this is reflected precisely in Exhibit 4. Note that, following the large spike in NWC, both ROIC and FCF immediately began to reverse course. As a result, FCF yields and ROIC have continued to narrow on a sequential basis in each period subsequent to this event. Nevertheless, the large change in MODV's net operating assets [short-term accruals] is a key factor that has altered the company's return on capital cycle. Exhibit 4. FCF yield and return on investment both narrowing since large change in NWC ack in FY20 at the start of the pandemic Data: HB insights, MODV SEC Filings As seen in Exhibit 5, return on investment is now back below pre-pandemic levels, however, we are paying well above pre-pandemic market capitalization [and enterprise value]. Meanwhile, as the level of invested capital has increased over time, net operating profit after tax ("NOPAT") has been bottom heavy and turned course, thus clamping the rate of investment return for MODV. Exhibit 5. ROIC print is back at FY19 actuals although we are paying FY22 market capitalization Data: HB Insights, MODV SEC Filings Valuation In order to extract a figure of true corporate value, we first must reconcile a few items on the income statement and balance sheet. Goodwill in particular is of note. It arises due to the acquisition method of accounting, that is highly subjective. For instance, in its 10-Q, regarding the acquisition of CareFinders, the company notes re the $236.7mm goodwill asset on the transaction as follows: "The acquisition preliminarily resulted in $232.2 million of goodwill as a result of expected synergies due to future customers driven by expansion into different markets, an increase in market share, and a growing demographic that will need home care solutions. All of the acquired goodwill is deductible for tax purposes." Hence we adjust for $1.44 Billion of goodwill on the balance sheet and arrive at an adjusted shareholder equity of $236.9mm, down from a reported $381.9mm. That's the investment pile of MODV's valuation sorted. For earnings, we had to reconcile ~$30mm in non-cash expenses and stock based compensation and see it print $68mm in operating income and $52mm in NOPAT [$3.71 per share]. This resulted in an adjusted net income of ~$51mm and adjusted earnings of $3.63 per share - up from $0.20 reported. As seen in Exhibit 6, the reconciliations help earnings performance drastically. Exhibit 6. Reconciliation of GAAP measures - note, shareholder equity includes all recognized intangibles. Data: HB Investments US Equity Fund On these figures shares trade at 1.2 enterprise value ("EV) to book value, and ~0.75x price to book. On first glance, this represents compelling value. But does it? When we adjust for the above, at these multiples, we'd be paying an exorbitant $201 per share, and $124 even at 0.74x book value. Moreover, investor ROE is unattractive with a payback period of 15-21 years from current levels of FCF. Question is, is it worth paying an implied $124-$201 for what's on offer earnings wise?

주주 수익률

MODV.QUS HealthcareUS 시장
7D-50.0%-0.4%1.1%
1Y-99.9%16.3%28.7%

수익률 대 산업: MODV.Q은 지난 1년 동안 16.3%의 수익을 기록한 US Healthcare 산업보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

수익률 대 시장: MODV.Q은 지난 1년 동안 28.7%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

주가 변동성

Is MODV.Q's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MODV.Q volatility
MODV.Q Average Weekly Movement1,440.2%
Healthcare Industry Average Movement7.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

안정적인 주가: MODV.Q의 주가는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장보다 변동성이 컸습니다.

시간에 따른 변동성: MODV.Q의 주간 변동성은 지난 1년간 731%에서 1440%로 증가했습니다.

회사 소개

설립직원 수CEO웹사이트
199623,675L. Sampsonwww.modivcare.com

기술 기반 의료 서비스 회사인 모디브케어는 미국의 공공 및 민간 보험사와 그 가입자를 위한 통합 지원 케어 솔루션 제품군을 제공합니다. 이 회사는 네 가지 부문으로 운영됩니다: 비응급 의료 운송, 개인 관리 서비스, 모니터링, 기업 및 기타. 비응급 의료 운송 부문에서는 메디케이드 또는 메디케어 적격 가입자를 위한 위험 인수, 연락 센터 관리, 네트워크 인증, 청구 관리 및 비응급 의료 운송 관리 서비스를 제공합니다.

ModivCare Inc. 기초 지표 요약

ModivCare의 순이익과 매출은 시가총액과 어떻게 비교됩니까?
MODV.Q 기초 통계
시가총액US$216.02k
순이익 (TTM)-US$450.69m
매출 (TTM)US$2.69b
0.0x
주가매출비율(P/S)
0.0x
주가수익비율(P/E)

MODV.Q는 고평가되어 있습니까?

공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기

순이익 및 매출

최근 실적 보고서(TTM)의 주요 수익성 지표
MODV.Q 손익계산서 (TTM)
매출US$2.69b
매출원가US$2.31b
총이익US$387.33m
기타 비용US$838.02m
순이익-US$450.69m

최근 보고된 실적

Sep 30, 2025

다음 실적 발표일

해당 없음

주당순이익(EPS)-31.29
총이익률14.38%
순이익률-16.74%
부채/자본 비율0%

MODV.Q의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?

과거 실적 및 비교 보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2025/12/31 15:52
종가2025/12/29 00:00
수익2025/09/30
연간 수익2024/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

ModivCare Inc.는 7명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 0명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Robert LabickCJS Securities, Inc.
Miles HighsmithDeutsche Bank
Philip ChickeringDeutsche Bank