Exxon Mobil Corporation

NYSE:XOM 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$673.8b

Exxon Mobil 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

Exxon Mobil (는) 각각 연간 9.5% 및 2.2% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 12% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 15% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

9.5%

이익 성장률

12.02%

EPS 성장률

Oil and Gas 이익 성장11.3%
매출 성장률2.2%
향후 자기자본이익률15.04%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트18 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 Aug 06

Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Shareholders might have noticed that Exxon Mobil Corporation ( NYSE:XOM ) filed its second-quarter result this time...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 19

Exxon Mobil: Overvalued Despite Impressive Assets

Summary Exxon Mobil faces valuation concerns despite operational scale and recent price-driven tailwinds, with a current FCF yield of 6.7% in a strong market. XOM’s Permian Basin and Guyana projects offer growth, but long-term climate risks and minimal renewables limit future alternatives. The company’s 18x P/E and 3.6% normalized FCF yield appear unattractive for a commodity business, especially after a 50% share price rally. Strait of Hormuz disruptions cut XOM production by 16%, dampening benefits from higher prices and raising risk to shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 May 03

XOM: Higher Oil Risk Premiums And Legal Shift Will Shape Capital Returns

Exxon Mobil's analyst fair value estimate edges up from $164.13 to $165.64, as many analysts lift price targets on higher long term oil price assumptions and potential cash flow support. This is partially offset by a few target cuts and rating downgrades that reflect more cautious views on margins and valuation.
새로운 내러티브 Apr 19

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): The Permian Powerhouse and the Guyana Growth Engine

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) , the architect of the global energy landscape, enters Sunday, April 19, 2026 , as a dominant force in the transition toward high-return, low-cost production. Trading at $163.91 USD following a resilient start to the month, the stock is effectively shaking off the localized volatility of early April as it prepares for its Q1 earnings report on Friday, May 1.
내러티브 업데이트 Apr 17

XOM: Higher Oil Risk Premiums And Legal Shift Will Guide Cash Returns

Exxon Mobil's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $160.17 to $164.13, as analysts factor in lasting higher oil price assumptions, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple reflected in the recent wave of target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exxon Mobil clusters around changing assumptions for long term oil prices, updated cash flow outlooks, and how much of this is already reflected in the share price.
새로운 내러티브 Apr 02

Advantaged Assets And Lower Carbon Solutions Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil is a global energy and chemical company involved in oil and gas production, refining, chemicals and lower carbon solutions. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
내러티브 업데이트 Apr 02

XOM: Higher Oil Risk Premiums And Cash Returns Will Shape Future Performance

The analyst price target for Exxon Mobil has moved from $151.42 to $160.17 as analysts factor in higher long term oil price assumptions, modest adjustments to revenue growth and margins, and a higher future P/E multiple tied to sector wide target increases following recent geopolitical developments. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a wide range of views on Exxon Mobil, with many firms adjusting targets to reflect shifting oil price assumptions, changing risk premiums linked to conflict in the Middle East, and updated outlooks for cash flow and capital returns.
내러티브 업데이트 Mar 19

XOM: Geopolitical Supply Tightness And Cash Returns Will Guide Future Performance

Exxon Mobil's updated analyst price target edges higher from $144.25 to about $151.42, as analysts factor in higher medium term oil price assumptions, tighter expected 2026 crude balances, and a view that the company's cash flow and capital return capacity could benefit from recent commodity price revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Exxon Mobil clusters around higher oil price assumptions, Middle East supply risks, and how those factors could feed through to cash generation and capital returns.
내러티브 업데이트 Mar 05

XOM: Geopolitical Supply Risks And Refining Execution Will Shape Returns

Exxon Mobil's fair value estimate edges up from $140.92 to $144.25 as analysts lift price targets across the board, pointing to higher crude price assumptions tied to Middle East tensions and a modest re rating in the stock's future P/E multiple, despite slightly softer long run growth and margin inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Exxon Mobil clusters into two camps, with bullish analysts focusing on higher crude assumptions and multiple expansion, and more cautious voices highlighting valuation risk and a weaker fundamental backdrop for oil.
내러티브 업데이트 Feb 18

XOM: Refining Execution And Policy Risks Will Shape Returns From Current Levels

Analysts have raised their average price target for Exxon Mobil by about $5 to roughly $141. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple, even as individual firms continue to adjust their targets and ratings in different directions.
내러티브 업데이트 Feb 03

XOM: Cost Controls And Refining Strength Will Offset Commodity And Venezuela Risks

Analysts have nudged their average Exxon Mobil price target higher to about $136 from roughly $131, citing slightly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exxon Mobil has been mixed, with several firms raising price targets and a few turning more cautious.
내러티브 업데이트 Jan 20

XOM: Cost Savings And Refining Upgrades Will Support Future Cash Flow

Exxon Mobil's analyst price target has been trimmed by about $0.82 to roughly $130.50, as analysts factor in a more cautious crude outlook, slightly lower profit margins and mixed rating changes, while some still highlight resilient free cash flow and an improved refining setup. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Exxon Mobil reflects a mix of optimism about the company’s cash generation and refining position, alongside caution about crude prices and sector sentiment.
내러티브 업데이트 Jan 06

XOM: Cost Savings And Capital Returns Will Support Future Cash Flow Stability

We are trimming our Exxon Mobil fair value estimate slightly to $131.32, reflecting modest tweaks to margin and growth assumptions. Analysts highlight resilient free cash flow, ongoing structural cost savings, and a series of higher price targets in the US$128 to US$156 range that underscore continued confidence in the name.
내러티브 업데이트 Dec 16

XOM: Structural Cost Savings Will Support Stronger Future Free Cash Flow Resilience

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Exxon Mobil higher, lifting the target by about $3 to roughly $132, citing more resilient free cash flow, slightly stronger long term revenue growth and margin expectations, and structurally lower breakevens that support a modestly higher future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive but nuanced view of Exxon Mobil, with multiple price target increases balanced by more cautious adjustments and a focus on execution against cycle sensitive cash flows.
내러티브 업데이트 Nov 30

XOM: Free Cash Flow And Cost Controls Will Support Stability Amid Mixed Outlook

Analysts have slightly increased their fair value estimate for Exxon Mobil to $128.72. They cite the company's resilient free cash flow generation and structural cost savings, which are gradually improving its long-term positioning.
내러티브 업데이트 Nov 16

XOM: Free Cash Flow Strength And Cost Savings Will Offset Industry Volatility

Exxon Mobil’s analyst price target has increased from $141 to $144 per share, with analysts citing the company’s resilient free cash flow and ongoing structural cost savings as key drivers for the modest upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates from Street analysts reflect a mix of optimism around Exxon Mobil’s positioning and growth prospects, as well as some reservations regarding the near-term outlook for the energy sector.
내러티브 업데이트 Nov 02

XOM: Future Dividend Strength And Global Projects Will Balance Sector Risks

Exxon Mobil's analyst price target has increased slightly from $126.16 to $126.88, as analysts cite higher projected revenue growth and improved profit margins, despite mixed signals in recent industry research. Analyst Commentary Recent street research on Exxon Mobil presents a nuanced outlook, with both bullish and bearish analysts weighing in on the company's prospects.
내러티브 업데이트 Oct 17

Guyana And Permian Growth Will Expand Global Energy Solutions

Exxon Mobil's analyst price target has increased modestly from $124.79 to $126.16 per share. Analysts cite sector return-of-capital strategies and resilient earnings growth as supportive factors, despite mixed industry signals.
분석 기사 Sep 10

Weekly Picks: 🛢️ The oil giant the market may still be mispricing and 2 more picks

This week’s picks cover: Why the market currently undervalues the durability of Exxon’s cash flows, why National HealthCare’s temporary profit pressure creates an opportunity, and how Lululemon’s pressure from tariffs and consumer sentiment could be overdone.
분석 기사 Aug 06

Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Shareholders might have noticed that Exxon Mobil Corporation ( NYSE:XOM ) filed its second-quarter result this time...
새로운 내러티브 Jul 30

Exxon Mobil's 17.5% Upside Promises Industry-Leading Returns in Energy Transition

This analysis concludes that Exxon Mobil (XOM) represents a compelling investment opportunity, with a fair value of $132.00 per share, implying a 17.5% upside from the current price of $112.32. The BUY recommendation is not based on a speculative bet on higher oil prices, but on the company's fundamental transformation, operational excellence, and disciplined capital allocation that is expected to generate sustainable, industry-leading returns.
분석 기사 Jul 30

Weekly Picks: 📈 GOOG's Platform Leverage, PL's Satellite Boom, and XOM's Production Potential

This week’s picks cover: Why Alphabet can leverage its platforms to compound returns, how Planet Labs is positioned for growth in the earth observation industry, and why Exxon’s Guyana and South America operations could deliver upside.
분석 기사 Jul 29

Exxon Mobil Corporation's (NYSE:XOM) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...
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새로운 내러티브 Jul 29

Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189

Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estima
Seeking Alpha Apr 25

Exxon Mobil: DOGE'd And Confused

Summary Exxon Mobil's Q1 2025 earnings report is anticipated with mixed analyst sentiment; price targets range from $93 to $144, with a median of $126. XOM's significant investment in carbon capture technologies won't impact short-term results; petroleum remains its primary revenue driver. DOGE's cost-cutting efforts don't threaten XOM's low carbon projects, but federal 45Q credits for CCUS are crucial for future viability. XOM is a solid investment under $100 per share; its strong balance sheet, dividend yield, and cost-efficient operations justify a soft-buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 22

Exxon Mobil: Debunking The Fears Of The Energy Skeptics

Summary Exxon Mobil Corporation stock has remained resilient amid the market selloff that battered the tech sector leaders recently. XOM's focus on profitable production growth underscores why energy skeptics have not been able to appreciate its business model. It has a well-diversified business, while ramping up growth CapEx into its upstream opportunities to drive earnings further. XOM's dividend payout with a yield of 3.4% provides clarity for income investors staying for the production upside. While near-term regulatory risks have threatened to hamper sentiments, I argue why XOM investors should ignore the pessimism and load up. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 11

Exxon Mobil Remains Overvalued, But I'm Upgrading On Technical Strength

Summary The technicals have improved significantly since my previous article as an upside breakout is highly probable in the near future. The fundamentals remain unattractive, however, with revenue, EPS, and cash from operations all showing YoY declines. The valuation also seems rich as the P/CFO ratio shows that Exxon Mobil is both overvalued relative to its financials and to peers. I upgrade the stock on the basis of technical strength but it is still not a buy as the fundamental setup remains unattractive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 01

Exxon Mobil: Sell Before The Oil Becomes Irrelevant

Summary The expected increase in oil supply across the globe in the following years will likely limit ExxonMobil’s upside. As the oil demand is about to peak, it makes no sense to expect ExxonMobil to generate aggressive returns anytime soon. ExxonMobil’s stock is a SELL for us. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 13

Exxon Mobil: The Next Big Energy Cycle Winner

Summary Exxon Mobil targets 50% production growth by 2030, with Permian output rising from 1.5M to 2.3M barrels/day and Guyana reaching 650K barrels/day. Exxon reported $34B in earnings and $55B in operating cash flow in 2024, maintaining a 15% five-year average ROCE. The $3B annual synergies from integrating Pioneer assets enhance Exxon’s cost efficiency and long-term production scalability. If valuation multiples revert to historical highs, XOM stock could see a ~43% upside, making it a strong energy cycle play. Exxon reduced methane intensity by 60% since 2016, reinforcing its regulatory position while maintaining record business reliability metrics. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 03

Exxon Mobil Is A Bet On The Growth Story

Summary Exxon Mobil's strong 2024 performance includes 4.3 million barrels/day production, $34 billion GAAP earnings, and a 3.7% dividend yield, supporting long-term shareholder returns. The company's capital allocation strategy involves $10s of billions in projects starting in 2025, including CCS, LNG, and deepwater oil, driving diversified growth. Exxon Mobil plans 20% production growth by 2030, with substantial cost savings and cash flow increases, ensuring robust shareholder returns. Despite its high valuation, Exxon Mobil's integrated portfolio and strategic investments make it a valuable long-term investment, with risks primarily tied to oil price fluctuations. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 27

Exxon Mobil: Unusual Insider Purchases Signal Entry Opportunities

Summary XOM’s most recent insider activities signal excellent entry points. These activities are unusual in several ways and thus should be a key consideration for potential investors. The current stock price is essentially the same as the price at which the most recent insider purchase was made (of around $109). At this price, XOM's P/E is only 14x and its PEGY (P/E to growth and yield) ratio is 1x, the gold standard many dividend-growth investors seek. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 19

Exxon Mobil: Don't Let This Buying Opportunity Go To Waste (Rating Upgrade)

Summary I cautioned Exxon Mobil investors to be wary about being too aggressive in my last update. That downgrade has panned out. Recent geopolitical tensions and a more aggressive stance against America's adversaries by the Trump administration has helped bolster oil prices. Investors should focus more on XOM's well-diversified business than being fixated on betting on sanctions to drive their bullish thesis. I argue why XOM's pullback has mitigated my previous concerns, as buyers have also returned to help defend against a further slide. While Trump's "drill, baby, drill" mandate could heighten uncertainties, I think the energy sector's leader is well-positioned to ride this out well. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 13

Exxon Mobil: Earnings Adjustments Before The Earnings Announcement

Summary Exxon Mobil has noted major (mostly negative) adjustments to fourth quarter earnings when compared to third quarter earnings. The fourth quarter emphasizes the need for a vision. With a vision, then less emphasis will be on current commodity price fluctuations (especially down) because there is a vision of better in the future. A growth strategy means a better valuation of current earnings due to growing earnings. Pursuing a growth-and-income strategy remains the main goal with new goals replacing achieved goals to keep the strategy in place. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 19

Exxon Mobil: A Solid Prospect With Market-Beating Potential

Summary Exxon Mobil, with a market cap of $491.5 billion, has achieved a 15.2% upside since December, though it has lagged behind the S&P 500's 31.5%. Management's guidance through 2030 highlights significant growth potential in both traditional and new energy sectors, with a $400 billion market opportunity for new products by 2030. Capital expenditures are projected to nearly triple to $140 billion from 2025-2030, aiming for a $30 billion increase in annual operating cash flow. Despite past performance, Exxon Mobil's strategic investments and cost-cutting measures are expected to yield market-beating annualized returns of around 14.2% through 2030. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 13

Exxon Mobil: As 2025 Dawns, The Results Of The Long-Term Plan Appear

Summary Exxon Mobil's management highlighted their commitment to avoiding past stagnation. The company aims to maintain superior performance with consistent cost monitoring and maximum value disposals of non-core units. Management's focus on new goals after achieving current ones signals a proactive approach to sustaining business growth and sustaining dividend growth. The outlined goals aim to lower XOM's breakeven point, enhancing long-term performance compared to previous years. Pursuing a growth-and-income strategy is often less risky for the investor (and requires less monitoring) than a strictly income strategy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 04

Why Exxon Mobil Stock Is Still A 'Buy'

Summary I believe Exxon Mobil stock is a solid long-term investment despite lagging the broader market and high valuation due to its scale and cost-saving initiatives. Despite lower earnings in Q3, Exxon is still putting out a great deal of output - 4.58 million barrels a day, the highest in 40 years. I think XOM's plans for production growth and structural cost savings justify its premium valuation. XOM now has a huge competitive advantage in the energy world, where production costs are the number one way to keep profits high. Exxon is still a great stock today, with tremendous upside opportunities in both traditional energy and low-carbon energy. The stock is a "Buy" Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 19

Exxon Mobil Is A Bargain

Summary Exxon Mobil's strong free cash flow and earnings power, supported by high petroleum prices and OPEC+ price support, make it a top energy investment for 2025. The acquisition of Pioneer Resources enhances Exxon Mobil's Permian footprint, boosting its long-term potential for earnings and free cash flow growth. Exxon Mobil's upstream segment, generating 72% of earnings, saw significant growth in oil-equivalent production in Q3'24. Despite risks from potential petroleum price declines, Exxon Mobil's valuation at 14.5X forward earnings and robust capital returns position it well for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 06

Exxon Mobil: Don't Get Your Hopes Up (For Now)

Summary Exxon Mobil's stock continues to underperform the market, and investors should have expected that. Short-term headwinds for the stock remain, and we might see better entry points in the next 12-month period. Exxon, however, remains well-positioned in the long run, which makes the stock a solid hold for the time being. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 30

Exxon Mobil: What Can We Expect From Q3 Earnings?

Summary Exxon Mobil Corporation will report its Q3 results on Friday. Analysts expect a small revenue decline and a more substantial earnings per share decline. XOM stock has outperformed its peers so far this year and has risen while oil prices pulled back. This has made Exxon Mobil somewhat expensive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:XOM - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/2028374,20345,10743,69072,63310
12/31/2027376,80043,97143,04573,51813
12/31/2026396,85446,45042,28772,27012
3/31/2026326,00825,31418,79247,722N/A
12/31/2025323,90528,84423,61251,970N/A
9/30/2025324,92429,95323,77551,520N/A
6/30/2025329,38531,01529,12354,301N/A
3/31/2025339,89433,17328,18153,311N/A
12/31/2024339,24733,68030,71655,022N/A
9/30/2024339,87733,70032,77856,475N/A
6/30/2024340,65534,16032,41254,869N/A
3/31/2024330,92532,80032,11153,692N/A
12/31/2023334,69736,01033,45055,369N/A
9/30/2023346,79941,13037,83459,308N/A
6/30/2023365,66751,72046,34067,770N/A
3/31/2023397,40461,69058,44278,350N/A
12/31/2022398,67555,74058,39076,797N/A
9/30/2022390,27851,86059,58776,300N/A
6/30/2022354,95638,95049,28963,966N/A
3/31/2022309,26925,79040,06653,653N/A
12/31/2021277,14023,04036,05348,129N/A
9/30/2021242,299-5,90023,39435,010N/A
6/30/2021215,879-13,33015,24127,308N/A
3/31/2021182,075-19,1003,92117,658N/A
12/31/2020179,784-22,440-2,61414,668N/A
9/30/2020195,8773,320-3,34217,015N/A
6/30/2020214,0347,170-1,64621,705N/A
3/31/2020249,26411,3802,54527,652N/A
12/31/2019259,49714,340N/A29,716N/A
9/30/2019261,75414,650N/A31,971N/A
6/30/2019272,08817,720N/A34,000N/A
3/31/2019275,81218,540N/A35,833N/A
12/31/2018281,06020,840N/A36,014N/A
9/30/2018276,39123,220N/A34,818N/A
6/30/2018261,55420,950N/A31,245N/A
3/31/2018246,12420,350N/A30,412N/A
12/31/2017237,16219,710N/A30,066N/A
9/30/2017227,56313,010N/A30,051N/A
6/30/2017220,35011,690N/A27,871N/A
3/31/2017215,81010,040N/A25,443N/A
12/31/2016200,6287,840N/A22,082N/A
9/30/2016198,2348,940N/A19,066N/A
6/30/2016205,96310,530N/A22,885N/A
3/31/2016219,87213,020N/A27,158N/A
12/31/2015241,40616,150N/A30,344N/A
9/30/2015261,82119,940N/A33,379N/A
6/30/2015297,64223,770N/A36,601N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: XOM 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(9.5%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: XOM 의 연간 수익(9.5%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: XOM 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: XOM 의 수익(연간 2.2%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: XOM 의 수익(연간 2.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.


주당순이익 성장 예측


향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: XOM의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 15%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.


성장 기업 찾아보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/20 04:13
종가2026/05/20 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

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별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Exxon Mobil Corporation는 47명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 20명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Yim ChengBarclays
Wei JiangBarclays