Rithm Capital 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 4/6
Rithm Capital (는) 각각 연간 25.5% 및 18.7% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 24.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 18.9% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
25.5%
이익 성장률
24.08%
EPS 성장률
| Mortgage REITs 이익 성장 | 25.9% |
| 매출 성장률 | 18.7% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 18.90% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 22 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 21
Rithm Capital: MSR Portfolio An Asset In A Rising-Rate World
Summary Rithm Capital is evolving into a diversified investment firm, expanding its asset management and third-party investment services. RITM's core mortgage servicing rights benefit from a higher-for-longer rate environment, supporting distributable earnings and dividend stability. First-quarter 2026 distributable earnings of $0.51/share covered the $0.25 dividend with a robust 204% coverage ratio. RITM trades at an exaggerated 27% discount to book value, offering a high 11% yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 02
RITM: Index Additions And Integration Progress Will Support Future Earnings Potential
Rithm Capital's updated analyst price target has moved from $14.50 to about $13.94, as analysts factor in a slightly lower profit margin outlook and a modestly lower future P/E, partially offset by expectations for somewhat higher revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Rithm Capital point to a mixed analyst backdrop, with several firms adjusting price targets and one new initiation with a bullish stance.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 28
RITM: Paramount Integration And Index Additions Will Support Future Asset Management Earnings
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Rithm Capital by about $1 to $16, citing recent target cuts from UBS and Piper Sandler, along with updated views on the earnings potential of its asset management segment following the Paramount Group acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around the Paramount Group acquisition have given investors a mix of encouraging and cautious signals on Rithm Capital, with price targets adjusted and views on the asset management opportunity refined.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 13
RITM: Paramount Deal And Tech Partnership Will Reshape Asset Management Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their average Rithm Capital price target by about $1.50 to $14.50. This reflects recent target cuts from firms citing the updated outlook following the Paramount Group acquisition and its impact on the asset management earnings profile.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 27
RITM: Paramount Acquisition And Deals Will Expand Asset Management Earnings Potential
Analysts have trimmed their average $16 price target on Rithm Capital by about $1, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth and future P/E assumptions, even as they point to recent deals as a way to build earnings potential in the asset management business. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes present a mixed picture for Rithm Capital, with analysts weighing the company’s deal activity and asset management ambitions against more conservative assumptions on growth and valuation.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 13
RITM: Paramount Acquisition And Expanded Platform Will Support Future Earnings Potential
Narrative Update on Rithm Capital Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target on Rithm Capital by $1.50 to $16.00, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and valuation following recent coverage updates at major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around the same US$16 price target but reflect different views on how Rithm Capital might get there, especially after the closing of the Paramount Group acquisition.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 29
RITM: Asset Management Expansion Following Paramount Deal Will Support Future Earnings
Analysts have nudged their price target for Rithm Capital slightly higher, with fair value moving from US$14.40 to US$14.50 as they factor in recent deal activity and the view that new assets can support the earnings potential of the asset management business. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how Rithm Capital’s deal activity, including the Paramount Group acquisition, feeds into earnings potential and justifies the latest valuation tweaks.Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Rithm's Dividend Story Remains Compelling - More Upside Ahead
Summary RITM is inherently undervalued, thanks to the recent selloff and macro uncertainty, with it offering interested investors with a dividend and capital appreciation story. If anything, we believe in the mREIT's stable prospects despite the higher interest rate environment, as observed in the higher earnings from the Mortgage Servicing Rights/ net interest incomes. This is on top of the potentially higher mortgage origination once borrowing costs moderate nearer to pre-pandemic level, aided by the management diversification to asset management. RITM's lower EAD Payout Ratio has also triggered the growing book value per share and the improved margin of safety during the challenging past few years. Combined with the materialization of bullish support at the recent floor of $9.57 and the moderation in short interest volumes, we believe that RITM remains compelling here. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 19
Rithm Capital's Updated Sector Comparative Analysis - Part 1 (Includes Recommendation For 17 Peers As Of 3/14/2025)
Summary Part 1 of this article compares RITM’s recent investment composition, leverage, hedging coverage ratio, quarterly BV, economic return (loss), and current valuation to 17 mREIT peers. Due to what has occurred during Q1 2025 (fluctuating rates/yields), understanding the composition of RITM’s MSR/investment and derivatives portfolio is crucial in understanding current/future performance. My current RITM BV projection and updated price target is in the “Conclusions Drawn” section. RITM is currently deemed appropriately valued (hold recommendation). I also provide a list of the mREIT covered stocks I currently believe are undervalued (a buy recommendation), overvalued (a sell recommendation), or appropriately valued (a hold recommendation). Part1 also performs a detailed analysis of RITM’s investment portfolio as of 12/31/2024. This includes RITM’s projected performance during the Q1 2025 (through 3/14/2025). Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 03
Rithm Capital Has 4 Preferreds: B Is My Pick Now
Summary Rithm Capital Corporation is an mREIT with recent Buy and Strong Buy ratings, focusing on diverse real estate and financial services investments. Preferred stock options include Rithm Capital Corp. 7.50% PFD SER A, 7.125 SR B PFD, 6.375 PFD SER C, and 7% RT REST PFD D. This article briefly reviews the Issuer and then compares the four preferred stocks available, one of which is currently experiencing a partial call. After comparing what an investor might expect, I'm downgrading "D" to Hold at best, with the suggestion that switching to "B" is a strategy that should be considered. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 17
Rithm Capital: Discount To Book, Yielding Over 8% And Could Appreciate With Rate Cuts
Summary Rithm Capital Corp. is trading at a discount to book value, offering a strong dividend yield of over 8%, with potential for future increases. RITM's diversified portfolio, including residential mortgages, construction loans, and asset management, positions it well for growth in a lower-rate environment. Despite risks from fluctuating interest rates and credit spreads, RITM's strategic capital deployment and profitability make it a compelling long-term investment. I believe RITM's valuation could exceed its book value, providing capital appreciation alongside a robust dividend as the real estate market improves. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Rithm Capital: Attractive Opportunity Under The Right Rate Environment
Summary Rithm Capital is a diversified mREIT with significant exposure to the real estate sector, focusing on origination, servicing, and investment segments. Due to the extreme impact of external factors, at the time of writing, Rithm Capital is a hold from an intrinsic value perspective. Despite interest rate risks, Rithm's built-in hedges and diversified revenue sources provide stability, with ~25% consolidated operating margins after normalization. The company’s asset management segment shows potential for high margins, contributing to diversification and long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 06
Rithm Capital: Hawkish Fed, Strong Yield, Upside Potential In 2025
Summary Rithm Capital offers a highly sustainable 9% dividend yield, paying out less than half of its distributable profits, making it an attractive choice for passive income investors. The trust's focus on Mortgage Servicing Rights, which gain value with rising interest rates, aligns well with the central bank's slower rate cut trajectory. Rithm Capital's diversification into asset management and acquisitions, like Sculptor Capital Management, enhances its growth potential and reduces reliance on mortgage investments. Trading at an 11% discount to book value, Rithm Capital presents a re-rating opportunity, especially given its well-covered dividend and strong financial performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 16
Rithm Capital: 9% Yield, 2.2x Dividend Coverage, Upside
Summary Rithm Capital offers a stable 9% yield, a strong dividend coverage profile, and a diversified revenue stream. The REIT has expanded through acquisitions, diversifying its portfolio beyond mortgage investments to include significant asset management operations. With a dividend coverage ratio of 2.2x, RITM provides a high safety margin for dividend investors, supporting its 9% yield. Potential risks include the sensitivity of mortgage servicing rights to Federal Reserve rate changes, which could impact valuations if the federal fund rate continues to fall. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 01
Rithm Capital: A Strong And Cheap 9% Yielder
Summary Rithm Capital Corp. offers a 9% dividend yield with strong coverage and potential upside, performing well in both rising and declining interest rate environments. The company's diversified strategy, including mortgage servicing rights and mortgage origination, positions it well against interest rate fluctuations, unlike many other mREITs. Recent results show strong profitability with an earnings yield close to 20%, and a growing cash position providing flexibility for future investments. Despite not increasing dividends recently, Rithm Capital's strong coverage and potential for dividend growth make it a compelling choice for income investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • Aug 29
Expanding Financial Horizons Through Diversification And Strategic Acquisitions Boosts Profitability
Diversification through expansion into alternative assets and direct lending strengthens financial position, potentially enhancing revenue and profitability.Seeking Alpha • Aug 14
Rithm Capital: High-Yield Bargain Opportunity
Summary Rithm Capital is a high-yielding investment opportunity with a growing asset management focus and diversified portfolio. The Sculptor asset management platform is growing and could represent a key lever for earnings growth going forward. The mortgage REIT supported its dividend with earnings available for distribution in the second quarter, with a distribution coverage ratio of 1.88X. Despite trading at a 10% discount to book value, Rithm Capital has consistently grown its book value since 2021 and offers a well-supported 9% yield. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 03
Rithm: A Bargain With Rich Dividend Yields
Summary RITM continues to deliver robust FQ2'24 earning results, while successfully executing its diversification into the Alternative Asset Management Business market. While its underwhelming EAD payout ratio may have contributed to the stock's discounted valuations, we believe that its dividend investment thesis remains safe during the transitory few years ahead. Capital appreciation remains possible as well, once RITM executes against its growth plan & subsequently grow its book value/ dividend payouts upon the normalization of the macroeconomic outlook. For now, investors may wait patiently while being paid rich dividends during its turnaround. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 29
2 Rithm Capital Preferred Stocks Poised For Big Returns
Summary Rithm Capital has been the best performing mortgage REIT of late and also has 4 preferred stocks. This article focuses on 2 fixed-to-floating rate preferred stocks, symbols RITM-A and RITM-B, which will either be called fairly soon or become floating rate preferred stocks. At RITM-B’s current price, its yield-to-call is 9.53% and if it is not called, it will float with a huge 11.38% yield at the current 3 month SOFR interest rate. So if called, we have a very high returning short-term investment and if not called a very high yielding longer-term investment. It's a win/win situation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 16
Rithm: Get Paid 8.79% As Investors Await Its Transition
Summary Despite the uncertain macroeconomic outlook, Rithm continues to execute its mortgage portfolio well enough while generating robust profitability. The mREIT also offers a compelling dividend investment thesis, with reasonable EAD payout ratio and rich forward yields. Combined with the management's strategic acquisitions, we may see RITM generate improved bottom-line numbers from FQ2'24 onwards. It goes without saying that the higher for longer interest rate and sticky inflation may pose further volatility to its execution and stock prices, with the stock only suitable for those with a higher risk tolerance. However, opportunistic dividend-oriented investors may continue dollar cost averaging, while getting paid during RITM's transition to a well diversified asset management company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 26
Rithm Capital: Look Beyond The ~9% Dividend Yield
Summary Rithm Capital is a strong candidate in the mREIT universe with attractive P/E, a dividend yield close to 9%, and potential growth. Thanks to its differentiating business model, I see good odds for EPS growth to safeguard its dividends and even further increase them. However, investors need to be aware of the risks behind the yield (which is not as high as on the surface to start with once contextualized). Other risks include overvaluation risks, potential book value losses, and high leverage. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 22
Rithm Capital: This 10% Yield Is On Sale
Summary Rithm Capital reported strong earnings available for distribution for Q4'23 last week. The mortgage REIT supplies a well-supported 10% dividend yield. The distribution coverage metrics are in excess of 200%. The concentration on mortgage servicing rights poses risks in a low-rate world. The acquisition of an asset management business made a positive revenue contribution in Q4'23 and helped the mortgage REIT diversify its income streams. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 10
Rithm Capital: Recent Acquisitions Support Its High-Dividend Yield
Summary Rithm Capital continues its strategic pivot toward asset management. It offers a high-dividend yield that is sustainable over the medium to long term. Its valuation is also attractive, making it a good income play. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 23
Rithm Capital: A Magnificent, Bargain-Priced 10% Yield
Summary Rithm Capital trades at an 18% discount to book value, but offers a solid 10% yield supported by earnings available for distribution. The mortgage REIT is well-diversified, investing in various mortgage instruments, including residential loans, mortgage servicing rights, rentals, and commercial real estate. Rithm Capital has significant excess dividend coverage, with an EAD/dividend ratio of 232% in Q3'23 and 207% in the first nine months of the year. The high discount to book value provides downside protection. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 31
Rithm Capital: Deep Value, 11% Covered Yield, 26% BV Discount
Summary Rithm Capital is a strong income stock with a well-diversified portfolio and potential for dividend growth. The acquisition of Sculptor Capital will add a new revenue stream and diversification to Rithm Capital's business. Rithm Capital's dividend coverage has improved due to the sale of excess Mortgage Servicing Rights, making its 11% dividend yield safe and attractive. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 18
Rithm Capital PFD D: Maybe No Longer The Best Choice - Swap Time?
Summary Rithm Capital Corporation provides capital and services to the real estate and financial services sectors in the US. Rithm Capital Corp. 7% RT REST PFD D is part of the author's fixed income ladder and has held up well. Time to swap though? This article gives an overview of RITM, its four preferreds and offers several possible strategies that could be followed. Several other preferreds are mentioned as possible ideas too. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 04
Should You Buy Rithm Capital For Its 11% Yield?
Summary Rithm Capital offers a high-dividend yield, but there are other mREIT companies with higher yields. The risk of overpaying for acquisitions may put downward pressure on Rithm Capital's share price in the short term. Rithm Capital's business model has evolved to include a diverse portfolio, but it is still largely exposed to MSRs and interest rates. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 26
Rithm Capital: The Dividend Lesson
Summary Rithm Capital Corp. offers an attractive yield of 10.4%. Furthermore, historical data suggest the strength of its business model to maintain dividend payout and grow book value over other leading mREITs. However, you should be aware of the risks hidden behind Rithm Capital Corp.'s high yield. It is not as high as it seems when contextualized properly. Also, strong headwinds could be coming given its exposure to non-agency mortgages, especially when combined with its current high leverage. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,527 | 1,240 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 6,375 | 939 | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 6,000 | 719 | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 4,241 | 599 | -2,577 | -2,613 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,780 | 567 | -1,246 | -1,292 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,904 | 777 | -2,897 | -2,931 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,608 | 681 | -89 | -121 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,532 | 610 | 463 | 551 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,710 | 835 | -2,278 | -2,185 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,000 | 484 | -1,565 | -1,479 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,143 | 581 | -1,544 | -1,738 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,194 | 725 | -1,064 | -1,802 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,372 | 533 | 1,431 | 694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,954 | 702 | 1,514 | 761 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,960 | 632 | 2,095 | 1,629 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,214 | 272 | 3,081 | 3,044 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,468 | 865 | 5,781 | 5,753 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,832 | 943 | 10,302 | 10,303 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,103 | 965 | 9,254 | 9,254 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,678 | 1,090 | 7,313 | 7,269 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,275 | 705 | 3,552 | 3,435 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,312 | 614 | -646 | -699 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,814 | 545 | -1,887 | -1,907 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,432 | 415 | 7 | 67 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | -122 | -1,465 | 1,429 | 1,874 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 27 | -1,321 | 2,084 | 2,580 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | -49 | -1,175 | 2,895 | 3,927 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | -311 | -1,198 | -1,512 | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,555 | 550 | N/A | -1,598 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,167 | 339 | N/A | -3,470 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 1,066 | 299 | N/A | -4,209 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,156 | 505 | N/A | -2,043 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,532 | 964 | N/A | -1,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,854 | 1,252 | N/A | -358 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,852 | 1,293 | N/A | -359 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,164 | 1,440 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,605 | 958 | N/A | -900 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,495 | 894 | N/A | -565 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,298 | 767 | N/A | -124 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 876 | 514 | N/A | 12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 796 | 504 | N/A | 561 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 572 | 382 | N/A | 452 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 468 | 338 | N/A | 131 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 459 | 344 | N/A | 492 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 389 | 269 | N/A | 306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 362 | 220 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 454 | 292 | N/A | 319 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: RITM 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(25.5%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: RITM 의 연간 수익(25.5%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: RITM 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: RITM 의 수익(연간 18.7%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: RITM 의 수익(연간 18.7%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: RITM의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 18.9%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/22 10:12 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
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분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Rithm Capital Corp.는 20명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 7명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Mark DeVries | Barclays |
| Mark DeVries | Barclays |