Moody's Corporation

NYSE:MCO 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$77.6b

Moody's 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 2/6

Moody's (는) 각각 연간 9.3% 및 6.4% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 11.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 87.2% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

9.3%

이익 성장률

11.11%

EPS 성장률

Capital Markets 이익 성장11.1%
매출 성장률6.4%
향후 자기자본이익률87.23%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트18 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Jul 26

The Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) Second-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

As you might know, Moody's Corporation ( NYSE:MCO ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 12

Moody's Corporation: Too Much Negativity Baked Into Its Stock Price

Summary Moody's Corporation's ordinary shares have underperformed YTD, but I view AI disruption fears as overstated and see recent weakness as a buying opportunity. The analytics segment's core value lies in proprietary data, expert insights, and regulatory compliance, which AI tools cannot easily replicate or replace. The Investor Services segment has shown robust growth. Tight credit spreads and relatively low real borrowing rates might sustain issuances for an extended period. Moody's stock's multiples are high on an absolute basis, yet tame on a 5-year relative basis. I expect narrative-driven selloff to reverse, with MCO's fundamentals and asset-light, cash-rich model supporting long-term outperformance despite cyclical and AI-related risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • May 01

MCO: AI Data Moats And Q4 Execution Will Support Durable Upside

Analysts have trimmed Moody's fair value estimate by $2.85 to $535.00. This reflects slightly lower modeled revenue growth, a modestly higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small uplift to long-term profit margin assumptions, in line with recent mixed shifts in Street price targets.
새로운 내러티브 • Apr 20

MCO 04-2026

Moody's Corporation is a regulatory-moated oligopoly wrapped in a compounding software business. The MIS ratings franchise holds the most durable structural position in financial services: NRSRO designation is a legal prerequisite for capital adequacy calculations in virtually every major financial market globally, the duopoly with S&P has been unbroken for over four decades, and the proprietary century-old default database cannot be replicated at any cost.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 15

MCO: AI Productivity And Data Moats Will Sustain Ratings Strength Into 2026

Moody's updated Analyst Price Target moves lower by about $38 to $537.85, as analysts temper assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while still highlighting solid recent results and competitive strengths in ratings and data. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but generally constructive tone around Moody's, with most firms trimming price targets while still recognizing strengths in its ratings and data businesses.
내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09

MCO: Issuance And Private Credit Demand Will Drive Rating Strength Into 2026

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Moody's has been adjusted to reflect a mix of lower and higher Street targets, including cuts such as the recent reduction at Goldman Sachs and increases from firms citing stronger issuance trends, a favorable environment for Moody's Investors Service, and a more constructive outlook for rating agencies into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Moody's reflects a mix of optimism around issuance trends and earnings potential, alongside some restraint on valuation and expectations.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25

MCO: Fair Outlook Sees Issuance Strength Balancing Private Credit Ratings Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Moody's has been raised from US$561.68 to US$575.53, as analysts point to solid recent issuance trends, a more favorable earnings outlook for the Moody's Investors Service segment, and sustained interest in the stock from multiple research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Moody's reflects a generally positive tone, with several firms lifting price targets and one upgrade in rating, all tied closely to issuance trends and expectations for the Moody's Investors Service segment.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10

MCO: Fair Outlook Balances Issuance Strength With Data And Analytics Uncertainty

The analyst price target for Moody's has been raised from about US$545.50 to roughly US$561.68, with analysts pointing to stronger assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate. This is supported by recent research that highlights a constructive outlook for rating agencies, improving issuance trends and Moody's expanding role in data and analytics.
내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 21

Private Credit Evolution And AI Integration Will Shape Market Success

Moody's saw only marginal improvements in both revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts, resulting in the consensus analyst price target rising slightly from $543.40 to $545.50. What's in the News Moody's launched Agentic Solutions, an AI-powered product suite automating and optimizing complex decision-making workflows for regulated industries, enhancing productivity, transparency, and workflow efficiency across finance, risk, and strategy.
분석 기사 • Jul 26

The Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) Second-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

As you might know, Moody's Corporation ( NYSE:MCO ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong...
분석 기사 • Jun 02

Moody's Corporation's (NYSE:MCO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Moody's: Q1, Analytics Strength Offsets Weaker Debt Issuance Outlook (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Moody's Corporation reported strong Q1 2025 earnings, with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, driven by robust performance in ratings. Despite trimming FY 2025 guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainties, Moody's valuation has become more attractive at a price-to-cash flow of 31.2x. Risks include potential declines in credit issuances and slower up-sells from new AI products, but Moody's strong market position and recurrent revenue provide resilience. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Moody's: A Long Term Compounder At A Hefty Price

Summary Moody's, a pioneer in bond credit ratings, has grown into a financial services giant with two main segments: Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA). MIS, generating $3.8 billion in 2024, provides essential credit ratings that influence companies' borrowing costs, while MA offers SaaS-based decision solutions, contributing $3.3 billion. Moody's boasts strong financials with $7.1 billion in 2024 revenue, 20% growth, and high margins, driven by its competitive edge in the credit rating market. Despite a higher valuation than historical averages, Moody's shares offer potential returns of 4.7%-9.8% annually over the next five years, depending on EBITDA growth and multiples. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 08

Moody's Q4: Expect A Beat And Raise

Summary Moody's Corporation (MCO) has a robust business model, and over 100 years of industry presence, making it a reliable investment even in volatile markets. MCO has a 5-year total return of 96.1%, stellar Q3 '24 results with revenue up 23% and earnings up 39%, and raised its Q4 guidance. Risks are primarily macroeconomic, such as potential market volatility due to changes in government policies, but long-term prospects remain strong. I rate MCO a Buy for long-term, capital appreciation-focused investors due to its consistent dividend growth and strong financial performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Moody's And The Stargate Project: A Potential Catalyst No One Is Talking About

Summary Moody's Corporation is widely known for its unbeatable moat that has made it one of Warren Buffett's long-term picks. The most recent data on global debt suggest that Moody's will report a strong Q4 and that 2025 will be a favorable year. The Stargate Project and the AI wars could constitute yet another (hidden) catalyst for Moody's. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 06

Moody's: Overvalued But Still A Hold

Summary Moody's has had a strong year-to-date return of 30%, but its current valuation at a 37.2 P/E ratio suggests it is overvalued. Moody's operates through two main segments: Moody's Investor Services and Moody's Analytics, both critical to the financial sector. Despite Moody's impressive growth, S&P Global offers better value with a lower P/E ratio and faster cash flow growth, making it a more attractive investment. I will hold my Moody's shares long-term due to its high-quality business, despite expecting lower short-term returns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 23

Moody's Q3 Earnings: Emerging Benefactors And Solid Baseline Results

Summary Moody's Corporation's Q3 earnings report showed impressive line items and guidance. Segmental growth remains robust, and profit margins are comprehensive. Normalization in M&A, expansion in private debt, and entry into catastrophe insurance analytics offerings add optimism. Inflated valuation multiples are likely justified by compelling growth figures. Risks include market pessimism post-earnings, potential mean reversion of high multiples, and uncertainty in M&A deal flow recovery. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25

Moody's: Fundamentals Are Better Than Expected, But Valuation Is Still High

Summary I maintain a hold rating for Moody’s stock due to concerns about its premium valuation relative to S&P Global Inc. Recent positive developments in MCO’s MIS segment and potential growth in the MA segment have improved my outlook but don't justify the premium. MCO’s GenAI products show promising growth potential, with significant increases in usage and cross-selling capabilities, enhancing long-term earnings prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Moody's: Capitalize On The Upcoming Global Easing Cycle

Summary Moody's is a high-quality compounder with a deep economic moat and strong cash flow, delivering a 19% annualized return over the past decade. The Fed's rate cut cycle is expected to boost global bond issuances, benefiting MCO's MIS segment, which saw strong earnings from narrowing credit spreads and lower treasury yields. Despite conservative guidance due to election-related uncertainty, MCO's historical performance and the initiation of a global monetary easing cycle suggest a promising outlook for 2025. Key risks include potential delays in the Fed's rate cuts and underperformance in the MA segment, but MCO's robust business model mitigates permanent capital loss risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 15

Moody's Corporation: Great Business But Currently Very Expensive

Summary Moody's is a global credit ratings agency assisting organizations in managing risk in fixed income investments. It operates in two segments: Moody's Analytics and Moody's Investors Service. Moody's has been growing through strategic acquisitions internationally, more than doubling revenues and incomes every decade, and has an asset-light business model. Moody's is currently very richly valued by the market; some of the highest valuations since 2000 by P/E and operating cash flow yield metrics. Now is not a good time to start a long position; rather it may be a good time to sell Moody's shares to take some profits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 20

Moody's: Q2 Earnings, What To Expect And What I Am Doing As Investor

Summary Duopolies like S&P Global and Moody's are strong investments. When Moody's reported Q1 earnings, we saw potential for growth in Q2. In this article, we discuss the new favorable developments for the company, while taking a look at its valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:MCO - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20289,5333,2933,6793,98012
12/31/20278,8513,0043,3063,66920
12/31/20268,2352,7642,9173,32820
3/31/20267,8732,4952,7473,083N/A
12/31/20257,7182,4592,5752,901N/A
9/30/20257,5012,2442,3982,717N/A
6/30/20257,3072,1322,3712,677N/A
3/31/20257,2262,1062,4962,820N/A
12/31/20247,0882,0582,5212,838N/A
9/30/20246,8962,0032,3252,641N/A
6/30/20246,5551,8582,0852,400N/A
3/31/20246,2321,6832,0422,318N/A
12/31/20235,9161,6071,8802,151N/A
9/30/20235,7261,5131,7742,051N/A
6/30/20235,5291,4271,6481,925N/A
3/31/20235,4161,3771,3151,612N/A
12/31/20225,4681,3741,1911,474N/A
9/30/20225,7171,5551,1301,396N/A
6/30/20225,9681,7261,2681,496N/A
3/31/20226,1401,9761,6151,799N/A
12/31/20216,2182,2141,8662,005N/A
9/30/20215,9692,1012,2672,364N/A
6/30/20215,7992,0942,3542,439N/A
3/31/20215,6812,0262,3812,477N/A
12/31/20205,3711,7782,0432,146N/A
9/30/20205,3141,8241,8761,967N/A
6/30/20205,1981,7361,8051,897N/A
3/31/20204,9771,5371,5831,653N/A
12/31/20194,8291,422N/A1,675N/A
9/30/20194,6561,313N/A1,572N/A
6/30/20194,4971,244N/A1,439N/A
3/31/20194,4581,310N/A1,437N/A
12/31/20184,4431,310N/A1,461N/A
9/30/20184,5481,085N/A1,489N/A
6/30/20184,5301,092N/A1,573N/A
3/31/20184,3561,028N/A1,659N/A
12/31/20174,2041,001N/A755N/A
9/30/20173,981547N/A720N/A
6/30/20173,835485N/A672N/A
3/31/20173,763428N/A493N/A
12/31/20163,604267N/A1,259N/A
9/30/20163,528913N/A1,149N/A
6/30/20163,446889N/A1,106N/A
3/31/20163,435896N/A1,145N/A
12/31/20153,485941N/A1,198N/A
9/30/20153,496960N/A1,202N/A
6/30/20153,477943N/A1,155N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: MCO 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(9.3%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: MCO 의 연간 수익(9.3%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: MCO 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.

수익 대 시장: MCO 의 수익(연간 6.4%)이 US 시장(연간 11.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: MCO 의 수익(연간 6.4%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: MCO의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 87.2%로 매우 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/21 00:10
종가2026/05/21 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Moody's Corporation는 33명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 20명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
John EadeArgus Research Company
Jeffrey MeulerBaird
Manav PatnaikBarclays