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Elevate Credit, Inc.NYSE:ELVT 주식 보고서

시가총액 US$58.8m
주가
n/a
내 적정 가치
해당 없음
1Y-43.3%
7D2.2%
1D
포트폴리오 가치
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Elevate Credit, Inc.

NYSE:ELVT 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$58.8m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Elevate Credit (ELVT) 주식 개요

Elevate Credit, Inc. provides online credit solutions to non-prime consumers in the United States. 자세히 보기

ELVT 펀더멘털 분석
스노우플레이크 점수
가치 평가4/6
미래 성장0/6
과거 실적0/6
재무 건전성5/6
배당0/6

강점

공정 가치 추정치보다 낮은 59.7% 에서 거래

위험 분석

의미 있는 시가총액이 없습니다($59M)

현재 수익성이 없으며 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되지 않습니다.


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Elevate Credit, Inc. 경쟁사

가격 이력 및 성과

Elevate Credit 주가의 최고가, 최저가 및 변동 요약
과거 주가
현재 주가US$1.87
52주 최고가US$3.39
52주 최저가US$0.67
베타2.07
1개월 변동3.89%
3개월 변동2.75%
1년 변동-43.33%
3년 변동-42.81%
5년 변동-74.70%
IPO 이후 변동-75.90%

최근 뉴스 및 업데이트

Seeking Alpha • Jan 12

Elevate Credit: High-Probability Merger Arb

Summary Definitive merger arb offering 19% annualized returns. Online-based subprime lender Elevate Credit is getting taken private by one of its creditors at $1.87/share. I expect ELVT’s shareholders to approve the merger given consideration’s large premium, fair valuation of the target as well as the company’s worsening operational performance. This is a definitive merger arb with a high probability of successful closing. The spread is quite tight, however, given expected closing within this quarter the IRR might be substantial. Meanwhile, the downside might be protected by previous acquisition interests by other third parties. Online-based subprime lender Elevate Credit (ELVT) is getting acquired by alternative debt-focused asset manager Park Cities Asset Management in a $67m transaction. Transaction consideration is $1.87/share in cash. Merger spread used to stand at minimal levels upon the announcement only to widen to around 6% since mid-December despite no transaction-related news. The spread has slightly contracted and now stands at 4%. Having said that, this spread translates to 19% annualized returns assuming merger closing in Q1'23 which is in line with the company's estimates. Author's Calculations The merger will require regulatory approvals and a nod from ELVT's shareholders. While approval from regulators is likely a formality given tiny transaction size, shareholder approval is also unlikely to be an issue. ELVT's management owns 10% of the company, 7% of which is expected to be rolled over into the acquiring entity. I expect the remaining shareholders to likewise support the transaction: Given macroeconomic headwinds and potential upcoming refinancing at much higher rates, the merger seems to make sense for the target company. The acquisition offer comes in light of ELVT's deteriorating operational performance in recent years amid a series of broader macroeconomic headwinds. Firstly, the COVID-induced stimulus payments in 2020 and 2021 as well as eased monetary policy have significantly reduced credit demand from credit-constrained customers. Not surprisingly, ELVT's combined loans receivables, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA all declined substantially in 2020-2021 compared to 2017-2019 levels. Secondly, the business has been impacted by significant macroeconomic headwinds since last year, including severe inflation. This has forced the company to tighten new loan underwritings as well as led to increasing charge-offs on previously issued loans. For reference, new customer growth rate was lower by 60% YoY as of Q3'22, meanwhile, TTM revenues and EBITDA have both stood materially below historical levels at $497m and $23m respectively. Lower loan volumes are complemented by borrowing/liquidity issues the company might be likely to face. While the majority of ELVT's debt has a fixed interest rate, the company's management has highlighted that most of the debt matures in Jan'24 ($519m out of $562m in total debt). Elevate Credit Q4'21 Investor Presentation. The merger seems to value the target quite fairly. At the offer price, ELVT fetches 0.35x P/B (5% EBITDA margins) - in line with where a similar-size ($184m market cap) and -margin peer Oportun Financial (NASDAQ:OPRT) is currently trading. Larger online-based subprime lenders trade at much higher multiples, including Curo Group (NYSE:CURO) and Enova International (NYSE:ENVA) - both trade at 1.1x-1.2x. However, these competitors have maintained much stronger post-COVID operational performance while boasting higher TTM EBITDA margins (14% for CURO and 26% for ENVA). Another data point is Enova's acquisition of On Deck Capital in Jul'20 in a transaction that valued the target at 0.4x P/B. Park Cities' offer comes at a 69% premium to unaffected share price levels. While ELVT is still valued significantly below share price levels seen prior to mid-2022, shareholders might not oppose an acquisition proposal at such a sizable premium. The risk of the buyer walking seems quite low here. Despite recent slowdown, it seems that ELVT's performance going forward might materially improve given significant growth runway. ELVT is an online-based loan provider in an industry which has seen decreasing yet still sizable market share of legacy physical-based competitors, such as Check Into Cash and Advance America (also referred to as payday loan providers). For reference, ELVT's larger competitor ENVA currently has only 1-2% market shares in the US subprime ($30bn TAM) and near-prime ($28bn) consumer loan markets. Another important aspect is that ELVT's management expects a recessionary environment to eventually increase demand for the company's products given tightening of credit supply from prime lenders. From ELVT's CEO during Q2'22 earnings call: What we saw historically in recessionary-like times is prime lenders are seeing to tighten up fast and loosen up slow. And so that makes higher credit quality consumers down into the space where we operate and the banks we work with operate. So it creates a unique opportunity. We see a little bit higher credit quality consumers come in the space that we can work with and lend to. And just recently, if we look at our FICO score distributions of applicants coming to the door, we are starting to see that already. So I think it gives us the opportunity to take a very broad market already and see that somewhat expand as more prime consumers are squeezed out of the prime market into our market. Park Cities Asset Management (PCAM) is an alternative credit manager focusing on private lending across specialty finance and fintech sectors. PCAM has provided two debt financing facilities for ELVT - for corporate purposes and for one of the company's credit products - since Oct'21. Notably, Park Cities was interested in acquiring the company during 2019-2020, albeit PCAM did not make any proposal back then. Nevertheless, it appears that PCAM is familiar with the Elevate business' dynamics and is now able to acquire it at an opportunistic time. Interestingly, prior to agreeing to a buyout by Park Cities, ELVT attracted buyout interest from numerous other potential acquirers. Merger proxy mentions contact with 15 third parties by Sep'22, with five of them entering into confidentiality agreements. Most notably, just a couple of weeks before the current definitive merger agreement in Nov'22, an undisclosed strategic player ("Party B") submitted a proposal valuing the target at $1.81/share (70% in cash/30% in stock). This suggests that in the unlikely case of the current deal breaking, there would be a non-zero probability of this party as well as other potential acquirers stepping in.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 16

Elevate Credit stock soars after hours after agreeing to be taken private in $67M deal

Elevate Credit (NYSE:ELVT) on Wednesday said it had agreed to be taken private by an affiliate of Park Cities Asset Management LLC in an all-cash deal at an implied value of $67M. Park Cities is an alternative asset manager that focuses on companies in the specialty finance and fintech sectors. Park Cities will acquire ELVT for $1.87 per share, which represents a 76.4% premium to ELVT's last closing price of $1.06. Shares of Elevate Credit (ELVT) advanced ~66% to $1.76 after hours. Fort Worth, Texas-based ELVT provides non-prime credit. According to the company, it has originated $10B in non-prime credit to more than 2.7M non-prime consumers. The deal, which was approved by ELVT's board, is expected to close in Q1 2023.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jan 12

Elevate Credit: High-Probability Merger Arb

Summary Definitive merger arb offering 19% annualized returns. Online-based subprime lender Elevate Credit is getting taken private by one of its creditors at $1.87/share. I expect ELVT’s shareholders to approve the merger given consideration’s large premium, fair valuation of the target as well as the company’s worsening operational performance. This is a definitive merger arb with a high probability of successful closing. The spread is quite tight, however, given expected closing within this quarter the IRR might be substantial. Meanwhile, the downside might be protected by previous acquisition interests by other third parties. Online-based subprime lender Elevate Credit (ELVT) is getting acquired by alternative debt-focused asset manager Park Cities Asset Management in a $67m transaction. Transaction consideration is $1.87/share in cash. Merger spread used to stand at minimal levels upon the announcement only to widen to around 6% since mid-December despite no transaction-related news. The spread has slightly contracted and now stands at 4%. Having said that, this spread translates to 19% annualized returns assuming merger closing in Q1'23 which is in line with the company's estimates. Author's Calculations The merger will require regulatory approvals and a nod from ELVT's shareholders. While approval from regulators is likely a formality given tiny transaction size, shareholder approval is also unlikely to be an issue. ELVT's management owns 10% of the company, 7% of which is expected to be rolled over into the acquiring entity. I expect the remaining shareholders to likewise support the transaction: Given macroeconomic headwinds and potential upcoming refinancing at much higher rates, the merger seems to make sense for the target company. The acquisition offer comes in light of ELVT's deteriorating operational performance in recent years amid a series of broader macroeconomic headwinds. Firstly, the COVID-induced stimulus payments in 2020 and 2021 as well as eased monetary policy have significantly reduced credit demand from credit-constrained customers. Not surprisingly, ELVT's combined loans receivables, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA all declined substantially in 2020-2021 compared to 2017-2019 levels. Secondly, the business has been impacted by significant macroeconomic headwinds since last year, including severe inflation. This has forced the company to tighten new loan underwritings as well as led to increasing charge-offs on previously issued loans. For reference, new customer growth rate was lower by 60% YoY as of Q3'22, meanwhile, TTM revenues and EBITDA have both stood materially below historical levels at $497m and $23m respectively. Lower loan volumes are complemented by borrowing/liquidity issues the company might be likely to face. While the majority of ELVT's debt has a fixed interest rate, the company's management has highlighted that most of the debt matures in Jan'24 ($519m out of $562m in total debt). Elevate Credit Q4'21 Investor Presentation. The merger seems to value the target quite fairly. At the offer price, ELVT fetches 0.35x P/B (5% EBITDA margins) - in line with where a similar-size ($184m market cap) and -margin peer Oportun Financial (NASDAQ:OPRT) is currently trading. Larger online-based subprime lenders trade at much higher multiples, including Curo Group (NYSE:CURO) and Enova International (NYSE:ENVA) - both trade at 1.1x-1.2x. However, these competitors have maintained much stronger post-COVID operational performance while boasting higher TTM EBITDA margins (14% for CURO and 26% for ENVA). Another data point is Enova's acquisition of On Deck Capital in Jul'20 in a transaction that valued the target at 0.4x P/B. Park Cities' offer comes at a 69% premium to unaffected share price levels. While ELVT is still valued significantly below share price levels seen prior to mid-2022, shareholders might not oppose an acquisition proposal at such a sizable premium. The risk of the buyer walking seems quite low here. Despite recent slowdown, it seems that ELVT's performance going forward might materially improve given significant growth runway. ELVT is an online-based loan provider in an industry which has seen decreasing yet still sizable market share of legacy physical-based competitors, such as Check Into Cash and Advance America (also referred to as payday loan providers). For reference, ELVT's larger competitor ENVA currently has only 1-2% market shares in the US subprime ($30bn TAM) and near-prime ($28bn) consumer loan markets. Another important aspect is that ELVT's management expects a recessionary environment to eventually increase demand for the company's products given tightening of credit supply from prime lenders. From ELVT's CEO during Q2'22 earnings call: What we saw historically in recessionary-like times is prime lenders are seeing to tighten up fast and loosen up slow. And so that makes higher credit quality consumers down into the space where we operate and the banks we work with operate. So it creates a unique opportunity. We see a little bit higher credit quality consumers come in the space that we can work with and lend to. And just recently, if we look at our FICO score distributions of applicants coming to the door, we are starting to see that already. So I think it gives us the opportunity to take a very broad market already and see that somewhat expand as more prime consumers are squeezed out of the prime market into our market. Park Cities Asset Management (PCAM) is an alternative credit manager focusing on private lending across specialty finance and fintech sectors. PCAM has provided two debt financing facilities for ELVT - for corporate purposes and for one of the company's credit products - since Oct'21. Notably, Park Cities was interested in acquiring the company during 2019-2020, albeit PCAM did not make any proposal back then. Nevertheless, it appears that PCAM is familiar with the Elevate business' dynamics and is now able to acquire it at an opportunistic time. Interestingly, prior to agreeing to a buyout by Park Cities, ELVT attracted buyout interest from numerous other potential acquirers. Merger proxy mentions contact with 15 third parties by Sep'22, with five of them entering into confidentiality agreements. Most notably, just a couple of weeks before the current definitive merger agreement in Nov'22, an undisclosed strategic player ("Party B") submitted a proposal valuing the target at $1.81/share (70% in cash/30% in stock). This suggests that in the unlikely case of the current deal breaking, there would be a non-zero probability of this party as well as other potential acquirers stepping in.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 16

Elevate Credit stock soars after hours after agreeing to be taken private in $67M deal

Elevate Credit (NYSE:ELVT) on Wednesday said it had agreed to be taken private by an affiliate of Park Cities Asset Management LLC in an all-cash deal at an implied value of $67M. Park Cities is an alternative asset manager that focuses on companies in the specialty finance and fintech sectors. Park Cities will acquire ELVT for $1.87 per share, which represents a 76.4% premium to ELVT's last closing price of $1.06. Shares of Elevate Credit (ELVT) advanced ~66% to $1.76 after hours. Fort Worth, Texas-based ELVT provides non-prime credit. According to the company, it has originated $10B in non-prime credit to more than 2.7M non-prime consumers. The deal, which was approved by ELVT's board, is expected to close in Q1 2023.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 12

Elevate Credit: Many Catalysts Behind The Corner

I believe ELVT is ready to surprise the market in the next earnings release as they monetize loan growth. The accounting policies will change, allowing them to report loans at fair value and thus boosting EPS while growing loans. The now-turned negative macro environment will benefit receivables growth. I remain bullish with a TP of $11.5.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 16

Elevate Credit: Silently Preparing To Surprise The Market In 2022

The market is not understanding the ELVT business model, underestimating 2022 by a lot, and being blind in front of a massive buyback campaign. The focus on near-prime credit is lowering their cost of funding, which will improve margins and sustain long-term growth of receivables. With a 2020 net income of $20 million, $500 million of receivables, and an APR above 95%, the current market cap of $120 million is underestimating even the poorest scenario. Management is aware of the undervaluation and bought back more than 30% of total outstanding shares since August 2019. The stock has a potential upside of more than 220% over the next 2 years, as the market could recognize its success in late 2022 or 2023.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 31

Elevate Credit: Low Risk, High Reward Undervalued Stock

Elevate is a deep value opportunity with incredible upside and a unique business model, positioned as a cheaper alternative to traditional short-term lending. I estimate a price target of $16 per share over a 5-year period. This would give the stock an upside of over 360% today. 360% upside sounds too good to be true - but after scrutinizing the downside and carefully reassessing the upside - I'm confident in the risk/reward. I estimate that Elevate will earn $30-70M in annual Owner's Earnings over the next 5 years - that's an incredible risk/reward with the current market cap of $130M.
분석 기사 • May 09

Here's Why I Think Elevate Credit (NYSE:ELVT) Is An Interesting Stock

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
분석 기사 • Feb 06

Elevate Credit's (NYSE:ELVT) Stock Price Has Reduced 35% In The Past Three Years

It is a pleasure to report that the Elevate Credit, Inc. ( NYSE:ELVT ) is up 82% in the last quarter. But that cannot...
분석 기사 • Jan 02

Here's What Elevate Credit, Inc.'s (NYSE:ELVT) Shareholder Ownership Structure Looks Like

The big shareholder groups in Elevate Credit, Inc. ( NYSE:ELVT ) have power over the company. Institutions often own...

주주 수익률

ELVTUS Consumer FinanceUS 시장
7D2.2%-0.3%1.1%
1Y-43.3%7.8%28.7%

수익률 대 산업: ELVT은 지난 1년 동안 7.8%의 수익을 기록한 US Consumer Finance 산업보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

수익률 대 시장: ELVT은 지난 1년 동안 28.7%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

주가 변동성

Is ELVT's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ELVT volatility
ELVT Average Weekly Movement4.1%
Consumer Finance Industry Average Movement6.6%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

안정적인 주가: ELVT는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.

시간에 따른 변동성: ELVT의 주간 변동성은 지난 1년간 12%에서 4%로 감소했습니다.

회사 소개

설립직원 수CEO웹사이트
2014436Jason Harvisonwww.elevate.com

Elevate Credit, Inc. 기초 지표 요약

Elevate Credit의 순이익과 매출은 시가총액과 어떻게 비교됩니까?
ELVT 기초 통계
시가총액US$58.83m
순이익 (TTM)-US$67.77m
매출 (TTM)US$497.00m
0.1x
주가매출비율(P/S)
-0.9x
주가수익비율(P/E)

ELVT는 고평가되어 있습니까?

공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기

순이익 및 매출

최근 실적 보고서(TTM)의 주요 수익성 지표
ELVT 손익계산서 (TTM)
매출US$497.00m
매출원가US$345.63m
총이익US$151.37m
기타 비용US$219.13m
순이익-US$67.77m

최근 보고된 실적

Sep 30, 2022

다음 실적 발표일

해당 없음

주당순이익(EPS)-2.15
총이익률30.46%
순이익률-13.64%
부채/자본 비율332.0%

ELVT의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?

과거 실적 및 비교 보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2023/03/01 23:39
종가2023/02/27 00:00
수익2022/09/30
연간 수익2021/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

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분석가 소스

Elevate Credit, Inc.는 8명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 2명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Giuliano Anderes BolognaBTIG
David ScharfCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
John HechtJefferies LLC