Advanced Flower Capital 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
Advanced Flower Capital은 연간 수입과 매출이 각각 68.2%와 50.9% 증가할 것으로 예상되고 EPS는 연간 70.9%만큼 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
68.2%
이익 성장률
70.92%
EPS 성장률
| Capital Markets 이익 성장 | 11.6% |
| 매출 성장률 | 50.9% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Low |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 27 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Mar 18
Advanced Flower Capital: The 7.5% Dividend Yield Haunted By The Specter Of Legacy Loans
Summary Advanced Flower Capital has transitioned from a cannabis lender to a BDC, aiming for portfolio diversification, but faces significant legacy risks. AFCG's dividend yield stands at 7.5%, but the payout has been repeatedly cut and is not covered amid falling interest income, rising credit losses, and negative distributable earnings. Cannabis loans comprise the bulk of the portfolio, with 32.6% on nonaccrual, driving a 40% year-over-year decline in interest income and a 51% rise in credit reserves. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 05
AFCG: Index Removals And BDC Shift Will Create Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Advanced Flower Capital from $6.88 to $5.25, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News On January 13, 2026, Advanced Flower Capital entered into Amendment Number Six to its Loan and Security Agreement, reflecting updates linked to its conversion from a real estate investment trust to a business development company (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 12
AFCG: Conversion To BDC Structure Will Unlock Leverage Potential By 2026
Analysts have revised Advanced Flower Capital's fair value estimate downward from $8.13 to $6.88. This change is due to updated assumptions regarding profitability metrics and increased discount rates.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 16
I Will Capitalize On Cannabis Debt Demand By Diversifying Portfolio And Improving Underwriting
Despite a dramatic increase in revenue growth forecasts and a lower projected future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Advanced Flower Capital has been revised downward from $8.76 to $7.50. What's in the News Advanced Flower Capital declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per common share for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, payable on July 15, 2025 to shareholders of record on June 30, 2025.Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
Advanced Flower Capital Stock: The Bull Case After A Brutal Sell-Off
Summary Advanced Flower Capital's Q4 earnings report led to a 20%+ stock drop in a single day due to a dividend cut from $0.33 to $0.23 per share. Despite borrower issues, AFCG offers a 14.6% yield and trades at 0.7x book value, presenting a potential investment opportunity. Management's ability to recover and redeploy capital from troubled loans is crucial for sustaining dividends and improving distributable earnings. I have issues with pre-set origination targets and the lack of borrower transparency, making AFCG a cautious buy with limited allocation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 13
Advanced Flower Capital Has A Solid Dividend And A Lot Of Near-Term Growth Opportunities
Summary Advanced Flower Capital is a REIT specializing in loans to state-licensed cannabis operators, offering a strong dividend yield of ~15.5%. The cannabis market is growing, with 41 states legalizing medical cannabis and 24 states legalizing recreational use, projecting $100B in future annual sales. Using a conservative Dividend Discount Model, AFCG's per share value is estimated at $10.79, indicating a 28.42% increase from the current price, making it an attractive investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 26
Advanced Flower Capital: Get Paid 13.7% Per Year As The Cannabis Market Grows
Summary Advanced Flower Capital offers a 13.7% dividend yield, which is covered by its distributable earnings per share. AFCG's cautious underwriting and strategic equity raises ensure resilience and capitalize on current market opportunities, despite potential regulatory changes. AFCG stock's valuation remains attractive with a price/book ratio near 1.0x and a 13.7% yield, though short-term downside risk exists based on my technical analysis. Long-term investors can likely see a mix of stable income and growth potential as interest rates fall and the cannabis market expands. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
새로운 내러티브 • Sep 26
Cannabis Sector Focus Sparks Revenue Growth And Enhances Shareholder Value
Focusing solely on the cannabis sector post-spin-off, AFC Gamma aims for higher returns through an increased focus, positively impacting revenue.Seeking Alpha • Sep 15
AFC Gamma declares $0.56 dividend
AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG) declares $0.56/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous. Forward yield 12.9% Payable Oct. 14; for shareholders of record Sept. 30; ex-div Sept. 29. See AFCG Dividend Scorecard, Yield Chart, & Dividend Growth.Seeking Alpha • Aug 16
AFC Gamma: 11.20% Dividend Yield With Solid Q2 2022 Results
AFC Gamma has a strong dividend yield of 11.20% with quarterly dividend increasing 55% since March 2021. AFCG posted solid Q2 2022 results beating the market EPS estimates by 20% and revenue estimates by 13%. I assign a buy rating for the company after considering all the growth and risk factors. Investment Thesis AFC Gamma, Inc. (AFCG) is a leading lender of institutional loans to nationwide cannabis producers and distributors. AFCG is headquartered in West Palm Beach, Florida. In this thesis, I will be discussing about the company's strong dividend yield. I will also be analyzing the second quarter results posted by the company and its future growth prospects. I assign a buy rating for AFCG after considering all the growth and risk factors. Company Overview AFCG is a mortgage real estate investment trust ((REIT)), primarily lending loans to high-quality cannabis cultivators, producers, and distributors in the United States. The company is especially known for having a well-balanced lending portfolio, safeguarding the company from volatile markets. The company provides secured loans backed by significantly higher in value collateral. It generally provides loans to well-established companies having considerable cash flows, limiting the company's risk exposure. 11.20% Dividend Yield TipRanks AFCG has a strong dividend yield of 11.20% at current share price of $18.22. As we can see in the chart above, the dividend payout has been consistently increasing since March 2021. The dividend per share has seen a 55% growth from $0.36 in March 2021 to $0.56 in June 2022. Along with the increased dividend payout, the dividend yield has also increased from 7%-8% in March 2021 to 11%-12% currently. I believe with the growing cannabis market and reduced uncertainties around the legalization of cannabis, the company is on a significant growth track with limited downside risk. Solid Q2 2022 Results AFCG recently posted solid Q2 2022 results beating the market estimates. The company beat the EPS estimates by 20% and revenue estimates by 13%. It experienced improvement across segments with improved profit margins. I believe the company is on a significant growth track, and that is clearly reflected in the Q2 2022 results. The company is positive about the coming quarters and expects to expand its loan portfolio. SEC:10Q AFCG AFCG reported an Interest income of $21.6 million, a significant 148% jump compared to $8.7 million in the same quarter last year. As per my analysis, the expansion in the mortgage portfolio and well-balanced loan spread were the primary factors behind this increase. The company reported total expenses of $5.7 million, a 90% increase. I believe the increase in human resources and expenses related to human resource management were the main reasons behind the increased expenses. The total net income stood at $11.3 million, a solid 62% net profit margin. The diluted EPS was reported at $0.57 against the Q2 2021 EPS of $0.34, an effective increase of 67%. I believe the company will continue this performance in the coming quarters with continuous expansion and a well-balanced lending portfolio. Leonard Tannenbaum, AFC Gamma's Chief Executive Officer, stated, Given the current market environment with operators experiencing pricing pressures and longer lead times to raise equity, we continue to act disciplined in our approach towards deploying capital. We are focused on supporting existing operators as well as new operators with strong track-records in the industry. Despite the slower than expected pace of originations, we have the capacity to do more deals and expect to close some in the coming quarter. We look forward to continue supporting the industry as it expands and matures. Overall, AFCG posted strong quarter with improved margins and increased lending portfolio. The company has not provided any guidance for the future quarters but I estimate the FY22 EPS to be in the range of $2.26-$2.32. The company is well positioned in the industry to capitalize on the growing cannabis market and we can witness a significant upside in the stock price in the near future. Key Risk FactorSeeking Alpha • Aug 08
AFC Gamma Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG) is scheduled to announce Q2 earnings results on Tuesday, August 9th, before market open. The consensus EPS Estimate is $0.55 (+27.9% Y/Y) and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $17.58M Over the last 1 year, AFCG has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 50% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 5 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 3 upward revisions and 3 downward.Seeking Alpha • Jun 08
AFC Gamma Capitalizes On Blooming Cannabis Industry
14.5% dividend yield with our estimated fair value at $24. Overcollateralized (1.1x principal) commercial mortgage portfolio valued at $483 million. Massive cannabis market CAGR, growing dividend by 10% quarter over quarter – marking the third consecutive quarterly increase. Stringent selection criteria going beyond traditional commercial mortgages, giving a favorable risk profile.Seeking Alpha • May 23
AFC Gamma: Still Pounding The Table On This 12.9% Yield
AFCG has sold off along with broader markets, and shares are down 25% YTD. Shares now trade right near book value, with an earnings multiple of 8x. The loan portfolio continues to grow along with book value and the dividend. With the yield at 12.9%, investors get paid a juicy dividend to wait for capital appreciation.Seeking Alpha • Mar 14
AFC Gamma: A 10% Raise On This 11% Yield
AFCG just hiked the dividend again, this time by 10% to $0.55. The valuation is still cheap, with a single digit earnings multiple and a rapidly growing loan portfolio. Investors should be aware of the external management and the dilutive equity issuances used to fuel growth. Shares are still a strong buy under $20 and investors can collect a yield over 11%.Seeking Alpha • Jan 13
AFC Gamma: Why This 10% Yield Is A Speculative Deep Value Pick
AFCG went public in the middle of 2021 and has already grown the dividend from $0.38 to $0.50. The company's loan portfolio generates huge yields, which are likely to compress as new regulation allows other, newer competitors to enter the space. The business is flush with cash and is growing the loan portfolio at a rapid pace. AFCG has insider ownership over 25%, so management definitely has skin in the game. Add in an earnings multiple of 8.5x and AFCG is an intriguing mix of speculation and deep value that could be extremely lucrative if management continues to execute.Seeking Alpha • Nov 08
AFC Gamma: Attractive 7.2% Yield As Long As Federal Legislation Remains Unchanged
AFCG operates an extremely profitable business model of lending at high yields to state-licensed cannabis companies. AFCG's spread between its cost of capital and its asset yields is one of the highest in REITdom. However, this crucial spread would narrow considerably, and probably quite quickly, if federal legislation passed that allows institutional lenders to compete in the space. Loan yields are already compressing for the highest credit borrowers. AFCG currently trades at a 44% premium to book value.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 42 | 28 | N/A | 24 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 34 | 22 | N/A | 17 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 33 | 26 | N/A | 5 | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3 | -14 | -24 | -24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 2 | -21 | 11 | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | -1 | -23 | 14 | 14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 9 | -9 | 11 | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 41 | 19 | 19 | 19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 41 | 13 | 22 | 22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 43 | 5 | 26 | 26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 48 | 12 | 28 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 43 | 9 | 23 | 23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 52 | 20 | 21 | 21 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 60 | 33 | 19 | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 63 | 36 | 26 | 26 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 64 | 36 | 31 | 31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 64 | 36 | 31 | 31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 64 | 40 | 29 | 29 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 56 | 36 | 17 | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 46 | 30 | 14 | 12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 34 | 21 | 12 | 10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 4 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: AFCG 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.5%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: AFCG (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: AFCG 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: AFCG 의 수익(연간 50.9%)이 US 시장(연간 11.9%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: AFCG 의 수익(연간 50.9%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: AFCG의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/31 11:29 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/29 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Advanced Flower Capital Inc.는 5명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 3명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Aaron Grey | Alliance Global Partners |
| Matthew Hurwit | Jefferies LLC |
| Christopher Whitbread Nolan | Ladenburg Thalmann & Company |