Luckin Coffee 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
Luckin Coffee (는) 각각 연간 22.4% 및 13.2% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 21.6% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 23.6% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
22.4%
이익 성장률
21.56%
EPS 성장률
| Hospitality 이익 성장 | 18.0% |
| 매출 성장률 | 13.2% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 23.57% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 06 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
업데이트 없음
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 10
LKNC.Y: Roasting Network Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to $45.98 from $45.54, attributing the change to updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Luckin Coffee announced a share repurchase program of up to US$300 million of Class A shares in the form of American Depository Shares, funded with existing cash, with a planned duration of 12 months.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 24
LKNC.Y: Smart Roasting Network And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Upside
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their $45.54 price target on Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly updated views on discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while keeping their overall fair value estimate effectively unchanged. What's in the News Luckin Coffee began operating an advanced smart roasting center in Qingdao, Shandong Province, with a total investment of about RMB 3,000 million and annual roasting capacity of over 55,000 tons.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship Expansion And Green Retail Concept Will Support Upside
Analysts have maintained their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, noting that updated model inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate and a revised future P/E assumption, offset one another in their valuation analysis. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store in Shenzhen, described as its first Origin Flagship location with a focus on Global Origins and a larger brand evolution theme (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 26
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Concept Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their $45.54 price target for Luckin Coffee, reflecting slightly revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Together, these changes indicate a fine-tuning of their view rather than a major reset.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 10
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about $45.54 from around $48.76 as they incorporate more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Luckin Coffee marked the opening of its 30,000th store, the first Origin Flagship in Shenzhen, highlighting its large-scale retail footprint across more than 300 cities in China and overseas markets including Singapore, Malaysia and the United States.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 24
LKNC.Y: Origin Flagship And Green Retail Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Luckin Coffee slightly higher to $48.76 from $48.60, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Luckin Coffee opened its 30,000th store, its first Origin Flagship, in Shenzhen, tying the launch to a Global Origins theme and highlighting a shift toward greater focus on professionalism, quality, and sustainable development.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09
LKNC.Y: Overweight Rating And Origin Flagship Expansion Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee to about US$48.60 from roughly US$50.10, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as fresh Street research highlights renewed interest in the stock within China's "bubble & brew" sector and cites a US$55 price target on new coverage. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the new US$55 price target as support for the view that Luckin Coffee still has upside potential relative to the revised fair value estimate of about US$48.60, pointing to room for the share price to converge toward their assumptions on earnings and P/E.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Overweight Rating Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$50.10 from about US$49.83, citing recent positive Street research, including a new Overweight initiation, as support for the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a fresh Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, adds more color around how the market is thinking about Luckin Coffee at current levels.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11
LKNC.Y: Bubble And Brew Leadership And Margin Strength Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee slightly higher to about US$49.83 per share from roughly US$49.63, citing recent positive Street research, including a new US$55 target and Overweight initiation that support modestly stronger profit margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including a new Overweight initiation and US$55 price target from JPMorgan, gives more color on how analysts are thinking about Luckin Coffee's risk and reward profile.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 14
LKNC.Y: Store Expansion And Digital Platform Will Drive Future Market Leadership
Analysts have nudged their price target for Luckin Coffee slightly lower to $49.63 from about $49.95, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to highlight the company as a preferred name within China's "bubble and brew" sector. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's positioning as a top pick within China's rapidly expanding "bubble and brew" category, supporting a premium valuation relative to slower growing domestic peers.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 30
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Support Store Expansion Across China
The analyst consensus price target for Luckin Coffee has risen from $48.24 to $49.95, as analysts cite strong store growth and continued profitability in a rapidly expanding Chinese coffee market. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight Luckin Coffee's consistent outperformance within China's rapidly growing coffee sector, noting that it is now the largest coffee chain in the country by store count.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 16
LKNC.Y: Market Leadership Will Drive Store Expansion Momentum In China
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Luckin Coffee upward from $46.89 to $48.24. They cite strong growth prospects and continued optimism for China's expanding coffee market.내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 06
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
The consensus analyst price target for Luckin Coffee has increased modestly as a sharp decline in its future P/E ratio offset a slight reduction in revenue growth forecasts, lifting the fair value estimate from $45.61 to $46.89. What's in the News Luckin Coffee (LKNCY), now China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first store in New York City less than 200 feet from a Starbucks location, signaling its entry into the U.S. market (WSJ).내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 07
Chinese Urbanization And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Market Potential
Luckin Coffee’s future P/E ratio has dropped sharply from 21.27x to 2.96x while its net profit margin remains stable at 9.4%, leading to the consensus analyst price target holding steady at $45.61. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Luckin Coffee The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $45.61.
새로운 내러티브 • Dec 03
Aggressive Store Expansion And Light Milk Tea Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth And Profitability
Aggressive store expansion and new product lines are boosting market share, diversifying offerings, and enhancing customer engagement, driving revenue growth.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,894 | 6,723 | 6,074 | 8,372 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 67,534 | 5,418 | 3,832 | 7,147 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 59,756 | 4,357 | 3,417 | 5,709 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 52,418 | 3,583 | 3,362 | 5,985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 49,288 | 3,600 | 3,467 | 6,091 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 46,125 | 3,931 | 4,736 | 7,155 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 41,018 | 3,967 | 3,983 | 6,402 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 37,062 | 3,562 | 2,972 | 5,390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 34,475 | 2,956 | 1,811 | 4,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 31,927 | 2,401 | -1,083 | 1,674 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 28,946 | 2,075 | -1,089 | 1,668 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 26,745 | 2,200 | -1,193 | 1,563 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 24,903 | 2,844 | 144 | 2,900 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 21,533 | 2,606 | 3,074 | 3,875 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 18,228 | 2,147 | 2,181 | 2,982 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,325 | 1,033 | 184 | 985 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13,293 | 488 | -781 | 20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 12,031 | 1,355 | -216 | -43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,486 | 803 | -625 | -452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,101 | 831 | 291 | 464 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,965 | 579 | -50 | 123 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 6,879 | -2,665 | -816 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,671 | -4,353 | -1,097 | -274 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,530 | -5,044 | -2,446 | -1,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,033 | -5,589 | -3,199 | -2,377 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,783 | -4,661 | -4,065 | -3,286 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,182 | -3,481 | -4,751 | -3,137 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,319 | -3,918 | -3,940 | -2,526 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,025 | -3,713 | N/A | -2,167 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,395 | -3,765 | N/A | -1,397 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,094 | -3,718 | N/A | -1,994 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,306 | -3,631 | N/A | -1,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 841 | -3,190 | N/A | -1,311 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1 | -113 | N/A | -190 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: LKNC.Y 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(22.4%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: LKNC.Y 의 연간 수익(22.4%)이 US 시장(16.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: LKNC.Y 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: LKNC.Y 의 수익(연간 13.2%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: LKNC.Y 의 수익(연간 13.2%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: LKNC.Y의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 23.6%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/13 15:52 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
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| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
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| 경영진 | 10년 |
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| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Luckin Coffee Inc.는 18명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 10명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Mark Yuan | BNP Paribas |
| Boyi Shi | CGS International |
| null null | China International Capital Corporation Limited |