NVR, Inc.

NYSE:NVR 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$16.6b

NVR 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 1/6

NVR 의 수익은 연간 1.6% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 0.01% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 2.7% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 36.7% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

-1.6%

이익 성장률

2.74%

EPS 성장률

Consumer Durables 이익 성장8.0%
매출 성장률0.009%
향후 자기자본이익률36.65%
애널리스트 커버리지

Good

마지막 업데이트27 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Recent updates

새로운 내러티브 • May 03

NVR 05-2026

NVR converts the most capital-intensive, most cyclical, most balance-sheet-fragile activity in U.S. industrial business — residential land development — into a software-like compounder with 30% ROIC and net-cash balance sheets. The mechanism is the Lot Purchase Agreement (LPA) model: NVR pays non-refundable deposits of ~10% of finished lot value to third-party developers for the right to take down lots on a quarter-by-quarter basis.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

NVR: Fundamental Resilience And Reasonable Valuation Warrant A Buy Amid Market Volatility

Summary NVR, Inc. demonstrates resilience amid soft housing markets, leveraging an asset-light model and East Coast focus for sustained profitability. NVR maintains a robust net income margin of 10.4% in Q1 2026, outperforming peers, despite a 21.4% YoY revenue decline. Valuation metrics (P/S 1.87x, P/B 5.09x) indicate NVR is underpriced, with target prices suggesting upside potential. Issuing a buy rating, I see technical weakness as a buying opportunity, given strong balance sheet and strategic positioning. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 • Jan 01

NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

NVR, Inc.'s ( NYSE:NVR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared...
분석 기사 • Jul 14

We Think NVR (NYSE:NVR) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
분석 기사 • Jun 13

Little Excitement Around NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Earnings

NVR, Inc.'s ( NYSE:NVR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

NVR: Valuation Trading At A Premium Despite Macro Headwinds

Summary NVR faces significant macro headwinds, with declining community count, order book, and rising cancellations indicating weak forward sales momentum and pressure on profitability. 1Q25 results show cracks with a modest revenue increase but notable declines in net income, EPS, and gross profit margin due to higher lot costs and pricing pressure. The macro environment, including elevated mortgage rates and inflation, is creating a tough setup, leading to increased cancellations and the need for heavier incentives. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 11

NVR, Inc.: A Rare Opportunity To Buy A Wonderful Company

Summary NVR, Inc. has a unique, low-debt business model that reduces risk during economic downturns, differentiating it from other homebuilders. The company only buys land when there's a confirmed buyer, minimizing financial exposure and capital expenditure. NVR's cost-plus contract model allows it to operate with less capital, enhancing its financial stability and operational efficiency. With consistent net income growth and excellent capital allocation, NVR, Inc. has the potential to outperform the S&P 500 over the next decade. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 04

NVR, Inc.: Potentially Topping Out

Summary Today, we take a look at home builder NVR, Inc., whose shares have surged 600% over the past decade and are up some 25% since early July. However, mortgage rates have moved back up to the seven percent area and the stock seems overbought using some historical valuation metrics. There also has been some notable insider selling in the stock since the company posted Q3 results in late October. Is the stock in danger of “topping out,” or can the rally continue?  An analysis of NVR, Inc. follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 24

High But Declining Rates Set NVR Up For Success

Summary NVR is well-positioned to benefit from high but declining mortgage rates and low housing supply, making it a strong "Buy" despite its higher valuation. Declining but high mortgage rates are expected to boost buyer demand, benefiting NVR as homeowners remain locked into lower rates. With favorable macroeconomic conditions, NVR is likely to continue its strong performance in the medium term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 04

NVR: An Awesome Compounder That's Run Up Too Far Too Fast

Summary NVR shares have surged 29% year to date, as investor sentiment on the company and homebuilding sector more broadly has shifted. Despite strong performance in the latest quarter, the current valuation appears less attractive due to a slowing housing market and high mortgage rates. NVR's Q2'24 revenue grew 11.6% YoY, with strong new orders and a solid balance sheet, but margins slightly decreased. Trading at 12.4x EV/EBITDA, NVR's premium has widened compared to peers, so I'd suggest waiting for a better entry point for new buyers of the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 21

NVR Continues To Capitalize On Housing Shortage And High Mortgage Rates

Summary Although NVR stock slightly underperformed the broader market since my initial coverage, business drivers remain strong. Factors such as high mortgage rates, housing shortage, and potential interest rate cuts contribute to a favorable environment for NVR's medium-term performance. I believe the stock is undervalued compared to the company's potential, leading to the reiteration of my "Buy" rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11

Revisiting NVR: Still An Attractive Investment

Summary NVR, one of the biggest homebuilders in the U.S., has outperformed the market since my initial coverage and I believe it should be priced higher. The U.S. economy remains strong, with low unemployment and lower-than-expected inflation, supporting the housing market. Trends such as housing shortage and high mortgage rates discouraging homeowners from selling continue to drive demand for the company. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 23

NVR: A Deep Dive Into This Phenomenal Homebuilder

Summary NVR is the largest homebuilder on the US East Coast and has consistently generated profit every year since 1993. The company has outperformed its peers with a compounded annual growth rate of over 30% and is built to thrive in downturns. Studying NVR will provide insights into market leaders in adjacent markets and help understand the opportunities and challenges in the homebuilding industry. NVR scores 12/20 in my Sleep Well Investment scorecard and is fairly valued, but in the case of a housing downturn, I won't hesitate to start a position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:NVR - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/20279,8681,1291,0281,0625
12/31/20269,2641,0439961,2414
3/31/20269,9171,2391,2311,253N/A
12/31/202510,4381,3401,0971,121N/A
9/30/202510,5831,4331,2921,319N/A
6/30/202510,7181,5201,2091,238N/A
3/31/202510,7431,5871,4081,436N/A
12/31/202410,6871,6821,3451,374N/A
9/30/202410,2811,6351,2031,233N/A
6/30/202410,1241,6381,5041,533N/A
3/31/20249,8471,6421,2981,329N/A
12/31/20239,6831,5921,4731,498N/A
9/30/20239,9421,6361,7941,819N/A
6/30/202310,1191,6151,7461,767N/A
3/31/202310,4081,6441,8591,876N/A
12/31/202210,5751,7261,8521,870N/A
9/30/202210,0721,6051,2951,313N/A
6/30/20229,6811,5261,1491,169N/A
3/31/20229,3031,4141,2051,223N/A
12/31/20218,9661,2371,2251,242N/A
9/30/20219,0861,2071,3121,328N/A
6/30/20218,6801,1321,0611,076N/A
3/31/20218,0189741,1691,185N/A
12/31/20207,563901909925N/A
9/30/20207,209852918936N/A
6/30/20207,136820914935N/A
3/31/20207,320866686707N/A
12/31/20197,426879N/A867N/A
9/30/20197,428855N/A741N/A
6/30/20197,366827N/A856N/A
3/31/20197,349820N/A873N/A
12/31/20187,187797N/A723N/A
9/30/20187,006690N/A727N/A
6/30/20186,819656N/A562N/A
3/31/20186,574601N/A540N/A
12/31/20176,320538N/A570N/A
9/30/20176,255564N/A631N/A
6/30/20176,123519N/A564N/A
3/31/20175,966463N/A546N/A
12/31/20165,833425N/A393N/A
9/30/20165,635408N/A290N/A
6/30/20165,500407N/A256N/A
3/31/20165,355409N/A165N/A
12/31/20155,168383N/A227N/A
9/30/20154,941348N/A242N/A
6/30/20154,741322N/A161N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: NVR 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.6%).

수익 vs 시장: NVR 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -1.6%).

고성장 수익: NVR 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: NVR 의 수익(연간 0.01%)이 US 시장(연간 11.9%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: NVR 의 수익(연간 0.01%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: NVR의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 36.7%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/29 09:34
종가2026/05/29 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/12/31

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

NVR, Inc.는 19명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 7명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Ryan GilbertBTIG
Peter MartinCitizens JMP Securities, LLC