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Birkenstock Holding plcNYSE:BIRK 주식 보고서

시가총액 US$6.1b
주가
US$39.67
US$45.35
12.5% 저평가 내재 할인율
1Y-27.9%
7D16.2%
포트폴리오 가치
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Birkenstock Holding plc

NYSE:BIRK 주식 리포트

시가총액: US$6.1b

Birkenstock Holding (BIRK) 주식 개요

버켄스탁 홀딩스는 미주, 유럽, 중동, 아프리카 및 아시아 태평양 지역에서 신발 제품을 제조 및 판매하는 기업입니다. 자세히 보기

BIRK 펀더멘털 분석
스노우플레이크 점수
가치 평가5/6
미래 성장2/6
과거 실적5/6
재무 건전성4/6
배당0/6

BIRK Community Fair Values

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See what 42 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Birkenstock Holding plc 경쟁사

가격 이력 및 성과

Birkenstock Holding 주가의 최고가, 최저가 및 변동 요약
과거 주가
현재 주가US$39.67
52주 최고가US$57.20
52주 최저가US$31.12
베타1.15
1개월 변동-4.94%
3개월 변동-2.98%
1년 변동-27.94%
3년 변동n/a
5년 변동n/a
IPO 이후 변동-1.32%

최근 뉴스 및 업데이트

Seeking Alpha May 13

Birkenstock: Concerning Sales Slowdown And Inventory Buildup (Downgrade)

Summary Birkenstock faces decelerating growth, weak Q2 results, and rising inventories, prompting my downgrade to neutral. BIRK demonstrates resilience with double-digit growth and gross margin improvement from increased capacity absorption, despite macroeconomic headwinds. Risks include a more promotional retail environment, B2B order pullbacks, and intensified competition from brands like CROX. I recommend moving to the sidelines on BIRK, as recent trends skew the risk/reward balance to the downside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 13

Birkenstock: Concerning Sales Slowdown And Inventory Buildup (Downgrade)

Summary Birkenstock faces decelerating growth, weak Q2 results, and rising inventories, prompting my downgrade to neutral. BIRK demonstrates resilience with double-digit growth and gross margin improvement from increased capacity absorption, despite macroeconomic headwinds. Risks include a more promotional retail environment, B2B order pullbacks, and intensified competition from brands like CROX. I recommend moving to the sidelines on BIRK, as recent trends skew the risk/reward balance to the downside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
분석 기사 Feb 15

Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
분석 기사 Dec 11

Is There An Opportunity With Birkenstock Holding plc's (NYSE:BIRK) 21% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Birkenstock Holding fair value estimate is US$56.74 Current...
분석 기사 Nov 05

Is Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK) Potentially Undervalued?

While Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
내러티브 업데이트 Sep 26

APAC And China Trends Will Unlock Future Potential

Birkenstock Holding’s modestly lower consensus price target reflects a significant rise in its future P/E multiple, while profit margins remained stable, resulting in a revised fair value of $69.17. What's in the News Birkenstock raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to at least €2.09 billion, reflecting 15.9% reported growth and 17.5% growth in constant currency, above previous guidance.
분석 기사 Sep 12

Here's Why We Think Birkenstock Holding (NYSE:BIRK) Is Well Worth Watching

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
분석 기사 Aug 18

Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...
분석 기사 Jul 09

Calculating The Fair Value Of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK)

Key Insights Birkenstock Holding's estimated fair value is US$44.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Seeking Alpha Apr 13

Birkenstock: Upgrade To Buy On Cheaper Valuation

Summary I upgrade Birkenstock to a buy rating as the stock now trades at ~22x forward P/E, making it more attractive. BIRK shows resilient top-line growth across all regions and channels, with 1Q25 revenue up 19% y/y, exceeding management’s FY25 guidance. The DTC strategy is gaining momentum, with plans to increase store count by ~40% and a growing membership base driving higher transaction values. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 21

Birkenstock Adds Winter Assortment, But The Stock Remains Too Expensive

Summary Birkenstock Holding plc reported 19% YOY revenue growth, but the market reacted negatively due to maintained full-year guidance of 15%-17%, indicating potential deceleration from last year's 20%. Wholesale growth outperformed at 30%, but 90% came from existing doors, raising saturation concerns; DTC growth slowed to 10% from 30% last year. Product diversification is promising, with closed-toe silhouettes making up 50% of revenue; Asia grew 47% YoY, now 13% of sales. BIRK stock valuation remains high at 27x NTM earnings, requiring flawless execution and sustained growth; maintain a Hold rating due to high fashion risk and revenue deceleration signs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 03

Birkenstock: There's Still Room To Rise As ASP Expansion And China Growth Power Earnings

Summary I favor "growth at a reasonable price" stocks like Birkenstock, which has seen a ~20% rise and strong Q4 results. Birkenstock's gross margins fell in FY24 due to facility expansion but are expected to improve in FY25, moving closer to long-term targets. Increased production efficiency and an 8% ASP increase are boosting Birkenstock's margins, forecasting up to 50bps y/y expansion in adjusted EBITDA. Birkenstock shows strong growth potential in underpenetrated markets like Asia, making it a solid investment for continued success in 2025. The stock trades at a reasonable ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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새로운 내러티브 Dec 22

APAC Expansion And Closed-Toe Product Surge To Propel Revenue And Margins

Aggressive expansion in APAC and increased DTC sales boost revenue, with new store openings enhancing global retail presence.
Seeking Alpha Dec 22

Birkenstock: Upside Is Not Attractive At The Current Valuation

Summary I assign a hold rating to Birkenstock due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and positive outlook. BIRK's recent performance is impressive, with 22% y/y growth in 4Q24 and strong demand across all regions and channels. Management's conservative FY25 guidance of 15-17% y/y growth suggests potential for a "beat and raise" motion, but valuation limits upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 23

Birkenstock Holding: Undervalued, With Tailwinds Ahead

Summary Birkenstock is expanding into untapped Asian markets and emphasizing sustainability, creating strong growth potential and differentiation from competitors. Financial performance has been robust, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, demonstrating resilience in a challenging economic environment. My DCF analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, with a potential 67.1% upside, supporting a "BUY" recommendation. Despite competition, Birkenstock's unique product features and sustainable practices mitigate risks, reinforcing its market position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 05

Birkenstock: Stock Is Still Not Attractive After Price Drop

Summary Birkenstock's Q3 2024 showed an impressive 19% YoY revenue growth, but the stock price dropped 20% due to a revenue and earnings miss. Despite strong performance, high valuations and fashion risk make Birkenstock's stock inherently risky, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. The company's shift from DTC to B2B impacted gross margins, but management's guidance of 20% topline growth and 30% EBITDA margins remains intact. Birkenstock's current valuation requires excessive growth to justify its price, making future returns uncertain and supporting my Hold recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 30

Birkenstock: Decelerating Growth And Inflated Valuations Do Not Mix Well

Summary Birkenstock's shares trade at a very high valuation despite decelerating revenue growth, contracting gross profit margins, and insiders selling. The company's third-quarter results missed revenue and profit expectations, and forward guidance was weak. Birkenstock's strategy of creating artificial scarcity is risky and could backfire, giving competitors an opportunity to capture unmet demand. Despite generating significant cash flow and reducing net debt, the high valuation, and potential governance issues remain major concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 30

Birkenstock Has A Great Brand And Potential, But The Stock Is Overvalued

Summary Birkenstock IPOed last year with a frothy valuation based on significant growth that has continued in FY24. The company has several interesting characteristics, including great brand equity, pricing power, and a relatively loyal customer base. The company is also growing tremendously in FY23 and FY24, which is more impressive in comparison with the generally bad performance of most discretionary companies during this period. Despite these positive aspects, Birkenstock's stock price already discounts most future positive developments, and exposes investors to significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 11

Birkenstock: Stellar Growth In Asia And Closed-Toe Shoes

Summary Birkenstock stock remains a long-term hold despite a 20%+ run-up year to date. The company's Q2 earnings release showed slightly accelerating revenue growth, with continued performance in Asia and strong sell-through results in Europe. The company is also noting that closed-toe shoes, in particular clogs, are making up a larger share of its revenue. Gross margins are suffering a current headwind from a manufacturing capacity expansion, but this is a signal that the company is preparing for operating at a much larger scale. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 30

Birkenstock: Aggressive Growth Trajectory Continues

Summary Birkenstock, the shoemaker that went public last year, has failed to rally beyond its IPO price, despite incredible financials. The company has shown strong Q4 results, with aggressive growth in direct-channel sales and a reduction in debt leverage. Birkenstock has an incredible growth trajectory, a broad product portfolio, efficient marketing strategies, and a stellar margin profile, making it a promising investment. It's growing >50% y/y in Asia, which is a largely underpenetrated market for the company. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 27

Birkenstock's Valuation Conundrum: Lofty Market Expectations Vs. Real Growth Hurdles

Summary Birkenstock's is trading at 6.5x NTM EV/Sales and 21.4x NTM EV/EBITDA respectively, with the current valuation implying a 17.7% annual growth rateover the next decade, while maintaining 30% EBITDA margin. The company is facing hurdles such as low/stagnant unit sales growth, rising costs, limited room for further price increases and hence a potential margin decline. With inventories levels at 40% of revenues, exceeding 30 million units, and a modest 5.5% unit growth in FY2023, signs point to potential low consumer demand. Given the free float is under 10%, skewing the current valuation from the market's true sentiment, our outlook on the stock is bearish. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 30

Birkenstock: Right Time To Buy

Summary Birkenstock, the German shoemaker, is experiencing incredible growth with a multi-year trajectory above 20% y/y. Future growth drivers include relatively low penetration in Asian markets as well as retail/DTC expansion. The company boasts a stellar margin profile with a gross margin in the low 60s (versus mid-40s for competitors). Though not cheap at ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA, Birkenstock's premium growth and margin profile justify a premium valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 19

Birkenstock: Landing On Its Feet

Summary Birkenstock, a German-based global brand, went public in October 2023 at a premium valuation. The company saw strong growth in sales and profits, with revenues up 20% in 2023. Despite a slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter, Birkenstock's revenue guidance for 2024 is promising, with sales expected to reach EUR 1.75 billion. While there is much to like about the business and its growth prospects, valuations are too stretched to get involved. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 06

Birkenstock: Walking On Overvalued Ground

Summary Birkenstock, controlled by L Catterton, has seen significant growth in the past decade, but its valuation may be too high. The company's strategy of expanding in markets like China and India and focusing on direct-to-consumer sales appears to be successful. While Birkenstock has a strong brand and potential for growth, its current valuation is demanding and may not be sustainable long term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 12

Birkenstock Is Walking On Air

Summary Birkenstock, a German footwear maker, went public Wednesday. The company's guiding principle is "Walking Naturally", and its footwear is designed for comfort and foot health. BIRK has experienced significant growth, but its profitability is weak, and 76% of the offer price is based on assumptions about future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

주주 수익률

BIRKUS LuxuryUS 시장
7D16.2%3.1%-0.3%
1Y-27.9%-15.1%26.7%

수익률 대 산업: BIRK은 지난 1년 동안 -15.1%의 수익을 기록한 US Luxury 산업보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

수익률 대 시장: BIRK은 지난 1년 동안 26.7%를 기록한 US 시장보다 저조한 성과를 냈습니다.

주가 변동성

Is BIRK's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BIRK volatility
BIRK Average Weekly Movement9.8%
Luxury Industry Average Movement6.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

안정적인 주가: BIRK는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.

시간에 따른 변동성: BIRK의 주간 변동성(10%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.

회사 소개

설립직원 수CEO웹사이트
17746,800Oliver Joachim Reichertwww.birkenstock-holding.com

버켄스탁 홀딩스는 미주, 유럽, 중동, 아프리카 및 아시아 태평양 지역에서 신발 제품을 제조 및 판매하고 있습니다. 샌들, 클로즈드 토 슈즈 등 풋베드 기반 제품과 스킨케어 제품 및 액세서리를 제공합니다. 이 회사는 이커머스 사이트와 자체 소매점 네트워크, B2B 채널을 통해 제품을 판매합니다.

Birkenstock Holding plc 기초 지표 요약

Birkenstock Holding의 순이익과 매출은 시가총액과 어떻게 비교됩니까?
BIRK 기초 통계
시가총액US$6.11b
순이익 (TTM)US$413.00m
매출 (TTM)US$2.53b
17.7x
주가수익비율(P/E)
2.9x
주가매출비율(P/S)

BIRK는 고평가되어 있습니까?

공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기

순이익 및 매출

최근 실적 보고서(TTM)의 주요 수익성 지표
BIRK 손익계산서 (TTM)
매출€2.18b
매출원가€921.63m
총이익€1.26b
기타 비용€904.48m
순이익€355.51m

최근 보고된 실적

Mar 31, 2026

다음 실적 발표일

해당 없음

주당순이익(EPS)1.93
총이익률57.75%
순이익률16.30%
부채/자본 비율40.0%

BIRK의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?

과거 실적 및 비교 보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석2026/05/21 23:24
종가2026/05/21 00:00
수익2026/03/31
연간 수익2025/09/30

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *
기업 재무제표10년
  • 손익계산서
  • 현금흐름표
  • 대차대조표
분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년
  • 재무 예측
  • 분석가 목표주가
시장 가격30년
  • 주가
  • 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치
지분 구조10년
  • 주요 주주
  • 내부자 거래
경영진10년
  • 리더십 팀
  • 이사회
주요 개발10년
  • 회사 공시

* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.

분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.

산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

Birkenstock Holding plc는 24명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 21명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가기관
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Luca SolcaBernstein
Melania GrippoBNP Paribas