Lightning eMotors 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 0/6
현재 Lightning eMotors 의 성장과 수익을 예측할 만큼 분석가의 범위가 충분하지 않습니다.
핵심 정보
n/a
이익 성장률
n/a
EPS 성장률
| Machinery 이익 성장 | 16.8% |
| 매출 성장률 | n/a |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | n/a |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | None |
| 마지막 업데이트 | n/a |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
분석 기사 • Apr 18
It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Lightning eMotors, Inc. (NYSE:ZEV)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.4x Lightning eMotors, Inc. ( NYSE:ZEV ) may be sending very bullish...Seeking Alpha • Feb 02
Sell Lightning eMotors As Shares Surge Despite Worsening Fundamentals
Summary EV stocks charged back to life in January. While some of the stronger stocks in the industry might be turning the corner, a lot of EV firms are still in deep trouble. Lightning eMotors has weak operational results and its latest business update was discouraging. I believe traders should be looking to sell struggling speculative firms, such as Lightning eMotors, after this large rally. Lightning eMotors shares were up another 15% on Wednesday, making for an excellent opportunity to sell. Lightning eMotors (ZEV) is a company in the electric vehicle industry. It has a wide-ranging business plan. It aims to design and manufacture zero-emission vehicles including both battery and fuel cell electric. It also offers charging infrastructure solutions. It aims to have products ranging from passenger and cargo vehicles through to work trucks and city buses. Despite the broad range of business activity, Lightning eMotors has failed to generate much commercial traction. Fiscal year 2021 saw revenues of $21 million, and 2022 isn't going to end up being all the much higher. Meanwhile, like many other SPACs and electric vehicles companies, Lightning eMotors is running large losses. Analysts project that the company will lose $1.01 per share in 2023, which is slightly unnerving given that the company's stock closed Wednesday at $1.00. It's generally not a great sign when a company is projected to lose its entire market cap in a single year. And, if anything, Lightning's outlook is getting worse following its most recent business update in January. A Massive Revenue Miss Lightning Motors released a frankly awful business update earlier in January. Here's the details from Seeking Alpha: Lightning eMotors on Tuesday [January 10] said Q4 revenue was expected to be about $4M on sales of 31 vehicles and powertrain units, significantly lower than expectations. The company own's expectations for Q4 revenue [had] ranged from $13M to $18M on sales of 100 to 130 units. It really doesn't get much worse than this, as far as operational updates go. The company sold just 31 units against prior midpoint guidance of 115. Meanwhile, revenues of $4 million are approximately 75% shy of prior guidance. You'd expect to see shares near fresh 52-week lows following such a fiasco. Instead, ZEV shares have tripled over the past month. It's that kind of market again, apparently, where stocks can triple in a short span despite awful fundamental news: Data by YCharts Needless to say, I think anyone that owns ZEV shares should be thankful for this unexpected run-up over the past month and move to the sidelines. What explains the awful operational results from Lightning eMotors? In part, it blamed Romeo Power -- now a division of Nikola (NKLA) -- for not following through on a planned battery supply agreement. That's all fine and well, sometimes companies won't or can't execute on planned deals. That said, if a big chunk of your forecasted revenues are reliant on Nikola meeting expectations, your business plan might be on flimsy footing. Nikola, after all, is the electric vehicle company most well-known for rolling a prototype vehicle down a hill. Nikola's founder, Trevor Milton, was convicted of fraud in October. It's not ideal when a significant piece of Lightning's business was apparently reliant on another struggling EV firm to deliver. Turning to profits, things are looking bleak on that front for Lightning eMotors. The company, since going public, has never once generated a positive gross margin. In fact, it's never even been particularly close to breakeven: Data by YCharts As a reminder, gross margin is simply the difference between how much it costs you to manufacture a product and how much you sell it for. Lightning eMotors, as of the most recent quarter, is now losing 40% on every sale just putting the products together. That counts no other overhead, interest, taxes, or any of that. Just on the raw cost of goods, Lightning eMotors is way under water. In theory, Lightning was supposed to be ramping up sales and reaching positive gross margins once it utilized its capacity better. Instead, Lightning's sales are declining and losses are widening. There's very little good to say about this operational update or Lightning's recent business results more generally. Balance Sheet & Other Bigger Picture Factors Until recently, bulls could point to a reasonably strong balance sheet as a sign of strength. However, the company has gone through more than half of its cash pile since 2021. It has also been diluting shareholders. For example, it converted some of its debt into stock at an effective price of around a dollar per share. Given that a lot more debt remains, we could see significant additional dilution on that front. On top of that, Lightning has a $50 million equity sale agreement in place, and I'd expect that they may use it going forward given the recent sharp rally in the share price. Additionally, in December, the company received a non-compliance warning from the New York Stock Exchange due to its stock price falling under the $1 threshold. As of this writing, ZEV stock is currently right up at the $1 threshold. However, given the company's weakening balance sheet and large operating losses, it wouldn't be surprising if the stock dips back below that line, eventually leading to a reverse stock split. There's one more data point worth considering about Lightning eMotors. It came public via a GigCapital SPAC deal. GigCapital has, to date, completed four SPAC deals, respectively, including: Lightning eMotors BigBear.ai (BBAI) Kaleyra (KLR) UpHealth (UPH)Seeking Alpha • Jan 10
Lightning eMotors sees Q4 revenue below estimates, says Nikola unit ended agreement
Lightning eMotors (NYSE:ZEV) on Tuesday said Q4 revenue was expected to be about $4M on sales of 31 vehicles and powertrain units, significantly lower than expectations. The company own's expectations for Q4 revenue ranged from $13M to $18M on sales of 100 to 130 units. The consensus revenue estimate for Q4 is $15.03M. ZEV blamed the preliminary revenue expectation on battery supply issues and rising interest rates. The company also said that it lost significant sales volume during Q4 due to Romeo Power Systems, a Nikola (NKLA) unit, unexpectedly ending its commitments under its long-term supply agreement with ZEV. ZEV added that it produced 128 vehicles and powertrain units in Q4, its highest output ever, up from 104 in Q3. Lightning eMotors (ZEV) stock earlier closed -2.2% at $0.53.Seeking Alpha • Dec 16
Lightning Emotors receives non-compliance letter from NYSE
Lightning eMotors (NYSE:ZEV) said on Friday it had received notice from the New York Stock Exchange that it was not in compliance with the NYSE’s continued listing standard that requires a minimum average closing share price of $1 over 30 consecutive trading days. The Company has six months to regain compliance.Seeking Alpha • Nov 06
Lightning eMotors Q3 2022 Earnings Preview
Lightning eMotors (NYSE:ZEV) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results on Monday, November 7th, after market close. The consensus EPS Estimate is -$0.29 (+56.7% Y/Y) and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $8.48M (+34.6% Y/Y). Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 3 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 4 downward.Seeking Alpha • Oct 11
Lightning eMotors makes 104 vehicles & powertrains in Q3, up ~30% from Q2
Lightning eMotors (NYSE:ZEV) on Tuesday said it had produced 104 vehicles and powertrains in Q3, compared to 74 in Q2. Shares of the electric vehicle maker rose 3.2% to $1.30 after hours. The company said the Q3 production level was its highest ever. ZEV anticipates the U.S. government's growth in funding for commercial electric vehicles to help its production ramp. ZEV also said it plans to disclose unit production levels after the end of each quarter.Seeking Alpha • Sep 09
Lightning eMotors CFO to retire
Teresa Covington is retiring as CFO of vehicle company Lightning eMotors (NYSE:ZEV), effective Oct. 2. David Agatston is appointed new CFO, effective Oct. 3. Agatston, most recently, was providing CFO consulting services as the founder of Devil's Peak Consulting. The company said Covington will continue to be available through Mar. 31, 2023. Source: Press ReleaseSeeking Alpha • Aug 30
Lightning eMotors signs $50M stock purchase deal with Lincoln Park Capital
Lightning eMotors (NYSE:ZEV) said Tuesday it signed a purchase agreement and registration rights deal for up to $50M with Lincoln Park Capital Fund. ZEV has the right, but not the obligation, to sell up to $50M of its stock to Lincoln Park. ZEV may issue purchase notices for regular or accelerated purchases to Lincoln Park over a 36-month period. Lincoln Park agreed not to cause or engage in any direct or indirect short selling of hedging of ZEV's stock. ZEV issued shares to Lincoln Park as consideration for its irrevocable commitment to purchase ZEV stock under the deal.Seeking Alpha • Aug 15
Lightning eMotors: Why The Stock Is Not Yet A Compelling Buy
Despite a 40% decline in the stock this year, ZEV does not look like a buy yet and we are not buyers of the dip. Revenue decline significantly disappointed expectations. Revenue is on track to grow for the year, but not as much as expected. Order backlog has been slow to convert to revenue. Gross margin keeps moving in the wrong direction and is deep in negative territory. Gross margin must improve for ZEV to rise. Lightning eMotors, Inc. (ZEV) is having a tough year, down more than 41% since the start of the year, which is much worse than the performance of the S&P500. The index is down only 11%, meaning that ZEV is far underperforming the market this year. Furthermore, we believe that ZEV is still showing underwhelming and disappointing results, which is unlikely to cause a quick turnaround in the stock. While the company reported some silver linings and other positive developments in the business, we believe the most important items (backlog, revenue growth, and gross margin) have not shown much improvement. The most recent earnings results were disappointing, and that causes the outlook for the business and the stock to be quite dark. In simple words, we don't believe ZEV is a good stock to buy currently. We explain why we don't see it as a buy in this article. Stagnant order backlog Lightning eMotors reported $169M of orders backlog, which is a relatively large amount that provides Lightning eMotors with a good runway for revenue generation. Having such a strong backlog is one of the attractive aspects of the business, because it shows customers are willing to sign contracts and place orders. However, one concern is that order backlog has not grown much since Q4-2020. Order backlog has grown strongly soon after ZEV went public, but it has stagnated since then, as shown in the (left) chart below. The sales pipeline has shown better growth, which could potentially convert into backlog in due time. As always, time will tell. Company Presentation The lack of growth in backlog orders for the past 6 quarters is likely driven by supply chain issues, which are outside of the company's control and have proven difficult to manage. We give ZEV the benefit of the doubt on this front. Because of ongoing supply chain issues and sizable backlog already on the books, the lack of backlog growth is not hugely concerning (i.e., not a reason to short ZEV), but it is an important item and worth monitoring. At least there has not been any backlog fallout (i.e., cancellations), which by itself shows that current customers remain committed to purchasing the vehicles. Recall that Lightning eMotors has a variety of customers with some blue-chip names on the list. Additionally, Lightning eMotors receives repeat orders from these customers, which we view positively because repeat orders should generate consistent revenue into the future. Company Presentation Although we believe showing growth in backlog orders would be a positive for Lightning eMotors stock, we believe that converting the current backlog to revenues and generating profits on those orders are much more important drivers. On that aspect, Lightning eMotors has not shown great results, which is more concerning than not showing backlog growth. Disappointing revenue growth Total revenues came in at just $3.5M, which is down 40% from last year and meaningfully missed analysts' expectations. With about the same backlog as last year, Lightning eMotors converted a lot less in revenues this quarter, which is not a good sign. The executive team explained that delays were caused by supply chain issues (chassis and other components) and customer financing. The executive team reassured investors that these sales were not lost, only delayed. However, the guidance provided for Q3 was underwhelming and below analyst expectations. Looking at the full year, the team issued guidance that calls for total revenues between $35M to $45M, which implies 91% revenue growth for the full year. That means the decline in revenue was only a Q2 problem and should be reversed. We would give management the benefit of the doubt on delays. As much as revenue growth is important, we believe that gross margins are even more important because it is a measure of profitability. On that aspect, Lightning eMotors also disappointed. Gross margin deterioration Gross margin keeps on getting worse, which means the business lost more money this year compared to last year. Said another way, Lightning eMotors generated lower sales revenue and lost more money on those sales. Not good. Gross margin was -38% in Q2-2022, which is meaningfully worse than last year's -19%. On a year-to-date basis, gross margin stands at -41% compared to -18% last year. To be blunt, these results are terrible. We believe that gross margin deterioration is the worst part of the earnings report, and the most concerning item. Gross margin is probably the most important factor that is preventing ZEV stock from rising, and this is the most likely reason why the stock declined following the earnings release. Gross margin decline shows that Lightning eMotors needs to overcome major challenges to make business profitable. There is no business in the world that can survive (let alone thrive) without generating positive gross margins. Lightning eMotors is no exception. Sooner or later, gross margin will need to reverse and turn positive. The most recent earnings release shows gross margin is trending in the wrong direction. Gross margin has been getting worse since Lightning eMotors went public, even though gross margin was supposed to be getting better as the business scaled. The results are showing the more Lightning eMotors scales, the worse its gross margin gets. Lightning eMotors has not proven to Mr. Market that it can make a profit in its business, and Mr. Market likes profits. Gross margins must improve and turn positive to secure the long-term survival of the company. Until then, we don't believe the stock will do well. A balance sheet for two years The balance sheet deteriorated further in Q2. As Lightning eMotors continues to lose money quarter after quarter, the balance sheet will most likely continue to deteriorate. However, there is enough cash on the balance sheet to sustain operations for the remaining of 2022, and probably for 2023 (though this is not certain). Cash burn in the first half of the year was ~$25M, which leaves the company with $125M cash on hand. At a run rate of ~$50M burn per year, the balance sheet has capacity to sustain about 2 years of operations, give or take some months. But that's it. What happens after that? Unless the business miraculously turns cash flow positive over the next 12-36 months, Lightning eMotors will eventually need another capital infusion to scale the business and reach profitability. That's important because a future capital raise will most likely dilute existing shareholders, which is a big risk and undesirable. Lightning eMotors explicitly states this in their SEC filings, reminding investors that it: "will require additional capital to fund the growth and scaling of our manufacturing facilities and operations; further develop our products and services, including those for orders in our order backlog; and fund possible acquisitions." More importantly, the executive team provided investors with the first clue that it will soon need to raise capital. In the most recent earnings release, the CEO commented that "while we believe we have sufficient cash to fund our operations for the next year, we are exploring ways to raise more capital to fund critical investments."Seeking Alpha • Jul 13
AMPLY power partners with lightning emotors to enable integration of OMEGA charge management software for seamless fleet customer experience
AMPLY Power (Zev) has announced the first partnership with lightning eMotors . Amply is a leader in zero emission vehicles. With Powered by Lightning will combine the strength of its own vehicle telematics with AMPLY’s OMEGA charge management software for new EV purchases. The software optimizes EV charging for low-cost energy and vehicle availability. The growing demands for electric transportation requires collaboration across the EV ecosystem, from vehicle manufacturers to telematics providers, utilities, energy management providers, and beyond,” said Vic Shao, Founder and CEO of AMPLY Power. With the OMEGA integration, Lightning customers can take delivery of their new EVs with confidence, as the software is vehicle and charger agnostic. Company are thrilled to be integrating our class-leading vehicle telematics solution, Lightning Insights, with AMPLY Power, one of the leaders in the fleet charging management space,” said Tim Reeser, Chief Executive Officer. Source: Press Release분석 기사 • May 18
Analysts Have Just Cut Their Lightning eMotors, Inc. (NYSE:ZEV) Revenue Estimates By 20%
Market forces rained on the parade of Lightning eMotors, Inc. ( NYSE:ZEV ) shareholders today, when the analysts...Seeking Alpha • May 02
Lightning eMotors, Inc.: A First Look
Today, we put Lightning eMotors, Inc. in the spotlight for the first time. The company has strong analyst support and big revenue growth projections in FY2022, but recent quarterly results were disappointing. So what is ahead for this small-cap EV concern? A full investment analysis follows in the paragraphs below.분석 기사 • Apr 05
Analysts Just Shaved Their Lightning eMotors, Inc. (NYSE:ZEV) Forecasts Dramatically
Today is shaping up negative for Lightning eMotors, Inc. ( NYSE:ZEV ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...분석 기사 • Mar 31
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Lightning eMotors, Inc. (NYSE:ZEV) After Its Latest Results
Investors in Lightning eMotors, Inc. ( NYSE:ZEV ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.1% to close at US$5.82...Seeking Alpha • Feb 16
Lightning eMotors, Inc. Faces Multiple Challenges Going Forward
Lightning eMotors, Inc. shares have decreased by 43.2% since Q3 earnings were released on 11/15/21. YTD loss from operations of $34.0M is up 295% YOY. YTD net loss of $122.9M is up 406% YOY. These suboptimal results indicate that the company faces multiple financial and operational challenges going forward.분석 기사 • Nov 25
Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Lightning eMotors, Inc. (NYSE:ZEV) Performing In The Near Term
The analysts covering Lightning eMotors, Inc. ( NYSE:ZEV ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...Seeking Alpha • Nov 21
Lightning eMotors: Why The Stock Declined And What To Expect Going Into 2022
A big slowdown in revenue growth caused by supply chain issues is causing Lightning eMotors to come way short of expectations. They keep disappointing. Supply chain issues are not company-specific, which is a good thing. A new deal with Proterra looks promising. Gross margin must improve and has been disappointing. Without positive gross margins, ZEV will not be a good stock to own. A few silver linings give us hope that 2022 will be better than 2021. Time will tell.Seeking Alpha • Sep 17
Lightning eMotors Pulls Guidance As The Electrification Of Transport Charges Ahead
Lightning eMotors recently reported fiscal 2021 second-quarter results that saw a strong increase in revenue and a significant improvement in gross margins. The company faced supply issues during the quarter that forced management to pull its guidance for the year. A strong order backlog and broader macro tailwinds likely put Lightning on track for continued operational momentum.Seeking Alpha • Jul 31
Lightning eMotors: Earnings Preview And What To Look For
Lightning eMotors is set to report earnings in a few weeks. This earnings report will be the first as a public company and will set the tone for the stock. ZEV is trading near its all-time lows. A strong earnings report can cause the stock to reverse its underperformance. The earnings report should bring in explosive revenue growth, as well as improvement in gross margins. These two are positive catalysts. Revenue growth and growth in sales pipeline will be the most important numbers for the rest of the year. Going into 2022, gross margins will be the focus and needs to turn positive. At 6.5x EV/Revenues, the stock looks reasonably priced to speculate. It's a high risk stock, but may produce high rewards.이 섹션에서는 일반적으로 전문 애널리스트들의 컨센서스 추정치를 기반으로 매출 및 이익 성장 전망을 제시하여 투자자들이 회사의 수익 창출 능력을 이해하도록 돕습니다. 그러나 Lightning eMotors는 과거 데이터가 충분하지 않고 애널리스트 예측도 없어, 과거 데이터를 단순히 외삽하거나 애널리스트 전망을 사용하여 향후 이익을 신뢰할 수 있게 계산할 수 없습니다.
Simply Wall St가 다루는 기업 중 97%는 과거 재무 데이터를 보유하고 있기 때문에, 이는 상당히 드문 상황입니다.
이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2023 | 26 | -104 | -93 | -87 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 25 | -55 | -116 | -109 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 20 | 2 | -115 | -107 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 24 | 15 | -112 | -105 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 24 | 46 | -91 | -85 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 19 | -2 | -77 | -71 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 22 | -84 | -80 | -75 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 21 | -101 | -69 | -66 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 20 | -136 | -56 | -52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 18 | -106 | -46 | -44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 13 | -62 | -22 | -20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 9 | -38 | -18 | -16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 7 | -28 | -17 | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3 | -12 | -14 | -13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1 | -9 | -7 | -7 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: ZEVY 의 예상 수익 증가율이 절약률(3.5%)보다 높은지 판단하기에는 데이터가 부족합니다.
수익 vs 시장: ZEVY 의 수익이 US 시장보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에는 데이터가 부족합니다.
고성장 수익: ZEVY 의 수익이 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에는 데이터가 부족합니다.
수익 대 시장: ZEVY 의 수익이 US 시장보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에는 데이터가 부족합니다.
고성장 매출: ZEVY 의 수익이 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에는 데이터가 부족합니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: ZEVY의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/21 11:36 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2023/09/30 |
| 연간 수익 | 2022/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
Lightning eMotors, Inc.는 7명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 0명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Michael Ward | Benchmark Company |
| Sherif El-Sabbahy | BofA Global Research |
| Richard Ryan | Colliers Securities |