View ValuationGEO Group 향후 성장Future 기준 점검 1/6GEO Group 의 수익은 연간 15.1% 감소할 것으로 예상되는 반면, 연간 수익은 9.8% 로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 10.4% 만큼 쇠퇴할 것으로 예상됩니다.핵심 정보-15.1%이익 성장률-10.35%EPS 성장률Commercial Services 이익 성장15.7%매출 성장률9.8%향후 자기자본이익률n/a애널리스트 커버리지Low마지막 업데이트26 Jun 2026최근 향후 성장 업데이트공시 • May 08+ 1 more updateThe Geo Group, Inc. Increases Earnings Guidance for Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. increased earnings guidance for full year of 2026. The company increased financial guidance for the full year 2026 . Company expect full year 2026 Net Income Attributable to GEO Operations to be in a range of $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 30 %, inclusive of known discrete items.공시 • Feb 12+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2026. For the first quarter of 2026, the company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.17 to $0.19 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $680 million to $690 million. For the year 2026, the company expects full year 2026 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.99 to $1.07 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion.공시 • Nov 06the Geo Group, Inc. Updates Financial Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. updated its financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. For the fourth quarter, the company expects fourth quarter 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.23 to $0.27 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $651 million to $676 million. Taking into account updated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, the company expects full year 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $1.81 to $1.85 per diluted share. Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in the range of $254,000,000 to $259,000,000.공시 • May 07The Geo Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the second quarter and full year 2025. For the second quarter of 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.15 to $0.17 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $615 million to $625 million. For the full year 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.77 to $0.89 per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.53 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 27%, inclusive of known discrete items. Net Income Attributable to GEO is expected to be between $108 million to $125 million.공시 • Feb 27The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the full year 2025, the company expected net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of 74 cents to 88 cents per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.5 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 28%, inclusive of known discrete items.공시 • Nov 07The GEO Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024The GEO Group, Inc. updated earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. While participant counts under ISAP have been increasing subsequent to the end of the third quarter 2024 to approximately 182,500 currently, and while it is possible ISAP participant counts and utilization of ICE processing center beds may further increase this year, the company have updated fourth quarter 2024 guidance to be largely consistent with third quarter 2024 results. The company expects fourth quarter 2024 Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.19 to $0.22 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $600 million to $610 million. For the full year 2024, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.30 to $0.34 per diluted share, which reflects costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $87 million, pre-tax.모든 업데이트 보기Recent updates공시 • Jun 29+ 3 more updatesThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth BenchmarkThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth BenchmarkValuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 15Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to Mex$490, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$304 per share.Board Change • Jun 04Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Board Change • May 14Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Reported Earnings • May 11First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: US$0.29 (vs US$0.14 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$0.29 (up from US$0.14 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$705.2m (up 17% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$38.3m (up 96% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from 3.2% in 1Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.2% growth forecast for the Global Commercial Services industry. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 32% per year.공시 • May 08+ 1 more updateThe Geo Group, Inc. Increases Earnings Guidance for Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. increased earnings guidance for full year of 2026. The company increased financial guidance for the full year 2026 . Company expect full year 2026 Net Income Attributable to GEO Operations to be in a range of $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 30 %, inclusive of known discrete items.공시 • Apr 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 06, 2026The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results Pre-Market on May 06, 2026공시 • Mar 20The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026.Board Change • Mar 18Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • Mar 06+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer ChangesThe GEO Group, Inc. announced that on February 27, 2026, Mark J. Suchinski, the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, notified the Company of his decision to relocate out-of-state and leave his position effective March 31, 2026 (the “Separation Date) to accept a position in another industry. Shayn March, Executive Vice President, Finance and Treasurer, was appointed Chief Financial Officer on March 5, 2026, effective April 1, 2026. Mr. March, 60, joined GEO as Vice President of Finance and Treasurer in March 2009. Mr. March served as Acting Chief Financial Officer from January 2024 to July 2024. During his 17 years with GEO, Mr. March has played a pivotal role in the financial management of GEO and its subsidiaries and GEO’s acquisition, disposition and growth initiatives. Prior to joining GEO, Mr. March served as a Managing Director for the Corporate Investment Banking group at BNP Paribas, where he worked for eleven years in increasing capacities. From 1995 to 1997, Mr. March was employed at Sanwa Bank in the Corporate Finance Department. From 1988 to 1994, Mr. March was employed at UJB Financial in the Finance and Credit Audit Departments. Mr. March earned his Masters in Business Administration in Financial Management from the Lubin School of Business at Pace University and his Bachelor of Arts in Economics at Rutgers University.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 20Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to Mex$229, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Commercial Services industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 24% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$180 per share.Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.85 (vs US$0.23 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$1.85 (up from US$0.23 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$2.63b (up 8.6% from FY 2024). Net income: US$254.4m (up US$224.5m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.7% (up from 1.2% in FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 7% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 14% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.공시 • Feb 12+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2026. For the first quarter of 2026, the company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.17 to $0.19 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $680 million to $690 million. For the year 2026, the company expects full year 2026 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.99 to $1.07 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion.Board Change • Jan 27Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • Jan 20The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 12, 2026The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results Pre-Market on Feb 12, 2026Board Change • Jan 01Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • Dec 11GEO Group Inc Announces Retirement of Joe Negron as Senior Vice President, Legal Services, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary Effective December 31, 2025GEO Group Inc. announced that Joe Negron, the Senior Vice President, Legal Services, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, provided the company with notice of his decision to retire from his position effective December 31, 2025. Joe Negron has served as GEO's General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since 2019. Joe Negron will continue to serve as a consultant to the company following his retirement for a two-year period commencing January 1, 2026 in order to assist the company on various legal, regulatory and compliance matters.New Risk • Nov 12New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.4% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.5x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.4% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$152m sold).New Risk • Nov 06New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 229% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.5x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$152m sold).Reported Earnings • Nov 06Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.26 (vs US$0.19 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.26 (up from US$0.19 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$682.3m (up 13% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$173.9m (up US$147.6m from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 26% (up from 4.4% in 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 20% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • Nov 06the Geo Group, Inc. Updates Financial Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. updated its financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. For the fourth quarter, the company expects fourth quarter 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.23 to $0.27 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $651 million to $676 million. Taking into account updated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, the company expects full year 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $1.81 to $1.85 per diluted share. Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in the range of $254,000,000 to $259,000,000.공시 • Oct 01The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 06, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results Pre-Market on Nov 06, 2025Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 22Key Executive recently sold Mex$30m worth of stockOn the 20th of August, George Zoley sold around 75k shares on-market at roughly Mex$400 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.8% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was George's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.21 (vs US$0.26 loss in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.21 (up from US$0.26 loss in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$636.2m (up 4.8% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$29.1m (up US$63.0m from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from net loss in 2Q 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 31% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 39% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • Aug 06+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) announces an Equity Buyback for $300 million worth of its shares.The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to $300 million worth of its common stock. The program will expire on June 30, 2028.공시 • Jul 16The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 06, 2025공시 • Jun 30+ 5 more updatesThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2000 Value-Defensive IndexThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index공시 • Jun 10The GEO Group Provides Update on Recent Court Settlement Allowing for Immediate Full Intake at Company-Owned 1,940-Bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center in CaliforniaThe GEO Group, Inc. announced that the U.S. District Court, Central District of California (the “Court”) has approved a settlement in the case of Roman v. Wolf, which allows for immediate full intake at the GEO-owned, 1,940-bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center in California (the “Adelanto Center”). The Court had previously issued several injunction orders, including an intake prohibition order issued more than four years ago, limiting the use of the Adelanto Center based on then-prevailing COVID-19 conditions. At full occupancy, the Adelanto Center contract would be expected to generate up to approximately $31 million in additional incremental annualized revenues for GEO, with margins consistent with GEO’s company-owned Secure Services facilities. ICE and GEO entered into a 15-year contract on December 19, 2019, for the provision of secure residential housing and support services at the Adelanto Center, consisting of a five-year base period followed by two five-year option periods. The current contract option period is effective through December 19, 2029.Reported Earnings • May 08First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.14 (vs US$0.19 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.14 (down from US$0.19 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$604.6m (flat on 1Q 2024). Net income: US$19.6m (down 14% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.2% (down from 3.7% in 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 27% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 69% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • May 07The Geo Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the second quarter and full year 2025. For the second quarter of 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.15 to $0.17 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $615 million to $625 million. For the full year 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.77 to $0.89 per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.53 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 27%, inclusive of known discrete items. Net Income Attributable to GEO is expected to be between $108 million to $125 million.공시 • Apr 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results Pre-Market on May 07, 2025Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 22Insider recently sold Mex$330k worth of stockOn the 13th of March, Nicole Mannarino sold around 646 shares on-market at roughly Mex$511 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth Mex$2.7m. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$52m more than they sold in the last 12 months.공시 • Mar 21The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025.Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 16Independent Director recently sold Mex$2.7m worth of stockOn the 10th of March, Scott Kernan sold around 6k shares on-market at roughly Mex$461 per share. This transaction amounted to 15% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$52m more than they sold in the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Feb 28Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.24 (vs US$0.73 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: US$0.24 (down from US$0.73 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$2.42b (flat on FY 2023). Net income: US$32.0m (down 64% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 3.7% in FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 54% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • Feb 27The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the full year 2025, the company expected net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of 74 cents to 88 cents per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.5 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 28%, inclusive of known discrete items.공시 • Jan 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results Pre-Market on Feb 27, 2025공시 • Dec 17+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Daniel Ragsdale as Senior Vice President, Contract Administration and Compliance, Effective January 1, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Daniel Ragsdale as Senior Vice President, Contract Administration and Compliance, effective January 1, 2025. Mr. Ragsdale joined GEO in 2017 as Executive Vice President, Contract Compliance, after a successful career at ICE, where he served as Deputy Director from 2012 to 2017. In that capacity, he served as Chief Operating Officer for ICE, leading 20,000 employees, including 7,000 criminal investigators at Homeland Security Investigations and 6,000 officers in Enforcement and Removal Operations. He also previously served as a Special Assistant U.S. Attorney in the Criminal Division of the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Arizona.공시 • Dec 04The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Executive ChangesThe GEO Group, Inc. announced on November 26, 2024, Mr. James H. Black, Senior Vice President and President, Secure Services, of the company informed the company that he will be retiring from his executive officer role effective December 31, 2024 (the Effective Date). Following his retirement, Mr. Black will serve as a consultant to GEO under the terms of a Consultant Agreement, effective January 1, 2025 (the Consultant Agreement), entered into between GEO and Mr. Black on December 3, 2024. Mr. Black joined GEO in June of 1998 and during his tenure worked in all three regions within Secure Services and led Secure Services as its President for the past three and a half years. GEO thanks Mr. Black for his years of dedicated service and looks forward to his continued contributions to GEO. On December 2, 2024, Mr. Paul Laird was promoted to the role of Senior Vice President and President, Secure Services, effective as of January 1, 2025. Mr. Laird will work closely with Mr. Black in his consulting role to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Laird originally joined GEO as a Director of Operations in the Eastern Region in August of 2015 and subsequently served as Regional Vice President for the Western Region and most recently as Regional Vice President for the Eastern Region.Reported Earnings • Nov 08Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.19 (vs US$0.17 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.19 (up from US$0.17 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$603.1m (flat on 3Q 2023). Net income: US$26.3m (up 29% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.4% (up from 3.4% in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.4% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 23% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • Nov 07The GEO Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024The GEO Group, Inc. updated earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. While participant counts under ISAP have been increasing subsequent to the end of the third quarter 2024 to approximately 182,500 currently, and while it is possible ISAP participant counts and utilization of ICE processing center beds may further increase this year, the company have updated fourth quarter 2024 guidance to be largely consistent with third quarter 2024 results. The company expects fourth quarter 2024 Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.19 to $0.22 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $600 million to $610 million. For the full year 2024, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.30 to $0.34 per diluted share, which reflects costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $87 million, pre-tax.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 14Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to Mex$280, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 59% over the past three years.공시 • Oct 01The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 07, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results Pre-Market on Nov 07, 2024Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 15Key Executive recently bought Mex$59m worth of stockOn the 13th of August, George Zoley bought around 250k shares on-market at roughly Mex$234 per share. This transaction amounted to 6.6% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. George has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of Mex$69m worth in shares.New Risk • Aug 08New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 70% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.6x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.9% net profit margin). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (9.2% increase in shares outstanding). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$1.2m sold).Reported Earnings • Aug 08Second quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.25 loss per share (vs US$0.20 profit in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: US$0.25 loss per share (down from US$0.20 profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$607.2m (up 2.2% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: US$32.5m (down 232% from profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 16% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.공시 • Aug 07the Geo Group, Inc. Provides Financial Guidance for Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024The GEO Group, Inc. provided financial guidance for third quarter, fourth quarter and full year 2024. For the third quarter 2024, the company expects net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.21 to $0.25 per diluted share. The company expects third quarter 2024 revenues to be in a range of $606 million to $616 million. For the fourth quarter 2024, the company expects net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.22 to $0.29 per diluted share. The company expects fourth quarter 2024 revenues to be in a range of $611 million to $621 million. For the full year 2024, the company expects net income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.40 to $0.51 per diluted share, on annual revenues of approximately $2.44 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 24%, inclusive of known discrete items. The company's full-year 2024 guidance reflects the costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.4 million, pre-tax, in connection with the refinancing of our debt.공시 • Jul 10The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results Pre-Market on Aug 07, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 07Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to Mex$253, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 144% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$457 per share.공시 • Jun 06+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Appoints Mark J. Suchinski as Chief Financial Officer, Effective July 8, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Mark J. Suchinski as chief financial officer, effective July 8, 2024. Mr. Suchinski has served as Senior Vice President and chief financial officer for Spirit AeroSystems since 2020. In this role, Mr. Suchinski has been responsible for the overall financial management of Spirit AeroSystems, its financial reporting and transparency, and multiple corporate functions including Treasury, Investor Relations, Strategy, and Mergers and Acquisitions. Mr. Suchinski joined Spirit AeroSystems in 2006 as the Controller for the Aerostructures Segment. He subsequently served in increasingly senior positions, including as Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis and Corporate Contracts, Vice President of Finance and Treasurer, and Vice President of Quality. Prior to joining Spirit AeroSystems, Mr. Suchinski held the position of Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer for Home Products International from 2000 to 2006. Mr. Suchinski attended DePaul University where he earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting.Recent Insider Transactions • May 30Independent Director recently sold Mex$1.2m worth of stockOn the 21st of May, Scott Kernan sold around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$226 per share. This transaction amounted to 18% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$7.4m more than they sold in the last 12 months.Board Change • May 20High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • May 08The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Second Quarter and for the Full Year for 2024The GEO Group, Inc. provided second quarter and for the full year for 2024. For the year, The company expects net income to be in a range of $55 million to $75 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 20%, inclusive of known discrete items. For the quarter, The company expects a net Loss in a range of $27 million to $30 million and revenues to be in a range of $600 million to $610 million.공시 • Apr 23The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results Pre-Market on May 07, 2024Board Change • Mar 24High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • Mar 23The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024, at 10:00 Eastern Daylight. Agenda: To elect eight (8) directors for the ensuing year; to ratify the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as independent registered public accountants for the fiscal year 2024; to hold an advisory vote to approve named executive officer compensation; to approve the Second Amended and Restated 2018 Stock Incentive Plan; to approve the Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 187,500,000 to 225,000,000 shares; and to vote on the shareholder proposal set forth in the proxy statement, if properly presented before the meeting.Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 16Key Executive recently bought Mex$10m worth of stockOn the 14th of March, George Zoley bought around 50k shares on-market at roughly Mex$208 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.3% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was George's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.New Risk • Mar 05New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 3.7% Last year net profit margin: 6.0% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.7x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.7% net profit margin).Reported Earnings • Feb 21Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.94 (vs US$1.18 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$0.94 (down from US$1.18 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$2.41b (up 1.5% from FY 2022). Net income: US$114.0m (down 20% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.7% (down from 6.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.94 (vs US$1.18 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$0.94 (down from US$1.18 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$2.41b (up 1.5% from FY 2022). Net income: US$114.0m (down 20% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.7% (down from 6.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year.공시 • Feb 15The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2024The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2024. For the quarter, the company expects net income to be in a range of $22 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues to be in a range of $600 million to $610 million. For the full year, the company expects net income to be in a range of $110 million to $125 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 28%, exclusive of any discrete items.공시 • Jan 26The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 15, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results Pre-Market on Feb 15, 2024공시 • Dec 29The GEO Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.The GEO Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million. Security Name: Common Stock Security Type: Common Stock Transaction Features: At the Market Offering공시 • Nov 30+ 2 more updatesThe GEO Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective January 1, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced Brian Evans, who has been with the company for 23 years and has served as the company's chief financial officer for 14 years, has been appointed chief executive officer, effective January 1, 2024. Shayn March, Executive Vice President, Finance and Treasurer, has been appointed Acting chief financial officer, effective January 1, 2024. The company and its board of directors will work with an external search firm to identify a permanent chief financial officer.Reported Earnings • Nov 09Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.20 (vs US$0.26 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.20 (down from US$0.26 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$602.8m (down 2.3% from 3Q 2022). Net income: US$24.5m (down 23% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.1% (down from 5.2% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year.공시 • Nov 08The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2023. For the fourth quarter 2023, The company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $19 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues to be in a range of $590 million to $600 million.For the full-year 2023, The company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $100 million to $105 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion.공시 • Oct 18The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results Pre-Market on Nov 07, 2023Board Change • Aug 22High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • Aug 10The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2023The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the third quarter, fourth quarter and full year of 2023. The company expects full-year GAAP Net Income to be between $95 million and $110 million, on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion. For the third quarter of 2023, The company expects Net Income to be between $19 million and $26 million on quarterly revenues of $588 million to $603 million. For the fourth quarter of 2023, the company expects Net Income to be between $19 million and $27 million on quarterly revenues of $595 million to $610 million.공시 • Jul 22The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results at 9:30 AM, US Eastern Standard Time on Aug 09, 2023Board Change • Jul 19High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Board Change • Jun 24High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Reported Earnings • Apr 27First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.23 (vs US$0.26 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.23 (down from US$0.26 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$608.2m (up 10% from 1Q 2022). Net income: US$28.0m (down 12% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.6% (down from 5.7% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 11Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to Mex$155, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 31% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$277 per share.Board Change • Mar 07High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.공시 • Feb 15The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2023The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year 2023. For the quarter, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be between $26 million and $28 million on quarterly revenues of $605 million to $610 million.For the year, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be between $100 million and $127 million on annual revenues of between $2.37 billion and $2.47 billion. The company's GAAP Net Income guidance for 2023 reflects an expected increase in its net interest expense of approximately $67 million, due to rising interest rates and the debt restructuring transactions it completed in August of 2022.Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.42 (vs US$0.58 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: US$1.42 (up from US$0.58 in FY 2021). Revenue: US$2.38b (up 5.3% from FY 2021). Net income: US$171.8m (up 144% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 7.2% (up from 3.1% in FY 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America.공시 • Jan 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 14, 2023The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2022 results at 9:30 AM, US Eastern Standard Time on Feb 14, 2023공시 • Jan 07The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Executive ChangesOn January 6, 2023, The GEO Group, Inc. announced that Ann Schlarb, GEO’s Senior Vice President and President of GEO Care, will be retiring from her executive officer role effective January 31, 2023 (the “Effective Date”). Following her retirement, Ms. Schlarb will serve as a consultant to GEO under the terms of a Consultant Agreement, effective February 1, 2023 (the “Consultant Agreement”), entered into between GEO and Ms. Schlarb on January 6, 2023, the terms of which are summarized below. Ms. Schlarb joined GEO in 2011 as Vice President of Intensive Supervision and Appearance Program (“ISAP”) Services as a result of GEO’s acquisition of B.I. Incorporated, (“B.I.”) and she originally joined B.I. in 1995. Ms. Schlarb was promoted to Senior Vice President and President of GEO Care in July 2014. GEO thanks Ms. Schlarb for her years of dedicated service and looks forward to her continued contributions to GEO. Mr. Wayne Calabrese, GEO’s Chief Operating Officer, will assume the executive officer duties and responsibilities of overseeing B.I. and GEO Care commencing on the Effective Date and will continue to work closely with Ms. Schlarb in her consulting role to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Calabrese is a highly seasoned and tenured executive with over 20 years of experience in GEO’s business. Mr. Calabrese originally joined GEO as Vice President of Business Development in 1989 and served in a range of increasingly senior positions, retiring in December 2010 as Vice Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Operating Officer of the Company. Mr. Calabrese’s background, together with his extensive knowledge and prior experience in various GEO leadership positions, makes him uniquely qualified to serve as GEO’s Chief Operating Officer.Board Change • Jan 03High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 16Insider recently sold Mex$655k worth of stockOn the 12th of December, James Black sold around 3k shares on-market at roughly Mex$218 per share. This transaction amounted to 32% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 01Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 21% share price gain to Mex$235, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 25% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$429 per share.Reported Earnings • Oct 27Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.32 (vs US$0.24 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$0.32 (up from US$0.24 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: US$616.7m (up 11% from 3Q 2021). Net income: US$38.3m (up 33% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 6.2% (up from 5.2% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.4% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America.이익 및 매출 성장 예측BMV:GEO1 * - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수12/31/20273,242216225365312/31/20262,98416234349843/31/20262,732273-31158N/A12/31/20252,632254-12573N/A9/30/20252,53223726208N/A6/30/20252,45288131238N/A3/31/20252,42327135230N/A12/31/20242,42430164242N/A9/30/20242,42436194271N/A6/30/20242,42430202283N/A3/31/20242,41189192266N/A12/31/20232,41389205278N/A9/30/20232,426103228299N/A6/30/20232,439114148234N/A3/31/20232,434134179269N/A12/31/20222,377142198288N/A9/30/20222,31465136221N/A6/30/20222,25462188249N/A3/31/20222,23153224280N/A12/31/20212,25770213283N/A9/30/20212,277126291373N/A6/30/20212,299136291391N/A3/31/20212,321137333438N/A12/31/20202,350113333442N/A9/30/20202,394139263373N/A6/30/20202,446146263378N/A3/31/20202,472151248367N/A12/31/20192,478167N/A338N/A9/30/20192,456162N/A377N/A6/30/20192,408155N/A311N/A3/31/20192,377151N/A304N/A12/31/20182,331145N/A274N/A9/30/20182,301148N/A543N/A6/30/20182,284147N/A511N/A3/31/20182,278141N/A403N/A12/31/20172,263146N/A381N/A9/30/20172,261159N/A42N/A6/30/20172,249165N/A-16N/A3/31/20172,220157N/A37N/A12/31/20162,179149N/A-28N/A9/30/20162,113143N/A19N/A6/30/20162,029138N/A101N/A3/31/20161,926143N/A64N/A12/31/20151,843139N/A142N/A9/30/20151,771133N/A149N/A더 보기애널리스트 향후 성장 전망수입 대 저축률: GEO1 * 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -15.1%).수익 vs 시장: GEO1 * 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다(연간 -15.1%).고성장 수익: GEO1 * 의 수익은 향후 3년간 감소할 것으로 예상됩니다.수익 대 시장: GEO1 * 의 수익(연간 9.8%)이 MX 시장(연간 6.4%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 매출: GEO1 * 의 수익(연간 9.8%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.주당순이익 성장 예측향후 자기자본이익률미래 ROE: GEO1 *의 자본 수익률이 3년 후 높을 것으로 예상되는지 판단하기에 데이터가 부족합니다.성장 기업 찾아보기7D1Y7D1Y7D1YCommercial-services 산업의 고성장 기업.View Past Performance기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/07/07 12:16종가2026/07/01 00:00수익2026/03/31연간 수익2025/12/31데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 세부 정보는 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있으며, 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스The GEO Group, Inc.는 14명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 4명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관Manav PatnaikBarclaysRyan MelikerCanaccord GenuityTan WeiDeutsche Bank11명의 분석가 더 보기
공시 • May 08+ 1 more updateThe Geo Group, Inc. Increases Earnings Guidance for Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. increased earnings guidance for full year of 2026. The company increased financial guidance for the full year 2026 . Company expect full year 2026 Net Income Attributable to GEO Operations to be in a range of $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 30 %, inclusive of known discrete items.
공시 • Feb 12+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2026. For the first quarter of 2026, the company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.17 to $0.19 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $680 million to $690 million. For the year 2026, the company expects full year 2026 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.99 to $1.07 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion.
공시 • Nov 06the Geo Group, Inc. Updates Financial Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. updated its financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. For the fourth quarter, the company expects fourth quarter 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.23 to $0.27 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $651 million to $676 million. Taking into account updated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, the company expects full year 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $1.81 to $1.85 per diluted share. Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in the range of $254,000,000 to $259,000,000.
공시 • May 07The Geo Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the second quarter and full year 2025. For the second quarter of 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.15 to $0.17 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $615 million to $625 million. For the full year 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.77 to $0.89 per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.53 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 27%, inclusive of known discrete items. Net Income Attributable to GEO is expected to be between $108 million to $125 million.
공시 • Feb 27The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the full year 2025, the company expected net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of 74 cents to 88 cents per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.5 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 28%, inclusive of known discrete items.
공시 • Nov 07The GEO Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024The GEO Group, Inc. updated earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. While participant counts under ISAP have been increasing subsequent to the end of the third quarter 2024 to approximately 182,500 currently, and while it is possible ISAP participant counts and utilization of ICE processing center beds may further increase this year, the company have updated fourth quarter 2024 guidance to be largely consistent with third quarter 2024 results. The company expects fourth quarter 2024 Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.19 to $0.22 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $600 million to $610 million. For the full year 2024, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.30 to $0.34 per diluted share, which reflects costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $87 million, pre-tax.
공시 • Jun 29+ 3 more updatesThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth BenchmarkThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth Benchmark
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 15Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%After last week's 20% share price gain to Mex$490, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$304 per share.
Board Change • Jun 04Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Board Change • May 14Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Reported Earnings • May 11First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: US$0.29 (vs US$0.14 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$0.29 (up from US$0.14 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$705.2m (up 17% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$38.3m (up 96% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from 3.2% in 1Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.2% growth forecast for the Global Commercial Services industry. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 32% per year.
공시 • May 08+ 1 more updateThe Geo Group, Inc. Increases Earnings Guidance for Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. increased earnings guidance for full year of 2026. The company increased financial guidance for the full year 2026 . Company expect full year 2026 Net Income Attributable to GEO Operations to be in a range of $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 30 %, inclusive of known discrete items.
공시 • Apr 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 06, 2026The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results Pre-Market on May 06, 2026
공시 • Mar 20The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2026.
Board Change • Mar 18Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • Mar 06+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer ChangesThe GEO Group, Inc. announced that on February 27, 2026, Mark J. Suchinski, the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, notified the Company of his decision to relocate out-of-state and leave his position effective March 31, 2026 (the “Separation Date) to accept a position in another industry. Shayn March, Executive Vice President, Finance and Treasurer, was appointed Chief Financial Officer on March 5, 2026, effective April 1, 2026. Mr. March, 60, joined GEO as Vice President of Finance and Treasurer in March 2009. Mr. March served as Acting Chief Financial Officer from January 2024 to July 2024. During his 17 years with GEO, Mr. March has played a pivotal role in the financial management of GEO and its subsidiaries and GEO’s acquisition, disposition and growth initiatives. Prior to joining GEO, Mr. March served as a Managing Director for the Corporate Investment Banking group at BNP Paribas, where he worked for eleven years in increasing capacities. From 1995 to 1997, Mr. March was employed at Sanwa Bank in the Corporate Finance Department. From 1988 to 1994, Mr. March was employed at UJB Financial in the Finance and Credit Audit Departments. Mr. March earned his Masters in Business Administration in Financial Management from the Lubin School of Business at Pace University and his Bachelor of Arts in Economics at Rutgers University.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 20Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to Mex$229, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Commercial Services industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 24% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$180 per share.
Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.85 (vs US$0.23 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$1.85 (up from US$0.23 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$2.63b (up 8.6% from FY 2024). Net income: US$254.4m (up US$224.5m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 9.7% (up from 1.2% in FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 7% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 14% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
공시 • Feb 12+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2026The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2026. For the first quarter of 2026, the company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.17 to $0.19 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $680 million to $690 million. For the year 2026, the company expects full year 2026 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.99 to $1.07 per diluted share on annual revenues of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion.
Board Change • Jan 27Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • Jan 20The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 12, 2026The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results Pre-Market on Feb 12, 2026
Board Change • Jan 01Insufficient new directorsThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 4 experienced directors. 2 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Donna Kauranen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • Dec 11GEO Group Inc Announces Retirement of Joe Negron as Senior Vice President, Legal Services, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary Effective December 31, 2025GEO Group Inc. announced that Joe Negron, the Senior Vice President, Legal Services, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, provided the company with notice of his decision to retire from his position effective December 31, 2025. Joe Negron has served as GEO's General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since 2019. Joe Negron will continue to serve as a consultant to the company following his retirement for a two-year period commencing January 1, 2026 in order to assist the company on various legal, regulatory and compliance matters.
New Risk • Nov 12New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.4% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.5x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.4% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$152m sold).
New Risk • Nov 06New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 229% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.5x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$152m sold).
Reported Earnings • Nov 06Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$1.26 (vs US$0.19 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.26 (up from US$0.19 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$682.3m (up 13% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$173.9m (up US$147.6m from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 26% (up from 4.4% in 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 20% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • Nov 06the Geo Group, Inc. Updates Financial Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. updated its financial guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. For the fourth quarter, the company expects fourth quarter 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $0.23 to $0.27 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $651 million to $676 million. Taking into account updated fourth quarter 2025 guidance, the company expects full year 2025 GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $1.81 to $1.85 per diluted share. Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in the range of $254,000,000 to $259,000,000.
공시 • Oct 01The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 06, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results Pre-Market on Nov 06, 2025
Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 22Key Executive recently sold Mex$30m worth of stockOn the 20th of August, George Zoley sold around 75k shares on-market at roughly Mex$400 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.8% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was George's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.21 (vs US$0.26 loss in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.21 (up from US$0.26 loss in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$636.2m (up 4.8% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$29.1m (up US$63.0m from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from net loss in 2Q 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 31% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 39% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • Aug 06+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) announces an Equity Buyback for $300 million worth of its shares.The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to $300 million worth of its common stock. The program will expire on June 30, 2028.
공시 • Jul 16The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 06, 2025
공시 • Jun 30+ 5 more updatesThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2000 Value-Defensive IndexThe GEO Group, Inc.(NYSE:GEO) dropped from Russell 2000 Value-Defensive Index
공시 • Jun 10The GEO Group Provides Update on Recent Court Settlement Allowing for Immediate Full Intake at Company-Owned 1,940-Bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center in CaliforniaThe GEO Group, Inc. announced that the U.S. District Court, Central District of California (the “Court”) has approved a settlement in the case of Roman v. Wolf, which allows for immediate full intake at the GEO-owned, 1,940-bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center in California (the “Adelanto Center”). The Court had previously issued several injunction orders, including an intake prohibition order issued more than four years ago, limiting the use of the Adelanto Center based on then-prevailing COVID-19 conditions. At full occupancy, the Adelanto Center contract would be expected to generate up to approximately $31 million in additional incremental annualized revenues for GEO, with margins consistent with GEO’s company-owned Secure Services facilities. ICE and GEO entered into a 15-year contract on December 19, 2019, for the provision of secure residential housing and support services at the Adelanto Center, consisting of a five-year base period followed by two five-year option periods. The current contract option period is effective through December 19, 2029.
Reported Earnings • May 08First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: US$0.14 (vs US$0.19 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.14 (down from US$0.19 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$604.6m (flat on 1Q 2024). Net income: US$19.6m (down 14% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.2% (down from 3.7% in 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 27% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 69% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • May 07The Geo Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Second Quarter and Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the second quarter and full year 2025. For the second quarter of 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.15 to $0.17 per diluted share, on quarterly revenues of $615 million to $625 million. For the full year 2025, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.77 to $0.89 per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.53 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 27%, inclusive of known discrete items. Net Income Attributable to GEO is expected to be between $108 million to $125 million.
공시 • Apr 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 07, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results Pre-Market on May 07, 2025
Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 22Insider recently sold Mex$330k worth of stockOn the 13th of March, Nicole Mannarino sold around 646 shares on-market at roughly Mex$511 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth Mex$2.7m. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$52m more than they sold in the last 12 months.
공시 • Mar 21The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2025.
Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 16Independent Director recently sold Mex$2.7m worth of stockOn the 10th of March, Scott Kernan sold around 6k shares on-market at roughly Mex$461 per share. This transaction amounted to 15% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$52m more than they sold in the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Feb 28Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.24 (vs US$0.73 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: US$0.24 (down from US$0.73 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$2.42b (flat on FY 2023). Net income: US$32.0m (down 64% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 3.7% in FY 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 54% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • Feb 27The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2025. For the full year 2025, the company expected net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of 74 cents to 88 cents per diluted share, on revenues of approximately $2.5 billion and based on an effective tax rate of approximately 28%, inclusive of known discrete items.
공시 • Jan 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 27, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results Pre-Market on Feb 27, 2025
공시 • Dec 17+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Announces the Appointment of Daniel Ragsdale as Senior Vice President, Contract Administration and Compliance, Effective January 1, 2025The GEO Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Daniel Ragsdale as Senior Vice President, Contract Administration and Compliance, effective January 1, 2025. Mr. Ragsdale joined GEO in 2017 as Executive Vice President, Contract Compliance, after a successful career at ICE, where he served as Deputy Director from 2012 to 2017. In that capacity, he served as Chief Operating Officer for ICE, leading 20,000 employees, including 7,000 criminal investigators at Homeland Security Investigations and 6,000 officers in Enforcement and Removal Operations. He also previously served as a Special Assistant U.S. Attorney in the Criminal Division of the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Arizona.
공시 • Dec 04The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Executive ChangesThe GEO Group, Inc. announced on November 26, 2024, Mr. James H. Black, Senior Vice President and President, Secure Services, of the company informed the company that he will be retiring from his executive officer role effective December 31, 2024 (the Effective Date). Following his retirement, Mr. Black will serve as a consultant to GEO under the terms of a Consultant Agreement, effective January 1, 2025 (the Consultant Agreement), entered into between GEO and Mr. Black on December 3, 2024. Mr. Black joined GEO in June of 1998 and during his tenure worked in all three regions within Secure Services and led Secure Services as its President for the past three and a half years. GEO thanks Mr. Black for his years of dedicated service and looks forward to his continued contributions to GEO. On December 2, 2024, Mr. Paul Laird was promoted to the role of Senior Vice President and President, Secure Services, effective as of January 1, 2025. Mr. Laird will work closely with Mr. Black in his consulting role to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Laird originally joined GEO as a Director of Operations in the Eastern Region in August of 2015 and subsequently served as Regional Vice President for the Western Region and most recently as Regional Vice President for the Eastern Region.
Reported Earnings • Nov 08Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.19 (vs US$0.17 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.19 (up from US$0.17 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$603.1m (flat on 3Q 2023). Net income: US$26.3m (up 29% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.4% (up from 3.4% in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.4% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 12% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 23% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • Nov 07The GEO Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024The GEO Group, Inc. updated earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024. While participant counts under ISAP have been increasing subsequent to the end of the third quarter 2024 to approximately 182,500 currently, and while it is possible ISAP participant counts and utilization of ICE processing center beds may further increase this year, the company have updated fourth quarter 2024 guidance to be largely consistent with third quarter 2024 results. The company expects fourth quarter 2024 Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.19 to $0.22 per diluted share on quarterly revenues of $600 million to $610 million. For the full year 2024, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.30 to $0.34 per diluted share, which reflects costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $87 million, pre-tax.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 14Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to Mex$280, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 59% over the past three years.
공시 • Oct 01The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 07, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results Pre-Market on Nov 07, 2024
Recent Insider Transactions • Aug 15Key Executive recently bought Mex$59m worth of stockOn the 13th of August, George Zoley bought around 250k shares on-market at roughly Mex$234 per share. This transaction amounted to 6.6% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. George has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of Mex$69m worth in shares.
New Risk • Aug 08New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 70% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.6x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.9% net profit margin). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (9.2% increase in shares outstanding). Significant insider selling over the past 3 months (Mex$1.2m sold).
Reported Earnings • Aug 08Second quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.25 loss per share (vs US$0.20 profit in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: US$0.25 loss per share (down from US$0.20 profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$607.2m (up 2.2% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: US$32.5m (down 232% from profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 12% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 16% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
공시 • Aug 07the Geo Group, Inc. Provides Financial Guidance for Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024The GEO Group, Inc. provided financial guidance for third quarter, fourth quarter and full year 2024. For the third quarter 2024, the company expects net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.21 to $0.25 per diluted share. The company expects third quarter 2024 revenues to be in a range of $606 million to $616 million. For the fourth quarter 2024, the company expects net income attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.22 to $0.29 per diluted share. The company expects fourth quarter 2024 revenues to be in a range of $611 million to $621 million. For the full year 2024, the company expects net income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.40 to $0.51 per diluted share, on annual revenues of approximately $2.44 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 24%, inclusive of known discrete items. The company's full-year 2024 guidance reflects the costs associated with the extinguishment of debt of $82.4 million, pre-tax, in connection with the refinancing of our debt.
공시 • Jul 10The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results Pre-Market on Aug 07, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 07Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to Mex$253, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 144% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$457 per share.
공시 • Jun 06+ 1 more updateThe GEO Group, Inc. Appoints Mark J. Suchinski as Chief Financial Officer, Effective July 8, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced the appointment of Mark J. Suchinski as chief financial officer, effective July 8, 2024. Mr. Suchinski has served as Senior Vice President and chief financial officer for Spirit AeroSystems since 2020. In this role, Mr. Suchinski has been responsible for the overall financial management of Spirit AeroSystems, its financial reporting and transparency, and multiple corporate functions including Treasury, Investor Relations, Strategy, and Mergers and Acquisitions. Mr. Suchinski joined Spirit AeroSystems in 2006 as the Controller for the Aerostructures Segment. He subsequently served in increasingly senior positions, including as Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis and Corporate Contracts, Vice President of Finance and Treasurer, and Vice President of Quality. Prior to joining Spirit AeroSystems, Mr. Suchinski held the position of Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer for Home Products International from 2000 to 2006. Mr. Suchinski attended DePaul University where he earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting.
Recent Insider Transactions • May 30Independent Director recently sold Mex$1.2m worth of stockOn the 21st of May, Scott Kernan sold around 5k shares on-market at roughly Mex$226 per share. This transaction amounted to 18% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought Mex$7.4m more than they sold in the last 12 months.
Board Change • May 20High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • May 08The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Second Quarter and for the Full Year for 2024The GEO Group, Inc. provided second quarter and for the full year for 2024. For the year, The company expects net income to be in a range of $55 million to $75 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 20%, inclusive of known discrete items. For the quarter, The company expects a net Loss in a range of $27 million to $30 million and revenues to be in a range of $600 million to $610 million.
공시 • Apr 23The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results Pre-Market on May 07, 2024
Board Change • Mar 24High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • Mar 23The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024The GEO Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 03, 2024, at 10:00 Eastern Daylight. Agenda: To elect eight (8) directors for the ensuing year; to ratify the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as independent registered public accountants for the fiscal year 2024; to hold an advisory vote to approve named executive officer compensation; to approve the Second Amended and Restated 2018 Stock Incentive Plan; to approve the Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 187,500,000 to 225,000,000 shares; and to vote on the shareholder proposal set forth in the proxy statement, if properly presented before the meeting.
Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 16Key Executive recently bought Mex$10m worth of stockOn the 14th of March, George Zoley bought around 50k shares on-market at roughly Mex$208 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.3% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was George's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
New Risk • Mar 05New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 3.7% Last year net profit margin: 6.0% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.7x net interest cover). Shares are highly illiquid. Minor Risk Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.7% net profit margin).
Reported Earnings • Feb 21Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.94 (vs US$1.18 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$0.94 (down from US$1.18 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$2.41b (up 1.5% from FY 2022). Net income: US$114.0m (down 20% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.7% (down from 6.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Reported Earnings • Feb 16Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.94 (vs US$1.18 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: US$0.94 (down from US$1.18 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$2.41b (up 1.5% from FY 2022). Net income: US$114.0m (down 20% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 4.7% (down from 6.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year.
공시 • Feb 15The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year of 2024The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year of 2024. For the quarter, the company expects net income to be in a range of $22 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues to be in a range of $600 million to $610 million. For the full year, the company expects net income to be in a range of $110 million to $125 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion and reflecting an effective tax rate of approximately 28%, exclusive of any discrete items.
공시 • Jan 26The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 15, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results Pre-Market on Feb 15, 2024
공시 • Dec 29The GEO Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.The GEO Group, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million. Security Name: Common Stock Security Type: Common Stock Transaction Features: At the Market Offering
공시 • Nov 30+ 2 more updatesThe GEO Group, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes, Effective January 1, 2024The GEO Group, Inc. announced Brian Evans, who has been with the company for 23 years and has served as the company's chief financial officer for 14 years, has been appointed chief executive officer, effective January 1, 2024. Shayn March, Executive Vice President, Finance and Treasurer, has been appointed Acting chief financial officer, effective January 1, 2024. The company and its board of directors will work with an external search firm to identify a permanent chief financial officer.
Reported Earnings • Nov 09Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.20 (vs US$0.26 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.20 (down from US$0.26 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: US$602.8m (down 2.3% from 3Q 2022). Net income: US$24.5m (down 23% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.1% (down from 5.2% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 5% per year.
공시 • Nov 08The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2023. For the fourth quarter 2023, The company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $19 million to $24 million and quarterly revenues to be in a range of $590 million to $600 million.For the full-year 2023, The company expects GAAP Net Income to be in a range of $100 million to $105 million on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion.
공시 • Oct 18The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results Pre-Market on Nov 07, 2023
Board Change • Aug 22High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • Aug 10The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter, Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2023The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the third quarter, fourth quarter and full year of 2023. The company expects full-year GAAP Net Income to be between $95 million and $110 million, on annual revenues of approximately $2.4 billion. For the third quarter of 2023, The company expects Net Income to be between $19 million and $26 million on quarterly revenues of $588 million to $603 million. For the fourth quarter of 2023, the company expects Net Income to be between $19 million and $27 million on quarterly revenues of $595 million to $610 million.
공시 • Jul 22The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results at 9:30 AM, US Eastern Standard Time on Aug 09, 2023
Board Change • Jul 19High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Board Change • Jun 24High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Reported Earnings • Apr 27First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.23 (vs US$0.26 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: US$0.23 (down from US$0.26 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: US$608.2m (up 10% from 1Q 2022). Net income: US$28.0m (down 12% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.6% (down from 5.7% in 1Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 21% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 11Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to Mex$155, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 31% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$277 per share.
Board Change • Mar 07High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
공시 • Feb 15The GEO Group, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2023The GEO Group, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter and full year 2023. For the quarter, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be between $26 million and $28 million on quarterly revenues of $605 million to $610 million.For the year, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be between $100 million and $127 million on annual revenues of between $2.37 billion and $2.47 billion. The company's GAAP Net Income guidance for 2023 reflects an expected increase in its net interest expense of approximately $67 million, due to rising interest rates and the debt restructuring transactions it completed in August of 2022.
Reported Earnings • Feb 14Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.42 (vs US$0.58 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: US$1.42 (up from US$0.58 in FY 2021). Revenue: US$2.38b (up 5.3% from FY 2021). Net income: US$171.8m (up 144% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 7.2% (up from 3.1% in FY 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America.
공시 • Jan 24The GEO Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 14, 2023The GEO Group, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2022 results at 9:30 AM, US Eastern Standard Time on Feb 14, 2023
공시 • Jan 07The GEO Group, Inc. Announces Executive ChangesOn January 6, 2023, The GEO Group, Inc. announced that Ann Schlarb, GEO’s Senior Vice President and President of GEO Care, will be retiring from her executive officer role effective January 31, 2023 (the “Effective Date”). Following her retirement, Ms. Schlarb will serve as a consultant to GEO under the terms of a Consultant Agreement, effective February 1, 2023 (the “Consultant Agreement”), entered into between GEO and Ms. Schlarb on January 6, 2023, the terms of which are summarized below. Ms. Schlarb joined GEO in 2011 as Vice President of Intensive Supervision and Appearance Program (“ISAP”) Services as a result of GEO’s acquisition of B.I. Incorporated, (“B.I.”) and she originally joined B.I. in 1995. Ms. Schlarb was promoted to Senior Vice President and President of GEO Care in July 2014. GEO thanks Ms. Schlarb for her years of dedicated service and looks forward to her continued contributions to GEO. Mr. Wayne Calabrese, GEO’s Chief Operating Officer, will assume the executive officer duties and responsibilities of overseeing B.I. and GEO Care commencing on the Effective Date and will continue to work closely with Ms. Schlarb in her consulting role to ensure a smooth transition. Mr. Calabrese is a highly seasoned and tenured executive with over 20 years of experience in GEO’s business. Mr. Calabrese originally joined GEO as Vice President of Business Development in 1989 and served in a range of increasingly senior positions, retiring in December 2010 as Vice Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Operating Officer of the Company. Mr. Calabrese’s background, together with his extensive knowledge and prior experience in various GEO leadership positions, makes him uniquely qualified to serve as GEO’s Chief Operating Officer.
Board Change • Jan 03High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Director Lindsay Koren was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 16Insider recently sold Mex$655k worth of stockOn the 12th of December, James Black sold around 3k shares on-market at roughly Mex$218 per share. This transaction amounted to 32% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. This was the only on-market transaction from insiders over the last 12 months.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 01Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 21% share price gain to Mex$235, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Commercial Services industry globally. Total returns to shareholders of 25% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at Mex$429 per share.
Reported Earnings • Oct 27Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.32 (vs US$0.24 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$0.32 (up from US$0.24 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: US$616.7m (up 11% from 3Q 2021). Net income: US$38.3m (up 33% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 6.2% (up from 5.2% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.4% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Commercial Services industry in South America.