Persimmon 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 2/6
Persimmon (는) 각각 연간 10.8% 및 5% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 10.9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 10.3% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
10.8%
이익 성장률
10.89%
EPS 성장률
| Consumer Durables 이익 성장 | 9.1% |
| 매출 성장률 | 5.0% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 10.30% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 11 Sep 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 08
PSN: Biggleswade Site And 2026 Completions Should Support Premium Earnings Multiple
Persimmon's analyst price target has been trimmed, with recent moves from banks such as Berenberg, Citi, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley collectively pointing to a reset in fair value to about £16.94 from £18.00. This reflects analysts moderating revenue growth and valuation multiples while allowing for slightly stronger profit margins.
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 23
PSN: Forward Order Book And Biggleswade Development Will Support Returns
Persimmon's analyst fair value estimate has been reduced from £13.97 to £13.42, in line with a series of lower Street price targets around £1,280 to £1,430. Analysts are factoring in slightly softer revenue growth, marginally tighter profit margins and a modestly lower future P/E assumption.내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 05
PSN: Forward Order Book And 2026 Completions Guidance Will Support Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Persimmon to £1,390 from £1,610, reflecting slightly lower fair value, earnings, and margin assumptions in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Persimmon points to a more balanced stance, with the latest target cut following an earlier upward adjustment to £1,610.내러티브 업데이트 • May 19
PSN: Strong Order Book And 2026 Completions Should Support Premium Earnings Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Persimmon slightly to £18.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and discount rate, while still applying a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent price target adjustments from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Persimmon has been mixed, with some cautious updates and a few more constructive views on the stock's potential.분석 기사 • May 14
When Should You Buy Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN)?
Persimmon Plc ( LON:PSN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 21
PSN: Forward Order Book And Higher Future P E Multiple Will Support Returns
Analysts have trimmed Persimmon's fair value estimate and lowered the average price target by £2.20 to reflect slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, even as recent Street research points to a modest uplift in target prices from £16.00 to £16.10 and from £14.80 to £15.14, along with a higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Persimmon offers a mix of cautious tweaks and incremental optimism around valuation, providing a more nuanced picture of how expectations are being reset.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 06
PSN: Forward Order Book Progress Will Support Future Completion Volumes
Analysts have lifted Persimmon's price target slightly, with recent moves such as Morgan Stanley's increase to £16.10 and Barclays' to £15.14, supported by modestly lower fair value estimates and small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon points to a mixed but generally constructive view, with several price targets adjusted in a tight range and one downgrade adding a more cautious voice.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 23
PSN: Forward Order Book And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside Potential
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Persimmon moves slightly higher to about £16.10 from roughly £16.28, as analysts factor in more cautious revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly balanced by modestly higher P/E expectations and recent target lifts from several banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon shows a mix of cautious and constructive views, with modest target changes and at least one downgrade shaping how the market is thinking about valuation, execution and future growth potential.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
PSN: Recent Rating Split And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their target on Persimmon slightly higher, with small improvements in fair value estimates and a modestly lower discount rate supporting the recent £1,514 price target update, while keeping overall growth and margin assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon has been mixed, with some bullish analysts nudging price targets higher while at least one bearish analyst has shifted to a more cautious stance.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 22
PSN: Mixed Rating Shifts And Modest Assumption Tweaks Will Shape Share Price Resilience
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon slightly higher to £16.26, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E. The revised estimate also factors in recent Street research, including a modest price target increase from Citi and a downgrade from Deutsche Bank.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 07
PSN: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Share Price Resilience
Narrative Update on Persimmon Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon higher to £16.23 from £16.14, citing refreshed assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that collectively support a slightly richer price target despite a recent downgrade and only a modest target increase of 2 GBp from Citi. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Persimmon has been mixed, with one downgrade offset by a small target lift.분석 기사 • Jan 29
At UK£14.50, Is Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) Worth Looking At Closely?
Persimmon Plc ( LON:PSN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 26% in the past...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23
PSN: Higher P/E Assumptions And Revenue Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Persimmon to approximately £16.14 from about £15.76, citing revised assumptions for revenue growth, discount rate and future P/E that align with recent price target changes and rating actions on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Persimmon has been mixed, with valuation work and rating actions pointing to both upside potential and execution risks.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 09
PSN: Contract Discipline And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon up from £14.63 to about £15.76, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, as they refine their models following recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on a peer in a different sector highlights how markets can react strongly to contract news and changing expectations, which is useful context when thinking about Persimmon's refined fair value range.분석 기사 • Jan 08
Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United Kingdom, you could be forgiven for...내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
PSN: Strong Balance Sheet And Cash Focus Will Support Premium Earnings Multiple
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Persimmon modestly higher from £17.87 to £18.15. This reflects a slightly richer future earnings multiple, despite tempering assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins alongside a higher discount rate.분석 기사 • Dec 09
Persimmon (LON:PSN) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 28
PSN: Upcoming Contract Wins And Margin Stability Will Support Measured Performance
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Persimmon to $14.63, citing improved revenue growth projections and ongoing margin stability based on recent industry research. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage highlights both optimistic and cautious perspectives regarding Persimmon's future performance.분석 기사 • Nov 20
Are Investors Undervaluing Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN) By 47%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Persimmon is UK£22.86 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Persimmon is...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 13
PSN: Future Housing Demand Will Drive Market Share And Earnings Stability
Persimmon's analyst price target was reduced from £14.50 to £13.00, as analysts cite a softer outlook on profit margins and discount rate adjustments, despite stable revenue growth projections. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a cautious but balanced outlook for Persimmon, with valuation adjustments reflecting both stable growth expectations and concerns about profitability.분석 기사 • Oct 05
Is It Time To Consider Buying Persimmon Plc (LON:PSN)?
Persimmon Plc ( LON:PSN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 12% on the LSE...내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04
UK Housing Demand Will Fuel Future Market Expansion
Analysts remain split on Persimmon, with bullish sentiment driven by new site openings and an improved operating outlook balancing persistent near-term concerns over affordability and margins, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of £14.92. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts raise targets and recommendations due to Persimmon's continued success in opening new sites and increasing the number of active sites, which supports growth expectations.
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 16
Vertical Integration And Brand Diversification Will Strengthen Future Margins
Strong land investment strategy and brand diversification support growth, high margins, and capture different market segments, driving future revenue and operational efficiency.이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,374 | 374 | 319 | 294 | 17 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,114 | 326 | 275 | 281 | 19 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,957 | 321 | 96 | 119 | 19 |
| 6/30/2026 | 3,976 | 306 | -155 | -129 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,863 | 296 | -83 | -50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,751 | 286 | -11 | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,569 | 271 | -22 | 21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,387 | 256 | -33 | 12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,294 | 262 | 10 | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,201 | 267 | 53 | 85 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,051 | 262 | 69 | 100 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,901 | 256 | 86 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,837 | 256 | -40 | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,773 | 255 | -166 | -130 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,044 | 293 | -16 | 21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,316 | 331 | 134 | 171 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,566 | 446 | 253 | 287 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,816 | 561 | 372 | 402 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,637 | 648 | 296 | 324 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,458 | 736 | 220 | 246 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,534 | 762 | 492 | 515 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,611 | 787 | 764 | 785 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,795 | 790 | 1,002 | 1,021 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,979 | 792 | 1,240 | 1,258 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,653 | 715 | 993 | 1,012 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,328 | 638 | 747 | 766 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,207 | 657 | 550 | 572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,086 | 675 | 354 | 378 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,368 | 762 | N/A | 499 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,649 | 849 | N/A | 620 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,653 | 864 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,656 | 879 | N/A | 593 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,697 | 883 | N/A | 624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,738 | 886 | N/A | 654 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,709 | 862 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,680 | 837 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,639 | 812 | N/A | 827 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,598 | 787 | N/A | 824 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 3,499 | 749 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,401 | 711 | N/A | 755 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,269 | 668 | N/A | 726 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,137 | 625 | N/A | 698 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,098 | 597 | N/A | 618 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,059 | 568 | N/A | 538 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 2,980 | 545 | N/A | 516 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,902 | 522 | N/A | 494 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,805 | 484 | N/A | 480 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: PSN 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(10.8%)이 saving rate(3.6%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: PSN 의 연간 수익(10.8%)이 UK 시장(11.3%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: PSN 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: PSN 의 수익(연간 5%)이 UK 시장(연간 3.7%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: PSN 의 수익(연간 5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: PSN의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 10.3%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/09/11 03:32 |
| 종가 | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/06/30 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
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| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
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| 경영진 | 10년 |
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| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델의 세부 정보는 당사의 GitHub 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 사용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Persimmon Plc는 36명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 19명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Rajesh Patki | Barclays |
| Emily Biddulph | Barclays |
| Jonathan Bell | Barclays |