New Risk • Nov 20
New minor risk - Revenue size The company makes less than US$5m in revenue. Total revenue: €4.7m (US$5.0m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small amount of revenue are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (10% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (155% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Revenue is less than US$5m (€4.7m revenue, or US$5.0m). Market cap is less than US$100m (€12.8m market cap, or US$13.5m). New Risk • Nov 13
New major risk - Financial position The company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Currently running at an operating cash loss. This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (10% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (155% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€12.9m market cap, or US$13.7m). 공지 • Oct 20
Jolt Capital Targeted Opportunities Fund, Ambrosia Investments Limited and Jolt Capital SAS proposed public withdrawal offer to acquire an remaining 10.92% stake in Alpha MOS S.A. (ENXTPA:ALNEO) for €1.4 million. Jolt Capital Targeted Opportunities Fund, Ambrosia Investments Limited and Jolt Capital SAS proposed public withdrawal offer to acquire an remaining 10.92% stake in Alpha MOS S.A. (ENXTPA:ALNEO) for €1.4 million on October 18, 2024. A cash consideration valued at €0.5 per share will be paid by Jolt Capital Targeted Opportunities Fund, Ambrosia Investments Limited and Jolt Capital SAS. The OPR will be open for a period of 10 trading days with the aim of providing liquidity to the Company's minority shareholders and, if the conditions are met, of delisting the Company in order to reduce the cost constraints associated with listing. The Offer does not cover shares that could result from the exercise of stock options that have been the subject of a non-exercise commitment by their holders until the later of the following two dates: the result of the OPR or the possible implementation of the mandatory squeeze-out. In addition, the Offer does not cover bonds convertible into shares issued by the Company (the " OCA "), the sole holder of the OCA having undertaken not to tender these securities to the Offer or request their conversion until the later of the following two dates: the result of the OPR or the possible implementation of the mandatory squeeze-out. Thomas Hachette of Sorgem Evaluation has been appointed by the Board of Directors of the Company decided on May 21, 2024, upon recommendation of the ad hoc committee. Board Change • Jul 18
Less than half of directors are independent There are 4 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Of these new board members, none were independent directors. The company's board is composed of: 4 new directors. 4 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (3 non-independent directors). Chairman of the Board Laurent Samama is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2016. Independent Director Catherine Lefevre was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Lack of experienced directors. 공지 • May 26
Alpha MOS S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2024 Alpha MOS S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 27, 2024. Location: 4 rue brindejonc des moulinais, zac de la grande plaine, immeuble le colombus, toulouse France Reported Earnings • Apr 26
Full year 2023 earnings released Full year 2023 results: Revenue: €5.18m (down 23% from FY 2022). Net loss: €4.74m (loss widened 76% from FY 2022). New Risk • Apr 14
New major risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 155% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (33% average weekly change). Negative equity (-€5.7m). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (155% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€15.5m market cap, or US$16.5m). New Risk • Nov 01
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of French stocks, typically moving 10% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (10% average weekly change). Negative equity (-€5.7m). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (€11.6m market cap, or US$12.2m). New Risk • Jun 25
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of French stocks, typically moving 8.8% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Negative equity (-€3.8m). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.8% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (€15.0m market cap, or US$16.3m). Breakeven Date Change • Jan 01
Forecast to breakeven in 2025 The analyst covering Alpha MOS expects the company to break even for the first time. New forecast suggests the company will make a profit of €550.0k in 2025. Average annual earnings growth of 50% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Reported Earnings • Nov 02
First half 2022 earnings released First half 2022 results: Revenue: €2.95m (down 5.8% from 1H 2021). Net loss: €1.30m (loss widened 37% from 1H 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Electronic industry in France. Buying Opportunity • Aug 23
Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 21%. The fair value is estimated to be €2.50, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 24% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 67% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • May 01
Full year 2021 earnings released Full year 2021 results: Revenue: €6.17m (up 54% from FY 2020). Net loss: €1.98m (loss narrowed 49% from FY 2020). Board Change • Apr 27
High number of new and inexperienced directors There are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 5 new directors. 3 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Chairman of the Board Laurent Samama is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2016. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors. Board Change • Feb 04
High number of new and inexperienced directors There are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 5 new directors. 3 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Chairman of the Board Laurent Samama is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2016. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors. Reported Earnings • Sep 24
First half 2021 earnings released The company reported a solid first half result with reduced losses, improved revenues and improved control over expenses. First half 2021 results: Revenue: €3.13m (up 106% from 1H 2020). Net loss: €948.0k (loss narrowed 56% from 1H 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 42% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 118% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Reported Earnings • May 04
Full year 2020 earnings released: €0.45 loss per share (vs €0.12 loss in FY 2019) The company reported a poor full year result with increased losses, weaker revenues and weaker control over costs. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: €4.02m (down 20% from FY 2019). Net loss: €3.85m (loss widened 15% from FY 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 58% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 88% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 20
New 90-day high: €4.00 The company is up 176% from its price of €1.45 on 22 October 2020. The French market is up 14% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Electronic industry, which is up 34% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Oct 06
First half earnings released Over the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €3.68m, with losses narrowing by 29% from the prior year. Total revenue was €4.22m over the last 12 months, down 11% from the prior year. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 05
New 90-day low: €1.17 The company is down 12% from its price of €1.33 on 07 July 2020. The French market is down 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Electronic industry, which is down 7.0% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Oct 04
First half earnings released Over the last 12 months the company has reported total losses of €3.68m, with losses narrowing by 29% from the prior year. Total revenue was €4.22m over the last 12 months, down 11% from the prior year.