View ValuationKelsian Group 향후 성장Future 기준 점검 1/6Kelsian Group (는) 각각 연간 5.8% 및 2.9% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 7.7% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 8.1% 로 예상됩니다.핵심 정보5.8%이익 성장률7.73%EPS 성장률Transportation 이익 성장10.5%매출 성장률2.9%향후 자기자본이익률8.13%애널리스트 커버리지Good마지막 업데이트22 May 2026최근 향후 성장 업데이트업데이트 없음모든 업데이트 보기Recent updates공시 • Feb 25+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited Announces Resignation of Neil Smith as A Non-Executive Director, Effective 28 February 2026Kelsian Group Limited advised the resignation of Mr. Neil Smith as a non-executive director due to health reasons; effective 28 February 2026. Mr. Smith was a founder and the Chairman of Transit Systems Group prior to the acquisition by Kelsian in 2020 and was instrumental in growing the business into Australia's largest private operator of metropolitan public bus services and an established international bus operator. Mr. Smith joined the Board of Kelsian following the Transit Systems Group acquisition, and during his time as a director has brought valuable expertise and leadership which have contributed significantly to Kelsian's global growth.공시 • Jan 12Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 24, 2026Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 24, 2026공시 • Sep 02+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025.공시 • Jun 27Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Terry Sinclair as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of Mr. Terry Sinclair as a Non-Executive Director, effective September 1, 2025. Mr. Sinclair brings extensive board-level and executive experience across several sectors, including logistics, infrastructure, industrials, consumer services, and technology. He will be a member of both the People, Culture and Remuneration Committee and the Safety, Risk and Sustainability Committee. Mr. Sinclair is currently Chair of Silk Logistics Holdings Limited and was most recently a Non-Executive Director of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited, Non-Executive Director of Indara Digital Infrastructure, and a Senior Advisor to AustralianSuper. Previously, he served as a Non-Executive Director of Faethm.ai Pty Ltd, Ovato Limited, and Zoom2U Technologies, as well as Managing Director of Service Stream Limited, Chairman of AUX Investments, Chairman of Star Track Express, Director of Sai Cheng Logistics (China), and Director of Asia Pacific Alliance (HK). Mr. Sinclair has over 35 years of executive experience in the industrials, infrastructure, and consumer services sectors, including 23 years at BHP and ten years at Australia Post.공시 • Jun 23Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 26, 2025공시 • Feb 04Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Feb 26, 2025Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 11Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 29%After last week's 29% share price gain to €2.56, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.80 per share.New Risk • Sep 30New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 12% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.4x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 25Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to €2.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 24% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.87 per share.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 16Non-Executive Director recently bought €278k worth of stockOn the 11th of September, Neil Smith bought around 117k shares on-market at roughly €2.37 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.4m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 09Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.4m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 617k shares on-market at roughly €2.34 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.4% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.공시 • Sep 02Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024. Location: in person meeting, AustraliaDeclared Dividend • Aug 30Final dividend of AU$0.095 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.095. Ex-date: 13th September 2024 Payment date: 21st October 2024 Dividend yield will be 7.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (82% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has increased by an average of 9.1% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 36% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Reported Earnings • Aug 28Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.21 (vs AU$0.091 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.21 (up from AU$0.091 in FY 2023). Revenue: AU$2.05b (up 43% from FY 2023). Net income: AU$58.0m (up 176% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (up from 1.5% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 26Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%After last week's 26% share price decline to €2.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €3.82 per share.공시 • Aug 11Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Aug 28, 2024Board Change • Jun 19Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Jackie McArthur was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 30Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to €2.76. The fair value is estimated to be €3.46, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 26% per annum over the same time period.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to €2.90, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 12% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.14 per share.Recent Insider Transactions • Apr 16MD, Group CEO & Director recently bought €230k worth of stockOn the 15th of April, Clinton Feuerherdt bought around 70k shares on-market at roughly €3.29 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.2% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Clinton's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.New Risk • Apr 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 148% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.7% net profit margin). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 11Now 28% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 28% to €2.98. The fair value is estimated to be €4.17, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 6.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 13Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 March 2024. Payment date: 17 April 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (5.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.6%).Reported Earnings • Mar 01First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.11 (vs AU$0.089 in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.11 (up from AU$0.089 in 1H 2023). Revenue: AU$991.0m (up 45% from 1H 2023). Net income: AU$28.1m (up 44% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (in line with 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 28Now 24% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to €3.42. The fair value is estimated to be €4.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.공시 • Jan 16Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Jacqueline Mcarthur as DirectorKelsian Group Limited appointed Jacqueline Mcarthur as Director. Date of appointment 15 January 2024.공시 • Nov 29Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Jackie McArthur as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective 15 January 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that Jackie McArthur has been appointed as an independent non-executive Director of Kelsian effective from 15 January 2024. Jackie is a highly experienced company director, currently on the Boards of Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd. and Qube Holdings Ltd. Jackie was previously a non-executive director of Inghams Group Ltd, Tassal Group Ltd, InvoCare Ltd, and Blackmores Ltd. With over 20 years of valuable experience at executive and board level from her roles in strategy, general management, global and regional transport, supply chain and logistics, corporate social responsibility, governance, and IT, Jackie is expected to enhance and complement the skills and experience mix of the Kelsian Board. In her role as Managing Director of Martin Brower-ANZ, a global distributor and supply chain services provider, she was responsible for the oversight of a supply chain worth $4.5bn across 38 markets. Jackie was the 2016 Telstra NSW Business Woman of the Year and overall, 2016 Telstra Business Women’s Awards – Corporate and Private National winner. She has a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Sydne, completed the INSEAD International Executive Program and is a member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors.Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 03Non-Executive Director recently sold €751k worth of stockOn the 1st of November, Neil Smith sold around 206k shares on-market at roughly €3.64 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of €3.8m more than they bought in the last 12 months.Upcoming Dividend • Sep 07Upcoming dividend of AU$0.095 per share at 2.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 September 2023. Payment date: 20 October 2023. The company is paying out more than 100% of its earnings and cash flow. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (4.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.6%).공시 • Sep 05Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director Retirement and Chair Succession PlanKelsian Group Limited announced that Chris Smerdon has notified Kelsian of his retirement from the board of directors of Kelsian ("Board") with effect from the end of the 2023 Annual General Meeting ("AGM"), planned for 24 October 2023. Chris joined the Board in 2004 and has been the longest serving non-executive director with the company. His decision to retire from the Board reflects his support for Board renewal and succession planning. A search is now underway for a new independent director following Chris' advice of his planned retirement. At the 2023 AGM Kelsian Chair Jeff Ellison, along with fellow non-executive directors, Neil Smith and Lance Hockridge are due to stand for re-election.Reported Earnings • Aug 30Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.091 (vs AU$0.24 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.091 (down from AU$0.24 in FY 2022). Revenue: AU$1.43b (up 6.9% from FY 2022). Net income: AU$21.0m (down 60% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 3.9% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.공시 • Jul 04Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Clint Feuerherdt as DirectorKelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of its Group Chief Executive Officer, Clint Feuerherdt, as a member of the Kelsian Board, in addition to his ongoing role as Group Chief Executive Officer (Group CEO), with effect from 3 July 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt has been Kelsian's Group Chief Executive Officer since January 2020 following the acquisition of the Transit Systems Group. Under his guidance, Transit Systems Group Australia had secured via competitive tender processes more franchised bus service contracts than any other company in Australia. Clint also has extensive experience in the marine services sector, having overseen the growth of the privately owned ferry fleet in Australia for Transit Systems Group before divesting this to SeaLink Travel Group in 2015. In 2015 Clint led the expansion of Transit Systems Group into Singapore. Most recently, he led Kelsian's acquisition of All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc, which was completed in early June 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt is an accomplished executive and company director, including currently being a non-executive director of the Public Transport Association Australia and New Zealand (formerly called The International Association of Public Transport - UITP ANZ), and Ormiston College (Brisbane) in addition to his executive director roles for Kelsian group subsidiary companies in Singapore and USA. Mr. Feuerherdt said he was honoured to become part of the Kelsian Board and was looking forward to continuing to play a critical role in the ongoing success of Kelsian, including leveraging its global footprint to take a disciplined approach to organic growth and international expansion in the areas of public transport, essential marine transport and unique complementary tourism sectors. Mr. Feuerherdt's key employment terms remain the same other than a change in position to Managing Director and Group CEO.공시 • May 30Ventura Bus Lines Reportedly Taps Goldman Sachs for SaleVictorian bus company Ventura Bus Lines Pty. Ltd. is understood to have hired investment bank Goldman Sachs for a sale that could reap the family-owned enterprise more than $500 million. Logical acquirers include the listed bus operator Kelsian Group Limited, which has been vocal about its interest in winning more domestic contracts to grow earnings. Other contenders include Kinetic (Tasmania) Pty Ltd, which is controlled by Infrastructure Capital Group and OPTrust and owns half of Go-Ahead; ComfortDelGro Australia, whose Singaporean owners have tried to float in Australia in recent years; and private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, which operates Ritchies Transport buses in New Zealand.Recent Insider Transactions • May 28Non-Executive Director recently sold €3.0m worth of stockOn the 25th of May, Neil Smith sold around 779k shares on-market at roughly €3.90 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.9% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Feb 24First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.079 (vs AU$0.097 in 1H 2022)First half 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.079 (down from AU$0.097 in 1H 2022). Revenue: AU$689.5m (up 4.4% from 1H 2022). Net income: AU$17.2m (down 19% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.5% (down from 3.2% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.공시 • Jan 20+ 2 more updatesKelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 30, 2023Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 22Non-Executive Director recently bought €569k worth of stockOn the 21st of September, Neil Smith bought around 155k shares on-market at roughly €3.67 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.1m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.8m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 07Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.1m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 300k shares on-market at roughly €3.75 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 30Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to €3.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe.Reported Earnings • Aug 24Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.24 (vs AU$0.17 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: AU$0.24 (up from AU$0.17 in FY 2021). Revenue: AU$1.35b (up 15% from FY 2021). Net income: AU$52.9m (up 40% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 3.9% (up from 3.2% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 1.9% compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Germany.Board Change • May 24Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.이익 및 매출 성장 예측DB:CY4 - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (AUD Millions)날짜매출이익자유현금흐름영업현금흐름평균 애널리스트 수6/30/20282,5158711123776/30/20272,4227214022086/30/20262,3776570201812/31/20252,3376798222N/A9/30/20252,2816169214N/A6/30/20252,2245440205N/A3/31/20252,1765227175N/A12/31/20242,1275013145N/A9/30/20242,082545146N/A6/30/20242,03858-3147N/A3/31/20241,88644-19153N/A12/31/20231,73330-34160N/A9/30/20231,58025-3144N/A6/30/20231,4272128129N/A3/31/20231,3893637121N/A12/31/20221,3505146114N/A9/30/20221,3325259114N/A6/30/20221,3145371115N/A3/31/20221,2964070109N/A12/31/20211,262275689N/A9/30/20211,2373263101N/A6/30/20211,2113870112N/A3/31/20211,1602475118N/A12/31/20201,1081081124N/A9/30/2020876-271107N/A6/30/2020645-146190N/A3/31/202045023864N/A12/31/2019256171639N/A9/30/201925319N/A40N/A6/30/201925122N/A41N/A3/31/201924521N/AN/AN/A12/31/201823921N/A40N/A9/30/201822420N/A34N/A6/30/201820920N/A29N/A3/31/201820121N/AN/AN/A12/31/201719422N/A27N/A9/30/201719723N/A26N/A6/30/201720124N/A26N/A3/31/201720525N/A31N/A12/31/201620827N/A37N/A9/30/201619325N/A34N/A6/30/201617722N/A32N/A3/31/201615318N/A25N/A12/31/201512913N/A18N/A9/30/201512011N/A15N/A6/30/20151119N/A12N/A더 보기애널리스트 향후 성장 전망수입 대 저축률: CY4 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(5.8%)이 saving rate(1.9%)보다 높습니다.수익 vs 시장: CY4 의 연간 수익(5.8%)이 German 시장(17.2%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 수익: CY4 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.수익 대 시장: CY4 의 수익(연간 2.9%)이 German 시장(연간 6.7%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.고성장 매출: CY4 의 수익(연간 2.9%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.주당순이익 성장 예측향후 자기자본이익률미래 ROE: CY4의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 8.1%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.성장 기업 찾아보기7D1Y7D1Y7D1YTransportation 산업의 고성장 기업.View Past Performance기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태데이터최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)기업 분석2026/05/31 00:50종가2026/05/29 00:00수익2025/12/31연간 수익2025/06/30데이터 소스당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.패키지데이터기간미국 소스 예시 *기업 재무제표10년손익계산서현금흐름표대차대조표SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 10-Q분석가 컨센서스 추정치+3년재무 예측분석가 목표주가분석가 리서치 보고서Blue Matrix시장 가격30년주가배당, 분할 및 기타 조치ICE 시장 데이터SEC 양식 S-1지분 구조10년주요 주주내부자 거래SEC 양식 4SEC 양식 13D경영진10년리더십 팀이사회SEC 양식 10-KSEC 양식 DEF 14A주요 개발10년회사 공시SEC 양식 8-K* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.산업 및 섹터 지표산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.분석가 소스Kelsian Group Limited는 15명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 8명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.분석가기관Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty LimitedPiers FlanaganBarrenjoey Markets Pty LimitedNicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited12명의 분석가 더 보기
공시 • Feb 25+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited Announces Resignation of Neil Smith as A Non-Executive Director, Effective 28 February 2026Kelsian Group Limited advised the resignation of Mr. Neil Smith as a non-executive director due to health reasons; effective 28 February 2026. Mr. Smith was a founder and the Chairman of Transit Systems Group prior to the acquisition by Kelsian in 2020 and was instrumental in growing the business into Australia's largest private operator of metropolitan public bus services and an established international bus operator. Mr. Smith joined the Board of Kelsian following the Transit Systems Group acquisition, and during his time as a director has brought valuable expertise and leadership which have contributed significantly to Kelsian's global growth.
공시 • Jan 12Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 24, 2026Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 24, 2026
공시 • Sep 02+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025.
공시 • Jun 27Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Terry Sinclair as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of Mr. Terry Sinclair as a Non-Executive Director, effective September 1, 2025. Mr. Sinclair brings extensive board-level and executive experience across several sectors, including logistics, infrastructure, industrials, consumer services, and technology. He will be a member of both the People, Culture and Remuneration Committee and the Safety, Risk and Sustainability Committee. Mr. Sinclair is currently Chair of Silk Logistics Holdings Limited and was most recently a Non-Executive Director of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited, Non-Executive Director of Indara Digital Infrastructure, and a Senior Advisor to AustralianSuper. Previously, he served as a Non-Executive Director of Faethm.ai Pty Ltd, Ovato Limited, and Zoom2U Technologies, as well as Managing Director of Service Stream Limited, Chairman of AUX Investments, Chairman of Star Track Express, Director of Sai Cheng Logistics (China), and Director of Asia Pacific Alliance (HK). Mr. Sinclair has over 35 years of executive experience in the industrials, infrastructure, and consumer services sectors, including 23 years at BHP and ten years at Australia Post.
공시 • Jun 23Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 26, 2025
공시 • Feb 04Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Feb 26, 2025
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 11Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 29%After last week's 29% share price gain to €2.56, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.80 per share.
New Risk • Sep 30New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 12% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.4x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 25Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to €2.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 24% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.87 per share.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 16Non-Executive Director recently bought €278k worth of stockOn the 11th of September, Neil Smith bought around 117k shares on-market at roughly €2.37 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.4m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 09Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.4m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 617k shares on-market at roughly €2.34 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.4% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
공시 • Sep 02Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024. Location: in person meeting, Australia
Declared Dividend • Aug 30Final dividend of AU$0.095 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.095. Ex-date: 13th September 2024 Payment date: 21st October 2024 Dividend yield will be 7.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (82% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has increased by an average of 9.1% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 36% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Reported Earnings • Aug 28Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.21 (vs AU$0.091 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.21 (up from AU$0.091 in FY 2023). Revenue: AU$2.05b (up 43% from FY 2023). Net income: AU$58.0m (up 176% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (up from 1.5% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 26Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%After last week's 26% share price decline to €2.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €3.82 per share.
공시 • Aug 11Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Aug 28, 2024
Board Change • Jun 19Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Jackie McArthur was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 30Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to €2.76. The fair value is estimated to be €3.46, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 26% per annum over the same time period.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to €2.90, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 12% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.14 per share.
Recent Insider Transactions • Apr 16MD, Group CEO & Director recently bought €230k worth of stockOn the 15th of April, Clinton Feuerherdt bought around 70k shares on-market at roughly €3.29 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.2% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Clinton's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
New Risk • Apr 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 148% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.7% net profit margin). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 11Now 28% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 28% to €2.98. The fair value is estimated to be €4.17, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 6.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 13Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 March 2024. Payment date: 17 April 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (5.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.6%).
Reported Earnings • Mar 01First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.11 (vs AU$0.089 in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.11 (up from AU$0.089 in 1H 2023). Revenue: AU$991.0m (up 45% from 1H 2023). Net income: AU$28.1m (up 44% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (in line with 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 28Now 24% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to €3.42. The fair value is estimated to be €4.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.
공시 • Jan 16Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Jacqueline Mcarthur as DirectorKelsian Group Limited appointed Jacqueline Mcarthur as Director. Date of appointment 15 January 2024.
공시 • Nov 29Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Jackie McArthur as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective 15 January 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that Jackie McArthur has been appointed as an independent non-executive Director of Kelsian effective from 15 January 2024. Jackie is a highly experienced company director, currently on the Boards of Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd. and Qube Holdings Ltd. Jackie was previously a non-executive director of Inghams Group Ltd, Tassal Group Ltd, InvoCare Ltd, and Blackmores Ltd. With over 20 years of valuable experience at executive and board level from her roles in strategy, general management, global and regional transport, supply chain and logistics, corporate social responsibility, governance, and IT, Jackie is expected to enhance and complement the skills and experience mix of the Kelsian Board. In her role as Managing Director of Martin Brower-ANZ, a global distributor and supply chain services provider, she was responsible for the oversight of a supply chain worth $4.5bn across 38 markets. Jackie was the 2016 Telstra NSW Business Woman of the Year and overall, 2016 Telstra Business Women’s Awards – Corporate and Private National winner. She has a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Sydne, completed the INSEAD International Executive Program and is a member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors.
Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 03Non-Executive Director recently sold €751k worth of stockOn the 1st of November, Neil Smith sold around 206k shares on-market at roughly €3.64 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of €3.8m more than they bought in the last 12 months.
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 07Upcoming dividend of AU$0.095 per share at 2.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 September 2023. Payment date: 20 October 2023. The company is paying out more than 100% of its earnings and cash flow. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (4.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.6%).
공시 • Sep 05Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director Retirement and Chair Succession PlanKelsian Group Limited announced that Chris Smerdon has notified Kelsian of his retirement from the board of directors of Kelsian ("Board") with effect from the end of the 2023 Annual General Meeting ("AGM"), planned for 24 October 2023. Chris joined the Board in 2004 and has been the longest serving non-executive director with the company. His decision to retire from the Board reflects his support for Board renewal and succession planning. A search is now underway for a new independent director following Chris' advice of his planned retirement. At the 2023 AGM Kelsian Chair Jeff Ellison, along with fellow non-executive directors, Neil Smith and Lance Hockridge are due to stand for re-election.
Reported Earnings • Aug 30Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.091 (vs AU$0.24 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.091 (down from AU$0.24 in FY 2022). Revenue: AU$1.43b (up 6.9% from FY 2022). Net income: AU$21.0m (down 60% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 3.9% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
공시 • Jul 04Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Clint Feuerherdt as DirectorKelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of its Group Chief Executive Officer, Clint Feuerherdt, as a member of the Kelsian Board, in addition to his ongoing role as Group Chief Executive Officer (Group CEO), with effect from 3 July 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt has been Kelsian's Group Chief Executive Officer since January 2020 following the acquisition of the Transit Systems Group. Under his guidance, Transit Systems Group Australia had secured via competitive tender processes more franchised bus service contracts than any other company in Australia. Clint also has extensive experience in the marine services sector, having overseen the growth of the privately owned ferry fleet in Australia for Transit Systems Group before divesting this to SeaLink Travel Group in 2015. In 2015 Clint led the expansion of Transit Systems Group into Singapore. Most recently, he led Kelsian's acquisition of All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc, which was completed in early June 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt is an accomplished executive and company director, including currently being a non-executive director of the Public Transport Association Australia and New Zealand (formerly called The International Association of Public Transport - UITP ANZ), and Ormiston College (Brisbane) in addition to his executive director roles for Kelsian group subsidiary companies in Singapore and USA. Mr. Feuerherdt said he was honoured to become part of the Kelsian Board and was looking forward to continuing to play a critical role in the ongoing success of Kelsian, including leveraging its global footprint to take a disciplined approach to organic growth and international expansion in the areas of public transport, essential marine transport and unique complementary tourism sectors. Mr. Feuerherdt's key employment terms remain the same other than a change in position to Managing Director and Group CEO.
공시 • May 30Ventura Bus Lines Reportedly Taps Goldman Sachs for SaleVictorian bus company Ventura Bus Lines Pty. Ltd. is understood to have hired investment bank Goldman Sachs for a sale that could reap the family-owned enterprise more than $500 million. Logical acquirers include the listed bus operator Kelsian Group Limited, which has been vocal about its interest in winning more domestic contracts to grow earnings. Other contenders include Kinetic (Tasmania) Pty Ltd, which is controlled by Infrastructure Capital Group and OPTrust and owns half of Go-Ahead; ComfortDelGro Australia, whose Singaporean owners have tried to float in Australia in recent years; and private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, which operates Ritchies Transport buses in New Zealand.
Recent Insider Transactions • May 28Non-Executive Director recently sold €3.0m worth of stockOn the 25th of May, Neil Smith sold around 779k shares on-market at roughly €3.90 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.9% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Feb 24First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.079 (vs AU$0.097 in 1H 2022)First half 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.079 (down from AU$0.097 in 1H 2022). Revenue: AU$689.5m (up 4.4% from 1H 2022). Net income: AU$17.2m (down 19% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.5% (down from 3.2% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
공시 • Jan 20+ 2 more updatesKelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 30, 2023
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 22Non-Executive Director recently bought €569k worth of stockOn the 21st of September, Neil Smith bought around 155k shares on-market at roughly €3.67 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.1m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.8m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 07Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.1m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 300k shares on-market at roughly €3.75 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 30Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to €3.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe.
Reported Earnings • Aug 24Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.24 (vs AU$0.17 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: AU$0.24 (up from AU$0.17 in FY 2021). Revenue: AU$1.35b (up 15% from FY 2021). Net income: AU$52.9m (up 40% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 3.9% (up from 3.2% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 1.9% compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Germany.
Board Change • May 24Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.