New Risk • Jul 06
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -€6.8m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-€6.8m free cash flow). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 5.0% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (€82m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (€3.8m revenue, or US$4.4m). Market cap is less than US$100m (€82.8m market cap, or US$94.7m). 공시 • Jun 09
Adocia Presents Full Phase 3 Results For BioChaperone Lispro In Type 2 Diabetes Presented at ADA 86th Scientific Sessions Adocia announced that the full results of the Phase 3 clinical study (Study THDB0206L02, NCT05834868) conducted on people with type 2 diabetes in China with BioChaperone Lispro were presented at the American Diabetes Association (ADA) 86th Scientific Session, completing the positive topline results of this clinical trial announced in July 2025. Positive topline results, released in July 2025, included non inferior HbA1c reduction for the whole population and a similar safety profile compared to the standard of care, Humalog. Clinically relevant benefits over Humalog include: Superior long term glycemic control in people using Metformin or with HbA1c below 8.5%, Superior glucose control throughout the day and after each meal for the whole population. For more detail, the poster is accessible on Adocia’s website. BioChaperone Lispro was licensed to Tonghua Dongbao in 2018, as part of a Licensing Agreement covering China and other Asian countries. BioChaperone Lispro is an Ultra-Rapid Insulin, belonging to the latest generation of prandial insulins. It combines Adocia's proprietary BioChaperone technology with insulin lispro, the active ingredient in the standard of care, Humalog. This innovative formulation acts significantly faster than earlier insulin generations, effectively reducing post-meal hyperglycemia, which is a key contributor to long-term complications such as retinopathy, diabetic foot ulcers, or kidney failure. Additionally, its rapid elimination minimizes the risk of hypoglycemia, often caused when insulin level remains high after post-meal glucose levels have normalized. The faster action profile of BioChaperone Lispro associated to an excellent local tolerance enhances its compatibility with modern diabetes management systems, particularly insulin pump systems, and provides better integration into advanced treatment algorithms. Beyond its clinical advantages, the quick onset of BioChaperone Lispro improves quality of life by offering greater flexibility in dose timing. Patients can administer insulin at mealtime, or even right-after-mealtime, allowing for more accurate dosing based on known meal timing and content. This reduces the risks of overdosing or underdosing, which can lead to hypo- or hyperglycemia and their associated complications. The simplified dosing process eases the psychological burden on patients and caregivers, significantly alleviating the stress associated with diabetes management. In 2022, the partner Tonghua Dongbao initiated two Phase 3 studies with the ultra-rapid insulin BioChaperone Lispro involving approximately 1,500 people with type 1 or type 2 diabetes in China. The positive results of these studies have been announced in July 2025 and October 2025. The contract with Tonghua Dongbao includes a milestone payment of USD 20 million, which would be triggered upon obtaining marketing authorization in China, and subsequent double-digit royalties on sales to Adocia. The marketing authorization filing is in preparation and is under Tonghua Dongbao’s responsibility. 공시 • Jun 05
Adocia Announces Virtual Kol Event to Review Phase 3 Results of Ultra-Rapid Insulin Biochaperone Lispro Adocia announced that it will host a virtual Key Opinion Leader (KOL) event on Tuesday June 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM EST /4:00 PM CEST. Tim Heise, MD (Profil, Neuss, Germany), will join company management, Olivier Soula, CEO and co-founder of Adocia and You-Ping Chan, Head of R&D, to review the results of the Phase 3 trial conducted in China on BioChaperone Lispro (“BC Lispro”) for the treatment of type 2 diabetes. The event will cover the following topics: Introduction to Adocia’s proprietary BioChaperone technology platform, by You-Ping Chan; Current mealtime insulin treatment paradigm for diabetes and limitations by Tim Heise; Ultra-Rapid insulin BC Lispro Phase 3 data on type 2 diabetes by Tim Heise MD; Next steps and potential value creation by Olivier Soula. A live question and answer session will follow the presentation. The webcast will be conducted in English. A replay of the webcast and presentation materials will be made available on Adocia’s website following the event. BioChaperone Lispro was licensed to Tonghua Dongbaoin 2018, as part of a Licensing Agreement covering China and other Asian countries. BioChaperone Lispro is an Ultra-Rapid Insulin, belonging to the latest generation of prandial insulins. It combines Adocia's proprietary BioChaperone technology with insulin lispro, the active ingredient in the standard of care, Humalog (Eli Lilly). This innovative formulation acts significantly faster than earlier insulin generations, effectively reducing post-meal hyperglycemia, which is a key contributor to long-term complications such as retinopathy, diabetic foot ulcers, or kidney failure. Additionally, its rapid elimination minimizes the risk of hypoglycemia, often caused when insulin level remains high after post-meal glucose levels have normalized. The faster action profile of BioChaperone Lispro associated to an excellent local tolerance enhances its compatibility with modern diabetes management systems, particularly insulin pump systems, and provides better integration into advanced treatment algorithms. Beyond its clinical advantages, the quick onset of BioChaperone Lispro improves quality of life by offering greater flexibility in dose timing. Patients can administer insulin at mealtime, or even right-after-mealtime, allowing for more accurate dosing based on known meal timing and content. This reduces the risks of overdosing or underdosing, which can lead to hypo- or hyperglycemia and their associated complications. The simplified dosing process eases the psychological burden on patients and caregivers, significantly alleviating the stress associated with diabetes management. New Risk • Jun 03
New minor risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: €80.5m (US$93.3m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Negative equity (-€617k). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (€3.8m revenue, or US$4.5m). Market cap is less than US$100m (€80.5m market cap, or US$93.3m). Breakeven Date Change • May 20
Forecast to breakeven in 2026 The 2 analysts covering Adocia expect the company to break even for the first time. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of €3.98m in 2026. Earnings growth of 55% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule. Board Change • May 20
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 2 experienced directors. 10 highly experienced directors. Independent Chairman of the Board Stephane Boissel was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment. 
