International Business Machines Corporation

NYSE:IBM 株式レポート

時価総額：US$220.5b

International Business Machines 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

International Business Machines利益と収益がそれぞれ年間5%と4.1%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に23.9% 4%なると予測されています。

主要情報

5.0%

収益成長率

3.95%

EPS成長率

IT 収益成長22.0%
収益成長率4.1%
将来の株主資本利益率23.93%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日09 Sep 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 26

IBM: Big Blue Is Not Going Back To The Dinosaur Age

Summary IBM faced Q2 revenue pressure from mainframe weakness, but underlying software growth and cash generation remain robust. Hybrid Cloud and Data segments delivered double-digit growth, positioning IBM for evolving enterprise IT and AI-driven demand. Management expects 2026 free cash flow to rise by ~$1bn, supporting a Buy rating despite trimmed revenue guidance. My DCF assigns a fair value of $241/share, with sensitivity analysis indicating attractive risk/reward under conservative assumptions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 26

IBM: AI Spending Shift Will Delay Software And Mainframe Earnings Execution

IBM's analyst fair value estimate has been revised to $174 from $195 as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, more cautious revenue and margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on International Business Machines highlights a clear shift toward more cautious expectations, with several research houses cutting price targets and, in some cases, lowering ratings following the company’s Q2 preannouncement and subsequent results.
新しいナラティブ • Aug 16

Why I See IBM as a Long-Term Enterprise AI and Hybrid Cloud Play

My investment thesis on IBM is based on its transition from a traditional technology company into a hybrid cloud, enterprise AI and cybersecurity platform. I see IBM’s strength not in competing directly for the most advanced AI model, but in helping large organisations integrate AI securely into complex existing systems.
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 12

IBM: AI Spending Shift And Quantum Progress Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have reduced the implied fair value for International Business Machines to about $244 from roughly $294 as they incorporate lower P/E assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a wave of reduced price targets following IBM's recent pre-announcement and Q2 commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on International Business Machines shows a wide spread of opinions, with many firms cutting price targets after the Q2 pre-announcement while still debating IBM's longer term software, mainframe and quantum opportunity.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 29

IBM: Quantum And AI Infrastructure Shift Will Support Long Term Upside

IBM's updated analyst narrative reflects a lower implied price target of about $316 from $375, as analysts factor in reduced revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and recent cuts to Street price targets following softer software and mainframe trends. These factors are partly offset by a modestly higher profit margin outlook and a lower future P/E multiple.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 14

IBM: Quantum And AI Infrastructure Roadmap Will Support Long Term Upside Potential

IBM's updated analyst price target has been reset to $375 from $390, reflecting a modest pullback even as analysts highlight support from AI and quantum initiatives, resilient software and infrastructure demand, and mixed views on valuation compared with "synthetic IBM" alternatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on International Business Machines shows a wide range of views, but several bullish analysts have highlighted specific areas where they see IBM executing well and building potential growth drivers in software, infrastructure, and quantum.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 30

IBM: AI Infrastructure And Quantum Optionality Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

The updated analyst price target for International Business Machines has been refined lower to about $294 from roughly $302, as analysts factor in slightly slower modeled revenue growth, higher projected profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple informed by recent research on AI infrastructure demand, software acceleration, and quantum computing optionality. Analyst Commentary Street research on International Business Machines points to a split view, with several firms leaning more constructive on AI, software and quantum optionality, while others are focusing on execution risks and valuation reset after a strong run.
分析記事 • Jun 22

IBM (IBM) Stock Could Be 2.7% Undervalued After Accenture Outlook Shook IT Services

International Business Machines (IBM) came under pressure after Accenture cut its revenue outlook, which raised fresh questions about IT services demand, AI consulting projects, and how higher interest rates are affecting large technology stocks. See our latest analysis for International Business Machines. For International Business Machines, the recent 5.05% one day share price decline and weaker short term momentum, with a 7 day share price return down 8.5% and year to date share price...
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 16

IBM: Quantum Investments And Federal Support Will Reshape AI Infrastructure Story

Analysts raised their fair value estimate for International Business Machines to $390 from $335, citing higher long-term assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, in light of recent bullish price target revisions across the Street that focus on IBM's AI, hybrid cloud, and quantum initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on International Business Machines centers on how AI infrastructure, hybrid cloud, and quantum efforts feed into valuation, execution, and potential growth.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 02

IBM: Quantum And AI Hype Will Outrun Execution And Margin Delivery

Analyst fair value for International Business Machines has been reset from $201.51 to $195.00 as analysts balance recent price target moves around $350 with updated assumptions for discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on International Business Machines highlights a split view.
ナラティブ更新 • May 28

This news is strategically bullish but financially asymmetric

Below is a structured investment-style analysis (in English) of how this news could affect IBM’s future earnings and valuation , incorporating both the quantum foundry (Anderon) and the Abertis consulting deal. IBM: Impact Analysis on Earnings & Valuation 1.
ナラティブ更新 • May 21

Software now ~45% of revenue

I have instructed Copiot to make this update using the data published today by IBM: Think 2026: true McKinsey / PE-grade Investment Committee pack , adding the pieces that actually drive decisions: valuation, IRR framing, comparables, and a crisp IC decision page. IBM – Investment Committee Pack (PE / McKinsey Grade) 1.
ナラティブ更新 • May 18

IBM: Hybrid Cloud And AI Momentum Will Support Rebalanced Risk Profile

IBM's updated analyst price target of $335, down from $390, reflects a mix of reduced fair value and revenue growth assumptions, along with slightly lower discount rate and future P/E expectations, as analysts weigh recent target cuts against more balanced risk/reward views and valuation upgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on International Business Machines points to a split view, with several firms revising price targets lower while others highlight more balanced risk/reward and pockets of support for the stock.
新しいナラティブ • May 12

IBM has transitioned from a traditional IT services provider into a hybrid cloud and AI platform leader

Below is a sell‑side / investment banking–style Investment Memorandum (IM) on International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) , structured as it would appear in a professional transaction or equity capital markets context. Investment Memorandum International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE: IBM) 1.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 30

IBM: Slowing Mainframe And Consulting Momentum Will Pressure AI Expectations

The analyst price target for International Business Machines has been reset lower to reflect a fair value move from about $223.21 to $201.51. Analysts factor in recent price target cuts, slightly softer modeled revenue growth and margins, and a more moderate future P/E, alongside several rating upgrades that cite more balanced risk and reasonable valuation.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 15

IBM: Hybrid Cloud And AI Will Offset Mainframe And Consulting Concerns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for International Business Machines by a mid double digit dollar amount, reflecting a mix of reduced expectations for mainframe and consulting momentum, alongside continued interest in IBM's hybrid cloud and AI opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on International Business Machines shows a mix of reduced price targets alongside pockets of more constructive commentary, especially around hybrid cloud, AI and mainframe resilience.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 01

IBM: Hybrid Cloud And AI Platforms Will Reshape Mainframe Reliance

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on IBM by a wide range, including cuts of $34 and $60 alongside multiple earlier increases of $5 to $52, while keeping fair value at $390.0. They are weighing slower mainframe and consulting trends against broader hybrid cloud and AI opportunities, as well as a slightly lower assumed discount rate and P/E multiple in current models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on International Business Machines shows a mix of caution on mainframe and consulting trends alongside clear pockets of optimism around hybrid cloud, AI and the company’s broader software franchise.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 18

IBM: Hybrid Cloud And AI Execution Will Drive Repricing Potential

Analysts have kept the average price target for International Business Machines steady at $390.00. Recent research points to a more balanced risk/reward profile, as AI related competitive concerns around the Z mainframe platform and slower expectations for mainframe and consulting growth are weighed against ongoing interest in IBM's hybrid cloud, AI, automation and data offerings.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 04

IBM: Mainframe And Consulting Execution Will Shape AI Upside And Downside

The analyst price target for International Business Machines has been reduced by about $9 to reflect a slightly higher discount rate and only modest adjustments to long term growth and margin assumptions, as analysts balance recent upgrades and target increases with concerns about slower mainframe and consulting momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent research on International Business Machines reflects a mixed backdrop, with some firms turning more constructive after earlier target hikes and a sharp 2026 share price pullback, and others flagging execution and growth risks around key businesses such as mainframe infrastructure and consulting.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 17

IBM: Execution Risks Around Confluent Integration Will Define Future Downside

Analysts have raised their price targets on International Business Machines, supporting a fair value increase from $198.00 to approximately $232.21. They attribute this change to updated assumptions regarding revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 03

IBM: Broad Price Reset Will Highlight Confluent Deal And AI Initiatives

The analyst price target for International Business Machines has been raised from US$350 to US$390, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, margins and future P/E, alongside a broad wave of recent price target increases from multiple research firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been lifting their price targets on International Business Machines in quick succession, with several moves clustered around the same dates.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 20

IBM: Quantum And Software Execution Will Drive Returns Through Workforce Shift

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for International Business Machines higher to about $302 from roughly $294, citing updated long term assumptions on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples that reflect recent price target moves and emerging views on quantum computing and software performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on International Business Machines highlights a split view, with some analysts leaning into upside tied to quantum computing and recent acquisitions, while others focus on execution risks in core software and the timeline needed to support higher valuation multiples.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 06

IBM: Quantum Potential And Software Execution Will Shape Returns Through Workforce Shift

Analysts made only a modest adjustment to their price targets on International Business Machines, balancing mixed views on near term software momentum with the longer term potential in areas such as quantum computing and higher margin revenue streams. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for International Business Machines, with some analysts more focused on long term optionality in quantum and others keying in on near term software execution and valuation.

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:IBM - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202876,94812,43318,05118,93015
12/31/202773,19811,29817,17118,80723
12/31/202670,3849,86715,47918,02522
6/30/202669,09510,70513,14414,888N/A
3/31/202668,91110,73312,25813,992N/A
12/31/202567,53510,57111,45513,193N/A
9/30/202565,4037,91911,85413,483N/A
6/30/202564,0395,85811,64613,282N/A
3/31/202562,8325,49411,94013,647N/A
12/31/202462,7536,01511,76013,445N/A
9/30/202462,5806,37311,88913,578N/A
6/30/202462,3668,40412,09513,753N/A
3/31/202462,0708,15512,61014,325N/A
12/31/202361,8607,51412,12113,931N/A
9/30/202361,1717,09811,51513,433N/A
6/30/202360,5252,17010,29812,278N/A
3/31/202360,5852,0548,97110,961N/A
12/31/202260,5301,7828,46310,435N/A
9/30/202260,5341,3766,9979,014N/A
6/30/202259,6785,6277,5309,826N/A
3/31/202258,3634,9728,58111,130N/A
12/31/202157,3514,71310,02812,796N/A
9/30/202142,5821,94613,12416,112N/A
6/30/202146,8922,60814,53717,684N/A
3/31/202150,7933,15915,51918,635N/A
12/31/202055,1793,93214,96718,197N/A
9/30/202075,0307,90512,65015,788N/A
6/30/202075,4977,87912,12615,122N/A
3/31/202076,5369,018N/A14,487N/A
12/31/201957,7147,146N/A14,770N/A
9/30/201977,1317,719N/A15,438N/A
6/30/201977,8588,738N/A16,051N/A
3/31/201978,7018,641N/A15,404N/A
12/31/201879,5918,723N/A15,247N/A
9/30/201880,3735,718N/A16,861N/A
6/30/201880,7715,751N/A16,199N/A
3/31/201880,0565,680N/A17,371N/A
12/31/201779,1395,758N/A16,724N/A
9/30/201778,36611,316N/A14,970N/A
6/30/201778,43911,445N/A15,517N/A
3/31/201779,39011,617N/A15,509N/A
12/31/201679,91911,881N/A17,084N/A
9/30/201680,20811,836N/A18,384N/A
6/30/201680,26111,943N/A18,503N/A
3/31/201680,83512,965N/A18,928N/A
12/31/201581,74113,364N/A17,255N/A
9/30/201583,79514,417N/A17,788N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: IBMの予測収益成長率 (年間5% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.7% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: IBMの収益 ( 5% ) US市場 ( 17.2% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: IBMの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: IBMの収益 ( 4.1% ) US市場 ( 13.4% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: IBMの収益 ( 4.1% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: IBMの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 23.9 %)

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/09/11 03:54
終値2026/09/11 00:00
収益2026/06/30
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した ご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

International Business Machines Corporation 23 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。52

アナリスト機関
James KelleherArgus Research Company
Robert OliverBaird
Benjamin ReitzesBarclays