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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.NYSE:BBAI 株式レポート

時価総額 US$2.1b
株価
US$4.19
US$5.33
21.4% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y17.7%
7D1.2%
ポートフォリオ価値
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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:BBAI 株式レポート

時価総額:US$2.1b

BigBear.ai Holdings(BBAI)株式概要

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.は、国家安全保障、サプライチェーン管理、デジタル・アイデンティティ市場向けに人工知能を活用した意思決定インテリジェンス・ソリューションを提供しています。 詳細

BBAI ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価1/6
将来の成長1/6
過去の実績0/6
財務の健全性6/6
配当金0/6

BBAI Community Fair Values

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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要BigBear.ai Holdings
過去の株価
現在の株価US$4.19
52週高値US$9.39
52週安値US$3.01
ベータ3.05
1ヶ月の変化26.20%
3ヶ月変化-5.42%
1年変化17.70%
3年間の変化73.86%
5年間の変化-56.67%
IPOからの変化-57.38%

最新ニュース

Seeking Alpha May 06

BigBear.ai Q1: Nothing Exciting Here, But Could Be If Momentum Is Sustained

Summary BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported flat Q1 revenues at $34.4M, with Army program weakness offsetting Ask Sage gains. BBAI’s gross margin improved to 34% due to the Ask Sage acquisition, but overall profitability remains elusive as SG&A outpaces gross profit. The company holds $431.5M in liquidity and no long-term debt, providing a substantial operational runway for BBAI despite persistent losses and share dilution. Management reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance of $135M–$165M (18% y/y growth), but sustainable profitability and recurring revenue growth are still distant. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 May 03

BBAI: Balance Sheet Flexibility And Acquisition Integration Will Support Revenue Guidance Execution

Narrative Update on BigBear.ai Holdings Analysts have trimmed their average price expectations for BigBear.ai, reflecting cuts in individual targets such as $8 to $6 and $6 to $5, as they balance weaker recent revenue trends with company guidance that includes contributions from the Ask Sage acquisition and a stronger balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a mixed tone on BigBear.ai, with price targets moving lower but commentary highlighting several constructive points around execution, balance sheet positioning, and future growth plans.

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 06

BigBear.ai Q1: Nothing Exciting Here, But Could Be If Momentum Is Sustained

Summary BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reported flat Q1 revenues at $34.4M, with Army program weakness offsetting Ask Sage gains. BBAI’s gross margin improved to 34% due to the Ask Sage acquisition, but overall profitability remains elusive as SG&A outpaces gross profit. The company holds $431.5M in liquidity and no long-term debt, providing a substantial operational runway for BBAI despite persistent losses and share dilution. Management reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance of $135M–$165M (18% y/y growth), but sustainable profitability and recurring revenue growth are still distant. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 May 03

BBAI: Balance Sheet Flexibility And Acquisition Integration Will Support Revenue Guidance Execution

Narrative Update on BigBear.ai Holdings Analysts have trimmed their average price expectations for BigBear.ai, reflecting cuts in individual targets such as $8 to $6 and $6 to $5, as they balance weaker recent revenue trends with company guidance that includes contributions from the Ask Sage acquisition and a stronger balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a mixed tone on BigBear.ai, with price targets moving lower but commentary highlighting several constructive points around execution, balance sheet positioning, and future growth plans.
ナラティブ更新 Apr 19

BBAI: Federal Contract Recovery Will Support Medium Term Revenue Guidance Execution

Analysts have reduced their average price target on BigBear.ai Holdings by $1 to around $6, reflecting lower sales estimates and updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations following the latest Q4 report and FY26 guidance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are balancing reduced price targets with a focus on execution, balance sheet progress, and the medium term growth profile implied by management guidance.
ナラティブ更新 Apr 04

BBAI: Government Contract Stabilization Will Drive Confidence In 2026 Outlook

Narrative Update on BigBear.ai Holdings The implied analyst price target for BigBear.ai has moved lower by about $1.33, as analysts factor in reduced fair value estimates and target cuts from $6 to $5 and from $8 to $6. These changes are being attributed to softer sales expectations, federal contract disruptions, and ongoing execution risk.
ナラティブ更新 Mar 21

BBAI: Federal Contract Recovery Will Test Revenue Guidance And Balance Sheet Progress

Narrative Update on BigBear.ai Holdings The analyst price target for BigBear.ai has been lowered by $1, as analysts factor in reduced sales estimates, ongoing contract related revenue headwinds and execution risk, while also acknowledging balance sheet improvements and the planned revenue contribution from the Ask Sage acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed setup for BigBear.ai, with analysts trimming price targets and highlighting contract related pressure, while still pointing to specific areas that could support valuation over time.
ナラティブ更新 Mar 06

BBAI: Future Contract Wins Will Test Revenue Guidance And Balance Sheet Improvements

Analysts have trimmed their overall price expectations for BigBear.ai, with the blended target moving from about $7 to roughly $5.50. They cite reduced sales forecasts, ongoing pressure from lumpy government contracts, and a modestly higher discount rate, even as they factor in higher projected revenue growth, slightly stronger margins, and a lower assumed future P/E.
ナラティブ更新 Feb 20

BBAI: Lumpy Federal Contracts Will Eventually Reward Patience Despite Ongoing Margin Pressure

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for BigBear.ai to $6 from $7, citing recent research that highlights pressured near term fundamentals, a 20.1% year over year revenue decline in Q3 tied to federal program disruptions, and continued execution risk around lumpy government contracts and ongoing operating losses. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on BigBear.ai, pointing to recent operating trends and contract timing as key sources of risk.
ナラティブ更新 Feb 06

BBAI: Execution On Government Contracts Will Shape 2025 Revenue Outlook

Narrative Update on BigBear.ai Holdings Analysts have trimmed their price target on BigBear.ai to US$6 from US$7, citing pressured near term fundamentals after a 20.1% revenue decline in Q3 and ongoing execution risk tied to lumpy government contracts that continue to weigh on margins and operating results. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on BigBear.ai, with the rating shifted to Neutral and the price target cut to US$6 from US$7.
分析記事 Feb 06

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 36% Price Plummet

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...
ナラティブ更新 Jan 25

BigBear.ai’s CargoSeer Technology Acquisition: Expanding Mission-Critical AI in Border Security, Trade Intelligence & Customs Enforcement

Author: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BBAI), a specialist in mission-ready artificial intelligence for national security and defense customers, has announced the acquisition of select technologies from CargoSeer, Ltd.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 23

BBAI: Lumpy Federal Contracts And Margin Pressure Will Continue To Depress Sentiment

Narrative Update on BigBear.ai Holdings Analysts have lowered their price target on BigBear.ai Holdings to US$6 from US$7, citing pressured near term fundamentals with Q3 revenue down 20.1% year over year, continued operating losses, margin pressure, and elevated execution risk tied to lumpy government contracts. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have turned more cautious on BigBear.ai Holdings, cutting the price target to US$6 from US$7 and moving to a more neutral stance on the stock.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 14

Strategic Partnership with the Kraft Group, Balance Sheet Deleveraging, and Mixed Market Reaction

Author: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) Executive Summary BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (“BigBear.ai” or “the Company”), a provider of mission-ready artificial intelligence solutions for national security and complex enterprise environments, has announced a strategic partnership with the Kraft Group , encompassing both commercial collaboration and a high-profile marketing alliance with the New England Patriots.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 09

BBAI: Lumpy Government Contracts Will Keep Earnings And Sentiment Under Pressure

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for BigBear.ai Holdings from $3.50 to $5.00, while also lifting assumed revenue growth and the future P/E multiple. However, they point to recent price target cuts and a downgrade to Neutral as signs that near term pressure from lumpy government contracts and weaker Q3 revenue still weighs on sentiment.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 31

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) – Strategic Defense Partnership Reinforces Mission-Critical AI Positioning

Author: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) Executive Summary BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BBAI) continues to deepen its positioning in mission-critical, government-focused artificial intelligence with the announcement of a strategic partnership with C Speed, LLC , a U.S.-based radar and defense solutions provider.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 24

BBAI: Airport Platform Rollout And 2025 Revenue Outlook Will Drive Future Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on BigBear.ai Holdings by approximately 0.2 percent to about 6.67 dollars. This change reflects marginal adjustments to discount-rate and long-term valuation assumptions rather than any major shift in the company’s fundamental outlook.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 10

BBAI: Airport Deployments And 2025 Revenue Outlook Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on BigBear.ai Holdings to reflect a slightly lower profit margin outlook, partially offset by a marginally reduced discount rate and stable long term growth and valuation assumptions. What's in the News Opened its first Middle East office at the World Trade Center Abu Dhabi, reinforcing long term investment in the region and expanding partnerships with Vigilix and Easy Lease (Key Developments) Signed a strategic Memorandum of Understanding with Pahang Aerospace City Development Berhad and partners to support AI driven border operations and the development of Malaysia's first international spaceport (Key Developments) Deployed the veriScan biometric identity platform to support U.S. Customs and Border Protection's Enhanced Passenger Processing program at Chicago O'Hare International Airport, significantly reducing average processing times (Key Developments) Announced multiple Enhanced Passenger Processing deployments, including at Nashville International Airport, to improve security and shorten wait times for returning U.S. citizens (Key Developments) Issued revenue guidance for 2025, projecting annual revenue between 125 million dollars and 140 million dollars (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at 6.67, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value estimate.
ナラティブ更新 Nov 26

BBAI: Key 2025 Revenue Developments And New Partnerships Will Influence Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for BigBear.ai Holdings from $6.33 to $6.67. This reflects improved profit margin expectations and a more favorable discount rate in their updated outlook.
ナラティブ更新 Nov 11

BBAI: Revenue Guidance And Partnerships Will Shape 2025 Performance Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for BigBear.ai Holdings from $5.83 to $6.33. This reflects greater confidence in the company's stronger projected revenue growth, despite slightly higher discount rates and modestly lower profit margins.
分析記事 Oct 15

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Rockets 76% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
分析記事 Aug 19

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) Shares Dive 26%

The BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days...
分析記事 Aug 13

Analysts Just Slashed Their BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) EPS Numbers

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ), with the analysts...
分析記事 Jun 25

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Rockets 44% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 44% gain in the last month...
分析記事 Jun 18

Health Check: How Prudently Does BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) Use Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
User avatar
新しいナラティブ May 04

International Expansion And Alliances Will Shape Our Future

Strategic focus on international expansion and regional partnerships aims to boost revenue and global presence through successful pilots and enduring programs.
Seeking Alpha Apr 23

BigBear.ai: Trapped By Its Own Financing - Limited Upside

Summary BigBear.ai experienced a speculative rise and crash, driven by AI hype and disappointing Q4 2024 results, highlighting the need for cautious investment in small-cap AI stocks. BBAI's financial issues stem from legacy financing structures, leading to significant net loss and dilution fears, limiting future stock price growth. Despite weak revenue growth guidance and dependency on government contracts, BBAI's valuation is reasonable, but structural financial issues hinder substantial upside. BBAI is a "Hold" for existing investors due to potential short-term exit possibilities; fresh investments are not recommended until financial issues are resolved. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 16

BigBear.ai's Meltdown Is Well Deserved: Minimal Growth Prospects Ahead

Summary BigBear.ai remains expensive with minimal growth prospects, worsened by the ongoing cash burn and potential volatilities, despite the ongoing AI SaaS boom and recent contract wins. The company's gross profit margins and EBITDA margins are underwhelming, with the ongoing dilutive capital raises/higher SBCs impacting long-term shareholder value. Consensus estimates project continued unprofitability, contributing to the stock's steep correction during the market-wide selloff. Combined with the growing short interest volumes and imbalanced retail ownership, we prefer to initiate a hold rating for BBAI stock here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Mar 09

Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) After Its Latest Results

As you might know, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) last week released its latest annual, and things did not...
分析記事 Mar 08

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) 53% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...
Seeking Alpha Feb 06

BigBear.ai: The Big AI Failure, Strong Sell

Summary BigBear.ai struggles with profitability and captures only 0.25% of its $80 billion TAM, making it a poor investment choice. BBAI faces stiff competition from Palantir, which has more resources, customers, and a versatile product suite. Palantir boasts higher gross margins (81.1% vs. 26.99%) and profitability, making it a superior investment in the AI sector. I recommend selling BBAI shares and investing in Palantir for better growth and tech exposure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Jan 18

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price Bounce

Despite an already strong run, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25...
Seeking Alpha Jan 17

BigBear.ai Holdings Stock: New CEO Kevin McAleenan Sparks A Rally

Summary The recent hire of former DHS Secretary Kevin McAleenan sparked a rally in BigBear.ai's share price. McAleenan was the acting United States secretary of homeland security from April to November 2019 under the first Trump administration. The company recently merged with Pangiam, of which CEO Kevin McAleenan was a founder. This now becomes a founder-led company. With the main focus of BBAI being the chasing of government contracts, the new CEO may give the company some new advantages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Dec 21

Would BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
分析記事 Nov 22

Market Participants Recognise BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) Revenues Pushing Shares 28% Higher

The BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:BBAI ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...
Seeking Alpha Aug 21

BigBear.ai's Rally: Too Much Bull For This Bear, Capital Raise Likely Coming

Summary I believe that the company will need to dilute shareholders soon, given its significant cash burn and debt. In my view, the recent press release has sparked an unjustified short squeeze, inflating the stock price. I expect that within the next few quarters, investors will look back at this price surge as unsustainable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Jul 17

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

When you see that almost half of the companies in the IT industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or...
分析記事 May 04

Does BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Seeking Alpha Apr 12

BigBear.ai: Don't Chase This Meme Stock (Rating Downgrade)

Summary BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. stock is overvalued and is likely to raise funds by diluting investors in the next twelve months. The company's revenue growth rates have been volatile, and its acquisition of Pangiam lacks transparency regarding organic growth projections. BigBear.ai's balance sheet reflects substantial net debt, and its low gross margins and unpredictable growth rates pose risks for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

株主還元

BBAIUS ITUS 市場
7D1.2%-6.0%1.5%
1Y17.7%-11.2%25.5%

業界別リターン: BBAI過去 1 年間で-11.2 % の収益を上げたUS IT業界を上回りました。

リターン対市場: BBAIは、過去 1 年間で25.5 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is BBAI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BBAI volatility
BBAI Average Weekly Movement10.2%
IT Industry Average Movement10.4%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

安定した株価: BBAI 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: BBAIの 週次ボラティリティ ( 10% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
1988579Kevin McAleenanbigbear.ai

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.は、国家安全保障、サプライチェーン管理、デジタル・アイデンティティ市場向けに、人工知能を活用した意思決定インテリジェンス・ソリューションを提供している。同社は、在庫のリアルタイム追跡を可能にし、ルートや配送時間などの機能を最適化するための予測分析を促進するオペレーションのビューを提供するData Conflation at Scale、行動分析およびデジタルツインソリューションであるDiscrete Event Simulation、マクロ経済および地政学的予測のためのNext-Gen Decision Supportソリューションなどのサプライチェーンおよびロジスティクスソリューションを提供しています。また、人工知能(AI)を活用した/機械が加速するバイナリ分析、サイバーフィジカルシステムの脆弱性テストと評価、サービスとしての脆弱性評価、国防総省や情報機関向けの専門サービスなどのサイバーセキュリティ・ソリューション、自律システムソリューション、AI/機械学習(ML)意思決定インテリジェンス・ソリューション、サービスとしてのAIオーケストレーション、専門コンサルティング・サービスなども提供している。さらに、グローバルな貿易、旅行、デジタル・アイデンティティ業界向けに、カスタマイズされたデジタル・アイデンティティ、バイオメトリクス、AI/ML、高度な分析ソフトウェアとソリューションに特化したセキュリティ・ソリューションから成るデジタル・アイデンティティ・サービス、防衛、情報機関、その他の高度に規制された環境全体で、安全なAI展開、オーケストレーション、エージェント機能を実現するジェネレーティブAIプラットフォーム、アスク・セージ・プラットフォームを提供している。同社は1988年に設立され、バージニア州マクリーンに本社を置いている。

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 基礎のまとめ

BigBear.ai Holdings の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
BBAI 基礎統計学
時価総額US$2.07b
収益(TTM)-US$288.69m
売上高(TTM)US$127.35m
15.8x
P/Sレシオ
-7.0x
PER(株価収益率

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
BBAI 損益計算書(TTM)
収益US$127.35m
売上原価US$94.54m
売上総利益US$32.81m
その他の費用US$321.50m
収益-US$288.69m

直近の収益報告

Mar 31, 2026

次回決算日

該当なし

一株当たり利益(EPS)-0.60
グロス・マージン25.76%
純利益率-226.69%
有利子負債/自己資本比率2.1%

BBAI の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/12 02:27
終値2026/05/12 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 3 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。4

アナリスト機関
Jonathan RuykhaverCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Scott BuckH.C. Wainwright & Co.
Michael LatimoreNorthland Capital Markets