Porch Group（PRCH）株式概要
ポーチ・グループ社は、ソフトウェアとデータ・ソリューションの開発・販売、保険サービスの管理、米国における住宅所有に関する消費者サービスの提供を行っている。 詳細
PRCH Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Software opportunity
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Fair Value from
US$6.8570.1% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
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Read full narrativePorch Group, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$10.97 |
| 52週高値 | US$19.44 |
| 52週安値 | US$6.36 |
| ベータ | 3.23 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | 62.28% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 48.44% |
| 1年変化 | 3.59% |
| 3年間の変化 | 870.80% |
| 5年間の変化 | -27.06% |
| IPOからの変化 | 10.81% |
最新ニュース
Recent updates
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 28
PRCH: Recent Upgrade And 2026 Outlook Will Support Higher Earnings Multiple
Porch Group's analyst price target has shifted slightly, with a recalibrated fair value of about $16.29 per share, as analysts adjust their models following recent upgrades and a higher target from Keefe Bruyette. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has centered on the upgraded rating and the revised price target, which now clusters around a fair value estimate of about $16.29 per share.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 09
PRCH: Upgraded Risk Profile Will Support Confidence In 2026 Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing recent upgrades and updated views on key inputs such as the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent upgrade as a sign that key assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins now better reflect the company’s current execution path, which supports a higher valuation range.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 26
PRCH: Refreshed Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In 2026 Margin Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated research that supports a refreshed view on the company’s valuation drivers and risk profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price target as a reflection of updated work on Porch Group’s key valuation drivers, suggesting more confidence in how its core business model is being assessed.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 11
PRCH: Updated Risk Assumptions Will Support Confidence In Long Term Margin Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group by $1.50, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate and long-term P/E. These revisions keep fair value unchanged at $16.38 while reflecting updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings potential.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 25
PRCH: Recent Upgrade Will Support Confidence In Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group from $17.63 to $16.38, citing updated assumptions on growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following recent price target increases and an upgrade highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Porch Group has focused on valuation assumptions and the rationale behind the updated fair value estimate, using the latest price target move and upgrade as key reference points.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 10
PRCH: Steady Forecast Assumptions Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have maintained their average price target for Porch Group at US$17.63, noting that only minor adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E were made, which did not materially change their view of the stock's value. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Held steady at US$17.63 per share, with no change between the prior and updated assessment.分析記事 • Feb 05
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 28%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty...ナラティブ更新 • Jan 26
PRCH: Narrowed 2025 Revenue Guidance Will Support Future Margin Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Porch Group by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, and profit margins, along with a higher discount rate and P/E multiple. What's in the News Porch Group issued updated earnings guidance for Porch Shareholder Interest for full year 2025, giving investors a fresh reference point for its medium term outlook (Key Developments).ナラティブ更新 • Jan 12
PRCH: Expanded Property Data Coverage Will Support Future Margin Upside
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target for Porch Group Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Porch Group steady at US$18.13 while making small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. These revisions reflect fine tuning of their models rather than a major shift in outlook.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 25
PRCH: Property Data Expansion Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Potential
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Porch Group to 18.13 dollars, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and marginally lower long term margin expectations, while maintaining a robust future earnings multiple. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 Porch Shareholder Interest revenue guidance to a range of 410 million to 420 million dollars, narrowing and slightly lifting the low end from the prior 405 million to 425 million dollar outlook (Corporate guidance) Expanded the Home Factors property intelligence platform with new and enhanced attributes, including electrical panel and sub panel location, roof life stage segmentation, and updated plumbing material indicators (Company product announcement) Stated goal for Home Factors to offer over 100 property attributes covering about 90 percent of U.S. homes, deepening carriers' visibility into interior and exterior home conditions for underwriting and pricing (Company product announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Unchanged at 18.13 dollars per share, indicating no revision to the intrinsic value assessment despite minor model tweaks.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 11
PRCH: Reciprocal Model Will Support 30% Future EBITDA Margin Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target on Porch Group from $17 to $25 per share, citing expectations for sustained 20% to 25% annual premium growth, improved protection from weather related losses, expanding reciprocal take rates, and a path toward significantly higher EBITDA margins. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as a reflection of Porch Group's ability to sustain premium growth in the 20% to 25% range, arguing that this level of expansion supports a structurally higher revenue base and justifies multiple expansion.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 27
PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Margins Will Expand With Scalable Policy Volumes
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Porch Group slightly lower, from $18.75 to $18.13 per share. This change is based on updated growth assumptions and expanded profit margin projections following recent company discussions.分析記事 • Nov 13
Porch Group's (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
Porch Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We think that investors...ナラティブ更新 • Nov 06
PRCH: Reciprocal Insurance Model Will Drive Margin Upside Amid Capital-Light Shift
The analyst price target for Porch Group was revised down from $19.75 to $18.75. This reflects analyst expectations for slower revenue growth and profit margin compression, despite some positive developments highlighted in recent research updates.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 23
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Analysts have sharply raised Porch Group’s price target to $19.75, citing outperformance in insurance profitability, scalable premium growth, margin expansion potential, and a new capital-light structure that enhances valuations and financial flexibility. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see significant room for scaling policies and believe premium growth can reach 20%-25% annually, above prior expectations.Seeking Alpha • Sep 12
Porch Group: Profitability Is Here, Now The Hard Part Starts
Summary Porch Group, Inc. maintains strong momentum, driven by a shift to a high-margin, fee-based insurance model and disciplined cost control. PRCH delivered impressive Q2 results: 83% gross margin, $15.6M adjusted EBITDA, and positive operating cash flow, validating its profitability strategy. Management raised 2025 guidance and expanded distribution, but PRCH trades at a premium valuation (31x EV/EBITDA), requiring continued profit growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Aug 29
Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone...分析記事 • Jul 01
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone...分析記事 • May 09
Porch Group, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 77% over the past week following Porch Group, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:PRCH...分析記事 • Apr 25
Porch Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PRCH) 31% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
The Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) share price has softened a substantial 31% over the previous 30 days, handing...
新しいナラティブ • Mar 28
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Porch Group's shift to a fee-based insurance model and formation of PIRE create a higher-margin, more predictable earnings structure.分析記事 • Mar 11
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Shares Fly 31% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Mar 05
From Skeptic To Buyer: Why I'm Upgrading Porch Group
Summary Porch Group's shift to a high-margin, fee-based model has significantly improved profitability, with 2024 EBITDA hitting record levels and ambitious targets set for 2025 and 2026. Despite impressive revenue growth and operational improvements, concerns remain about the company's high debt levels and revenue visibility, particularly in a sluggish housing market. The Porch Insurance Reciprocal Exchange (PIRE) has boosted margins but introduced revenue predictability challenges, relying heavily on agent adoption and customer onboarding. Upgrading to a "Buy" rating due to strong earnings momentum and improved financials, though maintaining caution due to valuation and execution risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Nov 12
The Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts
Today is shaping up negative for Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...分析記事 • Nov 10
Earnings Beat: Porch Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
The investors in Porch Group, Inc. 's ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today, after the...分析記事 • Nov 08
Improved Revenues Required Before Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Stock's 67% Jump Looks Justified
Despite an already strong run, Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 67% in...分析記事 • Oct 29
Are Investors Undervaluing Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) By 35%?
Key Insights Porch Group's estimated fair value is US$3.34 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Porch Group's...分析記事 • Sep 20
Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Stock Catapults 37% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Porch Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PRCH ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period...株主還元
| PRCH | US Software | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| 1Y | 3.6% | -6.0% | 31.1% |
業界別リターン: PRCH過去 1 年間で-6 % の収益を上げたUS Software業界を上回りました。
リターン対市場: PRCHは、過去 1 年間で31.1 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。
価格変動
| PRCH volatility | |
|---|---|
| PRCH Average Weekly Movement | 10.6% |
| Software Industry Average Movement | 9.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
安定した株価: PRCH 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: PRCHの 週次ボラティリティ ( 11% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 801 | Matt Ehrlichman | porchgroup.com |
ポーチ・グループは、ソフトウェアとデータ・ソリューションの開発・販売、保険サービスの管理、米国における住宅所有に関する消費者サービスの提供を行っている。4つのセグメントを通じて事業を展開している：保険サービス事業、ソフトウェア＆データ事業、消費者サービス事業、および互恵事業である。保険サービス部門はポーチ・レシプロカル・エクスチェンジを管理・運営し、引受、契約更新、リスク管理、ポートフォリオ管理、財務監督、投資ガイドライン設定などのサービスを提供している。ソフトウェア＆データ部門は、検査会社、抵当権設定会社、権原会社、屋根工事会社向けにサブスクリプション・ソフトウェアやトランザクション・ソフトウェア、保険会社やその他の会社向けに住宅検査ソフトウェア、権原・抵当権設定ソフトウェア、住宅要因物件インサイト、引越しマーケティング製品などのデータ製品、屋根工事会社向けに計測ソフトウェア、引越し・引越し後サービスなどを提供している。消費者サービス部門は、Porch Warrantyなどのブランドで保証商品を提供し、引越し作業、TV/インターネット、セキュリティ設定などの引越し関連サービスを提供している。レシプロ部門はポーチが管理するが所有はしておらず、ホームオーナーズ・オブ・アメリカとポーチ・レシプロ・エクスチェンジが含まれ、契約時に徴収される保険料を通じて消費者に家を守る保険を提供している。同社は2011年に設立され、ワシントン州シアトルに本社を置いている。
Porch Group, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| PRCH 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$1.20b |
| 収益（TTM） | -US$16.47m |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$498.79m |
2.4x
P/Sレシオ-72.9x
PER（株価収益率PRCH は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| PRCH 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$498.79m |
| 売上原価 | US$133.40m |
| 売上総利益 | US$365.39m |
| その他の費用 | US$381.86m |
| 収益 | -US$16.47m |
直近の収益報告
Mar 31, 2026
次回決算日
該当なし
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | -0.15 |
| グロス・マージン | 73.26% |
| 純利益率 | -3.30% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 1,516.9% |
PRCH の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/11 19:22 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Porch Group, Inc. 8 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。15
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Daniel Kurnos | Benchmark Company |
| Justin Ages | Berenberg |
| Timothy D'Agostino | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |