Eli Lilly 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /36
Eli Lilly利益と収益がそれぞれ年間16.7%と12.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に49.9% 16.9%なると予測されています。
主要情報
16.7%
収益成長率
16.86%
EPS成長率
| Pharmaceuticals 収益成長 | 14.4% |
| 収益成長率 | 12.4% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 49.90% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 13 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 10
Eli Lilly: 'Strong Buy' Raised Revenue Guidance By $2 Billion For 2026 And Label Expansions
Summary Eli Lilly remains a 'strong buy' as I see robust revenue growth across obesity, diabetes, immunology, and oncology franchises. LLY’s MOUNJARO and ZEPBOUND delivered Q1 2026 revenues of $8.66B [+125%] and $4.16B [+80%] respectively, driving a 56% YoY total revenue increase. Pipeline momentum is strong: FOUNDAYO launched, Retatrutide and Eloralintide advanced, and EBGLYSS/JAYPIRCA show double-digit growth with label expansion catalysts ahead. I maintain my 'strong buy' rating, reinforced by a $2B increase of full-year 2026 revenue guidance and multiple near-term clinical/regulatory milestones expected. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • May 07
LLY: Obesity Pricing Pressure And Safety Headlines Will Shape Future Franchise Economics
Analysts have raised Eli Lilly's implied fair value from $883.99 to $899.73 after several firms increased their price targets by $1 to $50, citing confidence in the obesity and diabetes pipeline, Foundayo's regulatory progress, and clarifications around recent safety concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Eli Lilly reflects a mix of enthusiasm around obesity and diabetes assets and a clearer, more cautious minority that is focused on how much optimism is already reflected in the stock.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 20
LLY: Obesity And Diabetes Platform Will Support Premium Positioning Beyond 2030
Analysts have slightly raised their average price targets on Eli Lilly in recent weeks, citing supportive trial updates in obesity and diabetes, favorable comparisons to competing GLP-1 therapies, and regulatory progress that they say supports high but unchanged fair value estimates of around $1,500. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Eli Lilly has been active, with a cluster of price target moves, rating changes, and product specific notes that give you a clearer sense of how professionals are framing the risk and reward.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 06
LLY: Oral GLP-1 Launch And Capacity Expansion Will Drive Future Obesity Upside
Analysts have nudged Eli Lilly's price target slightly higher by $1, reflecting updated views on obesity and diabetes franchises following recent Foundayo approval commentary and comparative GLP-1 data. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Eli Lilly clusters around obesity and diabetes, pricing dynamics in GLP-1 therapies, and the implications of new product approvals and trial readouts for long term growth and valuation.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 25
Eli Lilly: A Pipeline-Driven Growth Story Trading 30% Below What the Business Is Actually Worth
Eli Lilly already runs one of the fastest-growing drug businesses on earth, and its most powerful drug is not even approved yet. WHERE THE STOCK SITS TODAY The current price is around $907 (25/03/2026).ナラティブ更新 • Mar 23
LLY: Obesity And Diabetes Franchise Strength Will Support Premium Positioning
Analysts have raised their price target for Eli Lilly to $1,500, citing updated models that reflect slightly stronger assumed revenue growth, a marginally higher profit margin profile, and continued confidence in the obesity and diabetes franchises following recent trial data and supportive sell side research. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a split view on Eli Lilly, with some bullish analysts leaning into the obesity and diabetes opportunity set, while at least one more cautious voice questions how much growth is already reflected in the share price.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 09
LLY: Obesity Drug Leadership And Pipeline Catalysts Will Sustain Premium Positioning
The updated analyst price target for Eli Lilly has increased to $1,490.52 from $1,429.89. Analysts highlight the obesity and GLP-1 franchise, premium valuations tied to weight loss leadership, and potential upside from pipeline and acquisition catalysts as key factors supporting this change.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 23
LLY: GLP-1 Obesity Leadership Will Drive Future Cardiometabolic And M&A Upside
Eli Lilly's analyst price targets have shifted higher, with our fair value estimate moving from $1,093.22 to $1,211.21, as analysts point to sustained GLP-1 obesity leadership, premium valuation support, and an expanding cardiometabolic pipeline as key drivers of their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Eli Lilly clusters around a few clear themes, with bullish analysts focusing on obesity leadership, cardiometabolic breadth, and M&A, while more cautious voices watch valuation and execution risk around the pipeline.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 08
LLY: Government Pricing Deals Will Compress Obesity Franchise Economics Going Forward
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly from US$770 to about US$884 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on long term obesity opportunities, recent price target increases across several firms, and steady expectations around margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary The latest batch of research on Eli Lilly revolves around its weight loss and cardiometabolic franchises, expectations for new product launches, and the implications of recent policy developments on pricing and access.分析記事 • Feb 07
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Investors in Eli Lilly and Company ( NYSE:LLY ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.0% to close at US$1,058 following...ナラティブ更新 • Jan 25
LLY: Government GLP 1 Pricing Deals Will Pressure Obesity Margins
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Eli Lilly slightly higher, citing continued confidence in the obesity and GLP 1 franchise, supportive government pricing agreements, and potential upside from acquisitions and pipeline catalysts, even as some firms fine tune their models and individual targets by low single digit amounts such as Guggenheim's recent US$2 trim. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Eli Lilly has been dominated by optimism around obesity treatments and government pricing agreements, but there is also a pocket of caution that is worth paying attention to if you are thinking about valuation, execution and long term growth risk.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 11
LLY: GLP-1 Pricing Deals Will Pressure Obesity Margins Going Forward
Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly from US$650 to US$770, citing higher assumed profit margins, a slightly higher discount rate, updated expectations for revenue growth and future P/E, and continued Street support related to the obesity franchise, GLP-1 pricing agreements, and pipeline catalysts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Eli Lilly has been dominated by views on obesity drugs, pricing agreements with the U.S. government, and the company’s expanding pipeline.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 27
LLY: GLP-1 Pricing Deals And Policy Will Shape Future Obesity Leadership And Risks
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly to approximately $1,093 from about $1,024, reflecting expectations for stronger long term GLP 1 driven revenue growth, expanding profit margins and sustained leadership in the obesity market, supported by recent U.S. reimbursement and pricing deals. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Eli Lilly, with a series of upward price target revisions and fresh coverage initiations underscoring confidence in the durability of its GLP 1 franchise and broader innovation pipeline.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 13
LLY: Government Access Deals Will Drive Durable Obesity And Diabetes Leadership
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Eli Lilly shares from approximately $1,170 to about $1,430 per share, reflecting higher expected profitability and sustained leadership in the GLP 1 obesity and diabetes market, supported by recent U.S. government access deals and upcoming launches such as orforglipron. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to frame Eli Lilly as a core beneficiary of the expanding obesity and diabetes treatment market, with valuation upside tied to both higher GLP 1 penetration and a broadening metabolic pipeline.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 29
LLY: Upcoming Price Discounts And Policy Decisions Will Influence Drug Market Leadership And Risks
Eli Lilly's analyst price target has increased by approximately $21 to $1,024. Analysts cite earnings upside, expanding obesity drug opportunities, and recently announced government reimbursement agreements as key drivers of improved growth and profitability expectations.分析記事 • Nov 25
Investors Appear Satisfied With Eli Lilly and Company's (NYSE:LLY) Prospects As Shares Rocket 30%
Despite an already strong run, Eli Lilly and Company ( NYSE:LLY ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in...
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 21
GLP-1 drugs part of medicare
Short update, this is more bullish news about the demand for GLP-1 drugs in general spurring growth in this type of weight loss drug. Also, earnings report have showed that increase in earnings have been driven by increase in volume of GLP-1 drugs.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 15
LLY: Upcoming Drug Price Reductions and Policy Debates Will Shape Future Opportunities and Risks
The analyst price target for Eli Lilly has increased by over $80 to approximately $1,003 per share. Analysts point to accelerating revenue growth, higher profit margins, and ongoing strength in the company's obesity drug franchise as drivers of greater long-term value.分析記事 • Nov 07
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Eli Lilly and Company's ( NYSE:LLY ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. However, we think...ナラティブ更新 • Nov 01
LLY: Upcoming Drug Launches And Global Expansion Will Shape Future Outlook
Eli Lilly’s fair value estimate has increased from $891.62 to $919.33. This reflects analysts' upward price target revisions following stronger than expected quarterly results and an improved earnings outlook.新しいナラティブ • Sep 19
Eli Lilly's Future Growth Driven by Tirzepatide and Favorable Market Conditions
Catalysts Mounjaro/Zepbound: Lilly’s tirzepatide franchise is the engine of growth. Mounjaro (for type 2 diabetes) and Zepbound (obesity) each grew rapidly in 2024.業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 110,484 | 44,966 | 34,942 | 45,556 | 23 |
| 12/31/2027 | 98,047 | 37,835 | 28,665 | 39,750 | 28 |
| 12/31/2026 | 85,401 | 30,987 | 20,789 | 32,208 | 24 |
| 3/31/2026 | 72,249 | 25,277 | 10,586 | 20,480 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 65,179 | 20,640 | 6,182 | 16,813 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 59,421 | 18,412 | 7,037 | 16,063 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 53,259 | 13,800 | 550 | 10,939 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 49,004 | 11,106 | -669 | 9,318 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 45,043 | 10,590 | 1,015 | 8,818 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 40,863 | 8,370 | -2,275 | 6,032 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 38,923 | 7,342 | -2,024 | 4,510 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 35,932 | 6,138 | -2,292 | 3,676 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 34,124 | 5,240 | -1,548 | 4,240 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 32,073 | 4,988 | 1,469 | 6,215 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 29,516 | 6,498 | 3,307 | 6,242 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 27,691 | 5,687 | 3,881 | 6,793 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 28,541 | 6,245 | 4,696 | 7,586 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 29,240 | 6,033 | 5,404 | 8,080 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 29,071 | 5,692 | 4,950 | 7,494 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 29,323 | 6,129 | 5,824 | 8,086 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 28,318 | 5,582 | 5,604 | 7,366 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 27,759 | 5,972 | 4,621 | 6,919 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 26,726 | 6,071 | 4,837 | 7,095 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 25,486 | 6,093 | 5,565 | 7,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 24,540 | 6,194 | 4,471 | 6,500 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 23,214 | 5,573 | 5,112 | 6,648 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 22,950 | 5,618 | 4,890 | 6,352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 23,087 | 5,533 | 3,684 | 4,908 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 22,320 | 4,638 | N/A | 4,837 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 21,843 | 4,264 | N/A | 4,322 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 21,673 | 4,103 | N/A | 4,933 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 21,622 | 2,545 | N/A | 5,399 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 21,493 | 3,151 | N/A | 5,525 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 22,016 | 372 | N/A | 5,819 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 22,368 | -166 | N/A | 5,579 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 22,607 | 1,074 | N/A | 5,712 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 19,974 | -86 | N/A | 5,616 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 22,471 | 2,225 | N/A | 5,879 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 22,005 | 2,447 | N/A | 5,659 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 21,585 | 2,187 | N/A | 5,410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 21,222 | 2,738 | N/A | 4,851 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 20,837 | 2,444 | N/A | 3,841 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 20,605 | 2,466 | N/A | 3,284 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 20,179 | 2,319 | N/A | 2,830 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 19,959 | 2,408 | N/A | 2,965 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 19,704 | 2,359 | N/A | 3,318 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 19,620 | 2,059 | N/A | 3,905 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: LLYの予測収益成長率 (年間16.7% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。
収益対市場: LLYの収益 ( 16.7% ) US市場 ( 16.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高成長収益: LLYの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。
収益対市場: LLYの収益 ( 12.4% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高い収益成長: LLYの収益 ( 12.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: LLYの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には非常に高くなると予測されています ( 49.9 %)。
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/13 01:40 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Eli Lilly and Company 28 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。53
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| David Toung | Argus Research Company |
| Emily Field | Barclays |
| Kerry Holford | Berenberg |