View ValuationTKO Group Holdings 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /46TKO Group Holdings利益と収益がそれぞれ年間29%と8.7%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に30.6% 19.4%なると予測されています。主要情報29.0%収益成長率19.37%EPS成長率Entertainment 収益成長22.4%収益成長率8.7%将来の株主資本利益率30.56%アナリストカバレッジGood最終更新日15 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Major Estimate Revision • May 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$5.20 to US$4.51 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.76b. Net income forecast to grow 160% next year vs 17% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price fell 3.6% to US$184 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 08Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$6.72 to US$5.83 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.79b. Net income forecast to grow 241% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$235. Share price fell 9.5% to US$203 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 revenue forecast fell from US$6.01b to US$5.80b. EPS estimate rose from US$5.41 to US$6.67. Net income forecast to grow 242% next year vs 30% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price rose 5.0% to US$220 over the past week.お知らせ • Feb 26TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2026. For the year 2026, the company targeting revenue of $5.675 billion to $5.775 billion.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.73 to US$3.03. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.72b. Net income forecast to grow 146% next year vs 36% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$223. Share price fell 4.1% to US$180 over the past week.お知らせ • Nov 06TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Raises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. raised earnings guidance for the full year ended December 31, 2025. For the year, the company expected revenue of $4.690 billion to $4.720 billion as compared to previous guidance of revenue $4.630 billion to $4.690 billion provided in August and revenue and guidance of $4.490 billion to $4.560 billion provided in May.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesライブニュース • May 17TKO Group Announces US$1b Buyback Plan With Insider Buying and 26% Q1 Revenue GrowthTKO Group Holdings approved a new Rule 10b5-1 share repurchase plan effective May 14, 2026, replacing a prior plan and supporting a total authorized buyback program of up to US$1b. The new plan follows an accelerated US$800m share repurchase agreement executed in March 2026 and comes alongside reported Q1 2026 revenue growth of 26%. Insiders, including CEO Ariel Emanuel, purchased about US$4.5m of TKO stock over the past 30 days, while the CFO also bought shares and analysts issued upgrades, even as some flagged risks tied to aggressive buybacks, leverage and valuation. The combination of a large authorized repurchase program, the reported Q1 revenue figure and insider buying suggests management is aligning capital returns with its outlook for the UFC, WWE and IMG businesses, while also reducing the share count through buybacks. You should also weigh the flagged risks, since higher leverage and an active repurchase pace can limit flexibility if conditions change or if the stock trades at levels that do not align with its long-run earnings power.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 14Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.9% to US$193. The fair value is estimated to be US$160, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 40% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • May 14Solid Earnings Reflect TKO Group Holdings' (NYSE:TKO) Strength As A BusinessThe subdued stock price reaction suggests that TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TKO ) strong earnings didn't offer any...Major Estimate Revision • May 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$5.20 to US$4.51 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.76b. Net income forecast to grow 160% next year vs 17% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price fell 3.6% to US$184 over the past week.New Risk • May 07New minor risk - Financial positionThe company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 45% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (45% net debt to equity). Dividend is not well covered by earnings (95% payout ratio).Reported Earnings • May 07First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$1.16 (up from US$0.72 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$1.60b (up 26% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$89.4m (up 53% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.6% (up from 4.6% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 1.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 102% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Apr 25TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2026.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16TKO Group Grappling With Direction Ahead Of Flagship 'WrestleMania'Summary TKO Group faces increasing fan and, to some level, performer dissatisfaction amid rising ticket and streaming prices. Recent moves have shown signs of alienating core audiences and triggered a mixed sentiment within the market. Efforts to appease fans, such as temporary ticket discounts, highlight ongoing challenges in balancing monetization with audience engagement. The disconnect is especially prevalent at the moment as its flagship premium live event, “WrestleMania,” is this weekend, making the spotlight even brighter. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Apr 08TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 06, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 06, 2026Major Estimate Revision • Mar 08Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$6.72 to US$5.83 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.79b. Net income forecast to grow 241% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$235. Share price fell 9.5% to US$203 over the past week.Declared Dividend • Mar 06Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.78 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.78. Ex-date: 16th March 2026 Payment date: 31st March 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.3%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.9%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not adequately covered by earnings (95% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (52% cash payout ratio). The company is yet to establish a track record of dividend growth or stability as it hasn't paid a regular dividend for at least 2 years. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 5.7% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 70% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.お知らせ • Mar 05TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Declares Dividend for the First Quarter 2026, Payable March 31, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend pursuant to which TKO’s Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equityholders. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders will be $0.78 per share. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2026 to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on March 16, 2026.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 revenue forecast fell from US$6.01b to US$5.80b. EPS estimate rose from US$5.41 to US$6.67. Net income forecast to grow 242% next year vs 30% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price rose 5.0% to US$220 over the past week.New Risk • Feb 27New minor risk - Dividend sustainabilityThe dividend is not well covered by earnings. Payout ratio: 95% Dividend yield: 1.4% This is considered a minor risk. Companies that pay out too much of their earnings are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If earnings growth slows or earnings fall, then there may not be enough earnings to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to dig into capital reserves or take on debt to maintain the dividend. However, this risk is mitigated by the fact the dividend is covered by cash flows. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.Reported Earnings • Feb 26Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: US$2.42 (up from US$0.12 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$4.74b (up 69% from FY 2024). Net income: US$195.4m (up US$186.0m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 4.1% (up from 0.3% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 9.1%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.0% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Feb 26TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2026. For the year 2026, the company targeting revenue of $5.675 billion to $5.775 billion.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 29Now 24% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.7% to US$201. The fair value is estimated to be US$162, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 20% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 41% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Jan 28TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 25, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Feb 25, 2026Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jan 21COO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stockMark Shapiro intends to sell 28k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 20th of January. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$203, it would amount to US$5.7m. Since June 2025, Mark's direct individual holding has increased from 73.68k shares to 104.84k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$25m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jan 04Senior Counsel & Administrative Officer notifies of intention to sell stockSeth Krauss intends to sell 32k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 2nd of January. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$209, it would amount to US$6.6m. Since March 2025, Seth has owned 7.98k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold US$8.3m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Upcoming Dividend • Dec 08Upcoming dividend of US$0.78 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 December 2025. Payment date: 30 December 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 54% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.5%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.4%). In line with average of industry peers (1.5%).お知らせ • Dec 04TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Declares Fourth Quarter 2025 Cash Dividend, Payable on December 30, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has declared a Fourth Quarter cash dividend pursuant to which TKO’s Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equity holders. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders will be $0.78 per share. The dividend will be paid on December 30, 2025 to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on December 15, 2025.分析記事 • Nov 12TKO Group Holdings' (NYSE:TKO) Earnings Might Not Be As Promising As They SeemThe healthy profit announcement from TKO Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:TKO ) didn't seem to impress investors. We did...Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.73 to US$3.03. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.72b. Net income forecast to grow 146% next year vs 36% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$223. Share price fell 4.1% to US$180 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Nov 06Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.50 (up from US$0.29 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.12b (up 64% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$41.0m (up 77% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from 3.4% in 3Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 8.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.6% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Nov 06TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Raises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. raised earnings guidance for the full year ended December 31, 2025. For the year, the company expected revenue of $4.690 billion to $4.720 billion as compared to previous guidance of revenue $4.630 billion to $4.690 billion provided in August and revenue and guidance of $4.490 billion to $4.560 billion provided in May.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 13Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 12% to US$189. The fair value is estimated to be US$156, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Oct 08TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 05, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 05, 2025Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Sep 15Executive Chair & CEO exercised options and sold US$11m worth of stockOn the 12th of September, Ariel Emanuel exercised options to acquire 53k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$202 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to December 2023, Ariel's total compensation was 17% salary and 83% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since December 2024, Ariel's direct individual holding has increased from 60.37k shares to 66.18k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$22m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Upcoming Dividend • Sep 08Upcoming dividend of US$0.76 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 September 2025. Payment date: 30 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 29% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.8%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.4%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.1%).お知らせ • Sep 03TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Announces 100% Increase to Quarterly Cash Dividend Program and Declares Dividend of Third Quarter 2025 , Payable on September 30, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has authorized a significant increase to its quarterly cash dividend program. TKO’s Class A common stockholders will now receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equityholders, representing a 100% increase over the prior program. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders as declared by the board under the upsized dividend program will be $0.76 per share. The dividend will be paid on September 30, 2025, to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on September 15, 2025.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%After last week's 23% share price gain to US$191, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 50x. Average forward P/E is 24x in the Entertainment industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 62% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$151 per share.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 11Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 9.4% to US$180. The fair value is estimated to be US$148, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period.Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.20 (up from US$0.73 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.31b (up 54% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$98.4m (up 66% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.5% (up from 6.9% in 2Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 6.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 7.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Aug 07TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2025. In May 2025, the Company issued revenue guidance of $4.490 billion - $4.560 billion. These amounts included the expected activity for the Acquired Businesses (consisting of IMG, On Location, PBR, and the associated transactional impacts). Based on outperformance through the first six months of the year and anticipated performance for the remainder of the year, the Company is raising its guidance and now expects full year 2025 revenue of $4.630 billion - $4.690 billion.New Risk • Jul 21New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).New Risk • Jul 13New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).お知らせ • Jul 09TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2025お知らせ • Jun 30+ 2 more updatesTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth IndexTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth IndexNew Risk • Jun 29New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).Upcoming Dividend • Jun 06Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 13 June 2025. Payment date: 30 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 18% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.2%).New Risk • Jun 01New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).お知らせ • May 31Berger Montague Flies antitrust class action lawsuit against the Zuffa LLC, TKO Group Holdings, Inc., and Endeavor Group Holdings, IncBerger Montague, filed an antitrust class action lawsuit against the Zuffa LLC, TKO Group Holdings, Inc., and Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc., the owners and operators of the Ultimate Fighting Championship ("UFC"), on behalf of professional mixed martial arts ("MMA") fighters who competed for MMA promotions other than the UFC. The named plaintiff in the suit is Phil Davis, a professional MMA fighter currently under contract with a would-be rival MMA promotion. "The suit alleges that the UFC impairs the ability of would-be UFC competitors to attract a critical mass of top-level MMA fighters necessary to compete with the UFC at the top tier of the sport," said Firm Chairman and a lead lawyer for the fighters, Eric Cramer. "We intend to prove that the UFC engaged in a predatory scheme to undermine would be competitors to the UFC, which the suit claims had the effect of maintaining and enhancing the UFC's dominance, and thereby impairing the careers and pay not just of the UFC's own fighters, but also of professional MMA fighters like Mr. Davis competing for MMA promotions across the MMA industry."The lawsuit seeks no money damages. Instead, it seeks an injunction to prevent the UFC from continuing its allegedly illegal scheme. By shutting down the UFC's allegedly anticompetitive behavior, the suit intends to create the conditions for free and fair competition among professional MMA promotions, which in turn, would bolster the careers and pay of professional MMA fighters across the sport. "I am proud to stand up for professional MMA fighters to unlock the UFC's stranglehold on the entire sport," said Phil Davis. The lawsuit seeks to build on the success of Berger Montague's class action lawsuit against the UFC, which resulted in an historic $375 million settlement for a class of over 1100 former UFC fighters, following a ten-year legal battle for economic justice. Berger Montague and Mr. Davis are committed to continuing the struggle to vindicate the rights of professional MMA fighters outside of the UFC who have been harmed by the UFC's allegedly illegal scheme.お知らせ • May 30TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 30, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend pursuant to which TKO’s Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $75 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equityholders. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders will be $0.38 per share. The dividend will be paid on June 30, 2025 to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on June 13, 2025.お知らせ • May 28Wwe and Seagram's Spiked™? Launch First-Ever Co-Branded ProductWWE, part of TKO Group Holdings and Seagram's Escapes, known for great tasting flavored malt beverages, announced a new, multi-year partnership highlighted by the launch of their first-ever co-branded product of Seagram's Escapes Spiked. This marks WWE's first-ever licensed ready-to-drink product. As an Official Partner of WWE, Se Instagram's Escapes Spiked will receive prominent integrations within Premium Live Events such as Money In The Bank®?, which takes place Saturday, June 7 at the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles, as well as SummerSlam®? and Survivor Series®?, highlighted by enhanced match sponsorships, a custom digital content series featuring WWE Superstars and more. The Seagram's Escapes Spike WWE series - featuring flavors such as Rumble Punch™? (Jamaican Me Happy), Pineapple Powerhouse™? (Pineapple Cherry Lime), and Slammin' Blueberry™? (Blueberry Lemon) - is now available at retailers nationwide.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 27Now 21% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at US$159. The fair value is estimated to be US$132, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 35% per annum over the same time period.Major Estimate Revision • May 24Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.52 to US$2.82. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.52b. Net income forecast to grow 86% next year vs 42% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$181. Share price fell 3.5% to US$158 over the past week.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 12Now 21% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 9.0% to US$161. The fair value is estimated to be US$133, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 16% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 41% per annum over the same time period.New Risk • May 12New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 272% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).Reported Earnings • May 10First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.72 (up from US$1.26 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.27b (up 101% from 1Q 2024). Net income: US$58.4m (up US$162.2m from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from net loss in 1Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 18%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 24%. Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • May 09TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2025. In February, the company issued revenue to be in the range of $2.930 billion to $3.000 billion for the full year 2025. These amounts reflected the expected performance for the company’s existing business, consisting of UFC, WWE and Corporate, including twelve months of management fees paid by the Company to Endeavor under a services agreement. Based on strong performance at UFC and WWE through the first three months of the year and its anticipated performance for the remainder of the year, the company is raising its guidance, excluding the expected impact from the Acquired Businesses, and is now targeting full year 2025 revenue of $3.005 billion to $3.075 billion.New Risk • Apr 30New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.お知らせ • Apr 28TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2025.Seeking Alpha • Apr 17TKO Group: WWE Set For New Type Of WrestleMania Battle With PricingSummary Ahead of this year's "WrestleMania", some fans are feeling less overall excitement as there is a sense of feeling "priced out" by the company. Despite previous successes, rising costs may be alienating fans, impacting WWE and parent company TKO's long-term growth potential. WWE's new leadership and strategic pivots have shown promise, but the larger financial burden on fans could hinder sustained engagement and profitability. Investors should keep an eye on WWE's current trajectory, as this type of pricing could lead to changing fan dynamics that pose a risk to future performance and revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 11TKO Group Holdings: Remain Bullish Despite Share Price WeaknessSummary I remain bullish on TKO Group Holdings due to strong fundamentals, solid demand for live events, and promising UFC/ESPN renewal prospects. TKO's recent earnings highlight robust demand for UFC and WWE live events and sponsorships, with record-breaking ticket sales and attendance. The UFC's partnership with Meta enhances fan engagement, bolstering TKO's negotiating leverage with ESPN for a potentially lucrative rights renewal. The upcoming Saudi-backed boxing venture offers a low-risk growth catalyst, potentially driving significant recurring revenue with minimal financial risk to TKO. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Apr 10TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 08, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 08, 2025お知らせ • Mar 24+ 2 more updatesTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from S&P 400 Communication Services (Sector)TKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from S&P 400 Communication Services (Sector)Seeking Alpha • Mar 11TKO Group: S&P 500 Inclusion, Q4, Dividend, Boxing, And Other Ongoing CatalystsSummary TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is a promising investment with catalysts like S&P 500 inclusion, a new dividend, and expansion into boxing and WWE talent pipeline. Despite recent stock volatility and a market-wide downturn, TKO's record 2024 financial performance and strategic growth initiatives suggest long-term potential. The stock remains a buy, but investors should be cautious due to its high valuation and inherent risks, recommending a 1-3% portfolio allocation. Position sizing is crucial; TKO's growth prospects are strong, but it's more volatile and risky compared to safer, lower-valued stocks. This article also covers the expansion of WWE's talent monopoly and new ventures into TV. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaUpcoming Dividend • Mar 07Inaugural dividend of US$0.38 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 March 2025. Payment date: 31 March 2025. This is the first dividend for TKO Group Holdings since going public. The average dividend yield among industry peers is 1.3%.お知らせ • Mar 01Tko Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the year 2025. For the year, the Company is targeting revenue of $2.930 billion to $3.000 billion.Reported Earnings • Feb 27Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: US$0.12 (up from US$0.42 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: US$2.80b (up 67% from FY 2023). Net income: US$9.41m (up US$44.6m from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.3% (up from net loss in FY 2023). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Feb 27TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on March 31, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.3800 per share payable on March 31, 2025, ex-date on March 14, 2025 and record date on March 14, 2025.お知らせ • Jan 30TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 26, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 26, 2025Seeking Alpha • Jan 11TKO Group: Strong Growth Prospects, But Caution Warranted After Big Run-UpSummary TKO Group's stock is currently overvalued after a stellar 2024, with near-term range-bound activity expected but potential for a rally before WrestleMania 41. The company boasts strong financials, driven by WWE and UFC, with impressive earnings and cash flow growth, despite UFC's recent underperformance. TKO's valuation is challenging due to its recent listing, but DCF analysis indicates significant long-term upside potential, especially with lower WACC and higher growth rates. Investors should consider waiting for a better entry point despite the stock's long-term potential, given its current overheated state. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jan 05COO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stockMark Shapiro intends to sell 63k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 3rd of January. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$143, it would amount to US$9.0m. Since June 2024, Mark's direct individual holding has increased from 12.53k shares to 42.16k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$9.2m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Seeking Alpha • Jan 03TKO Group: WWE Evolution Continues With Netflix ShiftSummary WWE's "Monday Night RAW" will move to Netflix this month, marking a significant milestone moment for the company. After years of behind-the-scenes seismic shifts, many TKO investors are hoping this marks a clean start and a period of stability. This partnership offers mutual benefits, with WWE gaining a global platform and Netflix re-inventing its content strategy. Netflix's acquisition of WWE rights showcases its continued commitment to live events, aiming to leverage the company's passionate fan base for growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 20Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 9.3% to US$131. The fair value is estimated to be US$108, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only.Seeking Alpha • Nov 18TKO Group Can Take Advantage Of The Netflix Boxing EventSummary TKO, formed by the merger of WWE and UFC in 2023, presents a unique investment opportunity in the sports-entertainment sector. The merger is now completed, and we have disappointing QoQ results, with great YoY results. The WWE-Netflix deal opens the door for a UFC-Netflix deal, especially after the issues with the Paul-Tyson fight. I am still long TKO, but I am hesitant about its valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaReported Earnings • Nov 07Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.29 (up from US$0.26 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$681.3m (up 52% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$23.1m (up US$45.0m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 3.4% (up from net loss in 3Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 51%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.0% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Oct 25TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) announces an Equity Buyback for $2,000 million worth of its shares.TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: TKO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to $2,000 million worth of its shares. The program has no expiration date.お知らせ • Oct 10TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 06, 2024Seeking Alpha • Sep 25TKO Group Holdings: Visible Growth Outlook AheadSummary I am positive about TKO Group Holdings due to the strong demand for live events, positioning TKO to capture this through WWE and UFC ownership. The growth outlook is robust, driven by younger generations' preference for live experiences, with TKO's financials reflecting this demand surge. Concerns about UFC's renewal with ESPN are minimal, as ESPN is likely to renew, and other platforms are interested in UFC content. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent Insider Transactions Derivative • Sep 18COO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stockMark Shapiro intends to sell 61k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 16th of September. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$117, it would amount to US$7.1m. Since December 2023, Mark has owned 12.53k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold US$6.4m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Aug 09Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.73 (up from US$1.05 loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$851.2m (up 179% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$59.1m (up US$146.7m from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.9% (up from net loss in 2Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 10%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jul 24Director notifies of intention to sell stockNick Khan intends to sell 23k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 22nd of July. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$106, it would amount to US$2.4m. Since September 2023, Nick has owned 53.89k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively bought US$3.4m more than they sold, via options and on-market transactions, in the last 12 months.Seeking Alpha • Jul 15TKO Group: WWE Is Creating A Talent MonopolySummary TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a sports entertainment conglomerate under Endeavor, consisting of WWE and UFC. This article discusses TKO's valuation and fundamental metrics, as well as its unique talent acquisition strategy. The talent acquisition strategy is key to WWE's growth and for its ability to fulfill future revenue projections and justify its high PE ratio and valuation. WWE has set themselves up to outcompete rival brands for talent both from within and outside the existing wrestling scene, which sets them apart from all other rival promotions. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Jul 12TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results Pre-Market on Aug 08, 2024Seeking Alpha • Jun 24TKO: How WWE Is Continuing To Find Its Footing In Post-McMahon EraSummary WWE’s annual WrestleMania event occurred back in April and did so under the specter of its founder being forced out under inauspicious circumstances. Yet despite all the controversy, WrestleMania’s milestone 40th anniversary was a massive success, breaking numerous company records and putting investors’ minds at ease. Now the real work begins as WWE and the newly formed TKO group must keep that momentum going in the coming months as more big moments are on the horizon. Under the guidance of new topper Paul “Triple H” Levesque, that seems more likely, as the former WWE champion-turned-executive has helped win back the trust of its massive fanbase. While behind the scenes, parent company Endeavor is working its magic helping to align practices to leverage off the power of new WWE's corporate sibling UFC. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • May 10TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2024. For the period, the Company is targeting revenue of $2.610 billion to $2.685 billion.Reported Earnings • May 09First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2024 results: US$1.26 loss per share (down from US$1.06 profit in 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$629.7m (up 105% from 1Q 2023). Net loss: US$103.8m (down 219% from profit in 1Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Apr 27TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024, at 16:30 US Eastern Standard Time. Agenda: To elect Ariel Emanuel, Mark Shapiro, Peter C.B. Bynoe, Egon P. Durban, Dwayne Johnson, Bradley A. Keywell, Nick Khan, Steven R. Koonin, Jonathan A. Kraft, Sonya E. Medina, Nancy R. Tellem and Carrie Wheeler to serve as directors on the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) for a term expiring at the Company’s annual meeting of stockholders to be held in 2025 (the “2025 Annual Meeting”) and until his or her respective successor has been elected and qualified or until his or her earlier death, resignation, retirement, disqualification or removal; to approve, on an advisory, non-binding basis, the Company’s executive compensation; and to consider other matters.お知らせ • Apr 17TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 08, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 08, 2024お知らせ • Apr 08TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) announces an Equity Buyback for 1,853,724 shares, for $165 million.TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 1,853,724 shares for $165 million. The shares will be repurchased at price of $89.01 per share. The repurchases will be funded from revolving credit facility and with cash on hand. The repurchased shares will be retired. The repurchase program is valid till April 10, 2024, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions.Seeking Alpha • Mar 22TKO Group: WWE Looking Toward WrestleMania To Make Defining StatementSummary WWE has always succeeded because of a mix of good storytelling and showmanship, but it's not uncommon for investors to have seen elements bleed over into reality. One such area: Allegations against WWE architect and former CEO Vince McMahon, which eventually led to him leaving the company. While the McMahon drama hasn’t impacted the product thus far, it has made a mess for its board, it’s new parent company and investors. However, prior to his departure, McMahon helped navigate a number of moves that on the surface may have shored up the company’s long-term health. WWE’s flagship event “WrestleMania” will soon mark its 40th anniversary, and a lot of people - including investors - are looking to this milestone as a fresh start. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Feb 29TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the year 2024. For the year, the Company is targeting revenue of $2.575 billion to $2.650 billion.Reported Earnings • Feb 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: US$2.51 (down from US$4.66 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$1.67b (up 47% from FY 2022). Net income: US$208.2m (down 46% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 12% (down from 34% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 37%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 115%. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.お知らせ • Jan 27TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 27, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 23Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to US$89.63, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Entertainment industry in the US. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$123 per share.業績と収益の成長予測NYSE:TKO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数12/31/20287,2951,0201,9082,0211212/31/20275,8177421,7441,8432012/31/20265,7636081,5701,570203/31/20265,0632261,6981,817N/A12/31/20254,7351951,1591,286N/A9/30/20254,6252299381,032N/A6/30/20255,046211690793N/A3/31/20254,931172595704N/A12/31/20244,8849467586N/A9/30/20244,570-35623751N/A6/30/20243,479-80536640N/A3/31/20242,591-227362444N/A12/31/20233,225-35172266N/A9/30/20231,333-22357373N/A6/30/20231,224N/A430444N/A3/31/20231,187-8448462N/A12/31/20221,140387489502N/A12/31/20211,032N/A430441N/A12/31/2020891177330351N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: TKOの予測収益成長率 (年間29% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: TKOの収益 ( 29% ) はUS市場 ( 16.7% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高成長収益: TKOの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。収益対市場: TKOの収益 ( 8.7% ) US市場 ( 11.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高い収益成長: TKOの収益 ( 8.7% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: TKOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 30.6 %)成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YMedia 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/21 12:10終値2026/05/21 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 20 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。27 アナリスト機関Alex PoundArete Research Services LLPVikram KesavabhotlaBairdMichael HickeyBenchmark Company24 その他のアナリストを表示
Major Estimate Revision • May 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$5.20 to US$4.51 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.76b. Net income forecast to grow 160% next year vs 17% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price fell 3.6% to US$184 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 08Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$6.72 to US$5.83 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.79b. Net income forecast to grow 241% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$235. Share price fell 9.5% to US$203 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 revenue forecast fell from US$6.01b to US$5.80b. EPS estimate rose from US$5.41 to US$6.67. Net income forecast to grow 242% next year vs 30% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price rose 5.0% to US$220 over the past week.
お知らせ • Feb 26TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2026. For the year 2026, the company targeting revenue of $5.675 billion to $5.775 billion.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.73 to US$3.03. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.72b. Net income forecast to grow 146% next year vs 36% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$223. Share price fell 4.1% to US$180 over the past week.
お知らせ • Nov 06TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Raises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. raised earnings guidance for the full year ended December 31, 2025. For the year, the company expected revenue of $4.690 billion to $4.720 billion as compared to previous guidance of revenue $4.630 billion to $4.690 billion provided in August and revenue and guidance of $4.490 billion to $4.560 billion provided in May.
ライブニュース • May 17TKO Group Announces US$1b Buyback Plan With Insider Buying and 26% Q1 Revenue GrowthTKO Group Holdings approved a new Rule 10b5-1 share repurchase plan effective May 14, 2026, replacing a prior plan and supporting a total authorized buyback program of up to US$1b. The new plan follows an accelerated US$800m share repurchase agreement executed in March 2026 and comes alongside reported Q1 2026 revenue growth of 26%. Insiders, including CEO Ariel Emanuel, purchased about US$4.5m of TKO stock over the past 30 days, while the CFO also bought shares and analysts issued upgrades, even as some flagged risks tied to aggressive buybacks, leverage and valuation. The combination of a large authorized repurchase program, the reported Q1 revenue figure and insider buying suggests management is aligning capital returns with its outlook for the UFC, WWE and IMG businesses, while also reducing the share count through buybacks. You should also weigh the flagged risks, since higher leverage and an active repurchase pace can limit flexibility if conditions change or if the stock trades at levels that do not align with its long-run earnings power.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 14Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.9% to US$193. The fair value is estimated to be US$160, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 40% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • May 14Solid Earnings Reflect TKO Group Holdings' (NYSE:TKO) Strength As A BusinessThe subdued stock price reaction suggests that TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:TKO ) strong earnings didn't offer any...
Major Estimate Revision • May 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$5.20 to US$4.51 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.76b. Net income forecast to grow 160% next year vs 17% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price fell 3.6% to US$184 over the past week.
New Risk • May 07New minor risk - Financial positionThe company has a high level of debt. Net debt to equity ratio: 45% This is considered a minor risk. Having a high level of debt increases the company's balance sheet risk. The company has a higher interest repayment burden, leading to the need to allocate a greater amount of its earnings towards servicing the debt, potentially limiting growth options or shareholder distributions. It can also increase the risk of bankruptcy if business conditions deteriorate enough that the company can no longer meet its debt obligations. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (45% net debt to equity). Dividend is not well covered by earnings (95% payout ratio).
Reported Earnings • May 07First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$1.16 (up from US$0.72 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$1.60b (up 26% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$89.4m (up 53% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.6% (up from 4.6% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 1.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 102% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Apr 25TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 10, 2026.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 16TKO Group Grappling With Direction Ahead Of Flagship 'WrestleMania'Summary TKO Group faces increasing fan and, to some level, performer dissatisfaction amid rising ticket and streaming prices. Recent moves have shown signs of alienating core audiences and triggered a mixed sentiment within the market. Efforts to appease fans, such as temporary ticket discounts, highlight ongoing challenges in balancing monetization with audience engagement. The disconnect is especially prevalent at the moment as its flagship premium live event, “WrestleMania,” is this weekend, making the spotlight even brighter. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Apr 08TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 06, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 06, 2026
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 08Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$6.72 to US$5.83 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$5.79b. Net income forecast to grow 241% next year vs 26% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$235. Share price fell 9.5% to US$203 over the past week.
Declared Dividend • Mar 06Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.78 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.78. Ex-date: 16th March 2026 Payment date: 31st March 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.3%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.9%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not adequately covered by earnings (95% earnings payout ratio). However, it is covered by cash flows (52% cash payout ratio). The company is yet to establish a track record of dividend growth or stability as it hasn't paid a regular dividend for at least 2 years. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 5.7% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 70% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.
お知らせ • Mar 05TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Declares Dividend for the First Quarter 2026, Payable March 31, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend pursuant to which TKO’s Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equityholders. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders will be $0.78 per share. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2026 to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on March 16, 2026.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 04Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 revenue forecast fell from US$6.01b to US$5.80b. EPS estimate rose from US$5.41 to US$6.67. Net income forecast to grow 242% next year vs 30% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$234. Share price rose 5.0% to US$220 over the past week.
New Risk • Feb 27New minor risk - Dividend sustainabilityThe dividend is not well covered by earnings. Payout ratio: 95% Dividend yield: 1.4% This is considered a minor risk. Companies that pay out too much of their earnings are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If earnings growth slows or earnings fall, then there may not be enough earnings to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to dig into capital reserves or take on debt to maintain the dividend. However, this risk is mitigated by the fact the dividend is covered by cash flows. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
Reported Earnings • Feb 26Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: US$2.42 (up from US$0.12 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$4.74b (up 69% from FY 2024). Net income: US$195.4m (up US$186.0m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 4.1% (up from 0.3% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 9.1%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.0% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Feb 26TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the full year 2026. For the year 2026, the company targeting revenue of $5.675 billion to $5.775 billion.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 29Now 24% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.7% to US$201. The fair value is estimated to be US$162, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 20% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 41% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Jan 28TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 25, 2026TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Feb 25, 2026
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jan 21COO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stockMark Shapiro intends to sell 28k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 20th of January. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$203, it would amount to US$5.7m. Since June 2025, Mark's direct individual holding has increased from 73.68k shares to 104.84k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$25m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jan 04Senior Counsel & Administrative Officer notifies of intention to sell stockSeth Krauss intends to sell 32k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 2nd of January. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$209, it would amount to US$6.6m. Since March 2025, Seth has owned 7.98k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold US$8.3m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 08Upcoming dividend of US$0.78 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 December 2025. Payment date: 30 December 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 54% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.5%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.4%). In line with average of industry peers (1.5%).
お知らせ • Dec 04TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Declares Fourth Quarter 2025 Cash Dividend, Payable on December 30, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has declared a Fourth Quarter cash dividend pursuant to which TKO’s Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equity holders. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders will be $0.78 per share. The dividend will be paid on December 30, 2025 to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on December 15, 2025.
分析記事 • Nov 12TKO Group Holdings' (NYSE:TKO) Earnings Might Not Be As Promising As They SeemThe healthy profit announcement from TKO Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:TKO ) didn't seem to impress investors. We did...
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 12Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.73 to US$3.03. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.72b. Net income forecast to grow 146% next year vs 36% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$223. Share price fell 4.1% to US$180 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Nov 06Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.50 (up from US$0.29 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.12b (up 64% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$41.0m (up 77% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from 3.4% in 3Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 8.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.6% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Nov 06TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Raises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year Ended December 31, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. raised earnings guidance for the full year ended December 31, 2025. For the year, the company expected revenue of $4.690 billion to $4.720 billion as compared to previous guidance of revenue $4.630 billion to $4.690 billion provided in August and revenue and guidance of $4.490 billion to $4.560 billion provided in May.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 13Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 12% to US$189. The fair value is estimated to be US$156, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Oct 08TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 05, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 05, 2025
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Sep 15Executive Chair & CEO exercised options and sold US$11m worth of stockOn the 12th of September, Ariel Emanuel exercised options to acquire 53k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$202 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to December 2023, Ariel's total compensation was 17% salary and 83% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since December 2024, Ariel's direct individual holding has increased from 60.37k shares to 66.18k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$22m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 08Upcoming dividend of US$0.76 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 September 2025. Payment date: 30 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 29% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.8%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.4%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.1%).
お知らせ • Sep 03TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Announces 100% Increase to Quarterly Cash Dividend Program and Declares Dividend of Third Quarter 2025 , Payable on September 30, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has authorized a significant increase to its quarterly cash dividend program. TKO’s Class A common stockholders will now receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equityholders, representing a 100% increase over the prior program. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders as declared by the board under the upsized dividend program will be $0.76 per share. The dividend will be paid on September 30, 2025, to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on September 15, 2025.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%After last week's 23% share price gain to US$191, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 50x. Average forward P/E is 24x in the Entertainment industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 62% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$151 per share.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 11Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 9.4% to US$180. The fair value is estimated to be US$148, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 34% per annum over the same time period.
Reported Earnings • Aug 07Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$1.20 (up from US$0.73 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.31b (up 54% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$98.4m (up 66% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.5% (up from 6.9% in 2Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 6.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 7.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Aug 07TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2025. In May 2025, the Company issued revenue guidance of $4.490 billion - $4.560 billion. These amounts included the expected activity for the Acquired Businesses (consisting of IMG, On Location, PBR, and the associated transactional impacts). Based on outperformance through the first six months of the year and anticipated performance for the remainder of the year, the Company is raising its guidance and now expects full year 2025 revenue of $4.630 billion - $4.690 billion.
New Risk • Jul 21New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).
New Risk • Jul 13New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).
お知らせ • Jul 09TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2025
お知らせ • Jun 30+ 2 more updatesTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth IndexTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from Russell 2500 Growth Index
New Risk • Jun 29New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 06Upcoming dividend of US$0.38 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 13 June 2025. Payment date: 30 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 18% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of American dividend payers (4.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.2%).
New Risk • Jun 01New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).
お知らせ • May 31Berger Montague Flies antitrust class action lawsuit against the Zuffa LLC, TKO Group Holdings, Inc., and Endeavor Group Holdings, IncBerger Montague, filed an antitrust class action lawsuit against the Zuffa LLC, TKO Group Holdings, Inc., and Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc., the owners and operators of the Ultimate Fighting Championship ("UFC"), on behalf of professional mixed martial arts ("MMA") fighters who competed for MMA promotions other than the UFC. The named plaintiff in the suit is Phil Davis, a professional MMA fighter currently under contract with a would-be rival MMA promotion. "The suit alleges that the UFC impairs the ability of would-be UFC competitors to attract a critical mass of top-level MMA fighters necessary to compete with the UFC at the top tier of the sport," said Firm Chairman and a lead lawyer for the fighters, Eric Cramer. "We intend to prove that the UFC engaged in a predatory scheme to undermine would be competitors to the UFC, which the suit claims had the effect of maintaining and enhancing the UFC's dominance, and thereby impairing the careers and pay not just of the UFC's own fighters, but also of professional MMA fighters like Mr. Davis competing for MMA promotions across the MMA industry."The lawsuit seeks no money damages. Instead, it seeks an injunction to prevent the UFC from continuing its allegedly illegal scheme. By shutting down the UFC's allegedly anticompetitive behavior, the suit intends to create the conditions for free and fair competition among professional MMA promotions, which in turn, would bolster the careers and pay of professional MMA fighters across the sport. "I am proud to stand up for professional MMA fighters to unlock the UFC's stranglehold on the entire sport," said Phil Davis. The lawsuit seeks to build on the success of Berger Montague's class action lawsuit against the UFC, which resulted in an historic $375 million settlement for a class of over 1100 former UFC fighters, following a ten-year legal battle for economic justice. Berger Montague and Mr. Davis are committed to continuing the struggle to vindicate the rights of professional MMA fighters outside of the UFC who have been harmed by the UFC's allegedly illegal scheme.
お知らせ • May 30TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on June 30, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend pursuant to which TKO’s Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $75 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC to its equityholders. The per share dividend to the holders of TKO’s Class A common stockholders will be $0.38 per share. The dividend will be paid on June 30, 2025 to Class A common stockholders of record as of the close of business on June 13, 2025.
お知らせ • May 28Wwe and Seagram's Spiked™? Launch First-Ever Co-Branded ProductWWE, part of TKO Group Holdings and Seagram's Escapes, known for great tasting flavored malt beverages, announced a new, multi-year partnership highlighted by the launch of their first-ever co-branded product of Seagram's Escapes Spiked. This marks WWE's first-ever licensed ready-to-drink product. As an Official Partner of WWE, Se Instagram's Escapes Spiked will receive prominent integrations within Premium Live Events such as Money In The Bank®?, which takes place Saturday, June 7 at the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles, as well as SummerSlam®? and Survivor Series®?, highlighted by enhanced match sponsorships, a custom digital content series featuring WWE Superstars and more. The Seagram's Escapes Spike WWE series - featuring flavors such as Rumble Punch™? (Jamaican Me Happy), Pineapple Powerhouse™? (Pineapple Cherry Lime), and Slammin' Blueberry™? (Blueberry Lemon) - is now available at retailers nationwide.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 27Now 21% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at US$159. The fair value is estimated to be US$132, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 17% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 35% per annum over the same time period.
Major Estimate Revision • May 24Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate increased from US$2.52 to US$2.82. Revenue forecast steady at US$4.52b. Net income forecast to grow 86% next year vs 42% growth forecast for Entertainment industry in the US. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$181. Share price fell 3.5% to US$158 over the past week.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 12Now 21% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 9.0% to US$161. The fair value is estimated to be US$133, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 16% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 41% per annum over the same time period.
New Risk • May 12New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 272% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (16% increase in shares outstanding).
Reported Earnings • May 10First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.72 (up from US$1.26 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$1.27b (up 101% from 1Q 2024). Net income: US$58.4m (up US$162.2m from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.6% (up from net loss in 1Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 18%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 24%. Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • May 09TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2025. In February, the company issued revenue to be in the range of $2.930 billion to $3.000 billion for the full year 2025. These amounts reflected the expected performance for the company’s existing business, consisting of UFC, WWE and Corporate, including twelve months of management fees paid by the Company to Endeavor under a services agreement. Based on strong performance at UFC and WWE through the first three months of the year and its anticipated performance for the remainder of the year, the company is raising its guidance, excluding the expected impact from the Acquired Businesses, and is now targeting full year 2025 revenue of $3.005 billion to $3.075 billion.
New Risk • Apr 30New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 16% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
お知らせ • Apr 28TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2025.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 17TKO Group: WWE Set For New Type Of WrestleMania Battle With PricingSummary Ahead of this year's "WrestleMania", some fans are feeling less overall excitement as there is a sense of feeling "priced out" by the company. Despite previous successes, rising costs may be alienating fans, impacting WWE and parent company TKO's long-term growth potential. WWE's new leadership and strategic pivots have shown promise, but the larger financial burden on fans could hinder sustained engagement and profitability. Investors should keep an eye on WWE's current trajectory, as this type of pricing could lead to changing fan dynamics that pose a risk to future performance and revenue. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 11TKO Group Holdings: Remain Bullish Despite Share Price WeaknessSummary I remain bullish on TKO Group Holdings due to strong fundamentals, solid demand for live events, and promising UFC/ESPN renewal prospects. TKO's recent earnings highlight robust demand for UFC and WWE live events and sponsorships, with record-breaking ticket sales and attendance. The UFC's partnership with Meta enhances fan engagement, bolstering TKO's negotiating leverage with ESPN for a potentially lucrative rights renewal. The upcoming Saudi-backed boxing venture offers a low-risk growth catalyst, potentially driving significant recurring revenue with minimal financial risk to TKO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Apr 10TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 08, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 08, 2025
お知らせ • Mar 24+ 2 more updatesTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from S&P 400 Communication Services (Sector)TKO Group Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:TKO) dropped from S&P 400 Communication Services (Sector)
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11TKO Group: S&P 500 Inclusion, Q4, Dividend, Boxing, And Other Ongoing CatalystsSummary TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is a promising investment with catalysts like S&P 500 inclusion, a new dividend, and expansion into boxing and WWE talent pipeline. Despite recent stock volatility and a market-wide downturn, TKO's record 2024 financial performance and strategic growth initiatives suggest long-term potential. The stock remains a buy, but investors should be cautious due to its high valuation and inherent risks, recommending a 1-3% portfolio allocation. Position sizing is crucial; TKO's growth prospects are strong, but it's more volatile and risky compared to safer, lower-valued stocks. This article also covers the expansion of WWE's talent monopoly and new ventures into TV. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 07Inaugural dividend of US$0.38 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 March 2025. Payment date: 31 March 2025. This is the first dividend for TKO Group Holdings since going public. The average dividend yield among industry peers is 1.3%.
お知らせ • Mar 01Tko Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the year 2025. For the year, the Company is targeting revenue of $2.930 billion to $3.000 billion.
Reported Earnings • Feb 27Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: US$0.12 (up from US$0.42 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: US$2.80b (up 67% from FY 2023). Net income: US$9.41m (up US$44.6m from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.3% (up from net loss in FY 2023). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.3%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Feb 27TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on March 31, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.3800 per share payable on March 31, 2025, ex-date on March 14, 2025 and record date on March 14, 2025.
お知らせ • Jan 30TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 26, 2025TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 26, 2025
Seeking Alpha • Jan 11TKO Group: Strong Growth Prospects, But Caution Warranted After Big Run-UpSummary TKO Group's stock is currently overvalued after a stellar 2024, with near-term range-bound activity expected but potential for a rally before WrestleMania 41. The company boasts strong financials, driven by WWE and UFC, with impressive earnings and cash flow growth, despite UFC's recent underperformance. TKO's valuation is challenging due to its recent listing, but DCF analysis indicates significant long-term upside potential, especially with lower WACC and higher growth rates. Investors should consider waiting for a better entry point despite the stock's long-term potential, given its current overheated state. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jan 05COO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stockMark Shapiro intends to sell 63k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 3rd of January. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$143, it would amount to US$9.0m. Since June 2024, Mark's direct individual holding has increased from 12.53k shares to 42.16k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$9.2m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 03TKO Group: WWE Evolution Continues With Netflix ShiftSummary WWE's "Monday Night RAW" will move to Netflix this month, marking a significant milestone moment for the company. After years of behind-the-scenes seismic shifts, many TKO investors are hoping this marks a clean start and a period of stability. This partnership offers mutual benefits, with WWE gaining a global platform and Netflix re-inventing its content strategy. Netflix's acquisition of WWE rights showcases its continued commitment to live events, aiming to leverage the company's passionate fan base for growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 20Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 9.3% to US$131. The fair value is estimated to be US$108, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only.
Seeking Alpha • Nov 18TKO Group Can Take Advantage Of The Netflix Boxing EventSummary TKO, formed by the merger of WWE and UFC in 2023, presents a unique investment opportunity in the sports-entertainment sector. The merger is now completed, and we have disappointing QoQ results, with great YoY results. The WWE-Netflix deal opens the door for a UFC-Netflix deal, especially after the issues with the Paul-Tyson fight. I am still long TKO, but I am hesitant about its valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Reported Earnings • Nov 07Third quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindThird quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.29 (up from US$0.26 loss in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$681.3m (up 52% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$23.1m (up US$45.0m from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 3.4% (up from net loss in 3Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 51%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.0% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Oct 25TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) announces an Equity Buyback for $2,000 million worth of its shares.TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: TKO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to $2,000 million worth of its shares. The program has no expiration date.
お知らせ • Oct 10TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 06, 2024
Seeking Alpha • Sep 25TKO Group Holdings: Visible Growth Outlook AheadSummary I am positive about TKO Group Holdings due to the strong demand for live events, positioning TKO to capture this through WWE and UFC ownership. The growth outlook is robust, driven by younger generations' preference for live experiences, with TKO's financials reflecting this demand surge. Concerns about UFC's renewal with ESPN are minimal, as ESPN is likely to renew, and other platforms are interested in UFC content. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Sep 18COO, President & Director notifies of intention to sell stockMark Shapiro intends to sell 61k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 16th of September. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$117, it would amount to US$7.1m. Since December 2023, Mark has owned 12.53k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively sold US$6.4m more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Aug 09Second quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$0.73 (up from US$1.05 loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$851.2m (up 179% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$59.1m (up US$146.7m from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.9% (up from net loss in 2Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 10%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Jul 24Director notifies of intention to sell stockNick Khan intends to sell 23k shares in the next 90 days after lodging an Intent To Sell Form on the 22nd of July. If the sale is conducted around the recent share price of US$106, it would amount to US$2.4m. Since September 2023, Nick has owned 53.89k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively bought US$3.4m more than they sold, via options and on-market transactions, in the last 12 months.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 15TKO Group: WWE Is Creating A Talent MonopolySummary TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a sports entertainment conglomerate under Endeavor, consisting of WWE and UFC. This article discusses TKO's valuation and fundamental metrics, as well as its unique talent acquisition strategy. The talent acquisition strategy is key to WWE's growth and for its ability to fulfill future revenue projections and justify its high PE ratio and valuation. WWE has set themselves up to outcompete rival brands for talent both from within and outside the existing wrestling scene, which sets them apart from all other rival promotions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Jul 12TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 08, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results Pre-Market on Aug 08, 2024
Seeking Alpha • Jun 24TKO: How WWE Is Continuing To Find Its Footing In Post-McMahon EraSummary WWE’s annual WrestleMania event occurred back in April and did so under the specter of its founder being forced out under inauspicious circumstances. Yet despite all the controversy, WrestleMania’s milestone 40th anniversary was a massive success, breaking numerous company records and putting investors’ minds at ease. Now the real work begins as WWE and the newly formed TKO group must keep that momentum going in the coming months as more big moments are on the horizon. Under the guidance of new topper Paul “Triple H” Levesque, that seems more likely, as the former WWE champion-turned-executive has helped win back the trust of its massive fanbase. While behind the scenes, parent company Endeavor is working its magic helping to align practices to leverage off the power of new WWE's corporate sibling UFC. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • May 10TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Revises Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. revised earnings guidance for the full year 2024. For the period, the Company is targeting revenue of $2.610 billion to $2.685 billion.
Reported Earnings • May 09First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2024 results: US$1.26 loss per share (down from US$1.06 profit in 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$629.7m (up 105% from 1Q 2023). Net loss: US$103.8m (down 219% from profit in 1Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Apr 27TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024, at 16:30 US Eastern Standard Time. Agenda: To elect Ariel Emanuel, Mark Shapiro, Peter C.B. Bynoe, Egon P. Durban, Dwayne Johnson, Bradley A. Keywell, Nick Khan, Steven R. Koonin, Jonathan A. Kraft, Sonya E. Medina, Nancy R. Tellem and Carrie Wheeler to serve as directors on the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) for a term expiring at the Company’s annual meeting of stockholders to be held in 2025 (the “2025 Annual Meeting”) and until his or her respective successor has been elected and qualified or until his or her earlier death, resignation, retirement, disqualification or removal; to approve, on an advisory, non-binding basis, the Company’s executive compensation; and to consider other matters.
お知らせ • Apr 17TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 08, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 08, 2024
お知らせ • Apr 08TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) announces an Equity Buyback for 1,853,724 shares, for $165 million.TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 1,853,724 shares for $165 million. The shares will be repurchased at price of $89.01 per share. The repurchases will be funded from revolving credit facility and with cash on hand. The repurchased shares will be retired. The repurchase program is valid till April 10, 2024, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 22TKO Group: WWE Looking Toward WrestleMania To Make Defining StatementSummary WWE has always succeeded because of a mix of good storytelling and showmanship, but it's not uncommon for investors to have seen elements bleed over into reality. One such area: Allegations against WWE architect and former CEO Vince McMahon, which eventually led to him leaving the company. While the McMahon drama hasn’t impacted the product thus far, it has made a mess for its board, it’s new parent company and investors. However, prior to his departure, McMahon helped navigate a number of moves that on the surface may have shored up the company’s long-term health. WWE’s flagship event “WrestleMania” will soon mark its 40th anniversary, and a lot of people - including investors - are looking to this milestone as a fresh start. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Feb 29TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the year 2024. For the year, the Company is targeting revenue of $2.575 billion to $2.650 billion.
Reported Earnings • Feb 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: US$2.51 (down from US$4.66 in FY 2022). Revenue: US$1.67b (up 47% from FY 2022). Net income: US$208.2m (down 46% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 12% (down from 34% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 37%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 115%. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Entertainment industry in the US.
お知らせ • Jan 27TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024TKO Group Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 27, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 23Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to US$89.63, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Entertainment industry in the US. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at US$123 per share.