Spotify Technology 過去の業績
過去 基準チェック /66
Spotify Technologyは、平均年間66%の収益成長を遂げていますが、 Entertainment業界の収益は、年間 成長しています。収益は、平均年間26.6% 14.8%収益成長率で 成長しています。 Spotify Technologyの自己資本利益率は33.8%であり、純利益率は15.4%です。
主要情報
66.00%
収益成長率
65.27%
EPS成長率
| Entertainment 業界の成長 | 18.06% |
| 収益成長率 | 14.76% |
| 株主資本利益率 | 33.81% |
| ネット・マージン | 15.45% |
| 前回の決算情報 | 31 Mar 2026 |
最近の業績更新
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 22
Spotify: Weaker Advertising Trends Are Becoming A Concern (Downgrade)
Summary Spotify faces decelerating revenue growth as ad-supported users outpace Premium, but monetization lags amid macro headwinds. I am downgrading SPOT to "Neutral," citing a balanced risk-reward profile and concerns over slowing top-line growth and high valuation multiples. The company's gross margin in the mid-30s and 23x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple raise questions about long-term profitability versus peers like Netflix. Recent price increases test elasticity, but slower Premium growth and slim unit economics limit confidence in SPOT's growth narrative. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 13
SPOT: Price Increases And AI Investments Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target has moved lower to reflect a fair value estimate now around $590, as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions along with more conservative long term profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology reflects a mix of optimism on execution and margins, alongside more cautious views on valuation and future growth assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 29
SPOT: Future Margin Expansion Will Rely On Recurring Price Hikes
Analysts trimmed Spotify Technology's fair value estimate slightly to $786.63. This reflects lower price targets across several firms, balanced by views that improved profit margins and an updated future P/E assumption still support the long-term case.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 15
SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes And AI Features Will Support Margins
The analyst price target for Spotify has edged slightly lower by about $2 to reflect a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, even as analysts continue to highlight potential support from improving profit margins and product investments, including AI features. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mixed but engaged view, with analysts actively revisiting ratings and price targets as they reassess AI risk, margin trajectory, and the pace of price changes.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 31
SPOT: Recurring Price Increases Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Spotify higher to $784.59 from $767.84, reflecting slightly firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of a mix of supportive rating actions, incremental price hike expectations, and ongoing debate over AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify centers on two themes you should keep in mind: pricing power in Premium subscriptions and how much AI changes the risk profile for the business.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 17
SPOT: Recurring Price Hikes And Firmer Margins Will Support Revaluation Potential
Spotify's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $889.24 to $767.84 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower future P/E, partly offset by firmer margin expectations and views that AI related risks to the platform and its pricing power are limited. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify highlights a split view on AI risk and pricing power, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who still see upside in the story despite a period of target cuts across the Street.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 03
SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes Will Support Margins Despite AI Concerns
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Spotify to $649 from $662. This reflects a modest increase in the discount rate and slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and future P/E.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 27
Spotify (SPOT): The Audio Super-Platform – Scaling Profitability in the "Year of Raising Ambition"
Spotify Technology (SPOT) has decisively silenced the skeptics who questioned its ability to turn massive scale into meaningful profit. Following its Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings report on February 10, 2026 , the stock experienced a powerful 12% surge , eventually stabilizing around $511.84 as of February 27.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 17
SPOT: 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Offset Rising AI Subscription Risk
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Spotify, reflected in a lower fair value estimate of $662.14 from $733.44, as they factor in higher perceived AI related risk to paid streaming, modestly softer growth assumptions, a richer discount rate, and a more conservative future P/E multiple, despite higher projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology points to a mixed but highly engaged analyst backdrop, with multiple firms revisiting their models around AI risk, pricing, and execution on product initiatives.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 13
Spotify - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation
️Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -1/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 17.56% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 10.87% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 4.68% -2 ❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.71% (greater than ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +2.07% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 15.46% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A1 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Despite its Narrow Moat rating by Morningstar, Spotify still shows an operating margin around ~15-20% and expanding. Its revenue and EPS growth is also solid between 10-15%.分析記事 • Feb 05
Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings
The Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...ナラティブの更新 • Feb 03
SPOT: Free Tier Funnel And 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Support Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Spotify, with our fair value estimate easing from US$748.60 to about US$733.44. This reflects slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples, which more than offset modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin expectations following a wave of recent target cuts and rating changes across the Street.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 20
SPOT: Future Price Increases And Margin Goals Will Drive Rerating Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Spotify Technology price targets, with our fair value estimate moving from US$913.70 to US$889.24. They are factoring in slightly softer margin assumptions, modestly lower growth estimates, and a higher future P/E, while still referencing potential benefits from pricing changes and longer term margin goals.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 06
SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Collaboration Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Spotify higher, citing a supportive mix of pricing power, a constructive view on music industry economics, and a willingness to underwrite a richer future P/E multiple of around 38.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mix of enthusiasm for the business model and pricing potential alongside debate over how much optimism is already reflected in the share price.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 14
SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Our fair value estimate for Spotify Technology has been raised by about $37 to roughly $569 per share, as analysts grow more confident in accelerating revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and the earnings power implied by recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Spotify highlights a mix of optimism around pricing power, product innovation, and artificial intelligence, alongside a more measured tone on valuation and execution risk.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 18
SPOT: User Gains From Free Tier Funnel Will Drive Competitive Leadership
Spotify’s analyst price target has been modestly increased from approximately $736 to $749, as analysts point to rising expectations for revenue growth and margin expansion. This outlook is fueled by upcoming price increases and ongoing product enhancements.分析記事 • Nov 11
We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Even though Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We...分析記事 • Nov 07
Spotify Technology S.A. Just Recorded A 63% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Last week, you might have seen that Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) released its quarterly result to the market...ナラティブの更新 • Nov 01
SPOT: Upcoming Price Increases And Product Changes Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology by approximately $10 to $736. They cite a balanced outlook in light of evolving industry pricing opportunities and the company's recent financial performance trends.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 17
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Spotify’s consensus analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower, from $747.78 to $746.42. This change reflects updated expectations around revenue growth and profit margins as analysts weigh recent price increases, user engagement momentum, and the outlook for cost management.ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology, adjusting the price target from $756 to $748. More balanced risk-reward expectations and moderated growth outlooks for key metrics offset recent model updates and price increases.ナラティブの更新 • Sep 17
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Analysts have raised Spotify’s price targets, citing robust subscriber growth, improved product differentiation and engagement, and greater pricing power despite near-term cost headwinds, leading to a consensus Analyst Price Target increase from $739.83 to $756.18. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on expectations of continued price increases in key markets and further upward revisions to long-term revenue and profit estimates.分析記事 • Jul 31
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)?
Let's talk about the popular Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ). The company's shares saw a decent share price...分析記事 • Jul 02
Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) Could Easily Take On More Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Spotify Is Executing Brilliantly, But The Stock Isn't A Buy Anymore (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Spotify's stock has surged 85.1% since my initial “cautious buy” rating, driven by better-than-expected company improvements and strong execution. Despite impressive growth, the reduced margin of safety now requires greater optimism for a favorable valuation, prompting a downgrade to “cautious hold”. Spotify has achieved significant milestones, including a +30% gross margin and +670 million MAUs, through strategic initiatives and cost management. Risks remain, such as dependency on record labels and increasing competition, making long-term growth visibility less clear and necessitating cautious optimism. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 14
Spotify: The Road Ahead Is Tough, But It Is Positioned Well
Summary Spotify continues to lead in music streaming with strong growth, innovative features, and a dominant market position, despite recent stock price declines. The company achieved record Q4 results and profitability in 2024, but faces challenges in further margin expansion and increased competition from YouTube. Future success hinges on maintaining efficiency, better monetizing emerging markets users, and significantly improving ads and video capabilities. Considering the challenges ahead, Spotify's Valuation is a bit too high at 46 times forward earnings, making it a 'Hold'. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 14
Spotify: Just Getting Started
Summary The monetization process is just getting started. Spotify may have multiple years of high earnings growth and increasing FCF. Growing premium subscribers with higher ARPU is the main earnings driver, boosting EBITDA and free cash flow and enhancing shareholder value. Spotify is beginning to gain pricing power from music labels that adds upside risk to its monetization story. The stock's valuation is transitioning to higher EPS-based multiples, I target a price of $770 by YE26. Competition from Amazon and Apple poses a risk, but Spotify's monetization strategy and profitability shift support a continued buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Spotify Q4: Profitability Is Only Getting Better
Summary Spotify released its Q4 earnings on 2/4, impressing the market. This was mostly off the back of growing premium subscribers from Q4 2024, and continued growth into Q1 2025. MAUs are up, revenue is up, and expenses are down; Spotify is in a great position and has finally turned a profit for a full year. Compound this with its high valuation, and you have a set-up for success or failure depending on future earnings and if growth can maintain its trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
新しいナラティブ • Feb 05
Narrative update from Michael Paige
Retain Dominant Market Share Position In Paid Music StreamingThis assumptions appears to be tracking well and ahead of my conservative estimates. I estimated 8% growth per year in MAU and premium subsSeeking Alpha • Jan 22
Spotify Q4 Preview: Changing Creator Incentives
Summary Spotify's shares have surged 31.99% since October, driven by AI optimization and enhanced user experiences, boosting demand and premium subscriptions. The new creator incentive program, offering 50% ad revenue share, is a game changer, attracting more high-quality content to Spotify. Despite market pessimism, I believe Spotify's Q4 earnings will exceed expectations due to these creator innovations and strong user engagement metrics. SPOT's strong free cash flow growth and competitive creator incentives position it for significant upside, making it a strong buy heading into Q4 earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Spotify: The Operational Leverage Run Is Close To Being Over, What's Next?
Summary Spotify emerged stronger from the 2022 market selloff, with its stock up over 6x since December 2022 due to margin expansion and consistent growth. Key growth drivers included aggressive cost-cutting, gaining leverage over music labels, and diversifying into podcasts and audiobooks. Future growth will depend on emerging markets and advertising, though these come with lower ARPU and more uncertainty. Spotify's operational leverage has limits, and the company faces challenges in maintaining the margin expansion story while making strides into video and competing with YouTube. The current valuation and consensus estimates don't reflect the higher uncertainty, leading to a 'Hold' rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 15
Spotify: My Top Investment Pick For 2025
Summary I recommend a "Strong Buy" for Spotify as I highlight robust growth, pricing power, and profitability improvements. Spotify's Q3 results were stellar, with gross margins at 31.1%, revenue up 19% YoY, and free cash flow soaring 230% to $711 million. The platform's scalable, low-cost model, AI-driven personalization, and new subscription tiers ensure sustained growth and high margins without significant overhead. Looking ahead, Spotify's video podcast push, new "Superfan" tier, and enhanced ad tools will drive further revenue and margin gains, with analysts projecting €3.6 billion in FCF by 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 08
From $15 Billion To $100 Billion: Lessons From Our Spotify Investment
Summary Spotify's stock surged from $132 to $500 per share since its 2018 IPO, delivering a 23% annualized return over 6.5 years. Despite past doubts about its profitability, Spotify's recent improvements in gross margins and cost discipline have renewed optimism in its long-term potential. The company's strategic shift towards advertising and price increases has driven revenue growth and positioned it for future profitability. Adopting a principle of letting winners naturally concentrate in the portfolio has proven effective, with Spotify now representing 15% of our holdings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
新しいナラティブ • Nov 24
Expanding Audiobook Offerings And AI Innovation Propel Dynamic Growth Trajectory
Expansion into audiobooks and AI-enhanced music discovery are set to boost user engagement and revenue growth.Seeking Alpha • Nov 12
Spotify Q3: Strong Subscriber Growth And Margin Improvement
Summary I reiterate a Strong Buy on Spotify Technology S.A. stock with a one-year price target of $500 per share, due to strong subscriber growth and improved monetization. Spotify's potential launch of an ads exchange platform could enhance video ad offerings, reduce reliance on Alphabet and Meta, and boost ad revenue. Spotify's Q3 results showed 19% revenue growth and 11.5% growth in monthly active users, with new features enhancing user experience and reducing churn. Despite SPOT's ongoing legal battles with the Mechanical Licensing Collective, I project 16% annual revenue growth, driven by subscriber gains, price increases, and advertising expansions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 03
Spotify: Who's There? TikTok - Buy
Summary I'm maintaining my buy-rating on Spotify in light of TikTok Music's shutdown this November, which I expect will boost Spotify's subscriber base significantly. I expect SPOT to outperform due to momentum in premium subscribers' organic growth and migration from TikTok. I hereon share my positive sentiment on Spotify and why I see more upside in 4Q24 and FY25. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
新しいナラティブ • Sep 19
Narrative update from Richard Bowman
Monthly active users up 2% Q/Q and 14% Y/YSeeking Alpha • Sep 13
Spotify: Why We Remain Confident In The Position We've Built
Summary Back in 2022, Spotify was trading at roughly $15 billion. Now, just 18 months later, Spotify is valued at about $68 billion - a 4.3x increase. Our average cost basis is $216, as we increased our position as the stock rose. As a result, the stock return from that cost basis stands at 58%. We remain confident in the position we've built, given the company's strong long-term growth and profitability potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 24
Spotify: Beware Slowing MAU Growth, Lock In Gains And Sell (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Shares of Spotify are up more than 80% year to date, and there are significant fundamental risks ahead. The company is reporting slower-than-expected MAU expansion, which hurts the future pipeline of Premium subscribers while also slowing down near-term ad revenue. The stock trades at a significant premium to both the S&P 500 and Netflix. Downgrading Spotify to sell, especially as recent price increases (pushing a Spotify subscription above competitor pricing) may trigger heightened churn. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha新しいナラティブ • Aug 16
Narrative update from Michael Paige
In terms of market share, nothing has particularly changed, and reports still indicate that it has around one-third of market share in the industry.収支内訳
収支内訳
Spotify Technology の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。
収益と収入の歴史
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | G+A経費 | 研究開発費 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 17,529 | 2,708 | 1,916 | 1,345 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 17,186 | 2,212 | 1,905 | 1,393 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 16,897 | 1,405 | 1,895 | 1,470 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 16,613 | 806 | 1,879 | 1,503 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 16,227 | 1,166 | 1,864 | 1,476 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 15,673 | 1,138 | 1,873 | 1,486 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 15,102 | 701 | 1,826 | 1,384 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 14,471 | 466 | 1,866 | 1,411 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 13,841 | -110 | 1,959 | 1,485 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 13,247 | -532 | 2,040 | 1,606 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 12,742 | -732 | 2,148 | 1,672 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 12,421 | -963 | 2,256 | 1,689 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 12,108 | -786 | 2,258 | 1,572 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 11,727 | -430 | 2,198 | 1,387 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 11,250 | -199 | 2,049 | 1,225 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 10,715 | -31 | 1,842 | 1,047 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 10,182 | 74 | 1,675 | 966 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 9,668 | -34 | 1,585 | 912 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 9,147 | -120 | 1,518 | 891 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 8,621 | -223 | 1,483 | 859 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 8,179 | -559 | 1,462 | 871 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 7,880 | -581 | 1,471 | 837 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 7,567 | -665 | 1,412 | 778 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 7,323 | -323 | 1,312 | 738 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 7,101 | -43 | 1,224 | 622 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 6,764 | -186 | 1,166 | 615 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 6,404 | 465 | 1,006 | 542 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 6,025 | 267 | 969 | 541 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 5,631 | -51 | 959 | 533 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 5,259 | -78 | 903 | 493 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 4,913 | -1,116 | 944 | 516 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 4,593 | -1,437 | 936 | 479 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 4,327 | -1,231 | 876 | 431 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 4,090 | -1,235 | 831 | 396 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,952 | -539 | 543 | 207 |
| 01 Jan 16 | 1,940 | -230 | 325 | 136 |
質の高い収益: SPOTは 高品質の収益 を持っています。
利益率の向上: SPOTの現在の純利益率 (15.4%)は、昨年(7.2%)よりも高くなっています。
フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較
過去の収益成長分析
収益動向: SPOT過去 5 年間で収益を上げており、収益は年間66%増加しています。
成長の加速: SPOTの過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 132.2% ) は、5 年間の平均 ( 年間66%を上回っています。
収益対業界: SPOTの過去 1 年間の収益成長率 ( 132.2% ) はEntertainment業界-3.1%を上回りました。
株主資本利益率
高いROE: SPOTの 自己資本利益率 ( 33.8% ) は 高い とみなされます。
総資産利益率
使用総資本利益率
過去の好業績企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/28 22:15 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/28 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Spotify Technology S.A. 36 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。71
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Samuel Lourensz | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| William Noel Milner | Arete Research Services LLP |