National CineMedia, Inc.

NasdaqGS:NCMI 株式レポート

時価総額：US$279.5m

National CineMedia 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /36

National CineMediaは、98%と7%でそれぞれ年率98%で利益と収益が成長すると予測される一方、EPSはgrowで100.4%年率。

主要情報

98.0%

収益成長率

100.38%

EPS成長率

Media 収益成長37.7%
収益成長率7.0%
将来の株主資本利益率n/a
アナリストカバレッジ

Low

最終更新日13 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 08

NCMI: Expanded Lobby Media Rollout And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their $5.38 price target for National CineMedia, citing updated modeling inputs around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions rather than any change in their overall valuation view. What's in the News National CineMedia and Creative Realities agreed to expand and modernize AMC Theatres’ in lobby media footprint across 285 locations, adding multiple 75 inch digital screens per site and creating a broader platform for in theater advertising and branded content, with rollout targeted for completion by the end of 2026 (company announcement).
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 24

NCMI: Expanded Theater Media Footprint And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have held National CineMedia's price target steady at $5.38, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly different revenue growth, profit margins, and a future P/E of about 27x, without a change to their overall valuation view. What's in the News National CineMedia and Creative Realities agreed to expand and modernize AMC Theatres’ in-lobby media across 285 locations, adding multiple 75 inch digital screens per site and creating more touchpoints for advertisers throughout the theater.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 10

NCMI: Guided Profitability And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on National CineMedia by $0.13 to reflect slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the trimmed price target as a refinement of assumptions rather than a shift in the overall thesis, with valuation still supported by existing revenue and margin expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 27

NCMI: Guided Profitability And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their average price target on National CineMedia by about $1 to $6, citing weaker than expected theater attendance, which could result in Q4 revenue coming in modestly below prior expectations while still remaining within the guided profitability range. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see the current price target of about $6 as consistent with the company remaining within its guided profitability range, even with softer Q4 revenue expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 12

NCMI: Resilient Profitability And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their price targets on National CineMedia to around $6, down about $1. They cited softer than expected theater attendance and slightly weaker projected revenue, while still expecting profitability to remain within prior guidance ranges.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 24

NCMI: Data Partnership And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their consolidated price target on National CineMedia by $1 to reflect recent target cuts from $7 to $6. They cited softer-than-expected theater attendance and the potential for Q4 revenue to come in modestly below prior expectations, while still remaining within guidance on profitability.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 10

NCMI: Data Partnership And Profitability Discipline Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on National CineMedia Analysts have trimmed their price targets on National CineMedia, with the modeled fair value edging from US$5.75 to US$5.50 as they factor in expectations for softer Q4 attendance, slightly weaker revenue within guidance, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on National CineMedia reflect a more cautious tone, with price targets eased lower as analysts recalibrate their assumptions for Q4 attendance, revenue, and the appropriate P/E multiple.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 06

Programmatic Pressure And Soft Local Advertising Will Challenge Cinema Ads Yet Leave Upside Potential

Catalysts About National CineMedia National CineMedia sells cinema advertising across a large U.S. theater network, connecting brands with moviegoing audiences. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 27

NCMI: Profitability Resilience And Data Partnership Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on National CineMedia by $0.25 to $5.75, citing slightly softer revenue expectations tied to weaker theater attendance. They still see profitability tracking within prior guidance.
新しいナラティブ • Jan 23

Programmatic Expansion And Premium Cinema Formats Will Transform Long Term Advertising Potential

Catalysts About National CineMedia National CineMedia sells cinema advertising across a large theater network, connecting brands with moviegoers before and around feature films. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 12

NCMI: Profitability Discipline And Data Partnership Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update on National CineMedia Analysts have reduced their 12 month price target on National CineMedia to $6.00 from $7.00, citing expectations for Q4 revenue to come in modestly below earlier views while remaining within the guided profitability range. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary points to a mixed setup for National CineMedia, with optimism around profitability discipline and caution around near term revenue pressure tied to attendance trends.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 26

National CineMedia: Difficulties In Recovery

Summary National CineMedia remains a hold as recovery from the pandemic is slow, with stagnant stock price and weak financial health despite recent debt elimination. Exclusive partnerships with major theater chains and upcoming blockbuster releases could drive revenue growth in 2025 and 2026. Risks include heavy dependence on cinema attendance, competition from streaming, and potential delisting if the stock price falls further. While industry catalysts exist, current margins and EV/EBITDA multiples suggest limited near-term upside; patience is warranted before considering a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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新しいナラティブ • Sep 24

Risky Reliance On Blockbusters And Franchise Titles Threatens Sustainable Growth

Reliance on blockbuster hits for box office success is risky as audience preferences change and streaming competition rises.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 11

National CineMedia: 2024 Looks Like A Write-Off

Summary National CineMedia emerged from bankruptcy in 2023 with a clean balance sheet but weak business fundamentals. The company's guidance for Q2/2024 suggests 2024 will be a major down year compared to 2023 for NCMI's ad business. The main issue is a weak film slate, which is outside of NCMI's control. Investors looking for an industry rebound in 2025 may find better value in beaten-down theater chains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 15

National CineMedia: Starting With A Clean Slate

Summary As expected, National CineMedia filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and restructured debts. Post restructuring, NCMI looks to be on much sounder footing, as the company's adj. OIBDA was positive with no debt. However, at 9.1x EV/EBITDA, I believe NCMI is currently properly valued relative to its theater chain peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 23

National CineMedia creditors tap banker to examine options for debt - Bloomberg

A lender group of in-theater advertising name National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) has hired Centerview Partners to explore options, Bloomberg reports, amid an environment of movie-theater uncertainty and some approaching debt maturities. NCMI reported some bounceback revenues of $67M in the second quarter vs. an easy COVID-19 pandemic comparison. But it has about $73M in cash and equivalents against more than $900M in long-term debt at last report - and the domestic box office is in the midst of a lengthy lull in new offerings. The company has revolving credit due in June, and Standard & Poor's estimates that debt will be about 14 times earnings this year. Meanwhile, Bloomberg notes NCMI's first-lien term loan due 2025 is quoting around 73 cents on the dollar, down from 81 cents as of Aug. 8.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 25

National CineMedia engages iSpot to enhance ad reporting

In-theater advertising company National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) is tapping TV measurement company iSpot to enhance its value to advertisers through better reach reporting. Bringing in iSpot's currency grade ad catalog and verification, National CineMedia can report on incremental reach that advertising brings brand and studio customers in addition to linear TV. NCM will also offer more comprehensive reach, frequency, attribution, and tune-in reporting for client campaigns thanks to iSpot's integration through Neustar identity resolution. “NCM’s integration with iSpot further delivers on our mission to provide our partners the ability to plan and buy premium inventory in a unified manner across all screens, including the coveted big screen," NCM's Manu Singh said.
分析記事 • Aug 12

National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) Is Reducing Its Dividend To $0.03

National CineMedia, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NCMI ) has announced that on 6th of September, it will be paying a dividend of$0.03...
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07

National CineMedia Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) is scheduled to announce Q2 earnings results on Monday, August 8th, after market close. The consensus EPS Estimate is -$0.07 and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $65M (+364.3% Y/Y). Over the last 2 years, NCMI has beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 63% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 0 upward revisions and 2 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 3 downward.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 06

National CineMedia: A Dividend Trap In A Recovering Industry

NCMI was hit just as hard as theaters during covid, as theaters open, it should return to profitability eventually. Pre covid, this was a decent business with flat revenue but high debt plus dividend heavy policy added risk. Share prices currently offer an almost 10% dividend yield, but this is a classic dividend trap in my view.
分析記事 • May 13

National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

National CineMedia, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:NCMI ) dividend is being reduced to US$0.03 on the 7th of June. The dividend yield...

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:NCMI - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20282962160682
12/31/20272771444524
12/31/2026262-361674
4/2/2026242-81521N/A
1/1/2026243-1138N/A
9/25/2025236-152431N/A
6/26/2025235-202430N/A
3/27/2025238-183742N/A
12/26/2024241-225560N/A
9/26/2024245-234045N/A
6/27/20242081621621N/A
3/28/202416871637N/A
12/28/2023165705-10-7N/A
9/28/2023166688-35-33N/A
6/29/2023196497-5-2N/A
3/30/2023248-49-16-13N/A
12/29/2022249-29-50-47N/A
9/29/2022221-26-43-39N/A
6/30/2022198-32-78-74N/A
3/31/2022145-54-98-94N/A
12/30/2021115-49-101-95N/A
9/30/202167-92-128-123N/A
7/1/202141-90-119-114N/A
4/1/202131-81-34-28N/A
12/31/202090-654755N/A
9/24/2020222-11105116N/A
6/25/202032611179192N/A
3/26/202043334N/A156N/A
12/26/201944536N/A144N/A
9/26/201943533N/A145N/A
6/27/201943535N/A143N/A
3/28/201943831N/A147N/A
12/27/201844130N/A150N/A
9/27/201844554N/A154N/A
6/28/201845157N/A137N/A
3/29/201843458N/A131N/A
12/28/201742658N/A139N/A
9/28/201742827N/A147N/A
6/29/201742522N/A156N/A
3/30/201744323N/A167N/A
12/29/201644833N/A134N/A
9/29/201644217N/A134N/A
6/30/201644017N/A141N/A
3/31/201644620N/A129N/A
12/31/201544711N/A105N/A
10/1/201543317N/A93N/A
7/2/201542214N/A92N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: NCMIは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。

収益対市場: NCMI今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。

高成長収益: NCMI今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。

収益対市場: NCMIの収益 ( 7% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: NCMIの収益 ( 7% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: NCMIの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/20 18:27
終値2026/05/20 00:00
収益2026/04/02
年間収益2026/01/01

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

National CineMedia, Inc. 4 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。13

アナリスト機関
Anthony DiClementeBarclays
Patrick ShollBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Michael HickeyBenchmark Company