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Hello Group Inc.NasdaqGS:MOMO 株式レポート

時価総額 US$904.2m
株価
US$6.07
US$8.58
29.3% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y-1.3%
7D-0.7%
ポートフォリオ価値
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Hello Group Inc.

NasdaqGS:MOMO 株式レポート

時価総額:US$904.2m

Hello Group(MOMO)株式概要

Hello Group Inc.は、中華人民共和国および海外でモバイルベースのソーシャル・エンターテインメント・サービスを提供している。 詳細

MOMO ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価6/6
将来の成長1/6
過去の実績2/6
財務の健全性6/6
配当金3/6

MOMO Community Fair Values

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See what 21 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Hello Group Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Hello Group
過去の株価
現在の株価US$6.07
52週高値US$9.22
52週安値US$5.69
ベータ0.57
1ヶ月の変化-5.16%
3ヶ月変化-5.30%
1年変化-1.30%
3年間の変化-28.67%
5年間の変化-56.55%
IPOからの変化-64.34%

最新ニュース

ナラティブの更新 May 04

MOMO: Future Shareholder Returns Will Be Driven By Buybacks And Cash Dividend

Analysts have kept their $8.58 fair value estimate for Hello Group broadly unchanged, making only marginal tweaks to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. This reflects a largely steady view of the stock's risk and earnings profile.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 20

MOMO: Future Shareholder Returns Will Be Driven By Buybacks And Special Dividend

Analysts have adjusted the Hello Group price target slightly, with the updated fair value now at $8.58. This change reflects modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 06

MOMO: Shareholder Returns Through Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hello Group to $8.58 from $8.64, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Hello Group declared a special cash dividend of US$0.28 per ADS, or US$0.14 per ordinary share.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 23

MOMO: Share Repurchases And Special Dividend Will Support Future Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Hello Group to $8.64 from $8.77, reflecting updated views on revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Hello Group's board declared a special cash dividend of US$0.28 per ADS, or US$0.14 per ordinary share.

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 May 04

MOMO: Future Shareholder Returns Will Be Driven By Buybacks And Cash Dividend

Analysts have kept their $8.58 fair value estimate for Hello Group broadly unchanged, making only marginal tweaks to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. This reflects a largely steady view of the stock's risk and earnings profile.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 20

MOMO: Future Shareholder Returns Will Be Driven By Buybacks And Special Dividend

Analysts have adjusted the Hello Group price target slightly, with the updated fair value now at $8.58. This change reflects modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 06

MOMO: Shareholder Returns Through Buybacks And Special Dividend Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hello Group to $8.58 from $8.64, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Hello Group declared a special cash dividend of US$0.28 per ADS, or US$0.14 per ordinary share.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 23

MOMO: Share Repurchases And Special Dividend Will Support Future Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Hello Group to $8.64 from $8.77, reflecting updated views on revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Hello Group's board declared a special cash dividend of US$0.28 per ADS, or US$0.14 per ordinary share.
Seeking Alpha Mar 19

Hello Group: Searing Overseas Growth Likely To Maintain 'Higher Lows' Trend

Summary Hello Group Inc. remains rated 'Hold' following our prior review in December. Key investment thesis centers on maintaining a neutral stance amid current operational and market dynamics. We assess MOMO's recent performance and strategic positioning without recommending a change in rating. Current valuation and risk profile do not warrant an upgrade at present, but EPS revisions and resulting technical trends may change this dynamic. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Mar 09

MOMO: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Support Future Earnings Power

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Hello Group to $11.59, reflecting small tweaks to assumptions around the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Hello Group completed a share repurchase of 5,800,000 shares between April 1, 2025 and December 10, 2025, equal to 3.61% of its shares, for US$41.3 million under its existing buyback program (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 Feb 22

MOMO: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Support Future Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their price target for Hello Group to $11.59 from $11.36, reflecting updated assumptions around a slightly higher profit margin and modestly adjusted revenue growth and P/E expectations. What's in the News Hello Group completed a share repurchase of 5,800,000 shares between April 1, 2025 and December 10, 2025, equivalent to 3.61% of the company, for US$41.3 million, as part of its ongoing buyback program (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 Feb 08

MOMO: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Earnings Power And Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Hello Group by about $0.78 per share to $11.36, citing slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Hello Group repurchased 5,800,000 shares between April 1, 2025 and December 10, 2025, representing 3.61% of its shares for US$41.3 million, as part of its existing buyback program.
分析記事 Feb 04

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) Earnings

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may...
ナラティブの更新 Jan 25

MOMO: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Value Despite Softer Revenue Outlook

Narrative Update: Hello Group Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Hello Group from US$9.68 to US$8.77. They now assume lower revenue growth, a slightly tighter profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E multiple, alongside a modestly adjusted discount rate.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 11

MOMO: Weaker Revenue Outlook Will Likely Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Hello Group by applying a slightly higher discount rate, along with modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This has resulted in a lower implied valuation per share in currency terms than previously estimated.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 26

MOMO: Future Profit Margin Pressure Will Likely Weigh On Shares

Analysts have lowered their price target on Hello Group from approximately $7.45 to $5.76, citing softer revenue growth expectations, a reduced profit margin outlook, and a slightly lower perceived risk profile that is only partially offset by a higher anticipated future price-to-earnings multiple. What's in the News Hello Group issued fourth quarter 2025 guidance, projecting total net revenues of RMB 2.52 billion to RMB 2.62 billion, a decline of 4.4% to 0.6% year over year (Company guidance) Hello Soju, a Hello Group brand, launched its first premium soju spirit, a small batch, rice based product distilled using traditional Korean methods and positioned for the U.S. cocktail market (Product announcement) The new Hello Soju Premium Soju Spirit, bottled in a 700 mL black ombre bottle with a gold phoenix design, is available for pre order from October 1, 2025.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 12

MOMO: Higher Future Margins Will Support A Stronger Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hello Group by approximately $0.93. This reflects expectations for slower revenue growth, partially offset by improving profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate.
分析記事 Sep 12

Hello Group Inc. Just Missed Earnings With A Surprise Loss - Here Are Analysts Latest Forecasts

Shareholders might have noticed that Hello Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:MOMO ) filed its quarterly result this time last week...
分析記事 Jul 22

A Look At The Fair Value Of Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOMO)

Key Insights Hello Group's estimated fair value is US$10.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
分析記事 Jul 09

Be Wary Of Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) And Its Returns On Capital

What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? When we see a declining return...
分析記事 Apr 24

There Is A Reason Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) Price Is Undemanding

Hello Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MOMO ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.5x might make it look like a strong buy...
分析記事 Apr 04

Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase...
Seeking Alpha Mar 14

Paid Users Are Down, But Hello Group Still Looks Like A Value Darling

Summary Hello Group missed EPS estimates but beat revenue estimates in Q4; concerns about declining subscribers and revenue persist, yet the low P/E ratio remains attractive. Paid user base for Momo and TanTan is declining, but strategic cuts in spending on low ROI users aim to improve profitability. Despite revenue declines, MOMO is debt-free with strong cash flow, engaging in share buybacks and offering a 4.2% dividend yield. International growth, especially with SoulChill in the Middle East, shows promise; diversification away from China could mitigate revenue decline risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Mar 13

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOMO)

Key Insights Hello Group's estimated fair value is US$7.59 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Hello Group's...
Seeking Alpha Feb 22

Hello Group: Core Business In Gradual Decline

Summary Hello Group's stock has risen 31%, but fundamental issues persist, leading to a gradual business decline despite outperforming the S&P500. The company faces a shrinking user base and revenue loss, particularly in its core apps, MOMO and Tantan, since 2019. Management's focus on protecting profits over investing in growth limits long-term viability, despite short-term dividend payouts. Hello Group's cheap valuation reflects its negative outlook, making it a potential value trap with uncertain long-term prospects. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 23

Massive Growing Market, And Why Hello Group Is A Buy

Summary MOMO, operating in China's massive social media market, is undervalued with strong EBITDA and net income margins despite recent revenue declines and user base reductions. The company has restructured, reducing headcount and marketing expenses, and is well-positioned to benefit from China's growing online dating market. MOMO's financials show positive cash flow and significant investments in capital expenditures, indicating confidence in future performance and potential for stock repurchase programs. Despite short-term challenges and potential regulatory risks, MOMO's long-term growth prospects and current undervaluation make it a compelling buy at the current price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 23

From Swipe Right To Bottom Line: Hello Group's Contrarian Gamble

Summary Hello Group Inc. shows mixed earnings with modest growth, but faces challenges in core business and shareholder returns. Despite a 41% growth in new apps, total revenue declined by 12% year-over-year, with significant drops in Momo and TanTan user numbers and revenue. Financially stable with RMB14.78 billion in cash and low debt, but shrinking gross margins and negative free cash flow raise concerns about long-term sustainability. Valuation is attractive with a P/E ratio of 8.79x, but fundamental revenue streams are squeezed, making the near-term outlook uncertain and speculative. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
新しいナラティブ Dec 15

Momo And Tantan's New Features And MENA Expansion Will Transform Revenue Growth And Boost Earnings

Focus on monetizing users and adding features to Momo and Tantan to stabilize revenue and grow user base.
分析記事 Dec 03

Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may...
分析記事 Nov 12

Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
分析記事 Oct 16

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Is Using Debt Safely

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Seeking Alpha Sep 24

Hello Group: Undervalued With Expertise In App Development Makes It Attractive

Summary MOMO is significantly undervalued compared to peers, with a P/E ratio of 5x TTM Non-GAAP earnings and 2x TTM EBITDA, indicating a strong buy opportunity. Hello Group’s expertise in app development and its presence in China’s massive market offer substantial growth potential, especially with new applications and immersive experiences. The stock repurchase program, recently upsized, suggests confidence from directors and could drive stock price appreciation through increased demand. Risks include the jurisdiction of incorporation in the Cayman Islands, operational challenges in China, and potential regulatory changes affecting data privacy and cybersecurity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Aug 27

Investors Aren't Buying Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) Earnings

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...
Seeking Alpha Aug 23

With Low P/E, Hello Group Still Shows Value Potential

Summary Hello Group is a China-based social media company with popular apps like Momo and TanTan, generating significant cash flow and boasting a strong balance sheet. Despite concerns about lack of growth and inconsistent dividends, Hello Group's stock is trading below book value and at single-digit P/E ratios, making it a potential value play. Investors should keep an eye on interest rates, currency risks, and geopolitical tensions when considering investing in Hello Group, but the company's potential for growth and profitability make it a buy at current prices. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Aug 05

Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
分析記事 Jul 13

Does Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha May 29

Hello Group Q1 Earnings: Weak Guidance Has Been Priced In

Summary Hello Group is expecting its top-line contraction in RMB terms to worsen from -9.2% YoY in Q1 2024 to -13.9% YoY for Q2 2024 as per its guidance. Hello Group's current valuations are undemanding, as the stock's forward P/E and EV/Sales multiples are low on both absolute and relative terms. I have a Hold rating for MOMO, as the stock's valuations have factored in its poor second quarter revenue guidance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 May 03

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO)

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...
分析記事 Apr 08

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Is Using Debt Safely

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Hello Group Stock: Seems Cheap, But Lacks Growth Opportunities

Summary Hello Group's investment thesis is being reconsidered due to a decline in users and revenues, impacting future dividends. Both MOMO and Tantan apps are losing users, with Tantan being a loss-making acquisition. Cutting marketing expenses has led to a decline in revenues, and capital allocation and corporate governance issues are a concern. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 15

Uncovering The Hidden Potential Of Hello Group

Summary Hello Group's cost-cutting initiatives are working miracles for earnings. Top-line growth will likely stabilize due to new apps gaining traction and the potential revamp of Tantan. Management can repurchase shares to drive EPS growth despite declines in revenue. Shares are a buy with a price target of $10. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 Feb 11

Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

Hello Group Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MOMO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now...

株主還元

MOMOUS Interactive Media and ServicesUS 市場
7D-0.7%-0.01%-1.0%
1Y-1.3%69.5%23.3%

業界別リターン: MOMO過去 1 年間で69.5 % の収益を上げたUS Interactive Media and Services業界を下回りました。

リターン対市場: MOMOは、過去 1 年間で23.3 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is MOMO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
MOMO volatility
MOMO Average Weekly Movement4.4%
Interactive Media and Services Industry Average Movement8.7%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

安定した株価: MOMO 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: MOMOの 週次ボラティリティ ( 4% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
20111,390Yan Tangir.hellogroup.com

ハローグループは、中華人民共和国および海外でモバイルベースのソーシャル・エンターテインメント・サービスを提供している。同社は3つのセグメントで事業を展開している:モモ」、「タンタン」、「QOOL」。同社は、人々を結びつけ、場所や興味に基づいた社会的交流を促進するモバイル・アプリケーション「モモ」や、ライブ・タレント・ショー、ショート・ビデオ、その他オンライン・パーティー、モバイル・カラオケ、ユーザー参加型リアリティ・ショーなど、ビデオや音声ベースのインタラクティブな体験を含む様々なオンライン・レクリエーション活動、ソーシャル・ソーシャル・デート・アプリケーション「タンタン」、その他「ハーツ」、「ソウルチル」、「ハップン」、「ドゥイドゥイ」の名称でアプリケーションを提供している。また、タレント・ショー、ショート・ビデオ、オンライン・パーティー、モバイル・カラオケ、ユーザー参加型リアリティ・ショーなど、ビデオや音声ベースのインタラクティブ体験からなる様々なコンテンツや活動のためのライブ・ビデオ・サービス、放送局や視聴者、付加価値サービス、広告・マーケティング・ソリューション、モバイル・ゲームなども提供している。同社は以前は株式会社モモとして知られていたが、2021年8月に株式会社ハローグループに社名変更した。ハローグループは2011年に設立され、中華人民共和国の北京に本社を置いている。

Hello Group Inc. 基礎のまとめ

Hello Group の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
MOMO 基礎統計学
時価総額US$904.21m
収益(TTM)US$117.99m
売上高(TTM)US$1.52b
7.6x
PER(株価収益率
0.6x
P/Sレシオ

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
MOMO 損益計算書(TTM)
収益CN¥10.37b
売上原価CN¥6.45b
売上総利益CN¥3.92b
その他の費用CN¥3.12b
収益CN¥804.01m

直近の収益報告

Dec 31, 2025

次回決算日

Jun 02, 2026

一株当たり利益(EPS)5.44
グロス・マージン37.82%
純利益率7.76%
有利子負債/自己資本比率0.05%

MOMO の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

配当金

4.6%
現在の配当利回り
n/a
配当性向

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/19 17:09
終値2026/05/19 00:00
収益2025/12/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Hello Group Inc. 7 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。19

アナリスト機関
Yanfang JiangBenchmark Company
Lei ZhangBofA Global Research
Xueqing ZhangChina International Capital Corporation Limited