Criteo S.A.

NasdaqGS:CRTO 株式レポート

時価総額：US$959.8m

Criteo 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

Criteoの収益と利益は、それぞれ年間11.6%と4%減少すると予測されています。EPS は年間2.6%で 減少すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に14.4%になると予測されています。

主要情報

-4.0%

収益成長率

-2.56%

EPS成長率

Media 収益成長31.5%
収益成長率-11.6%
将来の株主資本利益率14.41%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日29 Apr 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

CRTO: Future Share Repurchases And AI Commerce Data Partnerships May Support Repricing

Criteo's analyst price target has been reduced by $1.00 as analysts update their views in light of recent Street research that includes several lowered targets from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of lower price targets for Criteo, including changes from firms such as JPMorgan and several other brokerages.

CRTO: GenAI Commerce Partnerships And Buybacks Will Support Multiple Re Rating

Analysts have trimmed their average Criteo price targets by a mid single digit dollar amount, with cuts ranging from $1 to $12, as they factor in sector wide concerns around smaller ad platforms and compare the company with peers tied more directly to GenAI and GPU related themes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a more cautious stance on Criteo, with several price target trims clustered around concerns about smaller ad platforms and investor focus on GenAI and GPU related themes.

Criteo is a profitable, cash-generative commerce data platform trading at or below its liquidation value, with Retail Media re-acceleration

Investment Thesis The stock trades near or below the bear-case DCF intrinsic value (~$33), meaning you are paying for a business in secular decline and getting the Retail Media growth optionality largely for free Retail Media’s underlying CexT grew 16% in 2025 ex-scope changes; as the $75M headwind anniversaries in late 2026, reported growth should re-accelerate and likely re-rate the multiple Management has retired ~$871M in shares since 2018 and continues buying at ~$28/share, compounding per-share value even if aggregate FCF is flat The Luxembourg redomiciliation removes the primary structural barrier to acquisition; at $35–42/share a takeout is both fair to shareholders and strategically rational for a PE buyer or holding company The commerce data asset — 5B SKUs, $1T+ in observed transactions, 90% client retention — is 20 years in the making and cannot be replicated quickly by any credible acquirer or competitor Risk Considerations A single large retailer reducing scope cost $75M in annual revenue; the top-10 clients represent ~20% of revenue, making the thesis vulnerable to one or two more relationship deteriorations Performance Media (~$915M of CexT) faces structural headwinds from walled garden dominance and potential client in-housing; if it declines faster than Retail Media grows, total CexT could shrink rather than stabilize 2026 capex steps up to ~$175M (from $101M in 2025) for data center renewal, compressing near-term FCF to ~$130–150M and limiting the buyback pace precisely when the stock may be cheapest Criteo’s independence is its value proposition to retailers — any acquisition by a strategic player that competes with retailers (Amazon, Walmart, Google) would trigger customer attrition and destroy the core asset it was purchased for Agentic commerce (MCP, conversational shopping) is the growth narrative but is pre-revenue and depends on AI assistant providers adopting Criteo’s APIs rather than building their own commerce data layers​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

CRTO: GenAI Commerce And Buybacks Will Offset Lower Multiple Concerns

Criteo's updated analyst price target has moved lower from $35.75 to about $29.95 as analysts factor in softer profit margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple following a series of Street target cuts across major firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on Criteo has clustered around lower price targets, with several firms trimming their numbers by single digit dollar amounts and a few cutting targets by double digits.

CRTO: Future Returns Will Hinge On AI Commerce And Margin Execution

Our updated analyst price target for Criteo moves to $18 from $25, reflecting a series of recent target cuts across the Street as analysts factor in softer profit margin assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and lower future P/E expectations, even as they model less steep revenue contraction than before. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Criteo has leaned cautious, with a series of price target reductions across multiple firms.

CRTO: Future Share Repurchases And Commerce Data May Support Repricing

Analysts have reduced their price target on Criteo from $51.00 to $43.00. The change reflects updated views that factor in slightly softer revenue and margin assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, and a series of Street target cuts across multiple firms.

CRTO: GenAI Commerce Efforts And Buybacks Will Support Upside Through 2026

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Criteo to about US$34 from US$36, reflecting a cautious view on smaller ad platforms as investors focus more on companies tied to GenAI or GPU enabled returns on capital. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on Criteo, with the price target adjusted to US$34.

CRTO: Retail Media Progress And Buybacks Will Support Upside Beyond 2026

Our updated fair value estimate for Criteo nudges down slightly from US$35.92 to US$35.75 per share. This reflects a blend of cautious analyst price target revisions around retail media growth, slower client ramp ups into Q4, and differing views on how smaller ad platforms will be valued relative to larger GenAI and GPU focused peers.

CRTO: Retail Media Execution And Buybacks Will Support Upside Through 2026

Narrative Update on Criteo Analysts recently nudged their price targets on Criteo higher, with one moving to US$29 from US$27 and another to US$42 from US$41. They cited solid Q3 results, strength in retail media, and performance ahead of expectations for net revenue and EBITDA, despite softer Q4 guidance tied to slower client ramp timing.

Criteo: Amazon Risks Are Real, But Cheap Multiples Warrant A Buy

Dec 17

CRTO: Retail Media Momentum Will Drive Share Upside Through 2026

Analysts modestly raised their price targets on Criteo, with recent moves to about $29 and $42 per share, citing solid Q3 results, continued retail media growth, and supportive read throughs from broader ad tech M&A, despite near term softness in Q4 guidance. Analyst Commentary Street research following the Q3 print reflects a generally constructive stance on Criteo, with moderate target price increases and a focus on the durability of its retail media growth, tempered by near term execution risks.

CRTO: Ongoing Retail Media Momentum Will Drive Share Upside Into 2026

Analysts have raised their price targets on Criteo shares, with some increasing estimates by $1 to $2. They cite solid third quarter results and ongoing momentum in retail media, although the outlook for the fourth quarter is lighter.

CRTO: Retail Media Expansion Will Drive Upside Despite Near-Term Headwinds

Analysts have modestly raised their price targets for Criteo, with increases ranging from $2 to $1 per share. They cite the company's solid third-quarter performance and continued progress in retail media, despite a lighter Q4 outlook.

CRTO: Share Repurchases And Retail Media Partnerships Will Drive Outperformance Ahead

Analysts have adjusted their average price target for Criteo downward from $38.17 to $35.92. This change is attributed to solid recent results; however, it is offset by lighter guidance and slower-than-expected client growth, which is impacting near-term retail media performance.

Earnings Working Against Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Share Price Following 27% Dive

May 28
Earnings Working Against Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Share Price Following 27% Dive

Does Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

May 04
Does Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Is Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) A Risky Investment?

Apr 15
Is Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) A Risky Investment?

Criteo: Steady Growth With Retail Media Potential

Mar 13

Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

Mar 05
Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

We Like The Quality Of Criteo's (NASDAQ:CRTO) Earnings

Feb 15
We Like The Quality Of Criteo's (NASDAQ:CRTO) Earnings

Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Jan 10
Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Criteo S.A.: Still Worth Investing In

Dec 18

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Nov 15
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Getting In Cheap On Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Unlikely

Oct 28
Getting In Cheap On Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Unlikely

These 4 Measures Indicate That Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Using Debt Safely

Oct 10
These 4 Measures Indicate That Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Is Using Debt Safely
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Decisive Partnerships And AI Propel Growth Amid Challenges

Enhanced advertising capabilities due to Google's revised cookie policy and partnerships with companies like Microsoft could improve Criteo's revenue and market position.

Criteo: Riding Retail Media Advertising Tailwinds

Aug 21

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Aug 11
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) With Shares Advancing 26%

Jul 24
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO) With Shares Advancing 26%

We Discuss Why Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Jun 19
We Discuss Why Criteo S.A.'s (NASDAQ:CRTO) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Criteo: Good Momentum, But Still Undervalued

May 17

We Think Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

May 08
We Think Criteo (NASDAQ:CRTO) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Is There Now An Opportunity In Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

Apr 17
Is There Now An Opportunity In Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ:CRTO)?

業績と収益の成長予測

NasdaqGS:CRTO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20281,314124242N/A5
12/31/20271,24913420234710
12/31/20261,18512713733910
12/31/20251,945145208311N/A
9/30/20251,957168221320N/A
6/30/20251,946137193288N/A
3/31/20251,935142225306N/A
12/31/20241,933112180258N/A
9/30/20241,947101158250N/A
6/30/20241,957102122212N/A
3/31/20241,95472104196N/A
12/31/20231,94953108224N/A
9/30/20231,948875188N/A
6/30/20231,925797210N/A
3/31/20231,951-23112223N/A
12/31/20222,0179192256N/A
9/30/20222,10667137197N/A
6/30/20222,16884146206N/A
3/31/20222,224133165218N/A
12/31/20212,254134166221N/A
9/30/20212,262106144199N/A
6/30/20212,22488145199N/A
3/31/20212,11079138206N/A
12/31/20202,07372118185N/A
9/30/20202,06468130201N/A
6/30/20202,11682111193N/A
3/31/20202,20787132212N/A
12/31/20192,26291140223N/A
9/30/20192,27987N/A249N/A
6/30/20192,28585N/A256N/A
3/31/20192,29488N/A243N/A
12/31/20182,30089N/A261N/A
9/30/20182,304104N/A254N/A
6/30/20182,339106N/A266N/A
3/31/20182,34499N/A286N/A
12/31/20172,29791N/A245N/A
9/30/20172,18978N/A238N/A
6/30/20172,04971N/A220N/A
3/31/20171,91578N/A179N/A
12/31/20161,79982N/A153N/A
9/30/20161,62981N/A149N/A
6/30/20161,53872N/A122N/A
3/31/20161,43064N/A115N/A
12/31/20151,32360N/A137N/A
9/30/20151,34348N/A133N/A
6/30/20151,22856N/A144N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: CRTOの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-4% )。

収益対市場: CRTOの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-4% )。

高成長収益: CRTOの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています。

収益対市場: CRTOの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予想されています (年間-11.6% )。

高い収益成長: CRTOの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-11.6% )。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: CRTOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 14.4 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/05 18:39
終値2026/05/05 00:00
収益2025/12/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Criteo S.A. 10 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。30

アナリスト機関
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
Mark ZgutowiczBenchmark Company