Rio Tinto Group

NYSE:RIO 株式レポート

時価総額：US$179.1b

Rio Tinto Group 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

Rio Tinto Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間6.9%と2.9%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に18% 4.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

6.9%

収益成長率

4.73%

EPS成長率

Metals and Mining 収益成長14.2%
収益成長率2.9%
将来の株主資本利益率17.98%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日07 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 02

Rio Tinto: Strong Operations, But Priced For Perfection Amid Rising Execution Risk

Summary Production was broadly in line with or ahead of expectations, yet achieving full-year guidance requires sustained elevated run rates at Pilbara, concentrating execution risk in the remaining quarters. Rising diesel, FX, and input costs are pushing margins toward the high end of guidance, while sell-side estimates are starting to move lower on weaker volumes and higher operating expenses. Despite supportive commodity prices, the stock appears priced to perfection, even accounting for a higher EV/EBITDA. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 27

Rio Tinto Vs. Vale: Inventory Doesn't Lie

Summary Since my last analysis, new tariffs announced by President Trump have added additional – and large – uncertainties to mining stocks. I expect high tariffs to disrupt global trade flows, decrease demand for basic metals, and increase operational costs for both RIO and VALE. As a reflection of these macroscopic pressures, the latest data show that both companies are experiencing elevated inventory. The inventory build up is even more concerning in the case of VALE. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 14

Rio Tinto: Debt Before Dividend

Summary Rio Tinto is diversifying from iron ore to copper and lithium to mitigate risks and capitalize on electrification, but this requires significant capital and increased debt. Iron ore's diminishing returns and reliance on China pose risks, leading to expected dividend reductions to service debt and fund diversification. I will hold Rio Tinto stock long-term, but won't reinvest dividends now, anticipating further stock price decline and lower dividends amidst diversification efforts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30

Rio Tinto: Underappreciated Copper Growth

Summary Rio Tinto has a supportive copper growth ahead, excluding M&A. China's economic activity started in 2025 with solid momentum. This will provide solid results on the iron ore EBITDA. A solid balance sheet, supportive shareholders' remuneration, and upside on critical metals make Rio Tinto a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 12

Rio Tinto Has A Nice Blend Of Commodities At A Reasonable Price

Summary Rio Tinto's diversified portfolio, including its recent lithium acquisition, aims to reduce reliance on iron ore amid fluctuating Chinese demand and market dynamics. Despite low valuation metrics, Rio Tinto boasts strong profitability with a 20.25% ROE and a 6.45% dividend yield, appealing to income investors. The $6.7B Arcadium Lithium acquisition positions Rio Tinto as a top lithium producer, leveraging low market prices for future growth. Risks include heavy dependence on iron ore and the Chinese market, which could impact operations if market conditions remain unstable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 23

Rio Tinto: Financial Weakness To Continue In 2025

Summary Rio Tinto's 2024 performance was weak, with a 1% decline in sales revenue and an 8% drop in underlying EPS due to challenges with its chief commodity, iron ore. The financial outlook for 2025 isn't positive either, with projected declines in revenue and EPS, and continued weakness in iron ore prices and limited expected change to production. Dividends can drop again in 2025, though the forward yield still isn't too bad at 5.5%. Despite high market multiples and unlikely price gains, RIO's consistent dividends still encourage a Hold rating on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 01

Rio Tinto: China's Economic Stimulus Is Failing To Save Iron And Copper

Summary Iron ore prices have fallen 22% in 2024 due to weaker demand from China, significantly impacting Rio Tinto's profit outlook. China's collapsing property market, driven by a massive bubble, poses a severe risk to Rio Tinto's iron ore sales and global metal prices. Despite efforts to diversify into other metals like lithium, Rio Tinto's profits are highly sensitive to declines in iron ore and copper prices. Due to China's economic crisis, I expect a significant and lasting decline in Rio Tinto's EBITDA, around 30-50%, making RIO a risky investment. China's recent stimulus efforts have likely slowed or delayed the impact of the property market crisis, but I expect commodity price pressures to return in early 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Rio Tinto: Depressed Environment, Still A Buy

Summary The acquisition of Arcadium Lithium, despite a high valuation, positions Rio Tinto as a top lithium producer, enhancing long-term growth and maintaining a stable dividend payout. Q3 2024 production results were aligned with guidance, except for the Iron Ore Company of Canada segment, which saw reduced output due to operational issues. Unchanged guidance and a depressed valuation make Rio Tinto a Buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 08

Update On Rio Tinto Before Earnings

Summary RIO shares are undervalued compared to competitors, offering a compelling buy opportunity, especially with potential price declines post earnings on Oct. 15. Despite a 10.8% share price drop in 2024, RIO remains a leading mining company with diverse capabilities and a strong market position. RIO's potential acquisition of a lithium producer at low prices could be highly accretive if lithium prices recover, enhancing its market position. The 6.55% dividend yield is attractive, though dividend safety is a concern. However, higher metal prices should boost earnings and support dividends. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:RIO - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202866,48214,20213,93622,54517
12/31/202764,13114,13511,44921,23119
12/31/202663,13613,80710,03119,58218
12/31/202557,6389,9664,49716,832N/A
9/30/202555,68410,1194,81416,150N/A
6/30/202553,72910,2725,13015,467N/A
3/31/202553,69410,9125,55415,533N/A
12/31/202453,65811,5525,97815,599N/A
9/30/202453,91711,1516,55815,420N/A
6/30/202454,17610,7497,13815,241N/A
3/31/202454,10910,4047,60615,201N/A
12/31/202354,04110,0588,07415,160N/A
9/30/202353,2449,3127,05213,898N/A
6/30/202352,4468,5666,03012,635N/A
3/31/202354,00010,4797,70714,385N/A
12/31/202255,55412,3929,38416,134N/A
9/30/202257,87115,07912,17419,146N/A
6/30/202260,18717,72414,96422,158N/A
3/31/202261,84119,40916,46323,752N/A
12/31/202163,49521,11517,96125,345N/A
9/30/202160,91419,93017,51924,627N/A
6/30/202158,33218,76617,07623,908N/A
3/31/202151,47214,26813,38119,892N/A
12/31/202044,6119,7699,68615,875N/A
9/30/202043,2088,4839,02415,013N/A
6/30/202041,8057,1968,36114,151N/A
3/31/202042,4857,6038,89314,532N/A
12/31/201943,1658,0109,42414,912N/A
9/30/201942,24810,699N/A13,947N/A
6/30/201941,33013,388N/A12,982N/A
3/31/201940,92613,513N/A12,402N/A
12/31/201840,52213,638N/A11,821N/A
9/30/201840,57411,738N/A12,314N/A
6/30/201840,6259,837N/A12,806N/A
3/31/201840,3289,300N/A13,345N/A
12/31/201740,0308,762N/A13,884N/A
9/30/201738,8157,486N/A12,708N/A
6/30/201737,6006,209N/A11,531N/A
3/31/201735,6915,413N/A9,998N/A
12/31/201633,7814,617N/A8,465N/A
9/30/201633,0652,329N/A8,327N/A
6/30/201632,34941N/A8,188N/A
3/31/201633,589-412N/A8,786N/A
12/31/201534,829-866N/A9,383N/A
9/30/201538,0681,033N/A11,324N/A
6/30/201541,3072,931N/A13,265N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: RIOの予測収益成長率 (年間6.9% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: RIOの収益 ( 6.9% ) US市場 ( 16.4% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: RIOの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: RIOの収益 ( 2.9% ) US市場 ( 11.4% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: RIOの収益 ( 2.9% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: RIOの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 18 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/07 04:56
終値2026/05/07 00:00
収益2025/12/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Rio Tinto Group 19 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。52

アナリスト機関
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Amos FletcherBarclays
Peter WardBarclays