Phillips 66

NYSE:PSX 株式レポート

時価総額：US$71.2b

Phillips 66 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

Phillips 66の収益は年間1.4%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間利益は年間9.3%で増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予測されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に18.5% 13%なると予測されています。

主要情報

9.3%

収益成長率

13.04%

EPS成長率

Oil and Gas 収益成長11.3%
収益成長率-1.4%
将来の株主資本利益率18.46%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日19 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 22

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Refining Execution And Midstream Buildout

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has been raised from $180.95 to $187.42 as analysts factor in the company's efforts to improve refining operations, its progress toward a $4.5b Midstream EBITDA goal, and expectations for supportive refining and chemical margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has centered on refining execution, Midstream growth targets, and how the current margin setup could influence earnings and valuation.
Seeking Alpha • May 10

Phillips 66: Markets Underappreciate The Durability Of Refining Profitability

Summary Phillips 66 is well-positioned for a significant windfall from elevated crack spreads driven by global supply disruptions and the Iran War. Refining margins surged to $10.11/barrel, with spreads near $60, potentially delivering $7B+ cumulative windfall through 2027, or ~$20/share. Operational improvements and cost reductions, alongside a 50% capital return policy, support robust shareholder returns and accelerated debt reduction. I maintain a Buy rating on PSX, raising my 2026 EPS estimate to at least $17.50 and setting a 12-month price target of $190. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Western Gateway Midstream Expansion

Analysts have nudged the Phillips 66 fair value estimate higher by about $2 to roughly $181 per share. This reflects updated price targets that take into account refined oil price assumptions, recent conversations with management, and refreshed earnings models across multiple research firms.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 20

Heavy Crude Exposure And Cost Targets Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential

Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company involved in refining, midstream logistics, chemicals, marketing and renewable fuels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 09

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Delivery And Venezuela Crude Shift

Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $165.45 to $179.10, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed models across large banks and sector specialists.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 02

Midstream Expansion And Heavy Crude Optionality Will Define This Refining Leader’s Next Chapter

Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing across North America and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Execution And Venezuela Crude Realignment

Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $160.15 to $165.45. The revision reflects a series of higher price targets that cite updated oil price assumptions, discussions with management on midstream growth, and refreshed models following recent commodity and geopolitical developments.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 12

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Projects And Venezuela Crude Shift

Our fair value estimate for Phillips 66 has moved modestly higher to $160.15 from $157.55, as analysts update models and price targets, including several recent increases toward the $158 level. They cite midstream growth expectations and refreshed assumptions following the latest Q4 updates and management commentary.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Expansion And Venezuela Crude Sourcing Shift

Our Phillips 66 fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $157.55 as analysts lift price targets toward $158, pointing to updated models after recent results and a constructive view on midstream growth prospects for FY25 and FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Phillips 66 is clustered around updated models and revised price targets, with most activity tied to Q4 reporting and views on midstream fundamentals heading into FY25 and FY26.
分析記事 • Feb 11

Concerns Surrounding Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Performance

Following the solid earnings report from Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ), the market responded by bidding up the stock price...
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 10

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Pipeline Expansion And Refiner Sentiment Reset

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 higher to $155.70 from $151.45, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised P/E outlook informed by a recent wave of price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating their views ahead of upcoming quarters.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refiner Sentiment Reset

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has shifted to US$151.45 from about US$149.30 as analysts incorporate updated commodity assumptions, modestly softer revenue and margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Phillips 66 point to a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh caution on sector risks and valuation after a strong share price move.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 12

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refining Margin Support

Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to their Phillips 66 fair value estimate, lifting it by about $0.45, as they weigh slightly softer revenue expectations against a small improvement in projected profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple, all in the context of mixed recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Phillips 66 reflects a mix of optimism around cash returns and refining fundamentals, balanced against concerns about sector sentiment and crude price risks.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 23

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Robust Capital Returns Amid Refining Margin Support

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Phillips 66 slightly lower to approximately $149 from about $149.35, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term revenue expectations. This is partially offset by slightly improved profit margin and future earnings multiple assumptions informed by recent target increases and ratings changes across the Street.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 09

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Resilient Margins And Capital Returns Balancing Risks

Phillips 66's fair value estimate has edged up by about $2 to $149.35, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets across the Street. This shift is supported by expectations for resilient refining margins, supply tightness, and improved profitability, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 25

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Shifting Refining and Crude Trends Ahead

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has edged higher from $146.10 to $147.65, as analysts cite sustained refining profitability, an improving revenue growth outlook, and supportive trends in crude markets despite ongoing margin debates. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides a comprehensive view of how analysts assess Phillips 66's near- and medium-term prospects.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 03

PSX: Rising Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Support Sector Resilience Ahead

Phillips 66’s analyst price target has risen modestly to $146.10, reflecting analyst expectations for firmer profit margins and continued sector resilience as energy market dynamics evolve. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides insight into the factors driving both optimism and caution among analysts covering Phillips 66.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 20

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Phillips 66’s analyst price target has increased from $141.58 to $145.20, as analysts cite resilient refining margins and ongoing industry optimism despite softer demand indicators and modest growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Phillips 66 reflects both confidence in the company’s positioning and ongoing caution regarding sector dynamics.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 05

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have raised their price target for Phillips 66 by $1.74 to $141.58, citing stronger-than-expected refining margins and improved outlooks for profit and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts evaluating Phillips 66.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 20

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Consensus price targets for Phillips 66 have increased to $139.84, reflecting analyst confidence in persistent refining margin strength, strong recent results, and upside from chemicals, while near-term risks from potential activist exits and sector pullbacks are noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent strength in refining margins, with global product markets remaining relatively tight and distillate tightness expected to continue into winter, supporting a higher margin risk well into 2026.
ナラティブの更新 • Aug 27

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have slightly lowered Phillips 66’s price target to $136.00, reflecting near-term caution due to potential post-proxy battle selling pressure and high Q2 expectations, despite an improved medium-term refining outlook and a strong balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite positive earnings revisions expected in the second half of the year, supported by distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances forecasted for 2026 and 2027.
分析記事 • Aug 14

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

NYSE:PSX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Phillips 66's Fair Values from the Community and select yours There...
新しいナラティブ • Apr 06

room for higher margins

Industry Position: Phillips 66 is a major player in the energy sector, particularly in refining, marketing, and transportation. Analysts often look at the company's ability to capitalize on operationa
Seeking Alpha • Mar 26

Elliott Management Applies Pressure With Phillips 66 Board Fight

Summary Phillips 66 has underperformed compared to peers, with chronic issues in its Refining Segment and large investments in underperforming global pet-chem plants. Earlier this month, activist investor Elliott Management nominated seven directors to PSX's board and is lobbying to spin-off PSX's Midstream Segment to unlock shareholder value. PSX's Midstream Segment has shown strong growth and is its most consistent well-performing segment, enabling robust dividend growth since going public. I maintain a Hold rating for PSX due to limited downside, the attractive 3.64% dividend yield, and potential for continued strong dividend growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:PSX - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/2028134,1988,0447,0068,2743
12/31/2027140,7577,2406,7878,4857
12/31/2026148,7207,2397,0037,7937
3/31/2026134,4864,1141192,511N/A
12/31/2025132,3764,3942,7294,962N/A
9/30/2025131,9531,4971,3513,408N/A
6/30/2025132,9661,7081,4883,362N/A
3/31/2025137,7721,8462,9604,614N/A
12/31/2024143,1532,1072,3324,191N/A
9/30/2024147,7383,3583,1965,183N/A
6/30/2024151,8535,1104,5156,736N/A
3/31/2024148,8145,7923,1895,594N/A
12/31/2023147,3997,0044,8747,029N/A
9/30/2023149,4087,6297,3559,589N/A
6/30/2023154,72010,9227,67110,048N/A
3/31/2023168,20712,3928,67410,876N/A
12/31/2022169,99011,0148,92510,813N/A
9/30/2022162,31510,4035,7857,863N/A
6/30/2022147,6035,4165,0276,922N/A
3/31/2022126,0282,5434,9836,882N/A
12/31/2021111,4761,3064,1576,017N/A
9/30/202195,242-5063,0874,856N/A
6/30/202180,948-1,7081,3753,144N/A
3/31/202164,881-2,142-1632,165N/A
12/31/202064,129-3,983-8092,111N/A
9/30/202076,863-2,707-5263,166N/A
6/30/202088,148-1,1963304,337N/A
3/31/2020105,0833691,8045,503N/A
12/31/2019107,2933,070N/A4,808N/A
9/30/2019107,3304,573N/A7,253N/A
6/30/2019109,8845,354N/A6,173N/A
3/31/2019110,9945,270N/A6,607N/A
12/31/2018111,4925,589N/A7,573N/A
9/30/2018108,7196,547N/A5,365N/A
6/30/2018101,1825,878N/A5,184N/A
3/31/201893,0375,088N/A4,685N/A
12/31/201789,3005,100N/A3,648N/A
9/30/201783,1772,066N/A2,384N/A
6/30/201779,2091,753N/A2,866N/A
3/31/201776,7251,699N/A2,156N/A
12/31/201670,8981,549N/A2,963N/A
9/30/201669,1432,036N/A3,793N/A
6/30/201673,1393,103N/A4,347N/A
3/31/201679,8373,620N/A4,619N/A
12/31/201585,2284,221N/A5,713N/A
9/30/201598,0554,717N/A5,088N/A
6/30/2015112,4124,319N/A4,080N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: PSXの予測収益成長率 (年間9.3% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: PSXの収益 ( 9.3% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: PSXの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: PSXの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予想されています (年間-1.4% )。

高い収益成長: PSXの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-1.4% )。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: PSXの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 18.5 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/25 12:34
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Phillips 66 14 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。32

アナリスト機関
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research