Matador Resources Company

NYSE:MTDR 株式レポート

時価総額：US$7.7b

Matador Resources 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /36

Matador Resources利益と収益がそれぞれ年間21.8%と5.7%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に13.3% 21.4%なると予測されています。

主要情報

21.8%

収益成長率

21.41%

EPS成長率

Oil and Gas 収益成長11.3%
収益成長率5.7%
将来の株主資本利益率13.34%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日13 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 10

MTDR: Higher 2026 Oil Decks Are Expected To Drive Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their Matador Resources fair value estimate down by about $1 to $93.48, citing updated views on revenue growth, profitability, discount rates, and forward P/E levels following a series of higher Street price targets in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources shows a cluster of higher price targets and generally constructive views, even as some analysts fine tune their fair value work.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 23

MTDR: Stronger Oil Strip Is Expected To Support Future Cash Generation

Analysts have lifted the Matador Resources fair value estimate from $57.53 to $72.05 as a series of recent price target increases, supported by updated oil price assumptions, revised exploration and production models, and views on capital efficiency, feed into expectations for slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and an updated future P/E of 10.77x. Analyst Commentary Street research on Matador Resources over the past few months has leaned constructive on valuation and execution, with a handful of more cautious voices highlighting capital allocation and risk factors.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 08

MTDR: Higher 2026 Oil Decks Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Matador Resources from $74.78 to $94.71, reflecting updated assumptions for a 6.98% discount rate, 7.70% revenue growth, a 24.75% profit margin, and a forward P/E of about 12.41, which are generally consistent with the series of recent price target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Matador Resources shows a mix of optimism and caution, with a clear cluster of bullish analysts lifting price targets as they refresh commodity price decks and company specific models.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 25

MTDR: Heavy Hedging And Front Loaded Capex Will Restrain Future Equity Upside

Analysts lifted the fair value estimate for Matador Resources by $5 to $52, citing updated oil price decks, modest valuation multiple changes, and ongoing updates to exploration and production models as key drivers behind the higher targets across several recent research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources has leaned constructive on fair value, with several firms updating price targets to reflect new commodity price decks, refreshed exploration and production models, and company specific meetings.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 11

MTDR: Lower Long Dated Oil Assumptions Will Pressure Future Equity Upside

Matador Resources' fair value estimate has been trimmed by $1 to $47, even as analysts lift price targets into the $52 to $62 range based on updated oil price assumptions, higher expected profit margins and lower forward P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources has been mixed, with a cluster of higher price targets sitting above the current fair value estimate alongside a set of more guarded adjustments that highlight where things could go wrong.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 24

MTDR: Stronger Oil Strip Is Expected To Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Matador Resources slightly higher to about $57.53, with the latest price target moves, including a recent lift to $59, tied largely to updated views on the oil strip and commodity price outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Matador Resources reflects a mix of optimism around the commodity backdrop and some recalibration of expectations tied to longer dated oil assumptions and stock rating changes.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 10

MTDR: Recalibrated Oil Decks Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Matador Resources to approximately $74.78 from about $82.48, reflecting updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple in light of recent price target cuts and a downgrade in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources has leaned cautious overall, with several firms trimming price targets and, in at least one case, issuing a downgrade.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 27

MTDR: Revised Commodity Decks Will Still Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Matador Resources by about $1 to roughly $57, as they factor in updated commodity price decks and company guidance, while still acknowledging modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions alongside a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Matador Resources shows a mix of optimism around the company’s execution and growth outlook, alongside some caution tied to updated commodity price assumptions and guidance.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 12

MTDR: Higher 2025 Production And Increased Payouts Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Matador Resources by a few dollars to around the mid US$50s. This reflects updated 2025 guidance, early 2026 commentary and a relative preference for gas focused names over oil producers.
Seeking Alpha • Jan 09

Matador Resources: The Market Is Not Perceiving The Full Valuation

Summary Matador Resources is rated a buy, leveraging operational efficiency, midstream integration, and attractive valuation metrics in the Permian Basin. MTDR's tri-frac and horseshoe well innovations drive 20% efficiency gains and record-low drilling costs, supporting 5% organic oil production growth. San Mateo Midstream, 51%-owned by MTDR, underpins stable EBITDA and offers strategic optionality, with potential monetization or retention debated for competitive advantage. MTDR's valuation is compelling at 3.39x EV/EBITDA and 5.95x P/E, with strong margins, a robust balance sheet, and a 10–15 year Tier 1 drilling runway. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 26

MTDR: Rising Production And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Upside Momentum

Analysts have nudged their consolidated price target for Matador Resources marginally higher to approximately $58.58 from about $58.16. This reflects slightly improved valuation assumptions even as updated 2025 and preliminary 2026 outlooks introduce modestly higher discount rates and more conservative growth expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 12

MTDR: Rising Production And Dividend Growth Will Drive Future Upside Momentum

Analysts have slightly trimmed their average price target for Matador Resources by about $1, reflecting modestly softer long term growth and valuation assumptions, even as expectations for margins and free cash flow remain constructive. Analyst Commentary Street research on Matador Resources reflects a mix of constructive views on execution and cash generation, alongside some recalibration of valuation as updated 2025 guidance and early 2026 outlooks are incorporated.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 27

MTDR: Rising Production And Dividend Increase Will Support Upside Momentum

Matador Resources’ analyst price target has been lowered modestly, declining from $59.44 to $58.72. This adjustment reflects analysts factoring in updated company guidance and evolving sector preferences in North American energy markets.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 12

MTDR: Record Quarterly Production And Dividend Hike Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Matador Resources, trimming it from $59.72 to $59.44 per share. The adjustment reflects ongoing commodity headwinds while maintaining optimism around the company’s stable growth strategy and free cash flow priorities.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 29

Record Production And Strong Free Cash Flow Will Drive Margins Into 2026

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target for Matador Resources from approximately $63.56 to $59.72 per share, citing softer expected revenue growth and recent commodity headwinds as key factors influencing the outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Matador Resources reflects a mix of optimism surrounding the company’s operational strengths and persistent caution over commodity market challenges.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 14

Delaware Basin Midstream Expansion Will Strengthen Margins Despite Risks

Matador Resources' average analyst price target has edged downward by about $1 to $63.56, as analysts reassess the impact of commodity headwinds and evolving free cash flow strategies on the company's growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research offers a nuanced view of Matador Resources' outlook, with analysts weighing both the company's strategic strengths and the headwinds impacting future performance.
分析記事 • Jul 03

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Matador Resources Company's (NYSE:MTDR) Low P/E

Matador Resources Company's ( NYSE:MTDR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.8x might make it look like a strong...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 24

Matador Resources: Share Repurchases Should Provide A Positive Benefit

Summary Matador Resources announced a $400 million share repurchase program. It trimmed capex in response to weak commodity prices. Matador can generate around $6 per share in free cash flow at the current 2025 strip, much of which can go towards share repurchases. I estimate its value at $68 per share at long-term (after 2026) $70 WTI oil, so share repurchases at $40 per share can provide a significant benefit. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 21

Matador Resources: 2025 Free Cash Flow May Approach $1.1 Billion

Summary Matador is projected to generate $1.083 billion in free cash flow at the current strip. Matador increased its quarterly dividend to $0.3125 per share, a 25% increase from its prior dividend. It appears to have potential room for further dividend increases in 2025. Matador's Q4 2024 results and 2025 guidance were largely in-line with my prior expectations. It has made progress in continuing to reduce D&C costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 19

Matador Resources Could Be Your Next Oil And Gas Winner

Summary Matador's recent growth has been driven primarily by efficiency gains and the acquisition of high-quality acreage. Valuation is attractive relative to the company's own recent history and that of peers like Diamondback Energy, Devon Energy, Permian Resources,.and EOG Resources. Despite a low forward dividend yield, Matador's low payout ratio and rapid CAGR make it attractive for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 25

Matador Resources Expects Over 200,000 BOEPD In 2025 Production

Summary Matador expects to produce over 200,000 BOEPD in 2025. This is driven by solid operational performance plus its Ameredev acquisition. MTDR is projected to generate over $7 per share in 2025 free cash flow at the current strip. It appears to have the capacity to continue increasing its dividend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 30

Matador's Valuation Doesn't Account For The Threat Of An Exploration Ban

Summary Regulatory risks loom for Matador Resources, with potential future bans on new exploration licenses posing significant threats to its long-term growth and valuation. Matador's business model relies heavily on exploration and acquisitions, making it vulnerable to regulatory changes that could halt new drilling activities. A ban on future exploration is more likely than a ban on production. Current market valuation appears overly optimistic, not fully accounting for the existential risks, leading to my recommendation to sell Matador Resources stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 24

Matador Resources Company: Acquisition Of Upstream Assets Set To Grow Valuation Into 2025

Summary Matador Resources' acquisition of Ameredev II for $1.832 billion will significantly boost its enterprise value by nearly $2 billion, enhancing its Delaware Basin portfolio. The deal is strategically advantageous, as MTDR acquired Ameredev II at a bargain price compared to EnCap's 2022 valuation of $4 billion. MTDR's forward P/E ratio of 7.14X indicates the stock is undervalued, presenting a substantial upside potential into 2025. Despite increased debt, the acquisition is expected to generate an adjusted EBITDA of $475 million, making MTDR stock a compelling buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:MTDR - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20284,1921,0931,2252,7046
12/31/20274,2261,0881,0972,7367
12/31/20263,5996979112,4815
3/31/20263,592483592,168N/A
12/31/20253,6577592422,425N/A
9/30/20253,8727814142,526N/A
6/30/20253,8208534412,414N/A
3/31/20253,7549325502,506N/A
12/31/20243,4798852802,247N/A
9/30/20243,1009253452,290N/A
6/30/20243,0179411962,141N/A
3/31/20242,8258772471,997N/A
12/31/20232,8188463181,868N/A
9/30/20232,5038453651,696N/A
6/30/20232,5829196451,792N/A
3/31/20232,8831,1708251,989N/A
12/31/20223,1971,2148951,979N/A
9/30/20222,8371,1757141,867N/A
6/30/20222,5271,0415521,601N/A
3/31/20222,0347313251,213N/A
12/31/20211,8625853201,053N/A
9/30/20211,451281374876N/A
6/30/20211,173-199123695N/A
3/31/2021900-658-104538N/A
12/31/2020851-593-303478N/A
9/30/2020805-480-412519N/A
6/30/2020861-160-402568N/A
3/31/2020957230-356602N/A
12/31/20191,02688N/A552N/A
9/30/2019866200N/A542N/A
6/30/2019825174N/A549N/A
3/31/2019803197N/A532N/A
12/31/2018830274N/A609N/A
9/30/2018778176N/A496N/A
6/30/2018685173N/A432N/A
3/31/2018582142N/A374N/A
12/31/2017539126N/A299N/A
9/30/2017439192N/A260N/A
6/30/2017389189N/A206N/A
3/31/201734754N/A177N/A
12/31/2016280-97N/A134N/A
9/30/2016242-432N/A119N/A
6/30/2016232-686N/A145N/A
3/31/2016249-737N/A134N/A
12/31/2015267-680N/A209N/A
9/30/2015306-403N/A257N/A
6/30/2015333-131N/A251N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: MTDRの予測収益成長率 (年間21.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: MTDRの収益 ( 21.8% ) はUS市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: MTDRの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: MTDRの収益 ( 5.7% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: MTDRの収益 ( 5.7% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: MTDRの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 13.3 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/20 05:29
終値2026/05/20 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Matador Resources Company 14 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。41

アナリスト機関
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