Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

NYSE:CMG 株式レポート

時価総額：US$40.7b

Chipotle Mexican Grill 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

Chipotle Mexican Grill利益と収益がそれぞれ年間12.6%と9.4%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に63.6% 14.9%なると予測されています。

主要情報

12.6%

収益成長率

14.88%

EPS成長率

Hospitality 収益成長19.2%
収益成長率9.4%
将来の株主資本利益率63.56%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日05 Aug 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 06

Chipotle: One Good Quarter Doesn't Reset The Risk Profile

Summary Chipotle delivered a Q2 beat with comp sales rebounding to 2.2% growth, driven by new menu items and a revamped rewards program. Despite revenue and comp growth, CMG's net income and EPS declined due to rising food and labor costs, compressing restaurant-level margins. I maintain a "Sell" rating, citing unsustainable valuation at over 20x P/E and ongoing EPS compression despite recent operational improvements. Competitive pressures and inflationary headwinds challenge CMG's ability to sustain comp growth and justify its premium multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Aug 03

CMG: International Expansion And New Units Will Support Higher Future P E

The analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has moved modestly higher to $43.92 from $42.88, reflecting updated models after Q2 results, including revised EPS forecasts, steady revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E multiple that many analysts link to recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill highlights a mix of optimism and caution around execution, growth, and valuation following the latest Q2 report and guidance updates.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 20

CMG: Mexico Entry And Same Store Sales Shape Balanced Medium Term Outlook

Analysts nudged the fair value estimate for Chipotle Mexican Grill higher, with the price target moving from $34.00 to $35.00 as they factor in slightly stronger same store sales assumptions, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, and updated P/E expectations reflected across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects a mix of optimism around same store sales and more cautious views on how much of that strength is already reflected in the stock's valuation.
新しいナラティブ • Jul 17

Chipotle Mexican Grill will thrive with a 5% revenue boost

Chipotle is a fast-casual restaurant business that makes almost all of its money from company-owned restaurants selling Mexican-inspired food (burritos, bowls, tacos, etc.). Its growth strategy is straightforward: open more stores, increase digital sales, and improve restaurant productivity.
ナラティブ更新 • Jul 06

CMG: Reset Multiple And Store Expansion Plan Will Support Recovery

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate from $54.79 to $52.00 as they temper revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions, while still pointing to a reset valuation that some see as offering "quality growth at the right price". Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill has become more divided, with some high profile firms seeing the current share price reset as an entry point while others flag a slower growth and margin story.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 22

CMG: 2026 Expansion And Menu Tests Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill price target by $3 to $35. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and mixed research commentary that highlights both perceived valuation opportunity and more cautious views on future comps and margin visibility.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 06

CMG: 2026 International Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate by about $0.52 to $42.88, reflecting a mix of lower average price targets and a slightly higher discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations and future P/E assumptions remain broadly steady across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill highlights a split between analysts who see current levels as an opportunity and those who are more cautious on the company’s execution and growth trajectory.
ナラティブ更新 • May 15

CMG: 2026 Menu And Unit Expansion Plans Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower to reflect an updated fair value of about $43.40. Analysts cite modest tweaks to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth expectations, a small improvement in profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple, informed by a mix of recent target cuts and upgrades across the Street.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 26

CMG: 2026 Menu Initiatives Are Expected To Support Higher P E Multiple

Chipotle Mexican Grill's updated analyst price target reflects a modest trim of fair value to $43.66, with analysts broadly fine-tuning their models as they weigh slightly higher discount rates, adjusted long term P/E assumptions, and a recent wave of small downward target revisions across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill points to a period of recalibration, with many firms trimming price targets by small increments and a few highlighting more constructive long term views.
新しいナラティブ • Apr 21

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Reports Resilient FY 2025 Earnings Despite Margin Pressures and Heavy Capital Returns

Analyst: Qudus Adebara (Founder of Wane Investment House) Executive Summary Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. delivered a solid financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025, with total revenue rising to $11.93 billion, reflecting +5.4% YoY growth driven primarily by strong food and beverage sales.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 11

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Support Higher P E Multiple

Analysts trimmed their Chipotle Mexican Grill price target by about $0.50 to reflect slightly lower fair value, a modestly higher discount rate, and marginally softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partly offset by a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent mixed but generally constructive research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects a mix of cautious fine tuning on price targets and supportive views on the business model, management, and long term growth potential.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 27

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Sustain Elevated P E Multiple

The analyst price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has been trimmed by about $0.07 to reflect slightly lower modeled fair value, even as analysts highlight modest improvements in revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a still elevated future P/E, informed by a mix of recent target cuts, fresh Buy initiations, and sector-wide re-rating work for 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle Mexican Grill reflects an active debate around how much investors should pay for the company given mixed sector trends, shifting consumer behavior, and company specific execution questions.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 13

CMG: 2026 Sales Initiatives And Buybacks Will Support Multiple Expansion

Analysts made a small upward adjustment to their Chipotle price target, moving it by about $0.33, as they weighed newly bullish views tied to potential sales drivers and multiple expansion against a recent wave of modest target trims from other firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Chipotle shows a split view, with some firms highlighting long term growth drivers and others focusing on consumer headwinds and execution risk.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 26

CMG: 2026 Marketing Firepower And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Chipotle price target to about $44. This reflects slightly lower assumed discount rates and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, along with fine-tuned revenue growth and margin expectations.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 09

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Share Repurchases Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts now see slightly lower upside for Chipotle, trimming the price target in line with a modest reduction in fair value to about $44.24 per share after reassessing the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Chipotle Mexican Grill has become more finely balanced, with several small downward price target revisions offset by a cluster of earlier target increases and a few rating changes.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 25

CMG: 2026 Traffic Recovery And Unit Expansion Will Drive Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have nudged their Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate higher to about $45 per share from roughly $44, citing a slightly lower discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple that reflect recent shifts in Street price targets and mixed but engaged research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Chipotle Mexican Grill, with price targets moving in both directions and opinions divided on how quickly the company can work through current traffic and macro pressures.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 11

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion And Traffic Recovery Efforts Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the Chipotle Mexican Grill fair value estimate slightly, with the price target moving from US$43.18 to US$44.12. This reflects modest tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions after a mix of target cuts on macro and traffic headwinds, as well as fresh target hikes tied to updated 2026 restaurant sector outlooks.
ナラティブ更新 • Dec 18

CMG: 2026 Unit Expansion Will Drive Long Term Upside Despite Near Term Traffic Headwinds

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill by about $10 per share to the mid $40s, citing weaker than expected Q3 traffic and comp trends, macro driven consumer softness, and lowered same store sales guidance, even as they highlight longer term benefits from menu innovation, value focused marketing, and continued unit growth. Analyst Commentary Analysts broadly agree that Chipotle is navigating a tougher operating backdrop, but they differ on how quickly the brand can reaccelerate traffic and comps and how much of the long term growth story remains intact at current valuation levels.
ナラティブ更新 • Dec 04

CMG: Robust 2026 Unit Expansion Is Expected To Drive Long Term Upside

The Analyst Price Target for Chipotle Mexican Grill has been cut meaningfully, with analysts trimming expectations by roughly $10 per share as persistent macro headwinds, softer traffic, and repeated same store sales guidance cuts temper the near term outlook, despite confidence in the longer term unit growth story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a more cautious stance on Chipotle in the near term, with widespread price target reductions but a generally constructive view on the multiyear unit growth and margin opportunity.
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 20

CMG: Robust Unit Expansion Plans Will Lead to Improved Performance

Analysts have lowered their average price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill, cutting it from approximately $45.09 to $43.18 per share. Ongoing macroeconomic pressures and softer same-store sales trends continue to weigh on the company's near-term outlook.
分析記事 • Nov 07

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Stocks Pounded By 25% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

The Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ( NYSE:CMG ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 01

CMG: Share Repurchases And Menu Revamps Will Drive Stronger Performance Ahead

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been lowered significantly, dropping from approximately $54 to about $45. Analysts cite ongoing traffic challenges, softer same-store sales growth, and mounting macroeconomic headwinds following disappointing third-quarter results.
ナラティブ更新 • Oct 18

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Chipotle Mexican Grill's analyst price target has been reduced from approximately $56.94 to $54.15. Analysts cite near-term industry headwinds, including choppy demand, softer sales trends, and cautious sector outlooks as factors driving the adjustment.
ナラティブ更新 • Oct 04

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Analysts have lowered their price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill to approximately $56.94 from about $57.75. This modest reduction reflects tempered revenue growth expectations, despite recent performance improvements and ongoing industry challenges.
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 10

Restaurant Expansion In Mexico And Europe Will Boost Performance

Analysts modestly lowered Chipotle's consensus price target to $57.75, citing disappointing Q2 results, macro headwinds, and heightened competitive pressures, though some remain constructive on resilient demand, recent menu innovation, and the company's long-term growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved risk/reward following a 31% YTD selloff, with expectations that market pessimism regarding same-store-sales is overly priced in.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 22

Chipotle Q1 Preview: Tariffs Hurt Them (Deep Dive)

Summary Chipotle's stock has declined around 20% over the past year, driven by decelerating same-store sales growth and increasing competition from companies like Sweetgreen and CAVA. The company's high forward P/E ratio of 37, a 173% premium to the sector median, suggests it is overpriced given its current performance and outlook. Trade war impacts, particularly on avocado imports, are expected to further strain Chipotle's margins, which are already pressured by high food and labor costs. Despite potential growth from international expansion and new technologies, these factors are unlikely to offset near-term headwinds, making Chipotle a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 19

Chipotle: Dark Pool Buys And Long-Term Growth Make It A Buy

Summary Chipotle's dual focus on digital innovation and rapid expansion is driving significant growth, with digital sales now making up 37% of total revenue. The company's strategic initiatives, like the Chipotlane system and limited-time offerings, are boosting sales and enhancing customer loyalty. Valuation analysis using a DCF model shows a fair price per share around $51, indicating a balanced risk-reward profile with strong growth potential. Despite risks like inflation and rapid expansion costs, Chipotle's consistent revenue growth, improved margins, and solid cash flow make it a compelling long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 28

Chipotle: Rare Opportunity To Buy At A Truly Attractive Price

Summary Chipotle's stock is now a 'Buy' due to attractive valuation, strong fundamentals, and significant growth potential despite the recent CEO transition. Q4-24 results showed impressive revenue growth, strong same-store sales, and continued unit expansion, maintaining high restaurant-level profitability. Market expectations for 2025 are low, setting up the potential for multiple 'Beat & Raises'. Chipotle is nearly 20% below June 2024 highs, trading at a valuation that's historically been a very attractive entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:CMG - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202815,8711,9321,7982,66114
12/31/202714,4191,7011,6502,46032
12/31/202613,0191,4431,6162,28931
6/30/202612,4241,4191,5692,328N/A
3/31/202612,1391,4521,5062,208N/A
12/31/202511,9261,5361,4482,114N/A
9/30/202511,7871,5371,5732,215N/A
6/30/202511,5781,5421,4662,092N/A
3/31/202511,4871,5611,4872,093N/A
12/31/202411,3141,5341,5112,105N/A
9/30/202410,9851,4841,2511,844N/A
6/30/202410,6631,4101,3011,878N/A
3/31/202410,2051,2961,3251,898N/A
12/31/20239,8721,2291,2231,783N/A
9/30/20239,5361,1701,3871,920N/A
6/30/20239,2841,1141,2511,791N/A
3/31/20238,9831,0329921,495N/A
12/31/20228,6358998441,323N/A
9/30/20228,4158099031,360N/A
6/30/20228,1477568621,289N/A
3/31/20227,8266848071,259N/A
12/31/20217,5476538401,282N/A
9/30/20217,194710512959N/A
6/30/20216,843586502922N/A
3/31/20216,315406405788N/A
12/31/20205,985356290664N/A
9/30/20205,817237393735N/A
6/30/20205,619256369726N/A
3/31/20205,689338N/A721N/A
12/31/20195,586350N/A722N/A
9/30/20195,371310N/A664N/A
6/30/20195,193249N/A627N/A
3/31/20195,025205N/A603N/A
12/31/20184,865177N/A622N/A
9/30/20184,750188N/A581N/A
6/30/20184,653170N/A520N/A
3/31/20184,556190N/A519N/A
12/31/20174,476176N/A468N/A
9/30/20174,401148N/A447N/A
6/30/20174,310137N/A413N/A
3/31/20174,13995N/A438N/A
12/31/20163,90423N/A355N/A
9/30/20163,86775N/A376N/A
6/30/20164,047212N/A462N/A
3/31/20164,247327N/A502N/A
12/31/20154,501476N/A683N/A
9/30/20154,574529N/A721N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: CMGの予測収益成長率 (年間12.6% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.7% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: CMGの収益 ( 12.6% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: CMGの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: CMGの収益 ( 9.4% ) US市場 ( 12.9% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: CMGの収益 ( 9.4% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: CMGの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には非常に高くなると予測されています ( 63.6 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/08/11 01:12
終値2026/08/11 00:00
収益2026/06/30
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。

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業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 32 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。56

アナリスト機関
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays