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Dollar Tree, Inc.NasdaqGS:DLTR 株式レポート

時価総額 US$18.5b
株価
US$94.98
US$124.91
24.0% 割安 内在価値ディスカウント
1Y7.7%
7D6.0%
1D
ポートフォリオ価値
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Dollar Tree, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DLTR 株式レポート

時価総額:US$18.5b

Dollar Tree(DLTR)株式概要

ダラー・ツリー・インクは、ダラー・ツリーとダラー・ツリー・カナダのブランドで、米国とカナダでディスカウントストアを運営している。 詳細

DLTR ファンダメンタル分析
スノーフレーク・スコア
評価5/6
将来の成長2/6
過去の実績5/6
財務の健全性3/6
配当金0/6

DLTR Community Fair Values

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Dollar Tree, Inc. 競合他社

価格と性能

株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Dollar Tree
過去の株価
現在の株価US$94.98
52週高値US$142.40
52週安値US$84.71
ベータ0.61
1ヶ月の変化-8.45%
3ヶ月変化-27.17%
1年変化7.72%
3年間の変化-33.32%
5年間の変化-2.58%
IPOからの変化8,026.82%

最新ニュース

ナラティブの更新 May 03

DLTR: Multi Price Rollout And Store Refresh Should Support Traffic Recovery

Analysts have nudged the Dollar Tree fair value estimate slightly lower to $124.91 from $125.26, reflecting modestly higher discount rate assumptions and mixed price target moves as they balance recent Q4 delivery with long term traffic and comps questions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Dollar Tree clusters into two camps, with bullish analysts focusing on execution progress and earnings potential, while bearish analysts stay cautious on traffic trends, comp sustainability and where valuation sits versus those risks.
Seeking Alpha Apr 27

Dollar Tree: Benefiting From Consumer Stress And Iran Tailwinds (Upgrade)

Summary Dollar Tree is upgraded to Buy as its valuation now offers a solid margin of safety and upside amid macro uncertainty. DLTR’s strategic pivot to multi-price formats and accelerated buybacks supports improved performance, with 5,300 stores now in the new format. FY26 guidance calls for 3–4% comparable sales growth, $6.5–$6.9 EPS, and $1.1–$1.2 billion in CAPEX, funding continued expansion. Competitive threats from private labels and major retailers remain, but DLTR’s positioning and risk already priced in justify the rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Apr 19

DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Undermine Multi Price Comp Benefits

Narrative Update on Dollar Tree The revised analyst price target for Dollar Tree reflects a mix of modest upward and downward moves, ranging roughly from $80 to $165. Analysts are balancing improving store execution, multi price initiatives, and in-line long-term guidance against ongoing concerns about traffic trends and market multiple compression.

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 May 03

DLTR: Multi Price Rollout And Store Refresh Should Support Traffic Recovery

Analysts have nudged the Dollar Tree fair value estimate slightly lower to $124.91 from $125.26, reflecting modestly higher discount rate assumptions and mixed price target moves as they balance recent Q4 delivery with long term traffic and comps questions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Dollar Tree clusters into two camps, with bullish analysts focusing on execution progress and earnings potential, while bearish analysts stay cautious on traffic trends, comp sustainability and where valuation sits versus those risks.
Seeking Alpha Apr 27

Dollar Tree: Benefiting From Consumer Stress And Iran Tailwinds (Upgrade)

Summary Dollar Tree is upgraded to Buy as its valuation now offers a solid margin of safety and upside amid macro uncertainty. DLTR’s strategic pivot to multi-price formats and accelerated buybacks supports improved performance, with 5,300 stores now in the new format. FY26 guidance calls for 3–4% comparable sales growth, $6.5–$6.9 EPS, and $1.1–$1.2 billion in CAPEX, funding continued expansion. Competitive threats from private labels and major retailers remain, but DLTR’s positioning and risk already priced in justify the rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 Apr 19

DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Undermine Multi Price Comp Benefits

Narrative Update on Dollar Tree The revised analyst price target for Dollar Tree reflects a mix of modest upward and downward moves, ranging roughly from $80 to $165. Analysts are balancing improving store execution, multi price initiatives, and in-line long-term guidance against ongoing concerns about traffic trends and market multiple compression.
ナラティブの更新 Apr 04

DLTR: Persistent Traffic Weakness Will Likely Pressure Margins And Expectations

Dollar Tree's analyst fair value estimate has been updated from $75.58 to $80.00 as analysts weigh mixed price target revisions, ongoing traffic headwinds, and expectations for steadier store standards and inventory execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Dollar Tree reflect a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets modestly while others trim expectations or move to more cautious ratings.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 21

DLTR: Store Upgrades And Multi Price Rollout Will Support Future Upside

The analyst fair value estimate for Dollar Tree has moved to $125.26, with analysts generally pointing to improving store standards, ongoing inventory and value adjustments, and mixed views on traffic and longer-term comparable sales stability as the drivers behind their updated price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research around Dollar Tree is mixed, with price targets spread across a wide range and ratings running from Buy to Underperform.
ナラティブの更新 Mar 07

DLTR: Future Margin Pressure Will Likely Challenge High Expectations

The analyst price target for Dollar Tree has been adjusted modestly higher to reflect a fair value move from $73.17 to $75.58. Analysts are weighing mixed ratings changes alongside updated views on earnings growth potential, a revised revenue outlook, lower assumed profit margins, and a more conservative future P/E multiple.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 20

DLTR: Multi Price Rollout And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst price target for Dollar Tree has moved from $160 to $165, with analysts tying the change to expectations for the company's multi price rollout, a 12% earnings growth outlook, and a view that the post Family Dollar divestment profile may support a higher P/E multiple as well as slightly stronger revenue growth and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a clear split in opinion on Dollar Tree, but the most optimistic voices are centering on the same themes you are seeing in the higher price targets, the multi price rollout, and the post Family Dollar profile.
ナラティブの更新 Feb 06

DLTR: Higher Earnings Power And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Dollar Tree from $108.00 to $160.00, citing refreshed models that reflect revised discount rate assumptions, updated revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples, along with a mix of recent price target cuts, downgrades, and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dollar Tree reflects a split tape, with some firms taking a more cautious stance while others see room for upside as the company executes on its plans and the consumer environment evolves.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 23

DLTR: SNAP Headwinds And Mixed Consumer Outlook Likely To Cap Future Upside

Analysts modestly lifted their Dollar Tree fair value estimate from $119.17 to $122.26 as mixed but generally supportive price target revisions, including higher targets from several firms alongside fresh downgrades and caution around lower income consumers and SNAP exposure, led to slightly adjusted growth, margin, discount rate, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dollar Tree reflects a split view, with some firms lifting price targets and others turning more cautious as they reassess execution risks and the spending power of lower income shoppers.
ナラティブの更新 Jan 08

DLTR: Future Returns Will Be Constrained By SNAP Benefit Reductions

Narrative Update on Dollar Tree The analyst price target for Dollar Tree in our model has edged higher by about US$1, reflecting slightly adjusted fair value and discount rate inputs as analysts weigh mixed sector views, recent target cuts toward US$103 and US$126, and more constructive targets up to US$149 that factor in potential consumer tax savings and rate cuts, alongside SNAP related headwinds for value focused shoppers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dollar Tree reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts raising targets and others turning more cautious as they reassess risks tied to the lower income shopper and government benefits.
ナラティブの更新 Dec 25

DLTR: Future Returns Will Balance SNAP Pressures With Execution And Competitive Risks

Analysts have nudged their Dollar Tree price target slightly higher to about $118 per share, reflecting modestly better long term margin and valuation expectations, even as they flag mounting pressure on lower income shoppers from reduced SNAP benefits and intensifying value competition among discounters. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Dollar Tree remain mixed, with more cautious commentary emerging even as some on the Street acknowledge operational improvements and long term margin potential.
分析記事 Dec 16

Market Participants Recognise Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher

Dollar Tree, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DLTR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone...
ナラティブの更新 Dec 10

DLTR: Future Performance Will Reflect SNAP Headwinds And Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Dollar Tree higher to approximately $115 from about $107 per share, citing a lower discount rate, modestly improved profit margin expectations, and clearer, though timing-uncertain, earnings power, despite mounting headwinds for lower income consumers and SNAP exposed retailers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced, and in some cases cautious, stance on Dollar Tree, with views diverging on the pace and durability of earnings improvement as macro and company specific risks build.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 26

DLTR: Execution Risks And Consumer Pressures Will Shape Performance Amidst Industry Shifts

Dollar Tree's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $107 from $108. This reflects analyst concerns about a more challenging outlook for lower-income consumers and increased competition among discount retailers.
ナラティブの更新 Nov 05

DLTR: Macro Headwinds And SNAP Benefit Cuts Will Impact Earnings Outlook Ahead

Dollar Tree's analyst price target saw a modest reduction of less than $0.10, as analysts cite continued macro headwinds, operational uncertainties, and shifting valuation multiples for the slight adjustment. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Dollar Tree's prospects, with both bullish and bearish narratives present following recent developments.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 22

Analysts Remain Split on Dollar Tree Outlook as Valuation Slips Amid Mixed Signals

Dollar Tree's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, from around $109.91 to $108.35, as analysts weigh solid recent results and sales growth while considering lingering concerns about margin visibility and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided in their outlook on Dollar Tree, with recent commentary reflecting both confidence in the company's growth drivers and caution regarding the challenges ahead.
ナラティブの更新 Oct 08

Multi-Price Rollout Will Broaden Retail Opportunities

Dollar Tree’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $109.91 from $112.30, as analysts cite solid sales growth and improving margins but remain cautious due to ongoing margin pressures as well as uncertainty around tariffs and operating costs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street Research highlights a diverse range of views on Dollar Tree's outlook, with both bullish and bearish analysts weighing in on valuation, operational progress, and growth strategies following the company's earnings report and guidance update.
ナラティブの更新 Aug 27

Core Focus And 30 Conversions Will Boost Efficiency

Upward analyst revisions for Dollar Tree reflect confidence in continued sales momentum, successful multi-price strategies, and effective tariff mitigation despite ongoing macro risks, resulting in a modest increase in the consensus price target from $109.13 to $110.43. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong comparable sales momentum, driven by increased traffic and successful multi-price and merchandising strategies.
分析記事 Aug 21

Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

NasdaqGS:DLTR 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Dollar Tree's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
分析記事 Jul 29

What Is Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price Doing?

Let's talk about the popular Dollar Tree, Inc. ( NASDAQ:DLTR ). The company's shares saw a significant share price rise...
分析記事 Jul 14

Returns At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Are On The Way Up

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? In a perfect world...
Seeking Alpha Mar 26

Dollar Tree Goes It Alone

Summary Dollar Tree, Inc.'s stock is rising as it sells Family Dollar for $1.007 billion, focusing on its flagship brand and reducing operating expenses. Q4 sales missed estimates but were in line after excluding Family Dollar; same-store sales rose 2%, indicating resilience despite economic pressure. Earnings and gross profit declined, impacted by higher selling expenses and strategic review costs; EPS guidance for fiscal 2025 is $5.00 to $5.50. DLTR stock is a long-term buy, with solid revenue growth, potential price hikes, and a strong cash position, despite tariff impacts and economic challenges. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 13

Family Dollar Spin-Off: Dollar Tree's Path To Recovery

Summary Dollar Tree reported a 3.5% increase in net sales for Q3, driven by higher store traffic and improved margins. Management is exploring the potential sale or spin-off of the underperforming Family Dollar segment. Dollar Tree is trading near its 52-week low; the firm is undervalued compared to historical and industry averages. Optimized store formats, easing inflation, and potential macroeconomic improvements position Dollar Tree. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 03

Dollar Tree Stores: Short-Term Concerns But Still A Buy

Summary I reiterate my buy rating for Dollar Tree Stores (DLTR) due to improved fundamentals and a valuation that remains attractively cheap. Despite near-term concerns about the MPP initiative and slower SSSG, DLTR has shown sequential SSSG improvement driven by increased store traffic. Family Dollar's strong performance in discretionary goods suggests potential for similar success across the Dollar Tree banner, validating DLTR's strategic initiatives. With a more favorable macro environment and continued successful execution, DLTR is poised to return to mid-single-digit revenue growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 09

Dollar Tree: A High Risk, High Return Contrarian Play

Summary Dollar Tree’s strategic review of Family Dollar has the potential to finally draw a line under what has been an extremely disappointing acquisition. The company is currently navigating difficult macroeconomic conditions and also dealing with internal challenges of its own making. The stock has downside risks aplenty, including management instability and uncertainty regarding the impact of import tariff changes. The market appears to be attributing an extremely low value to the group’s Family Dollar segment, contributing to a material undervaluation of the entire Dollar Tree group. For risk-tolerant investors with a medium-term investment time horizon, Dollar Tree represents an attractive risk-return proposition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 02

Sell Dollar Tree Heading Into Q3 Earnings

Summary Dollar Tree is under pressure due to store closures, rising SG&A expenses, and competition from Walmart. Analysts project Q3 2024 EPS & sales growth despite fewer stores, but this seems unlikely given recent performance and Walmart's gains. The CEO's recent departure and potential tariffs under the Trump administration add uncertainty in the coming months. Long-term investors seeking dollar store exposure might prefer DLTR due to stable leadership. Speculative traders could be enticed by the substantial premium of options near the earnings release. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 19

Dollar Tree: Limited Value As Temu Competition And Import Inflation Destroys Moat

Summary Dollar Tree and Dollar General are struggling due to rising operating costs, supply-side inflation, and competition from online and bulk retailers. Dollar Tree's high gross margins may be an issue, as customers will generally find better deals online or in economically-scaled retailers like Walmart. Despite a low valuation, Dollar Tree's business model is outdated, and its long-term viability is questionable without significant strategic changes, such as a shift toward consumables. The company is closing underperforming stores and pivoting away from high-theft areas and items, but it has not proven its ability to retain a moat. DLTR may be a valuable turnaround opportunity if its next CEO is more willing to take aggressive measures to secure its long-term competitive position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 06

Dollar Tree Has Become Too Cheap To Ignore

Summary Dollar Tree is rated as a Buy due to its low valuation, strategic initiatives, and potential upside from a Family Dollar spinoff or restructuring. Key initiatives include multi-price expansion, acquisition of 99 Cents Only stores, supply chain enhancements, and accelerated store growth focusing on Dollar Tree locations. Falling interest rates should boost discretionary sales, further supporting DLTR's profitability and growth potential. Despite risks like CEO departure and liability claims, DLTR's initiatives and low valuation present a compelling investment opportunity with good upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 16

Dollar Tree: Waiting For A Family Dollar Strategic Decision

Summary Dollar Tree, Inc.'s financial outlook has worsened as comparable sales and profitability both sunk in Q2. Especially the Family Dollar segment has continued performing poorly, highlighting the strategic alternative review process's importance. The DLTR valuation now comes with a fair margin of safety, as the company has uncertainty ahead. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
新しいナラティブ Sep 24

From Store Revamps To IT Modernization Boosting Growth And Margins

Multi-price expansion and accelerated store growth at Dollar Tree aim to capitalize on current economic conditions, suggesting potential revenue growth.
Seeking Alpha Sep 23

Dollar Tree: Finding Value In Dollar Store Dumpsters

Summary Dollar Tree's core business has performed comparably to Walmart since 2023. Its 50% drop presents an attractive opportunity. Dollar Stores face macro headwinds, but they expose no durable or structural risks to the Dollar Stores. Dollar Tree's strategic review and initiatives under Dreiling's leadership could unlock its trapped value and presents further upside. Monitoring Family Dollar's strategic review, competitive dynamics, and Temu's growth will be crucial for assessing Dollar Tree's future performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 04

Dollar Tree Gets Crushed, Attracting The Sharks

Summary Dollar Tree, Inc. stock has dropped over 50%, presenting a speculative but potentially lucrative buying opportunity despite short-term issues and disappointing guidance. The company's valuation has reset to an attractive level at $65 per share, though growth is under pressure and core customers are impacted by macroeconomic factors. Sales missed estimates, but gross profit increased due to lower freight costs and higher allowances despite challenges like increased theft and higher distribution costs. The company is undergoing a strategic review, closing underperforming stores, and despite current pain, this could be a contrarian buy for future profit. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 17

Dollar Tree: Stay Calm And Remain Long On This Strong Operator

Summary Dollar Tree stock remains buy rated in my opinion. Positive demand environment and continued SSSG performance support DLTR's position in the market. Lower freight costs and attractive valuation make DLTR an appealing investment option in the current macro environment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

株主還元

DLTRUS Consumer RetailingUS 市場
7D6.0%-5.2%1.1%
1Y7.7%14.7%28.7%

業界別リターン: DLTR過去 1 年間で14.7 % の収益を上げたUS Consumer Retailing業界を下回りました。

リターン対市場: DLTRは、過去 1 年間で28.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。

価格変動

Is DLTR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
DLTR volatility
DLTR Average Weekly Movement5.5%
Consumer Retailing Industry Average Movement5.3%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

安定した株価: DLTR 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。

時間の経過による変動: DLTRの 週次ボラティリティ ( 6% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。

会社概要

設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト
198694,107Mike Creedonwww.dollartree.com

ダラー・ツリー・インクは、米国とカナダでダラー・ツリーおよびダラー・ツリー・カナダのブランドでディスカウントストアを運営している。同社は、家庭紙、化学薬品、食品、キャンディー、健康、パーソナルケア製品、冷凍・冷蔵食品などの日常消耗品、玩具、耐久家庭用品、ギフト、文房具、パーティー用品、グリーティングカード、ソフトライン、アート・クラフト用品などのバラエティ商品、クリスマス、イースター、ハロウィーン、バレンタインデー商品などの季節商品からなる消耗品を提供している。同社は1986年に設立され、バージニア州チェサピークに本社を置いている。

Dollar Tree, Inc. 基礎のまとめ

Dollar Tree の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。
DLTR 基礎統計学
時価総額US$18.50b
収益(TTM)US$1.23b
売上高(TTM)US$19.41b
15.1x
PER(株価収益率
1.0x
P/Sレシオ

収益と収入

最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計
DLTR 損益計算書(TTM)
収益US$19.41b
売上原価US$12.29b
売上総利益US$7.12b
その他の費用US$5.90b
収益US$1.23b

直近の収益報告

Jan 31, 2026

次回決算日

May 28, 2026

一株当たり利益(EPS)6.29
グロス・マージン36.69%
純利益率6.31%
有利子負債/自己資本比率64.8%

DLTR の長期的なパフォーマンスは?

過去の実績と比較を見る

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/24 17:01
終値2026/05/22 00:00
収益2026/01/31
年間収益2026/01/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Dollar Tree, Inc. 25 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。49

アナリスト機関
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
Seth SigmanBarclays
Meredith AdlerBarclays