Toll Brothers 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /16
Toll Brothers利益と収益がそれぞれ年間5.6%と5.2%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に15% 9.3%なると予測されています。
主要情報
5.6%
収益成長率
9.28%
EPS成長率
| Consumer Durables 収益成長 | 7.8% |
| 収益成長率 | 5.2% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 14.98% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 02 Jun 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 02
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.分析記事 • May 23
Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
ナラティブの更新 • May 16
TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.Seeking Alpha • May 05
Toll Brothers: Not An Easy Buy, But Valuation And Fundamentals Reassure Us
Summary Toll Brothers, Inc. remains a buy due to its cheap valuation, robust fundamentals, and strategic luxury market positioning. TOL trades at a P/E of 9.98x and a PEG of 0.80x, with a DDM-derived target price of $155.22, supporting upside potential. Resilient demand from affluent buyers, geographic diversification, and prudent debt management underpin TOL’s stability despite macroeconomic headwinds. Technical indicators suggest caution ahead of Q2 2026 results, but strong liquidity, M&A activity, and guidance for 2,400-2,500 home deliveries reinforce long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 29
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 15
TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 01
TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 18
TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 04
TOL: Luxury Demand And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised from $154.13 to $172.75, as analysts highlight the company’s position in the luxury segment, its recent earnings outperformance, and a series of higher Street targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers point to a wide spread of price targets, but a generally constructive tone around the company’s execution in the luxury segment and its earnings delivery.業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 12,087 | 1,404 | 1,460 | N/A | 5 |
| 10/31/2027 | 11,071 | 1,288 | 1,407 | 1,014 | 14 |
| 10/31/2026 | 10,746 | 1,209 | 1,458 | 834 | 14 |
| 4/30/2026 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,215 | 1,312 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,453 | 1,540 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,026 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 918 | 995 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 723 | 800 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 819 | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 937 | 1,010 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 845 | 919 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 1,210 | 1,273 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 1,250 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 1,193 | 1,266 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 1,839 | 1,908 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 1,265 | 1,337 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 837 | 910 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 915 | 987 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 530 | 608 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 9,365 | 982 | 994 | 1,071 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 9,018 | 889 | 896 | 967 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 8,790 | 834 | 1,236 | 1,303 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 8,295 | 659 | 1,235 | 1,315 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 7,691 | 538 | 1,138 | 1,227 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 7,310 | 486 | 1,333 | 1,430 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 7,078 | 447 | 899 | 1,008 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 6,911 | 450 | 456 | 557 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 7,025 | 481 | 239 | 332 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 7,192 | 535 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 7,224 | 590 | N/A | 438 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 7,300 | 699 | N/A | 685 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 7,448 | 746 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 7,331 | 728 | N/A | 733 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 7,143 | 748 | N/A | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 6,716 | 629 | N/A | 483 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 6,305 | 584 | N/A | 396 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 6,070 | 597 | N/A | 611 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 5,815 | 535 | N/A | 862 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 5,643 | 458 | N/A | 882 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 5,410 | 415 | N/A | 408 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 5,162 | 379 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 5,170 | 382 | N/A | 151 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 4,751 | 415 | N/A | -154 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 4,509 | 376 | N/A | 82 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 4,246 | 355 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 4,171 | 363 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 4,085 | 348 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: TOLの予測収益成長率 (年間5.6% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。
収益対市場: TOLの収益 ( 5.6% ) US市場 ( 16.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高成長収益: TOLの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。
収益対市場: TOLの収益 ( 5.2% ) US市場 ( 11.8% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高い収益成長: TOLの収益 ( 5.2% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: TOLの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 15 %)。
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/06/08 16:09 |
| 終値 | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/04/30 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/10/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Toll Brothers, Inc. 15 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。34
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |