PulteGroup, Inc.

NYSE:PHM 株式レポート

時価総額:US$22.4b

PulteGroup 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /06

PulteGroup利益と収益がそれぞれ年間3%と2.8%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に15.2% 6.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

3.0%

収益成長率

6.74%

EPS成長率

Consumer Durables 収益成長7.6%
収益成長率2.8%
将来の株主資本利益率15.21%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日01 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブ更新 May 02

PHM: Antitrust Probe And Housing Cycle Pressures Will Weigh On Margins

Analysts have adjusted the PulteGroup fair value estimate from $115.00 to about $104.11, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that are also reflected in recent mixed price target changes across firms such as UBS, Evercore ISI, Wells Fargo, BofA, Truist and Raymond James. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PulteGroup shows a split view, with some firms lifting price targets while others cut targets or shifted to a more cautious stance.
ナラティブ更新 Apr 17

PHM: Constrained Supply And Buybacks Will Support Future Margin Repricing

The analyst price target for PulteGroup has been revised from $170 to $159 as analysts incorporate a slightly higher discount rate, modest adjustments to long-term growth and margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple, while still citing supportive industry research and recent rating actions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PulteGroup reflects a mix of cautious valuation resets and ongoing confidence in the company’s earnings power and execution.
Seeking Alpha Apr 12

PulteGroup: Macro Challenges Limit Upside (Rating Downgrade)

Summary PulteGroup is downgraded to 'hold' as macro headwinds dampen near-term housing market prospects. PHM faces margin pressure from higher construction costs, limited pricing power, and a shrinking backlog. Management guides for 2026 closings of 28,500–29,000 homes, with average selling prices and margins at the low end of prior expectations. PHM's strong balance sheet and ongoing buybacks support valuation, but shares appear fairly valued at 12x earnings given cyclical risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 Apr 01

PHM: Incentives And Affordability Pressures Will Shape Margins And Earnings Visibility

PulteGroup's updated analyst price target of $115.00, up from $112.40, reflects analysts' view that revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple now better capture the company's earnings potential highlighted in recent initiations and target hikes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PulteGroup shows a mix of optimism on earnings power and caution around housing affordability, margin risk, and broader construction end markets.
ナラティブ更新 Mar 18

PHM: Constrained Supply And Buybacks Will Support Multi Year Profitability Repricing

The analyst price target for PulteGroup is maintained at $170, with small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E inputs. These changes reflect analysts' view that the market is still underappreciating the company's multi year profitability potential, even though they expect weaker industry margins and demand in 2026.
ナラティブ更新 Mar 04

PHM: Constrained Supply And Buybacks Will Support Future Profitability Repricing

The analyst price target for PulteGroup has been raised from $160 to $170, with analysts pointing to updated views on the company’s earnings potential, supported by recent initiations and target hikes that highlight perceived mispricing of its profitability over the next few years. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PulteGroup has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts highlighting what they view as a gap between the current share price and the company’s earnings potential over the next few years.
新しいナラティブ Feb 21

Structural Housing Shortage and Low Leverage Drive PulteGroup’s 11% Long-Term Growth

Analyst Commentary PulteGroup has transformed from a cyclical builder to a highly efficienct capital machine. They focus on leveraging asset light strategies to build strategic advantages within the housing market supported by structural undersupply.
ナラティブ更新 Feb 18

PHM: Margins Cash Returns And Antitrust Risks Will Shape Balanced Prospects

Analysts have inched their price targets on PulteGroup higher, reflected in a modest uptick in our fair value estimate to $141.38 as they factor in updated views on homebuilding demand, margin resilience, and the company’s future P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PulteGroup points to a split view, with many price targets moving higher while a few firms take a more cautious stance.
ナラティブ更新 Feb 04

PHM: Margins Cash Returns And New Markets Will Guide Balanced Prospects

Analysts have nudged their implied fair value estimate for PulteGroup slightly higher to about $141, after a series of recent price target increases that lean on expectations for healthier revenue trends, firmer profit margins and a lower future P/E assumption, partly offset by a modestly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PulteGroup shows a generally constructive tone, with several firms adjusting price targets and one new initiation, while a couple of voices are more guarded on housing and broader building products exposure.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 21

PHM: Elevated Incentives And Margin Pressure Will Weigh On Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their PulteGroup fair value estimate by about US$10 to roughly US$112, reflecting updated price targets that factor in slower projected revenue growth, some pressure on profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple supported by recent research highlighting the resilience of its move up and active adult mix in a tougher affordability backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research on PulteGroup has been active, with several firms revisiting their price targets and assumptions as housing affordability and demand visibility remain key swing factors.
ナラティブ更新 Jan 06

PHM: Constrained Housing Supply And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts have inched their average PulteGroup price target slightly lower to about $159, a trim of roughly $1, as they factor in a modestly higher discount rate and small tweaks to long term margin and P/E assumptions, while still pointing to constrained housing supply and potential macro improvement as key supports for the homebuilder. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts trimming their PulteGroup price targets slightly while maintaining positive ratings see the recent move as more of a fine tuning of models than a change in conviction.
分析記事 Jan 01

An Intrinsic Calculation For PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE:PHM) Suggests It's 24% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, PulteGroup fair value estimate is US$154 PulteGroup is...
ナラティブ更新 Dec 23

PHM: Sector Multiple Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Earnings Resilience

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for PulteGroup slightly lower to $160 from $163, reflecting modestly softer long term revenue growth and margin assumptions, even as sector multiple expansion supports a higher $143 Street price target. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that the recent lift in the PulteGroup price target to $143 reflects growing confidence that the company can sustain attractive returns even as volume growth moderates.
ナラティブ更新 Dec 08

PHM: Resilient Margins And Sector Multiple Expansion Will Drive Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for PulteGroup higher to about $139 from roughly $137, citing sector multiple expansion, resilient margins, and only modest expected volume pressure, despite a slightly higher discount rate and softer revenue growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on PulteGroup reflect a broadly constructive stance, with valuation moving higher as analysts reassess sector dynamics and company specific execution.
分析記事 Dec 05

PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.26

PulteGroup, Inc. ( NYSE:PHM ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment...
分析記事 Sep 27

PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE:PHM) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights The projected fair value for PulteGroup is US$252 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
ナラティブ更新 Sep 19

Active Adult Communities And Sunbelt Migration Will Drive Opportunity

Analysts have raised PulteGroup's price target to $137.38, reflecting strong Q2 results, solid execution of strategy, and sector optimism, despite some near-term demand concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have raised price targets in response to PulteGroup's strong Q2 results, which beat both internal forecasts and consensus estimates, reflecting solid operational performance.
分析記事 Sep 08

Why The 23% Return On Capital At PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) Should Have Your Attention

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
分析記事 Jul 07

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By PulteGroup, Inc.'s (NYSE:PHM) Low P/E

PulteGroup, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PHM ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.4x might make it look like a strong buy right...
分析記事 May 15

Does PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha Apr 24

PulteGroup: Recent Volatility Has Led To A Compelling Price-To-Value Proposition

Summary PulteGroup, a leading U.S. homebuilder, is recognized for its diverse offerings and strong financial position, including a "net cash" status and significant share repurchases. Despite recent market challenges, Pulte's long-term positioning and compelling price-to-value proposition make it an attractive investment, particularly given its above-average margins and scale. Pulte, Lennar, and D.R. Horton have evolved to more defensive business models, securing land through options and generating significant free cash flow without land reinvestment. Fund Management believes these companies can maintain profitability, sustain share repurchases, and improve their cost of capital over time, emulating successful "land light" and "net cash" models. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 30

PulteGroup: Cheap With High Demand In 2025

Summary PulteGroup, Inc. reported a strong Q4 with a 17.2% revenue increase, driven by higher home closings and average selling prices. Despite margin pressures, PulteGroup's administrative expenses improved significantly, contributing to strong income growth. New orders dipped slightly, but the value of these orders rose 4%, and the backlog remains robust at 10,153 homes valued at $6.5 billion. With a healthy balance sheet, ongoing share buybacks, and stable margins, PulteGroup is poised for continued growth, making PHM stock a strong buy opportunity on any weakness. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 30

PulteGroup: A Top Homebuilder For 2025

Summary In this article, I revisit the homebuilders to assess which is my top choice to lead the industry in 2025. PulteGroup remains my favorite pick due to its solid fundamentals, diversified portfolio, and attractive total shareholder returns. Its balanced operating model, combining speculative and build-to-order homebuilding, allows the company to adapt to shifting consumer preferences. Despite margin pressures and elevated interest rates, its low debt and strong cash position support long-term growth and shareholder returns. D.R. Horton and Green Brick Partners also stand out in my analysis. The former offers industry-leading scale and a higher dividend while the latter has a favorable valuation and operations in high-growth markets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 23

PulteGroup: Margins Are A Concern In A Mixed Q3 (Downgrade)

Summary PulteGroup shares fell 7% after Q3 earnings amid fears of rising mortgage rates despite Fed cuts could reduce housing demand. Q3 EPS beat estimates, but new orders fell 0.5% while increased incentives and higher SG&A expenses pressured margins. Pulte's backlog supports current production, but higher land spending and Florida's weak performance pose risks. Despite challenges, strong cash flow and low debt make Pulte a hold, with a revised price target of $140. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 20

PulteGroup: Overvalued As Housing Shortage Slows And Home Prices Falter

Summary PulteGroup's high valuation and profit margins are unsustainable due to low home affordability and a fading housing shortage, making it a potential short opportunity. Despite strong recent performance, PulteGroup's backlog and new orders are declining, signaling reduced demand and increased risk exposure. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts should not significantly lower mortgage rates, meaning home affordability is unlikely to improve without lower prices. PulteGroup's aggressive investment in new projects amidst economic uncertainty could exacerbate losses if the economy enters a broader recession, though a 2008-repeat is unlikely for numerous reasons. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 03

PulteGroup: Solid Margins In Undersupplied Industry

Summary PulteGroup, Inc. has achieved growth in line with industry peers as home builders have benefited from a widening housing undersupply, but with much greater margins than its large peers. The short-term industry outlook has been more cloudy with fluctuating interest rates and a weaker labor market, but long-term industry trends should remain healthy. PulteGroup's stock is valued at a reasonable margin of safety compared to my estimated intrinsic value and peers' EV/EBITDA ratios. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 06

PulteGroup: A Top Homebuilder For Dividend Growth And Total Return

Summary Homebuilders have absolutely crushed the broader market over the past decade, nearly doubling the total return of the S&P 500. After screening the Homebuilding industry for high-growth, dividend-paying companies, I identify PulteGroup as a particularly strong performer. I also find PHM’s current valuation to be somewhat more favorable than those of its peers at this time. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:PHM - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/202818,4502,419N/AN/A4
12/31/202717,1542,0381,7231,43312
12/31/202616,4571,9062,0431,11212
3/31/202616,8282,0431,7781,897N/A
12/31/202517,3122,2191,7491,871N/A
9/30/202517,6232,6301,5521,668N/A
6/30/202517,6952,7421,3181,445N/A
3/31/202517,8902,9431,4511,575N/A
12/31/202417,9473,0831,5621,681N/A
9/30/202417,3192,8791,2831,402N/A
6/30/202416,8462,8171,3011,403N/A
3/31/202416,4352,7261,6331,725N/A
12/31/202316,0622,5932,1052,197N/A
9/30/202316,8472,7612,7892,881N/A
6/30/202316,7382,7491,9222,017N/A
3/31/202316,4292,6801,0661,172N/A
12/31/202216,0032,601556668N/A
9/30/202215,2832,38243152N/A
6/30/202214,8672,229571674N/A
3/31/202214,3472,0809461,035N/A
12/31/202113,7371,9309311,004N/A
9/30/202112,7611,7071,0021,066N/A
6/30/202112,2371,6481,3551,409N/A
3/31/202111,4711,4941,7041,756N/A
12/31/202011,0361,3941,7261,784N/A
9/30/202010,8611,2931,6981,760N/A
6/30/202010,6161,1501,5131,578N/A
3/31/202010,5111,0431,0601,122N/A
12/31/201910,2131,006N/A1,076N/A
9/30/201910,195909N/A1,018N/A
6/30/201910,134925N/A1,208N/A
3/31/201910,2151,005N/A1,440N/A
12/31/201810,1881,011N/A1,448N/A
9/30/20189,984852N/A1,426N/A
6/30/20189,466742N/A1,034N/A
3/31/20188,918523N/A792N/A
12/31/20178,578443N/A663N/A
9/30/20178,276637N/A627N/A
6/30/20178,088589N/A565N/A
3/31/20177,866606N/A171N/A
12/31/20167,677598N/A68N/A
9/30/20167,237553N/A-399N/A
6/30/20166,801533N/A-467N/A
3/31/20166,281519N/A-375N/A
12/31/20155,982491N/A-338N/A
9/30/20155,743480N/A-137N/A
6/30/20155,831512N/A44N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: PHMの予測収益成長率 (年間3% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を下回っています。

収益対市場: PHMの収益 ( 3% ) US市場 ( 16.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: PHMの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: PHMの収益 ( 2.8% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: PHMの収益 ( 2.8% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。


一株当たり利益成長率予想


将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: PHMの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 15.2 %)。


成長企業の発掘

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日(UTC時間)
企業分析2026/05/11 06:32
終値2026/05/11 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

PulteGroup, Inc. 13 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。34

アナリスト機関
Stephen KimBarclays
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research