Virgin Galactic Holdings（SPCE）株式概要ヴァージン・ギャラクティック・ホールディングスは航空宇宙と宇宙旅行の会社で、宇宙船と関連技術の開発、製造、運営に注力している。 詳細SPCE ファンダメンタル分析スノーフレーク・スコア評価4/6将来の成長5/6過去の実績0/6財務の健全性2/6配当金0/6報酬当社が推定した公正価値より97.6%で取引されている 収益は年間73%増加すると予測されています 過去5年間の収益は年間5.7%増加しました。 リスク分析キャッシュランウェイが1年未満である 過去1年間で株主の希薄化は大幅に進んだ US市場と比較した過去 3 か月間の株価の変動意味のある収益がありません ( $1M )すべてのリスクチェックを見るSPCE Community Fair Values Create NarrativeSee what 140 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.Analyst Price TargetsAN20.6% undervaluedAnalystConsensusTarget•4mo agoLong Life Spacecraft And Higher Flight Rates Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook25408AN59.5% undervaluedAnalystHighTarget•4mo agoFlight Test Milestones And Durable Fleet Design Will Transform Long Term Spaceflight Prospects27204AN62.0% overvaluedAnalystLowTarget•5mo agoFlight Cadence And Pricing Power Will Likely Limit Long-Term Space Tourism Upside11000Top Analyst NarrativesAN20.6% undervaluedAnalystConsensusTarget•4mo agoLong Life Spacecraft And Higher Flight Rates Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook25408AN59.5% undervaluedAnalystHighTarget•4mo agoFlight Test Milestones And Durable Fleet Design Will Transform Long Term Spaceflight Prospects27204AN62.0% overvaluedAnalystLowTarget•5mo agoFlight Cadence And Pricing Power Will Likely Limit Long-Term Space Tourism Upside11000View all narrativesVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 競合他社A2Z Cust2Mate SolutionsSymbol: NasdaqCM:AZMarket cap: US$282.0mApplied EnergeticsSymbol: OTCPK:AERGMarket cap: US$275.5mSidus SpaceSymbol: NasdaqCM:SIDUMarket cap: US$414.0mStarfighters SpaceSymbol: NYSEAM:FJETMarket cap: US$318.1m価格と性能株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Virgin Galactic Holdings過去の株価現在の株価US$3.2452週高値US$5.2352週安値US$2.13ベータ2.171ヶ月の変化25.58%3ヶ月変化33.33%1年変化-12.90%3年間の変化-95.21%5年間の変化-99.48%IPOからの変化-98.62%最新ニュースライブニュース • May 23Virgin Galactic Narrows Loss as Delta-Class Testing Begins and Bookings Build for 2026 LaunchVirgin Galactic reported a Q1 2026 net loss of about US$65 million on minimal revenue, with EPS coming in ahead of market estimates. Operating expenses declined around 26% and adjusted EBITDA improved about 24%, as the company continued cost-cutting and debt repayment efforts during its pre-revenue phase. The first Delta-class SpaceShip has been delivered to the test-and-launch hangar with ground testing underway. Flight tests are targeted for Q3 2026 and initial commercial spaceflights for Q4 2026, supported by roughly 650 future astronauts booked at US$750,000 per ticket. The key tension here is between clear operational progress toward a 2026 commercial launch timeline and ongoing liquidity pressure that has prompted at-the-market equity raises and plans for partial debt redemption. You should keep an eye on cash usage, additional capital-raising activity, and any changes to the commercial ramp profile into 2027, since these factors frame both dilution risk and the company’s ability to move from test flights to sustainable operations.Seeking Alpha • May 17Virgin Galactic: Q1 Keeps The Speculative Bull Case AliveSummary Virgin Galactic remains a highly speculative play, but 1Q26 validated operational milestones and kept the commercialization bridge intact. SPCE continues to burn cash and dilute shareholders, yet milestone progress—Delta spaceship ground testing and flight schedules—supports a more concrete bull case. Demand signals are positive, with $750k seat bookings receiving global interest and deposits, countering skepticism on pricing power. Despite ongoing risks—dilution, schedule slippage, regulatory hurdles—I see meaningful upside if SPCE executes toward FY27 commercialization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaReported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: US$0.81 loss per share (improved from US$2.38 loss in 1Q 2025). Net loss: US$64.7m (loss narrowed 23% from 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 46% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.Breakeven Date Change • May 16The 6 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings previously expected the company to break even in 2028. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 66% per year to 2027. The company is expected to make a profit of US$28.3m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 84% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.お知らせ • Apr 30Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 14, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 14, 2026お知らせ • Apr 22Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026.最新情報をもっと見るRecent updatesライブニュース • May 23Virgin Galactic Narrows Loss as Delta-Class Testing Begins and Bookings Build for 2026 LaunchVirgin Galactic reported a Q1 2026 net loss of about US$65 million on minimal revenue, with EPS coming in ahead of market estimates. Operating expenses declined around 26% and adjusted EBITDA improved about 24%, as the company continued cost-cutting and debt repayment efforts during its pre-revenue phase. The first Delta-class SpaceShip has been delivered to the test-and-launch hangar with ground testing underway. Flight tests are targeted for Q3 2026 and initial commercial spaceflights for Q4 2026, supported by roughly 650 future astronauts booked at US$750,000 per ticket. The key tension here is between clear operational progress toward a 2026 commercial launch timeline and ongoing liquidity pressure that has prompted at-the-market equity raises and plans for partial debt redemption. You should keep an eye on cash usage, additional capital-raising activity, and any changes to the commercial ramp profile into 2027, since these factors frame both dilution risk and the company’s ability to move from test flights to sustainable operations.Seeking Alpha • May 17Virgin Galactic: Q1 Keeps The Speculative Bull Case AliveSummary Virgin Galactic remains a highly speculative play, but 1Q26 validated operational milestones and kept the commercialization bridge intact. SPCE continues to burn cash and dilute shareholders, yet milestone progress—Delta spaceship ground testing and flight schedules—supports a more concrete bull case. Demand signals are positive, with $750k seat bookings receiving global interest and deposits, countering skepticism on pricing power. Despite ongoing risks—dilution, schedule slippage, regulatory hurdles—I see meaningful upside if SPCE executes toward FY27 commercialization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaReported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: US$0.81 loss per share (improved from US$2.38 loss in 1Q 2025). Net loss: US$64.7m (loss narrowed 23% from 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 46% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.Breakeven Date Change • May 16The 6 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings previously expected the company to break even in 2028. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 66% per year to 2027. The company is expected to make a profit of US$28.3m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 84% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.お知らせ • Apr 30Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 14, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 14, 2026お知らせ • Apr 22Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Apr 12Executive VP exercised options and sold US$88k worth of stockOn the 7th of April, Sarah Kim exercised options to acquire 29k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$3.07 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. Since June 2025, Sarah's direct individual holding has increased from 7.09k shares to 33.82k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$383k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.New Risk • Apr 06New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-US$438m free cash flow). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (129% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.5m revenue).New Risk • Mar 31New major risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -US$438m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-US$438m free cash flow). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (106% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.5m revenue).Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2025 results: US$5.44 loss per share (improved from US$13.90 loss in FY 2024). Net loss: US$278.9m (loss narrowed 20% from FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 5.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 46% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.4% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.Price Target Changed • Mar 30Price target increased by 9.1% to US$4.50Up from US$4.12, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 107% above last closing price of US$2.17. Stock is down 28% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$5.73 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$13.89 last year.Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Mar 24Executive VP exercised options and sold US$29k worth of stockOn the 16th of March, Sarah Kim exercised options to acquire 12k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$2.48 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. Since March 2025, Sarah's direct individual holding has increased from 3.94k shares to 7.03k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$77k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.お知らせ • Mar 24Virgin Galactic Appoints Megan Prichard as Chief Growth Officer, Effective Effective April 6, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced the appointment of Megan Prichard as its new Chief Growth Officer (CGO), effective April 6. In this newly established role, Prichard will lead the Company's integrated growth and revenue strategy across all business lines while strengthening Virgin Galactic’s position as the premier platform for suborbital spaceflight expeditions and scientific research. Prichard’s remit includes expanding Virgin Galactic’s existing book of business for both research missions and spaceflight expeditions, accelerating the creation of new spaceports, developing an exclusive set of brand partnerships, and identifying and entering new commercial markets building upon Virgin Galactic’s deep technical talent, intellectual property, and unrivaled experience creation capabilities. Prichard joins Virgin Galactic from Uber, where she served as Head of US Mobility Portfolio. In this capacity, Prichard was responsible for accelerating US ride hail growth and launching and scaling new business lines, including the ultra-premium Uber Elite. Megan has also served as a general manager for Uber’s E-VTOL and micromobility businesses. Before joining Uber, Prichard served as Vice President for Commercialization at Cruise, an autonomous vehicle subsidiary of General Motors. Prichard holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from Yale University and a juris doctorate from the University of Southern California’s Gould School of Law. She began her career as a management consultant at McKinsey & Company. Prichard also serves on the board of Blackline.お知らせ • Feb 18Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 30, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 30, 2026New Risk • Jan 13New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$293m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$10m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (126% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$10m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).Breakeven Date Change • Dec 31Forecast to breakeven in 2028The 6 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings expect the company to break even for the first time. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of US$70.9m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 55% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.New Risk • Dec 10New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (119% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).お知らせ • Dec 09Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $45.588729 million.Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $45.588729 million. Security Name: Common Stock Security Type: Common Stock Security Name: Pre-Funded Warrants Security Type: Equity Warrant Transaction Features: Registered Direct OfferingMajor Estimate Revision • Nov 20Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$5.61 loss, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$1.76m to US$1.72m. 2025 losses expected to reduce from -US$6.49 to -US$5.61 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 26% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$4.16. Share price fell 4.4% to US$3.46 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Nov 16Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: US$1.09 loss per share (improved from US$2.67 loss in 3Q 2024). Net loss: US$64.4m (loss narrowed 14% from 3Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 16%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 27%. Revenue is forecast to grow 64% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.New Risk • Nov 14New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$303m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$22m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (99% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-US$470m). Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$22m net loss in 3 years). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).お知らせ • Oct 23Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 13, 2025New Risk • Oct 03New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-US$470m). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).New Risk • Aug 08New minor risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow. Free cash flow: -US$470m This is considered a minor risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (46% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-US$470m). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (17% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).Reported Earnings • Aug 08Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindSecond quarter 2025 results: US$1.47 loss per share (improved from US$4.37 loss in 2Q 2024). Net loss: US$67.3m (loss narrowed 28% from 2Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 9.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow 61% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.Major Estimate Revision • Aug 07Consensus revenue estimates increase by 15%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$1.67m to US$1.93m. EPS estimate unchanged from -US$6.26 at last update. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 25% next year. Consensus price target of US$4.50 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 10.0% to US$3.42 over the past week.お知らせ • Jul 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2025Price Target Changed • Jun 30Price target decreased by 49% to US$4.46Down from US$8.82, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 63% above last closing price of US$2.73. Stock is down 66% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$9.40 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$13.89 last year.お知らせ • Jun 30+ 16 more updatesVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:SPCE) dropped from Russell 2500 IndexVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:SPCE) dropped from Russell 2500 IndexNew Risk • Jun 16New major risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -US$470m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-US$470m free cash flow). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$15m net loss in 3 years).分析記事 • May 29Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPCE) CEO Pay PacketKey Insights Virgin Galactic Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 5th of June Total pay for CEO Michael...New Risk • May 27New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$329m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$15m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$15m net loss in 3 years).Major Estimate Revision • May 22Consensus revenue estimates increase by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$1.51m to US$1.70m. EPS estimate unchanged at -US$9.45. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 20% next year. Consensus price target down from US$8.82 to US$8.11. Share price rose 4.8% to US$3.72 over the past week.Price Target Changed • May 19Price target decreased by 53% to US$4.13Down from US$8.82, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of US$4.33. Stock is down 78% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$9.45 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$13.89 last year.New Risk • May 18New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$329m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$1.5m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$1.5m net loss in 3 years).New Risk • May 16New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of American stocks, typically moving 13% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (13% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding).Reported Earnings • May 16First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: US$2.38 loss per share (improved from US$5.10 loss in 1Q 2024). Net loss: US$84.5m (loss narrowed 17% from 1Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 61%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 54% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.Seeking Alpha • Apr 30Virgin Galactic: One Spark Could Set This Doomed Stock On Fire, But It Takes NerveSummary Virgin Galactic faces a highly speculative future with two possible outcomes: bankruptcy or success in the space tourism market. The company has cash to survive for the next couple of years, but significant risks remain with delays, high cash burn, and debt issues. Despite a low stock valuation, Virgin Galactic's stock could see a sharp rise if any positive news or catalysts emerge. Investors seeking high upside with lower risk might consider long-term call options (LEAPS) rather than buying the stock directly. The company’s future success all comes down to hitting some pretty big goals by 2026, but there’s a lot that could go wrong along the way. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Apr 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 15, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 15, 2025お知らせ • Apr 16Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025.New Risk • Apr 04New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: US$98.4m This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (78% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$43m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (US$98.4m market cap).New Risk • Mar 20New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (78% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$43m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change).Major Estimate Revision • Mar 14Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 26%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$1.96m to US$1.46m. EPS estimate unchanged at -US$9.54 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 23% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$8.82. Share price fell 3.0% to US$3.26 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 05Consensus revenue estimates increase by 50%, EPS downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$1.31m to US$1.96m. EPS estimate fell from -US$9.11 to -US$9.51 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 21% next year. Consensus price target down from US$13.57 to US$8.93. Share price fell 16% to US$3.40 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Feb 27Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: US$13.90 loss per share (improved from US$29.79 loss in FY 2023). Net loss: US$346.7m (loss narrowed 31% from FY 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 51% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.お知らせ • Feb 13Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 26, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 26, 2025Seeking Alpha • Jan 23Virgin Galactic: Downward SpiralSummary Virgin Galactic's declining market capitalization is undermining its ability to raise capital. This is important because of its high cash burn and declining cash balance. Meaningful revenue is likely still at least 2 years away and positive cash flow even further away. The company's tenuous position is made worse by a debt maturity date that is drawing nearer. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNew Risk • Jan 16New major risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 44% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (44% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$67m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change).Price Target Changed • Nov 13Price target decreased by 11% to US$12.17Down from US$13.67, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 72% above last closing price of US$7.08. Stock is down 84% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$14.79 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 13Consensus revenue estimates increase by 10%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from US$6.21m to US$6.86m. Forecast losses expected to reduce from -US$74.25 to -US$14.79 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 24% next year. Consensus price target of US$14.40 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 2.6% to US$7.06 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Nov 07Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2024 results: US$2.67 loss per share (improved from US$5.57 loss in 3Q 2023). Net loss: US$74.5m (loss narrowed 29% from 3Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 48%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 29%. Revenue is forecast to grow 71% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.お知らせ • Nov 07Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million. Security Name: Common Stock Security Type: Common Stock Transaction Features: At the Market Offeringお知らせ • Oct 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 06, 2024Price Target Changed • Oct 11Price target decreased by 7.3% to US$12.67Down from US$13.67, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 103% above last closing price of US$6.25. Stock is down 81% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$88.47 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.Seeking Alpha • Sep 20Virgin Galactic: I Like The Vision, But Execution Is The KeySummary Virgin Galactic's potential hinges on achieving ambitious flight goals; execution and early results are crucial before considering a rating upgrade. SPCE's cash reserves are tight, with significant negative FCF expected through FY25. The long-term market potential is significant, but I remain cautious, awaiting execution in FY25 and FY26 before revising my rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 28Virgin Galactic: Pipe Dream Business Still Lacks Meaningful, Sustainable ModelSummary Virgin Galactic has a sensible balance sheet but is plagued by massive losses and minimal revenue, making it a risky investment. The company's strategy to lower operating costs and expand capacity is challenged by an uncertain market for commercial spaceflight. Economic sensitivity and safety concerns further jeopardize Virgin Galactic's potential, with discretionary spending likely to decline in economic downturns. Despite the futuristic appeal, the company's history and financial projections indicate it's not a viable investment; I recommend a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrice Target Changed • Aug 11Price target increased by 8.5% to US$43.20Up from US$39.83, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 604% above last closing price of US$6.14. Stock is down 91% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$19.19 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.Price Target Changed • Aug 09Price target decreased by 8.7% to US$38.50Down from US$42.17, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 527% above last closing price of US$6.14. Stock is down 91% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$19.19 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.Reported Earnings • Aug 08Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2024 results: US$4.37 loss per share (improved from US$9.17 loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$4.22m (up 125% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: US$93.8m (loss narrowed 30% from 2Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 26%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 58% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.6% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.お知らせ • Jul 25Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 07, 2024Price Target Changed • Jul 17Price target decreased by 8.8% to US$39.83Down from US$43.67, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 457% above last closing price of US$7.15. Stock is down 91% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$18.91 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.Seeking Alpha • Jun 19Virgin Galactic: Final DescentSummary Virgin Galactic faces a bleak future due to its dwindling cash reserves, limited market capitalization, and uncertain path to profitability. While the introduction of Delta Class ships could help the company ramp commercial operations, this is at least 2 years away and will require significant investments. Virgin Galactic's market capitalization makes raising capital difficult, meaning that any issues or delays are likely to prove fatal. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 06Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPCE) CEO Compensation For NowKey Insights Virgin Galactic Holdings will host its Annual General Meeting on 12th of June Salary of US$1.00m is part...お知らせ • May 30Virgin Galactic Receives NYSE Continued Listing Standard NoticeVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (the Company") received a notice (the Notice") from the New York Stock Exchange (the NYSE") that it is no longer in compliance with Section 802.01C of the NYSE Listed Company Manual (Section 802.01C"), which requires listed companies to maintain an average closing price per share of at least $1.00 over a 30 consecutive trading-day period. Pursuant to Section 802.01C, the Company has a period of six months after receipt of the Notice (the Cure Period") to regain compliance. As of the date of this Current Report on Form 8-K, the Company is in compliance with all other NYSE continued listing standards. On May 29, 2024, the Company notified the NYSE of its intent to cure the deficiency and regain compliance with Section 802.01C. On April 29, 2024, the Company made available to its stockholders and filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC") a definitive proxy statement on Schedule 14A (the Proxy Statement") related to the Company's 2024 annual meeting of stockholders (the Annual Meeting"). The Proxy Statement includes, among other things, a stockholder voting proposal to authorize the Company's Board of Directors (the Board") to effect a reverse stock split of the Company's outstanding shares of common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (Common Stock"), after the Annual Meeting at a reverse stock split ratio ranging from any whole number between 1-for-2 and 1-for-20, as determined by the Board in its discretion (the Reverse Stock Split"), subject to the Board's authority to abandon such Reverse Stock Split. If the Company obtains stockholder approval of the Reverse Stock Split at the Annual Meeting and effects the Reverse Stock Split during the Cure Period, then the Company would expect to regain compliance with Section 802.01C at such time that the trading price per share of Common Stock promptly exceeds $1.00 per share, and remains above that level for at least the 30 trading-day period thereafter. The Company may consider various other available options to regain compliance with Section 802.01C. The Company can otherwise regain compliance with Section 802.01C at any time during the Cure Period if, on the last trading day of any month during the Cure Period, the Common Stock has a closing price of at least $1.00 and an average closing price of at least $1.00 over the 30 trading-day period ending on such date. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to regain compliance with Section 802.01C or will not otherwise be delisted from the NYSE before or after the stockholders have the opportunity to approve the Reverse Stock Splitat the Annual Meeting and/or the Company is able to effect the Reverse Stock Split. In addition, there can be no assurance that the Company will be able to obtain stockholder approval of the Reverse Stock Split at the Annual Meeting. The Common Stock will continue to be listed and trade on the NYSE under the symbol SPCE", subject to the Company's compliance with the other NYSE continued listing standards.New Risk • May 29New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of American stocks, typically moving 16% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (16% average weekly change). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$153m net loss in 3 years). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (46% increase in shares outstanding).Price Target Changed • May 15Price target decreased by 11% to US$2.37Down from US$2.66, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 124% above last closing price of US$1.06. Stock is down 76% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$0.96 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$1.49 last year.Seeking Alpha • May 14Virgin Galactic: The Guidance Looks Better Than I ExpectedSummary Virgin Galactic's Q1 2024 results show improvements in revenue and cash burn rates, but the primary goal of generating significant revenue is still a few years away. SPCE's guidance suggests higher ticket prices, but the target of becoming cash flow positive in 2026 may still be optimistic. The development of the next-gen mothership is delayed, and the current generation will need to increase flight frequency to meet ambitious goals. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMajor Estimate Revision • May 14Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from US$5.39m to US$6.04m. Forecast losses expected to reduce from -US$1.03 to -US$0.961 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$2.64. Share price was steady at US$1.04 over the past week.Reported Earnings • May 08First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFirst quarter 2024 results: US$0.26 loss per share (improved from US$0.57 loss in 1Q 2023). Net loss: US$102.0m (loss narrowed 36% from 1Q 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 14%. Revenue is forecast to grow 55% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 60% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.お知らせ • May 08Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Provides Revenue Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. provided revenue guidance for the second quarter of 2024. Revenue for the second quarter of 2024 is expected to be approximately $3.5 million.お知らせ • May 01Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024, at 09:00 Pacific Standard Time. Agenda: To elect the director nominees listed in the Proxy Statement; to ratify the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2024; to approve, on an advisory (non-binding) basis, the compensation of Company’s named executive officers; to approve the Company’s Second Amended and Restated Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 2019 Incentive Award Plan; and to consider other matters.お知らせ • Apr 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 07, 2024Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Apr 14CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold US$139k worth of stockOn the 9th of April, Michael Colglazier exercised options to acquire 118k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$1.18 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to December 2020, Michael's total compensation was 9% salary and 91% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since June 2023, Michael's direct individual holding has increased from 289.09k shares to 385.54k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$242k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.Price Target Changed • Apr 04Price target decreased by 9.6% to US$2.66Down from US$2.94, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 111% above last closing price of US$1.26. Stock is down 60% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$1.00 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$1.49 last year.Seeking Alpha • Apr 02Virgin Galactic: More Downside Expected After Boeing LawsuitSummary The recent Boeing lawsuit against Virgin Galactic could delay its timeline to starting commercial Delta class spaceflights in 2026. Virgin Galactic is unlikely to reach its target cadence of 2 Delta class spaceflights per spaceship per week in 2026 due to its existing mothership’s limitations stemming from its age. Virgin Galactic’s decision to pause Unity flights in Q2 2024 means that the company may not generate any revenue until commercial flights of Delta class spaceships commence. Virgin Galactic’s cash runway is only enough to last less than 2 years and the lawsuit could accelerate its need to raise capital, in my opinion. Bankruptcy is a strong possibility for Virgin Galactic, in my view, if it's unable to start commercial Delta class spaceflights in 2026 with $418.7 million of debt maturing in 2027. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaMajor Estimate Revision • Mar 05Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 14%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast fell from US$11.2m to US$9.63m. EPS estimate unchanged at -US$0.998 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 21% next year. Consensus price target down from US$2.94 to US$2.75. Share price fell 15% to US$1.61 over the past week.お知らせ • Feb 29Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter of 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2024. For the period, the company's revenue is expected to be approximately $2 million.Reported Earnings • Feb 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2023 results: US$1.49 loss per share. Net loss: US$502.3m (flat on FY 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 4.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 54% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.Seeking Alpha • Feb 20Virgin Galactic Holdings: A Risk-Bound Yet To Mature Business, SellSummary Virgin Galactic Holdings shares have experienced a significant decline and underperformed the S&P 500. SPCE stock price movement indicates an immature business model and weak financial health, with increasing negative cash flows and reliance on debt. Technical and operational challenges, as well as high valuation, suggest a further downside for the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaお知らせ • Feb 14Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 27, 2024株主還元SPCEUS Aerospace & DefenseUS 市場7D15.3%3.8%1.1%1Y-12.9%30.6%28.7%株主還元を見る業界別リターン: SPCE過去 1 年間で30.6 % の収益を上げたUS Aerospace & Defense業界を下回りました。リターン対市場: SPCEは、過去 1 年間で28.7 % のリターンを上げたUS市場を下回りました。価格変動Is SPCE's price volatile compared to industry and market?SPCE volatilitySPCE Average Weekly Movement13.8%Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement9.3%Market Average Movement7.2%10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.5%10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%安定した株価: SPCEの株価は、 US市場と比較して過去 3 か月間で変動しています。時間の経過による変動: SPCEの weekly volatility ( 14% ) は過去 1 年間安定していますが、依然としてUSの株式の 75% よりも高くなっています。会社概要設立従業員CEO（最高経営責任者ウェブサイトn/a694Michael Colglazierwww.virgingalactic.comヴァージン・ギャラクティック・ホールディングスは航空宇宙と宇宙旅行の会社で、宇宙船と関連技術の開発、製造、運用に注力している。個人、研究者、政府機関向けに宇宙飛行システムの設計・開発、製造、地上試験、飛行試験、宇宙飛行運用、飛行後のメンテナンスを行っている。ヴァージン・ギャラクティック・ホールディングスはカリフォルニア州タスティンに本社を置いている。もっと見るVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 基礎のまとめVirgin Galactic Holdings の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。SPCE 基礎統計学時価総額US$305.91m収益（TTM）-US$259.13m売上高(TTM)US$1.31m233.5xP/Sレシオ-1.2xPER（株価収益率SPCE は割高か？公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入最新の決算報告書（TTM）に基づく主な収益性統計SPCE 損益計算書（TTM）収益US$1.31m売上原価US$81.58m売上総利益-US$80.27mその他の費用US$178.86m収益-US$259.13m直近の収益報告Mar 31, 2026次回決算日該当なし一株当たり利益（EPS）-2.74グロス・マージン-6,127.71%純利益率-19,781.30%有利子負債／自己資本比率142.9%SPCE の長期的なパフォーマンスは？過去の実績と比較を見るView Valuation企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/24 08:42終値2026/05/22 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 7 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。13 アナリスト機関Ronald EpsteinBofA Global ResearchKenneth HerbertCanaccord GenuityNoah PoponakGoldman Sachs10 その他のアナリストを表示
ライブニュース • May 23Virgin Galactic Narrows Loss as Delta-Class Testing Begins and Bookings Build for 2026 LaunchVirgin Galactic reported a Q1 2026 net loss of about US$65 million on minimal revenue, with EPS coming in ahead of market estimates. Operating expenses declined around 26% and adjusted EBITDA improved about 24%, as the company continued cost-cutting and debt repayment efforts during its pre-revenue phase. The first Delta-class SpaceShip has been delivered to the test-and-launch hangar with ground testing underway. Flight tests are targeted for Q3 2026 and initial commercial spaceflights for Q4 2026, supported by roughly 650 future astronauts booked at US$750,000 per ticket. The key tension here is between clear operational progress toward a 2026 commercial launch timeline and ongoing liquidity pressure that has prompted at-the-market equity raises and plans for partial debt redemption. You should keep an eye on cash usage, additional capital-raising activity, and any changes to the commercial ramp profile into 2027, since these factors frame both dilution risk and the company’s ability to move from test flights to sustainable operations.
Seeking Alpha • May 17Virgin Galactic: Q1 Keeps The Speculative Bull Case AliveSummary Virgin Galactic remains a highly speculative play, but 1Q26 validated operational milestones and kept the commercialization bridge intact. SPCE continues to burn cash and dilute shareholders, yet milestone progress—Delta spaceship ground testing and flight schedules—supports a more concrete bull case. Demand signals are positive, with $750k seat bookings receiving global interest and deposits, countering skepticism on pricing power. Despite ongoing risks—dilution, schedule slippage, regulatory hurdles—I see meaningful upside if SPCE executes toward FY27 commercialization. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Reported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: US$0.81 loss per share (improved from US$2.38 loss in 1Q 2025). Net loss: US$64.7m (loss narrowed 23% from 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 46% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
Breakeven Date Change • May 16The 6 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings previously expected the company to break even in 2028. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 66% per year to 2027. The company is expected to make a profit of US$28.3m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 84% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.
お知らせ • Apr 30Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 14, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 14, 2026
お知らせ • Apr 22Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026.
ライブニュース • May 23Virgin Galactic Narrows Loss as Delta-Class Testing Begins and Bookings Build for 2026 LaunchVirgin Galactic reported a Q1 2026 net loss of about US$65 million on minimal revenue, with EPS coming in ahead of market estimates. Operating expenses declined around 26% and adjusted EBITDA improved about 24%, as the company continued cost-cutting and debt repayment efforts during its pre-revenue phase. The first Delta-class SpaceShip has been delivered to the test-and-launch hangar with ground testing underway. Flight tests are targeted for Q3 2026 and initial commercial spaceflights for Q4 2026, supported by roughly 650 future astronauts booked at US$750,000 per ticket. The key tension here is between clear operational progress toward a 2026 commercial launch timeline and ongoing liquidity pressure that has prompted at-the-market equity raises and plans for partial debt redemption. You should keep an eye on cash usage, additional capital-raising activity, and any changes to the commercial ramp profile into 2027, since these factors frame both dilution risk and the company’s ability to move from test flights to sustainable operations.
Seeking Alpha • May 17Virgin Galactic: Q1 Keeps The Speculative Bull Case AliveSummary Virgin Galactic remains a highly speculative play, but 1Q26 validated operational milestones and kept the commercialization bridge intact. SPCE continues to burn cash and dilute shareholders, yet milestone progress—Delta spaceship ground testing and flight schedules—supports a more concrete bull case. Demand signals are positive, with $750k seat bookings receiving global interest and deposits, countering skepticism on pricing power. Despite ongoing risks—dilution, schedule slippage, regulatory hurdles—I see meaningful upside if SPCE executes toward FY27 commercialization. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Reported Earnings • May 17First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: US$0.81 loss per share (improved from US$2.38 loss in 1Q 2025). Net loss: US$64.7m (loss narrowed 23% from 1Q 2025). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow 46% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
Breakeven Date Change • May 16The 6 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings previously expected the company to break even in 2028. New consensus forecast suggests losses will reduce by 66% per year to 2027. The company is expected to make a profit of US$28.3m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 84% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.
お知らせ • Apr 30Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 14, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 14, 2026
お知らせ • Apr 22Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 11, 2026.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Apr 12Executive VP exercised options and sold US$88k worth of stockOn the 7th of April, Sarah Kim exercised options to acquire 29k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$3.07 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. Since June 2025, Sarah's direct individual holding has increased from 7.09k shares to 33.82k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$383k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
New Risk • Apr 06New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-US$438m free cash flow). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (129% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.5m revenue).
New Risk • Mar 31New major risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -US$438m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-US$438m free cash flow). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (106% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.5m revenue).
Reported Earnings • Mar 31Full year 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2025 results: US$5.44 loss per share (improved from US$13.90 loss in FY 2024). Net loss: US$278.9m (loss narrowed 20% from FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 13%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 5.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 46% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.4% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
Price Target Changed • Mar 30Price target increased by 9.1% to US$4.50Up from US$4.12, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 107% above last closing price of US$2.17. Stock is down 28% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$5.73 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$13.89 last year.
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Mar 24Executive VP exercised options and sold US$29k worth of stockOn the 16th of March, Sarah Kim exercised options to acquire 12k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$2.48 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. Since March 2025, Sarah's direct individual holding has increased from 3.94k shares to 7.03k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$77k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
お知らせ • Mar 24Virgin Galactic Appoints Megan Prichard as Chief Growth Officer, Effective Effective April 6, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced the appointment of Megan Prichard as its new Chief Growth Officer (CGO), effective April 6. In this newly established role, Prichard will lead the Company's integrated growth and revenue strategy across all business lines while strengthening Virgin Galactic’s position as the premier platform for suborbital spaceflight expeditions and scientific research. Prichard’s remit includes expanding Virgin Galactic’s existing book of business for both research missions and spaceflight expeditions, accelerating the creation of new spaceports, developing an exclusive set of brand partnerships, and identifying and entering new commercial markets building upon Virgin Galactic’s deep technical talent, intellectual property, and unrivaled experience creation capabilities. Prichard joins Virgin Galactic from Uber, where she served as Head of US Mobility Portfolio. In this capacity, Prichard was responsible for accelerating US ride hail growth and launching and scaling new business lines, including the ultra-premium Uber Elite. Megan has also served as a general manager for Uber’s E-VTOL and micromobility businesses. Before joining Uber, Prichard served as Vice President for Commercialization at Cruise, an autonomous vehicle subsidiary of General Motors. Prichard holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from Yale University and a juris doctorate from the University of Southern California’s Gould School of Law. She began her career as a management consultant at McKinsey & Company. Prichard also serves on the board of Blackline.
お知らせ • Feb 18Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 30, 2026Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 30, 2026
New Risk • Jan 13New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$293m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$10m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (126% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$10m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).
Breakeven Date Change • Dec 31Forecast to breakeven in 2028The 6 analysts covering Virgin Galactic Holdings expect the company to break even for the first time. New consensus forecast suggests the company will make a profit of US$70.9m in 2028. Average annual earnings growth of 55% is required to achieve expected profit on schedule.
New Risk • Dec 10New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (119% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).
お知らせ • Dec 09Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $45.588729 million.Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $45.588729 million. Security Name: Common Stock Security Type: Common Stock Security Name: Pre-Funded Warrants Security Type: Equity Warrant Transaction Features: Registered Direct Offering
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 20Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$5.61 loss, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$1.76m to US$1.72m. 2025 losses expected to reduce from -US$6.49 to -US$5.61 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 26% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$4.16. Share price fell 4.4% to US$3.46 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Nov 16Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: US$1.09 loss per share (improved from US$2.67 loss in 3Q 2024). Net loss: US$64.4m (loss narrowed 14% from 3Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 16%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 27%. Revenue is forecast to grow 64% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
New Risk • Nov 14New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$303m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$22m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (99% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-US$470m). Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$22m net loss in 3 years). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).
お知らせ • Oct 23Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 13, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results After-Market on Nov 13, 2025
New Risk • Oct 03New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-US$470m). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).
New Risk • Aug 08New minor risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow. Free cash flow: -US$470m This is considered a minor risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (46% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on current free cash flow (-US$470m). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (17% average weekly change). Revenue is less than US$5m (US$1.7m revenue).
Reported Earnings • Aug 08Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindSecond quarter 2025 results: US$1.47 loss per share (improved from US$4.37 loss in 2Q 2024). Net loss: US$67.3m (loss narrowed 28% from 2Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 9.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 37%. Revenue is forecast to grow 61% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 07Consensus revenue estimates increase by 15%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$1.67m to US$1.93m. EPS estimate unchanged from -US$6.26 at last update. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 25% next year. Consensus price target of US$4.50 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 10.0% to US$3.42 over the past week.
お知らせ • Jul 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 06, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Aug 06, 2025
Price Target Changed • Jun 30Price target decreased by 49% to US$4.46Down from US$8.82, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 63% above last closing price of US$2.73. Stock is down 66% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$9.40 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$13.89 last year.
お知らせ • Jun 30+ 16 more updatesVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:SPCE) dropped from Russell 2500 IndexVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:SPCE) dropped from Russell 2500 Index
New Risk • Jun 16New major risk - Financial positionThe company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -US$470m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-US$470m free cash flow). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$15m net loss in 3 years).
分析記事 • May 29Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPCE) CEO Pay PacketKey Insights Virgin Galactic Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 5th of June Total pay for CEO Michael...
New Risk • May 27New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$329m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$15m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$15m net loss in 3 years).
Major Estimate Revision • May 22Consensus revenue estimates increase by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$1.51m to US$1.70m. EPS estimate unchanged at -US$9.45. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 20% next year. Consensus price target down from US$8.82 to US$8.11. Share price rose 4.8% to US$3.72 over the past week.
Price Target Changed • May 19Price target decreased by 53% to US$4.13Down from US$8.82, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of US$4.33. Stock is down 78% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$9.45 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$13.89 last year.
New Risk • May 18New minor risk - ProfitabilityThe company is currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years. Trailing 12-month net loss: US$329m Forecast net loss in 3 years: US$1.5m This is considered a minor risk. Companies that are not profitable are more likely to be burning through cash and less likely to be well established. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. Without profits, the company is under pressure to grow significantly while potentially having to reduce costs and possibly needing to take on debt or raise capital to remain afloat. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (18% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$1.5m net loss in 3 years).
New Risk • May 16New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of American stocks, typically moving 13% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (13% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (102% increase in shares outstanding).
Reported Earnings • May 16First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: US$2.38 loss per share (improved from US$5.10 loss in 1Q 2024). Net loss: US$84.5m (loss narrowed 17% from 1Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 61%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 54% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.5% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 30Virgin Galactic: One Spark Could Set This Doomed Stock On Fire, But It Takes NerveSummary Virgin Galactic faces a highly speculative future with two possible outcomes: bankruptcy or success in the space tourism market. The company has cash to survive for the next couple of years, but significant risks remain with delays, high cash burn, and debt issues. Despite a low stock valuation, Virgin Galactic's stock could see a sharp rise if any positive news or catalysts emerge. Investors seeking high upside with lower risk might consider long-term call options (LEAPS) rather than buying the stock directly. The company’s future success all comes down to hitting some pretty big goals by 2026, but there’s a lot that could go wrong along the way. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Apr 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 15, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 15, 2025
お知らせ • Apr 16Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025.
New Risk • Apr 04New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: US$98.4m This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (78% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$43m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (US$98.4m market cap).
New Risk • Mar 20New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 11% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (78% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$43m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change).
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 14Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 26%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from US$1.96m to US$1.46m. EPS estimate unchanged at -US$9.54 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 23% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$8.82. Share price fell 3.0% to US$3.26 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 05Consensus revenue estimates increase by 50%, EPS downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from US$1.31m to US$1.96m. EPS estimate fell from -US$9.11 to -US$9.51 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 21% next year. Consensus price target down from US$13.57 to US$8.93. Share price fell 16% to US$3.40 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Feb 27Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: US$13.90 loss per share (improved from US$29.79 loss in FY 2023). Net loss: US$346.7m (loss narrowed 31% from FY 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 51% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
お知らせ • Feb 13Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 26, 2025Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Feb 26, 2025
Seeking Alpha • Jan 23Virgin Galactic: Downward SpiralSummary Virgin Galactic's declining market capitalization is undermining its ability to raise capital. This is important because of its high cash burn and declining cash balance. Meaningful revenue is likely still at least 2 years away and positive cash flow even further away. The company's tenuous position is made worse by a debt maturity date that is drawing nearer. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Risk • Jan 16New major risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 44% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (44% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$67m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change).
Price Target Changed • Nov 13Price target decreased by 11% to US$12.17Down from US$13.67, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 72% above last closing price of US$7.08. Stock is down 84% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$14.79 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 13Consensus revenue estimates increase by 10%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from US$6.21m to US$6.86m. Forecast losses expected to reduce from -US$74.25 to -US$14.79 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 24% next year. Consensus price target of US$14.40 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 2.6% to US$7.06 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Nov 07Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2024 results: US$2.67 loss per share (improved from US$5.57 loss in 3Q 2023). Net loss: US$74.5m (loss narrowed 29% from 3Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 48%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 29%. Revenue is forecast to grow 71% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
お知らせ • Nov 07Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million. Security Name: Common Stock Security Type: Common Stock Transaction Features: At the Market Offering
お知らせ • Oct 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 06, 2024
Price Target Changed • Oct 11Price target decreased by 7.3% to US$12.67Down from US$13.67, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 103% above last closing price of US$6.25. Stock is down 81% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$88.47 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 20Virgin Galactic: I Like The Vision, But Execution Is The KeySummary Virgin Galactic's potential hinges on achieving ambitious flight goals; execution and early results are crucial before considering a rating upgrade. SPCE's cash reserves are tight, with significant negative FCF expected through FY25. The long-term market potential is significant, but I remain cautious, awaiting execution in FY25 and FY26 before revising my rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 28Virgin Galactic: Pipe Dream Business Still Lacks Meaningful, Sustainable ModelSummary Virgin Galactic has a sensible balance sheet but is plagued by massive losses and minimal revenue, making it a risky investment. The company's strategy to lower operating costs and expand capacity is challenged by an uncertain market for commercial spaceflight. Economic sensitivity and safety concerns further jeopardize Virgin Galactic's potential, with discretionary spending likely to decline in economic downturns. Despite the futuristic appeal, the company's history and financial projections indicate it's not a viable investment; I recommend a strong sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Price Target Changed • Aug 11Price target increased by 8.5% to US$43.20Up from US$39.83, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 604% above last closing price of US$6.14. Stock is down 91% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$19.19 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.
Price Target Changed • Aug 09Price target decreased by 8.7% to US$38.50Down from US$42.17, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 527% above last closing price of US$6.14. Stock is down 91% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$19.19 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.
Reported Earnings • Aug 08Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2024 results: US$4.37 loss per share (improved from US$9.17 loss in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$4.22m (up 125% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: US$93.8m (loss narrowed 30% from 2Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 26%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 58% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.6% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
お知らせ • Jul 25Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 07, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Aug 07, 2024
Price Target Changed • Jul 17Price target decreased by 8.8% to US$39.83Down from US$43.67, the current price target is an average from 6 analysts. New target price is 457% above last closing price of US$7.15. Stock is down 91% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$18.91 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$29.79 last year.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 19Virgin Galactic: Final DescentSummary Virgin Galactic faces a bleak future due to its dwindling cash reserves, limited market capitalization, and uncertain path to profitability. While the introduction of Delta Class ships could help the company ramp commercial operations, this is at least 2 years away and will require significant investments. Virgin Galactic's market capitalization makes raising capital difficult, meaning that any issues or delays are likely to prove fatal. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Jun 06Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPCE) CEO Compensation For NowKey Insights Virgin Galactic Holdings will host its Annual General Meeting on 12th of June Salary of US$1.00m is part...
お知らせ • May 30Virgin Galactic Receives NYSE Continued Listing Standard NoticeVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (the Company") received a notice (the Notice") from the New York Stock Exchange (the NYSE") that it is no longer in compliance with Section 802.01C of the NYSE Listed Company Manual (Section 802.01C"), which requires listed companies to maintain an average closing price per share of at least $1.00 over a 30 consecutive trading-day period. Pursuant to Section 802.01C, the Company has a period of six months after receipt of the Notice (the Cure Period") to regain compliance. As of the date of this Current Report on Form 8-K, the Company is in compliance with all other NYSE continued listing standards. On May 29, 2024, the Company notified the NYSE of its intent to cure the deficiency and regain compliance with Section 802.01C. On April 29, 2024, the Company made available to its stockholders and filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC") a definitive proxy statement on Schedule 14A (the Proxy Statement") related to the Company's 2024 annual meeting of stockholders (the Annual Meeting"). The Proxy Statement includes, among other things, a stockholder voting proposal to authorize the Company's Board of Directors (the Board") to effect a reverse stock split of the Company's outstanding shares of common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (Common Stock"), after the Annual Meeting at a reverse stock split ratio ranging from any whole number between 1-for-2 and 1-for-20, as determined by the Board in its discretion (the Reverse Stock Split"), subject to the Board's authority to abandon such Reverse Stock Split. If the Company obtains stockholder approval of the Reverse Stock Split at the Annual Meeting and effects the Reverse Stock Split during the Cure Period, then the Company would expect to regain compliance with Section 802.01C at such time that the trading price per share of Common Stock promptly exceeds $1.00 per share, and remains above that level for at least the 30 trading-day period thereafter. The Company may consider various other available options to regain compliance with Section 802.01C. The Company can otherwise regain compliance with Section 802.01C at any time during the Cure Period if, on the last trading day of any month during the Cure Period, the Common Stock has a closing price of at least $1.00 and an average closing price of at least $1.00 over the 30 trading-day period ending on such date. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to regain compliance with Section 802.01C or will not otherwise be delisted from the NYSE before or after the stockholders have the opportunity to approve the Reverse Stock Splitat the Annual Meeting and/or the Company is able to effect the Reverse Stock Split. In addition, there can be no assurance that the Company will be able to obtain stockholder approval of the Reverse Stock Split at the Annual Meeting. The Common Stock will continue to be listed and trade on the NYSE under the symbol SPCE", subject to the Company's compliance with the other NYSE continued listing standards.
New Risk • May 29New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of American stocks, typically moving 16% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (16% average weekly change). Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (US$153m net loss in 3 years). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (46% increase in shares outstanding).
Price Target Changed • May 15Price target decreased by 11% to US$2.37Down from US$2.66, the current price target is an average from 7 analysts. New target price is 124% above last closing price of US$1.06. Stock is down 76% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$0.96 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$1.49 last year.
Seeking Alpha • May 14Virgin Galactic: The Guidance Looks Better Than I ExpectedSummary Virgin Galactic's Q1 2024 results show improvements in revenue and cash burn rates, but the primary goal of generating significant revenue is still a few years away. SPCE's guidance suggests higher ticket prices, but the target of becoming cash flow positive in 2026 may still be optimistic. The development of the next-gen mothership is delayed, and the current generation will need to increase flight frequency to meet ambitious goals. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Major Estimate Revision • May 14Consensus revenue estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from US$5.39m to US$6.04m. Forecast losses expected to reduce from -US$1.03 to -US$0.961 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 19% next year. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at US$2.64. Share price was steady at US$1.04 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • May 08First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFirst quarter 2024 results: US$0.26 loss per share (improved from US$0.57 loss in 1Q 2023). Net loss: US$102.0m (loss narrowed 36% from 1Q 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 14%. Revenue is forecast to grow 55% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.3% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 60% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
お知らせ • May 08Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Provides Revenue Guidance for the Second Quarter of 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. provided revenue guidance for the second quarter of 2024. Revenue for the second quarter of 2024 is expected to be approximately $3.5 million.
お知らせ • May 01Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 12, 2024, at 09:00 Pacific Standard Time. Agenda: To elect the director nominees listed in the Proxy Statement; to ratify the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2024; to approve, on an advisory (non-binding) basis, the compensation of Company’s named executive officers; to approve the Company’s Second Amended and Restated Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. 2019 Incentive Award Plan; and to consider other matters.
お知らせ • Apr 24Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 07, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results After-Market on May 07, 2024
Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • Apr 14CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold US$139k worth of stockOn the 9th of April, Michael Colglazier exercised options to acquire 118k shares at no cost and sold these for an average price of US$1.18 per share. This trade did not impact their existing holding. For the year to December 2020, Michael's total compensation was 9% salary and 91% other compensation. This indicates that these sales could comprise a meaningful part of their income for the year. Since June 2023, Michael's direct individual holding has increased from 289.09k shares to 385.54k. Company insiders have collectively sold US$242k more than they bought, via options and on-market transactions in the last 12 months.
Price Target Changed • Apr 04Price target decreased by 9.6% to US$2.66Down from US$2.94, the current price target is an average from 8 analysts. New target price is 111% above last closing price of US$1.26. Stock is down 60% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of US$1.00 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$1.49 last year.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 02Virgin Galactic: More Downside Expected After Boeing LawsuitSummary The recent Boeing lawsuit against Virgin Galactic could delay its timeline to starting commercial Delta class spaceflights in 2026. Virgin Galactic is unlikely to reach its target cadence of 2 Delta class spaceflights per spaceship per week in 2026 due to its existing mothership’s limitations stemming from its age. Virgin Galactic’s decision to pause Unity flights in Q2 2024 means that the company may not generate any revenue until commercial flights of Delta class spaceships commence. Virgin Galactic’s cash runway is only enough to last less than 2 years and the lawsuit could accelerate its need to raise capital, in my opinion. Bankruptcy is a strong possibility for Virgin Galactic, in my view, if it's unable to start commercial Delta class spaceflights in 2026 with $418.7 million of debt maturing in 2027. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 05Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 14%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast fell from US$11.2m to US$9.63m. EPS estimate unchanged at -US$0.998 per share. Aerospace & Defense industry in the US expected to see average net income growth of 21% next year. Consensus price target down from US$2.94 to US$2.75. Share price fell 15% to US$1.61 over the past week.
お知らせ • Feb 29Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter of 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2024. For the period, the company's revenue is expected to be approximately $2 million.
Reported Earnings • Feb 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behindFull year 2023 results: US$1.49 loss per share. Net loss: US$502.3m (flat on FY 2022). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 4.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 54% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Aerospace & Defense industry in the US.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 20Virgin Galactic Holdings: A Risk-Bound Yet To Mature Business, SellSummary Virgin Galactic Holdings shares have experienced a significant decline and underperformed the S&P 500. SPCE stock price movement indicates an immature business model and weak financial health, with increasing negative cash flows and reliance on debt. Technical and operational challenges, as well as high valuation, suggest a further downside for the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
お知らせ • Feb 14Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. announced that they will report Q4, 2023 results After-Market on Feb 27, 2024
