View ValuationFabrica Holdings 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /36Fabrica Holdings利益と収益がそれぞれ年間10.6%と8.8%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に16.6% 12.5%なると予測されています。主要情報10.6%収益成長率12.54%EPS成長率Software 収益成長13.6%収益成長率8.8%将来の株主資本利益率16.60%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日17 Mar 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報お知らせ • Aug 11+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects Net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of the parent to be JPY 893 million, earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.お知らせ • May 19+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 893 million and earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.お知らせ • Nov 15+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 7,250 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,250 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 783 million and earnings per share to be JPY 154.55.お知らせ • Aug 12+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 6,922 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,094 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 702 million and earnings per share to be JPY 140.95.すべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • Jun 03Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2027 Results on Aug 13, 2026Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2027 results on Aug 13, 2026分析記事 • May 24Shareholders Can Be Confident That Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Earnings Are High QualityThe subdued stock price reaction suggests that Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:4193 ) strong earnings didn't offer...Reported Earnings • May 19Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥124 (up from JP¥61.65 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥10.6b (up 15% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥665.0m (up 101% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 6.3% (up from 3.6% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 27% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 9% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • May 14Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2026Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2026.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥19.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2026. Payment date: 29 June 2026. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.3%).Reported Earnings • Feb 16Third quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥37.13 (vs JP¥46.34 in 3Q 2025)Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥37.13 (down from JP¥46.34 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥2.69b (up 12% from 3Q 2025). Net income: JP¥200.0m (down 19% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 7.4% (down from 10% in 3Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 14% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Feb 13Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4193) announces an Equity Buyback for 245,000 shares, representing 4.55% for ¥499.8 million.Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4193) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 245,000 shares, representing 4.55% of its issued share capital, for ¥499.8 million. The purpose of the program is to improve capital efficiency, implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, and enhance shareholder returns. The program is valid till February 16, 2026. As of December 31, 2025, the company had 5,386,079 shares (excluding treasury stock) and 89,321 shares in treasury.Declared Dividend • Dec 16First half dividend of JP¥19.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥19.00. Ex-date: 30th March 2026 Payment date: 29th June 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not adequately covered by earnings (98% earnings payout ratio). However, it is well covered by cash flows (41% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 25% per year over the past 5 years and payments have been stable during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 9.1% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 100% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.お知らせ • Dec 02Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Feb 13, 2026Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results on Feb 13, 2026分析記事 • Nov 21Some May Be Optimistic About Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) EarningsSoft earnings didn't appear to concern Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:4193 ) shareholders over the last week. We...Reported Earnings • Nov 17Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥33.70 (vs JP¥42.31 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥33.70 (down from JP¥42.31 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥2.53b (up 11% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥181.4m (down 20% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 7.2% (down from 9.9% in 2Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 26% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 17% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Sep 27Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Nov 13, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Nov 13, 2025Reported Earnings • Aug 16First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥35.38 (vs JP¥36.94 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥35.38 (down from JP¥36.94 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥2.48b (up 12% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥190.0m (down 4.4% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 7.7% (down from 9.0% in 1Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 8.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 18% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 31Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to JP¥2,382, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 16% over the past three years.分析記事 • Jul 30Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4193) 35% Jump Shows Its Popularity With InvestorsFabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...お知らせ • May 31Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Aug 14, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Aug 14, 2025分析記事 • May 22Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They AppearInvestors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ). Despite the soft...Reported Earnings • May 20Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥61.65 (vs JP¥126 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥61.65 (down from JP¥126 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥9.21b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥331.0m (down 51% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.6% (down from 8.2% in FY 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year.分析記事 • May 20Shareholders Are Optimistic That Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Will Multiply In ValueIf we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 31% to JP¥2,025. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,636, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat.お知らせ • May 15Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2025.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 25Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 22% to JP¥2,104. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,647, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 20% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 6.7% in the next 2 years.分析記事 • Apr 07Some Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4193) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 28% PoundingThe Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 07Now 24% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 25% to JP¥2,037. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,672, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 20% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 6.7% in the next 2 years.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 03Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to JP¥2,362, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 13% over the past three years.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥37.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2025. Payment date: 25 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 24% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.3%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.6%).New Risk • Mar 19New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥14.9b (US$99.6m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.お知らせ • Mar 01Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 15, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on May 15, 2025Reported Earnings • Feb 15Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥46.32 (vs JP¥29.84 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥46.32 (up from JP¥29.84 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥2.40b (up 16% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥248.0m (up 56% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 10% (up from 7.7% in 3Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 13% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.分析記事 • Dec 03Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last YearFabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 25th of...お知らせ • Dec 03Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Feb 13, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Feb 13, 2025分析記事 • Nov 23Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4193) Shares Climb 34% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch UpThe Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...分析記事 • Nov 16Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥37.00Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...Declared Dividend • Nov 16Dividend of JP¥37.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥37.00. Ex-date: 28th March 2025 Payment date: 25th June 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.5%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (28% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (80% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 31% per year over the past 4 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 36% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.分析記事 • Nov 14Many Would Be Envious Of Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Excellent Returns On CapitalWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a...New Risk • Nov 14New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.8% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.8% average weekly change). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥12.3b market cap, or US$78.8m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 14Now 42% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 28% to JP¥2,295. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,615, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.3% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 23% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 19% in the next 2 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 17Now 26% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 3.7% to JP¥2,020. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,604, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.3% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 23% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 19% in the next 2 years.お知らせ • Aug 27Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Nov 14, 2024Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Nov 14, 2024Reported Earnings • Aug 11First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥31.48 (vs JP¥30.78 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥31.48 (up from JP¥30.78 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥2.15b (up 11% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥170.0m (up 3.7% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.9% (down from 8.5% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 06Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to JP¥1,620, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 62% over the past three years.分析記事 • Aug 03Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Might Become A Compounding MachineDid you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...Reported Earnings • Jun 28Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥126 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥8.16b (up 7.4% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥673.0m (down 17% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (down from 11% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.分析記事 • Jun 19Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Seems To Use Debt Quite SensiblyThe external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...お知らせ • Jun 06Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2024Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Aug 08, 2024分析記事 • May 22Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193)The subdued market reaction suggests that Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:4193 ) recent earnings didn't contain any...Reported Earnings • May 21Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥126 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥8.16b (up 7.4% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥673.0m (down 17% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (down from 11% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • May 17+ 2 more updatesFabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥36.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2024. Payment date: 01 July 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 23% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.0%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.3%).分析記事 • Mar 11Fabrica Communications' (TSE:4193) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last YearFabrica Communications Co., LTD.'s ( TSE:4193 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...お知らせ • Mar 02Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 15, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on May 15, 2024Reported Earnings • Feb 18Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥29.84 (vs JP¥34.92 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥29.84 (down from JP¥34.92 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥2.07b (up 5.8% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥159.0m (down 11% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 7.7% (down from 9.2% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.お知らせ • Feb 15Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. (TSE:4193) announces an Equity Buyback for 220,000 shares, representing 4.03% for ¥400 million.Cerespo Co., Ltd. (TSE:9625) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 220,000 shares, representing 4.03% of its issued share capital, for ¥ 400 million. The purpose of the program is to improve capital efficiency, implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, and enhance shareholder returns. The program is valid till September 30, 2024. As of February 14, 2024, the company had 5,458,122 shares (excluding treasury stock) and 78 shares in treasury.お知らせ • Nov 29Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 14, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Feb 14, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 21Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥1,792, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 47% over the past year.Reported Earnings • Nov 20Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥33.41 (vs JP¥53.46 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥33.41 (down from JP¥53.46 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.97b (up 1.3% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥178.0m (down 34% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 9.0% (down from 14% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.お知らせ • Aug 27Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 14, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Nov 14, 2023Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 16Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 24%After last week's 24% share price decline to JP¥2,220, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 14.6x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 28% over the past year.お知らせ • Aug 11+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects Net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of the parent to be JPY 893 million, earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.Buying Opportunity • Aug 11Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 16%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,354, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 29% over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 16%.お知らせ • May 28Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 09, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Aug 09, 2023お知らせ • May 19+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 893 million and earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.Reported Earnings • May 18Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥159 (up from JP¥122 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥7.60b (up 30% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥810.0m (up 41% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 11% (in line with FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.お知らせ • May 17Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2023.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥35.00 per share at 0.9% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2023. Payment date: 29 June 2023. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.7%).Reported Earnings • Feb 18Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥34.92 (vs JP¥29.71 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥34.92 (up from JP¥29.71 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥1.95b (up 33% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥179.0m (up 24% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 9.2% (in line with 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.お知らせ • Feb 16+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the period, company expects to pay dividend of JPY 35.00 per share against JPY 25.00 per share a year ago.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 15Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥3,150, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 51% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥4,688 per share.Buying Opportunity • Feb 10Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 5.9%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,692, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 14% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 16% per annum over the same time period.Buying Opportunity • Jan 13Now 22% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 11%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,887, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 14% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 16% per annum over the same time period.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 23Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥3,600, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 46% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥5,316 per share.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 01Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 19% share price gain to JP¥4,035, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 27x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 62% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥5,241 per share.お知らせ • Nov 27Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Feb 14, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results on Feb 14, 2023Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (5 non-independent directors). Independent Outside Director Kohei Kito was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.お知らせ • Nov 15+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 7,250 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,250 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 783 million and earnings per share to be JPY 154.55.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 14Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥3,480, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.9x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 9.8% over the past year.お知らせ • Aug 28Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Nov 14, 2022Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Nov 14, 2022Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 19Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,410, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.3x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 25% over the past year.お知らせ • Aug 12+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 6,922 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,094 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 702 million and earnings per share to be JPY 140.95.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 12Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥2,766, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 24x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 09Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,100, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.9x. Average trailing P/E is 23x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 21% over the past year.お知らせ • Jun 01Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2022Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q1, 2023 results on Aug 10, 2022Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 18Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 20% share price gain to JP¥2,878, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.1x. Average trailing P/E is 21x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 9.2% over the past year.お知らせ • May 16+ 2 more updatesFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. The company expects to pay dividend of JPY 34.00 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023 against JPY 25.00 per share a year ago.お知らせ • May 14Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2022Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2022.Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 9 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (5 non-independent directors). Independent Outside Director Kohei Kito was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.業績と収益の成長予測TSE:4193 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )JPY Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数3/31/202812,61682391792413/31/202711,53274183083813/31/202610,5676658531,247N/A12/31/202510,066257N/AN/AN/A9/30/20259,774306499937N/A6/30/20259,530351N/AN/AN/A3/31/20259,2063316781,057N/A12/31/20249,022818N/AN/AN/A9/30/20248,690728618952N/A6/30/20248,381679N/AN/AN/A3/31/20248,162673247602N/A12/31/20238,027697N/AN/AN/A9/30/20237,913717542792N/A6/30/20237,887809N/AN/AN/A3/31/20237,6008108481,038N/A12/31/20227,164800N/AN/AN/A9/30/20226,682765588784N/A6/30/20226,137654N/AN/AN/A3/31/20225,858574400566N/A12/31/20215,581550N/AN/AN/A3/31/20214,826455454621N/A3/31/20203,903113N/AN/AN/A3/31/20193,017109N/AN/AN/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: 4193の予測収益成長率 (年間10.6% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 0.8% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: 4193の収益 ( 10.6% ) はJP市場 ( 9.2% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高成長収益: 4193の収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。収益対市場: 4193の収益 ( 8.8% ) JP市場 ( 5.9% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: 4193の収益 ( 8.8% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: 4193の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 16.6 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YSoftware 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/06/11 05:32終値2026/06/11 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2026/03/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2 アナリスト機関Kenzaburou YamadaTokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory Co., Ltd.Yuuta TochiharaTokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory Co., Ltd.
お知らせ • Aug 11+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects Net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of the parent to be JPY 893 million, earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.
お知らせ • May 19+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 893 million and earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.
お知らせ • Nov 15+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 7,250 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,250 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 783 million and earnings per share to be JPY 154.55.
お知らせ • Aug 12+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 6,922 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,094 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 702 million and earnings per share to be JPY 140.95.
お知らせ • Jun 03Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2027 Results on Aug 13, 2026Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2027 results on Aug 13, 2026
分析記事 • May 24Shareholders Can Be Confident That Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Earnings Are High QualityThe subdued stock price reaction suggests that Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:4193 ) strong earnings didn't offer...
Reported Earnings • May 19Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥124 (up from JP¥61.65 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥10.6b (up 15% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥665.0m (up 101% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 6.3% (up from 3.6% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.0%. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.8% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 27% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 9% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • May 14Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2026Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2026.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥19.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2026. Payment date: 29 June 2026. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.3%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 16Third quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥37.13 (vs JP¥46.34 in 3Q 2025)Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥37.13 (down from JP¥46.34 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥2.69b (up 12% from 3Q 2025). Net income: JP¥200.0m (down 19% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 7.4% (down from 10% in 3Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 14% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 13Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4193) announces an Equity Buyback for 245,000 shares, representing 4.55% for ¥499.8 million.Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4193) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 245,000 shares, representing 4.55% of its issued share capital, for ¥499.8 million. The purpose of the program is to improve capital efficiency, implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, and enhance shareholder returns. The program is valid till February 16, 2026. As of December 31, 2025, the company had 5,386,079 shares (excluding treasury stock) and 89,321 shares in treasury.
Declared Dividend • Dec 16First half dividend of JP¥19.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥19.00. Ex-date: 30th March 2026 Payment date: 29th June 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not adequately covered by earnings (98% earnings payout ratio). However, it is well covered by cash flows (41% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 25% per year over the past 5 years and payments have been stable during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 9.1% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 100% over the next 3 years, which is sufficient to bring the dividend into a sustainable range.
お知らせ • Dec 02Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Feb 13, 2026Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results on Feb 13, 2026
分析記事 • Nov 21Some May Be Optimistic About Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) EarningsSoft earnings didn't appear to concern Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:4193 ) shareholders over the last week. We...
Reported Earnings • Nov 17Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥33.70 (vs JP¥42.31 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥33.70 (down from JP¥42.31 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥2.53b (up 11% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥181.4m (down 20% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 7.2% (down from 9.9% in 2Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 26% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 17% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Sep 27Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Nov 13, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Nov 13, 2025
Reported Earnings • Aug 16First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥35.38 (vs JP¥36.94 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥35.38 (down from JP¥36.94 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥2.48b (up 12% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥190.0m (down 4.4% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 7.7% (down from 9.0% in 1Q 2025). Revenue is forecast to grow 8.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 18% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 31Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to JP¥2,382, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 16% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Jul 30Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4193) 35% Jump Shows Its Popularity With InvestorsFabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
お知らせ • May 31Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Aug 14, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Aug 14, 2025
分析記事 • May 22Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They AppearInvestors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ). Despite the soft...
Reported Earnings • May 20Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥61.65 (vs JP¥126 in FY 2024)Full year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥61.65 (down from JP¥126 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥9.21b (up 13% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥331.0m (down 51% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.6% (down from 8.2% in FY 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year.
分析記事 • May 20Shareholders Are Optimistic That Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Will Multiply In ValueIf we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 31% to JP¥2,025. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,636, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat.
お知らせ • May 15Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 26, 2025.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 25Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 22% to JP¥2,104. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,647, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 20% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 6.7% in the next 2 years.
分析記事 • Apr 07Some Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4193) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 28% PoundingThe Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 07Now 24% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 25% to JP¥2,037. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,672, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 15% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 20% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 6.7% in the next 2 years.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 03Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to JP¥2,362, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 22x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 13% over the past three years.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥37.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2025. Payment date: 25 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 24% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.3%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.7%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.6%).
New Risk • Mar 19New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥14.9b (US$99.6m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
お知らせ • Mar 01Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 15, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on May 15, 2025
Reported Earnings • Feb 15Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥46.32 (vs JP¥29.84 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥46.32 (up from JP¥29.84 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥2.40b (up 16% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥248.0m (up 56% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 10% (up from 7.7% in 3Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.9% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 13% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
分析記事 • Dec 03Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last YearFabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 25th of...
お知らせ • Dec 03Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Feb 13, 2025Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Feb 13, 2025
分析記事 • Nov 23Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4193) Shares Climb 34% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch UpThe Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...
分析記事 • Nov 16Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥37.00Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. ( TSE:4193 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...
Declared Dividend • Nov 16Dividend of JP¥37.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥37.00. Ex-date: 28th March 2025 Payment date: 25th June 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.5%, which is about the same as the industry average. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (28% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (80% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 31% per year over the past 4 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 36% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
分析記事 • Nov 14Many Would Be Envious Of Fabrica Holdings' (TSE:4193) Excellent Returns On CapitalWhat trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a...
New Risk • Nov 14New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.8% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.8% average weekly change). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥12.3b market cap, or US$78.8m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 14Now 42% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 28% to JP¥2,295. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,615, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.3% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 23% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 19% in the next 2 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 17Now 26% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 3.7% to JP¥2,020. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥1,604, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.3% over the last year. Earnings per share has declined by 19%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 23% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 19% in the next 2 years.
お知らせ • Aug 27Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Nov 14, 2024Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Nov 14, 2024
Reported Earnings • Aug 11First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥31.48 (vs JP¥30.78 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥31.48 (up from JP¥30.78 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥2.15b (up 11% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥170.0m (up 3.7% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.9% (down from 8.5% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 06Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%After last week's 15% share price decline to JP¥1,620, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 62% over the past three years.
分析記事 • Aug 03Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Might Become A Compounding MachineDid you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want...
Reported Earnings • Jun 28Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥126 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥8.16b (up 7.4% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥673.0m (down 17% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (down from 11% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
分析記事 • Jun 19Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193) Seems To Use Debt Quite SensiblyThe external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
お知らせ • Jun 06Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2024Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Aug 08, 2024
分析記事 • May 22Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Fabrica Holdings (TSE:4193)The subdued market reaction suggests that Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd.'s ( TSE:4193 ) recent earnings didn't contain any...
Reported Earnings • May 21Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥126 (down from JP¥159 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥8.16b (up 7.4% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥673.0m (down 17% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (down from 11% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.6% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 10% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • May 17+ 2 more updatesFabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024Fabrica Holdings Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2024.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥36.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2024. Payment date: 01 July 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 23% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.0%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.3%).
分析記事 • Mar 11Fabrica Communications' (TSE:4193) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last YearFabrica Communications Co., LTD.'s ( TSE:4193 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period...
お知らせ • Mar 02Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 15, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on May 15, 2024
Reported Earnings • Feb 18Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥29.84 (vs JP¥34.92 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥29.84 (down from JP¥34.92 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥2.07b (up 5.8% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥159.0m (down 11% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 7.7% (down from 9.2% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.
お知らせ • Feb 15Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. (TSE:4193) announces an Equity Buyback for 220,000 shares, representing 4.03% for ¥400 million.Cerespo Co., Ltd. (TSE:9625) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 220,000 shares, representing 4.03% of its issued share capital, for ¥ 400 million. The purpose of the program is to improve capital efficiency, implement flexible capital policies in response to changes in the business environment, and enhance shareholder returns. The program is valid till September 30, 2024. As of February 14, 2024, the company had 5,458,122 shares (excluding treasury stock) and 78 shares in treasury.
お知らせ • Nov 29Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 14, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Feb 14, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 21Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥1,792, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 47% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • Nov 20Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥33.41 (vs JP¥53.46 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥33.41 (down from JP¥53.46 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.97b (up 1.3% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥178.0m (down 34% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 9.0% (down from 14% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.
お知らせ • Aug 27Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 14, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Nov 14, 2023
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 16Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 24%After last week's 24% share price decline to JP¥2,220, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 14.6x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 28% over the past year.
お知らせ • Aug 11+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects Net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of the parent to be JPY 893 million, earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.
Buying Opportunity • Aug 11Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 16%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,354, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 29% over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 16%.
お知らせ • May 28Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 09, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Aug 09, 2023
お知らせ • May 19+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2024Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 8,967 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,418 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 893 million and earnings per share to be JPY 167.75.
Reported Earnings • May 18Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥159 (up from JP¥122 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥7.60b (up 30% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥810.0m (up 41% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 11% (in line with FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.
お知らせ • May 17Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 29, 2023.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥35.00 per share at 0.9% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2023. Payment date: 29 June 2023. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.7%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 18Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥34.92 (vs JP¥29.71 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥34.92 (up from JP¥29.71 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥1.95b (up 33% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥179.0m (up 24% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 9.2% (in line with 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Software industry in Japan.
お知らせ • Feb 16+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the period, company expects to pay dividend of JPY 35.00 per share against JPY 25.00 per share a year ago.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 15Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥3,150, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 26x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 51% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥4,688 per share.
Buying Opportunity • Feb 10Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 5.9%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,692, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 14% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 16% per annum over the same time period.
Buying Opportunity • Jan 13Now 22% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 11%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,887, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 32%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 14% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 16% per annum over the same time period.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 23Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥3,600, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 46% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥5,316 per share.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 01Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 19% share price gain to JP¥4,035, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 27x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 62% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥5,241 per share.
お知らせ • Nov 27Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Feb 14, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results on Feb 14, 2023
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 8 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (5 non-independent directors). Independent Outside Director Kohei Kito was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
お知らせ • Nov 15+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., LTD. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 7,250 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,250 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 783 million and earnings per share to be JPY 154.55.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 14Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥3,480, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.9x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 9.8% over the past year.
お知らせ • Aug 28Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Nov 14, 2022Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Nov 14, 2022
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 19Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,410, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.3x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 25% over the past year.
お知らせ • Aug 12+ 1 more updateFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the year, the company expects net sales to be JPY 6,922 million, operating profit to be JPY 1,094 million, profit attributable to owners of parent to be JPY 702 million and earnings per share to be JPY 140.95.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 12Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥2,766, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 24x. Average trailing P/E is 24x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 09Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,100, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.9x. Average trailing P/E is 23x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 21% over the past year.
お知らせ • Jun 01Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2022Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. announced that they will report Q1, 2023 results on Aug 10, 2022
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 18Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 20% share price gain to JP¥2,878, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.1x. Average trailing P/E is 21x in the Software industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 9.2% over the past year.
お知らせ • May 16+ 2 more updatesFabrica Communications Co., Ltd. Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023Fabrica Communications Co., LTD. provided dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. The company expects to pay dividend of JPY 34.00 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023 against JPY 25.00 per share a year ago.
お知らせ • May 14Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2022Fabrica Communications Co., LTD., Annual General Meeting, Jun 28, 2022.
Board Change • Apr 27Less than half of directors are independentThere is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The new board member was an independent director. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 9 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. 2 independent directors (5 non-independent directors). Independent Outside Director Kohei Kito was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Minority of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.