TOKYO BASELtd（3415）株式概要TOKYO BASE株式会社は日本で衣料品を提供しています。 詳細3415 ファンダメンタル分析スノーフレーク・スコア評価5/6将来の成長3/6過去の実績5/6財務の健全性5/6配当金2/6報酬当社が推定した公正価値より23.7%で取引されている 収益は年間10.63%増加すると予測されています 過去1年間で収益は55.8%増加しました 同業他社や業界と比較して、良好な取引価格 リスク分析JP市場と比較した過去 3 か月間の株価の変動1.89%の配当はフリーキャッシュフローで十分にカバーされていない すべてのリスクチェックを見る3415 Community Fair Values Create NarrativeSee what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.Your Fair ValueJP¥Current PriceJP¥371.006.2% 割安 内在価値ディスカウントGrowth estimate overAnnual revenue growth rate5 Yearstime period%/yrDecreaseIncreasePastFuture-539m38b2016201920222025202620282031Revenue JP¥37.5bEarnings JP¥1.9bAdvancedSet Fair ValueView all narrativesTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. 競合他社Sac's Bar HoldingsSymbol: TSE:9990Market cap: JP¥21.1byutoriSymbol: TSE:5892Market cap: JP¥12.7bPrimo Global HoldingsSymbol: TSE:367AMarket cap: JP¥23.1bStar seedsLtdSymbol: TSE:3083Market cap: JP¥9.3b価格と性能株価の高値、安値、推移の概要TOKYO BASELtd過去の株価現在の株価JP¥371.0052週高値JP¥594.0052週安値JP¥293.00ベータ0.221ヶ月の変化-11.24%3ヶ月変化-3.13%1年変化27.05%3年間の変化-17.56%5年間の変化-46.92%IPOからの変化104.22%最新ニュースお知らせ • May 19TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces an Equity Buyback for 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% for ¥500 million.TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% of its issued share capital for a total price of ¥500 million. The purpose of the program is to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency. The repurchase plan will be valid till June 30, 2026. As of May 18, 2026, the company has 43,959,482 shares in issue and 13 shares in treasury.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥332, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥454 per share.New Risk • May 12New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥15.6b (US$99.0m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (168% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.3% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥15.6b market cap, or US$99.0m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 12Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥355. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥451, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.2% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum over the same time period.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥461, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Negligible returns to shareholders over past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥759 per share.Reported Earnings • Mar 19Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥27.80 (up from JP¥17.83 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥23.7b (up 18% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥1.21b (up 56% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 3.8% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 96% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.最新情報をもっと見るRecent updatesお知らせ • May 19TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces an Equity Buyback for 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% for ¥500 million.TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% of its issued share capital for a total price of ¥500 million. The purpose of the program is to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency. The repurchase plan will be valid till June 30, 2026. As of May 18, 2026, the company has 43,959,482 shares in issue and 13 shares in treasury.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥332, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥454 per share.New Risk • May 12New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥15.6b (US$99.0m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (168% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.3% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥15.6b market cap, or US$99.0m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 12Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥355. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥451, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.2% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum over the same time period.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥461, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Negligible returns to shareholders over past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥759 per share.Reported Earnings • Mar 19Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥27.80 (up from JP¥17.83 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥23.7b (up 18% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥1.21b (up 56% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 3.8% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 96% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Mar 17TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 22, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 22, 2026.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 05Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥440, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 14% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥764 per share.New Risk • Feb 07New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.9% average weekly change). Minor Risk High level of debt (42% net debt to equity).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 29Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 10% to JP¥408. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥530, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.8% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 17% per annum over the same time period.Upcoming Dividend • Jan 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥6.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 January 2026. Payment date: 24 April 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and the cash payout ratio is 84%. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). In line with average of industry peers (1.4%).分析記事 • Jan 07TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥6.00TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 24th of April to...お知らせ • Jan 07TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on Mar 17, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on Mar 17, 2026Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 16Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to JP¥421. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥532, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.8% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 17% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Dec 10TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year'sTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 24th of April to...お知らせ • Dec 10TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Dec 15, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results on Dec 15, 2025Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 05Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥459, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 57% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥546 per share.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 18Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥389, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 33% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥448 per share.分析記事 • Nov 17Estimating The Fair Value Of TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415)Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, TOKYO BASELtd fair value estimate is JP¥449 With JP¥402 share...分析記事 • Sep 25TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings SuggestTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 23Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥468, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥445 per share.分析記事 • Sep 18TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last YearTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...Declared Dividend • Sep 18Dividend of JP¥6.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥6.00. Ex-date: 29th January 2026 Payment date: 24th April 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.3%, which is lower than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (84% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 32% per year over the past 4 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 47% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Reported Earnings • Sep 17Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥6.28 (vs JP¥3.62 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥6.28 (up from JP¥3.62 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥5.35b (up 23% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥273.0m (up 75% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 3.6% in 2Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.お知らせ • Sep 16Tokyo Base Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2026. For the period, the company expects net sales of ¥23,000 million, operating profit of ¥1,900 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥1,200 million and earnings per share of ¥27.61.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 12Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 35% to JP¥548. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥454, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 110%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 6.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Jul 15These 4 Measures Indicate That TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Using Debt Reasonably WellSome say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Major Estimate Revision • Jul 10Consensus EPS estimates increase by 25%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from JP¥21.3b to JP¥22.8b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥20.20 to JP¥25.30 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 11% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥300 to JP¥390. Share price rose 3.9% to JP¥427 over the past week.お知らせ • Jun 26TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Sep 16, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Sep 16, 2025Reported Earnings • Jun 18First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥4.37 (vs JP¥2.23 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥4.37 (up from JP¥2.23 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥4.94b (up 3.6% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥190.0m (up 90% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 3.8% (up from 2.1% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.New Risk • Jun 04New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 9.3% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 04Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%After last week's 26% share price gain to JP¥392, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 16% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥226 per share.分析記事 • Jun 02After Leaping 26% TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) Shares Are Not Flying Under The RadarTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...分析記事 • May 29With EPS Growth And More, TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Makes An Interesting CaseInvestors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...お知らせ • Apr 29TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Jun 16, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Jun 16, 2025Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 08Now 24% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to JP¥242. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥195, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 43%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 13% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Apr 07Positive Sentiment Still Eludes TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) Following 30% Share Price SlumpTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥221, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 42% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥196 per share.分析記事 • Mar 26Shareholders Can Be Confident That TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Earnings Are High QualityTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 24Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥276, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥195 per share.お知らせ • Mar 18+ 1 more updateTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2026. For the period, the company expects net sales of ¥22,500 million, operating profit of ¥1,650 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥900 million and earnings per share of ¥20.71.Reported Earnings • Mar 18Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥17.83 (up from JP¥7.30 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥20.2b (up 1.1% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥776.0m (up 132% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.8% (up from 1.7% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 43% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Mar 17TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2025.お知らせ • Feb 07TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 17, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Mar 17, 2025Upcoming Dividend • Jan 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥5.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 January 2025. Payment date: 22 April 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 29% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.6%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.4%).分析記事 • Dec 31TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last YearTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥5.00 on...分析記事 • Dec 17TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥5.00TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥5.00 on...Reported Earnings • Dec 17Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥0.77 (vs JP¥3.82 loss in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥0.77 (up from JP¥3.82 loss in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.43b (down 4.8% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥33.0m (up JP¥208.0m from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 0.7% (up from net loss in 3Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.お知らせ • Nov 30TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Dec 16, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Dec 16, 2024分析記事 • Nov 24TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3415) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding UpTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...New Risk • Nov 06New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥10.8b market cap, or US$71.3m).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 01Now 21% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at JP¥254. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥209, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 21% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Oct 21At JP¥251, Is It Time To Put TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) On Your Watch List?TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 16Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥251. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥209, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Sep 24TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For ConservativelyInvestors signalled that they were pleased with TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) most recent earnings report. This...Declared Dividend • Sep 19Dividend of JP¥5.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥5.00. Ex-date: 30th January 2025 Payment date: 22nd April 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (45% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 36% per year over the past 3 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 19Now 23% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥261. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥213, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period.Reported Earnings • Sep 18Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥3.62 (vs JP¥4.23 in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥3.62 (down from JP¥4.23 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.34b (down 12% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥156.0m (down 20% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.6% (down from 3.9% in 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 28% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year.Major Estimate Revision • Aug 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥20.7b to JP¥19.6b. EPS estimate also fell from JP¥22.90 per share to JP¥17.45 per share. Net income forecast to grow 97% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥370 to JP¥335. Share price fell 19% to JP¥226 over the past week.分析記事 • Aug 07Does TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...New Risk • Aug 05New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.3% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥9.43b market cap, or US$66.2m).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%After last week's 23% share price decline to JP¥219, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 66% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥340 per share.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 01Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 7.2% to JP¥270. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥339, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.5% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 21% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Jul 05TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Sep 17, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Sep 17, 2024Reported Earnings • Jun 16First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥2.23 (vs JP¥0.022 loss in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥2.23 (up from JP¥0.022 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.77b (up 1.0% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥100.0m (up JP¥101.0m from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 2.1% (up from 0% in 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 37% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 25% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • May 05TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Jun 14, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Jun 14, 2024分析記事 • Mar 25TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings SuggestEven though TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice...お知らせ • Mar 21+ 2 more updatesTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Announces Year-End Cash Dividend for the Year Ended January 31, 2024, Payable on April 22, 2024; Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year Ended January 31, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced year-end cash dividend for the year ended January 31, 2024. For the year, the company announced to pay cash dividend of JPY 4.00 per share compared to JPY 2.00 per share a year ago, Payable on April 22, 2024. For the year 2025, the company expects to pay cash dividend of JPY 5.00 per share.Reported Earnings • Mar 21Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥7.30 (up from JP¥11.75 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥20.0b (up 4.2% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥335.0m (up JP¥874.0m from FY 2023). Profit margin: 1.7% (up from net loss in FY 2023). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 3.8%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 42% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 23% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Mar 19TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces an Equity Buyback for 3,000,000 shares, representing 6.53% for ¥1,000 million.TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 3,000,000 shares, representing 6.53% of its issued share capital for a total price of ¥1,000 million. The purpose of the program is to improve shareholder returns, capital efficiency, and to implement flexible capital policies according to the business environment. The repurchase plan will be valid till March 22, 2024. As of March 18, 2024, the company has 45,966,382 shares in issue and 0 shares in treasury.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 18Now 23% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 22% to JP¥343. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥280, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 9.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 35% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Mar 14TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3415) Shareholders Might Be Looking For ExitThere wouldn't be many who think TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 05Now 22% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.6% to JP¥318. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥260, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 9.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 30% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Jan 28TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 18, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Mar 18, 2024Upcoming Dividend • Jan 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥4.00 per share at 1.2% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 January 2024. Payment date: 26 April 2024. Trailing yield: 1.2%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.4%).Price Target Changed • Dec 20Price target decreased by 22% to JP¥340Down from JP¥435, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 22% above last closing price of JP¥279. Stock is up 9.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥8.70 next year compared to a net loss per share of JP¥11.75 last year.お知らせ • Dec 19+ 1 more updateTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2024. For the period, the company expects net sales of JPY 19,500 million, operating profit of JPY 900 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 300 million and earnings per share of JPY 6.54.Reported Earnings • Dec 16Third quarter 2024 earnings released: JP¥3.82 loss per share (vs JP¥1.50 profit in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: JP¥3.82 loss per share (down from JP¥1.50 profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥4.65b (down 21% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: JP¥175.0m (down 354% from profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.3% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 44 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Price Target Changed • Nov 08Price target decreased by 15% to JP¥435Down from JP¥510, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 46% above last closing price of JP¥298. Stock is down 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥22.90 next year compared to a net loss per share of JP¥11.75 last year.お知らせ • Oct 20TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Dec 15, 2023TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Dec 15, 2023Reported Earnings • Sep 16Second quarter 2024 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥4.23. Net income: JP¥194.0m (up JP¥194.0m from 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.お知らせ • Sep 16TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2024. For the period, the company expects net sales of JPY 20,000 million, operating profit of JPY 1,500 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 1,000 million and earnings per share of JPY 21.80.New Risk • Aug 09New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥13.9b (US$96.9m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥13.9b market cap, or US$96.9m).お知らせ • Aug 03TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Sep 14, 2023TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Sep 14, 2023Reported Earnings • Jun 16First quarter 2024 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2024 results: JP¥0.023 loss per share. Net loss: JP¥1.05m (flat on 1Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.お知らせ • Jun 16+ 2 more updatesTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Year-End Cash Dividend Guidance for the Year Ended January 31, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided year-end cash dividend guidance for the year ending January 31, 2024. For the period, the company expects to pay cash dividend of JPY 4.00 per share compared to JPY 2.00 per share a year ago.New Risk • Jun 16New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.お知らせ • May 04TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Jun 14, 2023TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Jun 14, 2023Reported Earnings • Mar 17Full year 2023 earnings released: JP¥11.75 loss per share (vs JP¥17.19 profit in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: JP¥11.75 loss per share (down from JP¥17.19 profit in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥19.2b (up 1.0% from FY 2022). Net loss: JP¥539.0m (down 171% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.5% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 62% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 40% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥456, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 27.5x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 5.2% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥489 per share.株主還元3415JP Specialty RetailJP 市場7D11.7%4.2%1.2%1Y27.1%32.0%42.1%株主還元を見る業界別リターン: 3415過去 1 年間で32 % の収益を上げたJP Specialty Retail業界を下回りました。リターン対市場: 3415は、過去 1 年間で42.1 % のリターンを上げたJP市場を下回りました。価格変動Is 3415's price volatile compared to industry and market?3415 volatility3415 Average Weekly Movement9.1%Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement4.2%Market Average Movement5.0%10% most volatile stocks in JP Market9.6%10% least volatile stocks in JP Market2.5%安定した株価: 3415の株価は、 JP市場と比較して過去 3 か月間で変動しています。時間の経過による変動: 3415の weekly volatility ( 9% ) は過去 1 年間安定していますが、依然としてJPの株式の 75% よりも高くなっています。会社概要設立従業員CEO（最高経営責任者ウェブサイト2008402Masato Tanitokyobase.co.jp株式会社TOKYO BASEは日本で衣料品を提供している。STUDIOUS、THE TOKYO、UNITED TOKYO、PUBLIC TOKYO、CITY TOKYO、CONZ、RITAN、JAPAN EDITIONのブランド名で店舗を展開。同社は実店舗とオンラインストアで商品を提供している。旧社名は株式会社ステュディオスで、2016年6月に株式会社TOKYO BASEに社名変更した。TOKYO BASE株式会社は2008年に設立され、東京に本社を置いている。もっと見るTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. 基礎のまとめTOKYO BASELtd の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。3415 基礎統計学時価総額JP¥16.31b収益（TTM）JP¥1.21b売上高(TTM)JP¥23.73b13.5xPER（株価収益率0.7xP/Sレシオ3415 は割高か？公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入最新の決算報告書（TTM）に基づく主な収益性統計3415 損益計算書（TTM）収益JP¥23.73b売上原価JP¥11.43b売上総利益JP¥12.30bその他の費用JP¥11.09b収益JP¥1.21b直近の収益報告Jan 31, 2026次回決算日Jun 15, 2026一株当たり利益（EPS）27.50グロス・マージン51.84%純利益率5.09%有利子負債／自己資本比率84.8%3415 の長期的なパフォーマンスは？過去の実績と比較を見る配当金1.9%現在の配当利回り20%配当性向View Valuation企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/05/24 01:00終値2026/05/22 00:00収益2026/01/31年間収益2026/01/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. 2 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2 アナリスト機関Keita IkedaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.Kuni KanamoriSMBC NIKKO
お知らせ • May 19TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces an Equity Buyback for 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% for ¥500 million.TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% of its issued share capital for a total price of ¥500 million. The purpose of the program is to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency. The repurchase plan will be valid till June 30, 2026. As of May 18, 2026, the company has 43,959,482 shares in issue and 13 shares in treasury.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥332, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥454 per share.
New Risk • May 12New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥15.6b (US$99.0m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (168% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.3% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥15.6b market cap, or US$99.0m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 12Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥355. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥451, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.2% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum over the same time period.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥461, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Negligible returns to shareholders over past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥759 per share.
Reported Earnings • Mar 19Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥27.80 (up from JP¥17.83 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥23.7b (up 18% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥1.21b (up 56% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 3.8% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 96% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • May 19TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces an Equity Buyback for 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% for ¥500 million.TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 1,500,000 shares, representing 3.41% of its issued share capital for a total price of ¥500 million. The purpose of the program is to enhance shareholder returns and improve capital efficiency. The repurchase plan will be valid till June 30, 2026. As of May 18, 2026, the company has 43,959,482 shares in issue and 13 shares in treasury.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 13Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥332, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥454 per share.
New Risk • May 12New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥15.6b (US$99.0m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by cash flows (168% cash payout ratio). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.3% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥15.6b market cap, or US$99.0m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 12Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥355. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥451, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 5.2% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum over the same time period.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 10Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥461, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Negligible returns to shareholders over past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥759 per share.
Reported Earnings • Mar 19Full year 2026 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥27.80 (up from JP¥17.83 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥23.7b (up 18% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥1.21b (up 56% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 3.8% in FY 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 96% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Mar 17TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 22, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 22, 2026.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 05Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥440, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 14% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥764 per share.
New Risk • Feb 07New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.9% average weekly change). Minor Risk High level of debt (42% net debt to equity).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 29Now 23% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 10% to JP¥408. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥530, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.8% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 17% per annum over the same time period.
Upcoming Dividend • Jan 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥6.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 January 2026. Payment date: 24 April 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and the cash payout ratio is 84%. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). In line with average of industry peers (1.4%).
分析記事 • Jan 07TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥6.00TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 24th of April to...
お知らせ • Jan 07TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on Mar 17, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on Mar 17, 2026
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 16Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to JP¥421. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥532, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.8% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.0% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 17% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Dec 10TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year'sTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 24th of April to...
お知らせ • Dec 10TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Dec 15, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results on Dec 15, 2025
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 05Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to JP¥459, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 57% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥546 per share.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 18Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥389, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 33% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥448 per share.
分析記事 • Nov 17Estimating The Fair Value Of TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415)Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, TOKYO BASELtd fair value estimate is JP¥449 With JP¥402 share...
分析記事 • Sep 25TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings SuggestTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 23Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%After last week's 16% share price decline to JP¥468, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥445 per share.
分析記事 • Sep 18TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last YearTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...
Declared Dividend • Sep 18Dividend of JP¥6.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥6.00. Ex-date: 29th January 2026 Payment date: 24th April 2026 Dividend yield will be 1.3%, which is lower than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by both earnings (22% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (84% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 32% per year over the past 4 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 47% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Reported Earnings • Sep 17Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥6.28 (vs JP¥3.62 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥6.28 (up from JP¥3.62 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥5.35b (up 23% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥273.0m (up 75% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 3.6% in 2Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 6.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.
お知らせ • Sep 16Tokyo Base Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2026. For the period, the company expects net sales of ¥23,000 million, operating profit of ¥1,900 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥1,200 million and earnings per share of ¥27.61.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 12Now 21% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 35% to JP¥548. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥454, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last year. Earnings per share has grown by 110%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 6.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Jul 15These 4 Measures Indicate That TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Using Debt Reasonably WellSome say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Major Estimate Revision • Jul 10Consensus EPS estimates increase by 25%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from JP¥21.3b to JP¥22.8b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥20.20 to JP¥25.30 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 11% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Consensus price target up from JP¥300 to JP¥390. Share price rose 3.9% to JP¥427 over the past week.
お知らせ • Jun 26TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Sep 16, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Sep 16, 2025
Reported Earnings • Jun 18First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥4.37 (vs JP¥2.23 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥4.37 (up from JP¥2.23 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥4.94b (up 3.6% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥190.0m (up 90% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 3.8% (up from 2.1% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.
New Risk • Jun 04New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 9.3% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 04Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%After last week's 26% share price gain to JP¥392, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 16% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥226 per share.
分析記事 • Jun 02After Leaping 26% TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) Shares Are Not Flying Under The RadarTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
分析記事 • May 29With EPS Growth And More, TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Makes An Interesting CaseInvestors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
お知らせ • Apr 29TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Jun 16, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Jun 16, 2025
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 08Now 24% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to JP¥242. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥195, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 43%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 1.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 13% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Apr 07Positive Sentiment Still Eludes TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) Following 30% Share Price SlumpTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 07Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%After last week's 18% share price decline to JP¥221, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 42% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥196 per share.
分析記事 • Mar 26Shareholders Can Be Confident That TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Earnings Are High QualityTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 24Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%After last week's 17% share price decline to JP¥276, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥195 per share.
お知らせ • Mar 18+ 1 more updateTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2026TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2026. For the period, the company expects net sales of ¥22,500 million, operating profit of ¥1,650 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥900 million and earnings per share of ¥20.71.
Reported Earnings • Mar 18Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥17.83 (up from JP¥7.30 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥20.2b (up 1.1% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥776.0m (up 132% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.8% (up from 1.7% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 43% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Mar 17TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2025.
お知らせ • Feb 07TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 17, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Mar 17, 2025
Upcoming Dividend • Jan 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥5.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 January 2025. Payment date: 22 April 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 29% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.6%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (1.4%).
分析記事 • Dec 31TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last YearTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥5.00 on...
分析記事 • Dec 17TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥5.00TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥5.00 on...
Reported Earnings • Dec 17Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥0.77 (vs JP¥3.82 loss in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥0.77 (up from JP¥3.82 loss in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.43b (down 4.8% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥33.0m (up JP¥208.0m from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 0.7% (up from net loss in 3Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
お知らせ • Nov 30TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Dec 16, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Dec 16, 2024
分析記事 • Nov 24TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3415) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding UpTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...
New Risk • Nov 06New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.6% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.6% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥10.8b market cap, or US$71.3m).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 01Now 21% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at JP¥254. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥209, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 21% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Oct 21At JP¥251, Is It Time To Put TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) On Your Watch List?TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. ( TSE:3415 ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 16Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥251. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥209, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Sep 24TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For ConservativelyInvestors signalled that they were pleased with TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) most recent earnings report. This...
Declared Dividend • Sep 19Dividend of JP¥5.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥5.00. Ex-date: 30th January 2025 Payment date: 22nd April 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 1.4%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (45% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (30% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 36% per year over the past 3 years and payments have been stable during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 19Now 23% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to JP¥261. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥213, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 4.7% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 19% per annum over the same time period.
Reported Earnings • Sep 18Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥3.62 (vs JP¥4.23 in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥3.62 (down from JP¥4.23 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.34b (down 12% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥156.0m (down 20% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.6% (down from 3.9% in 2Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 28% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 26% per year.
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from JP¥20.7b to JP¥19.6b. EPS estimate also fell from JP¥22.90 per share to JP¥17.45 per share. Net income forecast to grow 97% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥370 to JP¥335. Share price fell 19% to JP¥226 over the past week.
分析記事 • Aug 07Does TOKYO BASELtd (TSE:3415) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
New Risk • Aug 05New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 6.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.3% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥9.43b market cap, or US$66.2m).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%After last week's 23% share price decline to JP¥219, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 66% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥340 per share.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 01Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 7.2% to JP¥270. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥339, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.5% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 21% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Jul 05TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Sep 17, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results on Sep 17, 2024
Reported Earnings • Jun 16First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥2.23 (vs JP¥0.022 loss in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥2.23 (up from JP¥0.022 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.77b (up 1.0% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥100.0m (up JP¥101.0m from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 2.1% (up from 0% in 1Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 37% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 25% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • May 05TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Jun 14, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Jun 14, 2024
分析記事 • Mar 25TOKYO BASELtd's (TSE:3415) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings SuggestEven though TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice...
お知らせ • Mar 21+ 2 more updatesTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Announces Year-End Cash Dividend for the Year Ended January 31, 2024, Payable on April 22, 2024; Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year Ended January 31, 2025TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced year-end cash dividend for the year ended January 31, 2024. For the year, the company announced to pay cash dividend of JPY 4.00 per share compared to JPY 2.00 per share a year ago, Payable on April 22, 2024. For the year 2025, the company expects to pay cash dividend of JPY 5.00 per share.
Reported Earnings • Mar 21Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥7.30 (up from JP¥11.75 loss in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥20.0b (up 4.2% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥335.0m (up JP¥874.0m from FY 2023). Profit margin: 1.7% (up from net loss in FY 2023). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 3.8%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 42% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 23% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Mar 19TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces an Equity Buyback for 3,000,000 shares, representing 6.53% for ¥1,000 million.TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3415) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 3,000,000 shares, representing 6.53% of its issued share capital for a total price of ¥1,000 million. The purpose of the program is to improve shareholder returns, capital efficiency, and to implement flexible capital policies according to the business environment. The repurchase plan will be valid till March 22, 2024. As of March 18, 2024, the company has 45,966,382 shares in issue and 0 shares in treasury.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 18Now 23% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 22% to JP¥343. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥280, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 9.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 35% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Mar 14TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3415) Shareholders Might Be Looking For ExitThere wouldn't be many who think TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd.'s ( TSE:3415 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 05Now 22% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.6% to JP¥318. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥260, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 9.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 30% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Jan 28TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 18, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Mar 18, 2024
Upcoming Dividend • Jan 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥4.00 per share at 1.2% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 January 2024. Payment date: 26 April 2024. Trailing yield: 1.2%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (1.4%).
Price Target Changed • Dec 20Price target decreased by 22% to JP¥340Down from JP¥435, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 22% above last closing price of JP¥279. Stock is up 9.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥8.70 next year compared to a net loss per share of JP¥11.75 last year.
お知らせ • Dec 19+ 1 more updateTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2024. For the period, the company expects net sales of JPY 19,500 million, operating profit of JPY 900 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 300 million and earnings per share of JPY 6.54.
Reported Earnings • Dec 16Third quarter 2024 earnings released: JP¥3.82 loss per share (vs JP¥1.50 profit in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: JP¥3.82 loss per share (down from JP¥1.50 profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥4.65b (down 21% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: JP¥175.0m (down 354% from profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.3% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 44 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Price Target Changed • Nov 08Price target decreased by 15% to JP¥435Down from JP¥510, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 46% above last closing price of JP¥298. Stock is down 13% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥22.90 next year compared to a net loss per share of JP¥11.75 last year.
お知らせ • Oct 20TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Dec 15, 2023TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Dec 15, 2023
Reported Earnings • Sep 16Second quarter 2024 earnings releasedSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥4.23. Net income: JP¥194.0m (up JP¥194.0m from 2Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.
お知らせ • Sep 16TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending January 31, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending January 31, 2024. For the period, the company expects net sales of JPY 20,000 million, operating profit of JPY 1,500 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 1,000 million and earnings per share of JPY 21.80.
New Risk • Aug 09New minor risk - Market cap sizeThe company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: JP¥13.9b (US$96.9m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (JP¥13.9b market cap, or US$96.9m).
お知らせ • Aug 03TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Sep 14, 2023TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Sep 14, 2023
Reported Earnings • Jun 16First quarter 2024 earnings releasedFirst quarter 2024 results: JP¥0.023 loss per share. Net loss: JP¥1.05m (flat on 1Q 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 7.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.9% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan.
お知らせ • Jun 16+ 2 more updatesTOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. Provides Year-End Cash Dividend Guidance for the Year Ended January 31, 2024TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. provided year-end cash dividend guidance for the year ending January 31, 2024. For the period, the company expects to pay cash dividend of JPY 4.00 per share compared to JPY 2.00 per share a year ago.
New Risk • Jun 16New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.9% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
お知らせ • May 04TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Jun 14, 2023TOKYO BASE Co.,Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Jun 14, 2023
Reported Earnings • Mar 17Full year 2023 earnings released: JP¥11.75 loss per share (vs JP¥17.19 profit in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: JP¥11.75 loss per share (down from JP¥17.19 profit in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥19.2b (up 1.0% from FY 2022). Net loss: JP¥539.0m (down 171% from profit in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.5% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 62% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 40% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥456, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 27.5x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Specialty Retail industry in Japan. Total loss to shareholders of 5.2% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥489 per share.
