View ValuationMonogatari 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /36Monogatari利益と収益がそれぞれ年間10.6%と9.5%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に16.2% 10.4%なると予測されています。主要情報10.6%収益成長率10.38%EPS成長率Hospitality 収益成長13.0%収益成長率9.5%将来の株主資本利益率16.16%アナリストカバレッジLow最終更新日02 Jun 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報Price Target Changed • Mar 06Price target increased by 9.1% to JP¥5,800Up from JP¥5,317, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 10% above last closing price of JP¥5,250. Stock is up 62% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥194 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.Price Target Changed • Mar 03Price target increased by 7.6% to JP¥5,583Up from JP¥5,188, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of JP¥4,895. Stock is up 52% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥193 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.Price Target Changed • Sep 06Price target increased by 10% to JP¥5,188Up from JP¥4,713, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 19% above last closing price of JP¥4,365. Stock is up 25% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥187 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.Price Target Changed • May 24Price target decreased by 11% to JP¥4,933Down from JP¥5,533, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 42% above last closing price of JP¥3,485. Stock is up 10% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.Price Target Changed • Feb 19Price target increased by 11% to JP¥5,243Up from JP¥4,743, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of JP¥4,695. Stock is up 98% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.Price Target Changed • Aug 18Price target increased by 18% to JP¥4,060Up from JP¥3,443, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥3,900. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥158 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.すべての更新を表示Recent updates分析記事 • Jun 18Monogatari (TSE:3097) Stock Looks Fully Priced After Internal ReorganizationMonogatari (TSE:3097) is in focus after its board approved a wide reorganization of internal divisions and brand blocks, along with clarified leadership roles that keep core executive responsibilities broadly consistent. See our latest analysis for Monogatari. Despite the internal reshuffle and firm May sales update, Monogatari’s share price has eased recently, with a 30 day share price return of down 8.57%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 21.58% points to still resilient longer...お知らせ • Jun 17The Monogatari Corporation Resolves to Implement Organizational RestructuringThe Monogatari Corporation announced at the Board of Directors meeting held on June 15, 2026, the Company resolved to implement the following organizational restructuring. The Monogatari Corporation reorganized the “New Business Development Department” into the “New Business Development Division.” The Monogatari Corporation renamed the “Corporate Philosophy Promotion and D&I Division” to the “Corporate Philosophy Promotion and Human Resources Strategy Division.” The Monogatari Corporation renamed the “Quality Control Department” to the “Quality and Safety Management Department.” The Monogatari Corporation established the “Quality Assurance Group” and the “Quality Control Group” under the “Quality and Safety Management Department.” The Monogatari Corporation renamed the “Store Hygiene Enhancement Group” under the “Sales Planning Department” to the “Store Hygiene Management Group” and transferred it under the “Quality and Safety Management Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “Site Development Department” and reorganized it into the “East Japan Site Development Department,” “West Japan Site Development Department,” and “Site Strategy Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “Store Development Department” into the “Store Development Department” and the “Store Construction Department.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished all groups under the “Site Development Department.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished all groups under the “Store Development Department.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Nikugen Block” and the “Happy Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Yakiniku Business Department,” and reorganized them into the “Nikugen and Happy Block.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Marufuku Hanten Block” and the “Mocchiri Udon Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Marugen Business Department.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Kajitsuya Block” and the “Japanese Cuisine Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Yuzuan Business Department,” and reorganized the “Japanese Cuisine Block” into the “Japanese Specialty Restaurant Block.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Rosudo Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Yakitate no Karubi Business Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “East Japan Block” under the “Yakiniku Business Department” into the “East Japan First Block” and the “East Japan Second Block.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished the “Central Japan Block” under the “Yakiniku Business Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “West Japan Block” under the “Yakiniku Business Department” into the “West Japan First Block” and the “West Japan Second Block”.ライブニュース • Jun 15Monogatari Restructures Brand Divisions to Sharpen Quality With Leadership UnchangedMonogatari is restructuring its domestic organization by dissolving the Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department and redistributing brand blocks across other divisions. The reorganization is intended to strengthen quality control and streamline governance across its restaurant brands. President Kato and Representative Director Okada remain in their current positions, and the company keeps its existing focus on overseas operations. This kind of internal reshuffle indicates that management is focusing on tighter execution in the core domestic business while maintaining continuity at the top. Investors may want to watch how the new brand structure affects operating efficiency and whether the unchanged leadership can meet the goals of the revised governance and quality control setup.お知らせ • Jun 03The Monogatari Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on Aug 10, 2026The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on Aug 10, 2026New Risk • Jun 01New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.ライブニュース • May 21Monogatari Commits US$10 Million to Expand Storytellers USA Restaurant PresenceMonogatari plans to increase the capital of its U.S. subsidiary, Storytellers USA, Inc., to US$10 million. The move will make Storytellers USA a specified subsidiary, giving Monogatari tighter control and governance over its U.S. restaurant operations. Management links this capital injection to the company’s Vision 2030, targeting an expanded presence in the U.S. restaurant market, with limited impact on near term earnings guidance. The key takeaway is that Monogatari is committing more capital and oversight to overseas growth while signaling that any earnings effect is expected to be modest in the short term. Investors may want to watch how efficiently this additional US$10 million is deployed in new sites or concepts, as execution quality in the U.S. market and any change in profitability at Storytellers USA could influence how this move is viewed over time.Reported Earnings • May 09Third quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥62.01 (vs JP¥47.43 in 3Q 2025)Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥62.01 (up from JP¥47.43 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥39.8b (up 22% from 3Q 2025). Net income: JP¥2.39b (up 31% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from 5.6% in 3Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 14% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 11% per year.Declared Dividend • Mar 10First half dividend of JP¥20.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥20.00. Ex-date: 29th June 2026 Payment date: 29th September 2026 Dividend yield will be 0.8%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 10%. Cash payout ratio: 51%.Price Target Changed • Mar 06Price target increased by 9.1% to JP¥5,800Up from JP¥5,317, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 10% above last closing price of JP¥5,250. Stock is up 62% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥194 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.Price Target Changed • Mar 03Price target increased by 7.6% to JP¥5,583Up from JP¥5,188, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of JP¥4,895. Stock is up 52% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥193 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.Reported Earnings • Feb 10Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥43.87 (vs JP¥38.13 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥43.87 (up from JP¥38.13 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥36.7b (up 22% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥1.69b (up 17% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 4.6% (down from 4.8% in 2Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 16% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.お知らせ • Feb 09The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces an Equity Buyback for 140,000 shares, for ¥600 million.The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 140,000 shares, representing 0.3% of its issued share capital (excluding treasury stock), for a total purchase price of ¥600 million. The shares will be repurchased at ¥4,265 per share. The purpose of the program is to prepare for implementing flexible capital policies aligned with the Company's future business operation.Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥20.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2025. Payment date: 10 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 32% and the cash payout ratio is 96%. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). In line with average of industry peers (0.9%).分析記事 • Dec 09Monogatari (TSE:3097) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-BaggerIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...分析記事 • Nov 10Should You Be Adding Monogatari (TSE:3097) To Your Watchlist Today?The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Reported Earnings • Nov 08First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥49.79 (vs JP¥36.52 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥49.79 (up from JP¥36.52 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥35.6b (up 20% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥1.92b (up 46% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from 4.4% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 16% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.分析記事 • Oct 28Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥20.00The Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of...Declared Dividend • Oct 06Final dividend of JP¥20.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥20.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 10th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 0.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 10%. Cash payout ratio: 96%.お知らせ • Oct 04+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Nov 07, 2025The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Nov 07, 2025Price Target Changed • Sep 06Price target increased by 10% to JP¥5,188Up from JP¥4,713, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 19% above last closing price of JP¥4,365. Stock is up 25% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥187 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 29Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 17% to JP¥4,195. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥5,250, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 17%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Aug 20Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying IssuesThe Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength...Reported Earnings • Aug 09Full year 2025 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beatFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥163 (up from JP¥158 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥123.9b (up 16% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥6.16b (up 9.2% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 5.0% (down from 5.3% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 22% per year.お知らせ • Aug 08The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2025The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2025.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥18.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2025. Payment date: 26 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 10% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (4.0%). In line with average of industry peers (0.8%).分析記事 • Jun 12Calculating The Fair Value Of The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097)Key Insights The projected fair value for Monogatari is JP¥3,807 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Monogatari's...お知らせ • Jun 03The Monogatari Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2025The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Aug 08, 2025Reported Earnings • May 10Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥47.43 (vs JP¥47.87 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥47.43. Revenue: JP¥32.7b (up 14% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥1.83b (up 7.0% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.6% (down from 6.0% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan.分析記事 • Apr 16The Price Is Right For The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097)With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.4x The Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) may be sending very bearish...Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 14Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥3,575, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Hospitality industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 104% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥4,092 per share.分析記事 • Apr 02Monogatari (TSE:3097) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥18.00The board of The Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of...分析記事 • Mar 17Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Dividend Will Be ¥18.00The Monogatari Corporation's ( TSE:3097 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥18.00 per share on 26th of...分析記事 • Mar 12These 4 Measures Indicate That Monogatari (TSE:3097) Is Using Debt Reasonably WellDavid Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Declared Dividend • Mar 11First half dividend of JP¥18.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥18.00. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 26th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 21%. Cash payout ratio: 103%.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 23Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 11% to JP¥3,150. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,939, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 24%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • Feb 18Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Earnings Are Weaker Than They SeemThe Monogatari Corporation's ( TSE:3097 ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did...Reported Earnings • Feb 12Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥38.13 (vs JP¥31.52 in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥38.13 (up from JP¥31.52 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥30.2b (up 16% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥1.45b (up 29% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.8% (up from 4.3% in 2Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 04Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.1% to JP¥3,285. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,160, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 28%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 08Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to JP¥3,360. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,260, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 28%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥18.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2024. Payment date: 03 March 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 1.0%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.8%).Reported Earnings • Nov 09First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥36.52 (vs JP¥37.44 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥36.52 (down from JP¥37.44 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥29.8b (up 15% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥1.31b (down 1.6% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.4% (down from 5.2% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Declared Dividend • Oct 10Final dividend of JP¥18.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥18.00. Ex-date: 27th December 2024 Payment date: 3rd March 2025 Dividend yield will be 0.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 20%. Cash payout ratio: 285%.お知らせ • Sep 27+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation to Report Q3, 2025 Results on May 09, 2025The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on May 09, 2025New Risk • Sep 26New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 2.6% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.Reported Earnings • Aug 14Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥158 (up from JP¥129 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥107.2b (up 16% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥5.64b (up 20% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 5.1% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Aug 09The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 25, 2024The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 25, 2024.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥15.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2024. Payment date: 27 September 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 9.8% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.4%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.7%).Price Target Changed • May 24Price target decreased by 11% to JP¥4,933Down from JP¥5,533, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 42% above last closing price of JP¥3,485. Stock is up 10% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.Reported Earnings • May 12Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥47.87 (vs JP¥36.54 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥47.87 (up from JP¥36.54 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥28.6b (up 18% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥1.71b (up 28% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from 5.5% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 24% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Price Target Changed • Feb 19Price target increased by 11% to JP¥5,243Up from JP¥4,743, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of JP¥4,695. Stock is up 98% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.Declared Dividend • Feb 11First half dividend of JP¥15.00 announcedDividend of JP¥15.00 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 27th June 2024 Payment date: 27th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 0.6%, which is about the same as the industry average. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 11%. Cash payout ratio: 46%.Reported Earnings • Feb 10Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥31.52 (vs JP¥27.02 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥31.52 (up from JP¥27.02 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥26.1b (up 17% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥1.12b (up 14% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.3% (down from 4.4% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 34% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 39% per year.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 01Now 20% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 33% to JP¥5,280. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,396, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 39%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 28% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 50% in the next 2 years.お知らせ • Jan 06The Monogatari Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on May 10, 2024The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on May 10, 2024お知らせ • Dec 28The Monogatari Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Feb 09, 2024The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Feb 09, 2024Upcoming Dividend • Dec 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥15.00 per share at 0.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 December 2023. Payment date: 04 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.7%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). In line with average of industry peers (0.6%).Reported Earnings • Nov 10First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥37.44 (vs JP¥33.61 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥37.44 (up from JP¥33.61 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥25.9b (up 18% from 1Q 2023). Net income: JP¥1.34b (up 9.3% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.2% (down from 5.6% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.New Risk • Oct 23New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.Buying Opportunity • Oct 20Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 4.8%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,517, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 47%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 16% per annum over the same time period.Price Target Changed • Aug 18Price target increased by 18% to JP¥4,060Up from JP¥3,443, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥3,900. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥158 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 17Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,935, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 30x in the Hospitality industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 188% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥4,229 per share.Reported Earnings • Aug 12Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥129 (up from JP¥103 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥92.3b (up 26% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥4.69b (up 26% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.1% (in line with FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 9.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.2% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 47% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 38% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Aug 12+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation Announces Year End Dividend for the Full Year Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 27, 2023; Provides Second Quarter End Dividend Guidance for the Full Year Ending June 30, 2024The Monogatari Corporation announced year end dividend for the full year ended June 30, 2023. For the period, the company announced year end dividend of JPY 15 per share compared to JPY 35 per share paid a year ago. The dividend will be payable on September 27, 2023. The company provided second quarter end dividend guidance for the full year ending June 30, 2024. For the second quarter, the company expected dividend of JPY 15 per share compared to JPY 35 per share paid a year ago. The company conducted a 3-for-1 stock split as of March 1, 2023. As for the dividends before the second quarter of the fiscal year ended June 2023, the Company presents the actual amount before the stock split.お知らせ • Aug 10The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023.お知らせ • Jul 29The Monogatari Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 10, 2023Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥12.00 per share at 0.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2023. Payment date: 28 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.7%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.5%).お知らせ • May 17The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces an Equity Buyback for 730,000 shares, representing 2% for ¥2,100 million.The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 730,000 shares, representing 2% of its issued share capital (excluding treasury stock), for a total purchase price of ¥2,100 million. The purpose of the program is to prepare for a flexible capital policy in line with the Company's future business development. The program will be valid till May 16, 2023.Price Target Changed • May 14Price target increased by 11% to JP¥3,443Up from JP¥3,089, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 11% above last closing price of JP¥3,115. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥119 for next year compared to JP¥103 last year.Reported Earnings • May 12Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥36.54 (vs JP¥11.97 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥36.54 (up from JP¥11.97 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥24.2b (up 31% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.33b (up 206% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.5% (up from 2.4% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 35% per year.Buying Opportunity • Apr 05Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 26%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,345, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 9.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 31%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 28% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 61% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Feb 12Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥81.07 (vs JP¥136 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥81.07 (down from JP¥136 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥22.3b (up 12% from 2Q 2022). Net income: JP¥982.0m (down 40% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.4% (down from 8.3% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 31% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Feb 11The Monogatari Corporation Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the period, the company expected net sales of JPY 87,658 million, operating profit of JPY 6,259 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 3,802 million and basic earnings per share of JPY 104.67.お知らせ • Feb 10The Monogatari Corporation Provides Year End Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided year end dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the period, the company expected year end dividend of JPY 12 per share compared to JPY 35 per share paid a year ago. The company plans to conduct a 3-for-1 stock split as of March 1, 2023. If the stock split is not taken into account, the year-end dividend for the fiscal year June 2023 (forecast) would be JPY 36, and the annual dividend would be JPY 71, which would be an increase of JPY 1.お知らせ • Dec 24+ 1 more updateThe Monogatari Corporation to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Feb 10, 2023The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Feb 10, 2023Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥35.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2022. Payment date: 02 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 19% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.1%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.6%).Price Target Changed • Nov 21Price target increased to JP¥9,267Up from JP¥8,300, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of JP¥7,080. Stock is down 8.1% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥343 for next year compared to JP¥309 last year.Reported Earnings • Nov 16First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥101 (vs JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥101 (up from JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥21.9b (up 39% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.22b (up 50% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.6% (up from 5.2% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 5 experienced directors. 7 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (11 non-independent directors). Senior Executive Officer, Head of Internal Audit & Director Kozo Hosoi was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2015. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.Reported Earnings • Nov 11First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥101 (vs JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥101 (up from JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥21.9b (up 39% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.22b (up 50% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.6% (up from 5.2% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 17% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Nov 10+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2023. For the year, the company expects dividend of JPY 35.00 per share against JPY 35.00 per share paid a year ago.お知らせ • Oct 09The Monogatari Corporation to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Nov 09, 2022The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2023 results on Nov 09, 2022Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 18Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥6,800, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 27x in the Hospitality industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 40% over the past three years.Major Estimate Revision • Aug 17Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2023 has improved. 2023 revenue forecast increased from JP¥84.8b to JP¥87.3b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥278 to JP¥316 per share. Net income forecast to grow 2.8% next year vs 2.6% decline forecast for Hospitality industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥8,167. Share price rose 15% to JP¥6,720 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Aug 12Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥309 (up from JP¥226 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥73.3b (up 14% from FY 2021). Net income: JP¥3.73b (up 37% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 4.3% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 19%, compared to a 38% growth forecast for the restaurants industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year.お知らせ • Aug 11+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation Provides Dividend Guidance for the Second Quarter End of Year Ending June 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided dividend guidance for the second quarter end of year ending June 2023. For the quarter, the company expected to pay the dividend of JPY 35.00 per share against JPY 30.00 per share for the same period a year ago.お知らせ • Aug 10The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 27, 2022The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 27, 2022.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥35.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2022. Payment date: 29 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 29% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 1.1%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.6%).Major Estimate Revision • May 17Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate fell from JP¥330 to JP¥276 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥72.7b. Net income forecast to grow 22% next year vs 3.2% growth forecast for Hospitality industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥8,500 to JP¥8,267. Share price was steady at JP¥5,220 over the past week.お知らせ • May 12The Monogatari Corporation Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year Ending June 30, 2022The Monogatari Corporation provided dividend guidance for the year ending June 30, 2022. The company expects to pay dividend of ¥35.00 per share against ¥35.00 per share a year ago.業績と収益の成長予測TSE:3097 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )JPY Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数6/30/2028186,5089,9482,442N/A56/30/2027167,3888,710743N/A56/30/2026149,3467,662-830N/A53/31/2026143,4457,560N/AN/AN/A12/31/2025136,3157,0013,02013,498N/A9/30/2025129,7686,761N/AN/AN/A6/30/2025123,9216,1571,60011,839N/A3/31/2025119,1476,063N/AN/AN/A12/31/2024115,0565,9441,34711,348N/A9/30/2024110,9995,618N/AN/AN/A6/30/2024107,1565,63946210,626N/A3/31/2024104,5075,328N/AN/AN/A12/31/2023100,1014,94918410,314N/A9/30/202396,2734,807N/AN/AN/A6/30/202392,2744,6932,3309,695N/A3/31/202387,6434,364N/AN/AN/A12/31/202281,9123,4702,4718,275N/A9/30/202279,4574,132N/AN/AN/A6/30/202273,2773,7271,7248,778N/A3/31/202267,8972,687N/AN/AN/A12/31/202165,0892,742-1,3136,224N/A9/30/202163,1272,270N/AN/AN/A6/30/202164,0182,7272145,789N/A3/31/202158,7681,525N/AN/AN/A12/31/202060,9251,8716864,671N/A9/30/202058,7761,089N/AN/AN/A6/30/202057,960456-1,6842,826N/A3/31/202064,1762,484N/AN/AN/A12/31/201961,8732,557N/A5,994N/A9/30/201960,1692,753N/AN/AN/A6/30/201958,9242,938N/A5,803N/A3/31/201957,1082,707N/AN/AN/A12/31/201855,5742,593N/A5,242N/A9/30/201854,1292,541N/AN/AN/A6/30/201852,1232,386N/A5,656N/A3/31/201850,5902,644N/AN/AN/A12/31/201748,4872,414N/A5,368N/A9/30/201746,6082,355N/AN/AN/A6/30/201744,5962,072N/A4,344N/A3/31/201742,9021,715N/AN/AN/A12/31/201641,2571,633N/A3,758N/A9/30/201639,8221,459N/AN/AN/A6/30/201638,7811,371N/A3,330N/A3/31/201637,7791,535N/AN/AN/A12/31/201536,2941,402N/A3,445N/A9/30/201534,9231,183N/AN/AN/A6/30/201533,4321,257N/A3,393N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: 3097の予測収益成長率 (年間10.6% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 0.8% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: 3097の収益 ( 10.6% ) はJP市場 ( 9.6% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高成長収益: 3097の収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。収益対市場: 3097の収益 ( 9.5% ) JP市場 ( 6.5% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。高い収益成長: 3097の収益 ( 9.5% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: 3097の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 16.2 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YConsumer-services 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/06/20 13:06終値2026/06/19 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/06/30データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋The Monogatari Corporation 5 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。6 アナリスト機関Kazunori TsudaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.Seiichiro SamejimaIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.Yusuke MatsuuraMarusan Securities Co. Ltd.3 その他のアナリストを表示
Price Target Changed • Mar 06Price target increased by 9.1% to JP¥5,800Up from JP¥5,317, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 10% above last closing price of JP¥5,250. Stock is up 62% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥194 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.
Price Target Changed • Mar 03Price target increased by 7.6% to JP¥5,583Up from JP¥5,188, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of JP¥4,895. Stock is up 52% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥193 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.
Price Target Changed • Sep 06Price target increased by 10% to JP¥5,188Up from JP¥4,713, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 19% above last closing price of JP¥4,365. Stock is up 25% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥187 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.
Price Target Changed • May 24Price target decreased by 11% to JP¥4,933Down from JP¥5,533, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 42% above last closing price of JP¥3,485. Stock is up 10% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.
Price Target Changed • Feb 19Price target increased by 11% to JP¥5,243Up from JP¥4,743, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of JP¥4,695. Stock is up 98% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.
Price Target Changed • Aug 18Price target increased by 18% to JP¥4,060Up from JP¥3,443, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥3,900. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥158 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.
分析記事 • Jun 18Monogatari (TSE:3097) Stock Looks Fully Priced After Internal ReorganizationMonogatari (TSE:3097) is in focus after its board approved a wide reorganization of internal divisions and brand blocks, along with clarified leadership roles that keep core executive responsibilities broadly consistent. See our latest analysis for Monogatari. Despite the internal reshuffle and firm May sales update, Monogatari’s share price has eased recently, with a 30 day share price return of down 8.57%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 21.58% points to still resilient longer...
お知らせ • Jun 17The Monogatari Corporation Resolves to Implement Organizational RestructuringThe Monogatari Corporation announced at the Board of Directors meeting held on June 15, 2026, the Company resolved to implement the following organizational restructuring. The Monogatari Corporation reorganized the “New Business Development Department” into the “New Business Development Division.” The Monogatari Corporation renamed the “Corporate Philosophy Promotion and D&I Division” to the “Corporate Philosophy Promotion and Human Resources Strategy Division.” The Monogatari Corporation renamed the “Quality Control Department” to the “Quality and Safety Management Department.” The Monogatari Corporation established the “Quality Assurance Group” and the “Quality Control Group” under the “Quality and Safety Management Department.” The Monogatari Corporation renamed the “Store Hygiene Enhancement Group” under the “Sales Planning Department” to the “Store Hygiene Management Group” and transferred it under the “Quality and Safety Management Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “Site Development Department” and reorganized it into the “East Japan Site Development Department,” “West Japan Site Development Department,” and “Site Strategy Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “Store Development Department” into the “Store Development Department” and the “Store Construction Department.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished all groups under the “Site Development Department.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished all groups under the “Store Development Department.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Nikugen Block” and the “Happy Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Yakiniku Business Department,” and reorganized them into the “Nikugen and Happy Block.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Marufuku Hanten Block” and the “Mocchiri Udon Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Marugen Business Department.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Kajitsuya Block” and the “Japanese Cuisine Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Yuzuan Business Department,” and reorganized the “Japanese Cuisine Block” into the “Japanese Specialty Restaurant Block.” The Monogatari Corporation transferred the “Rosudo Block” under the “Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department” to the “Yakitate no Karubi Business Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “East Japan Block” under the “Yakiniku Business Department” into the “East Japan First Block” and the “East Japan Second Block.” The Monogatari Corporation abolished the “Central Japan Block” under the “Yakiniku Business Department.” The Monogatari Corporation split the “West Japan Block” under the “Yakiniku Business Department” into the “West Japan First Block” and the “West Japan Second Block”.
ライブニュース • Jun 15Monogatari Restructures Brand Divisions to Sharpen Quality With Leadership UnchangedMonogatari is restructuring its domestic organization by dissolving the Specialty Restaurant and New Business Format Department and redistributing brand blocks across other divisions. The reorganization is intended to strengthen quality control and streamline governance across its restaurant brands. President Kato and Representative Director Okada remain in their current positions, and the company keeps its existing focus on overseas operations. This kind of internal reshuffle indicates that management is focusing on tighter execution in the core domestic business while maintaining continuity at the top. Investors may want to watch how the new brand structure affects operating efficiency and whether the unchanged leadership can meet the goals of the revised governance and quality control setup.
お知らせ • Jun 03The Monogatari Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on Aug 10, 2026The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on Aug 10, 2026
New Risk • Jun 01New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 7.2% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
ライブニュース • May 21Monogatari Commits US$10 Million to Expand Storytellers USA Restaurant PresenceMonogatari plans to increase the capital of its U.S. subsidiary, Storytellers USA, Inc., to US$10 million. The move will make Storytellers USA a specified subsidiary, giving Monogatari tighter control and governance over its U.S. restaurant operations. Management links this capital injection to the company’s Vision 2030, targeting an expanded presence in the U.S. restaurant market, with limited impact on near term earnings guidance. The key takeaway is that Monogatari is committing more capital and oversight to overseas growth while signaling that any earnings effect is expected to be modest in the short term. Investors may want to watch how efficiently this additional US$10 million is deployed in new sites or concepts, as execution quality in the U.S. market and any change in profitability at Storytellers USA could influence how this move is viewed over time.
Reported Earnings • May 09Third quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥62.01 (vs JP¥47.43 in 3Q 2025)Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥62.01 (up from JP¥47.43 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥39.8b (up 22% from 3Q 2025). Net income: JP¥2.39b (up 31% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from 5.6% in 3Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 14% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 11% per year.
Declared Dividend • Mar 10First half dividend of JP¥20.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥20.00. Ex-date: 29th June 2026 Payment date: 29th September 2026 Dividend yield will be 0.8%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 10%. Cash payout ratio: 51%.
Price Target Changed • Mar 06Price target increased by 9.1% to JP¥5,800Up from JP¥5,317, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 10% above last closing price of JP¥5,250. Stock is up 62% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥194 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.
Price Target Changed • Mar 03Price target increased by 7.6% to JP¥5,583Up from JP¥5,188, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of JP¥4,895. Stock is up 52% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥193 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.
Reported Earnings • Feb 10Second quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥43.87 (vs JP¥38.13 in 2Q 2025)Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥43.87 (up from JP¥38.13 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥36.7b (up 22% from 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥1.69b (up 17% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 4.6% (down from 4.8% in 2Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 16% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 29% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
お知らせ • Feb 09The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces an Equity Buyback for 140,000 shares, for ¥600 million.The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 140,000 shares, representing 0.3% of its issued share capital (excluding treasury stock), for a total purchase price of ¥600 million. The shares will be repurchased at ¥4,265 per share. The purpose of the program is to prepare for implementing flexible capital policies aligned with the Company's future business operation.
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥20.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2025. Payment date: 10 March 2026. Payout ratio is a comfortable 32% and the cash payout ratio is 96%. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). In line with average of industry peers (0.9%).
分析記事 • Dec 09Monogatari (TSE:3097) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-BaggerIf you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...
分析記事 • Nov 10Should You Be Adding Monogatari (TSE:3097) To Your Watchlist Today?The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Reported Earnings • Nov 08First quarter 2026 earnings released: EPS: JP¥49.79 (vs JP¥36.52 in 1Q 2025)First quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥49.79 (up from JP¥36.52 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥35.6b (up 20% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥1.92b (up 46% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 5.4% (up from 4.4% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 16% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.
分析記事 • Oct 28Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥20.00The Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 10th of...
Declared Dividend • Oct 06Final dividend of JP¥20.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥20.00. Ex-date: 29th December 2025 Payment date: 10th March 2026 Dividend yield will be 0.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 10%. Cash payout ratio: 96%.
お知らせ • Oct 04+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Nov 07, 2025The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Nov 07, 2025
Price Target Changed • Sep 06Price target increased by 10% to JP¥5,188Up from JP¥4,713, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 19% above last closing price of JP¥4,365. Stock is up 25% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥187 for next year compared to JP¥163 last year.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 29Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 17% to JP¥4,195. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥5,250, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 17%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Aug 20Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying IssuesThe Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength...
Reported Earnings • Aug 09Full year 2025 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beatFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥163 (up from JP¥158 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥123.9b (up 16% from FY 2024). Net income: JP¥6.16b (up 9.2% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 5.0% (down from 5.3% in FY 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) were mostly in line with analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.5% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 22% per year.
お知らせ • Aug 08The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2025The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2025.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥18.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2025. Payment date: 26 September 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 10% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (4.0%). In line with average of industry peers (0.8%).
分析記事 • Jun 12Calculating The Fair Value Of The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097)Key Insights The projected fair value for Monogatari is JP¥3,807 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Monogatari's...
お知らせ • Jun 03The Monogatari Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2025The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Aug 08, 2025
Reported Earnings • May 10Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥47.43 (vs JP¥47.87 in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥47.43. Revenue: JP¥32.7b (up 14% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥1.83b (up 7.0% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.6% (down from 6.0% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan.
分析記事 • Apr 16The Price Is Right For The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097)With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.4x The Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) may be sending very bearish...
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 14Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to JP¥3,575, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Hospitality industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 104% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥4,092 per share.
分析記事 • Apr 02Monogatari (TSE:3097) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥18.00The board of The Monogatari Corporation ( TSE:3097 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of...
分析記事 • Mar 17Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Dividend Will Be ¥18.00The Monogatari Corporation's ( TSE:3097 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥18.00 per share on 26th of...
分析記事 • Mar 12These 4 Measures Indicate That Monogatari (TSE:3097) Is Using Debt Reasonably WellDavid Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Declared Dividend • Mar 11First half dividend of JP¥18.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥18.00. Ex-date: 27th June 2025 Payment date: 26th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 21%. Cash payout ratio: 103%.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 23Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 11% to JP¥3,150. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,939, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 24%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 8.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • Feb 18Monogatari's (TSE:3097) Earnings Are Weaker Than They SeemThe Monogatari Corporation's ( TSE:3097 ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did...
Reported Earnings • Feb 12Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥38.13 (vs JP¥31.52 in 2Q 2024)Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥38.13 (up from JP¥31.52 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥30.2b (up 16% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥1.45b (up 29% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.8% (up from 4.3% in 2Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 04Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 6.1% to JP¥3,285. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,160, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 28%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 08Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to JP¥3,360. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,260, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 28%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.1% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 12% per annum over the same time period.
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥18.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 December 2024. Payment date: 03 March 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 1.0%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.8%).
Reported Earnings • Nov 09First quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: JP¥36.52 (vs JP¥37.44 in 1Q 2024)First quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥36.52 (down from JP¥37.44 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥29.8b (up 15% from 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥1.31b (down 1.6% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.4% (down from 5.2% in 1Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 12% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Declared Dividend • Oct 10Final dividend of JP¥18.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥18.00. Ex-date: 27th December 2024 Payment date: 3rd March 2025 Dividend yield will be 0.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 0.6%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 20%. Cash payout ratio: 285%.
お知らせ • Sep 27+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation to Report Q3, 2025 Results on May 09, 2025The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on May 09, 2025
New Risk • Sep 26New minor risk - Shareholder dilutionThe company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 2.6% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
Reported Earnings • Aug 14Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥158 (up from JP¥129 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥107.2b (up 16% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥5.64b (up 20% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 5.1% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.8% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Aug 09The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 25, 2024The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 25, 2024.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥15.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 June 2024. Payment date: 27 September 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 9.8% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 0.9%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.4%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.7%).
Price Target Changed • May 24Price target decreased by 11% to JP¥4,933Down from JP¥5,533, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 42% above last closing price of JP¥3,485. Stock is up 10% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.
Reported Earnings • May 12Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥47.87 (vs JP¥36.54 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥47.87 (up from JP¥36.54 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥28.6b (up 18% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥1.71b (up 28% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.0% (up from 5.5% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 24% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Price Target Changed • Feb 19Price target increased by 11% to JP¥5,243Up from JP¥4,743, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 12% above last closing price of JP¥4,695. Stock is up 98% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥160 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.
Declared Dividend • Feb 11First half dividend of JP¥15.00 announcedDividend of JP¥15.00 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 27th June 2024 Payment date: 27th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 0.6%, which is about the same as the industry average. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 11%. Cash payout ratio: 46%.
Reported Earnings • Feb 10Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥31.52 (vs JP¥27.02 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥31.52 (up from JP¥27.02 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥26.1b (up 17% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥1.12b (up 14% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 4.3% (down from 4.4% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.3% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 34% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 39% per year.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 01Now 20% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 33% to JP¥5,280. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,396, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 39%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 28% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 50% in the next 2 years.
お知らせ • Jan 06The Monogatari Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on May 10, 2024The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on May 10, 2024
お知らせ • Dec 28The Monogatari Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Feb 09, 2024The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Feb 09, 2024
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥15.00 per share at 0.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 December 2023. Payment date: 04 March 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.7%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). In line with average of industry peers (0.6%).
Reported Earnings • Nov 10First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: JP¥37.44 (vs JP¥33.61 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥37.44 (up from JP¥33.61 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥25.9b (up 18% from 1Q 2023). Net income: JP¥1.34b (up 9.3% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 5.2% (down from 5.6% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.1% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
New Risk • Oct 23New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 5.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company.
Buying Opportunity • Oct 20Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 4.8%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥4,517, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 47%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 16% per annum over the same time period.
Price Target Changed • Aug 18Price target increased by 18% to JP¥4,060Up from JP¥3,443, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of JP¥3,900. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥158 for next year compared to JP¥129 last year.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 17Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%After last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥3,935, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26x. Average forward P/E is 30x in the Hospitality industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 188% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥4,229 per share.
Reported Earnings • Aug 12Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥129 (up from JP¥103 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥92.3b (up 26% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥4.69b (up 26% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.1% (in line with FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 9.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.2% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.6% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 47% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 38% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Aug 12+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation Announces Year End Dividend for the Full Year Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 27, 2023; Provides Second Quarter End Dividend Guidance for the Full Year Ending June 30, 2024The Monogatari Corporation announced year end dividend for the full year ended June 30, 2023. For the period, the company announced year end dividend of JPY 15 per share compared to JPY 35 per share paid a year ago. The dividend will be payable on September 27, 2023. The company provided second quarter end dividend guidance for the full year ending June 30, 2024. For the second quarter, the company expected dividend of JPY 15 per share compared to JPY 35 per share paid a year ago. The company conducted a 3-for-1 stock split as of March 1, 2023. As for the dividends before the second quarter of the fiscal year ended June 2023, the Company presents the actual amount before the stock split.
お知らせ • Aug 10The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 26, 2023.
お知らせ • Jul 29The Monogatari Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 10, 2023
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥12.00 per share at 0.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2023. Payment date: 28 September 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 0.7%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.5%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.5%).
お知らせ • May 17The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces an Equity Buyback for 730,000 shares, representing 2% for ¥2,100 million.The Monogatari Corporation (TSE:3097) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 730,000 shares, representing 2% of its issued share capital (excluding treasury stock), for a total purchase price of ¥2,100 million. The purpose of the program is to prepare for a flexible capital policy in line with the Company's future business development. The program will be valid till May 16, 2023.
Price Target Changed • May 14Price target increased by 11% to JP¥3,443Up from JP¥3,089, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 11% above last closing price of JP¥3,115. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥119 for next year compared to JP¥103 last year.
Reported Earnings • May 12Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥36.54 (vs JP¥11.97 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥36.54 (up from JP¥11.97 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥24.2b (up 31% from 3Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.33b (up 206% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.5% (up from 2.4% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.7% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 35% per year.
Buying Opportunity • Apr 05Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock is up 26%. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥3,345, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 9.9% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 31%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 28% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 61% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Feb 12Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥81.07 (vs JP¥136 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥81.07 (down from JP¥136 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥22.3b (up 12% from 2Q 2022). Net income: JP¥982.0m (down 40% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 4.4% (down from 8.3% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 31% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Feb 11The Monogatari Corporation Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the period, the company expected net sales of JPY 87,658 million, operating profit of JPY 6,259 million, profit attributable to owners of parent of JPY 3,802 million and basic earnings per share of JPY 104.67.
お知らせ • Feb 10The Monogatari Corporation Provides Year End Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided year end dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. For the period, the company expected year end dividend of JPY 12 per share compared to JPY 35 per share paid a year ago. The company plans to conduct a 3-for-1 stock split as of March 1, 2023. If the stock split is not taken into account, the year-end dividend for the fiscal year June 2023 (forecast) would be JPY 36, and the annual dividend would be JPY 71, which would be an increase of JPY 1.
お知らせ • Dec 24+ 1 more updateThe Monogatari Corporation to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Feb 10, 2023The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2023 results on Feb 10, 2023
Upcoming Dividend • Dec 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥35.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 December 2022. Payment date: 02 March 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 19% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.1%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.6%).
Price Target Changed • Nov 21Price target increased to JP¥9,267Up from JP¥8,300, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 31% above last closing price of JP¥7,080. Stock is down 8.1% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of JP¥343 for next year compared to JP¥309 last year.
Reported Earnings • Nov 16First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥101 (vs JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥101 (up from JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥21.9b (up 39% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.22b (up 50% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.6% (up from 5.2% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.
Board Change • Nov 16No independent directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 5 experienced directors. 7 highly experienced directors. No independent directors (11 non-independent directors). Senior Executive Officer, Head of Internal Audit & Director Kozo Hosoi was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2015. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment.
Reported Earnings • Nov 11First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: JP¥101 (vs JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022)First quarter 2023 results: EPS: JP¥101 (up from JP¥67.62 in 1Q 2022). Revenue: JP¥21.9b (up 39% from 1Q 2022). Net income: JP¥1.22b (up 50% from 1Q 2022). Profit margin: 5.6% (up from 5.2% in 1Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Hospitality industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 17% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Nov 10+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation Provides Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending June 30, 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2023. For the year, the company expects dividend of JPY 35.00 per share against JPY 35.00 per share paid a year ago.
お知らせ • Oct 09The Monogatari Corporation to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Nov 09, 2022The Monogatari Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2023 results on Nov 09, 2022
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 18Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 16% share price gain to JP¥6,800, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22x. Average forward P/E is 27x in the Hospitality industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 40% over the past three years.
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 17Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2023 has improved. 2023 revenue forecast increased from JP¥84.8b to JP¥87.3b. EPS estimate increased from JP¥278 to JP¥316 per share. Net income forecast to grow 2.8% next year vs 2.6% decline forecast for Hospitality industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥8,167. Share price rose 15% to JP¥6,720 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Aug 12Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectationsFull year 2022 results: EPS: JP¥309 (up from JP¥226 in FY 2021). Revenue: JP¥73.3b (up 14% from FY 2021). Net income: JP¥3.73b (up 37% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 5.1% (up from 4.3% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 19%, compared to a 38% growth forecast for the restaurants industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 9% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year.
お知らせ • Aug 11+ 2 more updatesThe Monogatari Corporation Provides Dividend Guidance for the Second Quarter End of Year Ending June 2023The Monogatari Corporation provided dividend guidance for the second quarter end of year ending June 2023. For the quarter, the company expected to pay the dividend of JPY 35.00 per share against JPY 30.00 per share for the same period a year ago.
お知らせ • Aug 10The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 27, 2022The Monogatari Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Sep 27, 2022.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 22Upcoming dividend of JP¥35.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 29 June 2022. Payment date: 29 September 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 29% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 1.1%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (0.6%).
Major Estimate Revision • May 17Consensus forecasts updatedThe consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate fell from JP¥330 to JP¥276 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥72.7b. Net income forecast to grow 22% next year vs 3.2% growth forecast for Hospitality industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥8,500 to JP¥8,267. Share price was steady at JP¥5,220 over the past week.
お知らせ • May 12The Monogatari Corporation Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year Ending June 30, 2022The Monogatari Corporation provided dividend guidance for the year ending June 30, 2022. The company expects to pay dividend of ¥35.00 per share against ¥35.00 per share a year ago.