Subaru（7270）株式概要スバル株式会社は、日本、アジア、北米、欧州、およびその他の地域において、自動車および航空宇宙製品の製造・販売を行っています。 詳細7270 ファンダメンタル分析スノーフレーク・スコア評価2/6将来の成長2/6過去の実績2/6財務の健全性6/6配当金2/6報酬収益は年間17.18%増加すると予測されています リスク分析4.85%の配当は、利益やフリーキャッシュフローによって十分にカバーされていない 利益率(1.9%)は昨年より低い(7.2%) すべてのリスクチェックを見る7270 Community Fair Values Create NarrativeSee what 13 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.Your Fair ValueJP¥Current PriceJP¥2.39k21.9% 割高 内在価値ディスカウントGrowth estimate overAnnual revenue growth rate5 Yearstime period%/yrDecreaseIncreasePastFuture05t2016201920222025202620282031Revenue JP¥5.4tEarnings JP¥103.4bAdvancedSet Fair ValueView all narrativesSubaru Corporation 競合他社Isuzu MotorsSymbol: TSE:7202Market cap: JP¥1.5tSuzuki MotorSymbol: TSE:7269Market cap: JP¥3.8tMazda MotorSymbol: TSE:7261Market cap: JP¥686.6bMitsubishi MotorsSymbol: TSE:7211Market cap: JP¥417.7b価格と性能株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Subaru過去の株価現在の株価JP¥2,390.0052週高値JP¥3,642.0052週安値JP¥2,247.50ベータ0.0581ヶ月の変化-2.13%3ヶ月変化-6.38%1年変化-3.10%3年間の変化-12.00%5年間の変化6.48%IPOからの変化497.50%最新ニュースBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 10Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.8% to JP¥2,536. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,107, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.1% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • May 18Subaru Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting NowInvestors in Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.8% to close at JP¥2,385 following...Reported Earnings • May 17Full year 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥125 (down from JP¥458 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥4.78t (up 2.1% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥90.8b (down 73% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 7.2% in FY 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 29%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 4% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to JP¥2,568. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,133, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.4% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.6%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 18% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • May 15+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026.ライブニュース • May 14Subaru Cuts 2026 Profit Forecast by 70% but Keeps Dividend After U.S. Sales SlumpSubaru cut its FY2026 operating profit forecast by nearly 70% compared with its prior outlook, citing weaker U.S. demand, shipping disruptions and an impairment charge on battery EV assets. The company linked the downgrade primarily to a slump in its key U.S. market, which has historically been an important earnings driver. Despite the reduced profit outlook and EV-related impairment, Subaru kept its planned dividend payout unchanged, signaling a focus on maintaining shareholder returns. This combination of a sharply lower profit forecast and a maintained dividend indicates that Subaru is absorbing near-term earnings pressure while also aiming to signal stability to income-focused investors. Investors may want to monitor how Subaru addresses U.S. demand challenges and future EV spending, as additional impairments or ongoing market weakness could influence both earnings flexibility and the sustainability of current capital return plans.最新情報をもっと見るRecent updatesBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 10Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.8% to JP¥2,536. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,107, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.1% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period.分析記事 • May 18Subaru Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting NowInvestors in Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.8% to close at JP¥2,385 following...Reported Earnings • May 17Full year 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥125 (down from JP¥458 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥4.78t (up 2.1% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥90.8b (down 73% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 7.2% in FY 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 29%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 4% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to JP¥2,568. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,133, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.4% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.6%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 18% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • May 15+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026.ライブニュース • May 14Subaru Cuts 2026 Profit Forecast by 70% but Keeps Dividend After U.S. Sales SlumpSubaru cut its FY2026 operating profit forecast by nearly 70% compared with its prior outlook, citing weaker U.S. demand, shipping disruptions and an impairment charge on battery EV assets. The company linked the downgrade primarily to a slump in its key U.S. market, which has historically been an important earnings driver. Despite the reduced profit outlook and EV-related impairment, Subaru kept its planned dividend payout unchanged, signaling a focus on maintaining shareholder returns. This combination of a sharply lower profit forecast and a maintained dividend indicates that Subaru is absorbing near-term earnings pressure while also aiming to signal stability to income-focused investors. Investors may want to monitor how Subaru addresses U.S. demand challenges and future EV spending, as additional impairments or ongoing market weakness could influence both earnings flexibility and the sustainability of current capital return plans.お知らせ • Apr 11Subaru Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on May 15, 2026Subaru Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on May 15, 2026Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥58.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2026. Payment date: 26 June 2026. Payout ratio is on the higher end at 87%, and the cash payout ratio is above 100%. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.2%).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 18Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to JP¥2,613. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,175, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.4% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.6%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 24% per annum over the same time period.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 06Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate increased from JP¥190 to JP¥214. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.77t. Net income forecast to grow 108% next year vs 90% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥3,414. Share price fell 8.5% to JP¥2,715 over the past week.Major Estimate Revision • Feb 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥254 to JP¥228 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.74t. Net income forecast to grow 123% next year vs 83% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥3,419. Share price fell 5.0% to JP¥3,174 over the past week.分析記事 • Feb 09Subaru Corporation Reported A Surprise Loss, And Analysts Have Updated Their ForecastsShareholders might have noticed that Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) filed its quarterly result this time last week...Reported Earnings • Feb 07Third quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2026 results: JP¥10.19 loss per share (down from JP¥211 profit in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥1.13t (down 11% from 3Q 2025). Net loss: JP¥7.33b (down 105% from profit in 3Q 2025). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.3% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.お知らせ • Feb 07Subaru Corporation Revises Consolidated Financial Forecast for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2026Subaru Corporation revised consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. For the year, the company expects revenue of ¥4,800,000 million, operating profit of ¥130,000 million, profit for the year attributable to owners of parent of ¥125,000 million and profit for the year per share attributable to owners of parent, basic of ¥172.72 as compared to previous guidance for revenue of ¥4,580,000 million, operating profit of ¥200,000 million, profit for the year attributable to owners of parent of ¥160,000 million and profit for the year per share attributable to owners of parent, basic of ¥218.87. Reason: Due to the rising impact of additional tariffs and increases in other expenses, the Company posted a net loss for the three months of the third quarter. In light of these and other factors, the Company has revised the consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 from the previous announcement made on August 2025. Exchange rates assumed for the forecast of the full-year consolidated earnings are 150 yen per US dollar (previously 145 yen per US dollar).お知らせ • Jan 15Subaru Corporation to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Feb 06, 2026Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Feb 06, 2026Declared Dividend • Dec 11First half dividend of JP¥58.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥58.00. Ex-date: 30th March 2026 Payment date: 26th June 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.4%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (34% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (32% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 6.4% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 14% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.分析記事 • Nov 12Earnings Miss: Subaru Corporation Missed EPS By 7.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their ForecastsInvestors in Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 8.9% to close at JP¥3,524 following...Reported Earnings • Nov 11Second quarter 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥48.82 (down from JP¥107 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥1.17t (flat on 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥35.6b (down 55% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 3.0% (down from 6.7% in 2Q 2025). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Nov 10Subaru Corporation Announces Dividend for the Second Quarter End of Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2026, Payable on December 10, 2025Subaru Corporation announced dividend of JPY 57.00 per share for the second quarter end of fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, against JPY 48.00 per share a year ago. Scheduled date to commence dividend payments: December 10, 2025.お知らせ • Oct 11Subaru Corporation to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Nov 10, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Nov 10, 2025分析記事 • Sep 26Subaru (TSE:7270) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥57.00Subaru Corporation's ( TSE:7270 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥57.00 per share on 8th of December. This...分析記事 • Sep 12Subaru (TSE:7270) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥57.00The board of Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th...お知らせ • Sep 11Subaru of America, Inc. Announces Limited-Production Sports CarsSubaru of America Inc. announced the new 2026 Subaru WRX Series. Yellow and 2026 Subaru BRZ Series. Yellow limited-production sports cars with exclusive exterior and interior colors, limited to 350 cars for each model line. The new Series. Yellow models will make their public debut on Sept. 14 at Boxerfest in York, Pennsylvania. Both Series. Yellow models are based on their respective tS trim levels and feature unique suspension hardware and upgraded interiors, compared to the rest of their lineups. Each Series. Yellow car is immediately recognizable by its Sunrise Yellow exterior. The exclusive color is a Subaru hallmark and has been used on other models, such as the 2015 Subaru XV Crosstrek Special Edition, and Japan-only Subaru BRZ STI Sport and Subaru WRX STI S207 models. In addition to Sunrise Yellow exteriors, both models receive yellow high-contrast stitching inside throughout the upholstery, instrument panel, and door panels. The 2026 Subaru WRX Series; Yellow is powered by a 271-horsepower, 2.4-liter SUBARU BOXER engine and Subaru Symmetrical All-Wheel Drive shifted through a 6-speed manual transmission. Electronically controlled adjustable wheels tuned by Subaru Tecnica International are paired with high-performance Brembo®? brakes and 19-inch alloy wheels featuring a matte black finish with Bridgestone Potenza S007 tires put power down to the pavement. Inside, the 2026 Subaru WRX series. Yellow features a Subaru 11.6-inch Multimedia system for infotainment and a 12.3-inch full digital gauge cluster. Grippy Recaro Performance Design front seats have been complemented with yellow contrast stitching and yellow accents in the perforations. The 2026 Subaru BRZ series. Yellow is powered by a 2.4-liter, 228-horsepower naturally aspirated SUBARU BOXER®? engine paired with a 6-speed close-ratio manual transmission that powers the rear wheels only. The Subaru BRZ Series. Yellow utilizes STI-tuned front and rear Hitachi®? dampers for better control and stability. High-performance Brembo®®? brakes and 18-inch wheels in matte black finish with Michelin Pilot®? Sport 4 tires offer superior grip and quicker turn-in. Inside, the BRZ Series. Yellow is wrapped in black upholstery with exclusive yellow stitching on the front seats, leather-wrapped steering wheel, shifter boot, and parking brake boot. Pricing for the 2026 Subaru WRX Series: Yellow and 2026 Subaru BRX Series. Yellow will be announced closer to market launch for both models. For more information about Series. Yellow BRZ and WRX, visit BoxerFest.com.分析記事 • Aug 27Subaru (TSE:7270) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥57.00Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th of December...Major Estimate Revision • Aug 14Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate increased from JP¥191 to JP¥236. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.52t. Net income forecast to shrink 45% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥2,509 to JP¥2,591. Share price was steady at JP¥2,912 over the past week.分析記事 • Aug 13Subaru's (TSE:7270) Dividend Will Be ¥57.00Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th of December...分析記事 • Aug 11Subaru Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen NextTSE:7270 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Subaru's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Subaru...Reported Earnings • Aug 08First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥75.03 (down from JP¥112 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥1.21t (up 11% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥54.8b (down 35% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 4.5% (down from 7.7% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 12%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 51%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.5% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 37% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Aug 07Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces an Equity Buyback for 20,840,000 shares, representing 2.85% for ¥50,000 million.Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 20,840,000 shares, representing 2.85% of its share capital, for ¥50,000 million. The company will repurchase its shares in order to considers the interests of its shareholders to be an important management issue. The repurchased shares will be cancelled. The share repurchase program will run until December 23, 2025. As of March 31, 2025, the company had 731,433,995 shares outstanding (excluding treasury shares) and 1,623,478 shares in treasury.分析記事 • Jul 27Subaru (TSE:7270) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥57.00Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th of December...Major Estimate Revision • Jul 24Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥217 to JP¥194 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.51t. Net income forecast to shrink 57% next year vs 14% decline forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥2,541 to JP¥2,487. Share price rose 18% to JP¥2,998 over the past week.お知らせ • Jul 11Subaru Corporation to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Aug 07, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Aug 07, 2025分析記事 • Jul 11Subaru (TSE:7270) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥57.00The board of Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 8th of December, with...Declared Dividend • Jul 09Final dividend increased to JP¥57.00Dividend of JP¥57.00 is 19% higher than last year. Ex-date: 29th September 2025 Payment date: 8th December 2025 Dividend yield will be 4.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (25% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (37% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 6.4% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 40% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 72% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.Major Estimate Revision • Jun 30Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥295 to JP¥256 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.53t. Net income forecast to shrink 44% next year vs 14% decline forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,541. Share price was steady at JP¥2,514 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Jun 27Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥458 (down from JP¥509 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.69t (flat on FY 2024). Net income: JP¥338.1b (down 12% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.2% (down from 8.2% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 1.9%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.6% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 48% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Major Estimate Revision • Jun 19Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥325 to JP¥289 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.53t. Net income forecast to shrink 37% next year vs 6.4% decline forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,551. Share price was steady at JP¥2,558 over the past week.Reported Earnings • May 15Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥458 (down from JP¥509 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.69t (flat on FY 2024). Net income: JP¥338.1b (down 12% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.2% (down from 8.2% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 1.9%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.7% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 48% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • May 14Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2025Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2025.お知らせ • Apr 11Subaru Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 14, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on May 14, 2025Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥67.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2025. Payment date: 20 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.4%).Reported Earnings • Feb 08Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥211 (up from JP¥197 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥1.27t (down 1.0% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥154.4b (up 4.4% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 12% (in line with 3Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 71%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 58% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Feb 07Subaru Corporation Revises Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2025Subaru Corporation revised dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. For the year, the company expects dividend of JPY 67.00 per share compared to previous guidance of JPY 48.00 per share a year ago.お知らせ • Jan 15Subaru Corporation to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Feb 07, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Feb 07, 2025Declared Dividend • Dec 07First half dividend of JP¥48.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥48.00. Ex-date: 28th March 2025 Payment date: 20th June 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (18% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (16% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 9.1% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 8.1% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 80% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.Reported Earnings • Nov 03Second quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥107 (up from JP¥103 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥1.17t (up 3.8% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥79.0b (up 1.7% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 6.7% (down from 6.9% in 2Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Oct 08Subaru Corporation to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Nov 01, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Nov 01, 2024New Risk • Oct 01New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 8.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 2.8% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.4% average weekly change).Upcoming Dividend • Sep 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥48.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 September 2024. Payment date: 09 December 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.9%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.3%).New Risk • Aug 16New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.Reported Earnings • Aug 06First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥112 (up from JP¥95.89 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥1.09t (flat on 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥84.0b (up 15% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.7% (up from 6.8% in 1Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 10%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.New Risk • Aug 05New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.7% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change).Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%After last week's 26% share price decline to JP¥2,178, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 6x in the Auto industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,226 per share.お知らせ • Jul 13Subaru Corporation to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Aug 05, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Aug 05, 2024Declared Dividend • Jul 11Final dividend of JP¥48.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥48.00. Ex-date: 27th September 2024 Payment date: 9th December 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.0%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (17% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (15% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 17% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 6.9% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.New Risk • Jun 27New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.2% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.2% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.Reported Earnings • Jun 25Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥509 (up from JP¥261 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥4.70t (up 25% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥385.1b (up 92% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (up from 5.3% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.New Risk • Jun 07New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.Reported Earnings • May 16Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥509 (up from JP¥261 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥4.70t (up 25% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥385.1b (up 92% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (up from 5.3% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • May 15+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces an Equity Buyback for 23,000,000 shares, representing 3.06% for ¥60,000 million.Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 23,000,000 shares, representing 3.1% of its share capital, for ¥60,000 million. The company will repurchase its shares in order to considers the interests of its shareholders to be an important management issue. The repurchased shares will be cancelled. The share repurchase program will run until December 30, 2024. As of March 31, 2024, the company had 752,194,124 shares outstanding (excluding treasury shares) and 1,707,449 shares in treasury.お知らせ • Apr 12Subaru Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 13, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on May 13, 2024Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥48.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2024. Payment date: 24 June 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 8.4% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.2%). In line with average of industry peers (2.1%).Reported Earnings • Feb 10Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥197 (up from JP¥99.82 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.28t (up 21% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥147.9b (up 93% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 12% (up from 7.2% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 60%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.7% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 52% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Jan 17Subaru Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Feb 08, 2024Major Estimate Revision • Dec 06Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from JP¥4.55t to JP¥4.60t. EPS estimate increased from JP¥399 to JP¥442 per share. Net income forecast to grow 22% next year vs 7.8% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target reaffirmed at JP¥3,040. Share price rose 5.2% to JP¥2,718 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Nov 04Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥103 (up from JP¥66.04 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.13t (up 23% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥77.7b (up 53% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.9% (up from 5.5% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.6% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 40% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 03Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from JP¥369 to JP¥419. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.50t. Net income forecast to grow 27% next year vs 9.4% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥3,013. Share price was steady at JP¥2,673 over the past week.お知らせ • Oct 07Subaru Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 02, 2023Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Nov 02, 2023Upcoming Dividend • Sep 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥38.00 per share at 2.5% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 September 2023. Payment date: 07 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 24% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.2%).Reported Earnings • Aug 03First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥95.89 (up from JP¥35.48 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.08t (up 30% from 1Q 2023). Net income: JP¥73.2b (up 169% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.8% (up from 3.3% in 1Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 18%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.8% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Jul 13Subaru Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 02, 2023Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Aug 02, 2023Reported Earnings • Jun 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥261 (up from JP¥91.28 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥3.77t (up 38% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥200.4b (up 186% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 2.6% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.4% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year.お知らせ • May 13+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2023Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2023.Reported Earnings • May 13Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥261 (up from JP¥91.28 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥3.77t (up 38% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥200.4b (up 186% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 2.6% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 2% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.株主還元7270JP AutoJP 市場7D-0.06%1.4%0.1%1Y-3.1%9.7%41.7%株主還元を見る業界別リターン: 7270過去 1 年間で9.7 % の収益を上げたJP Auto業界を下回りました。リターン対市場: 7270は、過去 1 年間で41.7 % のリターンを上げたJP市場を下回りました。価格変動Is 7270's price volatile compared to industry and market?7270 volatility7270 Average Weekly Movement4.6%Auto Industry Average Movement5.1%Market Average Movement4.3%10% most volatile stocks in JP Market9.3%10% least volatile stocks in JP Market2.1%安定した株価: 7270 、 JP市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。時間の経過による変動: 7270の 週次ボラティリティ ( 5% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。会社概要設立従業員CEO（最高経営責任者ウェブサイト191737,866Atsushi Osakiwww.subaru.co.jpスバル株式会社は、日本、アジア、北米、欧州、およびその他の地域において、自動車および航空宇宙製品の製造・販売を行っています。同社の事業は、「自動車」、「航空宇宙」、「その他」の3つのセグメントで構成されています。同社は、自動車およびその部品の製造・販売・修理、航空機・宇宙関連機器およびその部品の製造・販売・修理、ならびに不動産の賃貸を行っています。 さらに、同社は金型、ネットワーク機器、端末機器などの生産用設備のリースに加え、自動車事業向けの店舗、社宅、倉庫などの不動産のリースも手掛けている。また、自動車部品の製造・販売、ならびに土地および設備のリース事業にも携わっている。 同社は、以前は富士重工業株式会社として知られていたが、2017年4月にスバル株式会社に社名を変更した。スバル株式会社は1917年に設立され、本社は日本の渋谷にある。もっと見るSubaru Corporation 基礎のまとめSubaru の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。7270 基礎統計学時価総額JP¥1.71t収益（TTM）JP¥90.84b売上高(TTM)JP¥4.78t18.8xPER（株価収益率0.4xP/Sレシオ7270 は割高か？公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入最新の決算報告書（TTM）に基づく主な収益性統計7270 損益計算書（TTM）収益JP¥4.78t売上原価JP¥4.07t売上総利益JP¥719.49bその他の費用JP¥628.65b収益JP¥90.84b直近の収益報告Mar 31, 2026次回決算日該当なし一株当たり利益（EPS）126.90グロス・マージン15.04%純利益率1.90%有利子負債／自己資本比率13.8%7270 の長期的なパフォーマンスは？過去の実績と比較を見る配当金4.9%現在の配当利回り92%配当性向View Valuation企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/06/30 05:19終値2026/06/30 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2026/03/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Subaru Corporation 15 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。27 アナリスト機関Kei NihonyanagiBarclaysMasahiro AkitaBernsteinShiro SakamakiBofA Global Research24 その他のアナリストを表示
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 10Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.8% to JP¥2,536. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,107, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.1% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • May 18Subaru Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting NowInvestors in Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.8% to close at JP¥2,385 following...
Reported Earnings • May 17Full year 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥125 (down from JP¥458 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥4.78t (up 2.1% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥90.8b (down 73% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 7.2% in FY 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 29%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 4% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to JP¥2,568. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,133, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.4% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.6%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 18% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • May 15+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026.
ライブニュース • May 14Subaru Cuts 2026 Profit Forecast by 70% but Keeps Dividend After U.S. Sales SlumpSubaru cut its FY2026 operating profit forecast by nearly 70% compared with its prior outlook, citing weaker U.S. demand, shipping disruptions and an impairment charge on battery EV assets. The company linked the downgrade primarily to a slump in its key U.S. market, which has historically been an important earnings driver. Despite the reduced profit outlook and EV-related impairment, Subaru kept its planned dividend payout unchanged, signaling a focus on maintaining shareholder returns. This combination of a sharply lower profit forecast and a maintained dividend indicates that Subaru is absorbing near-term earnings pressure while also aiming to signal stability to income-focused investors. Investors may want to monitor how Subaru addresses U.S. demand challenges and future EV spending, as additional impairments or ongoing market weakness could influence both earnings flexibility and the sustainability of current capital return plans.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 10Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.8% to JP¥2,536. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,107, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 6.1% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 20% per annum over the same time period.
分析記事 • May 18Subaru Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting NowInvestors in Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.8% to close at JP¥2,385 following...
Reported Earnings • May 17Full year 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2026 results: EPS: JP¥125 (down from JP¥458 in FY 2025). Revenue: JP¥4.78t (up 2.1% from FY 2025). Net income: JP¥90.8b (down 73% from FY 2025). Profit margin: 1.9% (down from 7.2% in FY 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 29%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 4% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to JP¥2,568. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,133, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.4% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.6%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 2.9% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 18% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • May 15+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2026.
ライブニュース • May 14Subaru Cuts 2026 Profit Forecast by 70% but Keeps Dividend After U.S. Sales SlumpSubaru cut its FY2026 operating profit forecast by nearly 70% compared with its prior outlook, citing weaker U.S. demand, shipping disruptions and an impairment charge on battery EV assets. The company linked the downgrade primarily to a slump in its key U.S. market, which has historically been an important earnings driver. Despite the reduced profit outlook and EV-related impairment, Subaru kept its planned dividend payout unchanged, signaling a focus on maintaining shareholder returns. This combination of a sharply lower profit forecast and a maintained dividend indicates that Subaru is absorbing near-term earnings pressure while also aiming to signal stability to income-focused investors. Investors may want to monitor how Subaru addresses U.S. demand challenges and future EV spending, as additional impairments or ongoing market weakness could influence both earnings flexibility and the sustainability of current capital return plans.
お知らせ • Apr 11Subaru Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2026 Results on May 15, 2026Subaru Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2026 results on May 15, 2026
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 23Upcoming dividend of JP¥58.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 30 March 2026. Payment date: 26 June 2026. Payout ratio is on the higher end at 87%, and the cash payout ratio is above 100%. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.2%).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 18Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to JP¥2,613. The fair value is estimated to be JP¥2,175, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.4% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 5.6%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 3.4% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 24% per annum over the same time period.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 06Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate increased from JP¥190 to JP¥214. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.77t. Net income forecast to grow 108% next year vs 90% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥3,414. Share price fell 8.5% to JP¥2,715 over the past week.
Major Estimate Revision • Feb 13Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥254 to JP¥228 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.74t. Net income forecast to grow 123% next year vs 83% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥3,419. Share price fell 5.0% to JP¥3,174 over the past week.
分析記事 • Feb 09Subaru Corporation Reported A Surprise Loss, And Analysts Have Updated Their ForecastsShareholders might have noticed that Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) filed its quarterly result this time last week...
Reported Earnings • Feb 07Third quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2026 results: JP¥10.19 loss per share (down from JP¥211 profit in 3Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥1.13t (down 11% from 3Q 2025). Net loss: JP¥7.33b (down 105% from profit in 3Q 2025). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.3% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth.
お知らせ • Feb 07Subaru Corporation Revises Consolidated Financial Forecast for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2026Subaru Corporation revised consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. For the year, the company expects revenue of ¥4,800,000 million, operating profit of ¥130,000 million, profit for the year attributable to owners of parent of ¥125,000 million and profit for the year per share attributable to owners of parent, basic of ¥172.72 as compared to previous guidance for revenue of ¥4,580,000 million, operating profit of ¥200,000 million, profit for the year attributable to owners of parent of ¥160,000 million and profit for the year per share attributable to owners of parent, basic of ¥218.87. Reason: Due to the rising impact of additional tariffs and increases in other expenses, the Company posted a net loss for the three months of the third quarter. In light of these and other factors, the Company has revised the consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 from the previous announcement made on August 2025. Exchange rates assumed for the forecast of the full-year consolidated earnings are 150 yen per US dollar (previously 145 yen per US dollar).
お知らせ • Jan 15Subaru Corporation to Report Q3, 2026 Results on Feb 06, 2026Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2026 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Feb 06, 2026
Declared Dividend • Dec 11First half dividend of JP¥58.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥58.00. Ex-date: 30th March 2026 Payment date: 26th June 2026 Dividend yield will be 3.4%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (34% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (32% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 6.4% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 14% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
分析記事 • Nov 12Earnings Miss: Subaru Corporation Missed EPS By 7.6% And Analysts Are Revising Their ForecastsInvestors in Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 8.9% to close at JP¥3,524 following...
Reported Earnings • Nov 11Second quarter 2026 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥48.82 (down from JP¥107 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥1.17t (flat on 2Q 2025). Net income: JP¥35.6b (down 55% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 3.0% (down from 6.7% in 2Q 2025). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 7.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Nov 10Subaru Corporation Announces Dividend for the Second Quarter End of Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2026, Payable on December 10, 2025Subaru Corporation announced dividend of JPY 57.00 per share for the second quarter end of fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, against JPY 48.00 per share a year ago. Scheduled date to commence dividend payments: December 10, 2025.
お知らせ • Oct 11Subaru Corporation to Report Q2, 2026 Results on Nov 10, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2026 results on Nov 10, 2025
分析記事 • Sep 26Subaru (TSE:7270) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥57.00Subaru Corporation's ( TSE:7270 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥57.00 per share on 8th of December. This...
分析記事 • Sep 12Subaru (TSE:7270) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥57.00The board of Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th...
お知らせ • Sep 11Subaru of America, Inc. Announces Limited-Production Sports CarsSubaru of America Inc. announced the new 2026 Subaru WRX Series. Yellow and 2026 Subaru BRZ Series. Yellow limited-production sports cars with exclusive exterior and interior colors, limited to 350 cars for each model line. The new Series. Yellow models will make their public debut on Sept. 14 at Boxerfest in York, Pennsylvania. Both Series. Yellow models are based on their respective tS trim levels and feature unique suspension hardware and upgraded interiors, compared to the rest of their lineups. Each Series. Yellow car is immediately recognizable by its Sunrise Yellow exterior. The exclusive color is a Subaru hallmark and has been used on other models, such as the 2015 Subaru XV Crosstrek Special Edition, and Japan-only Subaru BRZ STI Sport and Subaru WRX STI S207 models. In addition to Sunrise Yellow exteriors, both models receive yellow high-contrast stitching inside throughout the upholstery, instrument panel, and door panels. The 2026 Subaru WRX Series; Yellow is powered by a 271-horsepower, 2.4-liter SUBARU BOXER engine and Subaru Symmetrical All-Wheel Drive shifted through a 6-speed manual transmission. Electronically controlled adjustable wheels tuned by Subaru Tecnica International are paired with high-performance Brembo®? brakes and 19-inch alloy wheels featuring a matte black finish with Bridgestone Potenza S007 tires put power down to the pavement. Inside, the 2026 Subaru WRX series. Yellow features a Subaru 11.6-inch Multimedia system for infotainment and a 12.3-inch full digital gauge cluster. Grippy Recaro Performance Design front seats have been complemented with yellow contrast stitching and yellow accents in the perforations. The 2026 Subaru BRZ series. Yellow is powered by a 2.4-liter, 228-horsepower naturally aspirated SUBARU BOXER®? engine paired with a 6-speed close-ratio manual transmission that powers the rear wheels only. The Subaru BRZ Series. Yellow utilizes STI-tuned front and rear Hitachi®? dampers for better control and stability. High-performance Brembo®®? brakes and 18-inch wheels in matte black finish with Michelin Pilot®? Sport 4 tires offer superior grip and quicker turn-in. Inside, the BRZ Series. Yellow is wrapped in black upholstery with exclusive yellow stitching on the front seats, leather-wrapped steering wheel, shifter boot, and parking brake boot. Pricing for the 2026 Subaru WRX Series: Yellow and 2026 Subaru BRX Series. Yellow will be announced closer to market launch for both models. For more information about Series. Yellow BRZ and WRX, visit BoxerFest.com.
分析記事 • Aug 27Subaru (TSE:7270) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥57.00Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th of December...
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 14Consensus EPS estimates increase by 23%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate increased from JP¥191 to JP¥236. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.52t. Net income forecast to shrink 45% next year vs 18% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan . Consensus price target up from JP¥2,509 to JP¥2,591. Share price was steady at JP¥2,912 over the past week.
分析記事 • Aug 13Subaru's (TSE:7270) Dividend Will Be ¥57.00Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th of December...
分析記事 • Aug 11Subaru Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen NextTSE:7270 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Subaru's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Subaru...
Reported Earnings • Aug 08First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2026 results: EPS: JP¥75.03 (down from JP¥112 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: JP¥1.21t (up 11% from 1Q 2025). Net income: JP¥54.8b (down 35% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 4.5% (down from 7.7% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 12%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 51%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.5% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 37% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Aug 07Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces an Equity Buyback for 20,840,000 shares, representing 2.85% for ¥50,000 million.Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 20,840,000 shares, representing 2.85% of its share capital, for ¥50,000 million. The company will repurchase its shares in order to considers the interests of its shareholders to be an important management issue. The repurchased shares will be cancelled. The share repurchase program will run until December 23, 2025. As of March 31, 2025, the company had 731,433,995 shares outstanding (excluding treasury shares) and 1,623,478 shares in treasury.
分析記事 • Jul 27Subaru (TSE:7270) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥57.00Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 per share on the 8th of December...
Major Estimate Revision • Jul 24Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥217 to JP¥194 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.51t. Net income forecast to shrink 57% next year vs 14% decline forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target down from JP¥2,541 to JP¥2,487. Share price rose 18% to JP¥2,998 over the past week.
お知らせ • Jul 11Subaru Corporation to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Aug 07, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Aug 07, 2025
分析記事 • Jul 11Subaru (TSE:7270) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥57.00The board of Subaru Corporation ( TSE:7270 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 8th of December, with...
Declared Dividend • Jul 09Final dividend increased to JP¥57.00Dividend of JP¥57.00 is 19% higher than last year. Ex-date: 29th September 2025 Payment date: 8th December 2025 Dividend yield will be 4.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (25% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (37% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 6.4% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 40% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 72% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
Major Estimate Revision • Jun 30Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥295 to JP¥256 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.53t. Net income forecast to shrink 44% next year vs 14% decline forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,541. Share price was steady at JP¥2,514 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Jun 27Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥458 (down from JP¥509 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.69t (flat on FY 2024). Net income: JP¥338.1b (down 12% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.2% (down from 8.2% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 1.9%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.6% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 48% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Major Estimate Revision • Jun 19Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from JP¥325 to JP¥289 per share. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.53t. Net income forecast to shrink 37% next year vs 6.4% decline forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥2,551. Share price was steady at JP¥2,558 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • May 15Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: EPS: JP¥458 (down from JP¥509 in FY 2024). Revenue: JP¥4.69t (flat on FY 2024). Net income: JP¥338.1b (down 12% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 7.2% (down from 8.2% in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 1.9%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.7% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 48% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • May 14Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2025Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2025.
お知らせ • Apr 11Subaru Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 14, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on May 14, 2025
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥67.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2025. Payment date: 20 June 2025. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 4.6%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.4%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 08Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥211 (up from JP¥197 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥1.27t (down 1.0% from 3Q 2024). Net income: JP¥154.4b (up 4.4% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 12% (in line with 3Q 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 71%. Revenue is forecast to grow 2.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 58% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Feb 07Subaru Corporation Revises Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2025Subaru Corporation revised dividend guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. For the year, the company expects dividend of JPY 67.00 per share compared to previous guidance of JPY 48.00 per share a year ago.
お知らせ • Jan 15Subaru Corporation to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Feb 07, 2025Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Feb 07, 2025
Declared Dividend • Dec 07First half dividend of JP¥48.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥48.00. Ex-date: 28th March 2025 Payment date: 20th June 2025 Dividend yield will be 3.9%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (18% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (16% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 9.1% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to decline by 8.1% over the next 3 years. However, it would need to fall by 80% to increase the payout ratio to a potentially unsustainable range.
Reported Earnings • Nov 03Second quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥107 (up from JP¥103 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥1.17t (up 3.8% from 2Q 2024). Net income: JP¥79.0b (up 1.7% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 6.7% (down from 6.9% in 2Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 1.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Oct 08Subaru Corporation to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Nov 01, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Nov 01, 2024
New Risk • Oct 01New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Japanese stocks, typically moving 8.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 2.8% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.4% average weekly change).
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 20Upcoming dividend of JP¥48.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 September 2024. Payment date: 09 December 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 3.9%. Within top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.8%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.3%).
New Risk • Aug 16New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.
Reported Earnings • Aug 06First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: JP¥112 (up from JP¥95.89 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: JP¥1.09t (flat on 1Q 2024). Net income: JP¥84.0b (up 15% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 7.7% (up from 6.8% in 1Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 10%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 5% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
New Risk • Aug 05New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.7% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.8% average weekly change).
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%After last week's 26% share price decline to JP¥2,178, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 6x in the Auto industry in Japan. Total returns to shareholders of 15% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at JP¥1,226 per share.
お知らせ • Jul 13Subaru Corporation to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Aug 05, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Aug 05, 2024
Declared Dividend • Jul 11Final dividend of JP¥48.00 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of JP¥48.00. Ex-date: 27th September 2024 Payment date: 9th December 2024 Dividend yield will be 3.0%, which is higher than the industry average of 2.5%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (17% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (15% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 17% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 6.9% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
New Risk • Jun 27New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.2% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.2% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.
Reported Earnings • Jun 25Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥509 (up from JP¥261 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥4.70t (up 25% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥385.1b (up 92% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (up from 5.3% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.4% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
New Risk • Jun 07New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.3% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past.
Reported Earnings • May 16Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: JP¥509 (up from JP¥261 in FY 2023). Revenue: JP¥4.70t (up 25% from FY 2023). Net income: JP¥385.1b (up 92% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 8.2% (up from 5.3% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.4%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 61% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • May 15+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces an Equity Buyback for 23,000,000 shares, representing 3.06% for ¥60,000 million.Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) announces a share repurchase program. Under the program, the company will repurchase up to 23,000,000 shares, representing 3.1% of its share capital, for ¥60,000 million. The company will repurchase its shares in order to considers the interests of its shareholders to be an important management issue. The repurchased shares will be cancelled. The share repurchase program will run until December 30, 2024. As of March 31, 2024, the company had 752,194,124 shares outstanding (excluding treasury shares) and 1,707,449 shares in treasury.
お知らせ • Apr 12Subaru Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 13, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on May 13, 2024
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥48.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 March 2024. Payment date: 24 June 2024. Payout ratio is a comfortable 8.4% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.2%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.2%). In line with average of industry peers (2.1%).
Reported Earnings • Feb 10Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsThird quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥197 (up from JP¥99.82 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.28t (up 21% from 3Q 2023). Net income: JP¥147.9b (up 93% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 12% (up from 7.2% in 3Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 60%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.7% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 52% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Jan 17Subaru Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Feb 08, 2024
Major Estimate Revision • Dec 06Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from JP¥4.55t to JP¥4.60t. EPS estimate increased from JP¥399 to JP¥442 per share. Net income forecast to grow 22% next year vs 7.8% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target reaffirmed at JP¥3,040. Share price rose 5.2% to JP¥2,718 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Nov 04Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥103 (up from JP¥66.04 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.13t (up 23% from 2Q 2023). Net income: JP¥77.7b (up 53% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.9% (up from 5.5% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 8.5%. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.6% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 40% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 03Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from JP¥369 to JP¥419. Revenue forecast steady at JP¥4.50t. Net income forecast to grow 27% next year vs 9.4% growth forecast for Auto industry in Japan. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at JP¥3,013. Share price was steady at JP¥2,673 over the past week.
お知らせ • Oct 07Subaru Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 02, 2023Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results on Nov 02, 2023
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 21Upcoming dividend of JP¥38.00 per share at 2.5% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 September 2023. Payment date: 07 December 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 24% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 2.5%. Lower than top quartile of Japanese dividend payers (3.3%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.2%).
Reported Earnings • Aug 03First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2024 results: EPS: JP¥95.89 (up from JP¥35.48 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: JP¥1.08t (up 30% from 1Q 2023). Net income: JP¥73.2b (up 169% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 6.8% (up from 3.3% in 1Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 18%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.2% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.8% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 32% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 10% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Jul 13Subaru Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Aug 02, 2023Subaru Corporation announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results at 1:00 PM, Tokyo Standard Time on Aug 02, 2023
Reported Earnings • Jun 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥261 (up from JP¥91.28 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥3.77t (up 38% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥200.4b (up 186% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 2.6% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.4% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 7% per year.
お知らせ • May 13+ 1 more updateSubaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2023Subaru Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2023.
Reported Earnings • May 13Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: JP¥261 (up from JP¥91.28 in FY 2022). Revenue: JP¥3.77t (up 38% from FY 2022). Net income: JP¥200.4b (up 186% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.3% (up from 2.6% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 6.6%. Revenue is forecast to grow 5.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.1% growth forecast for the Auto industry in Japan. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 11% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 2% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
