Serco Group 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /16
Serco Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間8.1%と3.6%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に17.5% 8.4%なると予測されています。
主要情報
8.1%
収益成長率
8.42%
EPS成長率
| Commercial Services 収益成長 | 17.7% |
| 収益成長率 | 3.6% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 17.51% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 14 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 03
SRP: Rising Optimism And Capital Returns Will Likely Constrain Future Share Upside
Serco Group’s analyst price targets have been revised higher, with the consolidated fair value estimate moving from £1.59 to about £1.66. Analysts are factoring in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside recent target lifts from Citi to £3.69 and Berenberg to £3.50, and a new neutral initiation from BNP Paribas.
ナラティブの更新 • May 19
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have nudged their average price outlook for Serco Group higher, into a £3.50 to £3.69 range, reflecting recent target increases and refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with price targets now clustering in the mid £3 range and views ranging from neutral to positive.ナラティブの更新 • May 03
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Rerating
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Serco Group from £2.98 to £3.85. Recent target price increases from several banks, along with slightly revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, have all contributed to the updated view.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 18
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Serco Group to a range that now spans about £350 to £369 per share, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth and slightly improved profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to higher price targets for Serco Group clustered between about £3.50 and £3.69 per share, with several firms reiterating positive stances alongside their revised numbers.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 04
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Still Limit Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Serco Group by £0.45, with recent Street research citing refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins as key drivers behind the updated valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a cluster of upward price target revisions on Serco Group, with several firms recalibrating their models around updated assumptions for growth, margins and discount rates.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 20
SRP: Higher Buybacks And Dividend Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted Serco Group's price targets, with recent moves such as Citi's increase to £3.69 from £3.24 and Berenberg's to £3.50 from £3.30, while fine tuning assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group has centred on reassessing fair value, with several firms updating their price targets in light of revised assumptions on growth, profitability and risk.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Defence Visibility And CFO Transition
Serco Group's implied fair value has increased from £2.73 to £2.89 per share. This change reflects analysts' updated price targets and assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from several banks.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 20
SRP: Raised Guidance And Contract Wins Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged up their implied fair value for Serco Group to £1.64 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a series of recent price target increases to as high as £2.45 from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a gap between Serco Group’s trading price, the raised price targets and the updated implied fair value of £1.64 per share.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Execution And New CFO Transition
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly higher to £2.73 per share, citing recent price target increases to £2.45 and £2.75 that reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive stance on Serco Group, with fair value and price targets clustered in the mid £2 range and modestly above.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 23
SRP: Execution And Margin Risks Will Limit Upside Despite Higher Guidance
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly lower to £1.64 from £1.66, as recent price target increases to £2.45 by several firms are balanced against updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a more mixed backdrop than headline price targets alone might suggest.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 08
SRP: Discount Rate Assumptions Will Expose Limited Upside Risk Ahead
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to £1.66 from £1.47, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside a higher £2.45 Street price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Serco Group points to a more cautious tone, even where headline price targets sit above the current fair value estimate.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 25
SRP: Defense Contracts And New CFO Will Support Steady Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Serco Group from £2.54 to £2.71, citing a slightly lower discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P E multiple that together more than offset a small reduction in projected revenue growth. What's in the News Serco appointed Mark Reid, currently Group CFO at Belgian telecoms group Proximus, as Chief Financial Officer effective 6 March 2026.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 11
SRP: Defense Contracts Will Support Steady Outlook With Balanced Long Term Prospects
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Serco Group by approximately 1 percent in sterling terms, citing a slightly lower implied discount rate, marginally stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P E multiple that more than offset a broadly unchanged profit margin outlook. What's in the News Serco secured a new contract worth around £500 million to continue managing HMP Dovegate in Staffordshire for 12 years, with options for three additional one-year extensions, following a competitive procurement process (Key Developments).ナラティブの更新 • Nov 27
SRP: US Air Force Contract Will Support Measured Gains Amid Defense Sector Stability
Serco Group's analyst price target remains steady at £2.52. Analysts' outlook remains unchanged, as incremental shifts in underlying profit and revenue forecasts are viewed as broadly neutral to the company's value proposition.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 06
SRP: Defense Contract Win Will Drive Measured Progress Amid Ongoing Sector Uncertainty
Narrative Update on Serco Group Analysts have raised their price target for Serco Group by £0.05 to £2.15 per share, citing a modest improvement in fair value estimates and a stable outlook on profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have slightly increased their price targets, which suggests renewed confidence in Serco Group's valuation prospects.ナラティブの更新 • Sep 13
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have raised Serco Group’s price target to £2.45, reflecting improved contract wins, stronger order book momentum, and enhanced margin guidance, despite ongoing caution around cyclical risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are revising price targets upwards, citing improved contract wins and stronger order book momentum.ナラティブの更新 • Aug 27
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Serco Group's consensus price target has been raised to £2.40, reflecting upgrades driven by stronger recent results, robust contract momentum, margin expansion, and improved confidence in revenue growth and international diversification. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have increased price targets due to stronger-than-expected performance in recent results.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 10
International Expansion And Defense Focus Will Boost Future Prospects
Strategic growth initiatives in the defense sector and North America are expected to drive revenue and profit, boosted by key acquisitions.分析記事 • Jun 10
There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) may be sending bullish signals at the...分析記事 • May 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Serco Group fair value estimate is UK£2.05 Serco Group's...分析記事 • Feb 23
With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...分析記事 • Dec 13
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Serco Group's estimated fair value is UK£1.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...分析記事 • Nov 10
Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...分析記事 • Sep 04
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...分析記事 • Aug 20
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...分析記事 • Aug 06
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 21% on the 6th of...分析記事 • Mar 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...分析記事 • Mar 03
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0192
Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 9th of June to...業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,454 | 191 | 196 | 366 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,242 | 178 | 171 | 358 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,038 | 168 | 169 | 344 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,877 | 146 | 414 | 447 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,862 | 97 | 402 | 436 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,847 | 49 | 391 | 425 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,817 | 46 | 388 | 422 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,787 | 44 | 385 | 419 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,774 | 92 | 363 | 396 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,761 | 139 | 341 | 373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,817 | 171 | 356 | 383 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,874 | 202 | 370 | 393 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,851 | 207 | 351 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,828 | 212 | 333 | 352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,681 | 184 | 320 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,534 | 155 | 308 | 327 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,485 | 158 | 299 | 321 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,436 | 160 | 290 | 315 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,430 | 232 | 304 | 333 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,425 | 304 | 318 | 350 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,327 | 301 | 305 | 344 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,230 | 299 | 293 | 337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,057 | 216 | 256 | 303 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,885 | 134 | 218 | 269 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,740 | 128 | 209 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,595 | 123 | 201 | 234 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,422 | 86 | 140 | 168 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,248 | 50 | 79 | 103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,097 | 51 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,946 | 51 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,891 | 59 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,837 | 67 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,823 | 46 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,810 | 26 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,880 | 9 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,951 | -8 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,988 | -33 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,025 | -57 | N/A | -49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,018 | -20 | N/A | -56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,011 | 17 | N/A | -62 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,034 | 5 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,058 | -7 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,117 | -47 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,177 | -86 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,182 | -1,024 | N/A | -78 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: SRPの予測収益成長率 (年間8.1% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.4% ) を上回っています。
収益対市場: SRPの収益 ( 8.1% ) UK市場 ( 11.5% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高成長収益: SRPの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。
収益対市場: SRPの収益 ( 3.6% ) UK市場 ( 4.5% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高い収益成長: SRPの収益 ( 3.6% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: SRPの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 17.5 %)。
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/06/15 23:03 |
| 終値 | 2026/06/15 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2025/12/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Serco Group plc 10 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。25
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| James Rosenthal | Barclays |
| Paul Daniel Sullivan | Barclays |
| Alex Smith | Berenberg |