View ValuationKelsian Group 将来の成長Future 基準チェック /16Kelsian Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間5.8%と2.9%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に8.1% 7.7%なると予測されています。主要情報5.8%収益成長率7.73%EPS成長率Transportation 収益成長10.5%収益成長率2.9%将来の株主資本利益率8.13%アナリストカバレッジGood最終更新日22 May 2026今後の成長に関する最新情報更新なしすべての更新を表示Recent updatesお知らせ • Feb 25+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited Announces Resignation of Neil Smith as A Non-Executive Director, Effective 28 February 2026Kelsian Group Limited advised the resignation of Mr. Neil Smith as a non-executive director due to health reasons; effective 28 February 2026. Mr. Smith was a founder and the Chairman of Transit Systems Group prior to the acquisition by Kelsian in 2020 and was instrumental in growing the business into Australia's largest private operator of metropolitan public bus services and an established international bus operator. Mr. Smith joined the Board of Kelsian following the Transit Systems Group acquisition, and during his time as a director has brought valuable expertise and leadership which have contributed significantly to Kelsian's global growth.お知らせ • Jan 12Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 24, 2026Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 24, 2026お知らせ • Sep 02+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025.お知らせ • Jun 27Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Terry Sinclair as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of Mr. Terry Sinclair as a Non-Executive Director, effective September 1, 2025. Mr. Sinclair brings extensive board-level and executive experience across several sectors, including logistics, infrastructure, industrials, consumer services, and technology. He will be a member of both the People, Culture and Remuneration Committee and the Safety, Risk and Sustainability Committee. Mr. Sinclair is currently Chair of Silk Logistics Holdings Limited and was most recently a Non-Executive Director of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited, Non-Executive Director of Indara Digital Infrastructure, and a Senior Advisor to AustralianSuper. Previously, he served as a Non-Executive Director of Faethm.ai Pty Ltd, Ovato Limited, and Zoom2U Technologies, as well as Managing Director of Service Stream Limited, Chairman of AUX Investments, Chairman of Star Track Express, Director of Sai Cheng Logistics (China), and Director of Asia Pacific Alliance (HK). Mr. Sinclair has over 35 years of executive experience in the industrials, infrastructure, and consumer services sectors, including 23 years at BHP and ten years at Australia Post.お知らせ • Jun 23Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 26, 2025お知らせ • Feb 04Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Feb 26, 2025Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 11Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 29%After last week's 29% share price gain to €2.56, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.80 per share.New Risk • Sep 30New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 12% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.4x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 25Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to €2.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 24% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.87 per share.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 16Non-Executive Director recently bought €278k worth of stockOn the 11th of September, Neil Smith bought around 117k shares on-market at roughly €2.37 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.4m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 09Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.4m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 617k shares on-market at roughly €2.34 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.4% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.お知らせ • Sep 02Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024. Location: in person meeting, AustraliaDeclared Dividend • Aug 30Final dividend of AU$0.095 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.095. Ex-date: 13th September 2024 Payment date: 21st October 2024 Dividend yield will be 7.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (82% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has increased by an average of 9.1% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 36% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.Reported Earnings • Aug 28Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.21 (vs AU$0.091 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.21 (up from AU$0.091 in FY 2023). Revenue: AU$2.05b (up 43% from FY 2023). Net income: AU$58.0m (up 176% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (up from 1.5% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 26Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%After last week's 26% share price decline to €2.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €3.82 per share.お知らせ • Aug 11Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Aug 28, 2024Board Change • Jun 19Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Jackie McArthur was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 30Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to €2.76. The fair value is estimated to be €3.46, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 26% per annum over the same time period.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to €2.90, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 12% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.14 per share.Recent Insider Transactions • Apr 16MD, Group CEO & Director recently bought €230k worth of stockOn the 15th of April, Clinton Feuerherdt bought around 70k shares on-market at roughly €3.29 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.2% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Clinton's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.New Risk • Apr 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 148% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.7% net profit margin). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding).Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 11Now 28% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 28% to €2.98. The fair value is estimated to be €4.17, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 6.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.Upcoming Dividend • Mar 13Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 March 2024. Payment date: 17 April 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (5.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.6%).Reported Earnings • Mar 01First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.11 (vs AU$0.089 in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.11 (up from AU$0.089 in 1H 2023). Revenue: AU$991.0m (up 45% from 1H 2023). Net income: AU$28.1m (up 44% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (in line with 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 28Now 24% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to €3.42. The fair value is estimated to be €4.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Jan 16Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Jacqueline Mcarthur as DirectorKelsian Group Limited appointed Jacqueline Mcarthur as Director. Date of appointment 15 January 2024.お知らせ • Nov 29Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Jackie McArthur as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective 15 January 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that Jackie McArthur has been appointed as an independent non-executive Director of Kelsian effective from 15 January 2024. Jackie is a highly experienced company director, currently on the Boards of Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd. and Qube Holdings Ltd. Jackie was previously a non-executive director of Inghams Group Ltd, Tassal Group Ltd, InvoCare Ltd, and Blackmores Ltd. With over 20 years of valuable experience at executive and board level from her roles in strategy, general management, global and regional transport, supply chain and logistics, corporate social responsibility, governance, and IT, Jackie is expected to enhance and complement the skills and experience mix of the Kelsian Board. In her role as Managing Director of Martin Brower-ANZ, a global distributor and supply chain services provider, she was responsible for the oversight of a supply chain worth $4.5bn across 38 markets. Jackie was the 2016 Telstra NSW Business Woman of the Year and overall, 2016 Telstra Business Women’s Awards – Corporate and Private National winner. She has a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Sydne, completed the INSEAD International Executive Program and is a member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors.Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 03Non-Executive Director recently sold €751k worth of stockOn the 1st of November, Neil Smith sold around 206k shares on-market at roughly €3.64 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of €3.8m more than they bought in the last 12 months.Upcoming Dividend • Sep 07Upcoming dividend of AU$0.095 per share at 2.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 September 2023. Payment date: 20 October 2023. The company is paying out more than 100% of its earnings and cash flow. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (4.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.6%).お知らせ • Sep 05Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director Retirement and Chair Succession PlanKelsian Group Limited announced that Chris Smerdon has notified Kelsian of his retirement from the board of directors of Kelsian ("Board") with effect from the end of the 2023 Annual General Meeting ("AGM"), planned for 24 October 2023. Chris joined the Board in 2004 and has been the longest serving non-executive director with the company. His decision to retire from the Board reflects his support for Board renewal and succession planning. A search is now underway for a new independent director following Chris' advice of his planned retirement. At the 2023 AGM Kelsian Chair Jeff Ellison, along with fellow non-executive directors, Neil Smith and Lance Hockridge are due to stand for re-election.Reported Earnings • Aug 30Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.091 (vs AU$0.24 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.091 (down from AU$0.24 in FY 2022). Revenue: AU$1.43b (up 6.9% from FY 2022). Net income: AU$21.0m (down 60% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 3.9% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.お知らせ • Jul 04Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Clint Feuerherdt as DirectorKelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of its Group Chief Executive Officer, Clint Feuerherdt, as a member of the Kelsian Board, in addition to his ongoing role as Group Chief Executive Officer (Group CEO), with effect from 3 July 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt has been Kelsian's Group Chief Executive Officer since January 2020 following the acquisition of the Transit Systems Group. Under his guidance, Transit Systems Group Australia had secured via competitive tender processes more franchised bus service contracts than any other company in Australia. Clint also has extensive experience in the marine services sector, having overseen the growth of the privately owned ferry fleet in Australia for Transit Systems Group before divesting this to SeaLink Travel Group in 2015. In 2015 Clint led the expansion of Transit Systems Group into Singapore. Most recently, he led Kelsian's acquisition of All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc, which was completed in early June 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt is an accomplished executive and company director, including currently being a non-executive director of the Public Transport Association Australia and New Zealand (formerly called The International Association of Public Transport - UITP ANZ), and Ormiston College (Brisbane) in addition to his executive director roles for Kelsian group subsidiary companies in Singapore and USA. Mr. Feuerherdt said he was honoured to become part of the Kelsian Board and was looking forward to continuing to play a critical role in the ongoing success of Kelsian, including leveraging its global footprint to take a disciplined approach to organic growth and international expansion in the areas of public transport, essential marine transport and unique complementary tourism sectors. Mr. Feuerherdt's key employment terms remain the same other than a change in position to Managing Director and Group CEO.お知らせ • May 30Ventura Bus Lines Reportedly Taps Goldman Sachs for SaleVictorian bus company Ventura Bus Lines Pty. Ltd. is understood to have hired investment bank Goldman Sachs for a sale that could reap the family-owned enterprise more than $500 million. Logical acquirers include the listed bus operator Kelsian Group Limited, which has been vocal about its interest in winning more domestic contracts to grow earnings. Other contenders include Kinetic (Tasmania) Pty Ltd, which is controlled by Infrastructure Capital Group and OPTrust and owns half of Go-Ahead; ComfortDelGro Australia, whose Singaporean owners have tried to float in Australia in recent years; and private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, which operates Ritchies Transport buses in New Zealand.Recent Insider Transactions • May 28Non-Executive Director recently sold €3.0m worth of stockOn the 25th of May, Neil Smith sold around 779k shares on-market at roughly €3.90 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.9% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months.Reported Earnings • Feb 24First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.079 (vs AU$0.097 in 1H 2022)First half 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.079 (down from AU$0.097 in 1H 2022). Revenue: AU$689.5m (up 4.4% from 1H 2022). Net income: AU$17.2m (down 19% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.5% (down from 3.2% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.お知らせ • Jan 20+ 2 more updatesKelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 30, 2023Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 22Non-Executive Director recently bought €569k worth of stockOn the 21st of September, Neil Smith bought around 155k shares on-market at roughly €3.67 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.1m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.8m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 07Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.1m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 300k shares on-market at roughly €3.75 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 30Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to €3.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe.Reported Earnings • Aug 24Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.24 (vs AU$0.17 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: AU$0.24 (up from AU$0.17 in FY 2021). Revenue: AU$1.35b (up 15% from FY 2021). Net income: AU$52.9m (up 40% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 3.9% (up from 3.2% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 1.9% compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Germany.Board Change • May 24Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.業績と収益の成長予測DB:CY4 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )AUD Millions日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数6/30/20282,5158711123776/30/20272,4227214022086/30/20262,3776570201812/31/20252,3376798222N/A9/30/20252,2816169214N/A6/30/20252,2245440205N/A3/31/20252,1765227175N/A12/31/20242,1275013145N/A9/30/20242,082545146N/A6/30/20242,03858-3147N/A3/31/20241,88644-19153N/A12/31/20231,73330-34160N/A9/30/20231,58025-3144N/A6/30/20231,4272128129N/A3/31/20231,3893637121N/A12/31/20221,3505146114N/A9/30/20221,3325259114N/A6/30/20221,3145371115N/A3/31/20221,2964070109N/A12/31/20211,262275689N/A9/30/20211,2373263101N/A6/30/20211,2113870112N/A3/31/20211,1602475118N/A12/31/20201,1081081124N/A9/30/2020876-271107N/A6/30/2020645-146190N/A3/31/202045023864N/A12/31/2019256171639N/A9/30/201925319N/A40N/A6/30/201925122N/A41N/A3/31/201924521N/AN/AN/A12/31/201823921N/A40N/A9/30/201822420N/A34N/A6/30/201820920N/A29N/A3/31/201820121N/AN/AN/A12/31/201719422N/A27N/A9/30/201719723N/A26N/A6/30/201720124N/A26N/A3/31/201720525N/A31N/A12/31/201620827N/A37N/A9/30/201619325N/A34N/A6/30/201617722N/A32N/A3/31/201615318N/A25N/A12/31/201512913N/A18N/A9/30/201512011N/A15N/A6/30/20151119N/A12N/Aもっと見るアナリストによる今後の成長予測収入対貯蓄率: CY4の予測収益成長率 (年間5.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 1.9% ) を上回っています。収益対市場: CY4の収益 ( 5.8% ) German市場 ( 17.2% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高成長収益: CY4の収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。収益対市場: CY4の収益 ( 2.9% ) German市場 ( 6.7% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。高い収益成長: CY4の収益 ( 2.9% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。一株当たり利益成長率予想将来の株主資本利益率将来のROE: CY4の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 8.1 %)。成長企業の発掘7D1Y7D1Y7D1YTransportation 業界の高成長企業。View Past Performance企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/06/01 12:25終値2026/06/01 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/06/30データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Kelsian Group Limited 8 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。15 アナリスト機関Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty LimitedPiers FlanaganBarrenjoey Markets Pty LimitedNicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited12 その他のアナリストを表示
お知らせ • Feb 25+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited Announces Resignation of Neil Smith as A Non-Executive Director, Effective 28 February 2026Kelsian Group Limited advised the resignation of Mr. Neil Smith as a non-executive director due to health reasons; effective 28 February 2026. Mr. Smith was a founder and the Chairman of Transit Systems Group prior to the acquisition by Kelsian in 2020 and was instrumental in growing the business into Australia's largest private operator of metropolitan public bus services and an established international bus operator. Mr. Smith joined the Board of Kelsian following the Transit Systems Group acquisition, and during his time as a director has brought valuable expertise and leadership which have contributed significantly to Kelsian's global growth.
お知らせ • Jan 12Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Feb 24, 2026Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Feb 24, 2026
お知らせ • Sep 02+ 1 more updateKelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 30, 2025.
お知らせ • Jun 27Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Terry Sinclair as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of Mr. Terry Sinclair as a Non-Executive Director, effective September 1, 2025. Mr. Sinclair brings extensive board-level and executive experience across several sectors, including logistics, infrastructure, industrials, consumer services, and technology. He will be a member of both the People, Culture and Remuneration Committee and the Safety, Risk and Sustainability Committee. Mr. Sinclair is currently Chair of Silk Logistics Holdings Limited and was most recently a Non-Executive Director of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited, Non-Executive Director of Indara Digital Infrastructure, and a Senior Advisor to AustralianSuper. Previously, he served as a Non-Executive Director of Faethm.ai Pty Ltd, Ovato Limited, and Zoom2U Technologies, as well as Managing Director of Service Stream Limited, Chairman of AUX Investments, Chairman of Star Track Express, Director of Sai Cheng Logistics (China), and Director of Asia Pacific Alliance (HK). Mr. Sinclair has over 35 years of executive experience in the industrials, infrastructure, and consumer services sectors, including 23 years at BHP and ten years at Australia Post.
お知らせ • Jun 23Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results Pre-Market on Aug 26, 2025
お知らせ • Feb 04Kelsian Group Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 26, 2025Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Feb 26, 2025
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 11Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 29%After last week's 29% share price gain to €2.56, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 23% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.80 per share.
New Risk • Sep 30New major risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 12% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.4x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 25Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%After last week's 17% share price gain to €2.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 24% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.87 per share.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 16Non-Executive Director recently bought €278k worth of stockOn the 11th of September, Neil Smith bought around 117k shares on-market at roughly €2.37 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.4m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 09Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.4m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 617k shares on-market at roughly €2.34 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.4% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
お知らせ • Sep 02Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024Kelsian Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 29, 2024. Location: in person meeting, Australia
Declared Dividend • Aug 30Final dividend of AU$0.095 announcedShareholders will receive a dividend of AU$0.095. Ex-date: 13th September 2024 Payment date: 21st October 2024 Dividend yield will be 7.2%, which is higher than the industry average of 3.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (82% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has increased by an average of 9.1% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 36% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
Reported Earnings • Aug 28Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.21 (vs AU$0.091 in FY 2023)Full year 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.21 (up from AU$0.091 in FY 2023). Revenue: AU$2.05b (up 43% from FY 2023). Net income: AU$58.0m (up 176% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (up from 1.5% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 3.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.8% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 26Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26%After last week's 26% share price decline to €2.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €3.82 per share.
お知らせ • Aug 11Kelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Aug 28, 2024
Board Change • Jun 19Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 4 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 4 independent directors. 5 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Jackie McArthur was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 30Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 24% to €2.76. The fair value is estimated to be €3.46, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 5.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 26% per annum over the same time period.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 17Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to €2.90, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 12% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.14 per share.
Recent Insider Transactions • Apr 16MD, Group CEO & Director recently bought €230k worth of stockOn the 15th of April, Clinton Feuerherdt bought around 70k shares on-market at roughly €3.29 per share. This transaction amounted to 1.2% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. This was Clinton's only on-market trade for the last 12 months.
New Risk • Apr 11New minor risk - Share price stabilityThe company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (2.6x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 148% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.7% net profit margin). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (3.5% increase in shares outstanding).
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 11Now 28% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 28% to €2.98. The fair value is estimated to be €4.17, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 6.2% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.
Upcoming Dividend • Mar 13Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 March 2024. Payment date: 17 April 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is cash flow negative. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (5.1%). Lower than average of industry peers (4.6%).
Reported Earnings • Mar 01First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.11 (vs AU$0.089 in 1H 2023)First half 2024 results: EPS: AU$0.11 (up from AU$0.089 in 1H 2023). Revenue: AU$991.0m (up 45% from 1H 2023). Net income: AU$28.1m (up 44% from 1H 2023). Profit margin: 2.8% (in line with 1H 2023). Revenue is forecast to grow 5.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 28Now 24% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to €3.42. The fair value is estimated to be €4.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 9.6% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 29% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Jan 16Kelsian Group Limited Appoints Jacqueline Mcarthur as DirectorKelsian Group Limited appointed Jacqueline Mcarthur as Director. Date of appointment 15 January 2024.
お知らせ • Nov 29Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Jackie McArthur as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective 15 January 2024Kelsian Group Limited announced that Jackie McArthur has been appointed as an independent non-executive Director of Kelsian effective from 15 January 2024. Jackie is a highly experienced company director, currently on the Boards of Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd. and Qube Holdings Ltd. Jackie was previously a non-executive director of Inghams Group Ltd, Tassal Group Ltd, InvoCare Ltd, and Blackmores Ltd. With over 20 years of valuable experience at executive and board level from her roles in strategy, general management, global and regional transport, supply chain and logistics, corporate social responsibility, governance, and IT, Jackie is expected to enhance and complement the skills and experience mix of the Kelsian Board. In her role as Managing Director of Martin Brower-ANZ, a global distributor and supply chain services provider, she was responsible for the oversight of a supply chain worth $4.5bn across 38 markets. Jackie was the 2016 Telstra NSW Business Woman of the Year and overall, 2016 Telstra Business Women’s Awards – Corporate and Private National winner. She has a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Sydne, completed the INSEAD International Executive Program and is a member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors.
Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 03Non-Executive Director recently sold €751k worth of stockOn the 1st of November, Neil Smith sold around 206k shares on-market at roughly €3.64 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of €3.8m more than they bought in the last 12 months.
Upcoming Dividend • Sep 07Upcoming dividend of AU$0.095 per share at 2.7% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 September 2023. Payment date: 20 October 2023. The company is paying out more than 100% of its earnings and cash flow. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (4.8%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.6%).
お知らせ • Sep 05Kelsian Group Limited Announces Director Retirement and Chair Succession PlanKelsian Group Limited announced that Chris Smerdon has notified Kelsian of his retirement from the board of directors of Kelsian ("Board") with effect from the end of the 2023 Annual General Meeting ("AGM"), planned for 24 October 2023. Chris joined the Board in 2004 and has been the longest serving non-executive director with the company. His decision to retire from the Board reflects his support for Board renewal and succession planning. A search is now underway for a new independent director following Chris' advice of his planned retirement. At the 2023 AGM Kelsian Chair Jeff Ellison, along with fellow non-executive directors, Neil Smith and Lance Hockridge are due to stand for re-election.
Reported Earnings • Aug 30Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.091 (vs AU$0.24 in FY 2022)Full year 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.091 (down from AU$0.24 in FY 2022). Revenue: AU$1.43b (up 6.9% from FY 2022). Net income: AU$21.0m (down 60% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.5% (down from 3.9% in FY 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 10% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
お知らせ • Jul 04Kelsian Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Clint Feuerherdt as DirectorKelsian Group Limited announced the appointment of its Group Chief Executive Officer, Clint Feuerherdt, as a member of the Kelsian Board, in addition to his ongoing role as Group Chief Executive Officer (Group CEO), with effect from 3 July 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt has been Kelsian's Group Chief Executive Officer since January 2020 following the acquisition of the Transit Systems Group. Under his guidance, Transit Systems Group Australia had secured via competitive tender processes more franchised bus service contracts than any other company in Australia. Clint also has extensive experience in the marine services sector, having overseen the growth of the privately owned ferry fleet in Australia for Transit Systems Group before divesting this to SeaLink Travel Group in 2015. In 2015 Clint led the expansion of Transit Systems Group into Singapore. Most recently, he led Kelsian's acquisition of All Aboard America! Holdings, Inc, which was completed in early June 2023. Mr. Feuerherdt is an accomplished executive and company director, including currently being a non-executive director of the Public Transport Association Australia and New Zealand (formerly called The International Association of Public Transport - UITP ANZ), and Ormiston College (Brisbane) in addition to his executive director roles for Kelsian group subsidiary companies in Singapore and USA. Mr. Feuerherdt said he was honoured to become part of the Kelsian Board and was looking forward to continuing to play a critical role in the ongoing success of Kelsian, including leveraging its global footprint to take a disciplined approach to organic growth and international expansion in the areas of public transport, essential marine transport and unique complementary tourism sectors. Mr. Feuerherdt's key employment terms remain the same other than a change in position to Managing Director and Group CEO.
お知らせ • May 30Ventura Bus Lines Reportedly Taps Goldman Sachs for SaleVictorian bus company Ventura Bus Lines Pty. Ltd. is understood to have hired investment bank Goldman Sachs for a sale that could reap the family-owned enterprise more than $500 million. Logical acquirers include the listed bus operator Kelsian Group Limited, which has been vocal about its interest in winning more domestic contracts to grow earnings. Other contenders include Kinetic (Tasmania) Pty Ltd, which is controlled by Infrastructure Capital Group and OPTrust and owns half of Go-Ahead; ComfortDelGro Australia, whose Singaporean owners have tried to float in Australia in recent years; and private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, which operates Ritchies Transport buses in New Zealand.
Recent Insider Transactions • May 28Non-Executive Director recently sold €3.0m worth of stockOn the 25th of May, Neil Smith sold around 779k shares on-market at roughly €3.90 per share. This transaction amounted to 2.9% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €1.5m more than they sold in the last 12 months.
Reported Earnings • Feb 24First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.079 (vs AU$0.097 in 1H 2022)First half 2023 results: EPS: AU$0.079 (down from AU$0.097 in 1H 2022). Revenue: AU$689.5m (up 4.4% from 1H 2022). Net income: AU$17.2m (down 19% from 1H 2022). Profit margin: 2.5% (down from 3.2% in 1H 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 9.5% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Europe.
お知らせ • Jan 20+ 2 more updatesKelsian Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 30, 2023Kelsian Group Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Aug 30, 2023
Board Change • Nov 16Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 22Non-Executive Director recently bought €569k worth of stockOn the 21st of September, Neil Smith bought around 155k shares on-market at roughly €3.67 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €1.1m. Insiders have collectively bought €1.8m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 07Non-Executive Director recently bought €1.1m worth of stockOn the 5th of September, Neil Smith bought around 300k shares on-market at roughly €3.75 per share. This transaction amounted to less than 1% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €1.2m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 30Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past weekAfter last week's 17% share price decline to €3.68, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 18x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Transportation industry in Europe.
Reported Earnings • Aug 24Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.24 (vs AU$0.17 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: AU$0.24 (up from AU$0.17 in FY 2021). Revenue: AU$1.35b (up 15% from FY 2021). Net income: AU$52.9m (up 40% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 3.9% (up from 3.2% in FY 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 1.9% compared to a 7.0% growth forecast for the Transportation industry in Germany.
Board Change • May 24Less than half of directors are independentFollowing the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Non-Executive Director Lance Hockridge was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.