Great River Smart Logistics（002930）株式概要広東グレートリバースマートロジスティクス有限公司は、物流会社で、中国国内および国際的な石油化学製品メーカー、貿易業者、エンドユーザー向けに倉庫保管やその他の関連サービスを提供している。 詳細002930 ファンダメンタル分析スノーフレーク・スコア評価2/6将来の成長4/6過去の実績0/6財務の健全性0/6配当金0/6報酬当社が推定した公正価値より21.2%で取引されている 収益は年間89.93%増加すると予測されています リスク分析利払いは収益で十分にカバーされない すべてのリスクチェックを見る002930 Community Fair Values Create NarrativeSee what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.NEW478,907 membersJoin community and earn perksGain real feedbackFrom our editorial team, personally. Not silence.Grow your followingReal investors. The kind who actually invest, not scroll past.Unlock free accessFree premium subscription for consistent and quality authors.Learn moreCreate NarrativeBLINRODA478,907 investors already sharing narrativesYour Fair ValueCN¥Current PriceCN¥9.0511.4% 割安 内在価値ディスカウントGrowth estimate overAnnual revenue growth rate5 Yearstime period%/yrDecreaseIncreasePastFuture-432m3b2016201920222025202620282031Revenue CN¥2.7bEarnings CN¥483.5mAdvancedSet Fair ValueView all narrativesGreat River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. 競合他社Zhuhai PortLtdSymbol: SZSE:000507Market cap: CN¥4.5bChongqing PortLtdSymbol: SHSE:600279Market cap: CN¥5.0bNanjing PortSymbol: SZSE:002040Market cap: CN¥4.0bJiangsu Lianyungang PortSymbol: SHSE:601008Market cap: CN¥5.4b価格と性能株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Great River Smart Logistics過去の株価現在の株価CN¥9.0552週高値CN¥16.8852週安値CN¥7.64ベータ0.0461ヶ月の変化10.23%3ヶ月変化-37.28%1年変化-25.58%3年間の変化-60.18%5年間の変化-47.69%IPOからの変化34.13%最新ニュースBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 07Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 45% to CN¥8.90. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.お知らせ • Jun 30Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 29, 2026Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 30Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 34% to CN¥9.20. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 04Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 27% to CN¥9.79. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: CN¥0.94 loss per share (down from CN¥0.34 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥1.19b (down 18% from FY 2024). Net loss: CN¥429.7m (down 371% from profit in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 56 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.お知らせ • Apr 29Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China最新情報をもっと見るRecent updatesBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 07Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 45% to CN¥8.90. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.お知らせ • Jun 30Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 29, 2026Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 30Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 34% to CN¥9.20. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 04Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 27% to CN¥9.79. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: CN¥0.94 loss per share (down from CN¥0.34 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥1.19b (down 18% from FY 2024). Net loss: CN¥429.7m (down 371% from profit in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 56 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.お知らせ • Apr 29Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong Chinaお知らせ • Mar 31Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026お知らせ • Feb 03Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Directorate AppointmentsGreat River Smarter held its 2nd Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026 on January 30, 2026, approved appointment of Wang Qiang as independent director and Rui Bin as independent director.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 30Now 22% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 7.0% to CN¥11.77. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥9.65, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2026Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 29, 2026Board Change • Dec 12High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Rongwu Zhang was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 14Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.8% to CN¥11.24. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥9.34, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2025 earnings released: CN¥0.042 loss per share (vs CN¥0.081 profit in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: CN¥0.042 loss per share (down from CN¥0.081 profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue: CN¥285.5m (down 19% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: CN¥25.9m (down 167% from profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 41% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 18% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 31, 2025Major Estimate Revision • Sep 12Consensus revenue estimates fall by 21%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.51b to CN¥1.20b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥0.38 to CN¥0.07 per share. Net income forecast to grow 732% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥9.70 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 5.9% to CN¥11.04 over the past week.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 04Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.2% to CN¥10.56. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 21% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 118% in the next 2 years.お知らせ • Jul 02Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 29, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 29, 2025Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 20Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥11.91, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 39% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥13.36 per share.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 05Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.1% to CN¥10.56. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.25, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 21% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 118% in the next 2 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 20Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.7% to CN¥10.12. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.76, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 21% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 118% in the next 2 years.New Risk • May 16New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 8.6% Last year net profit margin: 19% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (114% payout ratio). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (8.6% net profit margin).お知らせ • May 13Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Dividend for the Year 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at the AGM held on May 12, 2025 approved final Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 2.00000000 for the year 2024.Reported Earnings • Apr 30Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.081 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.081 (down from CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥351.3m (down 9.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥38.6m (down 52% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (down from 21% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 4 years, compared to a 4.7% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 28Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 8.7% to CN¥9.13. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.11, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 34% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.お知らせ • Apr 28Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong ChinaBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 07Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.8% to CN¥9.92. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.17, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 34% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.お知らせ • Mar 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 28, 2025お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 28, 2025分析記事 • Nov 17Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) EstimatesMarket forces rained on the parade of Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. ( SZSE:002930 ) shareholders...お知らせ • Nov 16Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its EGM held on November 14, 2024 approved cash dividend of CNY 1.00 per 10 shares (tax included) for the third quarter 2024.Major Estimate Revision • Nov 14Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from CN¥1.52b to CN¥1.53b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥0.57 to CN¥0.51 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 11% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥11.90 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at CN¥12.12 over the past week.お知らせ • Oct 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Proposes Profit Distribution for the Third Quarter of 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced on 29 October 2024 the profit distribution proposal for the third quarter of 2024 as follows: Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included): CNY 1.00000000.Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.081 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.081 (down from CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥351.3m (down 9.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥38.6m (down 52% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (down from 21% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.分析記事 • Oct 12Estimating The Fair Value Of Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930)Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics fair value estimate is...お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 29, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 29, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥10.98, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥11.36 per share.Major Estimate Revision • Sep 06Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.81b to CN¥1.52b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥0.89 to CN¥0.785 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 8.0% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥16.70 to CN¥11.90. Share price fell 4.6% to CN¥10.34 over the past week.分析記事 • Sep 03News Flash: 2 Analysts Think Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) Earnings Are Under ThreatOne thing we could say about the analysts on Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. ( SZSE:002930 ) - they...Reported Earnings • Aug 31Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥356.3m (down 10% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥72.6m (down 20% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 20% (down from 23% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.8% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 19Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 30% to CN¥10.48. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.15, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.Declared Dividend • Jul 05Dividend reduced to CN¥0.25Dividend of CN¥0.25 is 17% lower than last year. Ex-date: 9th July 2024 Payment date: 9th July 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (40% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (16% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.7% per year over the past 5 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.お知らせ • Jul 03Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Final Profit Distribution Plan to Be Implemented on A Shares for the Year 2023, Payable on 09 July 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced final profit distribution plan to be implemented on A shares as cash dividend per ten shares (tax included) of CNY 2.50000000 for the year 2023, payable on 09 July 2024. Record date is 08 July 2024. Ex-date is 09 July 2024.Board Change • Jul 01Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Deputy GM & Non-Independent Director Yi Gan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.お知らせ • Jun 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 31, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 31, 2024分析記事 • Jun 23Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002930) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift SharesWith a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.6x Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. ( SZSE:002930...分析記事 • Jun 06Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (SZSE:002930)Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 27Now 22% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to CN¥15.09. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.34, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 09Now 22% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at CN¥15.38. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.56, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Apr 28First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥379.9m (up 1.1% from 1Q 2023). Net income: CN¥60.0m (down 13% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 18% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.6% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target decreased by 14% to CN¥19.94Down from CN¥23.24, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 39% above last closing price of CN¥14.37. Stock is down 33% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.78 for next year compared to CN¥0.65 last year.Major Estimate Revision • Apr 27Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.97b to CN¥1.81b. EPS estimate also fell from CN¥0.945 per share to CN¥0.78 per share. Net income forecast to grow 22% next year vs 8.0% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥23.24 to CN¥19.94. Share price rose 2.1% to CN¥14.37 over the past week.お知らせ • Apr 26Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong ChinaBuy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 17Now 23% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 20% to CN¥14.69. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.92, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 62% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 87% in the next 2 years.Reported Earnings • Apr 14Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.65 (up from CN¥0.50 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.55b (up 22% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥295.7m (up 32% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 9.1%. Revenue is forecast to grow 24% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year.お知らせ • Mar 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 27, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 27, 2024Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to CN¥13.83, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 21% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥10.82 per share.お知らせ • Dec 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 25, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 25, 2024Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.18 (vs CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.18 (up from CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥386.9m (up 17% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥80.6m (up 34% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 21% (up from 18% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year.お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 28, 2023Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results at 3:00 PM, China Standard Time on Oct 28, 2023Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.20 (vs CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.20 (up from CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥397.7m (up 18% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CN¥91.1m (up 30% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 23% (up from 21% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year.Upcoming Dividend • Jun 19Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.30 per share at 1.4% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 26 June 2023. Payment date: 26 June 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 57% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Chinese dividend payers (2.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.2%).お知らせ • May 25Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for 2022Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2023 approved cash dividend of CNY 3.00000000 per 10 shares (tax included) for 2022.Reported Earnings • Apr 16Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.50 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.50 (down from CN¥0.61 in FY 2021). Revenue: CN¥1.26b (up 16% from FY 2021). Net income: CN¥224.0m (down 18% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 22% per year.Price Target Changed • Nov 16Price target increased to CN¥24.25Up from CN¥19.95, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 21% above last closing price of CN¥20.08. Stock is down 12% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.63 for next year compared to CN¥0.61 last year.Board Change • Nov 16High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Reported Earnings • Oct 28Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥332.0m (up 25% from 3Q 2021). Net income: CN¥60.1m (down 11% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in 3Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.Major Estimate Revision • Sep 15Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.36b to CN¥1.28b. EPS estimate also fell from CN¥0.97 per share to CN¥0.71 per share. Net income forecast to grow 46% next year vs 6.9% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥24.25 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at CN¥22.87 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥335.8m (up 21% from 2Q 2021). Net income: CN¥70.2m (down 9.1% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 21% (down from 28% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 27%, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 26% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 27% per year.お知らせ • Jun 24Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) acquired Jiahui Logistics (Cangzhou) Co., Ltd.Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) acquired Jiahui Logistics (Cangzhou) Co., Ltd. on June 22, 2022. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) completed the acquisition of Jiahui Logistics (Cangzhou) Co., Ltd. on June 22, 2022.お知らせ • Jun 21Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Final Profit Distribution Plan to Be Implemented on A Shares for the Year 2021, Payable on 27 June 2022Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced final profit distribution plan to be implemented on A shares as cash dividend per ten shares (tax included) of CNY 3.00000000 for the year 2021, payable on 27 June 2022. Record date: 24 June 2022. Ex-date: 27 June 2022. Net cash dividend per ten shares after tax: CNY 2.70000000 (CNY 3.00000000 – CNY 0.30000000).Reported Earnings • Apr 28First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.12 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥269.5m (up 4.3% from 1Q 2021). Net income: CN¥54.2m (down 18% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 20% (down from 26% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 16%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 28%, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to CN¥25.00Up from CN¥21.72, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 43% above last closing price of CN¥17.50. Stock is up 1.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.91 for next year compared to CN¥0.58 last year.Board Change • Apr 27High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 1 experienced director. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.Reported Earnings • Apr 13Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2021 results: EPS: CN¥0.58 (up from CN¥0.51 in FY 2020). Revenue: CN¥1.09b (up 28% from FY 2020). Net income: CN¥258.1m (up 13% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 24% (down from 27% in FY 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 14%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 24%, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Buying Opportunity • Mar 04Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 12%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.81, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.Price Target Changed • Feb 21Price target increased to CN¥25.00Up from CN¥21.72, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 15% above last closing price of CN¥21.80. Stock is up 12% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.68 for next year compared to CN¥0.51 last year.Buying Opportunity • Jan 20Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 5.0%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.54, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.17 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues were flat. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥266.4m (flat on 3Q 2020). Net income: CN¥67.4m (down 10% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (down from 28% in 3Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 35% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 21Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 19% share price gain to CN¥22.82, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 63% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥36.10 per share.お知らせ • Sep 06Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that it has received funding from Guangdong Great River Group Co., Ltd.Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that it has received a round of funding on September 4, 2021. The transaction included participation from returning investor Guangdong Great River Group Co., Ltd.Reported Earnings • Aug 18Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.17 (vs CN¥0.12 in 2Q 2020)The company reported a solid second quarter result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were flat. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥277.6m (up 40% from 2Q 2020). Net income: CN¥77.3m (up 42% from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 28% (in line with 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • May 19Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Final Cash Dividend for the Year 2020Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced at the AGM held on May 14, 2021 that the company approved final profit distribution of CNY 3.00000000 per 10 shares (tax included) for 2020.Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥848.3m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥227.7m (up 56% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 19% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Mar 09Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Apr 23, 2021Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2020 results on Apr 23, 2021Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 02New 90-day low: CN¥17.81The company is down 18% from its price of CN¥21.70 on 02 December 2020. The Chinese market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is down 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.24 per share.Price Target Changed • Feb 09Price target raised to CN¥23.50Up from CN¥21.72, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. The new target price is 23% above the current share price of CN¥19.14. As of last close, the stock is up 94% over the past year.Reported Earnings • Feb 05Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.52 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥849.5m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥231.8m (up 59% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses.Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 05Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappointRevenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 4.6%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 25%, compared to a 27% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China.Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 22New 90-day low: CN¥18.13The company is down 11% from its price of CN¥20.35 on 23 October 2020. The Chinese market is up 12% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 3.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.29 per share.Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 06New 90-day low: CN¥18.94The company is down 2.0% from its price of CN¥19.24 on 30 September 2020. The Chinese market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.27 per share.Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 19Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥22.90, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 54.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 47x. This compares to an average P/E of 20x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total returns to shareholders over the past year are 103%.Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 19New 90-day high: CN¥22.90The company is up 11% from its price of CN¥20.66 on 21 August 2020. The Chinese market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 2.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.21 per share.Reported Earnings • Oct 28Third quarter earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of CN¥189.5m, up 32% from the prior year. Total revenue was CN¥723.3m over the last 12 months, up 55% from the prior year.お知らせ • Oct 20Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 28, 2020Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2020 results on Oct 28, 2020お知らせ • Aug 11Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 27, 2020Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2020 results on Aug 27, 2020株主還元002930CN InfrastructureCN 市場7D0.3%-2.1%0.2%1Y-25.6%-8.7%9.7%株主還元を見る業界別リターン: 002930過去 1 年間で-8.7 % の収益を上げたCN Infrastructure業界を下回りました。リターン対市場: 002930は、過去 1 年間で9.7 % のリターンを上げたCN市場を下回りました。価格変動Is 002930's price volatile compared to industry and market?002930 volatility002930 Average Weekly Movement7.8%Infrastructure Industry Average Movement3.8%Market Average Movement7.3%10% most volatile stocks in CN Market12.5%10% least volatile stocks in CN Market4.4%安定した株価: 002930 、 CN市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。時間の経過による変動: 002930の 週次ボラティリティ ( 8% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。会社概要設立従業員CEO（最高経営責任者ウェブサイト20121,747Xiaoli Ligrsl.cn広東グレートリバースマートロジスティクス有限公司は物流会社で、中国国内および国際的な石油化学製品メーカー、トレーダー、エンドユーザー向けに倉庫管理およびその他の関連サービスを提供している。同社のサービスには、積み下ろし、倉庫保管、移送、輸送、ロジスティクスチェーン管理などが含まれる。同社は2012年に設立され、中国の東莞に拠点を置いている。もっと見るGreat River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. 基礎のまとめGreat River Smart Logistics の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。002930 基礎統計学時価総額CN¥4.14b収益（TTM）-CN¥432.21m売上高(TTM)CN¥1.22b3.4xP/Sレシオ-9.6xPER（株価収益率002930 は割高か？公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入最新の決算報告書（TTM）に基づく主な収益性統計002930 損益計算書（TTM）収益CN¥1.22b売上原価CN¥765.22m売上総利益CN¥450.87mその他の費用CN¥883.08m収益-CN¥432.21m直近の収益報告Mar 31, 2026次回決算日Aug 29, 2026一株当たり利益（EPS）-0.94グロス・マージン37.08%純利益率-35.54%有利子負債／自己資本比率223.4%002930 の長期的なパフォーマンスは？過去の実績と比較を見るView Valuation企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日（UTC時間）企業分析2026/08/17 22:47終値2026/08/17 00:00収益2026/03/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレークこのレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. 1 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。2 アナリスト機関Wei LiuHaitong International Research LimitedXiaofeng ShenHuatai Research
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 07Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 45% to CN¥8.90. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
お知らせ • Jun 30Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 29, 2026
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 30Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 34% to CN¥9.20. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 04Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 27% to CN¥9.79. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: CN¥0.94 loss per share (down from CN¥0.34 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥1.19b (down 18% from FY 2024). Net loss: CN¥429.7m (down 371% from profit in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 56 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
お知らせ • Apr 29Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 07Now 21% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 45% to CN¥8.90. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
お知らせ • Jun 30Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Aug 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Aug 29, 2026
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 30Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 34% to CN¥9.20. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.78, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 04Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 27% to CN¥9.79. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 6.6% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Reported Earnings • Apr 30Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2025 results: CN¥0.94 loss per share (down from CN¥0.34 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: CN¥1.19b (down 18% from FY 2024). Net loss: CN¥429.7m (down 371% from profit in FY 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 4.0% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 56 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
お知らせ • Apr 29Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2026, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
お知らせ • Mar 31Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026
お知らせ • Feb 03Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Directorate AppointmentsGreat River Smarter held its 2nd Extraordinary General Meeting of 2026 on January 30, 2026, approved appointment of Wang Qiang as independent director and Rui Bin as independent director.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 30Now 22% overvalued after recent price riseOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 7.0% to CN¥11.77. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥9.65, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Apr 29, 2026Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Apr 29, 2026
Board Change • Dec 12High number of new directorsThere are 5 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. Independent Director Rongwu Zhang was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company’s lack of board continuity is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 14Now 20% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 5.8% to CN¥11.24. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥9.34, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has been flat over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making.
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2025 earnings released: CN¥0.042 loss per share (vs CN¥0.081 profit in 3Q 2024)Third quarter 2025 results: CN¥0.042 loss per share (down from CN¥0.081 profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue: CN¥285.5m (down 19% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: CN¥25.9m (down 167% from profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 41% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 18% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 31, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results on Oct 31, 2025
Major Estimate Revision • Sep 12Consensus revenue estimates fall by 21%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.51b to CN¥1.20b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥0.38 to CN¥0.07 per share. Net income forecast to grow 732% next year vs 12% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥9.70 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 5.9% to CN¥11.04 over the past week.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 04Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.2% to CN¥10.56. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.49, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 21% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 118% in the next 2 years.
お知らせ • Jul 02Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 29, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 29, 2025
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 20Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%After last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥11.91, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 39% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥13.36 per share.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 05Now 20% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.1% to CN¥10.56. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.25, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 21% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 118% in the next 2 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 20Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.7% to CN¥10.12. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.76, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 8.7% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 11%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 21% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 118% in the next 2 years.
New Risk • May 16New minor risk - Profit margin trendThe company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 8.6% Last year net profit margin: 19% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (114% payout ratio). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (8.6% net profit margin).
お知らせ • May 13Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Dividend for the Year 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at the AGM held on May 12, 2025 approved final Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included) of CNY 2.00000000 for the year 2024.
Reported Earnings • Apr 30Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.081 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.081 (down from CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥351.3m (down 9.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥38.6m (down 52% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (down from 21% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 9.1% p.a. on average during the next 4 years, compared to a 4.7% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 28Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 8.7% to CN¥9.13. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.11, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 34% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.
お知らせ • Apr 28Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 20, 2025, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 07Now 25% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.8% to CN¥9.92. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.17, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 14% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 34% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.
お知らせ • Mar 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results on Apr 28, 2025
お知らせ • Dec 31Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 28, 2025Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results on Apr 28, 2025
分析記事 • Nov 17Need To Know: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) EstimatesMarket forces rained on the parade of Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. ( SZSE:002930 ) shareholders...
お知らせ • Nov 16Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its EGM held on November 14, 2024 approved cash dividend of CNY 1.00 per 10 shares (tax included) for the third quarter 2024.
Major Estimate Revision • Nov 14Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from CN¥1.52b to CN¥1.53b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥0.57 to CN¥0.51 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 11% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥11.90 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at CN¥12.12 over the past week.
お知らせ • Oct 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Proposes Profit Distribution for the Third Quarter of 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced on 29 October 2024 the profit distribution proposal for the third quarter of 2024 as follows: Cash dividend/10 shares (tax included): CNY 1.00000000.
Reported Earnings • Oct 29Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.081 (vs CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023)Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.081 (down from CN¥0.18 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥351.3m (down 9.2% from 3Q 2023). Net income: CN¥38.6m (down 52% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 11% (down from 21% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.9% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 1% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings.
分析記事 • Oct 12Estimating The Fair Value Of Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930)Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics fair value estimate is...
お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 29, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results on Oct 29, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 27Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%After last week's 18% share price gain to CN¥10.98, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥11.36 per share.
Major Estimate Revision • Sep 06Consensus revenue estimates fall by 16%The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.81b to CN¥1.52b. EPS estimate fell from CN¥0.89 to CN¥0.785 per share. Net income forecast to grow 31% next year vs 8.0% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥16.70 to CN¥11.90. Share price fell 4.6% to CN¥10.34 over the past week.
分析記事 • Sep 03News Flash: 2 Analysts Think Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) Earnings Are Under ThreatOne thing we could say about the analysts on Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. ( SZSE:002930 ) - they...
Reported Earnings • Aug 31Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023)Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.20 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥356.3m (down 10% from 2Q 2023). Net income: CN¥72.6m (down 20% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 20% (down from 23% in 2Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 5.8% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 19Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 30% to CN¥10.48. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥13.15, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 68% in the next 2 years.
Declared Dividend • Jul 05Dividend reduced to CN¥0.25Dividend of CN¥0.25 is 17% lower than last year. Ex-date: 9th July 2024 Payment date: 9th July 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.1%, which is lower than the industry average of 2.8%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (40% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (16% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 8.7% per year over the past 5 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 66% over the next 3 years, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover.
お知らせ • Jul 03Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Final Profit Distribution Plan to Be Implemented on A Shares for the Year 2023, Payable on 09 July 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced final profit distribution plan to be implemented on A shares as cash dividend per ten shares (tax included) of CNY 2.50000000 for the year 2023, payable on 09 July 2024. Record date is 08 July 2024. Ex-date is 09 July 2024.
Board Change • Jul 01Insufficient new directorsNo new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Deputy GM & Non-Independent Director Yi Gan was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment.
お知らせ • Jun 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 31, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2024 results on Aug 31, 2024
分析記事 • Jun 23Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002930) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift SharesWith a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.6x Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. ( SZSE:002930...
分析記事 • Jun 06Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (SZSE:002930)Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 27Now 22% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 14% to CN¥15.09. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.34, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 09Now 22% overvaluedThe stock has been flat over the last 90 days, currently trading at CN¥15.38. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥12.56, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 16% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 52% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 76% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 28First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023)First quarter 2024 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2023). Revenue: CN¥379.9m (up 1.1% from 1Q 2023). Net income: CN¥60.0m (down 13% from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 18% in 1Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 18% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 7.6% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has remained flat but the company’s share price has fallen by 6% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target decreased by 14% to CN¥19.94Down from CN¥23.24, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 39% above last closing price of CN¥14.37. Stock is down 33% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.78 for next year compared to CN¥0.65 last year.
Major Estimate Revision • Apr 27Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has deteriorated. 2024 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.97b to CN¥1.81b. EPS estimate also fell from CN¥0.945 per share to CN¥0.78 per share. Net income forecast to grow 22% next year vs 8.0% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target down from CN¥23.24 to CN¥19.94. Share price rose 2.1% to CN¥14.37 over the past week.
お知らせ • Apr 26Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024, at 15:30 China Standard Time. Location: 1F, Building 1, No. 6, Libin Road, Songshan Lake Park, Dongguan, Guangdong China
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 17Now 23% overvaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 20% to CN¥14.69. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥11.92, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Revenue is forecast to grow by 62% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 87% in the next 2 years.
Reported Earnings • Apr 14Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.65 (up from CN¥0.50 in FY 2022). Revenue: CN¥1.55b (up 22% from FY 2022). Net income: CN¥295.7m (up 32% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 19% (up from 18% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 9.1%. Revenue is forecast to grow 24% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.5% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year.
お知らせ • Mar 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 27, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on Apr 27, 2024
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 05Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%After last week's 19% share price decline to CN¥13.83, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total loss to shareholders of 21% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥10.82 per share.
お知らせ • Dec 29Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 25, 2024Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2023 results on Apr 25, 2024
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.18 (vs CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022)Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.18 (up from CN¥0.13 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥386.9m (up 17% from 3Q 2022). Net income: CN¥80.6m (up 34% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 21% (up from 18% in 3Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 25% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 3% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 2% per year.
お知らせ • Sep 30Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 28, 2023Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2023 results at 3:00 PM, China Standard Time on Oct 28, 2023
Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.20 (vs CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022)Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: CN¥0.20 (up from CN¥0.16 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: CN¥397.7m (up 18% from 2Q 2022). Net income: CN¥91.1m (up 30% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 23% (up from 21% in 2Q 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 21% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 6% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year.
Upcoming Dividend • Jun 19Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.30 per share at 1.4% yieldEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 26 June 2023. Payment date: 26 June 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 57% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 1.4%. Lower than top quartile of Chinese dividend payers (2.0%). Lower than average of industry peers (3.2%).
お知らせ • May 25Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Cash Dividend for 2022Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. at its Annual General Meeting held on 22 May 2023 approved cash dividend of CNY 3.00000000 per 10 shares (tax included) for 2022.
Reported Earnings • Apr 16Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.50 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2021)Full year 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.50 (down from CN¥0.61 in FY 2021). Revenue: CN¥1.26b (up 16% from FY 2021). Net income: CN¥224.0m (down 18% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 22% per year.
Price Target Changed • Nov 16Price target increased to CN¥24.25Up from CN¥19.95, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 21% above last closing price of CN¥20.08. Stock is down 12% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.63 for next year compared to CN¥0.61 last year.
Board Change • Nov 16High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 2 experienced directors. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Reported Earnings • Oct 28Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.13 (vs CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021)Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.13 (down from CN¥0.15 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥332.0m (up 25% from 3Q 2021). Net income: CN¥60.1m (down 11% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 18% (down from 25% in 3Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 22% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 23% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year.
Major Estimate Revision • Sep 15Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in 2022 has deteriorated. 2022 revenue forecast decreased from CN¥1.36b to CN¥1.28b. EPS estimate also fell from CN¥0.97 per share to CN¥0.71 per share. Net income forecast to grow 46% next year vs 6.9% growth forecast for Infrastructure industry in China. Consensus price target of CN¥24.25 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at CN¥22.87 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Aug 29Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.16 (vs CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021)Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.16 (down from CN¥0.17 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥335.8m (up 21% from 2Q 2021). Net income: CN¥70.2m (down 9.1% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 21% (down from 28% in 2Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 27%, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 26% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 27% per year.
お知らせ • Jun 24Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) acquired Jiahui Logistics (Cangzhou) Co., Ltd.Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) acquired Jiahui Logistics (Cangzhou) Co., Ltd. on June 22, 2022. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002930) completed the acquisition of Jiahui Logistics (Cangzhou) Co., Ltd. on June 22, 2022.
お知らせ • Jun 21Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Announces Final Profit Distribution Plan to Be Implemented on A Shares for the Year 2021, Payable on 27 June 2022Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced final profit distribution plan to be implemented on A shares as cash dividend per ten shares (tax included) of CNY 3.00000000 for the year 2021, payable on 27 June 2022. Record date: 24 June 2022. Ex-date: 27 June 2022. Net cash dividend per ten shares after tax: CNY 2.70000000 (CNY 3.00000000 – CNY 0.30000000).
Reported Earnings • Apr 28First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFirst quarter 2022 results: EPS: CN¥0.12 (down from CN¥0.15 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: CN¥269.5m (up 4.3% from 1Q 2021). Net income: CN¥54.2m (down 18% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 20% (down from 26% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 16%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 28%, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 30% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 8% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Price Target Changed • Apr 27Price target increased to CN¥25.00Up from CN¥21.72, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 43% above last closing price of CN¥17.50. Stock is up 1.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.91 for next year compared to CN¥0.58 last year.
Board Change • Apr 27High number of new and inexperienced directorsThere are 8 new directors who have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 8 new directors. 1 experienced director. No highly experienced directors. Supervisor Xiao Zhong is the most experienced director on the board, commencing their role in 2021. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of board continuity. Lack of experienced directors.
Reported Earnings • Apr 13Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2021 results: EPS: CN¥0.58 (up from CN¥0.51 in FY 2020). Revenue: CN¥1.09b (up 28% from FY 2020). Net income: CN¥258.1m (up 13% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 24% (down from 27% in FY 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 14%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 24%, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the industry in China. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 9% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Buying Opportunity • Mar 04Now 22% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 12%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.81, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.
Price Target Changed • Feb 21Price target increased to CN¥25.00Up from CN¥21.72, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 15% above last closing price of CN¥21.80. Stock is up 12% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of CN¥0.68 for next year compared to CN¥0.51 last year.
Buying Opportunity • Jan 20Now 20% undervalued after recent price dropOver the last 90 days, the stock is down 5.0%. The fair value is estimated to be CN¥27.54, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 39% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 35% per annum over the last 3 years.
Reported Earnings • Oct 31Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.15 (vs CN¥0.17 in 3Q 2020)The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues were flat. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥266.4m (flat on 3Q 2020). Net income: CN¥67.4m (down 10% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 25% (down from 28% in 3Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 35% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 21Investor sentiment improved over the past weekAfter last week's 19% share price gain to CN¥22.82, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total returns to shareholders of 63% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CN¥36.10 per share.
お知らせ • Sep 06Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that it has received funding from Guangdong Great River Group Co., Ltd.Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that it has received a round of funding on September 4, 2021. The transaction included participation from returning investor Guangdong Great River Group Co., Ltd.
Reported Earnings • Aug 18Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.17 (vs CN¥0.12 in 2Q 2020)The company reported a solid second quarter result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were flat. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: CN¥277.6m (up 40% from 2Q 2020). Net income: CN¥77.3m (up 42% from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 28% (in line with 2Q 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • May 19Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Approves Final Cash Dividend for the Year 2020Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced at the AGM held on May 14, 2021 that the company approved final profit distribution of CNY 3.00000000 per 10 shares (tax included) for 2020.
Reported Earnings • Apr 25Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.51 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥848.3m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥227.7m (up 56% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 19% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 7% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Mar 09Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Apr 23, 2021Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report fiscal year 2020 results on Apr 23, 2021
Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 02New 90-day low: CN¥17.81The company is down 18% from its price of CN¥21.70 on 02 December 2020. The Chinese market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is down 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.24 per share.
Price Target Changed • Feb 09Price target raised to CN¥23.50Up from CN¥21.72, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. The new target price is 23% above the current share price of CN¥19.14. As of last close, the stock is up 94% over the past year.
Reported Earnings • Feb 05Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.52 (vs CN¥0.33 in FY 2019)The company reported a solid full year result with improved earnings and revenues, although profit margins were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: CN¥849.5m (up 75% from FY 2019). Net income: CN¥231.8m (up 59% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (down from 30% in FY 2019). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses.
Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 05Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappointRevenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 4.6%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 25%, compared to a 27% growth forecast for the Infrastructure industry in China.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 22New 90-day low: CN¥18.13The company is down 11% from its price of CN¥20.35 on 23 October 2020. The Chinese market is up 12% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 3.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.29 per share.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 06New 90-day low: CN¥18.94The company is down 2.0% from its price of CN¥19.24 on 30 September 2020. The Chinese market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.27 per share.
Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 19Market bids up stock over the past weekAfter last week's 15% share price gain to CN¥22.90, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 54.3x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 47x. This compares to an average P/E of 20x in the Infrastructure industry in China. Total returns to shareholders over the past year are 103%.
Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 19New 90-day high: CN¥22.90The company is up 11% from its price of CN¥20.66 on 21 August 2020. The Chinese market is down 1.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Infrastructure industry, which is up 2.0% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is CN¥2.21 per share.
Reported Earnings • Oct 28Third quarter earnings releasedOver the last 12 months the company has reported total profits of CN¥189.5m, up 32% from the prior year. Total revenue was CN¥723.3m over the last 12 months, up 55% from the prior year.
お知らせ • Oct 20Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 28, 2020Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report Q3, 2020 results on Oct 28, 2020
お知らせ • Aug 11Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 27, 2020Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. announced that they will report first half, 2020 results on Aug 27, 2020
