Vale S.A.

BOVESPA:VALE3 株式レポート

時価総額：R$353.4b

Vale 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /26

Vale利益と収益がそれぞれ年間17.2%と0.2%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に18.2% 23.7%なると予測されています。

主要情報

17.2%

収益成長率

23.71%

EPS成長率

Metals and Mining 収益成長21.9%
収益成長率0.2%
将来の株主資本利益率18.24%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日11 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • May 05

VALE3: Base Metals Mix And Copper Strength Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the R$ fair value estimate for Vale higher to R$104.54 from R$101.20. The updated estimate reflects a series of recent price target increases, even as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, more conservative revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins and a higher future P/E assumption.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 20

VALE3: Base Metals Strength And Iron Ore Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have slightly lifted the R$ fair value estimate for Vale, reflecting broadly higher Street price targets. These emphasize stronger base metals contributions, a higher assumed future P/E and more cautious views on revenue growth and profit margins.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 05

VALE3: Copper Strength And Base Metals Mix Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced the fair value estimate for Vale. The updated price target of R$101.20 reflects a higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a lower future P/E.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 22

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Mix Will Drive Future Returns

Narrative Update on Vale The analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower in the model, reflecting a marginal trim to fair value to R$88.67. Analysts see the shares more fully reflecting iron ore and base metals assumptions after a series of target increases and recent rating downgrades that emphasize valuation and oversupply risks.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 08

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Shift Will Support Future Returns

Our analyst price target for Vale has been revised higher to R$88.95 from R$80.25, reflecting Street research that has generally nudged targets up on stronger base metals contributions and copper demand, even as analysts flag iron ore price softness, steel demand headwinds, and potential oversupply risks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vale has turned more mixed recently, with several price target increases sitting alongside fresh rating downgrades.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 22

VALE3: Copper And Base Metals Mix Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies fair value rising from about R$86.67 to roughly R$102.54. Analysts point to stronger margin assumptions, a lower discount rate and a lower future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights higher copper exposure even as iron ore faces potential oversupply risk.
分析記事 • Feb 19

There May Be Reason For Hope In Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Disappointing Earnings

Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers were...
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 07

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply And Execution Risks Will Pressure Future Earnings

Our updated analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower by about $0.65, as analysts balance more constructive assumptions on revenue growth with modestly softer profit margin expectations and a small adjustment in the assumed P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and others sounding more cautious.
分析記事 • Jan 30

Returns At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Appear To Be Weighed Down

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 24

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply Risk Will Pressure Earnings Power And Sentiment

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Vale from $54.24 to $70.04, reflecting mixed views on iron ore oversupply risk and cost discipline, along with generally higher Street price targets clustered around $12 to $15.50. Analyst Commentary Street research around Vale highlights a split view, with some firms raising price targets on the back of modeling updates and cost control, while bearish analysts flag iron ore market risks and temper expectations for upside.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09

VALE3: Base And Precious Metals Exposure Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies a fair value move from about $84 to $87, as analysts balance oversupply risks in iron ore with improving views on base and precious metals exposure, alongside a revised future P/E assumption of 13.2x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a split view, with some caution around iron ore oversupply risk and a cluster of more constructive opinions tied to base and precious metals exposure, as well as updated models after recent company results.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 25

VALE3: Base Metals Expansion And Cost Discipline Will Drive Balanced Future Returns

Vale's analyst price target has been nudged higher, with fair value estimates rising by about $3.50 per share as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth, modestly better margins, and a richer future earnings multiple following a series of recent target hikes from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a generally constructive stance, with a clear tilt toward incremental upgrades and higher price targets as analysts recalibrate models following the latest quarterly update.
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 11

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Expansion Will Drive Balanced Future Return Potential

The analyst price target for Vale has been nudged higher to about $14.50 per share from roughly $14 previously, as analysts cite updated post Q3 models, improving base metals performance, and constructive views on copper driven by tight supply and stronger precious metal prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive tone on Vale, with multiple firms raising price targets as they refresh models following the Q3 report and factor in stronger trends in base and precious metals.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 27

VALE3: Base Metals Segment Performance Will Drive 2026 Profitability Upside

Vale’s analyst price target has been raised from $71.08 to $75.14. Analysts cite constructive views following the company's Q3 report, improved Base Metals segment performance, and ongoing cost control as key reasons for the increased valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 12

VALE3: Revenue Momentum And Base Metals Performance Will Offset Market Caution

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vale, raising it by $0.76. This adjustment reflects stronger revenue growth forecasts and improved performance in the Base Metals segment.
分析記事 • Nov 08

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 29

Higher Precious Metal Prices Will Drive Earnings Thanks To Copper Supply Disruptions

Vale's analyst price target has been modestly increased, rising from $13.50 to $14. Analysts cite improved profit margins and supportive trends in precious and base metal markets as contributing factors.
分析記事 • Oct 21

Return Trends At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Aren't Appealing

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 14

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale from approximately $67.35 to $70.15. This change reflects tempered optimism due to the company's ongoing cost-cutting, gradual copper expansion, and broadly cautious sentiment on iron ore market fundamentals.
分析記事 • Oct 02

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) P/E

It's not a stretch to say that Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.6x right now seems...
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 27

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s consensus price target was modestly raised to R$67.35 as bullish analysts cite resilient iron ore prices and cost reductions, though sentiment is tempered by concerns over China demand, macro headwinds, and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improved conviction in iron ore price resilience and potential for recovery in global steel demand.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 05

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s fair value estimate saw a negligible reduction, as consensus revenue growth and discount rate projections remained largely unchanged, resulting in only a minor decrease in the analyst price target from R$67.03 to R$66.11. What's in the News Vale and BHP offered $1.4B to settle a UK class action lawsuit related to the Mariana dam disaster, but claimants’ lawyers are demanding about $3B (Financial Times).
分析記事 • Aug 07

Some May Be Optimistic About Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Earnings

BOVESPA:VALE3 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Vale's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
分析記事 • Aug 01

Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Vale S.A. (BVMF:VALE3) Revenue Forecasts

Vale S.A. ( BVMF:VALE3 ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades...
分析記事 • Jul 26

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
分析記事 • Jun 20

There Is A Reason Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) Price Is Undemanding

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x Vale S.A. ( BVMF:VALE3 ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
分析記事 • Jun 02

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...
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新しいナラティブ • Nov 07

Iron Ore Strategy And Cost Efficiency To Drive Growth Amidst Legal And Market Challenges

Strategic focus on cost efficiency and premium iron ore could enhance margins and market competitiveness.

業績と収益の成長予測

BOVESPA:VALE3 - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )BRL Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/2028207,30841,44532,88256,45619
12/31/2027201,07940,26927,54948,88822
12/31/2026200,96341,90924,14844,86122
3/31/2026214,86415,60316,54248,816N/A
12/31/2025213,59513,81415,37548,765N/A
9/30/2025213,32030,18516,08151,126N/A
6/30/2025209,59728,95411,23446,544N/A
3/31/2025211,52531,4656,55142,103N/A
12/31/2024206,00531,59215,10150,199N/A
9/30/2024211,10948,25124,98156,702N/A
6/30/2024210,09348,72930,18061,642N/A
3/31/2024206,11638,71034,27364,753N/A
12/31/2023208,06639,94036,45965,905N/A
9/30/2023206,29647,51723,55452,283N/A
6/30/2023206,41456,93927,33255,025N/A
3/31/2023213,63072,58735,30863,400N/A
12/31/2022226,50886,10630,01758,201N/A
9/30/2022237,09596,96033,23158,698N/A
6/30/2022249,433101,48960,75489,169N/A
3/31/2022281,451124,56984,349112,232N/A
12/31/2021293,524133,712109,465136,766N/A
9/30/2021296,709116,999133,655161,108N/A
6/30/2021290,197104,799116,684139,427N/A
3/31/2021243,63966,78783,680105,783N/A
12/31/2020206,09835,58853,48875,208N/A
9/30/2020170,61015,48030,62651,578N/A
6/30/2020153,3686,40722,41842,221N/A
3/31/2020148,93973429,28746,755N/A
12/31/2019144,6353,959N/A47,282N/A
9/30/2019145,07614,222N/A48,403N/A
6/30/2019142,27413,433N/A47,588N/A
3/31/2019137,50314,162N/A49,090N/A
12/31/2018134,48325,967N/A47,799N/A
9/30/2018126,85515,618N/A47,442N/A
6/30/2018117,59317,354N/A39,562N/A
3/31/2018109,72217,467N/A37,582N/A
12/31/2017108,53220,235N/A39,154N/A
9/30/2017109,35721,669N/A36,743N/A
6/30/2017102,58816,136N/A36,988N/A
3/31/2017100,80119,335N/A33,297N/A
12/31/201694,63317,470N/A21,635N/A
9/30/201679,220-20,596N/A18,235N/A
6/30/201680,739-29,215N/A16,376N/A
3/31/201680,604-27,729N/A11,999N/A
12/31/201578,057-43,553N/A15,719N/A
9/30/201585,970-15,819N/A13,380N/A
6/30/201583,250-12,537N/A14,090N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: VALE3の予測収益成長率 (年間17.2% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 12.4% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: VALE3の収益 ( 17.2% ) はBR市場 ( 12.5% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: VALE3の収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: VALE3の収益 ( 0.2% ) BR市場 ( 6.3% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高い収益成長: VALE3の収益 ( 0.2% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: VALE3の 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 18.2 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/15 10:38
終値2026/05/14 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Vale S.A. 22 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。41

アナリスト機関
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Mary Cleia da SilvaBB Banco de Investimento S.A.