Notizie in diretta • May 16
Ubiquiti Misses Q3 Forecasts but Delivers Higher Margins Clears Debt and Raises Dividend Ubiquiti reported fiscal Q3 2026 GAAP earnings per share of $3.86 and net income of $233.9 million on revenue of $788.2 million, below analyst forecasts on both earnings and sales.
Revenue was 18.7% higher year over year, supported by Enterprise Technology, while GAAP gross margin reached 47.0% compared with 44.5% a year earlier and GAAP net income was about 30% higher.
The company fully repaid its outstanding debt by March 2026, declared a $0.80 per share cash dividend payable in May 2026, and saw mixed insider and hedge fund trading activity, while analysts raised their price target by 9.6% to $826.
The picture that emerges is a company trading off a short-term earnings miss against cleaner finances, higher margins and ongoing capital returns.
Investors still need to weigh the questions around free cash flow quality and earnings momentum against the benefits of a debt-free balance sheet and a continuing dividend. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 15
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 29% After last week's 29% share price decline to US$660, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 37x. Average forward P/E is 29x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 292% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • May 11
Third quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Third quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$3.87 (up from US$2.98 in 3Q 2025). Revenue: US$788.2m (up 19% from 3Q 2025). Net income: US$233.9m (up 30% from 3Q 2025). Profit margin: 30% (up from 27% in 3Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 2.1%. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 14% growth forecast for the Communications industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 36% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 68% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Annuncio • May 11
Ubiquiti Inc. announces Quarterly dividend, payable on May 26, 2026 Ubiquiti Inc. announced Quarterly dividend of USD 0.8000 per share payable on May 26, 2026, ex-date on May 18, 2026 and record date on May 18, 2026. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 14
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18% After last week's 18% share price gain to US$992, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 57x. Average forward P/E is 30x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 304% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 13
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23% After last week's 23% share price gain to US$706, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 43x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 158% over the past three years. Declared Dividend • Feb 09
Second quarter dividend of US$0.80 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.80. Ex-date: 17th February 2026 Payment date: 23rd February 2026 Dividend yield will be 0.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 20%. Cash payout ratio: 28%. Reported Earnings • Feb 07
Second quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$3.86 (up from US$2.26 in 2Q 2025). Revenue: US$814.9m (up 36% from 2Q 2025). Net income: US$233.6m (up 71% from 2Q 2025). Profit margin: 29% (up from 23% in 2Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 12%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 15%. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Communications industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 31% per year and the company’s share price has also increased by 31% per year. Annuncio • Feb 06
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Cash Dividend , Payable on February 23, 2026 Ubiquiti Inc. declared a $0.80 per share cash dividend payable on February 23, 2026 to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 17, 2026. Annuncio • Dec 06
Ubiquiti Inc. Announces Demise of Ronald A. Sege, Member of the Board of Directors, Member of the Board’s Audit and Compensation Committees and as Chair of the Board’s Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee on November 30, 2025 Ubiquiti Inc. announced that Ronald A. Sege, a member of the Company’s Board of Directors (Board), passed away on November 30, 2025. Mr. Sege joined the Board in 2012 and served as a member of the Board’s audit and compensation committees and as chair of the Board’s nominating and corporate governance committee (Committees) at the time of his passing. Following Mr. Sege’s death, the Class II director seat will remain vacant until a replacement director is appointed by the Board. The Committees have been reduced to two members, both of whom are independent directors. As a result, the Company is no longer compliant with Section 303A.07(a) of the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) Listed Company Manual (the “Listed Company Manual”), which requires that the audit committee of an NYSE-listed company consist of at least three members, each of whom is an independent director. Declared Dividend • Nov 10
First quarter dividend of US$0.80 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of US$0.80. Ex-date: 17th November 2025 Payment date: 24th November 2025 Dividend yield will be 0.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 21%. Cash payout ratio: 33%. Reported Earnings • Nov 09
First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$3.44 (up from US$2.12 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$733.8m (up 33% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$207.9m (up 62% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 28% (up from 23% in 1Q 2025). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.5%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 9.8% growth forecast for the Communications industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 26% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 28% per year. New Risk • Nov 08
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 1.0% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 1.0% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (11% average weekly change). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 07
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22% After last week's 22% share price decline to US$612, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 47x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 119% over the past three years. Annuncio • Nov 07
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on November 24, 2025 Ubiquiti Inc. Board of Directors declared a $0.80 per share cash dividend payable on November 24, 2025 to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 17, 2025. Annuncio • Oct 27
Ubiquiti Inc., Annual General Meeting, Dec 04, 2025 Ubiquiti Inc., Annual General Meeting, Dec 04, 2025. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 29
Consensus revenue estimates increase by 13% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from US$2.53b to US$2.87b. EPS estimate increased from US$10.29 to US$12.80 per share. Net income forecast to grow 8.7% next year vs 13% growth forecast for Communications industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$344 to US$450. Share price rose 3.5% to US$528 over the past week. Declared Dividend • Aug 25
Fourth quarter dividend increased to US$0.80 Dividend of US$0.80 is 33% higher than last year. Ex-date: 2nd September 2025 Payment date: 8th September 2025 Dividend yield will be 0.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 22%. Cash payout ratio: 31%. Reported Earnings • Aug 24
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$11.77 (up from US$5.79 in FY 2024). Revenue: US$2.57b (up 33% from FY 2024). Net income: US$711.9m (up 103% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 28% (up from 18% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 18%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 17% per year and the company’s share price has also increased by 17% per year. New Risk • Aug 23
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of American stocks, typically moving 6.4% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks High level of debt (43% net debt to equity). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.4% average weekly change). Price Target Changed • Aug 22
Price target increased by 12% to US$370 Up from US$331, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 28% below last closing price of US$510. Stock is up 163% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$9.96 for next year compared to US$5.79 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 19
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to US$389, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38x. Average forward P/E is 25x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 27% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 16
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19% After last week's 19% share price gain to US$421, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 42x. Average forward P/E is 20x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 80% over the past three years. Declared Dividend • May 12
Third quarter dividend of US$0.60 announced Dividend of US$0.60 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 19th May 2025 Payment date: 27th May 2025 Dividend yield will be 0.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 26%. Cash payout ratio: 20%. Reported Earnings • May 09
Third quarter 2025 earnings released Third quarter 2025 results: Net income: (down US$76.3m from profit in 3Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 20% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. New Risk • May 09
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 5.5% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 5.5% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk High level of debt (94% net debt to equity). Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 09
Now 25% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.0% to US$414. The fair value is estimated to be US$331, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 7.0% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Annuncio • May 09
Ubiquiti Inc Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on May 27, 2025 Ubiquiti Inc.'s Board of Directors declared a $0.60 per share cash dividend payable on May 27, 2025 to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 19, 2025. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 14
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20% After last week's 20% share price decline to US$343, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33x. Average trailing P/E is 26x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 45% over the past three years. Declared Dividend • Feb 10
Second quarter dividend of US$0.60 announced Dividend of US$0.60 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 18th February 2025 Payment date: 24th February 2025 Dividend yield will be 0.6%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Payout Ratios Payout ratio: 33%. Cash payout ratio: 19%. Reported Earnings • Feb 07
Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$2.26 (up from US$1.36 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$599.9m (up 29% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$136.8m (up 67% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 23% (up from 18% in 2Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 16%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 13%. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 8.7% growth forecast for the Communications industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 18% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Annuncio • Feb 07
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Cash Dividend , Payable on February 24, 2025 Ubiquiti Inc. declared a $0.60 per share cash dividend payable on February 24, 2025 to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 18, 2025. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 15
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to US$411, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 43x. Average trailing P/E is 25x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Declared Dividend • Nov 11
First quarter dividend of US$0.60 announced Dividend of US$0.60 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 18th November 2024 Payment date: 25th November 2024 Dividend yield will be 0.8%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (37% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (21% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 30% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. Earnings per share has grown by 6.2% over the last 5 years. Unless this trend reverses, it should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Nov 10
First quarter 2025 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations First quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$2.12 (up from US$1.45 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: US$550.3m (up 19% from 1Q 2024). Net income: US$128.0m (up 46% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 23% (up from 19% in 1Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) were also in line with analyst expectations. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 08
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to US$313, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36x. Average trailing P/E is 25x in the Communications industry in the US. Total returns to shareholders of 6.1% over the past three years. Annuncio • Nov 08
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on November 25, 2024 Ubiquiti Inc.'s Board of Directors declared a $0.60 per share cash dividend payable on November 25, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 18, 2024. Annuncio • Oct 29
Ubiquiti Inc., Annual General Meeting, Dec 05, 2024 Ubiquiti Inc., Annual General Meeting, Dec 05, 2024. Annuncio • Sep 23
Ubiquiti Inc.(NYSE:UI) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD) Ubiquiti Inc.(NYSE:UI) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD) Board Change • Sep 01
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 1 experienced director. 3 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Brandon Arrindell was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 30
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from US$2.32b to US$2.20b. EPS estimate also fell from US$9.70 per share to US$8.64 per share. Net income forecast to grow 49% next year vs 49% growth forecast for Communications industry in the US. Consensus price target up from US$134 to US$172. Share price was steady at US$194 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Aug 27
Price target increased by 28% to US$172 Up from US$134, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 6.9% below last closing price of US$185. Stock is up 7.9% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$8.64 for next year compared to US$5.79 last year. Declared Dividend • Aug 26
Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.60 announced Dividend of US$0.60 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 3rd September 2024 Payment date: 9th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.2%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (41% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (27% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 30% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to remain steady over the next year, which should provide adequate earnings cover for the dividend. Reported Earnings • Aug 25
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: EPS: US$5.79 (down from US$6.75 in FY 2023). Revenue: US$1.93b (flat on FY 2023). Net income: US$350.0m (down 14% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 18% (down from 21% in FY 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 6.1%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 16% per year and the company’s share price has also fallen by 16% per year. Annuncio • Aug 23
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Payable on September 9, 2024 and Provides Quarterly Cash Dividend Guidance During Each Quarter of Fiscal Year 2024 Ubiquiti Inc. declared a $0.60 per share quarterly cash dividend payable on September 9, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 3, 2024.
The Company intends to pay regular quarterly cash dividends of at least $0.60 per share during each quarter of fiscal year 2024, although all subsequent dividends, and the establishment of record and payment dates, are subject to final determination by the Board each quarter after its review of the Company’s financial performance and results of operations, available cash and cash flow, capital requirements, applicable corporate legal requirements, and other factors. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 17
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to US$146, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average trailing P/E is 27x in the Communications industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 47% over the past three years. Declared Dividend • May 13
Third quarter dividend of US$0.60 announced Dividend of US$0.60 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 17th May 2024 Payment date: 28th May 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is well covered by both earnings (41% earnings payout ratio) and cash flows (47% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 30% per year over the past 10 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. EPS is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, which should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Annuncio • May 11
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on May 28, 2024 Ubiquiti Inc.'s Board of Directors declared a $0.60 per share cash dividend payable on May 28, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 20, 2024. Reported Earnings • May 11
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$1.26 (vs US$1.63 in 3Q 2023) Third quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$1.26 (down from US$1.63 in 3Q 2023). Revenue: US$493.0m (up 7.7% from 3Q 2023). Net income: US$76.3m (down 23% from 3Q 2023). Profit margin: 16% (down from 22% in 3Q 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 16% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 5.0% growth forecast for the Communications industry in the US. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 17% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 23% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Declared Dividend • Feb 12
Second quarter dividend of US$0.60 announced Dividend of US$0.60 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 16th February 2024 Payment date: 26th February 2024 Dividend yield will be 2.0%, which is lower than the industry average of 3.1%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is covered by earnings (39% earnings payout ratio) but the company has no free cash flows available, indicating it may be using cash reserves or debt to pay the dividend. The dividend has increased by an average of 34% per year over the past 9 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. Earnings per share has grown by 6.2% over the last 5 years. Unless this trend reverses, it should provide support to the dividend and adequate earnings cover. Reported Earnings • Feb 11
Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Second quarter 2024 results: EPS: US$1.36 (down from US$1.86 in 2Q 2023). Revenue: US$465.0m (down 5.8% from 2Q 2023). Net income: US$82.1m (down 27% from 2Q 2023). Profit margin: 18% (down from 23% in 2Q 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 4.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 27%. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 31% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Annuncio • Feb 09
Ubiquiti Inc. Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on February 26, 2024 Ubiquiti Inc. announced that Board of Directors declared a $0.60 per share cash dividend payable on February 26, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 20, 2024. Annuncio • Jan 08
Ubiquiti Inc. Introduces UniFi 7, A Massively Scalable Wi-Fi 7 Solution That Revolutionizes Wireless Connectivity Ubiquiti Inc. announced UniFi 7 a massively scalable Wi-Fi 7 solution capable of delivering wired-like user experiences. The U7 Professional PoE Access Point (U7 Pro) brings breakthrough Wi-Fi technology into the powerful and license-free UniFi full-stack IT software platform. Designed specifically for professional and enterprise deployments, the U7 Pro is ideal for applications requiring flawless Wi-Fi service within demanding large-scale environments. For the first time in history, exceptional Wi-Fi speeds and predictability can be achieved simultaneously UniFi 7’s interference-resilient radio technologies combined with an ocean of newly supported 6 GHz spectrum. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 10
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to US$106, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 15.9x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Communications industry in the US. Total loss to shareholders of 56% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Nov 07
Price target decreased by 49% to US$133 Down from US$258, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 21% above last closing price of US$110. Stock is down 62% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$9.55 for next year compared to US$6.75 last year. 
