AvalonBay Communities Performance degli utili passati
Criteri Il passato verificati 1/6
AvalonBay Communities ha registrato una crescita degli utili a un tasso medio annuo di 2.4%, mentre il settore Residential REITs ha registrato utili in crescita a un tasso medio annuo di 2.3%. I ricavi sono stati in crescita a un tasso medio annuo di 6.5%. Il ritorno sul capitale proprio di AvalonBay Communities è 9.8% e ha margini netti di 37.2%.
Informazioni chiave
2.42%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
1.96%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Residential REITs Crescita del settore | 11.06% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 6.51% |
| Rendimento del capitale proprio | 9.80% |
| Margine netto | 37.20% |
| Ultimo aggiornamento sugli utili | 31 Mar 2026 |
Aggiornamenti sulle prestazioni recenti
Recent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jun 04
AVB: Merger Synergies And Fair Yield Outlook Will Support Leasing Recovery
AvalonBay Communities' fair value estimate is modestly higher at about $194.83 from $193.55, reflecting analysts' updated price targets around the pending Equity Residential merger. Expected cost synergies, a discounted valuation and an improved profit margin profile are seen as partly offsetting only "just okay" macro conditions and a lower future P/E assumption.Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
AvalonBay Communities Is Capitalizing On Valuation Gaps
Summary AvalonBay earns a Buy rating, capitalizing on persistent public-private valuation gaps in multifamily real estate. AVB’s aggressive share repurchases, funded by selling older assets, enhance earnings and streamline the portfolio for future growth. Development focus remains on high-quality, supply-constrained coastal markets, with new projects targeting stabilized yields of 6.5%-7%. Recent Q1 results outperformed expectations, with Core FFO of $2.83 and improving fundamentals as supply pressures begin to ease. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 26
AVB: 2026 Buybacks And Dividend Increases Will Support Leasing Recovery Potential
Narrative Update on AvalonBay Communities The analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities has shifted modestly lower, with the updated fair value moving from about $194.35 to $193.55 as analysts adjust models for near term earnings, sector wide residential REIT estimate changes, and softer occupancy commentary across U.S. multifamily markets. Analyst Commentary Recent research around AvalonBay Communities highlights a mix of caution on near term fundamentals and continued support for the longer term apartment REIT thesis.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 11
AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks Will Support Q4 Leasing Recovery Potential
The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities edges slightly lower to $194.35 from $195.05, as analysts factor in revised Q4 earnings and 2026 guidance assumptions, modestly higher discount rates, and sector wide adjustments to multifamily REIT estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AvalonBay Communities clusters around updated models for Q4 results and 2026 guidance, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refresh sector views on multifamily REITs. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts maintaining Overweight views see room for value in apartments relative to other REIT categories, citing apartments, storage, and single family rentals as areas with stronger perceived upside into 2026 compared with segments such as cold storage and retail.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 28
AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks Will Support Renewed Sector Upside
AvalonBay Communities' analyst fair value estimate has been nudged lower by about $1 to $195, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth, slightly higher discount rates, and broadly reduced sector price targets despite some upward revisions from a few firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AvalonBay Communities shows a split picture.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 13
AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks May Support Renewed Sector Upside
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price targets have edged slightly lower, with our fair value estimate easing by about $2 to $196, as analysts trim growth and margin expectations and reset sector assumptions for U.S. multifamily REITs. Analyst Commentary Street research on AvalonBay Communities has recently centered on recalibrating price targets and expectations for the wider U.S. multifamily REIT sector, rather than on company specific surprises. Targets have generally shifted within a relatively tight band around the high US$190s, reflecting a mix of cautious and constructive views on valuation, execution, and sector level growth drivers.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 26
AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks May Support Measured Upside
The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities has shifted modestly as mixed recent revisions, including several cuts of $2 to $7 alongside a smaller $1 increase, reflect analysts balancing slightly adjusted growth and margin assumptions with sector-wide views on apartments and broader REITs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AvalonBay Communities points to a split view, with some analysts nudging targets higher and others trimming them. They are reassessing apartment REIT valuations, the 2026 outlook, and relative positioning versus other property types.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 12
AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Capital Returns May Support Measured Upside
The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities reflects a modest adjustment of about $1, as analysts balance mixed target moves across firms along with revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on AvalonBay Communities, with some firms nudging price targets higher and others trimming them.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 27
AVB: Share Repurchases Will Support 2026 Coastal Apartment Turnaround Potential
Analysts have edged their blended price target for AvalonBay Communities slightly lower to about US$200 from roughly US$203, citing more cautious assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of modest target trims across recent REIT sector reviews. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of bullish and bearish views on AvalonBay Communities, with adjustments to price targets reflecting shifting expectations around fundamentals into 2026.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 11
AVB: Share Repurchases And 2026 REIT Turnaround Expectations Will Support Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on AvalonBay Communities by a few dollars, with recent cuts to about $190 to $197 reflecting softer leasing trends and higher operating expenses, even as they continue to highlight the potential for REITs to benefit from improving macro conditions into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AvalonBay Communities point to a mixed setup, with modestly lower price targets clustered around the low to high $190s and a consistent message of Neutral or similar ratings.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 24
AVB: Share Repurchases Will Support Returns As Leasing Headwinds Eventually Ease
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has inched lower by approximately $0.40 to about $203.40, as analysts weigh faster than expected leasing spread deterioration, softer apartment fundamentals into 2026, and mixed operating expense performance against still constructive long term residential REIT trends. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on AvalonBay Communities, balancing near term operational softness against a still constructive longer term outlook for residential REITs. Recent price target changes reflect this push and pull between execution risk and valuation support.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 10
AVB: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Returns Despite Softer Leasing Spreads
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been nudged lower to about $204 from roughly $206, as analysts factor in faster than expected leasing spread deterioration, softer apartment fundamentals into 2026, modestly weaker margin and growth assumptions, and a slightly higher future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but slightly more cautious stance on AvalonBay Communities, with pricing targets shifting both higher and lower as analysts recalibrate expectations for earnings growth and operating performance into 2026.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 26
AVB: Share Repurchase Program Will Drive Returns Amid Sector Headwinds
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has decreased by approximately $3.31 to $205.88, as analysts cite weaker-than-anticipated leasing spreads, rising operating expenses, and ongoing headwinds for the multifamily REIT sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of cautious and optimistic sentiment surrounding AvalonBay Communities, with price targets both reduced and slightly raised in light of earnings performance and projected sector dynamics.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 11
AVB: Upcoming $2.9 Billion Development Pipeline Will Drive Future Upside
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been revised downward from $216.48 to $209.19. Analysts point to weakening leasing spreads, higher operating expenses, and tempered earnings outlooks amid challenging sector fundamentals.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 28
Upper-Tier Apartment Developments Will Shape Returns Amid Sector Rotation Risks
AvalonBay Communities’ analyst price target saw a slight decrease of $0.95 to $216.48 as analysts weighed recent upgrades and downgrades, along with updated earnings growth expectations and ongoing development activity. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity for AvalonBay Communities has shown a range of perspectives, reflecting both optimism and caution regarding the company's outlook and market performance.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 13
Undersupplied US Apartments Will Prosper Despite Regulatory And Market Risks
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $219.65 to $217.43 per share. This change reflects analysts' tempered expectations for profit margins and revenue growth following recent sector reviews.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 05
Undersupplied US Apartments Will Prosper Despite Regulatory And Market Risks
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on AvalonBay’s robust growth pipeline, favorable market positioning, and prospective sector rotation benefits, but given valuation now aligns with peers after recent underperformance, the consensus price target remains unchanged at $219.65. Analyst Commentary Increased confidence in AvalonBay’s “best in class” earnings growth, supported by a significant $2.9B development pipeline expected to contribute meaningfully to future results.Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
AvalonBay Communities: A Good Portfolio Anchor For A Turbulent Market
Summary AvalonBay is well-positioned to weather economic uncertainty, with a strong balance sheet, broad diversification, and operating in a resilient industry. The company benefits from competitive advantages like scale and standardized processes, leading to higher yields and significant development experience. AvalonBay's financials are robust, with strong credit ratings, and a solid dividend yield, supported by strategic portfolio optimization. While tariffs and higher unemployment pose risks, AvalonBay's strong balance sheet and expertise enable it to capitalize on market opportunities during downturns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 09
AvalonBay Communities: Buy And Sleep Tight
Summary AvalonBay Communities offers "sleep well at night" qualities through a strong balance sheet and strategic focus on suburban markets with limited new supply. AVB's operational efficiencies and robust development pipeline, supported by pre-funded equity, position it for sustained growth and attractive deal terms. The stock's forward P/FFO of 19.3 is below its historical average, making it reasonably attractive despite not being a deep bargain. With a 3.1% dividend yield, strong credit ratings, and very safe leverage, AVB is ideal for conservative income investors seeking potential for steady total returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 22
AvalonBay Stock: 6 Reasons Why I'm Skeptical Of The Price
Summary We are currently maintaining our hold recommendation for AvalonBay. Our fair value estimate for the stock ranges from $210.36 to $219.73. AVB offers a potential total return of 5.26% as compared to 5.17% for their fixed-income instrument. The 9 bps premium for the equity is insufficient compensation in our view. In evaluating the apartment REIT sector dividend yield as compared to single-A corporate bond effective yield, we also see signs that the sector may be overvalued. The spread between the apartment sector cap rates and the US 10-year Treasury paints a similar picture that the stock does not offer a margin of safety. Finally, our view is also corroborated by their forward equity issuance activity and closed transactions in Q3. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 24
AvalonBay: Balanced Hold Despite Potential Cap Rate Reductions
Summary AvalonBay's stock dropped significantly during the rate hike cycle but soared when rate cut expectations began in November. Strong occupancy rates and rising net operating income highlight AvalonBay's robust performance, supported by macro trends like delayed family formation and cheaper rent versus mortgage payments. With the stock price being just 11% away from all-time highs, the dividend yield is considerably lower than its history, making the stock a hold. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 04
AvalonBay: Limited Upside And Overvalued
Summary AvalonBay owns and manages residential properties, with a focus on the West and East Coast markets. It has low leverage, strong liquidity, and a track record of good past performance. However, the current valuation and the decelerating rental rate growth create an opportunity risk for investors. With a relatively low dividend yield, income investors should also look elsewhere for dividend stock opportunities. That being said, if the price level decreases, this may become a good REIT to hold, so adding AVB to watchlist is a good idea. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 28
AvalonBay: No Margin Of Safety At The Current Price
Summary AvalonBay's NOI growth has been decelerating. They are increasing their exposure to the Sunbelt region to position their portfolio for continued growth. For the business, AvalonBay has the scale, expertise and access to lower cost of debt which should continue to buoy their business in both current and expansion markets. As an investment, AvalonBay's net asset value per share estimate is $178.29, indicating shares are overvalued. There are well reasoned studies that suggest buying REITs at a premium to NAVPS can lead to underperformance. For investors looking for a margin of safety, it may be worthwhile to wait for a better entry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 02
AvalonBay: Encouraging Rent Trends Make Shares Attractive
Summary AvalonBay Communities' shares have underperformed due to higher rates and a slowdown in the rental market. The company's Q1 results exceeded expectations, as rental trends improved in the Northeast and Seattle, with even the Bay Area stabilizing. AVB is well-positioned for mid-single digit growth this year, with momentum in key markets and a strong pipeline of new projects that are renting at higher rates. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRipartizione dei ricavi e delle spese
Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese
Come AvalonBay Communities guadagna e spende denaro. In base agli ultimi utili dichiarati, su base LTM.
Storico di utili e ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Spese G+A | Spese di R&S |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 3,060 | 1,138 | 73 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 3,041 | 1,049 | 73 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 3,014 | 1,166 | 73 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,981 | 1,158 | 73 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,937 | 1,143 | 73 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,913 | 1,080 | 75 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,879 | 1,040 | 76 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,844 | 840 | 77 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 2,822 | 954 | 76 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 2,776 | 927 | 77 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,713 | 926 | 82 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,723 | 1,249 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 2,674 | 1,020 | 83 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 2,609 | 1,135 | 80 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 2,554 | 1,228 | 73 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 2,432 | 813 | 72 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 2,374 | 1,122 | 69 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 2,333 | 1,002 | 70 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 2,275 | 1,008 | 69 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 2,261 | 1,077 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 2,249 | 800 | 62 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 2,303 | 826 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 2,348 | 653 | 64 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 2,365 | 784 | 63 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 2,366 | 782 | 67 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 2,327 | 784 | 67 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 2,313 | 1,001 | 62 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 2,300 | 914 | 64 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 2,292 | 1,000 | 61 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 2,289 | 972 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 2,266 | 824 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 2,260 | 870 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 2,221 | 780 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 2,189 | 874 | 54 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 2,104 | 879 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 2,048 | 997 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 2,046 | 1,029 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 2,052 | 1,031 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 2,033 | 945 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 2,013 | 795 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 1,964 | 770 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 1,895 | 740 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 1,815 | 727 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 1,880 | 762 | 45 | 0 |
Guadagni di qualità: AVB ha un grande una tantum guadagno di $467.3M che ha avuto un impatto sui suoi ultimi 12 mesi di risultati finanziari pari a 31st March, 2026.
Margine di profitto in crescita: Gli attuali margini di profitto netti di AVB (37.2%) sono inferiori rispetto allo scorso anno (38.9%).
Flusso di cassa libero e analisi degli utili
Analisi della crescita degli utili nel passato
Andamento degli utili: Gli utili di AVB sono cresciuti del 2.4% all'anno negli ultimi 5 anni.
Accelerare la crescita: AVB ha avuto una crescita negativa degli utili nell'ultimo anno, quindi non può essere confrontata con la sua media quinquennale.
Guadagni vs Settore: AVB ha avuto una crescita negativa degli utili ( -0.4% ) nell'ultimo anno, rendendo difficile il confronto con la media del settore Residential REITs ( 5.2% ).
Rendimento del capitale proprio
ROE elevato: Il Return on Equity ( 9.8% ) di AVB è considerato basso.
Rendimento delle attività
Rendimento del capitale investito
Scoprire le aziende con forti performance passate
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/06/11 17:33 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. è coperta da 44 analisti. 12 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Jacob Kilstein | Argus Research Company |
| Andrew Babin | Baird |
| Ross Smotrich | Barclays |