This company has been acquired
Elevate Credit (ELVT) Panoramica del titolo
Elevate Credit, Inc. provides online credit solutions to non-prime consumers in the United States. Maggiori dettagli
| Punteggio fiocco di neve | |
|---|---|
| Valutazione | 4/6 |
| Crescita futura | 0/6 |
| Prestazioni passate | 0/6 |
| Salute finanziaria | 5/6 |
| Dividendi | 0/6 |
ELVT Community Fair Values
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Concorrenti di Elevate Credit, Inc.
Storia dei prezzi e prestazioni
| Prezzi storici delle azioni | |
|---|---|
| Prezzo attuale dell'azione | US$1.87 |
| Massimo di 52 settimane | US$3.39 |
| Minimo di 52 settimane | US$0.67 |
| Beta | 2.07 |
| Variazione di 1 mese | 3.89% |
| Variazione a 3 mesi | 2.75% |
| Variazione di 1 anno | -43.33% |
| Variazione a 3 anni | -42.81% |
| Variazione a 5 anni | -74.70% |
| Variazione dall'IPO | -75.90% |
Notizie e aggiornamenti recenti
Elevate Credit: High-Probability Merger Arb
Summary Definitive merger arb offering 19% annualized returns. Online-based subprime lender Elevate Credit is getting taken private by one of its creditors at $1.87/share. I expect ELVT’s shareholders to approve the merger given consideration’s large premium, fair valuation of the target as well as the company’s worsening operational performance. This is a definitive merger arb with a high probability of successful closing. The spread is quite tight, however, given expected closing within this quarter the IRR might be substantial. Meanwhile, the downside might be protected by previous acquisition interests by other third parties. Online-based subprime lender Elevate Credit (ELVT) is getting acquired by alternative debt-focused asset manager Park Cities Asset Management in a $67m transaction. Transaction consideration is $1.87/share in cash. Merger spread used to stand at minimal levels upon the announcement only to widen to around 6% since mid-December despite no transaction-related news. The spread has slightly contracted and now stands at 4%. Having said that, this spread translates to 19% annualized returns assuming merger closing in Q1'23 which is in line with the company's estimates. Author's Calculations The merger will require regulatory approvals and a nod from ELVT's shareholders. While approval from regulators is likely a formality given tiny transaction size, shareholder approval is also unlikely to be an issue. ELVT's management owns 10% of the company, 7% of which is expected to be rolled over into the acquiring entity. I expect the remaining shareholders to likewise support the transaction: Given macroeconomic headwinds and potential upcoming refinancing at much higher rates, the merger seems to make sense for the target company. The acquisition offer comes in light of ELVT's deteriorating operational performance in recent years amid a series of broader macroeconomic headwinds. Firstly, the COVID-induced stimulus payments in 2020 and 2021 as well as eased monetary policy have significantly reduced credit demand from credit-constrained customers. Not surprisingly, ELVT's combined loans receivables, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA all declined substantially in 2020-2021 compared to 2017-2019 levels. Secondly, the business has been impacted by significant macroeconomic headwinds since last year, including severe inflation. This has forced the company to tighten new loan underwritings as well as led to increasing charge-offs on previously issued loans. For reference, new customer growth rate was lower by 60% YoY as of Q3'22, meanwhile, TTM revenues and EBITDA have both stood materially below historical levels at $497m and $23m respectively. Lower loan volumes are complemented by borrowing/liquidity issues the company might be likely to face. While the majority of ELVT's debt has a fixed interest rate, the company's management has highlighted that most of the debt matures in Jan'24 ($519m out of $562m in total debt). Elevate Credit Q4'21 Investor Presentation. The merger seems to value the target quite fairly. At the offer price, ELVT fetches 0.35x P/B (5% EBITDA margins) - in line with where a similar-size ($184m market cap) and -margin peer Oportun Financial (NASDAQ:OPRT) is currently trading. Larger online-based subprime lenders trade at much higher multiples, including Curo Group (NYSE:CURO) and Enova International (NYSE:ENVA) - both trade at 1.1x-1.2x. However, these competitors have maintained much stronger post-COVID operational performance while boasting higher TTM EBITDA margins (14% for CURO and 26% for ENVA). Another data point is Enova's acquisition of On Deck Capital in Jul'20 in a transaction that valued the target at 0.4x P/B. Park Cities' offer comes at a 69% premium to unaffected share price levels. While ELVT is still valued significantly below share price levels seen prior to mid-2022, shareholders might not oppose an acquisition proposal at such a sizable premium. The risk of the buyer walking seems quite low here. Despite recent slowdown, it seems that ELVT's performance going forward might materially improve given significant growth runway. ELVT is an online-based loan provider in an industry which has seen decreasing yet still sizable market share of legacy physical-based competitors, such as Check Into Cash and Advance America (also referred to as payday loan providers). For reference, ELVT's larger competitor ENVA currently has only 1-2% market shares in the US subprime ($30bn TAM) and near-prime ($28bn) consumer loan markets. Another important aspect is that ELVT's management expects a recessionary environment to eventually increase demand for the company's products given tightening of credit supply from prime lenders. From ELVT's CEO during Q2'22 earnings call: What we saw historically in recessionary-like times is prime lenders are seeing to tighten up fast and loosen up slow. And so that makes higher credit quality consumers down into the space where we operate and the banks we work with operate. So it creates a unique opportunity. We see a little bit higher credit quality consumers come in the space that we can work with and lend to. And just recently, if we look at our FICO score distributions of applicants coming to the door, we are starting to see that already. So I think it gives us the opportunity to take a very broad market already and see that somewhat expand as more prime consumers are squeezed out of the prime market into our market. Park Cities Asset Management (PCAM) is an alternative credit manager focusing on private lending across specialty finance and fintech sectors. PCAM has provided two debt financing facilities for ELVT - for corporate purposes and for one of the company's credit products - since Oct'21. Notably, Park Cities was interested in acquiring the company during 2019-2020, albeit PCAM did not make any proposal back then. Nevertheless, it appears that PCAM is familiar with the Elevate business' dynamics and is now able to acquire it at an opportunistic time. Interestingly, prior to agreeing to a buyout by Park Cities, ELVT attracted buyout interest from numerous other potential acquirers. Merger proxy mentions contact with 15 third parties by Sep'22, with five of them entering into confidentiality agreements. Most notably, just a couple of weeks before the current definitive merger agreement in Nov'22, an undisclosed strategic player ("Party B") submitted a proposal valuing the target at $1.81/share (70% in cash/30% in stock). This suggests that in the unlikely case of the current deal breaking, there would be a non-zero probability of this party as well as other potential acquirers stepping in.Elevate Credit stock soars after hours after agreeing to be taken private in $67M deal
Elevate Credit (NYSE:ELVT) on Wednesday said it had agreed to be taken private by an affiliate of Park Cities Asset Management LLC in an all-cash deal at an implied value of $67M. Park Cities is an alternative asset manager that focuses on companies in the specialty finance and fintech sectors. Park Cities will acquire ELVT for $1.87 per share, which represents a 76.4% premium to ELVT's last closing price of $1.06. Shares of Elevate Credit (ELVT) advanced ~66% to $1.76 after hours. Fort Worth, Texas-based ELVT provides non-prime credit. According to the company, it has originated $10B in non-prime credit to more than 2.7M non-prime consumers. The deal, which was approved by ELVT's board, is expected to close in Q1 2023.Recent updates
Rendimenti per gli azionisti
| ELVT | US Consumer Finance | US Mercato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.2% | -0.3% | 1.1% |
| 1Y | -43.3% | 7.8% | 28.7% |
Ritorno vs Industria: ELVT ha avuto una performance inferiore rispetto al US Consumer Finance che ha registrato un rendimento 7.8 % nell'ultimo anno.
Rendimento vs Mercato: ELVT ha avuto una performance inferiore al mercato US che ha registrato un rendimento 28.7 % nell'ultimo anno.
Volatilità dei prezzi
| ELVT volatility | |
|---|---|
| ELVT Average Weekly Movement | 4.1% |
| Consumer Finance Industry Average Movement | 6.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Prezzo delle azioni stabile: ELVT non ha avuto una volatilità dei prezzi significativa negli ultimi 3 mesi rispetto al mercato US.
Volatilità nel tempo: La volatilità settimanale di ELVT è diminuita da 12% a 4% nell'ultimo anno.
Informazioni sull'azienda
| Fondato | I dipendenti | AMMINISTRATORE DELEGATO | Sito web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 436 | Jason Harvison | www.elevate.com |
Elevate Credit, Inc. Riepilogo dei fondamenti
| ELVT statistiche fondamentali | |
|---|---|
| Capitalizzazione di mercato | US$58.83m |
| Utili (TTM) | -US$67.77m |
| Ricavi(TTM) | US$497.00m |
ELVT è sopravvalutato?
Vedi Fair Value e analisi di valutazioneUtili e ricavi
| ELVT Conto economico (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Ricavi | US$497.00m |
| Costo del fatturato | US$345.63m |
| Profitto lordo | US$151.37m |
| Altre spese | US$219.13m |
| Utili | -US$67.77m |
Ultimi utili riportati
Sep 30, 2022
Prossima data di guadagno
n/a
| Utile per azione (EPS) | -2.15 |
| Margine lordo | 30.46% |
| Margine di profitto netto | -13.64% |
| Rapporto debito/patrimonio netto | 332.0% |
Come si è comportato ELVT nel lungo periodo?
Vedi performance storica e confrontoAnalisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2023/03/01 13:41 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2023/02/27 00:00 |
| Utili | 2022/09/30 |
| Utili annuali | 2021/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
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| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
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| Proprietà | 10 anni |
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| Gestione | 10 anni |
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| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Elevate Credit, Inc. è coperta da 8 analisti. 2 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Giuliano Anderes Bologna | BTIG |
| David Scharf | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |
| John Hecht | Jefferies LLC |