Taylor Morrison Home Corporation

Report azionario NYSE:TMHC

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$5.4b

Taylor Morrison Home Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 0/6

Si prevede che i ricavi e gli utili di Taylor Morrison Home diminuiranno rispettivamente del 3.6% e 7.2% all'anno, mentre si prevede che l'EPS diminuirà del 2.2% all'anno.

Informazioni chiave

-7.2%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

-2.18%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Consumer Durables crescita degli utili8.0%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi-3.6%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprion/a
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento18 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 16

Taylor Morrison Home Remains Deeply Undervalued Even As Havoc Reigns

Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation remains a compelling buy in the homebuilding sector despite near-term headwinds and recent operational softness. TMHC's differentiation through resort lifestyle communities and a high-credit, high-income customer base positions it well for future demand recovery. Financials show revenue and unit declines, but shares remain attractively valued both absolutely and relative to peers, supporting a continued buy rating. Long-term catalysts include a persistent US housing shortage and anticipated interest rate declines, which should drive renewed homebuyer activity and profit growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 13

TMHC: Long Term Closing Run Rate Progress Will Support Future P/E Multiple

Analyst fair value for Taylor Morrison Home has been nudged higher to $70.22 from $70.11, as recent price target revisions, including both increases and cuts across several firms, point to mixed views on growth, profitability and the appropriate P/E multiple for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Taylor Morrison Home highlights a split view on where the stock should trade, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them or lowering ratings.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 25

TMHC: Long Term Closing Run Rate Aims And Buybacks Will Shape Future Multiple

Analysts have trimmed the consolidated price target for Taylor Morrison Home to about $70.11 from roughly $70.67. This reflects slightly lower fair value estimates and modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, even as several recent target increases have occurred alongside a downgrade and target cuts from other firms.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 10

TMHC: Long Term Closing Run Rate Ambitions Will Support Multiple Re Rating

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price expectations for Taylor Morrison Home, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $73.63 to roughly $70.67 as they factor in slightly higher discount rates, modestly softer revenue assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by a small improvement in expected profit margin. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Taylor Morrison Home shows a mix of optimism around the company’s long term plans and caution around nearer term earnings risk and valuation assumptions.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 28

TMHC: Buyer Mix And Margin Resilience Will Support Re Rating Potential

Analysts have raised their average price target on Taylor Morrison Home by $6. They suggest the stock's previous valuation discount may be overly severe, even as they continue to highlight ongoing risks related to earnings and housing affordability.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 14

TMHC: Fair Value View Balances EPS Risk And Peer Discount Potential

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Taylor Morrison Home to about $73.63. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins, and a higher future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights both EPS risk and an unwarranted valuation discount versus peers.
Articolo di analisi • Feb 01

The Return Trends At Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE:TMHC) Look Promising

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Nuova narrazione • Jan 25

Cautious Land Investment And Rental Expansion Will Constrain Margins Yet Keep Outlook Balanced

Catalysts About Taylor Morrison Home Taylor Morrison Home is a U.S. homebuilder focused on entry level, move up and resort lifestyle buyers, along with single family rental communities through its Yardly platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jan 06

TMHC: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Earnings Power And Capital Returns

Analysts kept their price target for Taylor Morrison Home steady at US$73.00, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly higher future P/E multiple to reflect their current view of the stock’s risk and earnings profile. What's in the News From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Taylor Morrison Home repurchased 1,277,533 shares for US$83.03 million, representing 1.29% of its shares.
Articolo di analisi • Jan 02

Are Investors Undervaluing Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) By 22%?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Taylor Morrison Home is US$75.92 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 22

TMHC: Share Repurchases Will Support Earnings Power Amid Modest Margin Pressure

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Taylor Morrison Home by 1.7 percent, from 74.25 dollars to 73.00 dollars, citing slightly higher discount rates, marginally lower profit margin expectations, and a modestly reduced future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Taylor Morrison Home completed a share repurchase tranche between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, buying back 1,277,533 shares, or about 1.29 percent of its outstanding stock, for 83.03 million dollars (Key Developments) Under the buyback program announced on October 23, 2024, the company has now repurchased a total of 6,473,036 shares, representing roughly 6.39 percent of its share base, for an aggregate 399.01 million dollars (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate, reduced slightly from 74.25 dollars to 73.00 dollars, reflecting a modestly lower projected intrinsic value per share.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 08

TMHC: Sector Tailwinds Will Support Earnings Power Despite Limited Fed Cut Impact

Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home to $74.25 from $73.63, citing updated price targets that reflect supportive sector dynamics, despite expectations that the recent Fed rate cut will not materially alter near term housing market trends. Analyst Commentary Analyst commentary on Taylor Morrison Home reflects a broadly constructive stance on the company’s execution and earnings outlook, even as the macro backdrop for housing remains largely unchanged following the recent Fed rate cut.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 24

TMHC: Recent Fed Cut Will Maintain Resilient Sector Performance Through Year End

Narrative Update on Taylor Morrison Home Analysts have raised their price target for Taylor Morrison Home by $3 to $75. They cite updated homebuilder sector valuations and expectations that recent changes in interest rates are unlikely to significantly shift the near-term housing market outlook.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 07

TMHC: Recent Fed Rate Cut Will Support Near-Term Housing Demand

Narrative Update on Taylor Morrison Home Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home from $74.63 to $73.63. This change reflects updated views on market growth and profit expectations following recent industry assessments.
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 23

Analysts Adjust Taylor Morrison Home Outlook Amid Modest Valuation Decline and Buyback Activity

Analysts have modestly lowered their fair value estimate for Taylor Morrison Home to $74.63 from $76. This change is based on updated price targets and expectations that recent interest rate changes will have limited impact on the housing market's trajectory.
Articolo di analisi • Oct 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Taylor Morrison Home fair value estimate is US$119 Current...
Articolo di analisi • Sep 07

The Return Trends At Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE:TMHC) Look Promising

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Aug 27

Order Declines And Discounting Will Erode Future Performance

Despite a significantly lower consensus revenue growth forecast and a notable rise in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Taylor Morrison Home has increased from $72.52 to $76.00. What's in the News Repurchased 1,729,436 shares (1.72%) for $110.07 million from April 1 to June 30, 2025.
Articolo di analisi • Aug 24

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC)?

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation ( NYSE:TMHC ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of...
Articolo di analisi • Jul 20

Insufficient Growth At Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) Hampers Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x Taylor Morrison Home Corporation ( NYSE:TMHC ) may be sending very...
Articolo di analisi • Jun 19

These 4 Measures Indicate That Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE:TMHC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 16

Taylor Morrison Home: Buying This Dip Makes Sense

Summary Recent months have not been kind to Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, even as the company continues to grow and trade on the cheap. The firm has seen strong financial performance with revenue up 16.7%, net income rising from $172.6M to $242.5M, and significant operating cash flow improvements. Concerns include a drop in backlog homes, rising cancellation rates, and potential labor shortages, but net new orders and share buybacks indicate confidence. Shares are attractively priced, making Taylor Morrison Home Corporation a compelling opportunity, despite market uncertainties and potential economic challenges. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 01

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation: Despite Weaknesses, Picture For The Business Is Bullish

Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation has seen significant stock appreciation despite mediocre financial performance, driven by undervaluation and a growing backlog of home orders. Revenue, profits, and cash flows have declined due to high interest rates impacting home prices, but the company remains attractively priced compared to peers. Improved cancellation rates and a potential future cut in interest rates could boost housing demand and home prices, supporting a continued 'buy' rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nuova narrazione • Aug 28

Sustaining Growth In Shifting Housing Markets

Diversified consumer and geographic strategies, and a commitment to affordable financing options, are set to stabilize demand and enhance revenue.
Seeking Alpha • May 26

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation: After Rising Through The Roof, Shares Offer Additional Upside

Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation shares have outperformed the broader market, up 26.3% since August 2023 and 101.6% since January 2022. Despite mixed financial performance, shares of Taylor Morrison still appear attractive on an absolute and relative basis. Positive indicators, such as net new orders and lower cancellation rates, suggest that demand for homes is increasing, benefiting the company and its investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Taylor Morrison Home: Fairly Priced As Momentum Builds For 2025

Summary Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's stock has seen a 54% increase due to a bounce back from a low valuation. The company's guidance for 2024 shows modest growth in home closings and a shift towards more affordable homes. Until evidence supports guidance for strong growth in 2025, TMHC stock looks fairly priced. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:TMHC - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
12/31/20277,1305814874056
12/31/20266,6134947474947
3/31/20267,613668688730N/A
12/31/20258,121783777817N/A
9/30/20258,378851570609N/A
6/30/20258,403901490525N/A
3/31/20258,364907382418N/A
12/31/20248,168883174210N/A
9/30/20247,8328131527N/A
6/30/20247,386733-195-165N/A
3/31/20247,456768299328N/A
12/31/20237,418769773806N/A
9/30/20237,8908721,1431,198N/A
6/30/20238,2491,0111,4811,519N/A
3/31/20238,1841,0671,3591,398N/A
12/31/20228,2251,0531,0771,108N/A
9/30/20228,2381,050912940N/A
6/30/20228,062909656670N/A
3/31/20227,787742560578N/A
12/31/20217,501663355377N/A
9/30/20216,553485194222N/A
6/30/20216,394431661702N/A
3/31/20216,201373867907N/A
12/31/20206,1292431,0861,123N/A
9/30/20206,0382041,0011,038N/A
6/30/20205,444156536571N/A
3/31/20205,183172464494N/A
12/31/20194,762255N/A393N/A
9/30/20194,753210N/A233N/A
6/30/20194,685236N/A271N/A
3/31/20194,400213N/A107N/A
12/31/20184,227206N/A136N/A
9/30/20184,069219N/A309N/A
6/30/20183,941159N/A297N/A
3/31/20183,869126N/A239N/A
12/31/20173,88591N/A386N/A
9/30/20173,78388N/A363N/A
6/30/20173,72870N/A407N/A
3/31/20173,67456N/A537N/A
12/31/20163,55053N/A373N/A
9/30/20163,32351N/A151N/A
6/30/20163,26648N/A96N/A
3/31/20163,11342N/A-109N/A
12/31/20152,97745N/A-263N/A
9/30/20153,01853N/A-34N/A
6/30/20152,85154N/A-76N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: Si prevede che gli utili di TMHC diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -7.2% all'anno).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di TMHC diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -7.2% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di TMHC diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che i ricavi di TMHC diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -3.6% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che i ricavi di TMHC diminuiranno nei prossimi 3 anni ( -3.6% all'anno).

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Dati insufficienti per determinare se il Return on Equity di TMHC è previsto essere elevato tra 3 anni

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/21 21:32
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/21 00:00
Utili2026/03/31
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation è coperta da 19 analisti. 7 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Matthew BouleyBarclays
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Tyler BatoryBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)