Birkenstock Holding Crescita futura
Criteri Future verificati 1/6
Birkenstock Holding prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 16.9% e 11.3% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 18% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 13.6% in 3 anni.
Informazioni chiave
16.9%
Tasso di crescita degli utili
17.95%
Tasso di crescita dell'EPS
| Luxury crescita degli utili | 14.9% |
| Tasso di crescita dei ricavi | 11.3% |
| Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio | 13.57% |
| Copertura analitica | Good |
| Ultimo aggiornamento | 01 Jul 2026 |
Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura
Articolo di analisi • Feb 15
Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Articolo di analisi • Aug 18
Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 02
Birkenstock Holding's Strong Growth Doesn't Justify A Price This Low
Summary Birkenstock Holding plc demonstrates strong multi-year revenue growth, driven by both B2B and direct-to-consumer channels across global markets. BIRK is targeting 10% annual growth in pairs sold and expects 13–15% revenue growth this year, despite inflation and supply chain headwinds. Valuation appears reasonable relative to peers, with management signaling undervaluation via a $250 million accelerated share buyback (~3.2% of market cap). I assign a soft Buy rating, supported by robust growth levers, expanding production, and the brand's positioning as affordable luxury. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Jun 26
BIRK: Future Profitability Pressures Will Challenge Confidence After $250M Buyback
The analyst fair value estimate for Birkenstock Holding has been revised from about $45.35 to about $40.18, as recent Street price target changes and updated models reflect a mix of slightly lower long term profitability assumptions and ongoing confidence in demand and capital returns, such as the $250M accelerated share repurchase. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Birkenstock Holding reflects a mixed backdrop, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets after the latest Q2 results while still acknowledging ongoing demand drivers and the recently announced US$250M accelerated share repurchase.Articolo di analisi • Feb 15
Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Articolo di analisi • Dec 11
Is There An Opportunity With Birkenstock Holding plc's (NYSE:BIRK) 21% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Birkenstock Holding fair value estimate is US$56.74 Current...Articolo di analisi • Nov 05
Is Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK) Potentially Undervalued?
While Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 26
APAC And China Trends Will Unlock Future Potential
Birkenstock Holding’s modestly lower consensus price target reflects a significant rise in its future P/E multiple, while profit margins remained stable, resulting in a revised fair value of $69.17. What's in the News Birkenstock raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to at least €2.09 billion, reflecting 15.9% reported growth and 17.5% growth in constant currency, above previous guidance.Articolo di analisi • Sep 12
Here's Why We Think Birkenstock Holding (NYSE:BIRK) Is Well Worth Watching
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Articolo di analisi • Aug 18
Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Articolo di analisi • Jul 09
Calculating The Fair Value Of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK)
Key Insights Birkenstock Holding's estimated fair value is US$44.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Seeking Alpha • Apr 13
Birkenstock: Upgrade To Buy On Cheaper Valuation
Summary I upgrade Birkenstock to a buy rating as the stock now trades at ~22x forward P/E, making it more attractive. BIRK shows resilient top-line growth across all regions and channels, with 1Q25 revenue up 19% y/y, exceeding management’s FY25 guidance. The DTC strategy is gaining momentum, with plans to increase store count by ~40% and a growing membership base driving higher transaction values. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 21
Birkenstock Adds Winter Assortment, But The Stock Remains Too Expensive
Summary Birkenstock Holding plc reported 19% YOY revenue growth, but the market reacted negatively due to maintained full-year guidance of 15%-17%, indicating potential deceleration from last year's 20%. Wholesale growth outperformed at 30%, but 90% came from existing doors, raising saturation concerns; DTC growth slowed to 10% from 30% last year. Product diversification is promising, with closed-toe silhouettes making up 50% of revenue; Asia grew 47% YoY, now 13% of sales. BIRK stock valuation remains high at 27x NTM earnings, requiring flawless execution and sustained growth; maintain a Hold rating due to high fashion risk and revenue deceleration signs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 03
Birkenstock: There's Still Room To Rise As ASP Expansion And China Growth Power Earnings
Summary I favor "growth at a reasonable price" stocks like Birkenstock, which has seen a ~20% rise and strong Q4 results. Birkenstock's gross margins fell in FY24 due to facility expansion but are expected to improve in FY25, moving closer to long-term targets. Increased production efficiency and an 8% ASP increase are boosting Birkenstock's margins, forecasting up to 50bps y/y expansion in adjusted EBITDA. Birkenstock shows strong growth potential in underpenetrated markets like Asia, making it a solid investment for continued success in 2025. The stock trades at a reasonable ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nuova narrazione • Dec 22
APAC Expansion And Closed-Toe Product Surge To Propel Revenue And Margins
Aggressive expansion in APAC and increased DTC sales boost revenue, with new store openings enhancing global retail presence.Seeking Alpha • Dec 22
Birkenstock: Upside Is Not Attractive At The Current Valuation
Summary I assign a hold rating to Birkenstock due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and positive outlook. BIRK's recent performance is impressive, with 22% y/y growth in 4Q24 and strong demand across all regions and channels. Management's conservative FY25 guidance of 15-17% y/y growth suggests potential for a "beat and raise" motion, but valuation limits upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 23
Birkenstock Holding: Undervalued, With Tailwinds Ahead
Summary Birkenstock is expanding into untapped Asian markets and emphasizing sustainability, creating strong growth potential and differentiation from competitors. Financial performance has been robust, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, demonstrating resilience in a challenging economic environment. My DCF analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, with a potential 67.1% upside, supporting a "BUY" recommendation. Despite competition, Birkenstock's unique product features and sustainable practices mitigate risks, reinforcing its market position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 05
Birkenstock: Stock Is Still Not Attractive After Price Drop
Summary Birkenstock's Q3 2024 showed an impressive 19% YoY revenue growth, but the stock price dropped 20% due to a revenue and earnings miss. Despite strong performance, high valuations and fashion risk make Birkenstock's stock inherently risky, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. The company's shift from DTC to B2B impacted gross margins, but management's guidance of 20% topline growth and 30% EBITDA margins remains intact. Birkenstock's current valuation requires excessive growth to justify its price, making future returns uncertain and supporting my Hold recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 30
Birkenstock: Decelerating Growth And Inflated Valuations Do Not Mix Well
Summary Birkenstock's shares trade at a very high valuation despite decelerating revenue growth, contracting gross profit margins, and insiders selling. The company's third-quarter results missed revenue and profit expectations, and forward guidance was weak. Birkenstock's strategy of creating artificial scarcity is risky and could backfire, giving competitors an opportunity to capture unmet demand. Despite generating significant cash flow and reducing net debt, the high valuation, and potential governance issues remain major concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 30
Birkenstock Has A Great Brand And Potential, But The Stock Is Overvalued
Summary Birkenstock IPOed last year with a frothy valuation based on significant growth that has continued in FY24. The company has several interesting characteristics, including great brand equity, pricing power, and a relatively loyal customer base. The company is also growing tremendously in FY23 and FY24, which is more impressive in comparison with the generally bad performance of most discretionary companies during this period. Despite these positive aspects, Birkenstock's stock price already discounts most future positive developments, and exposes investors to significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 11
Birkenstock: Stellar Growth In Asia And Closed-Toe Shoes
Summary Birkenstock stock remains a long-term hold despite a 20%+ run-up year to date. The company's Q2 earnings release showed slightly accelerating revenue growth, with continued performance in Asia and strong sell-through results in Europe. The company is also noting that closed-toe shoes, in particular clogs, are making up a larger share of its revenue. Gross margins are suffering a current headwind from a manufacturing capacity expansion, but this is a signal that the company is preparing for operating at a much larger scale. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 30
Birkenstock: Aggressive Growth Trajectory Continues
Summary Birkenstock, the shoemaker that went public last year, has failed to rally beyond its IPO price, despite incredible financials. The company has shown strong Q4 results, with aggressive growth in direct-channel sales and a reduction in debt leverage. Birkenstock has an incredible growth trajectory, a broad product portfolio, efficient marketing strategies, and a stellar margin profile, making it a promising investment. It's growing >50% y/y in Asia, which is a largely underpenetrated market for the company. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Birkenstock's Valuation Conundrum: Lofty Market Expectations Vs. Real Growth Hurdles
Summary Birkenstock's is trading at 6.5x NTM EV/Sales and 21.4x NTM EV/EBITDA respectively, with the current valuation implying a 17.7% annual growth rateover the next decade, while maintaining 30% EBITDA margin. The company is facing hurdles such as low/stagnant unit sales growth, rising costs, limited room for further price increases and hence a potential margin decline. With inventories levels at 40% of revenues, exceeding 30 million units, and a modest 5.5% unit growth in FY2023, signs point to potential low consumer demand. Given the free float is under 10%, skewing the current valuation from the market's true sentiment, our outlook on the stock is bearish. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Birkenstock: Right Time To Buy
Summary Birkenstock, the German shoemaker, is experiencing incredible growth with a multi-year trajectory above 20% y/y. Future growth drivers include relatively low penetration in Asian markets as well as retail/DTC expansion. The company boasts a stellar margin profile with a gross margin in the low 60s (versus mid-40s for competitors). Though not cheap at ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA, Birkenstock's premium growth and margin profile justify a premium valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi
| Data | Ricavi | Utili | Flusso di cassa libero | Liquidità dell'operazione | Avg. Numero di analisti |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 3,013 | 530 | 491 | 668 | 12 |
| 9/30/2027 | 2,657 | 443 | 430 | 574 | 21 |
| 9/30/2026 | 2,334 | 360 | 383 | 527 | 22 |
| 3/31/2026 | 2,182 | 356 | 310 | 415 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,138 | 379 | 263 | 368 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,097 | 348 | 299 | 384 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,027 | 307 | 293 | 373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,957 | 252 | 318 | 394 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,863 | 219 | 388 | 462 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,805 | 192 | 355 | 429 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,723 | 111 | 326 | 404 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,632 | 99 | 270 | 359 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,546 | 77 | 271 | 366 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,492 | 75 | 256 | 359 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,439 | 161 | 251 | 367 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,344 | 154 | 153 | 264 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,220 | 141 | 102 | 194 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,243 | 187 | 162 | 234 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,110 | -41 | 236 | 255 | N/A |
Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti
Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di BIRK ( 16.9% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).
Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di BIRK ( 16.9% all'anno) cresceranno più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 18.4% all'anno).
Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di BIRK cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.
Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di BIRK ( 11.3% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 12.7% all'anno).
Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di BIRK ( 11.3% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.
Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio
ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di BIRK sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 13.6 %).
Scoprire le aziende in crescita
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/07/06 13:55 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/09/30 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
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| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
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| Proprietà | 10 anni |
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| Gestione | 10 anni |
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| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; disponiamo inoltre di guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e di tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
Birkenstock Holding plc è coperta da 25 analisti. 22 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Mark Altschwager | Baird |
| Luca Solca | Bernstein |
| Laurent Vasilescu | BNP Paribas |