Birkenstock Holding plc

Report azionario NYSE:BIRK

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$6.0b

Birkenstock Holding Crescita futura

Criteri Future verificati 2/6

Birkenstock Holding prevede che gli utili e i ricavi cresceranno rispettivamente di 16.9% e 11.4% all'anno. Si prevede che l'EPS crescerà di 17.1% all'anno. Si prevede che il ritorno sul capitale proprio sarà di 13.6% in 3 anni.

Informazioni chiave

16.9%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

17.07%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Luxury crescita degli utili18.1%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi11.4%
Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio13.59%
Copertura analitica

Good

Ultimo aggiornamento20 May 2026

Aggiornamenti recenti sulla crescita futura

Articolo di analisi • Feb 15

Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
Articolo di analisi • Aug 18

Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 13

Birkenstock: Concerning Sales Slowdown And Inventory Buildup (Downgrade)

Summary Birkenstock faces decelerating growth, weak Q2 results, and rising inventories, prompting my downgrade to neutral. BIRK demonstrates resilience with double-digit growth and gross margin improvement from increased capacity absorption, despite macroeconomic headwinds. Risks include a more promotional retail environment, B2B order pullbacks, and intensified competition from brands like CROX. I recommend moving to the sidelines on BIRK, as recent trends skew the risk/reward balance to the downside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Articolo di analisi • Feb 15

Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

It's been a good week for Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
Articolo di analisi • Dec 11

Is There An Opportunity With Birkenstock Holding plc's (NYSE:BIRK) 21% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Birkenstock Holding fair value estimate is US$56.74 Current...
Articolo di analisi • Nov 05

Is Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK) Potentially Undervalued?

While Birkenstock Holding plc ( NYSE:BIRK ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share...
Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 26

APAC And China Trends Will Unlock Future Potential

Birkenstock Holding’s modestly lower consensus price target reflects a significant rise in its future P/E multiple, while profit margins remained stable, resulting in a revised fair value of $69.17. What's in the News Birkenstock raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to at least €2.09 billion, reflecting 15.9% reported growth and 17.5% growth in constant currency, above previous guidance.
Articolo di analisi • Sep 12

Here's Why We Think Birkenstock Holding (NYSE:BIRK) Is Well Worth Watching

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Articolo di analisi • Aug 18

Results: Birkenstock Holding plc Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

NYSE:BIRK 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Birkenstock Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...
Articolo di analisi • Jul 09

Calculating The Fair Value Of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK)

Key Insights Birkenstock Holding's estimated fair value is US$44.94 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 13

Birkenstock: Upgrade To Buy On Cheaper Valuation

Summary I upgrade Birkenstock to a buy rating as the stock now trades at ~22x forward P/E, making it more attractive. BIRK shows resilient top-line growth across all regions and channels, with 1Q25 revenue up 19% y/y, exceeding management’s FY25 guidance. The DTC strategy is gaining momentum, with plans to increase store count by ~40% and a growing membership base driving higher transaction values. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 21

Birkenstock Adds Winter Assortment, But The Stock Remains Too Expensive

Summary Birkenstock Holding plc reported 19% YOY revenue growth, but the market reacted negatively due to maintained full-year guidance of 15%-17%, indicating potential deceleration from last year's 20%. Wholesale growth outperformed at 30%, but 90% came from existing doors, raising saturation concerns; DTC growth slowed to 10% from 30% last year. Product diversification is promising, with closed-toe silhouettes making up 50% of revenue; Asia grew 47% YoY, now 13% of sales. BIRK stock valuation remains high at 27x NTM earnings, requiring flawless execution and sustained growth; maintain a Hold rating due to high fashion risk and revenue deceleration signs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 03

Birkenstock: There's Still Room To Rise As ASP Expansion And China Growth Power Earnings

Summary I favor "growth at a reasonable price" stocks like Birkenstock, which has seen a ~20% rise and strong Q4 results. Birkenstock's gross margins fell in FY24 due to facility expansion but are expected to improve in FY25, moving closer to long-term targets. Increased production efficiency and an 8% ASP increase are boosting Birkenstock's margins, forecasting up to 50bps y/y expansion in adjusted EBITDA. Birkenstock shows strong growth potential in underpenetrated markets like Asia, making it a solid investment for continued success in 2025. The stock trades at a reasonable ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nuova narrazione • Dec 22

APAC Expansion And Closed-Toe Product Surge To Propel Revenue And Margins

Aggressive expansion in APAC and increased DTC sales boost revenue, with new store openings enhancing global retail presence.
Seeking Alpha • Dec 22

Birkenstock: Upside Is Not Attractive At The Current Valuation

Summary I assign a hold rating to Birkenstock due to limited upside potential despite strong fundamentals and positive outlook. BIRK's recent performance is impressive, with 22% y/y growth in 4Q24 and strong demand across all regions and channels. Management's conservative FY25 guidance of 15-17% y/y growth suggests potential for a "beat and raise" motion, but valuation limits upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 23

Birkenstock Holding: Undervalued, With Tailwinds Ahead

Summary Birkenstock is expanding into untapped Asian markets and emphasizing sustainability, creating strong growth potential and differentiation from competitors. Financial performance has been robust, with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, demonstrating resilience in a challenging economic environment. My DCF analysis indicates the stock is undervalued, with a potential 67.1% upside, supporting a "BUY" recommendation. Despite competition, Birkenstock's unique product features and sustainable practices mitigate risks, reinforcing its market position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 05

Birkenstock: Stock Is Still Not Attractive After Price Drop

Summary Birkenstock's Q3 2024 showed an impressive 19% YoY revenue growth, but the stock price dropped 20% due to a revenue and earnings miss. Despite strong performance, high valuations and fashion risk make Birkenstock's stock inherently risky, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. The company's shift from DTC to B2B impacted gross margins, but management's guidance of 20% topline growth and 30% EBITDA margins remains intact. Birkenstock's current valuation requires excessive growth to justify its price, making future returns uncertain and supporting my Hold recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 30

Birkenstock: Decelerating Growth And Inflated Valuations Do Not Mix Well

Summary Birkenstock's shares trade at a very high valuation despite decelerating revenue growth, contracting gross profit margins, and insiders selling. The company's third-quarter results missed revenue and profit expectations, and forward guidance was weak. Birkenstock's strategy of creating artificial scarcity is risky and could backfire, giving competitors an opportunity to capture unmet demand. Despite generating significant cash flow and reducing net debt, the high valuation, and potential governance issues remain major concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 30

Birkenstock Has A Great Brand And Potential, But The Stock Is Overvalued

Summary Birkenstock IPOed last year with a frothy valuation based on significant growth that has continued in FY24. The company has several interesting characteristics, including great brand equity, pricing power, and a relatively loyal customer base. The company is also growing tremendously in FY23 and FY24, which is more impressive in comparison with the generally bad performance of most discretionary companies during this period. Despite these positive aspects, Birkenstock's stock price already discounts most future positive developments, and exposes investors to significant risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 11

Birkenstock: Stellar Growth In Asia And Closed-Toe Shoes

Summary Birkenstock stock remains a long-term hold despite a 20%+ run-up year to date. The company's Q2 earnings release showed slightly accelerating revenue growth, with continued performance in Asia and strong sell-through results in Europe. The company is also noting that closed-toe shoes, in particular clogs, are making up a larger share of its revenue. Gross margins are suffering a current headwind from a manufacturing capacity expansion, but this is a signal that the company is preparing for operating at a much larger scale. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 30

Birkenstock: Aggressive Growth Trajectory Continues

Summary Birkenstock, the shoemaker that went public last year, has failed to rally beyond its IPO price, despite incredible financials. The company has shown strong Q4 results, with aggressive growth in direct-channel sales and a reduction in debt leverage. Birkenstock has an incredible growth trajectory, a broad product portfolio, efficient marketing strategies, and a stellar margin profile, making it a promising investment. It's growing >50% y/y in Asia, which is a largely underpenetrated market for the company. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 27

Birkenstock's Valuation Conundrum: Lofty Market Expectations Vs. Real Growth Hurdles

Summary Birkenstock's is trading at 6.5x NTM EV/Sales and 21.4x NTM EV/EBITDA respectively, with the current valuation implying a 17.7% annual growth rateover the next decade, while maintaining 30% EBITDA margin. The company is facing hurdles such as low/stagnant unit sales growth, rising costs, limited room for further price increases and hence a potential margin decline. With inventories levels at 40% of revenues, exceeding 30 million units, and a modest 5.5% unit growth in FY2023, signs point to potential low consumer demand. Given the free float is under 10%, skewing the current valuation from the market's true sentiment, our outlook on the stock is bearish. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 30

Birkenstock: Right Time To Buy

Summary Birkenstock, the German shoemaker, is experiencing incredible growth with a multi-year trajectory above 20% y/y. Future growth drivers include relatively low penetration in Asian markets as well as retail/DTC expansion. The company boasts a stellar margin profile with a gross margin in the low 60s (versus mid-40s for competitors). Though not cheap at ~18x forward adjusted EBITDA, Birkenstock's premium growth and margin profile justify a premium valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 19

Birkenstock: Landing On Its Feet

Summary Birkenstock, a German-based global brand, went public in October 2023 at a premium valuation. The company saw strong growth in sales and profits, with revenues up 20% in 2023. Despite a slowdown in growth in the fourth quarter, Birkenstock's revenue guidance for 2024 is promising, with sales expected to reach EUR 1.75 billion. While there is much to like about the business and its growth prospects, valuations are too stretched to get involved. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 06

Birkenstock: Walking On Overvalued Ground

Summary Birkenstock, controlled by L Catterton, has seen significant growth in the past decade, but its valuation may be too high. The company's strategy of expanding in markets like China and India and focusing on direct-to-consumer sales appears to be successful. While Birkenstock has a strong brand and potential for growth, its current valuation is demanding and may not be sustainable long term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 12

Birkenstock Is Walking On Air

Summary Birkenstock, a German footwear maker, went public Wednesday. The company's guiding principle is "Walking Naturally", and its footwear is designed for comfort and foot health. BIRK has experienced significant growth, but its profitability is weak, and 76% of the offer price is based on assumptions about future growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Previsioni di crescita degli utili e dei ricavi

NYSE:BIRK - Stime future degli analisti e dati finanziari passati (EUR Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliFlusso di cassa liberoLiquidità dell'operazioneAvg. Numero di analisti
9/30/20283,02052950369112
9/30/20272,65844344158321
9/30/20262,33436138153021
3/31/20262,182356310415N/A
12/31/20252,138379263368N/A
9/30/20252,097348299384N/A
6/30/20252,027307293373N/A
3/31/20251,957252318394N/A
12/31/20241,863219388462N/A
9/30/20241,805192355429N/A
6/30/20241,723111326404N/A
3/31/20241,63299270359N/A
12/31/20231,54677271366N/A
9/30/20231,49275256359N/A
6/30/20231,439161251367N/A
3/31/20231,344154153264N/A
12/31/20221,220141102194N/A
9/30/20221,243187162234N/A
9/30/20211,110-41236255N/A

Previsioni di crescita futura degli analisti

Guadagni vs tasso di risparmio: La crescita prevista degli utili di BIRK ( 16.9% all'anno) è superiore al tasso di risparmio ( 3.5% ).

Guadagni vs Mercato: Si prevede che gli utili di BIRK ( 16.9% all'anno) cresceranno più rapidamente del mercato US ( 16.8% all'anno).

Guadagni ad alta crescita: Si prevede che gli utili di BIRK cresceranno, ma non in modo significativo.

Ricavi vs Mercato: Si prevede che il fatturato di BIRK ( 11.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente rispetto al mercato US ( 11.6% all'anno).

Ricavi ad alta crescita: Si prevede che il fatturato di BIRK ( 11.4% all'anno) crescerà più lentamente di 20% all'anno.

Previsioni di crescita dell'utile per azione

Rendimento futuro del capitale proprio

ROE futuro: Si prevede che il Return on Equity di BIRK sarà basso tra 3 anni ( 13.6 %).

Scoprire le aziende in crescita

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/20 20:21
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/20 00:00
Utili2026/03/31
Utili annuali2025/09/30

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Birkenstock Holding plc è coperta da 24 analisti. 21 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Luca SolcaBernstein
Melania GrippoBNP Paribas