Paychex, Inc.

Report azionario NasdaqGS:PAYX

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$33.7b

Paychex Performance degli utili passati

Criteri Il passato verificati 2/6

Paychex ha registrato una crescita degli utili a un tasso medio annuo di 7.6%, mentre il settore Professional Services ha registrato utili in crescita a un tasso medio annuo di 11.2%. I ricavi sono stati in crescita a un tasso medio annuo di 7.9%. Il ritorno sul capitale proprio di Paychex è 40.8% e ha margini netti di 25.8%.

Informazioni chiave

7.63%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

7.64%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Professional Services Crescita del settore10.99%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi7.94%
Rendimento del capitale proprio40.78%
Margine netto25.84%
Ultimo aggiornamento sugli utili28 Feb 2026

Aggiornamenti sulle prestazioni recenti

Recent updates

Aggiornamento dell'analisi Apr 27

PAYX: AI And Tapcheck Partnership Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns

The analyst price target for Paychex has been trimmed by about $0.27, reflecting a wave of recent target cuts from multiple firms as analysts factor in choppy macro conditions and the ongoing integration of Paycor into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex shows a clear reset in expectations, with several firms cutting their price targets and one new initiation at a neutral stance.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Apr 10

PAYX: AI Tools And Buybacks Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Paychex slightly lower to $101.20 from $102.80 as they factor in a higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple, following a series of recent target cuts and cautious research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with several firms trimming price targets and a few initiating more conservative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability and the integration of Paycor.
Seeking Alpha Apr 09

Paychex: Staying Neutral Because Of Near-Term Growth Concerns

Summary Paychex (PAYX) is rated Hold as core growth remains subdued despite promising Paycor integration and outsourcing momentum. Integration of Paycor is progressing well, with cross-selling and larger ASO/PEO wins supporting potential revenue synergies and a structurally improved growth profile. Outsourcing and PEO segments are showing solid growth and retention, but these remain a small portion of overall revenues. Valuation is at a premium to peers due to high margins, but further re-rating is unlikely without clear evidence of accelerating organic growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nuova analisi Mar 28

AI Rollout And PEO Demand Will Support Steady Outlook Despite Integration Risks

Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides HR, payroll, benefits and PEO solutions to businesses of various sizes, with a large small business client base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Mar 27

PAYX: AI Upgrades And Buybacks Will Offset Paycor Integration Concerns

Paychex's analyst price target has been reset lower to about $103 from roughly $117, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by expectations for stable profitability and ongoing integration of Paycor. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paychex has centered on recalibrated price targets, with several firms adjusting their models to reflect more tempered revenue expectations, a higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E multiples.
Nuova analisi Mar 13

AI Adoption And HCM Data Scale Will Reshape This Payroll Leader’s Long-Term Potential

Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides payroll, HR, benefits and HCM technology solutions to small and midsize businesses across its Paychex Flex, SurePayroll and Paycor platforms. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Mar 12

PAYX: AI Automation And Buybacks Will Offset Defensive Competitive Concerns Over Time

Analysts have reduced their Paychex price target by about $2 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates, higher required returns, and modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent bearish initiations and cautious commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with new coverage framing recent moves, including the Paycor stake, as largely defensive rather than a clear growth accelerator.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Feb 26

PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Counter Defensive Competitive Pressures Over Time

Analysts have trimmed their Paychex price target slightly to about $119 per share, reflecting modest adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following new bearish coverage that characterizes recent competitive moves as largely defensive. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames the latest competitive response, including the Paycor related move, as more defensive than opportunistic.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Feb 11

PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Support Resilient Future Cash Flow Profile

Analysts have trimmed their average Paychex price target slightly to about $119.53 from roughly $120.20, reflecting a modestly lower assumed future P/E and fresh bearish initiation commentary that characterizes the recent Paycor acquisition as a largely defensive move. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary focuses heavily on the Paycor acquisition and how it feeds into expectations for Paychex valuation and execution.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Jan 27

PAYX: AI And Platform Partnerships Will Support Resilient Cash Flow Profile

Analysts have trimmed their Paychex fair value estimate from about US$122 to roughly US$120, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower future P/E and a mild uptick in the discount rate after recent bearish initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on the implications of Paychex's move toward Paycor and how that fits with the current fair value reassessment.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Jan 11

PAYX: Broader Suite And AI Will Confront Cyclical Labor And Rate Risks

Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their price target on Paychex, pointing to the broader solution suite following the Paycor acquisition, while also flagging cyclical risks tied to potential revenue softness if unemployment rises and interest rates move lower. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the Paycor acquisition as a way for Paychex to offer a broader and more comprehensive suite of solutions, which they see as supportive of the current valuation range.
Articolo di analisi Jan 07

Should You Investigate Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) At US$111?

Let's talk about the popular Paychex, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PAYX ). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a...
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Dec 25

PAYX: AI And Suite Expansion Will Navigate Cyclical Labor Uncertainty Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their Paychex fair value estimate by about $6 to roughly $122 per share, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and future valuation multiples, despite resilient margins and a broader solution suite. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally balanced stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or modestly cautious ratings while making incremental target price adjustments.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Dec 11

PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Support Suite Expansion Amid Cyclical Labor Market Uncertainty

Analysts modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Paychex to approximately $128 from about $134 per share, citing slightly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation multiples amid heightened macroeconomic and labor market uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally cautious, wait and see stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or Hold type ratings while trimming price targets.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Nov 27

PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Boost Solution Suite And Support Margin Resilience

The analyst price target for Paychex has edged down slightly, with the fair value estimate decreasing by $0.57 to $134.14. Analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic concerns and mixed signals from recent earnings results as key factors behind the adjustment.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Nov 05

PAYX: Acquisition Will Drive Broader Solution Suite And Support Margins Going Forward

The analyst price target for Paychex has shifted slightly lower, down by $0.52 to $134.71. Analysts see a stable but cautious outlook due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns and modest revenue growth expectations.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Oct 22

Analyst Commentary Highlights Balanced Views on Paychex Amid Subtle Valuation and Growth Adjustments

The analyst price target for Paychex edged up slightly to $135.23 from $135.15, as analysts balanced lower organic growth expectations and macroeconomic uncertainty with the company's resilient margins and cash flow profile. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinions on Paychex reflect a range of perspectives, balancing the company’s strong margins and free cash flow with concerns about cyclical pressures and growth variability.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Oct 08

Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions

The analyst price target for Paychex has been lowered from approximately $145.08 to $135.15. Analysts cite ongoing revenue growth headwinds, a premium valuation, and a balanced risk/reward outlook in a challenging operating environment.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Sep 23

Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions

Paychex’s consensus price target was revised slightly lower to $145.08 as analysts cite slower organic revenue growth, lack of FY26 guidance clarity, and a subdued sector outlook amid macroeconomic headwinds, suggesting shares may remain range-bound. Analyst Commentary Slower organic revenue growth in Management Solutions, partly attributed to integration distractions, is weighing on near-term performance and expectations.
Aggiornamento dell'analisi Sep 04

Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions

Paychex’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $147.33 as mixed sentiment—driven by weaker-than-expected Q4 results, softer revenue growth, integration concerns surrounding the Paycor deal, and uncertainty over FY26 projections—was offset by a stable client base and resilient underlying demand. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight weaker-than-expected Q4 and softer organic revenue growth, with Paychex’s fiscal 2026 guidance falling below investor expectations.
Articolo di analisi Sep 02

Investor Optimism Abounds Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) But Growth Is Lacking

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.3x Paychex, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PAYX ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Articolo di analisi Aug 04

The Returns On Capital At Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Don't Inspire Confidence

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Articolo di analisi Jul 11

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Paychex is US$145 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Articolo di analisi Jun 18

Here's Why We Think Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Seeking Alpha Mar 24

Paychex: Accelerating Growth With Paycor

Summary Paychex shares trade at a premium, supported by organic growth and the Paycor acquisition, despite economic cyclicality concerns. Paychex's technology-driven growth in human capital management targets a $90 billion market, with strong client retention and consistent revenue growth. The Paycor acquisition adds 50,000 larger clients, with huge synergy potential amidst lackluster margins reported. At 27 times earnings, Paychex must deliver on integration and synergies. I'm waiting for more impact clues before reconsidering my neutral stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 25

Paychex Inc: The Paycor Acquisition Could Be A Game Changer

Summary I recommend a buy rating for Paychex Inc. (PAYX) due to its transformative acquisition of PYCR, expanding its TAM and cross-selling opportunities. The acquisition increases PAYX's TAM by ~$10 billion, targeting mid-market clients and leveraging AI-powered HR tools for significant productivity gains. Financial synergies include $80 million in cost savings and substantial cross-selling opportunities, potentially accelerating revenue growth to high single digits or low teens. Despite the $4.1 billion price tag, the valuation is reasonable, and successful integration could narrow PAYX's valuation discount relative to peers, offering upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 08

Paychex Writes A Fat Check For Paycor HCM

Summary Paychex's acquisition of Paycor HCM for $22.50 per share led to a 3% drop in Paycor's stock, reflecting market disappointment. Despite the drop, Paychex's management expects $80 million in annual run-rate synergies and additional revenue synergies from the deal. PAYX shares have underperformed the S&P 500, but the company's fundamentals are strong, though its stock remains expensive. I maintain a 'hold' rating for Paychex and recommend a 'sell' for PYCR due to limited additional upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 20

Paychex: Payrolling In Profits, But Valuation Could Use A Check

Summary Paychex's Q2 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in PEO and Insurance Solutions, and a focus on AI-driven solutions and HR analytics. Despite a solid outlook for FY 2025, risks include a moderating job market and increasing competition in the HR and payroll services industry. The company's valuation is high, trading at a premium to historical and peer group multiples, making it difficult to justify paying current prices for the stock. Given the strong fundamentals but expensive valuation, I rate Paychex a 'hold'. Investors may want to avoid the stock for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 02

Paychex Q1: Did Not Put Me Over The Fence

Summary Paychex's Q1 earnings showed slight revenue and EPS growth, but not enough to change my hold rating due to the lack of significant catalysts. The expiration of the ERTC program impacted revenue growth and margins, but the company remains financially strong with substantial cash reserves. New offerings like Paychex Flex Engage and AI-driven recruiting co-pilot show innovation, but are hard to quantify in terms of sales impact. I am waiting for further margin improvements and revenue catalysts before considering an investment; maintaining a hold rating on PAYX stock for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese

Come Paychex guadagna e spende denaro. In base agli ultimi utili dichiarati, su base LTM.


Storico di utili e ricavi

NasdaqGS:PAYX Ricavi, spese e utili (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliSpese G+ASpese di R&S
28 Feb 266,3341,6372,1890
30 Nov 256,0341,5961,9060
31 Aug 255,7931,6141,8710
31 May 255,5721,6571,7020
28 Feb 255,4401,7401,6430
30 Nov 245,3701,7191,6390
31 Aug 245,3111,6991,6270
31 May 245,2781,6901,6250
29 Feb 245,2131,6611,5930
30 Nov 235,1551,6301,5800
31 Aug 235,0871,5971,5510
31 May 235,0071,5571,5210
28 Feb 234,9221,5031,5050
30 Nov 224,8171,4671,4700
31 Aug 224,7351,4381,4480
31 May 224,6121,3931,4150
28 Feb 224,4971,3591,3850
30 Nov 214,3321,2791,3630
31 Aug 214,2081,2201,3360
31 May 214,0571,0981,3250
28 Feb 213,9431,0551,2890
30 Nov 203,9741,0591,2820
31 Aug 203,9811,0461,2980
31 May 204,0411,0981,2990
29 Feb 204,1061,1081,3140
30 Nov 194,0341,0781,2970
31 Aug 193,9021,0551,2590
31 May 193,7731,0341,2180
28 Feb 193,6381,0221,1580
30 Nov 183,5041,0641,1370
31 Aug 183,4481,0271,1010
31 May 183,3789941,0680
28 Feb 183,3319721,0580
30 Nov 173,1908071,0160
31 Aug 173,1598109980
31 May 173,1538269800
28 Feb 173,1078009810
30 Nov 163,0637789750
31 Aug 163,0147659640
31 May 162,9527579480
29 Feb 162,8907409280
30 Nov 152,8427299100
31 Aug 152,7967138940
31 May 152,7406758780

Guadagni di qualità: PAYX ha guadagni di alta qualità.

Margine di profitto in crescita: Gli attuali margini di profitto netti di PAYX (25.8%) sono inferiori rispetto allo scorso anno (32%).


Flusso di cassa libero e analisi degli utili


Analisi della crescita degli utili nel passato

Andamento degli utili: Gli utili di PAYX sono cresciuti del 7.6% all'anno negli ultimi 5 anni.

Accelerare la crescita: PAYX ha avuto una crescita negativa degli utili nell'ultimo anno, quindi non può essere confrontata con la sua media quinquennale.

Guadagni vs Settore: PAYX ha avuto una crescita negativa degli utili ( -5.9% ) nell'ultimo anno, rendendo difficile il confronto con la media del settore Professional Services ( 6.8% ).


Rendimento del capitale proprio

ROE elevato: Sebbene il Return on Equity ( 40.78% ) di PAYX sia eccezionale, questa metrica è distorta a causa del loro elevato livello di debito.


Rendimento delle attività


Rendimento del capitale investito


Scoprire le aziende con forti performance passate

Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/05/11 11:17
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/05/11 00:00
Utili2026/02/28
Utili annuali2025/05/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

Paychex, Inc. è coperta da 35 analisti. 18 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
null nullArgus Research Company
Mark MarconBaird
Lisa Dejong EllisBernstein