MTN Group Limited

JSE:MTN Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : R379.8b

MTN Group Croissance future

Future contrôle des critères 5/6

MTN Group devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 35.1% et de 13.8% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 26.8% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 25.1% dans 3 ans.

Informations clés

35.1%

Taux de croissance des bénéfices

26.84%

Taux de croissance du BPA

Wireless Telecom croissance des bénéfices24.7%
Taux de croissance des recettes13.8%
Rendement futur des capitaux propres25.05%
Couverture par les analystes

Good

Dernière mise à jour22 Apr 2026

Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit • May 13

MTN: Weaker Margin Outlook And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Upside

Narrative Update: MTN Group Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have lifted their price target on MTN Group to ZAR95.48 from ZAR82.69, reflecting an updated view that incorporates a slightly lower discount rate, modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MTN Group points to a split in sentiment, with some institutions introducing the stock with a constructive outlook while other, more cautious voices highlight execution and valuation risks that investors should factor into expectations.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 29

MTN: Lower Discount Rate And Higher Margins Will Support Repriced Earnings Multiple

Narrative Update on MTN Group The analyst price target for MTN Group has been raised from ZAR230 to ZAR280, with analysts pointing to a lower discount rate, a higher projected profit margin of 20.64%, and a reduced future P/E assumption of 10.53 as key drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts initiating coverage on MTN Group with a positive stance are broadly aligned with the recent increase in the price target to ZAR280.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 15

MTN: Dividend Policy IHS Outcome And Margin Profile Will Shape Future Balance

The analyst fair value estimate for MTN Group has shifted from ZAR207.67 to ZAR216.25 as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple following recent bullish research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MTN Group has shifted toward a more constructive tone, with bullish analysts updating their models and supporting a higher fair value estimate.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 01

MTN: Dividend Policy IHS Decision And Margin Resilience Will Shape Future Balance

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for MTN Group to ZAR207.67 from ZAR200.00, citing updated assumptions that combine slightly softer revenue growth with higher profit margin expectations and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on MTN Group reflects a mix of optimism and caution around how the updated fair value estimate ties back to execution, profitability and the multiples investors might be willing to pay for the shares.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 18

MTN: Dividend Policy IHS Outcome And Margins Will Shape Future Balance

Analysts have adjusted the MTN Group fair value estimate slightly higher, from ZAR 198.75 to ZAR 200.00, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on consumer and leisure names highlight how quickly sentiment can swing when earnings, forward guidance, or external operating conditions shift.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 03

MTN: Margin Assumptions And Possible IHS Deal Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for MTN Group up from ZAR193.63 to ZAR198.75, citing slightly stronger assumed profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple as key supports for the higher price target. Analyst Commentary Recent valuation work on MTN Group points to a fairly balanced split between what bullish and bearish analysts are focusing on.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 17

MTN: Leadership Reset And IHS Discussions Will Shape Balanced Execution Outlook

Narrative Update: MTN Group Price Target Revision Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for MTN Group higher from ZAR190.11 to ZAR193.63. This reflects updated assumptions around a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, a stable profit margin outlook, and a small recalibration of the future P/E multiple.
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 03

MTN: Leadership Reset And Execution Risk Will Shape Balanced Brand Outlook

Narrative Update on MTN Group The analyst fair value estimate for MTN Group has been adjusted from $186.22 to $190.11. Analysts attribute this change to slightly higher assumed revenue growth, a modestly higher future P/E multiple, and recent external research that highlights the impact of leadership changes and execution expectations at Vail Resorts.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 19

MTN: Leadership Reset And Brand Strength Will Shape Balanced Execution Outlook

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for MTN Group from R176.89 to R186.22, citing slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin profile, and an updated future P/E assumption of 11.49x that reflects recent sector research and valuation resets seen in wider leisure and consumer names. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around MTN Group has focused less on near term trading updates and more on leadership changes, brand strength, and execution risk.
Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05

MTN: Lower Future P/E And Leadership Changes Will Constrain Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for MTN Group to $82.69 from $83.94, citing updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple following recent sector and leadership changes highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts frame the reduced fair value estimate of $82.69 as a signal that MTN Group faces a thinner margin for execution, even with updated assumptions that factor in faster revenue growth and higher profit margins.
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 19

MTN: Leadership Reset Will Drive Future Turnaround Despite Near Term Execution Risks

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on Vail Resorts to a range of about $145 to $237 per share. This reflects concerns over softer Epic pass sales, a more guarded fiscal 2026 EBITDA outlook, and uncertainty around the pace of the company’s operational turnaround.
Article d’analyse • Dec 12

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying MTN Group Limited (JSE:MTN)?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established MTN Group Limited ( JSE:MTN ). The company's stock saw a...
Mise à jour du récit • Dec 05

MTN: Future Multiple Expansion Will Offset Margin And Leadership Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for MTN Group higher to approximately $176.89 from $172.50, citing a higher future P/E multiple despite slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and a notably lower projected profit margin. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Vail Resorts, which shares the MTN ticker in the U.S., offers a mixed backdrop that indirectly informs sentiment toward MTN Group.
Article d’analyse • Nov 24

MTN Group Limited's (JSE:MTN) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

When close to half the companies operating in the Wireless Telecom industry in South Africa have price-to-sales ratios...
Mise à jour du récit • Nov 21

MTN: Future Leadership Changes And Operational Challenges Will Shape Performance

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for MTN Group from $169.33 to $172.50, citing improved profit margin projections and stronger anticipated revenue growth. This comes despite recent concerns around leadership transitions and near-term operational challenges.
Mise à jour du récit • Sep 25

African Connectivity And Fintech Will Unlock Future Opportunities

Consensus revenue growth forecasts for MTN Group have risen significantly, but this has been offset by a lower net profit margin, resulting in only a marginal increase in the analyst price target from ZAR167.11 to ZAR169.33. What's in the News MTN CEO Ralph Mupita has publicly denied any ongoing talks or adviser engagement regarding an acquisition of Telkom SA, though industry speculation continues due to market dynamics.
Article d’analyse • Sep 12

Should You Think About Buying MTN Group Limited (JSE:MTN) Now?

MTN Group Limited ( JSE:MTN ) saw significant share price movement during recent months on the JSE, rising to highs of...
Mise à jour du récit • Aug 30

African Connectivity And Fintech Will Unlock Future Opportunities

The consensus price target for MTN Group has edged up to ZAR167.11, primarily reflecting a slight improvement in revenue growth forecasts. What's in the News MTN Group expects a first-half 2025 EPS of 495–577 cents, reflecting an increase of more than 200% from the prior year's loss.
Article d’analyse • Aug 25

MTN Group's (JSE:MTN) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Even though MTN Group Limited ( JSE:MTN ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. Our analysis...
Article d’analyse • Aug 14

MTN Group Limited's (JSE:MTN) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2x in the Wireless Telecom industry in South Africa, you...
Article d’analyse • May 22

Should Shareholders Reconsider MTN Group Limited's (JSE:MTN) CEO Compensation Package?

Key Insights MTN Group's Annual General Meeting to take place on 29th of May Total pay for CEO Ralph Mupita includes...
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Nouveau récit • Feb 09

Localization Progress In Uganda And Ghana Will Unlock Future Earnings

Strong growth in data and fintech services could positively impact MTN's revenue and boost net margins through high-margin products.

Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus

JSE:MTN - Estimations futures des analystes et données financières antérieures (ZAR Millions )
DateRecettesLes revenusFlux de trésorerie disponibleCash from OpMoy. Nombre d'analystes
12/31/2028341,811N/A37,057168,4115
12/31/2027304,51042,47431,259145,7057
12/31/2026257,74632,21524,718120,7748
12/31/2025226,75520,26237,61277,944N/A
9/30/2025216,75114,01431,79571,282N/A
6/30/2025206,7477,54326,87665,519N/A
3/31/2025197,667-1,02421,36556,168N/A
12/31/2024188,586-9,36914,95545,918N/A
9/30/2024193,910-8,40411,95347,357N/A
6/30/2024199,234-7,4398,95048,796N/A
3/31/2024210,307-1,67313,55656,427N/A
12/31/2023221,3804,09218,16164,058N/A
9/30/2023222,0979,61724,52767,058N/A
6/30/2023222,81315,14130,89370,058N/A
3/31/2023214,92817,08926,91569,090N/A
12/31/2022207,04219,03722,93768,121N/A
9/30/2022199,48919,07622,48066,937N/A
6/30/2022191,93619,11422,02265,752N/A
3/31/2022186,79116,43227,04266,519N/A
12/31/2021181,64613,75032,06167,286N/A
9/30/2021182,10710,66432,43267,270N/A
6/30/2021182,5687,57832,80267,254N/A
3/31/2021181,01412,30030,56862,884N/A
12/31/2020179,46017,02228,33358,513N/A
9/30/2020171,25616,835N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2020163,05216,64717,86544,675N/A
3/31/2020157,25612,87413,55740,482N/A
12/31/2019151,4609,1009,24936,289N/A
9/30/2019147,8749,004N/A34,593N/A
6/30/2019144,2888,908N/A32,896N/A
3/31/2019139,4248,814N/A32,643N/A
12/31/2018134,5608,719N/A32,389N/A
9/30/2018132,6966,028N/A29,886N/A
6/30/2018130,8313,337N/A27,382N/A
3/31/2018131,8503,877N/A30,385N/A
12/31/2017132,8694,416N/A33,387N/A
9/30/2017133,2456,376N/A39,157N/A
6/30/2017133,6208,335N/A44,926N/A
3/31/2017140,7702,861N/A42,717N/A
12/31/2016147,920-2,614N/A40,508N/A
9/30/2016144,797101N/A37,892N/A
6/30/2016141,6742,815N/A35,275N/A
3/31/2016136,76911,510N/A35,952N/A
12/31/2015131,86320,204N/A36,628N/A
9/30/2015137,66925,397N/A40,949N/A
6/30/2015143,47530,589N/A45,270N/A

Prévisions de croissance des analystes

Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de MTN ( 35.1% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 9.8% ).

Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de MTN ( 35.1% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché ZA ( 15.7% par an).

Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de MTN devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.

Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de MTN ( 13.8% par an) devrait croître plus rapidement que le marché ZA ( 6.9% par an).

Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de MTN ( 13.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.

Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action

Rendement futur des capitaux propres

ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de MTN devrait être élevé dans 3 ans ( 25.1 %)

Découvrir les entreprises en croissance

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Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/21 06:41
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/20 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

MTN Group Limited est couverte par 19 analystes. 8 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Niel VenterAbsa Bank Limited
Jonathan BradleyAbsa Bank Limited
Tibor BokorArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.